Why It's Not Business As Usual For Microsoft
CWmike sends along a Computerworld article that begins "Bill Gates will be leaving Microsoft for good at the end of the month and Microsoft would have you believe that it will be business as usual for Microsoft. I understand they also have a great bridge between Manhattan and Brooklyn that they'd like to sell you. Cheap! Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols lays out the reasons it ain't biz as usual. 1) [and there are four more] You can't replace genius. Steve Ballmer is moving into the top slot, but I've met Bill Gates, and Steve Ballmer is no Bill Gates. He's a big, bouncy sales guy. Can't you just see Ballmer selling used cars on a local TV ad spot? Instead of running around a stage shouting: "Developers! Developers!" just visualize him running around a car lot shouting, "Cars! Cars!" I find it far too easy to do just that. This is the man who's going to replace Bill Gates? I don't think so. Besides, he already has a track record as acting head of the company, and it's lousy. Fire Ballmer now, why wait for him to fall on his face?"
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He makes some good points, but he also says that he thinks Firefox 3 will overtake IE8 by the end of the year, which is interesting being that they only project it to hit 20% next month.
Bill Gates, Steve Jobs and Linus were the last of IT's golden age of "Big Men". Whether you agreed with their interpretations of the future of technology or not, they have each had a framing effect on our tastes and choices. Love or hate Bill, he was larger than life and IT as a field will be poorer for his departure. My favourite story learning programming in the early 90's was that Bill Gates turned up to a conference both in classic Star Trek uniform and with Vulcan ears. That kind of stuff doesnt happen much anymore.
The MyTh - I am a figment of the Imagination - [Im Probably even not here]
Ballmer makes it easy to hate Microsoft.
...but you can sure as hell fake it, if you can sell someone else's OS to a big company before they realise you didn't actually own it.
You give Gates far too much credit. He is a ruthless opportunist with an extremely privileged background. He is no computer industry prognosticator - even leaving aside the "640k" mis-attribution. It's his obsessive-copmpulsive drive to control that got Microsoft anywhere, not his industry insight.
I think it would be a very good idea for 'Star-of-the-Office-Steve' to hold his new post for as long as possible. As a result Apple, Linux and other open source platforms will have the best possible environment for growth. It's all good!