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Wealth In Africa Mapped Using Mobile Phone Data

KentuckyFC writes "The remarkable growth of mobile phone use is transforming many parts of Africa. In Sudan and Gabon, more than half of all adults use their phones to transfer money, the activist website Ushahidi used text messages to map post-election violence in Kenya in 2008 and in Nigeria, mobile music services are a multi-million dollar industry. Now demographers have used the way people purchase airtime to map wealth in Cote d'Ivoire on Africa's west coast. They analysed a dataset from one of the country's largest mobile operators containing caller IDs, the cell towers used for each call and the time and amount of all airtime purchases. The researchers say an individual's airtime buying habits are a good proxy for his or her income. As a result, they were able to to map wealth across the entire country. Their map clearly shows the wealthy cities such as Abidjan, the largest seaport in West Africa. But it also shows an unexpectedly wealthy region in the conflict-ridden area that borders Liberia. This wealth probably arises from illegal activities on the border, such as drug, arms and human trafficking, they conclude."

34 comments

  1. It would be nice to see a map by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

    To be told that something works by an academic is nice, but it is hardly satisfying. Without the data, rigor, or representation, we have no pragmatic way to see how useful this actually is.

    1. Re:It would be nice to see a map by Bigbutt · · Score: 4, Informative

      Remove the last character from the link.

      [John]

      --
      Shit better not happen!
    2. Re:It would be nice to see a map by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      There is a map in the PDF provided for the study. Numerous maps in fact, you lazy bastard.

    3. Re:It would be nice to see a map by pjt33 · · Score: 2

      I don't think the editor (or the submitter, if they wrote the headline) saw a map. If they had, they might realise that Côte d'Ivoire is a fairly small part of Africa. I'm fairly sure they wouldn't think "Wealth in America mapped using mobile phone data" is a suitable headline for an article which only looks at data from Manhattan.

    4. Re:It would be nice to see a map by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But then I have to RTFA - couldn't we just have the map in TFS?

  2. Four oh Four by cyberpocalypse · · Score: 2

    Would be nice to have an article linked correctly... https://medium.com/the-physics-arxiv-blog/716ca39266c9

    1. Re:Four oh Four by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Well, nevermind, that completely invalidates my post earlier. Slashdot needs a "Sorry, I was wrong" button, if not an edit button.

    2. Re:Four oh Four by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Just change your /. name to 'Sorry, I was wrong'. That will be close enough.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    3. Re:Four oh Four by Sorry,+I+was+wrong · · Score: 1

      Sorry, that's taken.

    4. Re:Four oh Four by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      ...an edit button.

      Never! For all that is good in this universe, I pray that the Slashdot staff will never implement such a horrible atrocity. It would be a crime against humanity.

      Just post a correction, and leave it at that.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    5. Re:Four oh Four by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except an edit button need not allow you to delete what you have already written. It could simply allow you to add said correct.

    6. Re:Four oh Four by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      "Reply to This" is good enough...

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  3. Alternative Explanation for Buying Habits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Perhaps there is simply a very high need for airtime in certain regions that has nothing to do with wealth. If a farmer is nearly bankrupt but pays for new, expensive farming equipment (perhaps even taking on a huge debt) it doesn't mean he is wealthy. He's broke. The expenditure is just something needed it to keep his business going.

    Before someone flames me for not RTFA, I got a 404 error when I followed the link.

  4. Proxies can be two-edged... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...The researchers say an individual's airtime buying habits are a good proxy for his or her income....

    They can also be a good proxy for corruption, if bribery or fraud can get you airtime...

    or for hacking, if the local provider is incompetent.....

  5. Re:Wealth in Africa is... by Sarten-X · · Score: 3, Informative

    Hardly. Basic mobile phones in West Africa cost about $20, or about a month's wages, when purchased in a store. When bought from a street vendor or from a friend, they can be had for as little as $1 for a very low-end model.

    Where in America, a phone is a status symbol showing how much wealth you can spend luxury, in Africa it's a declaration that you will be a part of modern globally-connected society. To cultures emphasizing family and tribal relationships, and now facing decline as tribe members leave for economic gain elsewhere, a cell phone represents the ability to always stay connected. A village that is still able to contact its departed members is held in higher regard than one with just money. Much of Africa's history has seen forms of money come and go, but territorial influence is always valued.

    --
    You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
  6. But... by TheCarp · · Score: 2

    Looking at the map, particularly the second one showing the "coefficient of variation" I can't help but notice that not all of the hot spots are on the boarder, but, they do all seem to be associated with rivers. River crossing on the interior and where rivers move close to borders on the exterior.

    Basically wealth is concentrated in unsurprising places along where you would expect to find trade routes. Why connect this with illegal activity aside from being more attention grabbing? I mean I don't doubt some of the wealth there is from illegal activity but, just because legitimate trade routes get used for illicit activity for rather mundane reasons (its where the money is)

    --
    "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    1. Re:But... by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      I'm just reading the summary, but "unexpectedly" seems like a word that might not be carelessly used. Legal trade is probably known and wouldn't be too hard to compare.

      Alternatively, perhaps the researchers speculated that part of it might be illegal trafficking in addition to the usual stuff. Perhaps they suggested this could be a good method of identifying illegal trade spots. And then the downstream journalists siezed on that idle speculation even though it was not the point. Relevant PhD comics comic.

      I should skim the actual paper, but I'm procrastinating FROM reading papers on a totally different field, so I'm not going to :-P

    2. Re:But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    3. Re:But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While at first glance the large areas of traffic on the Liberian border far from any nearby city might be difficult to understand, I would think it's almost certainly caused by the large number of Ivorian refugees living just over the border in Liberia (about 60,000 I think). These people need to hop over the border to communicate and recharge their phones, so it's likely they would take out big recharges, rather than small ones (which would require frequent long walks).

  7. Re:Wealth in Africa is... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Anyone who owns a mobile phone.

    Not true. In Africa, even the very poor often have phones. They can buy used phones for less than $5, which are often refurbished first-world throwaways. Phone services are very cheap, and in Africa, phones are a critical economic tool. "Minutes" on your phone are more inflation proof than the official currency, and peer-to-peer transactions are often possible. So even a farmer selling his produce by the roadside will find that a cellphone is an economic necessity. So if he has to choose between the phone and shoes for his kids, he will choose the phone. The shoes can come later.

  8. Where's the 1% ? by doubletalk · · Score: 0

    Because that's the real wealth, the rest is illusion.

  9. "wealth probably arises" by nurb432 · · Score: 0

    Wealth cant be accumulated via legal means and we just have to assume it was due to illegal means by default if you become wealthy?

    F-ing liberal

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
  10. IRS RFP on the way... by neorush · · Score: 1

    If this correlation of phone spending to income holds for the first world, how long before a department like the IRS uses this kind of meta data to flag potential tax evaders.

    --
    neorush
    1. Re:IRS RFP on the way... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They already do. If you have a conspicuous spend of any kind that isn't accounted for by taxed income, expect a visit. Expect them to trawl through yacht marina booking data, restaurant bills, jewelery receipts - any kind of luxury item. If they can get any kind of a list of big spenders, they can instantly run it up against your estimated savings...

  11. This wealth... arises from illegal activities... by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    How many times does it have to be said? War is good business, and presents many opportunities. The markets are always freest when the authorities are occupied with other matters. The same was true in the US during its war for 'independence'.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  12. Re:Wealth in Africa is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The joke was that Africa is still, for the most part, a poor 3rd world continent but whatever.

  13. Re:This wealth... arises from illegal activities.. by Medievalist · · Score: 1

    War is good business, and presents many opportunities. The markets are always freest when the authorities are occupied with other matters. The same was true in the US during its war for 'independence'.

    War is fantastic for promoting sexual slavery, to give just one example. Dick Cheney approves!

  14. Nah, that was me by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Reading slashdot while on holiday.

    (I was there last year, don't know if this dataset includes me)

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  15. Re:Wealth in Africa is... by Internetuser1248 · · Score: 1

    The joke was that Africa is still, for the most part, a poor 3rd world continent but whatever.

    Yes I find poverty hilarious too. Good joke.

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