Ralph Nader Back On The Florida Ballot
Makoto916 writes "It's official. The Florida State Supreme court has ruled in favor of 3rd party candidate Ralph Nader. He is now back on the ballot, and just in time since absentee ballots were to be mailed out tomorrow (Saturday). This is certainly a victory for those of us who believe that the country is better off when alternative political voices aren't suppressed."
Lemme guess, you're Republican and want Bush to win Florida?
It doesn't make much of a difference in any case. It's looking like Bush will win Florida with or without Nader on the ballot. The only difference is possibly by how much. Still, we have a month and a half until the election, so anything goes.
US businesses that currently accept chip and PIN/signature
I don't think that not being on the ballot means your political voice is being suppressed. Plenty of people don't make it onto the ballot, but they are still free to express their ideas.
GMail invites for completed freeipods.com of
ok, i don't know shit about American politics apart from my half-arsed following of newspapers but isn't this going to take votes away from Kerry? i.e. it's a move to hurt democrats not help democracy. this is bad, i want Kerry to win and save the world see. i could well be talking from my rear here, as i'm sure i'll soon find out. (ignore my sig, it's out of place on this thread).
This is my Sig, this is my Gun. One is for Slashdot and one is for Fun.
This is certainly a victory for those of us who believe that the country is better off when alternative political voices aren't suppressed.
Are you fucking kidding me? Sure cause Nader (a.k.a. republican henchman for hire) getting on the ballot means only that this is good for third party options. Please, be real. This is good if you like invading other countries and killing tons of arabs. Other than that i dont see the great benefit.
the truth is that the US has a presidential system that given the size of the US makes it extremely dificult to have more than two parties. It just takes too much money to run an effective campaign. If this were a parliamentary system there would be more parties representing more interests, but with a winner take all presidential system the third party will prety much be relegated to be a spoiler and not much else.
Again as a gladly non-US voter this discussion amazes me.
.. have a read ..
If you really want a victory for alternative policical voices then push hard and jump and down for a democratic preferential voting system. This way you could have 10 or more candidates and the person that was ultimately most popular would win - not the person that splits the least number of votes.
If you had a preferential voting system then you might be discussing the merits of a first vote for Nader instead of worrying about loosing a vote by voting for him. Your second and third votes may be the ones that ultimately count.
As an Australian voter, where everything is Preferential, I cannot imagine having to use such an archaic "First Past the Post" system as they use in the US. I am also amazed there is not a major movement for change there.
If you don't know what a preferential voting system is
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preferential_voting/
I once sort of respected Nader (pre 2000), even though I didn't agree with him. Now I am shocked at how low he has sunk. Not only is he taking in tons of money from the Republican Party, and letting them run ads for him, knowing full well that they are using him to as a tool against the Dems., but now he is running on the freaking Reform platform to get on the ticket after the Greens dropped him. How anyone can imagine Nader to be a progressive while he is cozying up with a the party of a racist neanderthal like Pat Buchanan is beyond me.
I don't see how he could get any votes now - he has spit in the face of anyone on the left by courting the worst on the right, but nobody but those on the left could stomach like his views.
Hyperbole is the worst thing ever.
It is good to have two parties with two center seeking candidates that appear indistinguishable from each other, and split the vote evenly between them. It is good if everything congress can agree on has already been passed into law, and everything else before congress is gridlocked. Agreement on a quantity (taxes, spending, etc.) is when exactly half think the quantity is to high, and the other half thinks it is too low. Some people see our two party winner take all system as dysfunctional, when it is really mature democracy near equilibrium. 3rd parties, bipartisan agreement, and a widely varied candidate positions is really disequilibrium.
It looked like we were close to equilibrium in 2000. The problem was that both candidates and the center were all disastrously wrong on counter-terrorism policy before 9/11. And when congress was unanimous after 9/11, it was only because we were disastrously wrong before, not that there was any new sense of cooperation after.
Of course, everyone would like it if the "center" was closer to their own views. But that is what contributions, lobbying, and political action is for. Everyone can be a special interest, all you have to do is open your checkbook or write your representatives.
3rd parties would be more effective as lobbies or think tanks. CATO is more effective at moving the center than the libertarian party, and environmental lobbies are more effective than the green party.
Remember California's vote distribution analysis by nerds? How it uncovered criminal migration of Democratic votes to third parties?
With Nadar on the ballot it will be easier to redirect Kerry votes after the polls close in the boiler room state.
It must be a great personal burden, being the worst pResident ever.
There will be crooks and rumors of crooks.
...for the Republican party.
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Jebus! It's like a whore's drawers... first he's on, then he's off, then he's on again.
The US electoral system is teh funnys.
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Don't like it? Respond with words, not karma.
I'll go ahead and burn some karma here...
Isn't it a little peculiar that the Democrats are fighting tooth and nail to keep somebody off the ballot, but yet this gets little to no coverage in the mainstream media? However, can you imagine the shock and revolt the Democrats would spew out if the Republicans were trying to keep a candidate off the ballot?
Now I'm sure the Republicans would indeed do the same thing under similar circumstances, my point here is about the coverage. If Republicans do it, it's evil and it needs to be on the front page. If the Democrats do it, then it's just good ol' fashion politics, nothing to see here folks.
Flame away.
Quidquid latine dictum sit, altum viditur
Good for democracy.
The votes belong to the voters, not the candidates.
Anybody who wants to vote for Ralph Nader can damn well vote for Ralph Nader, and anybody who doesn't want to, doesn't have to. I think all the prospective Nader voters have been exposed to enough advertising and history by now to make up their own minds whether they prefer "vote for what you really want" or "vote for lesser evil".
Regarding that "a vote for Nader is a vote for Bush" meme goes -- that sounds uncomfortably similar to President Bush's statement: "if you're not with us you're against us."
One thing that Nader voters can do is pair up. In the last election, Nader Traders paired up Nader voters in swing states with Gore voters in non-swing states. The Nader Traders are back in action this election.
There's another kind of pairing: if you really want to vote for Nader, but don't want Bush to win, go find somebody who really hates Bush but doesn't want Kerry to win. Make a deal: "I won't vote for Kerry if you won't vote for Bush." Then you go vote for Nader or Cobb, and your buddy votes for Badnarik or Peroutka. The major party outcome is unaffected, and you both vote for the candidate you really wanted -- which helps build the party you really want.
I like it when Congress and the President are of different parties.
And I like it even more when the media and the President are of different parties.
Democratic president? Gimme talk radio and bloggers.
Republican president? nytimes.com will yell "emperor has no clothes!" every day for four years.
"This basis of our government being the opinion of the people, the very first object should be to keep that right; and were it left to me to decided whether we should have a government without newspapers, or newspapers without a government, I should not hesitate a moment to prefer the latter." -- Thomas Jefferson
Here is a question I am wondering about. Right now in the US there is a duopoly. The Repub. and Demo. have like 95% of the votes total. Even the most "lopsided" states might only give them 80%.
Because of past elections and the way people work enough people will still vote Republicrat to render the chance of an independent win zero. Through positive reinforcement that makes people vote for Republicrats.
As has been determined this year third party candidates and even primary opponents won't affect the views of Bush and Kerry. Kerry, and Bush for that matter, went even more to the right since the primary and are now quite similar. That makes a third party chance even smaller. People always say that it isn't really throwing your vote away but it won't change anything. Third parties still won't get matching funds or enough to get a chance of winning even years down the line. They won't win nor change the opinions of the ones who do. It sounds good as a protest vote but since voting is hidden it does very little. It would be better to write a letter to a candidate who might win rather than vote for a pointless person.
Especially with swing states they really do take votes away from the 2 main people. Can someone tell me what the difference is between voting "none of the above", i.e. not voting, and voting for a third party who won't do anything? In an extremely biased state like NY it's even less important that a swing state. Nothing I do here will change the outcome or the future except for the added value of 1 to the vote tally.
If there was a different system like approval or even less people per rep then it might matter but with 10 million people to compete against, 9 million who will vote for Bush/Kerry in NY a third party seems pointless.
Now before I get flamed for saying I won't vote, for the reason above, I want a reason that refutes my points above. I think of my non voting as a protest vote but easier since there is no real way to do that. I am registered and voted before but in a president election it doesn't seem to do anything.
You can think of it with this analogy. Let's say there is a park with 100 pieces of litter. But if 49 or less pieces are picked up it will act like none were. If 51 or more then all would seem to be. Unlike real litter picking voting acts more like this warped version. In real enviromentalism "even a little bit helps." But in this warped version if it is gauranteed that 70% still won't get picked up then it doesn't help at all, different than the way it really and should work.
A site here: http://www.strange-loops.com/politicsvoting.html helps explain it.
P.S. Remember in president election 49% of the people might not be represented at all.
Why don't you guys have friends or journals?
It's very simple. Being on the ballot in a state provides you with the ability to receive officially tallied votes which in turn may qualify you for state and/or federal funding in future elections. It's critically important for any candidate to receive official ballot status for this, and many other reasons.
People, it's not an issue of electability. Everyone knows full well that Nader isn't going to win. Even I know that, and I'm still voting for him. You are NOT throwing away a vote by giving it to a 3rd party candidate. You are validating that candidate's platform, and providing them with the ability to influence government with their policy.
A perfect example is Ross Perot in '96 who garnered something like 19% of the US popular vote. If you don't think that influenced policy of the Clinton administration then I've got a harsh reality check for you.
Please understand that 3rd parties are just as much a vital part of this countries political process as the two primary parties are. You don't have to believe their message, but you should still support free political speed no matter what. Any candidate (such as Kerry) that seeks to suppress the political process by surreptitiously removing other qualified candidates through legal technicalities is nothing more than a totalitarian prick who obviously doesn't understand or believe in the freeness of our system. I don't think there can be anything more un-American than this kind of back-stabbing, vote-robbing action.
Nader often says, half-seriously, that the Republicans and the Democrats are the same, corporate party. Before you dismiss him as glib, or an idiot, think about it. The two parties have what seems to be a gentleman's agreement to watch each other's back. Together, they run the debate commission and keep third parties out. They both oppose instant run-off voting, or fusion.s h_camp_err_on_.shtml Here they're trying to keep Nader off the Florida ballot because they fear he'll swing the state to Bush, but the Democrats here have a chance to try to get Bush himself off the ballot, and they won't take it...
And how about this? Bush might have missed the deadline to get on the Florida ballot! Read it yourself: http://sptimes.com/2004/09/11/Decision2004/Did_Bu
Americans:
I'm voting third party, and you should too if you care one whit for the democratic process or the future of this country.
"A vote for Nader is a vote for Bush!"
"Vote for the lesser evil."
"Don't throw your vote away."
and the even more misleading: "It isn't throwing your vote away, but it won't change anything."
are all memes I've grown to hate. They all completely miss the point. Vote for the man you want for the job. PERIOD. Because one day, a non-Republicrat WILL WIN.
I'm voting third party, at the encouragement of I.F. Stone, who tells me:
"The only kinds of fights worth fighting are those you are going to lose, because somebody has to fight them and lose and lose and lose until someday, somebody who believes as you do wins. In order for somebody to win an important, major fight 100 years hence, a lot of other people have got to be willing--for the sheer fun and joy of it--to go right ahead and fight, knowing you're going to lose. You mustn't feel like a martyr. You've got to enjoy it."
I'm voting third party because Bush and Kerry are exactly the same damned thing. And I am not going to let either head of the Republicrat media hydra turn me, or anyone who will listen to me, into some marionette to be tugged about by the memory of 9/11/01.
I'm voting third party because it's the only way I can leave that booth this November without the guilty weight of a near-decade of gratuitous bloodshed heaped upon my heart.
I have suspicions about what things will be like with four more years of these country club politicians. But getting to say "I told you so" is just not worth it this time.
What is most important in a voting system ?
1. That the result satisfy most of the voters.
2. That it is easy to understand the counting procedure.
Bush WILL win.
Again.
Not cause people want him, but cause of BS stuff like this.
Which, will in turn start a social riot, which in turn will make the gov take MORE of our freedoms away.
Watch.
It will happen.
I think its written in some old book called the b!bl3 or something.
In Illinois, the Democrats control the state government and recently changed the law to allow Bush on the ballot. According to state law, the Republican convention must be held before Sept. 1. The Republican convention was on Sept. 3rd, so it was later than it needed to be to legally allow President Bush to appear on the ballot in Illinois. The Illinois Democratic Party response: Change the law by altering the deadline so that the Republican convention would be within the new deadline (Senate Bill 2123). The Pantagraph published an article about this on June 29, 2004, the first few sentences of which you can find online. State Rep. Bill Mitchell (R-Forsyth) was quoted as saying "The bottom line is people should be able to vote on the President of the United States and voice their opinion on him." and Democratic Party Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich concurs. But what goes unmentioned is how this need to vote for a candidate does not extend to third parties or independents.
Nationally, the two major corporate parties know when to get along as well. Some readers may recall that the official-sounding (but privately-owned) "Commission on Public Debates" which hosts the presidential debates (taking that away from the League of Women Voters) is owned by the RNC, the DLC, and a few of their mutual corporate friends. These debates excluded Nader and Buchanan in 2000 despite a majority of the country wanting to see them in the debates. They were excluded by setting the barrier to entry high (15% interest level in pre-debate polls) and (as Nader points out in his book "Crashing the Party") gathering poll data from corporate-run news agencies friendly to the cause of third-party exclusion. This year, there is a movement to provide a more reasonable set of debates but Sen. Kerry and Pres. Bush are contractually bound to their CPD debates and will probably not appear in any Open Debate-run debate.
If the Democrats spent as much time opposing the Republicans as they spend opposing competitive third parties (like the Greens) and independents (such as Ralph Nader this election year), the Democrats would probably be a different party. Illinois is not a contested state, it is a "safe seat" for Kerry.
Digital Citizen
Read Counterpunch articles on Ralph Nader. They've recently published articles on these issues and frame the debate in a more balanced way by examining where the Democrats and Republicans are getting their money from (as well as differentiating between what individual citizens do versus what political parties do, and looking at how much money was collected from various sources for Nader and the two dominant parties), and recognizing that you can't control who runs ads criticizing you or your opponents, as well as examining how the Greens came to arrive at their nomination of David Cobb and Pat LaMarche over Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo.
Not that I'm saying you're an Anyone But Bush supporter (which I don't know if you are), but I would think this is something the ABB crowd could appreciate (and this is taking your critique at face value) -- swallowing something bad for a greater good. I don't think most Democratic Party voters actually like Kerry; the delegates disagree with him on some major points of policy, but they plan to vote for him to get Bush out of office. Similarly, if you believe Reform Party endorsement to be bad, consider that Reform Party endorsement gets Nader/Camejo on the ballot in some states and that means a lot when one is trying to push for democratic (small-d) electoral reforms as Nader/Camejo clearly are. I'm sure Nader realizes more than anyone posting to this website what immense barriers his campaign faces and how slim his chances are of winning. He wrote a book about the need for structural electoral reform a few years ago called "Crashing the Party" when he was endorsed by the Green Party. But we shouldn't push out people who have such a fight ahead of them. Not only would that have denied some victories (like Jesse Ventura's in Minnesota) but it would say that democracy is only for the two parties who already have a lock on the system.
Digital Citizen
Nader thinks forcing the Democrats to the left is more important than letting them gain centrist control of the government. That's why he claims that Republican and Democrat candidates are the same: they both represent corporations. He's wrong, and he's taking us with him. He'd have the influence he seeks if he just concentrated his campaign on winning even a handful of electoral votes somewhere in the country, and then instructing those electors to vote for Kerry after the polls closed. If he put Kerry over the top, they'd have to deal with him. Especially as those electors would represent some people who voted for Bush, but scored for Kerry. Instead he's destroying the village in order to save it - good policy when you're helping Bush win.
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make install -not war
Simulation Of Various Voting Models for Close Elections
Here is the conclusion, I would like to have included the graphs but it don't seem to be possible.
Conclusions
Traditional One Vote was reliably the worst performer, and it should be sacked.
IRV is only barely better than present methods. I believe that the flaw is in that it is still based initially on the present method of only counting one vote from every person. Although it can solve some fractured electorate problems it is still very limited and unexpressive.
Acceptance Voting, while collecting less data then IRV, processes all that data at once to better match the will of the people. It is also simpler to implement and explain to a real electorate.
Condorcet voting, while not the top performer, had a uniquely better response to error in the voters. For this it deserves further study.
Ranked Voting collects the same data as IRV but uses it to better effect because the overall will of the voters is considered at once. The variant where no points are awarded to disliked candidates does not actually aid the voter. That variant is just throwing away data, and if a voter doesn't get a desired candidate they have no influence to get a lesser evil.
The various Rated Voting systems reliably got the highest happiness results. Unfortunately it would require relatively complicated or expensive, almost necessarily computerized, voting equipment. I'm imagining a GUI with a slider next to each candidate's name and image.
Fortunately, ``Rated 1..N'' and 1..10 don't have that problem and get results often identical to and always at least very close to pure Rated Voting.
Based on these findings Acceptance Voting or Rated Voting should be put into practice immediately. Acceptance Voting may be the easiest to implement with present equipment. The IRV advocacy sites I saw claimed that more and more voting equipment was capable of collecting IRV-type candidate rankings, but if such rankings can be collected, Rated Voting should be applied to the data.
An interesting trend in Max Happiness: it increases with more candidates. In a field of otherwise undifferentiated candidates, when there are more candidates there is a better chance that there will be one candidate that more people will agree on preferring. This may be the most important reason to break away from the One Vote system to a system that doesn't punish the voters for the existence of many choices.
If the system is broken all what you do is also broken from the start.
There are several ways to fix this (in many countries you have a second round vote between the most popular candidates in case nobody obtains 50% + 1 votes). But as long as you have the archaic, undemocratic electoral college system of indiret election, the participants will have to do this and more in order to advance their cause.
IANAL but write like a drunk one.
People voting for 3rd parties clearly believe is on the best interest of their country.
Your political gymnastics are amusing but stupid.
IANAL but write like a drunk one.
... if the US electoral system is completely and utterly broken.
Perhaps people will come to realize this thanks to his and other candidates efforts.
IANAL but write like a drunk one.
Washington Post made a kill today, they said that
"American voters aren't stupid", what were they thinking..
After the SC rules that he must not be put on the ballot for at least two different reasons, Jeb goes and replaces people on his Court, so that they will fix the decision his way.
Good going, the good ole' boys still know how to rig it up!
"Champagne for my real friends - and real pain for my sham friends!" http://ericblade.postalboard.com/
On the other hand, the Hispanics in La Raza are indeed racists.
...and that's why we need approval voting, or some similar system. (Yeah, I know I'm being redundant)
-jim
This is certainly a victory for those of us who believe that the country is better off when alternative political voices aren't suppressed.
This is true. Although I(and many) are certain that Nader dosen't have a snowman's chance in hell of winning, it's good to see that he will at least appear as an option on the ballot. Now if we could really get those "alternative ideas" into office, we might be getting somewhere.
The Greens don't want him any more, right? He's the Reform Party candidate in Florida. So supposedly we're to vote for him because for these last however many years he's been building some kind of coalition --between the Greens and the Reform Party???!!-- a powerful grassroots movement that the major parties will not be able to ignore.
What progress has he made?
We also need more third party inclusion in the "debates". Right now we don't have real debates, we have a "commission" run by the Republicrats that deliberately excludes third party candidates.
Jim Lynch
Tech Analyst and Community Manager
That forcast, while possible, is not blindingly obvious one way or another to me, yet. Unless you're one of those assuming that George's brother figured out how to rig it last time, and will figure it out again?
//Information does not want to be free; it wants to breed.
I am not a Nader supporter, Bush or Kerry are far better choices than Nader IMHO. However Nader should have his shot just like anyone else. The whole idea that Nader screwed Gore or will screw Kerry is bulls**t. Nader has said a lot of screwy things but one thing he has right is that Gore/Kerry are not entitled to any democratic party member's vote. They have to earn it. If Gore/Kerry can not get the vote of a person who is inherently inclined to favor them then that is their own damn fault. Blaming Nader is just a pathetic attempt to blame someone else for their own failures and shortcomings. Of course what else should we expect from career politicians.
It is also better for those candidates who are quite removed in their platforms from Nader's positions as well as bad for those nearby his agenda -- for it is the latter's constituency that will be diluted by his entry in the race.
-- @rjamestaylor on Ello
this sums it up nicely from the candiate himself:
Nader said Democrats should blame themselves if they are unable to beat President Bush because they are not focusing on the real issues that people care about. He cited as examples universal health care, creating a living family wage and ending the war in Iraq.
``If the Democrats cannot landslide the worst Republican administration in the 20th century they better look at themselves,'' said Nader.
ABQjournal
Comment removed based on user account deletion
Lemme guess, you're Republican and want Bush to win Florida?
Nader has made it onto the ballot here in Wisconsin also (where the polls indicate a very close race), but he is running as an independent here. Unfortunetly, many people seem to have missed that detail and will likely vote for him with the idea that they are voting for a third party candidate, trying to push the numbers up to the that all-important 5 percent needed to reach *real* party status. I've already personally talked to two people who were planning to vote Nader under that misconception.
Don't get me wrong, I'm all for third party and independent candidates... I've often voted that way in the past. I just think it is important people really know what they are voting for.
The Bolachek Journals
http://www.vote-smart.org/
This is an extraordinary website. I admittedly worked for them at one point. But this site has absolutely NO SPIN!!
Check it out and see for yourselves voters.
I'm here for the experience, not the Hyperbole.
No Text
"...Republicans would indeed do the same thing under similar circumstances"
That seems like an attempt to achieve political neutrality by conterbalancing your anti-Democrat statements. It is not an actual fact which you have supported with evidence; You gave none.
Republicans did not try to keep Ross Perot off the ballot in '92. Now, that is not proof that they would not attempt to block a third-party candidate in the future, under other circumstances. However, it is the most closely related historical parallel, and arguably the best evidence we have for predicting how Republicans would recieve competing third-party candidates in the future. Should we try to predict future actions on that basis of past behavior or just rely on proof by assertion?
"Flame away"
How cleverly impolite. Preemtively disparage comments critical of your own statements by implying that all subsequent discusssion is flamage.
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
Bush's "if you're not with us you're against us" fearmongering is nonsense because the binary choice he promotes is purely imaginary. There are lots of nuances, with "with", "us", and "against" all much more complex than his playground bully talk. But unfortunately, this November there will be several false options on the ballot that will do little other than reduce the pool of people who are deciding between Bush and Kerry. Bush's campaign is run by the most brilliant evil rules geniuses ever. If you don't vote for Kerry, you're letting Bush win. Your vote doesn't oblige you to like Kerry, or anything else except acknowledge him as president when he wins. If you really support a third party, join the chorus of Democrats working within their party to change the Electoral College system, and really take a stand by contributing time and/or money to a third party in local elections where they can actually win. Otherwise your idealistic gesture is just a token gesture, and dooms you to live under the most antidemocratic president we've ever had.
Staying on the "realism" note, I'd say that anyone still voting for Bush after all the evidence of his catastrophic reign has drunk the koolaid. Any Bushie who'd take me up on a "pairing" offer, I'd trust them only to vote for Bush at the polls anyway, turning neutralization of their vote into two votes for Bush.
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make install -not war
I've written an editorial on this at my political website (please visit it!)
Hurricane Nader Hits Florida
CNN reported in the wee hours of the morning today that a Florida Supreme Court decision has confirmed Ralph Nader's spot on the sunshine state's ballot.
I'm not quite sure who I'm more ashamed of, the Democrats or the Republicans. The Democrats have fought Nader's appearance on the ballot every step of the way. They claimed his party had been defunct in the state of Florida for many years, which would require him to gather signatures in order to appear on the ballot. The Dems are only backing off now after the court handed down its decision. They know that it will be close to impossible to win over Florida with Nader on the ballot.
The Republicans are equally as horrid and self serving. Nader's views are against both major parties but moreso against the Republicans. It doesn't take a political analyst to realize they only want Nader because he'll take away FAR more votes from the Democrats than the GOP. This story isn't restricted to Florida, either. The same can be said for many states, including Ohio and Oregon.
But what on earth is Ralph Nader trying to prove? Surely he want's Bush out of the Whitehouse and surely he knows that he couldn't possibly be the one to do it.Hope may spring eternal in Naderland but he's not an idiot. Kevin Zeese, a spokesman for Nader's Campaign said to CNN: "We hope Democrats engage on issues and stop anti-democratic efforts to prevent voters from having a choice."The key here is engaging the Democrats.While Nader has no real chance of getting into the Witehouse, he can ensure that some of his key issues do.By forcing himself onto the ballot in battleground states, Nader is essentially forcing the Dems to adopt some of his agenda in order to win back some of the votes he'd otherwise take from them.
As Nader sees it, he doesn't need to become president to change the country. Now let's just hope Kerry decides not to play hardball and his plan works.
Ross Fucking Perot....
(vengance is sweet....assholes....)
You are not seeing the forest. The election turned on 500 votes in Florida. That is not Nader's fault. The Dems who made the butterfly ballot had a greater effect. There are many other things that had a greater effect. Dems are cherry picking one small thing that went against them and are trying to unfairly blame it all on Nader. The greatest thing that went wrong for Gore was the Gore campaign. The fact that the election was so close that statistical error and noise decided the election is entirely his fault, his failing. I'm sorry, the folks with their head in the sand are those picking one element of that noise and laying blame. Those with their heads up are those that blame Gore.
Your so busy looking for the forest, you've run smack into the tree right in front of you. Odd that you use the 'noise' example, in networking signal noise is a reality that must be minimized, so then you are saying that Nader should have been minimized?
Sure the butterfly ballot had problems, but it wasn't nearly the 100,000 votes which Nader got. It's also not like the Democrats are 'only blaming Nader' like you seem to say; Supreme Court, Fl election comm, Harris, themselves,etc, as well as Nader, are all acknowledged reasons why they lost. Ralph "the Spin Doctor" Nader would like you to believe that he had nothing to do with Bush being president, and that he is unfairly being singled out as the 'only reason', but the simple fact is that if less than 1% of the Nader voters voted for Gore in FL, Gore would now be looking for a second term (most likely) vs. about 800 for the 'hanging chad counts'. However that did not happen, and now we have "chosen by God" Bush the 43rd, who is looking for a second term. Kerry could be running a better campain, but does Nader really want Bush again. Hell, he has to find it odd that Bush supporters are signing him up for races in close states.
Nader, WAKE UP AND SMELL THE FREAKING COFFEE.
If Nader had any interest in public office, he could have tried to pick up a congressional seat (a House seat would be a piece of cake for him), but instead he strokes his ego with another presidential campain, another turn as the pied piper leading left leaning away from the only man close to their views who has any real chance of being president.
The grass is only greener, if you don't take care of your own lawn.
Again, Nader, chads, butterfly's, etc. All trivia. The problem was Gore. It is Gore's fault that he ran such a poor election campaign that the election was essentially a tie, actually I guess that is just as much Bush's fault. You can fantasize all you want about 1% of Nader supporters voting for Gore, last I heard 2000 Nader supporters were 25% Dem-leaning, 25% Rep-leaning, 50% unlikely to vote, no one really knows what would have happened. Nader was also a pretty weak 3rd party candidate. Other recent Presidents overcame far more threatening 3rd party candidates. Which leads me to ...
... He only got over half the votes ...
... and now we have "chosen by God" Bush ...
Actually I do not think any president since Reagan had half the votes, Bush, Clinton, Clinton, Bush, all were elected with popular minorities.
Actually Bush won according to the rules set prior to election day. Even the local newspapers in Florida admitted that when they did their own recount.
"It's just like Letterman's Top 10 List".
See, easy.
My God, it's Full of Source!
OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
This almost certainly is my last post of this thread. You must be a Green Party member (at least simpethetic), you dislike Nader now, but hold to the same story (the 'green party' line of 2000). I understand the anger, ...
The only anger in this thread is yours. I am not a green, I have never supported Nader. I am an independent who has voted for both Democrats and Republicans, whoever I thought would do the better job. Nader was never one of those. Reread your posts, you are in denial over Gore's failure and desparately want a scapegoat, Nader is merely the most politically expedient, he is also the most therapeutic for the overly angry and obsessed since he is the one scapegoat that "vengence" can be taken upon.
That 'god-given mandate' is the scariest thing about Bush.
That is a minority lunatic fringe opinion even in the Republican party. Your exaggeration is pathological, if you are not a Democratic party operative/volunteer you need quite a bit more exposure to the real world, layoff the James Carville on CNN. If you are an operative/volunteer dial it back a little, you have blown your credibility.
playing "what ifs..." is hard and usually pointless. "What if Gore had a better campaign", "What if Gore was President on Sept 11?", "What if {blah, blah, blah}". Mostly because it's hard to understand cause and effect when talking in such broad terms. You keep saying that Nader had no effect on the 2000 election. You won't even commit to saying that there is even a chance. However, statistical analysis tells a different story. Weather forcasting, Hurricane projections, crop yield, even the amount of cereal dropped into a package are all subject to statistical analysis. It's been far too long since, I've done a proper statisical analysis of any data, but I don't believe that it takes a genius to understand that if less than one half of one percent of Florida Nader voters voted for Gore, the results would have been different. Even Nader thinks that 38% of his voters would have choosen Gore (vs. 25% for Bush and the rest non voting).
You most likely are correct that Gore could have run a better campaign, I can't say how statistically (too many variables over too long a time), but I can say that because of the small numbers, even a relatively weak third party canidate, which Nader was and is, did and does have an effect on the 2000 and the 2004 elections. It looks like it will be another 'photo-finish' election, and even a tick on one the horse's backside may decide the winner of the race.
But I am falling back to the same statements that I have gone over before. Personally, I wish that the 2000 election was McCain v. [someone else],
Wow now that's rude. What's so pathological about being worried about someone who believes that they can do no wrong because God is on their side, which is a simular view point of the madmen who attacked the WTC. Now hold it, I am not trying to make Bush into Bin Laden, there are many differences. More Google results I don't say the Gore could have done anything differently, I dont' say that "it all Nader's fault", I believe that Gore made some serious mistakes in the 2000 election, and in hindsight he probally wasn't the best canidate in general, but that is very subjective. The only items that easily lends itself to anaylsis is the actual vote count of the election, and I believe that to ignore the results wholesale (such as your posts clearly want) is denial. Analysis of past events is important to understanding the effects in the future. I guess that what I am trying to say in the end is...If you want Bush to say in office for "4 more Years!", vote for Nader in 2004 (at least in the swing states). I am certainly not the only one who believe that because, Republican operatives in those states have been busy signing him up.
No I am not a "political operative" of any sort.
The grass is only greener, if you don't take care of your own lawn.
You keep saying that Nader had no effect on the 2000 election. You won't even commit to saying that there is even a chance.
You have fundamentally misunderstood my first post and the followups. My point is that the election was so close that it was essentially a tie and decided by "noise". Any single element of "noise" including Nader is insignificant compared to the far larger factor, the Gore campaign. Nader may have been the straw that broke the camel's back but focusing on that straw and ignoring the heavy log that was loaded beforehand is silly. Nader is however a very convenient scapegoat for those who refuse to lay blame on the primary culprits and engineers of defeat, Gore and his campaign management, the "log". I blame the heavy log, you blame one of the straws. So be it.
You are not seeing the forest. The election turned on 500 votes in Florida.
False. Gore only lost by 500 votes- but Nader got 90,000 votes! If Nader hadn't been running, and his supporters had only a slight preference to Democrats, then Gore would've won. Plus, Nader cost Gore the election in New Hampshire too.
The fact that the election was so close that statistical error and noise decided the election is entirely his fault, his failing.
False. Elections being completely close is the natural advance of technology. As polling becomes faster and more accurate and each party's planners have increasingly better predictive power, they stablize towards exactly equal division.
It is the age of Spoilers. The 2000 election was completely determined by Nader. The 1992 election was completely determined by Ross Perot.
The Third Party candidates that I know about are Michael Badnarik (L) and Michael Peroutka (C)
"Politicians always tell the truth, when they're calling each other liars."
I believe that minimizing the noise from Nader was one of Gore's campaign issues, hence part of your imaginary "log". The real irony with that example is 'there is no log', the camel story is about a pile of straw, with the last straw being the one to break it's back. You seem to want to wrap all of the other straw up into one issue. Then you try to compare that straw to your accumuated log and ignore that I believe is one fat straw (a smaller straw would be the rolling of the eyes during a cut away in one of the debates), however, I will acknowledge that there are many fatter straws (VP choice, who still ran for his Senate seat) , and most likely a couple of lead pipes (hiding Clinton away).
I believe you are doing is pulling the battery out of a car and saying that it is insignifcant when compared to the car.
The grass is only greener, if you don't take care of your own lawn.
I saw Nader on Lou Dobbs last night. Basicly his point was: " [paraphrasing] The Democrats lost %10 of their votes to the Republican party, so to gain those votes back they need to join me in the far left, or I'll take the last 2 or 3 percent advantage they have over the Republicans".
The grass is only greener, if you don't take care of your own lawn.