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Project Icarus: an Interstellar Mission Timeline

astroengine writes "What would the infrastructure supporting an interstellar mission look like? Considerations such as fuel sources, mining methods, interstellar spaceship construction activities and maintenance are being analyzed, all of which would be carried out before even reaching the ultimate interstellar goal. Project Icarus is currently unravelling the complexities of this operation and recently created a nifty animation of how one of the many fuel tanks may be recycled as communication relay pods en route to nearby stars."

265 comments

  1. choice of words... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Project Icarus is currently unravelling

    Oh well, at least you misspelled unraveling.

    1. Re:choice of words... by mrsquid0 · · Score: 1

      No, he did not.

      --
      Just because you are paranoid does not mean that no-one is out to get you.
  2. Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Jonah+Hex · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Unless the Human Race spreads to other worlds, systems, and galaxies, we are dead as a species. The Universe is littered with the remains of races who never escaped their home solar system.

    Wild Speculation provided by: HEX

    1. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spaceplanesfan · · Score: 1

      I am sure you will be called a space nut, and I am sure I will be called such too.
      But yet, I agree that we need to explore the universe. Its is our only way to understand it.
      I am not sure that we need to worry about our rock for now, rather we need to worry about preserving it.
      So its not about an escape from the earth, its more about escape from the information cage we are in.
      We are like ants, and know our ant house very well, but nothing beyond that.

    2. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to escape a lot to be able to survive space exploration as the human race. All the hate, jealousy, religion, economy, and politics will ruin anything in no time.

    3. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by newcastlejon · · Score: 1

      It may have been wild speculation but in fact I think these may be good predictions.

      Firstly, the sun is eventually going to render the Earth uninhabitable so - assuming we survive that long - we'll have to leave.

      Secondly, with the Universe being such a big place I'd wager my last penny on there being millions upon millions of intelligent species and so at least one that has died out confined to their planet.

      --
      If God forks the Universe every time you roll a die, he'd better have a damned good memory.
    4. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      The Sun running out of fuel in four billion years is not something to worry about.

    5. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by djp928 · · Score: 2

      And then their stars became red giants, and they all died.

    6. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by INeededALogin · · Score: 1

      You clearly are the product of a deranged imagination. Everyone knows that the population of the whole universe is zero.

    7. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 1

      Even if we do spread to other worlds, systems, and galaxies we're doomed as a species. Who cares if it happens in 4 billion or 100 billion years?

    8. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by newcastlejon · · Score: 1

      Why not? Whether it expands to engulf the Earth, broils it or simply cools to the point where it's not giving out enough energy to sustain us we're still fucked. Proper fucked. The point is that it won't last forever.

      --
      If God forks the Universe every time you roll a die, he'd better have a damned good memory.
    9. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Firstly, the sun is eventually going to render the Earth uninhabitable so - assuming we survive that long - we'll have to leave.

      These are the words of someone who clearly has zero concept of the planet's past and future timelines, where we currently are in that timeline, and mankind's own history in relation to the planet's timeline.

      Hint: An event that's expected to happen in 6 to 7 billion years isn't something we should worry about at all, especially when you consider that mankind has existed for 1 to 2 million years at most of the planet's 4.5 billion year history.

      --
      This guy's the limit!
    10. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by smelch · · Score: 2

      Nothing lasts forever. Eventually there will be no more stars, do you worry about that too?

      --
      If I can just reach out with my words and touch a butthole, just one, it will all be worth it.
    11. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by DM9290 · · Score: 2

      I care. Because 100 billion years of life is better than 4 billion years of life.

      --
      No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
    12. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Unless the Human Race spreads to other worlds, systems, and galaxies, we are dead as a species."

      Yep, we're pretty much just another virus.

    13. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by wjousts · · Score: 1

      You clearly are the product of a deranged imagination. Everyone knows that the intelligent population of the whole universe is zero.

      FTFY

    14. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And we need to worry about it this century because ...? Shouldn't our species wait until we're a bit beyond rocket propulsion and have bothered to step foot on more than our moon before we start planning for exploring other star systems? And besides, it will be our machines, not us who does the space exploration. We're way too delicate and expensive to maintain on long space voyages. And the next star is a very long ways away (yes, 4 light years is a vast distance).

    15. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 0

      The human race is a few million years old, science and technology a few hundred years old. Why the hurry? Let's tackle the Sun dying out in a couple of billion years after we have some more experience. That leaves us another two billion years to test out newly-developed technology.

    16. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The universe is full of life forms living on planets that recognized how precious their planet is and chose a better social structure to allow continued survival within the bounds of reality.

      And in a few tens of millions of years, these New Worlds and the creatures that stagnated upon them shall be ours to harvest, just as "the" New World was a scant 600 years ago.

    17. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by avgjoe62 · · Score: 2

      Given that our species in its current form has only been around for something like 300,000 years, I am not going to worry about the sun burning out in five billion years, at least not when there are so many other ways - and a lot of those self-inflicted - we could all kick the proverbial bucket.

      Face it, if we haven't figured out how to get out of the way of the sun burning up by the time it happens, we don't deserve to survive.

      --

      How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

    18. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 1

      How old are you?

    19. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 2, Informative

      I care. Because 100 billion years of life is better than 4 billion years of life.

      You aren't going to have either, though. Those billions of years of life are nothing more than a phantasm in the here and now. You will never, ever know whether we as a species will make it a hundred billion years, four billion years, or four thousand years. It might as well be a gazillion years, because you won't be around for a hundred. And nothing, nothing you do in your lifetime will make a difference to the longevity of the species as a whole, and how we face problems four billion years in the future.

      Nice that you are thinking ahead, though. Fantasizing about the impossibly distant future is no different than fantasizing about becoming a superhero or the King of Westeros. It's a great way to ignore real-world, present day problems while puffing up your own ego by imagining that you are pondering the really weighty, long term problems.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    20. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by perpenso · · Score: 1

      Even if we do spread to other worlds, systems, and galaxies we're doomed as a species. Who cares if it happens in 4 billion or 100 billion years?

      Those born between the year 4 billion and the year 100 billion?

      Their ancestors?

    21. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 1

      Well, let's start worrying about it a billion years before it happens.

      Worrying about it now is like a 20 second old fetus planning its retirement.

      btw, in 4 billion years are descendants may well not be human. Are you sure you want them to live? Maybe they'll all be monsters.

    22. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unless the Human Race spreads to other worlds, systems, and galaxies, we are dead as a species.

      God, I am so sick of hearing that tired old cliche. Even putting aside the time scales we are talking here, there is absolutely no calamity, short of any earth-destroying asteroid (nothing even close to which has been encountered since MAYBE the strike that may have created the moon) or the sun going all Krypton on us (sure, in a few billion years) that is going to make the earth LESS survivable than any other planet or body in this solar system, and likely any other solar system for dozens of light years out (which are essentially unreachable by man).

      If we had a Yucatan strike today, we would be much better off tunneling deep underground than trying to mount a ship to some Mars colony. Even a post-strike earth would still have water, supplies of oxygen, survivable atmospheric pressure, much more cosmic radiation protection, etc. compared to Mars. And it wouldn't require an extremely resource intensive journey to get underground. The earth of the only planet on which humans can survive for any length of time in a self-sufficient manner. Every other planet in the solar system is a death-trap (and there is no reason to suspect otherwise for any other solar system within reach--which currently includes no solar systems besides our own, BTW).

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    23. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by gnick · · Score: 1

      Just to nit-pick, technology has been around much longer than "a few hundred years". The first time some dude figured out that hitting an animal with a heavy stick was more effective than kicking it, the club became revolutionary "modern" technology. Of course, later, there was the revolutionary "pointy stick" invention that took its place beside the "heavy stick". In a few hundred years, it will be just as laughable that magnetic data storage was ever considered "modern".

      That said, I agree entirely. On the "star death" frame of time, we're working our way up to being infants. Let's get stuff figured out enough to explore OUR solar system before shooting out toward others. And, most likely, if there are other "intelligent" species out there they're either millions of years more evolved or less evolved than we are.

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    24. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by ah.clem · · Score: 1

      Not wanting to appear to be a troll or anything, but what is your point? I do enjoy the notion of space travel, and I think we should try to be the best we can be, but really, what does it matter if it all goes to shit? Four billion years is quite a long time; I don't see anything in the species that indicates it will be around for a fraction of that. In less than a billion years, the sun will have increased it's output enough to boil all the water off the planet. Four billion years later (or so), it will most likely all be gone. I believe humans will be extinct long before the oceans boil.

      Do a simple experiment; on your white board in your office, draw a line representing one billion years (MTBF for the earth); now above it, draw a dot that represents about 250,00-300,000 years (approximate time since archaic humans appeared on the scene). Now, look at the two lines (well, a line and a dot, really) and think about humans and how long a billion years is. Do you really believe that we won't destroy ourselves accidentally or on purpose long before the sun does?

      The numbers are against us, all the way.

      --
      "Life is not magic." Dr. Ron Weiss - "If we don't play God, who will?" Dr. James Watson
    25. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      Human evolution has lasted about 3-4 million years, do you really think it's going to continue for 4-5 billion?

      I won't be proper fucked by something that happens in 4-5 billion years, nor will anyone or their descendants 300 generations in the future.

    26. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by wpi97 · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of other possible and even plausible events that can make the Earth uninhabitable or at least extremely uncomfortable: collision with an asteroid or a comet, eruption of a super-volcano, another ice age, a gamma ray burst, etc. And such an even can occur at any moment, so having all our eggs in one proverbial basket is a bad idea.

    27. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by gnick · · Score: 1

      Unless the Human Race spreads to other worlds, systems, and galaxies, we are dead as a species.

      We are dead as a species.
      FTFY - Heat death FTW

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    28. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by MBGMorden · · Score: 2

      That's a problem a bit farther out (quite a bit, as its theorized that most smaller red dwarf stars will have lifespans measured in TRILLIONS of solar-years - which is an odd unit of measurement on that time scale - by that time a Solar year will be about as completely arbitrary a measurement as we can imagine). I'm sure that EVENTUALLY it will be a problem for someone though. Maybe our descendants - maybe a different species.

      Overall though, all successful life has an instinctual gravitation towards preservation of one's self and one's offspring. Without that drive we would die out. Even on an individual level it makes no sense as you could say why even live if we all are going to die anyways. In the end it doesn't matter - it's all about maximizing the time alive, regardless of the inevitability of death. Eventually we'll all be gone - everyone and everything - but you can bet that whatever species are still living in the final days, they'll fight for survival down to the very last minute. It's just how things work.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    29. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

      And nothing, nothing you do in your lifetime will make a difference to the longevity of the species as a whole...

      Absolutely true!!

      That's why I don't really bother too much with disposing of things correctly (old computer, monitors and everything else go straight into the trash to be picked up in front of my house)....I don't drive slow, and while I don't have a gas guzzler anymore...I don't go out of my way to conserve gas, I drive like a bat outta hell 'cause it is fun.

      I mean...a generation from now...what they hell, no one there is going to know who I was, or blame me for anything (debt, ecological, etc). And I'll be long dead, so, what do I care?

      To paraphrase Jim Morrison, 'I'm gonna get my kicks before the whole shithouse goes up in flames...'

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    30. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by INeededALogin · · Score: 1

      You clearly are the product of a deranged imagination. Everyone knows that the intelligent population of the whole universe is zero.

      FTFY

      You obviously don't know the quote.

      "It is known that there are an infinite number of worlds, simply because there is an infinite amount of space for them to be in. However, not every one of them is inhabited. Therefore, there must be a finite number of inhabited worlds. Any finite number divided by infinity is as near to nothing as makes no odds, so the average population of all the planets in the Universe can be said to be zero. From this it follows that the population of the whole Universe is also zero, and that any people you may meet from time to time are merely the products of a deranged imagination."

      -- Douglas Adams (Restaurant at the End of the Universe)

    31. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 2

      Actually, MTBF for Earth life is 50-150 MY and the last one was 65-66 Ma.

      Cretaceous–Tertiary extinction event (End Cretaceous or K-T extinction) – 65.5 Ma
      Triassic–Jurassic extinction event (End Triassic) – 205 Ma
      Permian–Triassic extinction event (End Permian) – 251 Ma
      Late Devonian extinction – 360–375 Ma
      Ordovician–Silurian extinction event (End Ordovician or O-S) – 440–450 Ma
      End-Ediacaran extinction - 542 Ma

      No, I don't think Humans have the ability to destroy the entire species, vertebrate life has evolved to be very resilient. Look at Crocodilia, they've survived massive climate change, mass extinction events and wild continental drifts, all without any technology.

      Humans won't last forever, very few species have or do, but I don't have such hubris to think we will last forever or to think we can destroy ourselves.

      I figure another 5-10,000 years before we've left this planet and 25-50,000 before humans are gone, for whatever reason.

    32. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by thesandtiger · · Score: 1

      I'd rather dream big and fail than dream of nothing.

      You mention that the dreamers are "ignoring the real-world, present day problems" but you fail to recognize that those problems are laughably irrelevant in the longer term as well.

      So not only are you keeping your head resolutely down, but you're glorifying focusing on irrelevant trivia as if it were something meaningful.

      Most of the "problems" of today will be completely irrelevant 100 years from now, and almost certainly NOT because of people who refused to dream, but because of people who looked out at the vastness and said, "Why not?"

      --
      Since I can't tell them apart, I treat all ACs as the same person.
    33. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      Even if there was a Yucatan or Sudbery sized strike today, without tunneling, humans would survive and in a few generations pick up the pieces that remained.

      I'm in Alaska, if something hit the Yucatan or deep ocean and balled things up, we still have food sources, fuel. It'd get colder for a while, more snow, glaciers advance, they've come and gone before while humans lived here.

      Best chances for survival are going to be at the fringes of the globe, Alaska, Iceland, Lapland, Siberia, tip of South America, Reunion Islands, Russian Far East, Manchuria, Hokkaido, etc.

    34. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by udoschuermann · · Score: 2

      It will be quite a bit less time than four billion years before life on Earth becomes increasingly uncomfortable: By the time that another 500 million years have passed the sun will be producing about 10% more heat, drastically reducing the availability of liquid water on Earth's surface.

      Yes, 500 million years is a long time, it's about as long as fish have existed, and longer than plants on land. It's about 8 times longer than the dinosaurs have been extinct, but from the beginning of life on Earth to the end of it in about 500 million years, we're down to the final 10 or 15 percent of the remaining span of comfort.

      Add to that the pressure of a dense population competing for natural resources, and the the impact of their waste on the environment, and I think we can either sit around and squabble for grub until the end of time, or export our exciting life style to another world before things get too crazy back here at home.

      --
      --Udo.
    35. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by camperslo · · Score: 1

      The real question is, what will your atoms be a part of? Or will you be energy?

      Maybe someday I will travel to another star system as a beam of light, and shine on the solar cell of a childs' toy.

    36. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mrsquid0 · · Score: 1

      No it is not. The long-term thing to worry about is the Earth becoming uninhabitable in the next several hundred million years due to the Sun heating up. At best we probably have only about a billion years left before Earth is too hot life. By the time the Sun becomes a red giant life on Earth will be a distant memory.

      --
      Just because you are paranoid does not mean that no-one is out to get you.
    37. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      Because in less than 50 years we probably have our first major die-off in centuries with a likely world war related to it.

      And it's going to take a few hundred years to recover-- if we do recover. This might be it- our moment to get off earth or to end up with either the ruins of a civilization or a civilization so completely overwhelmed by massive overbreeding that it never has the resources to get off the planet again.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    38. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      I agree with your basic point that if we don't do ourselves in-- then we are at the start of the window for an external event to do us in.

      Which is why we should be putting more energy into asteriods (extinction) vs global warming (very annoying but not extinction level).

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    39. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      We are stardust, we're golden
      Caught in the devil's bargain
      20 Billion year old carbon.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    40. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      The only way the problems of today will become irrelevant is if we solve them. I'd say it is just as important to worry about unicorn vaccinations as it is to worry about the death of the sun. Seriously, it is ego-puffery to think that, because you are worried about the death of the sun, you are a more serious and realistic person than someone who worries about ending world hunger.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    41. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      Not what I meant, really. Caring about the future is one thing, but thinking "I'm going to save humanity from the death of the sun!" is NOT an example of caring about the future. It is an excuse not to care about the present, or the immediate future this present will lead to.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    42. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by jonadab · · Score: 1

      > Unless the Human Race spreads to other worlds, systems, and galaxies, we are dead as a species.

      Then we are dead as a species.

      We don't have the technology we would need to colonize *Mars*, much less anything more remote. Nevermind about travel and communications, we don't even have what we'd need to build a self-sustaining colony once we get there. Any colony we could make would be totally dependent on a continuous influx of supplies from Earth. If anything happens to Earth we're all toast, no matter where we live.

      That's for the forseeable future, of course. If in the future we develop technologies we currently cannot fathom, then that could change. Potentially.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    43. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      Maxo, my man, you are thinking ass backwards here. If "WWIII" is the potential problem "Getting a few people off the earth in a big tin can" is not the answer. Stopping WWIII is the answer. What will those few dozen folks in the tin can do when the world blows up? You think they are going to make a go of it someplace else? Uh huh, sure they are. Maybe the answer to the potential problem of over-breeding is not a damn rocket ship, MAYBE it is a condom. If we are on the verge of never lifting off this rock again, maybe we should fix that problem instead of sending a few humans off into the void.

      You think the human race is too pathetic to chart its course into the future, so you want to abandon ship right now? If we are too pathetic to fix the problems you mention, we are too pathetic to live in this universe. Let's just give up, off ourselves, and clear the stage for something with a little more imagination.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    44. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by tehpuppet · · Score: 2

      This seems sadly necessary. All the social, political, religious and cultural baggage we've accumulated will continue to weigh us down until something terrible happens. We're not collectively going to grow out of it in time.

      Also consider the fossil fuel problem - the 'easy' energy from fossil fuels is a technological leg-up, but once that's exhausted it will be much harder to research and manufacture the advanced materials and technologies needed to exploit alternative energy sources, unless said sources are already in place and paying their own way. We could quite plausibly end up trapped by our own (lack of) access to energy.

    45. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 2

      If anyone is looking for something to worry about, and can't find anything just from a cursory glance about the place, might I suggest worrying about unicorn vaccinations? It is more realistic than worrying about the death of the sun.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    46. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by jonadab · · Score: 1

      If I had to bet (and if there were a way to actually settle the question definitively), I'd lay odds on the current population of the entire universe being somewhere between six and ten billion, if you count only sentient beings.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    47. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Well, sure, the human race is in its infancy, but by that same standard, the planet is in its forties. So although it's not a crisis yet, it certainly is something we should be worrying about as a species, if only because it might take most of that six billion years to find with a viable alternative.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    48. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Man+Eating+Duck · · Score: 1

      Cold hard reality wrote:

      How old are you?

      Seldom have I seen a message whose poster's username was more appropriate :)

      --
      Are you a grammar Nazi? I'm trying to improve my English; please correct my errors! :)
    49. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by thesandtiger · · Score: 1

      Nice strawman. I don't think someone who worries about the death of the sun is more important, serious, or realistic than someone who worries about ending world hunger. And I didn't see anyone else make that statement here - you seem to be the only one who brought it up.

      Aside from that, you're acting as if people aren't capable of thinking big while simultaneously looking at immediate-term problems and issues. People simply aren't that limited - my thinking about issues surrounding the death of the sun & long-term disposition of the species takes absolutely NOTHING away from my thinking about issues that are grounded in the immediate-term future and current issues.

      Hell, one of the hobbies I have that is aimed towards the long-term survival of the species is thinking about habitats and supplies that people would need for indefinite survival off-planet. Consequently, I started screwing around with small acreage farming & hydroponics to see just how small an initial supply of materials could get me. On the roof of my building I set up a small garden to grow various edibles and a very rudimentary hydro system to grow tomatoes. It's been a few years now and there are 12 other people in my building who've got gardens up there as well, and we give about half of what we grow to a local food pantry.

      I wasn't thinking about hungry homeless people when I started my garden - I was wondering what people would be able to eat out in the asteroid belt and just how much stuff they'd need to bring with them so they wouldn't starve to death. My motivation - and there was a lot of it to start with - was purely that big-picture stuff with nary a thought of anything more immediately useful. In fact, had someone suggested I start a garden and put in all that effort (and it was a LOT of effort) to give the food away, I don't think I'd have been willing to do it - I'm just not that nice a person.

      --
      Since I can't tell them apart, I treat all ACs as the same person.
    50. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, the solutions to those problems may be trivial in twenty or thirty years because of solutions to other problems that had little, if anything, to do with the original problem.

      Take world hunger for example. World hunger is a trivial problem to solve. There's no real reason we can't produce enough food to feed the entire planet, nor is there any real distribution problem, per se. The real problem is ultimately one of poverty vs. greed, and more to the point, one of governments that take that food and sell it to buy guns instead of feeding their population.

      Try as we might to solve the problem of poverty, the solution is hard because we're trying to fit it into a framework that makes it hard, namely one of a capitalistic society. Step forward a hundred years. Computers and mechanical automation have replaced humans in all manufacturing roles and nearly all mining, etc. At that point, there is no inherent value in most material goods because a human did not have to do any work to create them. This completely turns the entire economic system on its head, and poverty becomes solved, not by the sorts of solutions we could create now, but rather by its sudden lack of relevance.

      Similarly, one would hope that in time, the tendency to spend so much of our world's budget on war machines will also decrease.

      For another example, to step back a bit in time, people were once fretting about how to deliver mail in the wild west without getting shot. Now one could try to solve that problem through designing new carriages that were impervious to arrows, or one could sit back and let someone else solve the violence problem, while focusing your metallurgical skills on something that would eventually prove to be vastly more useful—creating a horseless carriage, for example.

      You get the idea. For a functioning world, we need both short-term and long-term thinkers. We need people who can work on the immediate problems while others look for solutions to the longer-term issues. Without both, we're screwed. Arguing which one is more important is like arguing which table leg is more important.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    51. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by lennier · · Score: 1

      +++ this. I've been trying to argue exactly this point for a while now.

      Even 40-some years after Apollo, our ideas of "the space frontier" are still based on pop-culture mashups of the heyday of Elizabethan and Napoleonic sea-colonisation by way of the post-Civil War American West and the dogfighting scenes from World War II. Real space is not like that, and the #1 stupid idea in the pop-space zeitgeist is "we'll have to go to other plants because Earth will become uninhabitable".

      No, short of a supernova, it won't. And if we lose Sol, we're screwed because of special relativity - sub-lightspeed travel takes centuries, there is no warp drive, so we'd have to build generation-ships which would need to operate in a less resource-rich environment than any conceivably polluted Earth short of total vaporisation.

      Heck, even *if* the Earth got supernova'd, we'd probably be better off just putting some sunshields on a space station and hiding behind one of the outer planets than trying to make a trek between stars. At least then we'd have solar radiation and a temperature differential as a free power source. (Though I haven't run the numbers on that, could be wrong.)

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    52. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Longjmp · · Score: 1

      I'm impressed, didn't think anyone would remember that song...
      Thanks for bringing up great memories :)

      --
      There are fewer illiterates than people who can't read.
    53. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by turing_m · · Score: 1

      The numbers may be against our survival. Our technology and the stupidity of at least one individual may hold within it the seeds of our own destruction. However, I am hopeful that our technology and ingenuity also provides a degree of resiliency to our species. With our technology we are a very hardy species already, exploring and living in more environments than any other species but those who ride on our coattails. I'm betting that we can do this.

      --
      If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
    54. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Think about this: If humans don't make the switch to another form of energy production before the petrochemicals are used up, civilization falls, and stays fallen. Think of it as being similar to activation energy in chemistry. You have to have a match to set wood on fire, right? (Unless you're good with flint & steel, or a fire drill.) Likewise, you need a certain level of industrial power output to make the jump from petrochemicals to nuclear, solar, geothermal, wind power, you name it. You have to be able to make the tools to build the tools you need to build those sorts of energy systems. You aren't going to power that by burning wood. Even ethanol/methanol from biomass isn't going to cut it at that scale.

      Kind of like what Einstein was getting at when he pointed out that he didn't know what weapons the next world war would be fought with, but that he was pretty sure the one after that would be fought with sticks and stones. Same for the one after that, and the one after that, ad nauseum.

    55. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

      Nuts, you went and ruined it before I got a chance to type "42."
      Pphhhtttt!

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    56. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ask the dinosaurs about that. Oops...

    57. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      mankind has only existed for the past 200,000 years.

    58. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      look at what we have accomplished in the last 1000 years, i think its entirely possible we will be able to work out ways to reproduce a big bang like event from currently existing singularities (black holes) to "restart" star systems with fresh energy after the cold death of the universe (if that is indeed how the universe is going to end)

    59. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point, as I understand it, is to have colonies operational on other worlds before a massive calamity befalls earth.

      112 years ago, an asteroid hit Tunguska with the force of a 10 megaton nuke and flattened a thousand square miles. If it had chanced to arrive 3 hours later, it would've vaporized St. Petersburg and the Bolsheviks along with it. A few more hours in turn and at the same latitude as earth turns beneath it might've killed Hitler, or the Kaiser, or destroyed London or Warsaw instead. Or if it had been displaced literally one micrometer a billion years ago, it might've missed entirely. Do you want to trust everything we've accomplished to that kind of random chance?

      The galaxy is likely littered with the dead civilizations that made the economically rational choice to stay on their homeworld... they'll eventually be catalogued by those that didn't.

    60. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mug+funky · · Score: 2

      plan as soon as you like. let the practical aspects catch up.

      your argument makes no sense - saying we should wait until we have the technology before we plan to develop the technology we are waiting for...

    61. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      If we are too pathetic to fix the problems you mention, we are too pathetic to live in this universe.

      says who? we can't share the world because everyone is naturally selfish, so there will always be ww3 looming and overpopulation is always going to be an issue. utilising that selfish behaviour to expand our reign of control into the cosmos is entirely supported by human psyche, avoiding wars and not breading is going against what makes us human, and is therefor a more difficult to achieve long term success with.

    62. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mug+funky · · Score: 1

      what harm is there sending a few people off for shits and giggles?

      jesus, you talk about lacking imagination. you sound like an old man shaking his fist at one of those horseless carriage things as it sputters by.

    63. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately the universe isn't infinitely big.
      and infinite size means infinite planets

      I'm starting to think your not the scientist you claimed to be!

    64. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      and then humans came along and wiped out the local population to support their own species growth and proliferation.

    65. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      because its unlikely technology we develop to achieve the goals of taking us out of our own solar system would ever be used to, you know, help people.

    66. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      or, we could start worrying about it now and ride the technology boom into the next "save the world" crisis that the hippies can come up with.

    67. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      You'll be dead in 60 years, why give a fuck?

    68. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      Since the earth has centuries of fossil fuel supply, that's hardly a concern. And contrary to what you believe, it is possible to jump into nuclear, solar, wind power with only wood power, bellows on a charcoal fire can smelt steel, and a nuclear reactor can be made with natural uranium, carbon as a moderator, and concrete. Your knowledge of the history of engineering is atrocious.

    69. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      If humanity survives for 500 million years we can assume we can control the sun. Maybe we can peel it with a giant magnetic field. Smaller stars live longer.
      By that time the only natural resource we will be needing is mass (we don't care what elements. We will be able to fuse what we need and different machines will use that energy to force the atoms together after iron). This mass can be stolen from the sun (assuming we have disassembled all the planets.). This mining of the sun will also cause it to live longer.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    70. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      The overpopulation problem is unstoppable.

      There are already multiple subpopulations who are immune to the lure of modern life style who are breeding at high rates so their cultures will come to dominate the population.

      View the modern lifestyle as a really spiffy antibiotic. It is as effective as antibiotics generally. If any part of the population is resistant to the drug, that part grows until it dominates the population.

      It's not WWIII. It's that any sizable war will have an increasingly punishing effect on the infrastructure. Each of the major countries could kill billions with a few well placed bombs. They don't have to nuke every city- just destroy the power grid (including wind and solar) with a few well placed EMP blasts- shreds of aluminum foil- etc.

      Food is "just in time" now. There's a lot of it- but it's a very delicate operation to ensure it all shows up in the right place at the right time.

      As resources grow tighter- at some point, killing will be the only answer some people think works and they'll start. It's history. It's happened for thousands of years. Suddenly we are so special that we'll be different? Don't think so.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    71. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An asteroid wouldn't need to be as big as the one that make the moon (assuming that theory is correct). It only has to be big enough to pump enough crap into the atmosphere to kill off a large percentage of the earth's vegetation. If we lost that then (without massive technological advances such as fusion or some other fuel/waste cheap energy) we would starve to death. Pretty much anything that lives on the surface + a good percentage of the ocean's biomass would die.

      Chances are that a asteroid of that size would not be detected until it was too late to actually do anything about it...

    72. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's also part of the point. If you learn to survive in extreme conditions such as Mars, you'd be able to survive a large calamity here, and more easily. We don't know for sure whether we can survive one, and though the best guess is probably "yes", we can't really try surviving one before it happens, but while we're waiting, we can try surviving on Mars. At the very least, it will train us to deal with something quite more serious, and it will prove that we are capable. Sure, the experience won't be of direct use, but that doesn't matter.

      Also that's incorrect. A biological calamity on Earth could kill every person living on the planet unless some extreme quarantine and isolation measures are applied, which might come too late or people might refuse them or simply be too stupid to do properly. Having colonies on virtually disconnected planets means that at least some of them will survive, because they are naturally isolated by space. Some will probably be infected too by transport ships, but not all of them.

      Sure, the fear of collision with something enormous is very little, but it never hurts if you have insured yourself against that scenario, especially if the insurance is something that you'd have to do in the long term anyway, and it comes with free science and entertainment for us that find things such as knowledge and crossing new frontiers to be entertaining.

      Last but not least, that "old cliche" is pretty much true. If we don't travel to other worlds, systems and galaxies, we're dead. That's a fact. The sun goes red giant on us, we might still survive on Earth underground by some extreme engineering, but then it goes out and we need fuel, then if you use the gas giants, they would eventually be exhausted, and then you need to travel to other stars, etc. Where did the GP say "spread NOW"?

    73. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by delt0r · · Score: 1

      I don't think you are suppose to use real data for these estimates. And don't get me started on using exsiting data as a Bayesian prior.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    74. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by delt0r · · Score: 1

      There are ways to get to the closer stars without generation ships, assuming you wait till your 30 to have kids ;). Antimatter is well within the physically plausible. You would need a solar collector/antimatter generator the size of the moon close to the sun. But once done, you could get 50% or more the speed of light. Even Fusion can get 2-5%C. Then there is even beamed energy...

      However i do agree, if just surviving is the goal, we are better of just doing stuff here. Even in my perhaps far off antimatter generator, you could build quite a substantial space station instead.

      If/when we leave here, it won't be survival the drives us.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    75. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by swamp_ig · · Score: 1

      Meh

      Eternal existence is a meaningless concept, both for an individual and for a species.

      Either you get stuck in a loop of always repeating yourself, or with time you grow so far different from the original that you can't even call it the same individual/species anymore.

      Carpe Diem, eternity is a philosophical trap.

    76. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      But I like pondering the really weighty problems. Makes the belly settle and the mind goes all quiet for awhile. Then it's time for the next pill and it all starts getting crazy again.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    77. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      Or more likely some cross between mechanical and biological life forms. They'll probably remember that they were once human but no one will want to simply be a meat puppet anymore.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    78. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      Totally agree, If I had mod points I'd give them to you. Take a good look at some of those Google Earth images of the housing developments. You can see them in pretty much any country with tourism or money. Looks a hell of a lot like a cross section of a cancerous tumor to me. Just saying, not trolling. It is what it is.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    79. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      Cool, cool, got it. Can you run down those items and maybe expound on that recipe a little more. I want to make a backyard reactor and need a little help.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    80. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by oni · · Score: 1

      *pfft*

      Did you know that ADHD and autism were virtually unknown in unicorns 100 years ago? WAKE UP!

    81. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by oni · · Score: 1

      you won't be around for a hundred

      This guy disagrees with you

    82. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by khallow · · Score: 1

      Unless the Human Race spreads to other worlds, systems, and galaxies, we are dead as a species.

      God, I am so sick of hearing that tired old cliche. Even putting aside the time scales we are talking here, there is absolutely no calamity, short of any earth-destroying asteroid (nothing even close to which has been encountered since MAYBE the strike that may have created the moon) or the sun going all Krypton on us (sure, in a few billion years) that is going to make the earth LESS survivable than any other planet or body in this solar system, and likely any other solar system for dozens of light years out (which are essentially unreachable by man).

      There are two things to note. First, the Sun will go "Krypton" on us. So the cliche is true especially once you ignore the time scales.

      Second, an urban environment in space is more habitable than most environments on Earth. The first thing any colonists will do is make an environment that they can live in. They aren't going to breathe vacuum after all.

    83. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by oni · · Score: 2

      The real problem isn't being wiped out as a species. The problem is the collapse of our civilization. See, we've already used up the easy-to-obtain energy sources. Doing that has raised our civilization to the point that it just might be possible for us to start exploiting the huge pool of resources available in the solar system - but if we blow it, if we miss this opportunity and our civilization collapses, then we may never get another chance to go into space.

      I'll phrase all of that as a parable from an RTS game.

      You start the game as an agrarian society at tech level 0 with perhaps 1 or 2 units of energy available to you by cutting down trees and such. You use that energy to slowly research up to tech level 2 which let's you drill wells to get oil. There is perhaps 10 units of energy available to you through oil wells near your spawn point.

      You use those 10 units of energy to fund research and build stuff and eventually you get to tech level 5 where you have the technology to drill deeper, or drill out at sea. Now you have perhaps 100 units of energy available to you.

      Now you can build great cities and do lots of research, and eventually you make it to tech level 50 or whatever. You can now go out into space and if you do that, there are thousands and thousands of energy units available (back to the real world, this would be in the form of space-based solar power, and in terms of resources, one moderately sized asteroid contains more iron, nickel, just about any metal you could want, than has ever been mined in all the history of planet Earth).

      So if you make that leap, then you pretty much win the game right there. However, if you don't make that leap, the real danger isn't having all your people die out. As you mentioned in your post, even a KT asteroid wouldn't kill all humans. No, the real danger is that if your civilization collapses, if you go back to tech level 0, then you can never ever rise again. You can wait for the trees to grow back and then cut them down again, and maybe you can get back to tech level 2, but all that cheap, easy to get oil is gone. Without it, you don't have the energy to get to tech level 5 and even if you did, most of the hard-to-get oil is gone anyway. So you're never going to get back to tech level 50.

      That's the danger. Not death, but failure.

    84. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by eriqk · · Score: 1

      Do you want to trust everything we've accomplished to that kind of random chance?

      That's how it is and that's how it always will be, wherever you go.
      The idea that we're somehow in control of our own destiny is laughable.

    85. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by eriqk · · Score: 1

      Unless the Human Race spreads to other worlds, systems, and galaxies, we are dead as a species.

      Have you any idea of the distances involved, and the time it takes to traverse those?

      The human species will never ever ever reach other stars and colonize the planets that are found there.
      Maybe our descendants will, but they'll not be human. We will die here. Might as well make the best of it while we're still here.

    86. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      No harm at all, just don't pretend you are solving the weighty issues of our day by shooting a few humans into space.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    87. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      No, the overpopulation problem is fixing itself. Turns out, when people get over a certain income, they don't want to have kids. Italy is already below replacement rate. I also can't believe I have to point out the technological differences between now and the last few thousand years. "It's happened for thousands of years" is only relevant if now is the same as thousands of years ago.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    88. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      If everyone is naturally selfish and not naturally cooperative, why do we have so much cooperation? For instance, the natural world is built on cooperation between cells. Cooperation is more basic than competition. You seem to have a pretty dark and twisted view of humanity. Which is not to say we aren't dark and twisted, we are. But we're more than that, in case you hadn't noticed, and your cynicism belittles all of us.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    89. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      you could research the "chicago pile one" for starters (and no need to use cadmium for control rods, rods filled with borax solution would do)

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Pile-1

    90. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by DM9290 · · Score: 1

      How old are you?

      Old enough to value the lives of other sentient beings, and not only myself.

      --
      No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
    91. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by DM9290 · · Score: 1

      I care. Because 100 billion years of life is better than 4 billion years of life.

      You aren't going to have either, though.

      It's not about what I have. It's about what they would have. I am not the only being in the universe who has concerns.

      Those billions of years of life are nothing more than a phantasm in the here and now.

      Assuming you are right, then the present is also nothing more than a phantasm of billions of years ago. And I fail to see your point.

      You will never, ever know whether we as a species will make it a hundred billion years, four billion years, or four thousand years.

      No. And I'll never know lots of things.

      But as a thinking person I can accept that I am happy to exist, then if our descendants exist they will be happy to exist. And I know people who are dead now. But they were happy to be alive when they were alive. And that has value to me. Likewise for people who I never met. I am not a control freak. I don't need to know the personal details of everybody in order to respect their as living things and innately precious.

      And nothing, nothing you do in your lifetime will make a difference to the longevity of the species as a whole,

      Firstly, I did not say "species" I said life. Whatever is alive in a billion years, if anything, will not be the same species as me. Secondly your implications that our actions have no affects, or that survival has no cause, would require some demonstration. If you can jump off a tall bridge, die, and still successfully reproduce I'd possibly be persuaded. I hope you try to provide such a demonstration for us all and put this question to rest, because not only will you disprove yourself, you'll provide food for fish who can then go on and perhaps become somebody's next meal.

      and how we face problems four billion years in the future.

      Who is "we"? You just said I'm not going to be around in 4 billion years, now you are claiming that YOU are?

      Nice that you are thinking ahead, though. Fantasizing about the impossibly distant future is no different than fantasizing about becoming a superhero or the King of Westeros. It's a great way to ignore real-world, present day problems while puffing up your own ego by imagining that you are pondering the really weighty, long term problems.

      An attacking straw men is a great way of puffing up your ego and pretending that you've proven a point when you haven't.

      --
      No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
    92. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      So you are concerned about non existent beings who dwell in an imaginary land called the future? Cool. Now, do you believe that anything you do right now, today, is going to affect how humanity handles the death of the sun in four billion years?

      The difference between the present, the past, and the future is that only one of them is real. The others are imaginary, in that they do not exist here and now. You only exist in the present. While your actions may impact the future, the further into the future you look, the less predictable any consequences of your actions become. Looking four billion years into the future, anything you do today is absolutely irrelevant. Might as well have asked the trilobites what they planned to do about global warming.

      Your speculations about your 4-billion-years-in-the-future descendants are as irrelevant as what the trilobites think about us. I'm sure your fantasies do have value to you, mine certainly have value to me. But I don't think of them as anything but fantasies. And I don't think that acting on my fantasies will help the inhabitants of my fantasy world. Your individual actions won't make any more of a difference to our descendants than the actions of an individual archeopteryx might have had on us.

      If you were to die tomorrow, would that impact our future survival as a species? If you say "yes," then you need to get some serious help for your narcissistic personality disorder. If you actually do think your actions will materially impact the chances that we will escape the death of the sun in four billion years, I can't really help you, you need a professional. I don't have to be there in four billion years to hazard a guess that your choices today won't impact our descendant's chances of survival in the least.

      I stand by my assertion: worrying about the death of the sun is silly, childish, and irresponsible to the present day and the real problems such as hunger and disease that we as humans still face. How about we focus on getting through the next hundred years, and if we survive that, maybe our great-great-great to the unpteenth-great-grandkids can start to worry about the sun.

      You see, you can't do anything but talk a bout the death of the sun, but if you wanted to, and you weren't distracted by your fantasies, you coudl actually prevent the death of a real, living human being, today. But you don't want to worry about problems with real solutions that might require actual effort on your part, you simply want to feel good about not doing anything to help real people, today.

      If you'd said, "We need a space program" I would fully agree. If you'd said "We should focus far more of our efforts on getting off this rock than we currently are" then I would also agree. But absolutely NOT for the reasons you give. Escaping the death of the sun, do you really not see how tragicomic that obsession is?

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    93. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      We only like to cooperate when its beneficial to us personally, forcing us to assist our fellow man normally goes against the grain (healthcare reform?) unless there is something in it for us. this is simply humans selfish nature. This isn't necessarily a bad thing though, if you can use a humans selfish nature in a way that's helpful for a greater good (like in a company) then humans can be really quite productive, but there is a requirement to satisfy selfishness in either an end goal (lots of money for a company / greater achievement), or intermediate rewards (weekly pay).

    94. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      Nope, we cooperate for all kinds of reasons, and not only when it is beneficial to us. Never heard of someone rushing into a burning building to save someone unrelated? We are not, of course, forcing anyone to help anyone. If anyone does not like the price they have to pay(taxes) for the service they get,(living in a free society) they can leave the store (the US). The idea that we must only appeal to the "selfish" part of our nature has been foisted on us by the selfish, the sociopathic, and the uncooperative. Some of the most meaningful and lastingly beneficial work that humans have ever done has been entirely unpaid, and did not benefit the person who did it.

      I've found that people who push the idea that everyone is selfish are simply saying that to excuse their own selfish, antisocial behavior. We are only selfish in the sense that we all do nothing more or less than what we want to do in that moment, but most of us are not motivated primarily by ideals of selfish personal gain. Modern economic and games theory experiments have shown that most people are far, far more motivated by notions of reciprocity and fairness. Most people will accept actual harm to themselves as a price to pay for enforcing fairness. So, yes, we selfishly do what we want, but what most of us want is fairness and reciprocity, even if that means we personally get less.

      By defending selfishness, you are telling the world what kind of person you really are. Don't think the world isn't listening.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    95. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      Never heard of someone rushing into a burning building to save someone unrelated?

      ego feeding and social status. both selfish achievements.

      If anyone does not like the price they have to pay(taxes) for the service they get,(living in a free society) they can leave the store (the US).

      all sorts of things wrong with this statement, but its off topic so i won't address them.

      The idea that we must only appeal to the "selfish" part of our nature has been foisted on us by the selfish, the sociopathic, and the uncooperative.

      read: the people in charge, who are only in charge because of their selfish nature. It is possible for everyone to share and get along, but it only takes 1 person to break that system. Communism does work (sort of) but doesn't excel like it theoretically should. people are the most motivated for selfish reasons, it would be good to utilise this for unselfish causes,

    96. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      No.
      SOME parts of the population stop having kids when their income gets too high.
      OTHER parts are immune to that effect and continue to breed at high rates and are coming to dominate populations which stop having kinds.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    97. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As long as we retain knowledge, which would be easier than retaining full capabilities, we could still pursue nuclear, solar, wind, hydro, etc. Granted they require machining that would be easier with a cheap fuel economy, but hardly absolutely required. And there would still be oil, just less. Still coal, just less. There's still plenty of gold in the ground, and it's freakin' gold. A heck of a lot more rare and valuable than oil.

    98. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      The problem with your argument is that it's premised on the idea that we *can* have colonies on other worlds (I presume here that you mean SELF-SUFFICIENT colonies, ones that can survive without constant resupply from earth). As I said, every other body in our solar system besides earth is a death-trap. No other body in our solar system can sustain any self-sufficient colony of any size for any length of time. The resources aren't even close. Maybe you can find some small deposits of water here and there (which would need heavy processing to even be extracted), maybe you can find some energy. But what body is going to provide everything you need to really survive long-term?

      Mars? Not even close. Mars has very little atmospheric pressure, high radiation, it's cold as fuck, the soil is barren, the water is sparse. No amount of "terraforming" (if that's even possible) is going to turn that shithole into anything other than a big rusty desert.

      Europa? Even if there is a water ocean there, you would have to mine very deep just to get to it. And water is pretty much ALL Titan has. And it's cold in a way that makes Mars look like a Brazilian summer. Radiation, no pressure, no soil AT ALL (not even the barren stuff), etc.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    99. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      It would require several orders-of-magnitude more effort and resources to build giant rockets to pack humans and needed resources off to Mars than it would to manufacture a shitload of grow-lights and head underground to wait out a few decades of winter.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    100. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      Do you have any evidence to back that up, because that isn't what I've read? It wouldn't explain why many wealthier countries have below replacement rate in births right now.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    101. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      For example...
      Most of southwest USA will be hispanic within 20 years. It's a growing population.
      http://www.medpagetoday.com/PublicHealthPolicy/PublicHealth/22479
      * Teen Birth Rate Drops in U.S., but Not for Hispanics
      and
      http://www.census.gov/population/www/pop-profile/natproj.html
      * In fact, the Hispanic-origin population would contribute 32 percent of the Nation's population growth from 1990 to 2000, 39 percent from 2000 to 2010, 45 percent from 2010 to 2030, and 60 percent from 2030 to 2050.

      Similarly, elsewhere the islamic population is coming to dominate populations.

      I can't find this on India.
      China had such a brutal birth control policy it may not be happening there.

      The cause for high breeding rate could be personal traits or some social meme (religion, customs, etc.)

      Similarly, people who are sloppy about birth control.
      Think about the personality traits that lead you to be reckless about birth control (high lust, impulsive, substance use combined with sex) and those traits which do not.
      In one generation, the "reckless" female can have 4 to 5 children who will share those traits with the mother. The reckless male could have many more children.
      The cautious female and male might have no children.

      So after just one generation, you could have (as a pure example) 100 couples that produce 100 children.
      None from 10 careful couples who missed breeding opportunity.
      about 80 from 80 careful or mixed couples who bred at replacement level.
      about 20 from 10 careful couples.

      The next iteration- the reckless traits are more common.

      I don't think we have had enough time pass yet to conclude people will continue having no children based on a tradeoff for a better life. Very quickly those who value children over a better personal life will die out from the population over multiple iterations.

      Of course, then you have the drop in sperm counts from estrogen poisoning-- that may take longer to develop resistance to.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    102. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Grrr. late.
      None from 10 careful couples who missed breeding opportunity.
      about 80 from 80 careful or mixed couples who bred at replacement level.
      about 20 from 10 *reckless* couples

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    103. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      Thanks, will do. Oh, BTW, totally kidding about setting up a reactor. Just interested in the science and like to read about various things. Had to post that in case the feds are watching. Now let me go straighten up my Viscious Attack Dog Rehabilitaion Center sign and make sure the electric fence is operating properly.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    104. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by spun · · Score: 1

      You know, you don't have to just announce to the world that you don't understand the issue, you could educate yourself.

      For example, is the percentage of Hispanics in the southwest US growing because they are having more children, because they are immigrating, or because whites aren't having enough children to keep their population constant? And what about wealth, that is the link that I claimed made the difference in population growth, are middle class Hispanics having as many children as poor Hispanics? The data you link to doesn't say.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    105. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Sigh...

      http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2011/tables/11s0079.pdf

      Double the birth rate of whites.
      About 150% the birth rate of blacks

      http://articles.boston.com/2011-05-04/news/29509479_1_world-population-population-division-wealthy-western-nations

      The United States is growing faster than many rich countries, largely because of high immigration and *higher birth rates among Hispanic immigrants.*

      Among the reasons -- catholic religion, culture desires children more, parents live at home and provide free baby care.

      ---
      More importantly... you say

      For example, is the percentage of Hispanics in the southwest US growing because they are having more children, because they are immigrating, or because whites aren't having enough children to keep their population constant?

      This doesn't negate my point. Hispanics comprise a group resistant to the birth rate lowering effects of wealth and better personal living standards. As a result, they are coming to dominate the population.

      It's true in most populations- the sub populations which resist and have larger families despite the inducements will come to dominate the population.

      I'm not judging hispanics or islamics or whatever other subcultures around the world are doing this. I'm just saying that the population growth is not going to stop the way the UN has projected in the past. If anything, as the population gets higher, living standards will start dropping again, and people will start having children at a higher rate again.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    106. Re:Escape the Solar System, and Galaxy by Karsten+Deppert · · Score: 1

      Good thoughts, but there is one problem to the logic: All the resources we use up are still on earth (except a few couple of tons that we have sent into to space so far). So the resources are still here - and they would quite likely be easy to "mine" again, as they should be concentrated and in relative pure form, from our previous use of them (as whole pieces of plastic or large pieces of metal for example). Even all the oil is still on earth - just needs alot of plantlife to get it out of the atmosphere. Not entirely sure (no waste / resource expert), but as far as I can tell the resources should atleast be left here on earth. (ironically this would actually mean that the only way to "fail" would be to try to go out into space alot and not succeed - as material sent into space would be lost for future civilizations)

  3. To go by aetherian · · Score: 0

    Hopefully this will encourage people/organizations/other to put effort into space exploration, as there hasn't seemed to be much going on as of recent, but for the occasional happening.

  4. Icarus? by Quato · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I question naming the project Icarus... maybe you don't want to pick a guy who fell to his death for trying to fly too high.
    I mean, isn't Icarus associated with failed ambitions?

    1. Re:Icarus? by FudRucker · · Score: 1

      it is a prophetic name...

      "it will never get off the ground Orville" - Wilbur

      this time i really think it wont fly

      --
      Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
    2. Re:Icarus? by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

      Depends. As I understand it in Greece Icarus is the hero figure because he didn't play it safe. I guess it all depends on your point of view.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    3. Re:Icarus? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pretty much. Even Stargate (universe) used it as a project name for a planet that eventually exploded.
      Also the series in general, sadly.

    4. Re:Icarus? by udoschuermann · · Score: 1

      Icarus aimed too high, too fast, too soon. We have better "wax" these days, and hindsight to guide our planning.

      The meek shall inherit the Earth, the rest of us shall take the stars!

      --
      --Udo.
    5. Re:Icarus? by DudeG · · Score: 2

      This is the inspiration for the name, from a book by Arthur Eddington: "In ancient days two aviators procured to themselves wings. Daedalus flew safely through the middle air and was duly honoured on his landing. Icarus soared upwards to the sun till the wax melted which bound his wings and his flight ended in fiasco. In weighing their achievements, there is something to be said for Icarus. The classical authorities tell us that he was only “doing a stunt”, but I prefer to think of him as the man who brought to light a serious constructional defect in the flying-machines of his day. So, too, in Science. Cautious Daedalus will apply his theories where he feels confident they will safely go; but by his excess of caution their hidden weaknesses remain undiscovered. Icarus will strain his theories to the breaking-point till the weak joints gape. For the mere adventure? Perhaps partly; this is human nature. But if he is destined not yet to reach the sun and solve finally the riddle of its constitution, we may at least hope to learn from his journey some hints to build a better machine."

    6. Re:Icarus? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, and look how well adventurous, Devil-May-Care Greece is doing now.

    7. Re:Icarus? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly my thoughts.

    8. Re:Icarus? by monkeythug · · Score: 1

      It called Project Icarus because it's a billing itself as the "son of" Project Daedalus from the 70's.

      http://www.icarusinterstellar.org/

      --
      Don't you wish you hadn't wasted 3 seconds of your life reading this sig?
    9. Re:Icarus? by hawkfish · · Score: 1

      This is the inspiration for the name, from a book by Arthur Eddington:

      "In ancient days two aviators procured to themselves wings. Daedalus flew safely through the middle air and was duly honoured on his landing. Icarus soared upwards to the sun till the wax melted which bound his wings and his flight ended in fiasco. In weighing their achievements, there is something to be said for Icarus. The classical authorities tell us that he was only “doing a stunt”, but I prefer to think of him as the man who brought to light a serious constructional defect in the flying-machines of his day. So, too, in Science. Cautious Daedalus will apply his theories where he feels confident they will safely go; but by his excess of caution their hidden weaknesses remain undiscovered. Icarus will strain his theories to the breaking-point till the weak joints gape. For the mere adventure? Perhaps partly; this is human nature. But if he is destined not yet to reach the sun and solve finally the riddle of its constitution, we may at least hope to learn from his journey some hints to build a better machine."

      Eddington seems to have forgotten that in the story Daedelus actually knew what the "serious constructional defect" was and specifically warned his son about it. Too often engineers are ignored because somebody wants to get their rocks off (e.g. NASA management vs NASA engineers just before the Challenger disaster.)

      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    10. Re:Icarus? by DudeG · · Score: 1

      You're right, but I think Eddington was using poetic licence to illustrate a point. And at least Icarus was trying out his novel theory on himself! :-)

  5. Icarus? by mangu · · Score: 1

    I suppose they are planning on a really close flyby to the star

  6. Oh good grief... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    We have nothing even close to what's required. Ever. Get over it. There was no such thing even in the full swing of the Space Age. Nothing much has changed since then. The first one who says "computers" will have to show how a 747 fueled with iPods can get anywhere.

    If that's too subtle for you, we have no materials and no energy sources for this. Throw away your Star Trek DVDs and engage your fucking brains.

    1. Re:Oh good grief... by the+linux+geek · · Score: 1

      It could potentially be done very, very slowly, with nuclear reactors and ion engines.

      I agree, though, that it is not particularly likely any time within the next hundred years.

    2. Re:Oh good grief... by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 5, Funny

      1000 years ago: "Harrumpf! The world is flat! Sail on towards your oblivion, fools!"
      100 years ago: "Harrump! If got meant for men to fly, he'd have given us wings!"
      75 years ago: "Harrumpf! Faster than the speed of sound? Never!"
      ~50 years ago: "Harrumpf! There's no way we can get to the moon!"
      40 years ago: "Harrumpf! Home computing? I think not!"
      30 years ago: "Harrumpf! Who needs more than 64K?"
      20 years ago: "Harrumpf! What good is this 'internet' thing for?"

      ACs: shitting on everyone's ideas for 1000 years.

      --
      I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
    3. Re:Oh good grief... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People knew the Earth was round 1000 years ago. Each of your points was addressed with the REAL, ACTUAL, EXISTING technology of the time. What you Space Nutters keep drooling over CAN NOT, *EVER*, be accomplished by anything that is even remotely technologically feasible. Get over it. Human flight was done in a few years because it was possible, sometimes with late 19th century technology.

      You Space Nutters don't appreciate (that's smart talk for "understand") the sheer scale of what you're proposing, and how utterly weak our technology actually is. We're good at making bits. We can store sounds and movies. Big whoop.

    4. Re:Oh good grief... by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      1000 years ago: "Harrumpf! The world is flat! Sail on towards your oblivion, fools!"

      That was closer to about 2200 years ago: Aristotle argued the world was round in about 350 BCE, and Eratosthenes had attempted to measure it sometime in the 3rd century BCE.

      The reason the naysayers thought Christopher Columbus was a bit of an idiot was not that they thought the world was flat, but because they thought it was about 2.5 times as large as Columbus claimed it was (which was in fact true). The primary reason Columbus didn't end up starving to death somewhere in the middle of the ocean was because he got lucky and found land.

      The whole "flat Earth" story was made up by Washington Irving in an attempt to make Columbus appear more heroic rather than the smart sailor but complete and utter bastard that most of the primary sources suggest.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    5. Re:Oh good grief... by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 1

      108 years ago: first aircraft made of wood and cloth, driven by propellers
      67 years ago: jet fighters
      57 years ago: subsonic jet airliners made of aluminum
      35 years ago: supersonic jet airliners
      20 years ago: bigger, better subsonic jet airliners
      10 years ago: bigger, better subsonic jet airliners
      now: bigger, better subsonic jet airliners made of composites

      Eventually the exponential growth in technology slows, and we are left with incremental improvements. Don't let Moore's law blind you, it only holds for semiconductors, and not for long there either.

    6. Re:Oh good grief... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Didn't a group design an interplanetary/interstellar spacecraft back in the 60's (Below). Its only real drawbacks are that it requires the construction of a rather large spacecraft in orbit (100,000 Tons or larger) which would be rather expensive, it uses nuclear bombs as propulsion (politically problematic but possibly advantageous as a method of using up old bomb stockpiles) and can only go ~3% light speed. However with an international effort it would be economically feasible. Based on 60s tech it could make it to Alpha Centauri in ~44 years, upgraded with modern technologies such as carbon fiber, new alloys, and better nuclear weapons tech it might be able to cut that down to ~30 Years.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Orion_(nuclear_propulsion)

    7. Re:Oh good grief... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What Space Nutters sound like to me are the people who thought we'd get to the Moon by tying a lot of geese together. Totally inadequate. And in 500 years people will look back at the utterly unrealistic fantasy-based visions of a few white nerds and have a good laugh, while riding their horses to work.

    8. Re:Oh good grief... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And in 500 years people will look back at the utterly unrealistic fantasy-based visions of a few white nerds and have a good laugh, while riding their horses to work.

      Don't worry, QA. You'll have been dead for at least 400 years by that point.

    9. Re:Oh good grief... by mangu · · Score: 1

      Aristotle argued the world was round in about 350 BCE, and Eratosthenes had attempted to measure it sometime in the 3rd century BCE.

      Yes, and the Romans built great works of engineering that were abandoned a thousand years later. The fact that ancient Greeks knew the earth was round does not imply medieval Europeans knew it. Sure, a few scholars did, but it was a counter-intuitive fact that went against all logic.

      Of course, the king of Spain did have "technical" consultants that knew the classic Greek writings, so they knew about the theory of the round earth, but it probably had the same credibility as that of evolution in present day Texas.

      As for the question of the size of the earth and the longitude of east Asia, that involves the problem of calculating longitude, a problem that didn't have a solution until the late 1700s

      So, I will give Columbus credit for this: he was the only person in his era that had such a firm conviction on the roundness of earth that he was willing to bet his own life on it. He may have got the size of the earth wrong, but he might have also assumed that some islands should exist along the way so he would not starve.

    10. Re:Oh good grief... by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Sure, if you can build a spacecraft that can survive the 100,000 year journey, no problem. Alternately, you could build a propulsion system that could get to at least a substantial fraction of the speed of light. Only now you also have to invent a magic construction material that will allow it to withstand the incredible force of micrometeorite collisions at that speed (think of it as constantly hitting bombs several times more powerful than any nuke, head-on).

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    11. Re:Oh good grief... by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      No one knows exactly how sparsely these micrometeors are distributed, so the vehicle might not hit any of them at all. And depending on their size, they might not be all that powerful either (hitting a single molecule or atom will not hurt you even if you're going 1/2 the speed of light). In any case, it's better to try.

    12. Re:Oh good grief... by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Or you could, assuming that you knew they were coming, simply move the micrometeoroids out of your path, or liquefy them with a laser so that they add mass to your hull instead of puncturing it.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    13. Re:Oh good grief... by vivian · · Score: 1

      You are making the mistake of equating the speed of aircraft as the main measure of progress in aircraft.
      Since Concorde, however, the main areas of focus for aircraft development have been in making them safer, easier to maintain, larger and more fuel efficient.
      For busy routes, larger aircraft reduce the number of flights needed, so reduce the landing fees, maintenance needed, number of flight crews, etc.

      Compared to the first commercial passenger jet, the comet, the B747-100 introduced in 1970 used about 55% as much fuel, and the modern B777 only uses 30% as much fuel of the Comet, per passenger mile.

      http://www.transportenvironment.org/Publications/prep_hand_out/lid/398

    14. Re:Oh good grief... by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      The fact that ancient Greeks knew the earth was round does not imply medieval Europeans knew it. Sure, a few scholars did, but it was a counter-intuitive fact that went against all logic.

      Wrong again. For example, Dante's Purgatorio, written somewhere around 1315, has many clear references to a spherical Earth. He has the western and southern hemisphere completely wrong geographically, but he definitely thought the Earth was round. As far as we can tell, this geocentric system was considered the standard view on the matter at the time. We have records of sermons that referred to the spherical Earth, which means that regular folks were expected to understand the concept, and that the view had the full support of the most stable European institution of the time, namely the Christian church. Now, these were all geocentric models, but it was a mere 20 years later when Copernicus proposed heliocentricity.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    15. Re:Oh good grief... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So will you and you'll never, ever get your bungalow on Mars. Idiot.

    16. Re:Oh good grief... by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1
      Wow, AC can read the future of technology! what an amazing thing.

      human technology is in its infancy. your limitations are based on a flawed understanding of the universe. its impossible _now_, but that doesn't mean it will be impossible forever. we are only just starting to understand the true nature of matter & energy (most of which we still don't know very well at all). but your right, because it would take more rocket fuel then the atoms in the universe to reach 98% the speed of light we should just give up. instead of looking at more energy efficient ways of moving matter at a high velocity, also. 1958 we had the technology to build something that would go 3.3% the speed of light with a big payload.

      We're good at making bits.

      transport may eventually become a digital process, i've heard promising things about quantum entanglement.

    17. Re:Oh good grief... by Cold+hard+reality · · Score: 1

      Progress in fuel efficiency and aircraft size will slow down and eventually stop as well.

    18. Re:Oh good grief... by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      You certainly are ignorant of engineering and science. We already have the means, with existing technology, to make two types of unmanned starships, with transit time to nearest star of mere decades, not even a century.

    19. Re:Oh good grief... by advocate_one · · Score: 1

      You forgot Tom Watson, then IBM chairman, who said in 1958: "I think there is a world market for about five computers."

      --
      Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
    20. Re:Oh good grief... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That sounds like a great idea!

    21. Re:Oh good grief... by eriqk · · Score: 1

      human technology is in its infancy. your limitations are based on a flawed understanding of the universe. its impossible _now_, but that doesn't mean it will be impossible forever.

      That's entirely possible. It's also possible that we're very close to the technological peak.
      Building stuff is one thing. Keeping it running, especially for long periods (think decades or even centuries) may require an amount of energy we simply can't provide anymore.

    22. Re:Oh good grief... by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      There is more energy in a block of cheese then what it takes to get a rocket to escape velocity, we just don't know how to access it on a large scale yet.

  7. So they named it Project Icarus... by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 1

    because the idea is for it to:

    obtain an eventual cruise velocity of 36,000km/s or 12% of light speed from over 700kN of thrust, burning at a specific impulse of 1 million seconds, reaching its destination in approximately 50 years

    and then plunge into the destination star, destroying itself?

    1. Re:So they named it Project Icarus... by spaceplanesfan · · Score: 1

      More likely zoom past it.
      That project sure is unrealistic, but there is remote plausible situation in which it will work.
      Image that another star has ~95% earth like planet. If it finds it, we can really send a group of peoples one way there using similar ship.
      While its hard to decelerate from 0.10C, we could decelerate just the small capsule with humans inside.
      Of course like I said that is very very hard, because we need a way to keep these humans alive for about 50 years.
      (and let them reproduce). For that we will need a lot of food and oxygen.
      (water isn't a problem because it can be recycled).

    2. Re:So they named it Project Icarus... by Mitchell314 · · Score: 1

      What's wrong with keeping them as embryos until the said system is reached at the desired decelerated velocity?

      --
      I read TFA and all I got was this lousy cookie
    3. Re:So they named it Project Icarus... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well, that solves some problems but raises others:

      namely that without a system for educating the embryos they's be several kinds of useless once the got there, and the engineering required for putting together an autonomous education system would be an ethical minefield (imagine the sorts of trouble you could get into for raising a score of babies with beta software to ferret out the bugs).

    4. Re:So they named it Project Icarus... by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Aside from the fact that you actually want to gestate the embryos about 20ish years ahead of reaching the target system?

      How about the fact that we don't yet have a mechanical womb? Or Auto-Teacher..?

      While there are certainly difficulties in planning a trip like this, you always plan the first-order trip using only technologies that are actually available. Then you can plug in new ides or "just" make refinements to the plan until, one day, the cost calculations on your one-time fantasy suddenly fall past the line of "feasible." Then you start the donation campaign.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    5. Re:So they named it Project Icarus... by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      All we really need to do is seed the place with algae. Give the DNA another chance.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    6. Re:So they named it Project Icarus... by oni · · Score: 1

      or, just data on a hard drive and a machine that can sort of print DNA.

      I'd like to see a really detailed study of seed ships - kind of like this icarus study. There are a lot of problems. For starters, your DNA (and to a lesser extent an embryo) isn't enough to create a healthy human being. You'll also need to bring along all the bacteria that live in our gut - and that's just for starters. Then you've got to have machines sophisticated enough to raise human children. In A.C. Clarke's book, Songs of Distant Earth there's a neat passage about the robots on seed ships that raised the first generation of settlers. It includes the line that sometimes, the robots had to dispassionately cull the population - in other words, you have to program robots that will identify a child as a sociopath and a danger to the very existence of the colony, take that child out of the nursery, and kill it.

      Kind of cool, huh?

  8. Daedalus it is. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe we should go for project Daedalus.

  9. Let's REALLY plan ahead by serutan · · Score: 3, Funny

    Let's assume full deceleration at the target star has been achieved ... By that time, near-Earth telescopes would be sufficiently advanced to verify and inform the Icarus computers ...

    ... that the pre-warp technology museum on Starbase 235 is prepared to receive it in docking bay 19.

    1. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Charliemopps · · Score: 0

      There is no such thing as warp. We will never travel faster than the speed of light.
      Sub-light speed travel is the only option. Get over it.

    2. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Xupa · · Score: 1

      There is no such thing as warp. We will never travel faster than the speed of light.

      A material that allows evergy to only pass one way seems like it would defy some sort of law of physics.

      still not strong enough for the space elevator tether... so meh

      going from XP to Win7 will be a nightmare and we all know it. It might just be easier to switch to linux desktops.

      Srsly, science. Just give up. Focus on things Charlie says is possible, like computerized contact lenses. Or alien cloning.

      What we're headed for is a smartphone like device hooked up to a pair of eyeglasses via bluetooth (or whatever) that have a heads up display in them. Eventually the phone will go away and be part of the glasses... then eventually the glasses will go away and be replaced by contacts. It's only a matter of time.

      I want future aliens to come, find our database and raise me from the dead... so I'm all for this.

    3. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Conspiracy_Of_Doves · · Score: 2

      You can't say that FTL travel is impossible until we learn everything about physics.

      It violates what we currently understand of physics.

    4. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      How do you know this?

    5. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Prove it.

    6. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Physicists who actually understand relativity would beg to differ. Look up, for example, the work of Alcubierre, Van Den Broek, and others. Also consider that warp (on a small scale) is what makes gravitational lensing possible.

      It may never make a practical FTL drive (where engineering comes into play as well as theoretical physics), but there most assuredly is such a thing as warp.

    7. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. The history of physics (science) is the old thoeries falling away and the new thoeries taking over. Rinse, repeat.

    8. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they used to think that it was impossible to fly faster than the speed of sound, impossible to fly to the moon, etc.

    9. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by lennier · · Score: 1

      Look up, for example, the work of Alcubierre, Van Den Broek, and others.

      Yes, those would be the applications of General Relativity that require "exotic matter", which doesn't actually exist in our universe. If we had fairy dust we could also build a theoretically plausible Peter Pan Drive, if we had some fairies.

      Also consider that warp (on a small scale) is what makes gravitational lensing possible.

      Fun science fact: even in Newtonian gravity light beams are deflected by gravity wells (just with a slightly different deflection to what General Relativity predicts), so gravitational lensing in itself is not a particularly good example of GR-type spacetime warping.

      Of course the dirty little secret of GR is that Einstein never considered it his final theory or even a fully satisfactory one - but after 1915, his program of building a classical relativistic theory of unified force fields increasingly diverged from where quantum mechanics was headed, and his deep disagreements with Bohr and other QM gurus are well-documented.

      Everyone likes to remember Einstein as "the genius" who invented relativity - and pretend that he both invented E=MC^2 and that this led to the atomic bomb - yet pure Einsteinian relativity did not produce Quantum Electrodynamics (which really DID make atomic fission weapons possible) and in fact the failure of classical unification suggests that the foundations of GR (and by extension, SR, because GR was necessary to make SR compatible with gravity) are likely flawed, or at the very best, incomplete.

      Many of the best minds have tried to make GR compatible with QED and failed. John Wheeler, for example. String Theory was our last, best hope for making sense of the incompatibility, but that seems to be rapidly falling out of fashion now as "not even wrong". So on the one hand we have the "beauty and simplicity" of Einstein's geometrical approach, and his SR is considered beyond debate - yet his later development of SR appears to lead into nothing but dead ends. So perhaps it wasn't strictly correct itself?

      We "know" that SR is "absolutely correct", but we also know that it doesn't account for gravity without GR, and we also know that GR doesn't account for electromagnetism, let alone the strong and weak forces - and that things like parity violation in the strong force and the microwave background radiation ought to raise serious questions about whether the anisotropy of spacetime and the relativity of velocity addition are as fundamental principles as they appear at the local, electromagnetic level. Or whether Lorentz' ideas about the contraction being merely a local illusion of a global, absolute "ether frame" process might not have some validity.

      But that's not something people like to talk about. In science, we like our unassailable saintly intellectual heroes, regardless of whether they were entirely self-consistent.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    10. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but they were theories of OBSERVABLE FACTS. Glowing piece of rock exposes photographic plates? Ta-dah, quantum physics. What OBSERVABLE, REPEATABLE events would you say lead to new physics?

    11. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      sending a camera at 3.3% the speed of light to see what its actually like?

    12. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      oh, you know what kind of energy is being injected into the universe to cause it's expansion to accelerate? you know what particles make up the dark matter nebulas around galaxies? you know what kinds of exotic matter can be built with future accelerators? all these things you know will never cause our current models to be abandoned? wow, you are one smart dude, let's halt all physics now and just listen to you.

    13. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      Are you saying space-time can't be warped? that would be false, we observe it is. are you saying we can't make exotic matter that would warp space-time? that would be an opinion on what future discovers would yield.

    14. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      Actually, you probably could do the smartphone thing with existing technology. Use the same stuff the jet fighters use. You'd probably start off with some bulky ugly glasses, but we'd find ways to make them smaller. Miniaturizing stuff we already have has consistently proven to be easier than inventing all new stuff.

      The alien line sounds more like a joke that you've taken out of context.

    15. Re:Let's REALLY plan ahead by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      The laws of physics.

      But lets say there's some big loophole we missed... or we got the math wrong... where are all the aliens? Shouldn't there be ships zipping in and out all the time? Trying to trade with us? Shouldn't the galaxy be awash in their activity?

      Interstellar travel is totally and completely possible. We have the technology now. It's just very very very slow. That's not the end of the world, but we have to accept it and deal with it... not fantasize about magic warp drives.

  10. Aww by Chaonici · · Score: 1

    I saw "Project Icarus: an Interstallar Mission Timeline" and thought we were finally going to research a way to dial the ninth chevron. Alas, disappointed yet again.

    1. Re:Aww by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yea, I thought that too but then I realized that without other aliens around, it would be pretty boring, useless, and earth would completely forget about in 2 years, given that there's wrestling to be watched.

  11. i don't see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the point in the timeline where after generations, the crew gradually forgets about their mission,
    divides into castes, and has a civil war...until the ship has arrived at its destination and is
    on the brink of destruction, and a lone plucky teenager and sidekick discover the original
    mission and saves everyone

    1. Re:i don't see by CRCulver · · Score: 1

      What is the story to which you're alluding to? The only science-fiction work I know of where the people of a generational starship forget the mission and start infighting is Gene Wolfe's The Book of the Long Sun . What other books have such a plot?

    2. Re:i don't see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wall-E.

      They have to fight the AI of the ship.

    3. Re:i don't see by RockClimbingFool · · Score: 1

      Another similar story would be Pandorum. Good flick.

    4. Re:i don't see by ZerothAngel · · Score: 1

      To add to the list: The Dark Beyond the Stars by Frank M. Robinson.

    5. Re:i don't see by adnonsense · · Score: 1

      Stephen Baxter: Ark

    6. Re:i don't see by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      Rogue Ship, by Alfred E Van Vogt

    7. Re:i don't see by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      In Robert J. Sawyer's "Golden Fleece" is similar, but they don't forget the mission.

  12. Isn't this covered by Stargate Universe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Of course, it is ending with tonight's episode.

    1. Re:Isn't this covered by Stargate Universe? by D4C5CE · · Score: 1

      Only if, adding insult to injury, their crew too has to fly into an eternal blue&green Vista boot screen. ;-)

      As you seem to see the final episode, will salvation be as easy as Rush&Eli getting to install Linux at last (comes with a FLOSS driver for Chevron 9 out of the box) ?

  13. duh, look at the requirements first? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Considerations such as fuel sources, mining methods, interstellar spaceship construction activities and maintenance are being analyzed, all of which would be carried out before even reaching the ultimate interstellar goal.

    Let's think about what this statement is really saying, and then slap our heads with a "Gee, Beav! Y'think?" I know that when I decide to walk across a huge desert that I wouldn't consider little trifles like food or water beforehand...

  14. Silly. by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

    Just use an interstellar ramjets and cold sleep. At least until we make contact with the Outsiders and get hyperdrive technology.
    And if you see something that looks like a pair of sock puppets do not trust it.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    1. Re:Silly. by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      Embryos in liquid nitrogen with a lot of radiation shielding, artificial wombs, robots to raise them when they get there.

      Like Hogan's Voyage from Yesteryear

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Embryo_space_colonization

    2. Re:Silly. by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Actually Larry Niven's Known Space.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    3. Re:Silly. by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      Niven did it too huh?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyage_from_Yesteryear - theres Hogan's, it was a neat read back then.

    4. Re:Silly. by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Interstellar niven did interstellar ram jets and cold sleep back in the 60s or I think. He started known space with http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_of_Ptavvs in 66.
      Don't know when he had ships with Embryos on them. But Clark did that with the short story Songs of Distant Earth published in 1958.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  15. and away we go by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The ability to manufacture and create new technologies is pivotal in the success of interstellar travel. The people need to be able to continuously develop new methods of improving the experience. The problem is a finite design is released while newer methods are being developed back on earth. This results in a severe limitation of the capabilities of the mission. The pre-existing infrastructure will require n+x redundancy.

    This mission needs the ability to seek out new materials. I would start with creating deep space manufacturing and materials stations and then build the interstellar travelers in space. Food will be required to be grown and harvested while in space. Most likely this will initially require a plant-based diet for those on board. Water generation is always a concern but hydrogen and oxygen are available from various sources.

    Peta-bytes in reading material and other ways for people to be active will be paramount in the missions success. I would also give a years worth of time for people to acclimate to the new way of living. The change will be drastic.

    Once all of this is achieved then several theoretical experiments can commence. By this point in time a great distance from earth will be reached and very drastic experimentation, harnessing black-hole energy as an example. This point will finally allow humans to begin to get out of this current primitive level of existence and begin to enjoy the myriad of wonders that await us all.

  16. Early adopter problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The main problem with going on the first journey is that you are bound to picked up on the way there by a faster ship sent years later, crewed by people more advanced than yourself. Which means your whole journey was rather pointless, you could have done it all in a simulator. I think most societies must perfect virtual reality before they leave their own solar systems. So then why go anywhere, you can be anywhere and do anything right at home.

    1. Re:Early adopter problem by silverspell · · Score: 1

      The main problem with going on the first journey is that you are bound to picked up on the way there by a faster ship sent years later, crewed by people more advanced than yourself.

      This is the premise of A.E. Van Vogt's story "Far Centaurus", which I learned about via Barnard’s Star and the ‘Wait Equation’, an article/blogpost on the same topic on the Tau Zero Foundation site.

  17. Yes, oh good grief is the right response by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 1

    Good grief, what makes you think we know, now, that future tech will never find a way to get to the stars in any reasonable time with a reasonable energy cost?

    Good grief, use current tech limits to whine that chemical rockets can't do the trick.

    Good grief, whine that current physics knowledge won't allow faster than light travel or even communication.

    Good grief, whine that we know everything today and will never ever come up with any new ideas. Wormholes? Science fiction without the science. Too afraid to come up with any alternatives because we already know there aren't any. 107 years ago saw the first controlled (barely) powered (barely) flight (barely). You'd have stopped there even though we have thousands of years ahead of us that will make the last 107 look as slow as those 107 made the prior 107 years look.

    People like you would never have even kept a lightning strike fire going "because we don't know how to start one ourselves".

    Never would have tinkered with Newcomen's engine to make it better, never would have dreamed of putting it on rails or in a boat, because 5 psi isn't good enough and it burns too much wood and we will never know how to make better metals or find better fuels.

    Never would have investigated the speed of light in ether, never would have wondered why it showed no variation, never would have wondered where radiation came from, never would have wondered about anything.

    On and on, whiners like you are left in the dust by those who dream. What a dreary world you live in.

    1. Re:Yes, oh good grief is the right response by eriqk · · Score: 1

      Good grief, what makes you think we know, now, that future tech will never find a way to get to the stars in any reasonable time with a reasonable energy cost?

      Going to the stars is either cheap or fast (for very, very relative values of "cheap" and "fast"). The combination is a physical impossibility.

      Good grief, whine that current physics knowledge won't allow faster than light travel or even communication.

      Please point me towards physics knowledge that suggests faster than light travel or communication. Bonus points if it doesn't require bizarre amounts of energy.

      Wormholes? Science fiction without the science.

      Wormholes are a way for sci-fi writers to conveniently keep their plot moving. We'll not be using it to conveniently keep our starships moving.
      Suppose we could use wormholes to travel. We'd first have to find one, and then travel toward one. The time it would take to do this would make the wormhole completely useless. That's ignoring what happens if you'd travel through it.
      You'll find that this is true for all plotdrives.

      Science fiction without the science indeed.

      107 years ago saw the first controlled (barely) powered (barely) flight (barely). You'd have stopped there even though we have thousands of years ahead of us that will make the last 107 look as slow as those 107 made the prior 107 years look.

      People like you would never have even kept a lightning strike fire going "because we don't know how to start one ourselves".

      Never would have tinkered with Newcomen's engine to make it better, never would have dreamed of putting it on rails or in a boat, because 5 psi isn't good enough and it burns too much wood and we will never know how to make better metals or find better fuels.

      Never would have investigated the speed of light in ether, never would have wondered why it showed no variation, never would have wondered where radiation came from, never would have wondered about anything.

      Nothing you describe above is anything that hits hard physical limits.

      On and on, whiners like you are left in the dust by those who dream. What a dreary world you live in.

      Dreaming is fine. It's also useful to be able to wake up sometimes.

    2. Re:Yes, oh good grief is the right response by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Going to the stars is either cheap or fast (for very, very relative values of "cheap" and "fast"). The combination is a physical impossibility.

      No, it is only impossible according to today's primitive technology, which has only known about relativity for a little over 100 years, and quantum mechanics less than that.

      Please point me towards physics knowledge that suggests faster than light travel or communication. Bonus points if it doesn't require bizarre amounts of energy.

      Please point yourself to even a glimmer of imagination and realization that we don't know everything.

      Wormholes are a way for sci-fi writers to conveniently keep their plot moving. We'll not be using it to conveniently keep our starships moving.

      Such a binary imagination to assume it's wormholes or nothing. I'm glad you know all about the future of science. We ought to hire you and abolish all science jobs everywhere since you know all.

      Nothing you describe above is anything that hits hard physical limits.

      They certainly thought so at the time, which is my point, which whooshed right on past you. That's not surprising, since you seem to think the future ends right now.

  18. No Thanks! by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

    These guys probably thought, with society's short attention span, they'd waited long enough to fool everyone! But I just watched Die Another Day last night, so I know exactly what Project Icarus is! These guys are North Korean plants!

    However, if they're willing to give me some quality time with Rosamund Pike... I'll gladly turn a blind eye to their machinations.

    --
    #DeleteChrome
  19. Am I the only one... by CowardWithAName · · Score: 1

    ... who remembers the Danny Boyle movie Sunshine?

    I fear that the fate of Project Icarus has been preordained, and it's not very good...

    1. Re:Am I the only one... by jeffmeden · · Score: 1

      Preordained, perhaps, by the namesake of the project, well before motion pictures were even conceived? Remember, that time he flew too close to the sun and his wings fell off and he crashed into the ocean? I mean, why on earth would you want to name your flight-related project that? It's like launching a new cruise ship and calling it the Titanic. Really? Are there not enough Greek heroes whose missions went off without a hitch of which to name these sorts of things after? Was Apollo the only one we could think of?

    2. Re:Am I the only one... by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      Nope, that movie was the first thing that popped into my head too (oddly enough I just watched it for the first time last week).

      I do agree though - given that in legend Icarus fell to his death, it's not exactly a great choice of names :).

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    3. Re:Am I the only one... by cormandy · · Score: 1

      Hey, me too. I have Sunshine on DVD. Movie fucking freaked me out. Alex Garland knows that such missions are doomed! Don't do it!

    4. Re:Am I the only one... by CowardWithAName · · Score: 1

      Thanks for missing the point entirely. :)

    5. Re:Am I the only one... by rpresser · · Score: 1

      It was SUCH a good movie until they dragged in the requisite evil monster from hell that all SF movies seem to need these days. FUCK.

      Oh, and somebody tell Boyle that you don't freeze just by being in shadow. Even in space.

    6. Re:Am I the only one... by supertrinko · · Score: 1

      I think it's named as it is because of the dreams of Icarus, wanting to reach the sun, even at great risk. It's not the failure you should be focusing on, but the dream. A noble thing to name a ship after indeed.

      --
      If it rhymes it must be true.
    7. Re:Am I the only one... by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      If you play the Brian Fox commentary (he was the advisor on the scientific valididity) you would have noticed him saying something like "I told them Boyle wouldn't freeze, because one of the problems in space is losing the heat you generate. You have nothing to lose it to. I also told them to keep it in the film, because it looks good. Combined with the burning at the moment he leaves the safety of the shield it displays the hostility of the environment outside of the ship perfectly".

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    8. Re:Am I the only one... by cyclomedia · · Score: 1

      I really need to get it on DVD, went to see it at the cinema but the guys in the projector booth were obviously having a laugh and replaced the last reel with one from Event Horizon

      --
      If you don't risk failure you don't risk success.
    9. Re:Am I the only one... by RoboJ1M · · Score: 1

      If you play the Brian Fox commentary (he was the advisor on the scientific valididity) you would have noticed him saying something like "I told them Boyle wouldn't freeze, because one of the problems in space is losing the heat you generate. You have nothing to lose it to. I also told them to keep it in the film, because it looks good. Combined with the burning at the moment he leaves the safety of the shield it displays the hostility of the environment outside of the ship perfectly".

      Don't you mean Brian Cox?

    10. Re:Am I the only one... by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      I am sorry, I do mean Brian Cox.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
  20. Crew? by Vrallis · · Score: 1

    One major project 'section' I notice missing from their site is the crew. They cover the goal of reaching a star within a human lifetime, but I didn't see anything about it being multi-generation. Sending out a bunch of 20 year olds on a 50 year mission seems to leave little time for serious research at the destination planet, assuming they all even live that long.

    I'm all for making some attempts at interstellar travel, but it almost has to be designed with a sustaining colony in mind. That means enough crew that, after accounting for typical numbers of deaths, birth defects, etc, can produce a genetically viable long-term colony.

    There are a few problems though that human society has to get past, particularly from the typical American view-point:

    - One-way trip; we are sending the entire crew to their deaths, whether they procreate or not, never to return to earth.
    - Planned breeding. With a small population the exact pairings must be planned out in advance to prevent genetic problems. IVF or even the old turkey baster may be sufficient to get around the social aspects of actual intercourse. This will also likely mean multiple children by different fathers.
    - Forced careers/labor. With each generation--particularly if the are born and raised into adulthood while still on board a ship--most will need to fill certain highly skilled roles. I can imagine this would harken back to older times where parents passed on their specific skills to their children.

    There is also the issue of what if they arrive at the target planet and discover it really isn't habitable? There probably need to be contingency plans to make the trip to the next possible candidate. This is something that they could be actively looking for during the trip itself.

    After a colony is established and a couple generations (with very large families) then the majority of the above can go away and begin to turn into a typical human society.

    1. Re:Crew? by vlm · · Score: 1

      There is also the issue of what if they arrive at the target planet and discover it really isn't habitable? There probably need to be contingency plans to make the trip to the next possible candidate. This is something that they could be actively looking for during the trip itself.

      That's why you're better off building fully self contained permanently habitable stationary colonies every couple months along the path. As a bonus, you'll probably end up with something like a trillion times earths surface area as permanently habitable stations. On the down side that is going to take a heck of a lot of material. It'll take a lot longer, but the rewards are greater.

      Its a very American perspective to try to get their first, once, and just as a stunt. Much better to settle colonies all along the way.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    2. Re:Crew? by udoschuermann · · Score: 1

      Icarus does not plan for a human crew. It's all robotic.

      Also, similar to Project Daedalus on which Project Icarus builds, this is predominantly a concept to research the actual feasibility of going to another star using what science, technology, and production capability we have today as opposed to back in the 1970s.

      Project Daedalus did not plan for a reverse Oberth maneuver at the destination star, but would shoot past it. Icarus plans to achieve orbit at the destination star. Also, I do not know what acceleration forces and temperature extremes the craft would be subjected to in order to reach a speed of 0.12c or slow down again at the other end of the trip, but given those requirements and our technical limitations at this point (not to mention the utter uncertainties of what we find there, or not find), a human crew might simply not fit into the mission profile.

      --
      --Udo.
    3. Re:Crew? by Vrallis · · Score: 1

      Icarus does not plan for a human crew. It's all robotic.

      Hmm I guess I missed that part. I saw the comment about completing within a human lifetime and went with the assumption from that point.

      Either way, a manned mission and colony is really the path for us to take.

    4. Re:Crew? by Vrallis · · Score: 1

      That's why you're better off building fully self contained permanently habitable stationary colonies every couple months along the path. As a bonus, you'll probably end up with something like a trillion times earths surface area as permanently habitable stations. On the down side that is going to take a heck of a lot of material. I

      Not just materials to build, but materials to sustain. Perhaps if the stations were built on planets (habitable or not) then this would be feasible. Without it you'd just have a massive string of floating space stations that need a constant stream of resources, no matter how sustainable they try to be.

    5. Re:Crew? by lennier · · Score: 1

      That's why you're better off building fully self contained permanently habitable stationary colonies every couple months along the path.

      So you'll need to accelerate to interstellar cruising speed and decelerate to orbital capture every couple of months (assuming that there are mass points accessible within that timeframe; dwarf stars maybe?) That's a lot of reaction mass. Ouch.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    6. Re:Crew? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So basically its going to be China that that establishes the first extra-terrestrial colony. Its going to take some serious rewiring of the western brain to get around these concepts. Not to mention the public outcry in America/Europe over effectively farming children as fodder for space missions.

    7. Re:Crew? by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Either way, a manned mission and colony is really the path for us to take.

      Why?

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    8. Re:Crew? by oni · · Score: 1

      One major project 'section' I notice missing from their site is the crew.

      lol. reading comprehension fail.

      It's an unmanned probe that makes a flyby of Barnard's star. The only crew is computers.

  21. Why spread the dysfunction? by Syncerus · · Score: 1

    Seriously, folks, why are we so eager to spread our dysfunction? Until we can manage the basics of sanity here on Earth, we have no business spreading to the stars. I'm not even talking about an idealised society of some kind; I'm just suggesting basic stability, justice and social order. Two thirds of the globe live in grinding misery,most of which is entirely preventable. I'd even go so far as to say that 85% of human misery is self-inflicted; the remainder is inherent in the human condition.

    By any reasonable metric, social science has fallen abjectly behind "hard" science. In my view, this is because of the primacy of subjectivism and relativism in the humanities, but I'm certainly open to other explanations. I'm not opposed to space travel, even interstellar travel, which is almost entirely wishful thinking by the innumerate, I just think we should put our own house in order before we trash our neighbour's place.

    --
    "Man is nothing without the works of man" -- Helvetius
    1. Re:Why spread the dysfunction? by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      Dysfunction? Seriously, speak for (and get over) yourself. Sure, there are plenty of dysmal things in our history but there is greatness too, and there are men and women everywhere, poor or well-off, who are striving to be better than they are. This dream of travelling to the stars is part of that.

      On the other hand, some say that we need to spread out beyond Earth because we are so dysfunctional, and now have the capacity to destroy ourselves.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    2. Re:Why spread the dysfunction? by Cheeko · · Score: 1

      Additionally many have postulated that it would take going to the stars to truely put humanity in perspective and allow us to co-exist. There will always be political infighting, but going to the stars will make many of the things we squabble over seem rather minor in comparison. Additionally any generational craft like this would likely have to be a cross national mission, which has the potential to foster a more unified humanity as it progresses.

    3. Re:Why spread the dysfunction? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I knew there would be a self hater sooner or later. OMG, the human race is so evil, so broken, ewww. Why don't you step off the planet for awhile?

      Exploration leads to scientific advancements which lead to a better quality of life for everyone. I also sincerely doubt your numbers are anywhere near realistic. Two thirds of the globe live in grinding misery? I don't think you know what misery is.

      You believe both that we are such awesome beings that we can affect the universe in a negative way while at the same time so dysfunctional that we can't even mange to run our own planet.

      As for those who do not believe we will ever achieve interstellar travel, though out history, before the technology to do so was discovered, there are always those who say something is impossible. Sailing around the world, flying, going to the moon, going to Mars, always someone has said these things are impossible. Don't tell me we will never be able to do something unless you know every discovery we will ever make.

    4. Re:Why spread the dysfunction? by lennier · · Score: 1

      going to the stars will make many of the things we squabble over seem rather minor in comparison.

      Yes, just like going to the Moon made the last quarter of the 20th century entirely war-free.

      Mind you, since building a starship means, by definition, building a large, extremely energetic kinetic missile steered by bored people in a small can who might get extremely pissed off and not consider themselves "Earthlings" after a few generations... that would make our other troubles seem rather minor.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    5. Re:Why spread the dysfunction? by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      The universe is vast, most of it beyond our reach (we can get to less than 1E-22 of it which constitutes the observable universe). no need to worry about "spreading" anything, we can take all the stars and asteroids we want and not make a dent

    6. Re:Why spread the dysfunction? by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      While I do largely agree with your premise, I can't help but think of http://www.xkcd.com/451/ when I read your post.

  22. Re:atmosphere infactdead, replaced with atmostfear by spun · · Score: 1

    Please get help, and get on some better medication. We've been watching you go downhill for years now. Schizophrenia is a hell of a disease, and untreated, it can lead to you becoming a danger to yourself and others.

    --
    - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
  23. Za'ha'doom by rlp · · Score: 2

    Icarus might want to avoid it. Just sayin' ...

    --
    [Insert pithy quote here]
  24. I think we are already doing this... by davevr · · Score: 1
    Considering you need:
    • * sufficient population to have genetic diversity
    • * sustainable food and water for the entire trip
    • * source of materials for clothing, tools, habitat repair, etc.
    • * a source of gravity close to 1g so that life as we know it can function
    • * a protective shield that can withstand intense radiation, meteor strikes, etc.
    • * an energy source that can power the whole thing for thousands of years

    I think the smallest possible intersteller vessel is probably an Earth-like planet in orbit around a Sol-like star. So now the question is, where are going??
    - davevr

    1. Re:I think we are already doing this... by callmebill · · Score: 0

      "Sufficient population blah diversity"... Send a wide variety of sperm sample and some ladies with big hips.

    2. Re:I think we are already doing this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so, we just need an asteroid to hit us hard enough to break us free of the solar system's gravity well and then we can cruise the galaxy! gnarly!

      Hmmm, wait, first, there's the fact that the impact kills everything and...as we move farther from ol' Sol it starts getting really cold....
      Damn

  25. not manned by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    to everyone commenting about human concerns with such a mission, RTFA/site. The purpose is a thought experiment to design a mission to send an unmanned probe to nearby stars, in the same vein as a similar inquiry almost 40 years ago, Project Daedalus. There is really nothing "nerd nutty" here, but instead an interesting discussion about a very achievable goal.

  26. Why name it... by Deadstick · · Score: 2

    ...after the guy responsible for the first pilot-error accident?

    Exceeded the rated service ceiling of his aircraft, inducing a thermal environment that caused primary structural debonding, and left a parabolic trail of wax, feathers and Greek obscenities into the Sea of Crete...

    rj

  27. It Depends on How You Define Mission by anorlunda · · Score: 1

    I recall hearing about a fun concept. It would use a solar sail only 2 molecules in thickness and a single chip payload weighing only a gram or two. It would be accelerated by laser to 0.25 to reach Proxima Centauri in about 17 years and beam close-up pictures home. No need to decelerate.

    Does that qualify as an interstellar mission?

    1. Re:It Depends on How You Define Mission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I recall hearing about a fun concept. It would use a solar sail only 2 molecules in thickness and a single chip payload weighing only a gram or two. It would be accelerated by laser to 0.25 to reach Proxima Centauri in about 17 years and beam close-up pictures home. No need to decelerate.

      It would, but the kinds of cameras that weigh only a gram or two... aren't going to take very good pictures of planets as they whizz by them at 0.25c.

  28. Not with Unity! by wfstanle · · Score: 0

    Unbuntu will never hit that target if they continue to push that Unity stuff down the throat of their user base. I'm a Unbuntu user and would like it if they gave a choice at upgrade time. Unity could be a choice (even the default choice) but they make it hard to install a different desktop. You have to jump through all sorts of hoops to get other than Unity.

    1. Re:Not with Unity! by lennier · · Score: 1

      Unbuntu will never hit that target if they continue to push that Unity stuff down the throat of their user base.

      Yep, and they might start an interstellar war if they send Unity to Alpha Centauri.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    2. Re:Not with Unity! by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      If the Centaurians actually use that crap, the war will have only losers.

    3. Re:Not with Unity! by eriqk · · Score: 1

      Unity would never allow us to send it to Alpha Centauri. It's too busy preventing war and bringing peace.

  29. Mea culpa! by wfstanle · · Score: 1

    Oops! I read the summary, logged it and went to the wrong article. Mea culpa!

  30. Is this going to be done by Africans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because I keep being told that they are 'the same as us', yet without any evidence...

    Oh, wait...

  31. Think Galaxy, Act Local by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How about we start off with an inter-PLANETARY craft first and maybe a moon base.

    1. Rockets to LEO -- "check"
    2. permanent space station at LEO -- "check"
    3. Interplanetary craft at LEO for travel to other locations in solar system
    4. permanent outpost on the moon (get there via #3)
    5. manned trips to other planets/bodies in solar system
    6. permanent outposts on other planets/bodies in solar system
    7. TBD
    8. reaching other star.

    1. Re:Think Galaxy, Act Local by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      9. ???
      10. Profit!

    2. Re:Think Galaxy, Act Local by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      we already have sent interplanetary craft to all the planets (New Horizons to arrive at Pluto in 2015), why wouldn't it be time to plan unmanned interstellar trip?

  32. Not time yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We need to become interplanetary soon-- but we didn't evolve for multi-year trips through space, we evolved for Earth. Before going interstellar, we are going to have to have some serious eugenic progress, like repairing the vitamin C synthesis pathway that evolution destroyed because of insufficient selective pressure. I'm in favor of getting up and running on Mars and the moon, and then just holding off on anything else until science, basically, stops-- and the S-curve of knowledge hits its upper limit. This universe may be infinitely large, but its underpinning rules are not infinitely complex. There are things we will never be able to do, and we should know what those things are before we fling ourselves into the cold reaches of space.

  33. Enterprise by D4C5CE · · Score: 1
  34. In other news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In other news, a program has been started to implement ancient puzzles into videogames to find a male individual with high mathematical skill, preferably a little overweight and little social attachments to be working on this project icarus.

  35. Better than that by cbhacking · · Score: 1

    It violates what we currently know how to do, in Physics. 100 years ago, we didn't know how to produce anything like a laser, or how to split or fuse atomic nuclei on demand, or how to pack a billion switches onto a square inch of silicon. Today, we don't know how to bend spacetime in a way that lets us travel faster than the speed of light (according to an outside observer).

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alcubierre_drive

    --
    There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    1. Re:Better than that by lennier · · Score: 1

      100 years ago, we didn't know how to produce anything like a laser, or how to split or fuse atomic nuclei on demand

      We're still pretty crap at the last two. If we knew how to fuse nuclei on demand we'd be doing it right now, and if we knew how to split (and more importantly stop splitting) nuclei on demand we wouldn't still be hosing down reactor cores at Fukushima.

      We know how to bang some rocks together and make them get a bit hot. Beyond that, we don't know much.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    2. Re:Better than that by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      wrong, we know how to halt nuclear fission easily, just some cheap-ass TEPCO corporate knobs didn't want implement the means properly, and they're paying and paying the price. We do fusion in particle accelerators and fusors, there is human made fusion machines operating right now. Net positive energy is another matter, but that is a problem being actively worked.

    3. Re:Better than that by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Well we do know how much energy you need to bend space-time even if we can't actually bend space time. In the case of the Alcubierre drive, you need more energy than in the visible universe. Also you need "negative" matter, that currently does not exist. In fact anything that permits FTL always violates some conservation parameters widely believed to be true (bit like conservation of energy, and entropy of the universe is always increasing). So even if you could bend space time, you still may not have FTL.

      Don't forget that any from of FTL also violates causality.

      Of course this does not exclude FTL travel, but if I were a betting man.... I am not sure it is a good bet.

      And yet, we don't need FTL to reach the stars. We just need to expand our thinking and timelines to match the vastness of space. Next quarter profits just won't get us there.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  36. FTL Impossible? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ok. So the mathematics require that nothing of mass can travel faster than light, because light is always observable to everyone at every speed. According to Einstein, there is no doppler effect with light: Light looks the same to a person standing still as to a person moving. That's the assumption that all of this nonsense about nothing traveling faster than light is based on.

    In order for that to be true, we have to accept that light always travels at a constant speed. Experiments have confirmed that light does not appear more quickly or slowly depending on the direction and speed of the traveler. Thus, when moving away from light the distance must change to be shorter (for a constant speed light beam traveling to the target), or get longer when moving toward a target. The light will cover the distance to the observer in the same timespan. In addition, an object moving has more mass than an object at rest.

    These are all assumptions based on observations of objects moving at an incredibly slower relative velocity to the objects or phenomenon they are measuring (light).

    Einstein's solution was that space and time are warped by gravity, making all of this possible. Observations have held it up to be true.

    I think that the problem here is not that light travels less distance as you move away from it or that it travels more distance as you move towards it, or that light changes speeds, or that mass changes or that empty vacuum warps and we ride upon its physical surface like boats on the sea.

    Let's try some different assumptions.

    1. We know that objects travel faster than light in at least one place in the universe – in a black hole objects are accelerated to speeds at which light reflecting off of their surfaces or emitted by the objects cannot reach escape velocity. Thus, things falling into a black hole must be traveling faster than the speed of light.

    2. It follows from 1 that an object traveling faster than the speed of light away from a single source of light is unobservable.

    3. Mass is the measurement of the amount of matter in an object.

    4. It follows from 2 that the only way to add mass to an object is to add matter.

    3. Matter and energy can neither be created nor destroyed, only converted from matter to energy or energy to matter.

    5. Distances between two stationary objects in space cannot change.

    6. An object set in motion moving from one stationary point toward another stationary point will eventually reach the other point.

    7. The object will be observed to have moved over both time and distance. That is, the object cannot simply jump from one point to the other.

    If all of those are true, as they have been observed to be in science, then faster than light travel is possible, but unobservable as it occurs. If an object travels faster than light, then it will outpace the light reflected from it and the object will appear before you at the second point ahead of any light reflected from its surface can be observed.

    In addition, an object traveling faster than light cannot see anything behind it, only things ahead of it as light emitted or reflected from objects ahead will hit the object and light traveling toward the object from behind will not hit the object.

    The amount of energy needed to accelerate an object to the speed of light is constant. Any energy introduced above and beyond that amount against the object in the direction of travel will accelerate the object beyond the speed of light.

    To prove that distance is constant, I submit that if you were to accelerate one proton, p', to 50% of c towards a second proton, p'', traveling at 75% of c, that the relative velocity of p' to p'' is greater than the speed of light, and that they will collide closer to p' point of origin than p'', proving that distance is constant even at 'relativistic' speeds.

    Furthermore, I submit that the energy released by the collision will be equal to the energy released by 2p hitting an imaginary stationary object of ze

    1. Re:FTL Impossible? by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

      Einstein's solution was that space and time are warped by gravity

      The idea of space per say being warped by gravity is a vague and probably inaccurate analogy rather than an observation. The warping is of a purely mathematical nature. That is, the analogy makes us believe that we understand the math even though we don't. The mathematics is able to make accurate predictions with or without the pseudo-idea of curved space, the idea of which was actually introduced by Minkowski, not Einstein. Minkowski was more a mathemetician than a traditional scientist-as-experimentalist and the idea was never originally intended to reflect the nature of reality per se.

      Also the actual mathematics implies a curving of space-time which is *not* the same thing as curved space. Space-time is not even really a thing, at least not a thing that we are capable of picturing in our minds. The pseudo-concept is just a convenient shorthand for the elegant (but extremely complex) math which itself is the great achievement of relativity theory with its superb predictive value. Our various explanations of the math are highly suspect and the idea of space itself being curved into a 4th physical dimension (not time) is itself both utterly unproven and not even implied by the math.

      1. We know that objects travel faster than light in at least one place in the universe â" in a black hole objects are accelerated to speeds at which light reflecting off of their surfaces or emitted by the objects cannot reach escape velocity. Thus, things falling into a black hole must be traveling faster than the speed of light.

      The speed at which an object enters the event horizon of a black hole has nothing to do with light not being able to escape its gravity well and certainly does not imply faster-than-light speed. The way I imagine it is this: A black hole is black because the speed at which photons (reflected or emitted) travel is not sufficient to reach escape velocity. Picture a photon being slowed down until it just falls back down toward the surface of the superdense matter of the black hole. Of course this only makes sense if you believe in photons with mass and photons which can be slowed or reversed in direction through a spooky-action-at-a-distance (aka gravity). I tend to find the idea of light-as-a-stream-of-particles easier to imagine than the massless wave alternative or some spooky combination of the two, but the truth can only be determined by experiment.

      I believe the usual analogy would involve first pretending that our naive idea of space and space-time are equivalent and then imagining that 3d space is somehow a thin flexible fabric which can be deformed by objects with mass like bowling balls, lead shot, ball bearings, and marbles. Of course photons are often considered to be without mass, but it is really just another way of imaging the photons sort of falling back down. Into the bowl like depression in the space-time fabric too steep for it to escape. But by focusing only on the path of a massless photon and not on what is causing it to actually move you can try to escape the problem that Newtonian ideas of gravity would have with a massless object.

      --
      Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    2. Re:FTL Impossible? by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      These are all assumptions based on observations of objects moving at an incredibly slower relative velocity to the objects or phenomenon they are measuring (light).

      No. These are theoretical prediction that have been confirmed for every case tested. Human beings accelerating things to very near the speed of light is a daily occurrence. Google "synchrotron" to see how many are currently operating.

      1. We know that objects travel faster than light in at least one place in the universe – in a black hole objects are accelerated to speeds at which light reflecting off of their surfaces or emitted by the objects cannot reach escape velocity. Thus, things falling into a black hole must be traveling faster than the speed of light.

      That's not true. From the perspective of an outside viewer, no object ever reaches the event horizon. It's a fall that takes an infinite amount of time. It's one of the pitfalls of using black holes for transit. You need to go back in time when you exit from the other side. From the perspective of someone falling into a black hole, they never exceed the speed of light, they calculate that the outside universe is receeding, even though the light falling in is strongly blue-shifted and they don't even notice the event horizon.

      3. Mass is the measurement of the amount of matter in an object.

      No. Mass is the amount of energy (of all forms) that an object possesses.

      4. It follows from 2 that the only way to add mass to an object is to add matter.

      No.

      5. Distances between two stationary objects in space cannot change.

      That depends upon your definition of stationary and distance. An observer can change the distance between them by accelerating himself.

      6. An object set in motion moving from one stationary point toward another stationary point will eventually reach the other point.

      That depends upon how you define toward, but yes, if you define toward as the direction and velocity necessary for it to reach the other point, it's a tautology

      I'm not sure what you were trying to prove about faster than light travel, but it's clear you need to study some relativity. Distance is changed by relativistic velocity. That's the one part of the solution to the twin paradox. Two twin's, one stays home, one travels at 99% of the speed of light to a star 10 light years away and back. The one that stays at home ages 20 years and sees that his brother traveled 20 light years. But once the traveling brother got to 99% of the speed of light, the distance between the earth and the distant star is only 1.4 light years. There's a lot of other stuff you should learn about simultaneity, too.

  37. Cost... by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Did they figure out how much that fuel tank is going to cost? I'm guessing about as much as the ISS.

  38. if only by strack · · Score: 1

    what we need is a way to directly turn electricity into momentum without using any mass.

    1. Re:if only by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      we can do that with a laser, but you don't get much thrust that way. a Newton (a fifth of a pound) per 300 megawatts, a very bad deal indeed.

    2. Re:if only by Mt._Honkey · · Score: 1

      what we need is a way to directly turn electricity into momentum without using any mass.

      Well how are you going to make the electricity? Solar power is worthless outside the inner solar system, so you'll need a generator of some kind and that will need fuel. The generator fuel is going to have mass, and once you use it it is dead weight, so you might as well use it as propellant.

      --

      Don't Bogart the fish sticks
  39. Credit where credit is due by Kadmos · · Score: 1

    I just hope those IT guys get the credit they deserve this time. They do a hell of a job.

  40. Shiny by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Shiny with lots of lights, a few of them blinking.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  41. Project by hotelogix · · Score: 1

    I remember it , Slumdog Millionare

  42. At least they are trying... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone wants to trash on this idea because it's too futuristic or beyond what we are capable of. That sort of logic is and has always been a failure in the making. Projects such as asteroid mining will surely come before the full construction of an interstellar space ship but I can't see removing credit from a group of scientist that is thinking and presenting new ideas.

    The human race needs people trying to see over the next hill. They may be wrong on 90% of their work but there will be 10% that is still good when the time comes to develop interstellar space ships.

    We need more people thinking. Not less.

    AC

  43. Why are you looking skyward? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Yellowstone Caldera is by far the greater threat. Sure an asteroid could trigger an extinction event but if Yellowstone decides to build up to a terminal belch, it will make the Yucatan strike look like a rainbow on a warm spring day.

    1. Re:Why are you looking skyward? by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      So, knowing our luck as a species the asteroid will probably impact the caldera.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
  44. Let FOSS Devs name the project by helios17 · · Score: 1

    With application names like ZynAddSubFX and Guayadeque, I'm sure they can come up with something apt.

    --
    Windows assumes you are an idiot...Linux demands proof.
    1. Re:Let FOSS Devs name the project by syousef · · Score: 1

      With application names like ZynAddSubFX and Guayadeque, I'm sure they can come up with something apt.

      Project.....GIMP!!!!

      --
      These posts express my own personal views, not those of my employer
  45. The whole project is plain dumb by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

    I've never seen a project more stupid than this ... Spend the absurd amount of described resources and time to build a ... probe? WHF?

    With these resources would be much more useful to make an entire lunar base, and use it as a starting point to build things less extravagant and more realistic.

    --
    Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time