Slashdot Mirror

let me help. rate of sea level rise increasing. tinyurl.com/gqx9hgy [Peter Sinclair]

Nerem et al. 2011 [Lonny Eachus, 2016-02-10]

Why did Lonny Eachus link to a graph showing a 3.1 mm/year global sea level trend? Since that's higher than Lonny's claimed "1.1 mm/year", doesn't that simple comparison show the rate of sea level rise is increasing (i.e. accelerating) over the long term? And since Lonny's accused scientists of being "liars" if they acknowledge the global sea level rise of ~3 mm/year, why did Lonny cite a graph containing what he called a lie from a scientist he's previously called a "liar"?

Furthermore, that's not a peer-reviewed paper. It's a slide from a 2011 presentation which hasn't been turned into a peer-reviewed paper. A real skeptic might wonder why it hasn't. Hint: in 2011 Jane/Lonny briefly stopped denying satellite measurements of sea level because they showed a short term drop. Of course, scientists told Jane that this was because the 2011 La Nina caused such massive flooding that global sea level fell temporarily. See Boening et al. 2012 (PDF).

So is it really surprising that calculating sea level acceleration from 1993-2011 gave an unrepresentative answer? Especially because that's a short timespan, and detecting acceleration requires a longer timespan than just detecting a trend. Maybe we could learn why that 2011 presentation hasn't become a peer-reviewed paper by looking at that same data up to 2016.

Let's analyze that raw data (backup) from sealevel.colorado.edu (backup). Here are accelerations and uncertainties for timespans that all end at 2016.1 but start at 1993, 1994, etc. Notice the similarities between the satellite acceleration graph and the older global tide gauge acceleration graph I've shown Jane/Lonny. All the black best-fit accelerations are positive. More recent accelerations tend to be larger. (The most recent accelerations and even their red lower 95% confidence intervals are off the scale even though the upper vertical limit is twice as high as in the older graph.) This tends to suggest that not only is global sea level accelerating, it's even "jerking" up.

(Technical note: those 95% confidence intervals were calculated using a ARMA(1,1) noise model. I also tested AR(1), MA(1), ARMA(1,2), and ARMA(2,1), but ARMA(1,1) minimized both the AIC and BIC.)

let me help. rate of sea level rise increasing.

let me help. rate of sea level rise increasing. tinyurl.com/gqx9hgy [Peter Sinclair]

Nerem et al. 2011 [Lonny Eachus, 2016-02-10]

Why did Lonny Eachus link to a graph showing a 3.1 mm/year global sea level trend? Since that's higher than Lonny's claimed "1.1 mm/year", doesn't that simple comparison show the rate of sea level rise is increasing (i.e. accelerating) over the long term? And since Lonny's accused scientists of being "liars" if they acknowledge the global sea level rise of ~3 mm/year, why did Lonny cite a graph containing what he called a lie from a scientist he's previously called a "liar"?

Furthermore, that's not a peer-reviewed paper. It's a slide from a 2011 presentation which hasn't been turned into a peer-reviewed paper. A real skeptic might wonder why it hasn't. Hint: in 2011 Jane/Lonny briefly stopped denying satellite measurements of sea level because they showed a short term drop. Of course, scientists told Jane that this was because the 2011 La Nina caused such massive flooding that global sea level fell temporarily. See Boening et al. 2012 (PDF).

So is it really surprising that calculating sea level acceleration from 1993-2011 gave an unrepresentative answer? Especially because that's a short timespan, and detecting acceleration requires a longer timespan than just detecting a trend. Maybe we could learn why that 2011 presentation hasn't become a peer-reviewed paper by looking at that same data up to 2016.

Let's analyze that raw data (backup) from sealevel.colorado.edu (backup). Here are accelerations and uncertainties for timespans that all end at 2016.1 but start at 1993, 1994, etc. Notice the similarities between the satellite acceleration graph and the older global tide gauge acceleration graph I've shown Jane/Lonny. All the black best-fit accelerations are positive. More recent accelerations tend to be larger. (The most recent accelerations and even their red lower 95% confidence intervals are off the scale even though the upper vertical limit is twice as high as in the older graph.) This tends to suggest that not only is global sea level accelerating, it's even "jerking" up.

(Technical note: those 95% confidence intervals were calculated using a ARMA(1,1) noise model. I also tested AR(1), MA(1), ARMA(1,2), and ARMA(2,1), but ARMA(1,1) minimized both the AIC and BIC.)

let me help. rate of sea level rise increasing.

let me help. rate of sea level rise increasing. tinyurl.com/gqx9hgy [Peter Sinclair]

Nerem et al. 2011 [Lonny Eachus, 2016-02-10]

Why did Lonny Eachus link to a graph showing a 3.1 mm/year global sea level trend? Since that's higher than Lonny's claimed "1.1 mm/year", doesn't that simple comparison show the rate of sea level rise is increasing (i.e. accelerating) over the long term? And since Lonny's accused scientists of being "liars" if they acknowledge the global sea level rise of ~3 mm/year, why did Lonny cite a graph containing what he called a lie from a scientist he's previously called a "liar"?

Furthermore, that's not a peer-reviewed paper. It's a slide from a 2011 presentation which hasn't been turned into a peer-reviewed paper. A real skeptic might wonder why it hasn't. Hint: in 2011 Jane/Lonny briefly stopped denying satellite measurements of sea level because they showed a short term drop. Of course, scientists told Jane that this was because the 2011 La Nina caused such massive flooding that global sea level fell temporarily. See Boening et al. 2012 (PDF).

So is it really surprising that calculating sea level acceleration from 1993-2011 gave an unrepresentative answer? Especially because that's a short timespan, and detecting acceleration requires a longer timespan than just detecting a trend. Maybe we could learn why that 2011 presentation hasn't become a peer-reviewed paper by looking at that same data up to 2016.

Let's analyze that raw data (backup) from sealevel.colorado.edu (backup). Here are accelerations and uncertainties for timespans that all end at 2016.1 but start at 1993, 1994, etc. Notice the similarities between the satellite acceleration graph and the older global tide gauge acceleration graph I've shown Jane/Lonny. All the black best-fit accelerations are positive. More recent accelerations tend to be larger. (The most recent accelerations and even their red lower 95% confidence intervals are off the scale even though the upper vertical limit is twice as high as in the older graph.) This tends to suggest that not only is global sea level accelerating, it's even "jerking" up.

(Technical note: those 95% confidence intervals were calculated using a ARMA(1,1) noise model. I also tested AR(1), MA(1), ARMA(1,2), and ARMA(2,1), but ARMA(1,1) minimized both the AIC and BIC.)

let me help. rate of sea level rise increasing.

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

I am neither homophobic or transphobic, nor do I rant. I do, however, disagree with you about politics. Cease your libel. [Lonny Eachus, 2016-06-13]

Even Claudia Taake recognizes that you rant, Lonny. And of course you can't recognize that your rants are homophobic. You couldn't even recognize that this blatantly homophobic rant was homophobic! And you'll never be able to admit that this is homophobic, along with this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and

Perhaps you would like to rebut the Royal Society paper, that shows a DECREASE in wildfires last decades/centuries [Les Johnson, 2016-06-13]

Wow. One of Lonny Eachus's fellow travellers completely ignores everything I wrote. What a complete surprise!

Again, as I pointed out, land clearing fires decreased (among other factors involving direct human intervention). From that Royal Society paper:

"... During the first half century, the global average area burned decreased somewhat by about 7% [41]. This was largely attributed to human factors, such as increased fire prevention, detection and fire-fighting efficiency, abandonment of slash-and-burn cultivation in some areas and permanent agricultural practice in others. ..."

So that paper explicitly includes "slash-and-burn cultivation" in the decreasing total area burned. Which is exactly what I told you earlier. That paper is examining all fires, both wildfires and intentional burns. Notice that they're examining charcoal records and isotope-ratio records in ice cores? Those records necessarily include intentional burns, like the "staggering amounts" of land clearing fires that occurred just in the USA over the last century. Ice core and charcoal records can't distinguish wildfires from intentional burns, but when Doerr and Santin use statistics that can tell the difference, the results aren't quite what Les Johnson is implying:

"... the widely reported increase in area burned for the USA [42] and particularly the western USA in recent decades [43–46]. ... according to national statistics for the USA, while area burned by prescribed fire has changed little overall since reporting began in 1998 (10 year average: 8853 km2), area burned by wildfires has seen an overall strong trend of increase by over 5%/yr over the period 1991–2015, with 2015 exceeding 40 000 km2 burned for the first time during the past 25 years (figure 3). This increase has been accompanied by an overall decline in the number of fires (figure 3). This suggests a general trend of fewer, but larger wildfires, which is also highlighted for forests in the western USA by Westerling for the period 1983–2012 [46]. ..."

So Doerr and Santin are actually saying that wildfires are burning more area in the western USA in recent decades. That's exactly what I said in 2012. And note that Doerr and Santin say "These statistics need to be viewed with some caution when examining trends as annual reporting methods and biases have undergone changes over time [47]."

Doerr and Santin reference 47 is Short 2015, which says:

"... Intentional ('controlled') burning was used extensively for vegetation management on nonfederal lands, especially in the south-eastern US during the early 20th century. Although now used to a lesser extent (but on both federal and non-federal lands) in the US, intentional burning is not classified in the current reporting systems as 'wildfire' unless the controlled burn escapes and requires a suppression response. However, the early USFS wildfire activity summaries do include millions of hectares of intentional burning on 'unprotected' lands, which, until approximately the mid-20th century was viewed by the USFS as akin to wildfire, as something that should be prevented and ultimately eradicated (Pyne 1982). Controlled burning was accepted as a viable landmanagement practice over time and persists to this day (Melvin 2012); however, statistics regarding its use have not been included in summaries of 'wildfire' activity for several decades. ..."

That's why I objected when Tom Nelson and Lonny Eachus and