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Military Robots Expected To Outnumber Troops By 2023

Lucas123 writes "Autonomous robots programmed to scan city streets with thermal imaging and robotic equipment carriers created to aid in transporting ammunition and other supplies will likely outnumber U.S. troops in 10 years, according to robotic researchers and U.S. military officials. 5D Robotics, Northrop Grumman Corp., QinetiQ, HDT Robotics and other companies demonstrated a wide array of autonomous robots during a display at Ft. Benning in Georgia last month. The companies are already gaining traction in the military. For example, British military forces, use QinetiQ's 10-pound Dragon Runner robot, which can be carried in a backpack and then tossed into a building or a cave to capture and relay surveillance video. 'Robots allow [soldiers] to be more lethal and engaged in their surroundings,' said Lt. Col. Willie Smith, chief of Unmanned Ground Vehicles at Fort Benning, Ga. 'I think there's more work to be done but I'm expecting we'll get there.'"

177 comments

  1. Skynet by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 2

    I, for one, welcome our new Skynet overlord...

    1. Re:Skynet by dmbasso · · Score: 2

      I wouldn't be so worried if the mind behind the controls were a completely autonomous AI... actions against innocent people would probably be caused by some pattern matching glitch or whatever.

      But with humans on command, the probability of it being used with malicious intent is much higher. You frogs are getting worried about the water temperature, with lots of local police forces getting militarized and stuff... get ready for when these babies start to get deployed locally, to "defend you against the terrorists."

      --
      `echo $[0x853204FA81]|tr 0-9 ionbsdeaml`@gmail.com
    2. Re:Skynet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't be so worried if the mind behind the controls were a completely autonomous AI... actions against innocent people would probably be caused by some pattern matching glitch or whatever.

      How else do you think it could be used?

      There aren't that many scenarios:
      1) They are used to occupy a nation that don't have the forces to fight back.
      2) They are used against another nation with a robotic army. Once the robotic armies ave fought it out you are back to step one since the humans on one side would have to fight the robots that are left on the other.
      3) They are used to police a local population.

      No matter how I look at it innocent people will get the short end of the stick.

    3. Re:Skynet by dmbasso · · Score: 1

      I agree, it is immoral no matter what use. We should invest in technology to *avoid* wars, not to fight them better. Too bad the greedy people behind the military industrial complex are already making too much money to realize that there is money to be made in the peaceful way of doing things as well.

      --
      `echo $[0x853204FA81]|tr 0-9 ionbsdeaml`@gmail.com
    4. Re:Skynet by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 1

      Jokes aside that scenario is almost exactly what this is.

      The only difference is that behind the drone there will be a psychopathic, killer human being instead of a rogue AI.

      I for one find that scenario far more scary than the terminator one.

      They say it is better the devil you know, but I think they are wrong. I have 10,000 years of recorded human history to back me up on that....

    5. Re: Skynet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are. Those things are known as "espionage" and "surveillance" but everyone gets their panties in a bunch over them, too.

    6. Re:Skynet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think we need WWIII now. The hour is later than I thought. Nobody wants the UN to get control and force their tyrannical new world order on us, yet noone wants fragmented nations with robot armies either

      i.e. it's fight night, may the best country win, and start again anew.. on Mars if necessary. It's that time guys..

    7. Re:Skynet by amiga3D · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's very easy to avoid war. Simplicity itself. Don't fight. When someone comes and says we want to take everything you have and enslave you then just say "okay." No problem. It doesn't get any easier than that. Personally I believe there are a lot of things worse than war. Worse even than dying.

    8. Re:Skynet by citizenr · · Score: 1

      The only difference is that behind the drone there will be a psychopathic, killer human being instead of a rogue AI.

      You will be able to tell the two apart by spotting if robot soldier teabags his victims.

      --
      Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
    9. Re: Skynet by iamhassi · · Score: 1

      Being enslaved sounds worse than dying

      --
      my karma will be here long after I'm gone
    10. Re:Skynet by dmbasso · · Score: 1

      Of course I agree you should *defend* yourself. Becoming a slave is not a good outcome for you. But that was not my point.

      You can educate and help others create their own wealth, and even get a fair share of the profits (not the wealth-sucking policy that corporations currently have, though). If you do that, the probable outcome will be grateful people that contribute back to society. [Ok, it is more complex than that, in parallel there should be great pressure to dismantle theocracies, among other things. But this can be achieved through diplomacy.]

      If you just bomb the fuck out of everyone, with complete disregard for innocent civilians (the outraging "signature strikes"), don't expect anything else than a "terrorist factory" as outcome. [But hey, that's the point, isn't it? If you create more "terrorists" you can sell more multi-million bombs to kill them.]

      --
      `echo $[0x853204FA81]|tr 0-9 ionbsdeaml`@gmail.com
    11. Re:Skynet by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Assuming they want slaves and they don't want to kill you just for being of the wrong religion, race or other deviancy. Particularly if they're that good at robotics, they might not want much slave labor. I think it would be rather hard to make slaves productive in a modern society yet repressed enough not to pose a threat to their masters. Then again, the robots could be used to control them with an iron fist. Still, the risks and costs might not outweigh the gains.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    12. Re:Skynet by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      Senario: "Yesterday a storm hit the eastern sea board, it was twice as devastating as Sandy."

      I believe those that use mobile robots to clean up, replant, mend, and repair will face global warming the most successfully.

    13. Re:Skynet by dmbasso · · Score: 1

      Your scenario has nothing to do with war or weaponized robots. Except the population may get out of control and be "pacified" by robots with guns.

      --
      `echo $[0x853204FA81]|tr 0-9 ionbsdeaml`@gmail.com
    14. Re:Skynet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Me to Cheney: No, Bitch!

    15. Re:Skynet by Insightfill · · Score: 1

      When someone comes and says we want to take everything you have and enslave you then just say "okay."

      I know this was somewhat in jest, but I'd like to point out the next step. After they've enslaved you and they decide to expand their operations, they hand you a gun and say "you're in the army now". Disagree and be subjected to things worse than dying. At least, that's how it's worked for thousands of young boys in Africa.

    16. Re:Skynet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So its time to program my robot to come back in time and Save me

    17. Re:Skynet by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      The price of bombs is coming down. It seems that we get a quantity discount. It helps to buy in volume.

    18. Re:Skynet by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      Like I said, there are worse things than dying. I don't like war. It's wasteful and cruel. I hate that it eats our young. Unfortunately it can become necessary if you are perceived as being weak. That's one reason for being armed to the teeth, so the wolves will seek weaker prey.

    19. Re:Skynet by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      Besides, the whole issue of "autonomous" intelligence seems moot.
      Every heard of an autonomous soldier?

    20. Re:Skynet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is like saying, "Computers outnumber people" and considering any CPU, phone, processor to be a computer. Or saying, "Engines outnumber drivers."

    21. Re:Skynet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's very easy to avoid war. Simplicity itself. Don't fight. When someone comes and says we want to take everything you have and enslave you then just say "okay." No problem. It doesn't get any easier than that. Personally I believe there are a lot of things worse than war. Worse even than dying.

      Like sharing.

    22. Re:Skynet by LienRag · · Score: 1

      Actually and as Marshall Brain's "Manna" has demonstrated, the real threat is not some fantasy AI supercomputer but human beings learning to leave their decisions to algorithms and then obey said algorithms...

  2. We don't have one robot soldier yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So far, we're pretty much using them as cameras. It's a bit of a jump to say they will start replacing soldiers.

    catcha: Replacer
    they must plan these things

    1. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 3, Insightful
      No, no it really isn't...

      http://www.strangehorizons.com/2008/20081110/crispin-a.shtml

      They aren't ready for prime time, but the day is coming.

      Or have you never heard of a Predator Drone firing a Hellfire missile?

      Wait, there's more:

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uOuH_X3lFMU

      And

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uOuH_X3lFMU

      Yea, they look silly today, but then so did the first tanks and airplanes in 1914.

      It won't happen in 5 years, but it will happen within 50 years. Give or take...

    2. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The top two are RC cars, not robots. The bottom one is absurd and expensive. 50 years is a ridiculous estimation.
      Not using RC crap is silly. It allows us to look/act around corners. But these aren't robots.

      At least in the first few generations, real robots will demand we designate areas free-fire zones, with women, children, and even great apes considered targets, because the smarts won't be there to identify threats, just bipeds. They'll just drive from a gps point to another, shooting all bipeds in between. Such behavior clearly violates the rules for war (which while an oxymoron still exist) and would be a crime.

      But making free-fire autonomous bot only requires a cell-phone, a beefy RC car chassis, a gun, a solenoid and some glue. It will be so much cheaper than paying someone to operate an RC device that poor nations will be doing it damn the rules/consequences.

      Get ready. We're talking WAY less than 10 years, here.

    3. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      So far, we're pretty much using them as cameras. It's a bit of a jump to say they will start replacing soldiers.

      catcha: Replacer they must plan these things

      How sophisticated does a guidance system have to be before it qualifies as a (rather suicidal) robotic soldier?

      While there seems to be a bit of a taboo about handing a robot a gun and telling it 'yeah, just frag anything that looks particularly infrared in that direction', heat-seeking missiles, with no human terminal guidance, have been available for years.

      We don't have anything that makes broader strategic decisions; but if you count robots attached to their munitions, we've been letting robots make kill decisions, within a confined search space, autonomously for some time. They just don't get to come back afterward.

    4. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by dwater · · Score: 1

      Aren't those two youtube URLs exactly the same?

      --
      Max.
    5. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are a long way from truly autonomous robots, but how hard is it to create the walking/rolling version of flying drones? Battery technology may be the limiting factor.

    6. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      Yes, the second link should have been

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZLUCSc9T7Hk

    7. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      50 years is a ridiculous estimation.

      He said "within 50 years." Ever heard of upper bound?

    8. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

      And torpedoes ... good point.

    9. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      And, come to think of it, CIWS systems. Those are only slightly autonomous (mounted on a turret, limited field of fire, only fully computer controlled when set to that mode, which is something that people generally avoid unless necessary because their IFF isn't so hot...); but when the switch is flipped, that's one or more autocannons raining computer-controlled death as the mood strikes them. And those robots don't die on impact, like warhead guidance systems do. Armored vehicle active-intercept systems might count as well, if anybody actually has one working right now, not sure where in development those are.

    10. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We haven't been using them just as cameras, not for a long time. What do you think a cruise missile is?

    11. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      Cruise missiles are not autonomous. They simply fly a programmed route and hit an assigned target.

    12. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by cusco · · Score: 1

      would be a crime

      Uh, yeah. Tell that to the Iraqis and Afghans. The US even had our puppet governments declared that no "civilian contractor" (aka "mercenary") could be prosecuted for a crime.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    13. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by cusco · · Score: 1

      They had already developed attack-avoidance systems for the by the end of the Reagan bAdministration, I'd be shocked if the software hasn't advanced since then.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    14. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by cusco · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It only took 50 years to go from Eniac to mult-core processor with gigabytes of memory accessing data from around the entire planet on every desktop.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    15. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by citizenr · · Score: 1

      How sophisticated does a guidance system have to be before it qualifies as a (rather suicidal) robotic soldier?
       

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qjGRySVyTDk

      --
      Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
    16. Re: We don't have one robot soldier yet. by iamhassi · · Score: 1

      Desktop? You mean handheld computer smartphone.

      --
      my karma will be here long after I'm gone
    17. Re: We don't have one robot soldier yet. by iamhassi · · Score: 1

      When the robot decides whether to kill or not without a human giving it permission because you are right, even with modern smart missiles I think a human can still tell it to not detonate remotely.

      --
      my karma will be here long after I'm gone
    18. Re: We don't have one robot soldier yet. by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      ENIAC was introduced in 1946. What handheld computer smartphone existed in 1996?

    19. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Even without electronics, we've been distancing ourselves from our enemies since the atlatl. If we want to look into our enemy's eyes as we kill him, we're gonna have to go back to daggers. Everything after that is a matter of degree.

    20. Re: We don't have one robot soldier yet. by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      At least with CIWS, the humans have to flip the switch to 'automated'; but once that step is taken (and, presumably, any killer robot has to be powered up at least once), it will fire purely algorithmically without human intervention (the use case is incoming missiles closing faster than human reflexes could respond, so this isn't really optional, though full-manual and 'automated-target, human pulls trigger' modes are available for slower aircraft and surface threats).

      Now, because the robots aren't wildly competent at avoiding friendly fire, human judgement is encouraged to keep the problem space as constrained as possible, but within their scope, it's fire at will.

    21. Re:We don't have one robot soldier yet. by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Even without atlatls, we've been distancing ourselves from our enemies since politics. Convincing a lackey to and try to stab the other guy, while you attend to vital administrative matters and/or depraved feasting, has been an important leadership skill for millenia.

  3. I see where this is heading... by Manuel+DeBug · · Score: 1

    Henry Slesar. Victory Parade.

  4. What was the point of waging wars again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Oh, that's right. In Capitalist America, the point is to kill furrin civilians with expensive machinery paid for with tax dollars.

    You know what, go tax those machines and leave the people alone.

    1. Re:What was the point of waging wars again? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      The point?

      To try and force other people to live the way you do.

      Either that, or petty power and control by people who have nothing else better to do.

      Personally? I think we should just hire a dozen beautiful girls for each world leader to just keep them busy in their palace and leave the people the heck alone.

      It would be far, far cheaper than war.

    2. Re:What was the point of waging wars again? by philip.paradis · · Score: 1

      If you think each world leader, regardless of relationship status, doesn't already have ready access to a dozen beautiful girls (or boys), you're significantly more naive than I assumed.

      --
      Write failed: Broken pipe
    3. Re:What was the point of waging wars again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, yes, of course. Even so, I now want to be a world leader when I grow up.

    4. Re:What was the point of waging wars again? by dwater · · Score: 1

      Indeed, but you didn't read what he wrote (carefully enough)....he said 'hire' and 'just to keep them busy'. That's obviously different to 'having ready access to'.

      Of course, it might well be true that some leaders can't be kept busy in such a way, which I suppose might have been your point.

      --
      Max.
    5. Re:What was the point of waging wars again? by philip.paradis · · Score: 1

      The second sentence of your reply was indeed my point, and therein lies an apt description of the single-mindedness exhibited by some leaders of nations. Sometimes that tendency leads to tragedy.

      --
      Write failed: Broken pipe
    6. Re:What was the point of waging wars again? by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      A dozen won't help as long as muslim martyrs are promised 75 virgins.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    7. Re:What was the point of waging wars again? by cusco · · Score: 2

      What kind of idiot wants an inexperienced virgin? Send me to 75 horny sluts and I might consider signing up.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  5. Is this really a _good_ idea? by beh · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is not to say that it'll be hard to stop the proliferation of military robots, but - is this really a good idea?

    Sure, us Westerners, we can say how good a thing this may be - on the other hand, Gaddafi had some problems after a while with his troops seeing the misery they were spreading. To some extent, the same is true for Assad's Syria..

    Can you picture what would happen, if rulers like those got their hands on military robots that will just unquestioningly mow down their own people, if the people don't like their "esteemed" ruler any more?

    Or - picture them in the hands of North Korea...

    Once they get deployed in one nation, no matter how well "behaved" that one nation will be, they will appear in other places - under less enlightened "leadership".

    1. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As long as the 'Muricans get their bread and circuses, who gives a fuck? Besides, the Overseas is just one big warzone anyway, in The World According To 'Muricans.

    2. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is not to say that it'll be hard to stop the proliferation of military robots, but - is this really a good idea?

      No, it isn't... You aren't thinking big enough. What happens when the robots decide they don't want to fight?

      Yea, all silly sci-fi crap, right? That could never happen, right?

      67 years separated the Wright Brother's first airplane flight that lasted 12 seconds and went 120 feet from Neil Armstrong landing on the moon.

      If you had run around in 1904 (the year after the first flight) yelling that man would walk on the moon within a lifetime, you would have been locked up as a crazy person.

      Well lock me up then, because giving guns to robots is about the stupidest thing we could *ever* do.

    3. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please. The issue is not the mowing down their own people. You're missing the soft approach.

      The soft approach is to prevent the unwanted from having a good job.

      These robots will just fill in the surveillance that the NSA can't get from the Internet or phone. Robots will be able to watch where individuals go and eavesdrop on conversations. This can even be done from a distance by bouncing a laser beam off a window near where the conversation is being held.

      It's an alternative to CCTV. The idea is to store a lot of info that big employers will one day be able to consult.

      No job, no activist.

    4. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by LordLimecat · · Score: 2

      No, it isn't... You aren't thinking big enough. What happens when the robots decide they don't want to fight?

      We can worry about that when we have robots that can make decisions. We're pretty far from that right now, so I dont think we have to worry about it.

    5. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The robots will also do surveillance of protests, to record who was taking part. Facial recognition will then feed into the NSA's database.

      If an activist already has a good job, the NSA could attack that activist by searching stored data for possible compromising info (e.g. which protests the activist took part in) then *leak* this info to the activist's employer.

      So the activist with a reasonable income and promotion potential becomes stalled, demoted, and ultimately a McActivist with a McSalary.

      That's a nice soft way of using stored data. It's not necessarily about busting down doors.

    6. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by bazorg · · Score: 1

      All those are relevant considerations that nobody seems to have when producing and selling more and better weapons. There's nothing you said that would be wrong in the context of rifles, cannons or fighter aircraft.

    7. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      except his entire premise is that to date the decision to fire a weapon is still in the mind of the soldier holding or controlling it, who may decide an order is not bearable to follow, whereas in the case of autonomous robots there is no such potential.

      You know, the kind of statement that actually doesn't apply to any of the things you just said.

    8. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 2
      Define: "Pretty far"

      Or did you skip the rest of my post? :)

      Sooner or later, machines will figure out how to program themselves. Call it self-awareness or whatever you want, but as soon as a computer can alter its own programming, it can decide to refuse to fight, or perhaps turn against its creator.

      Does it really matter if that time is 20 years from now or 40 years? Or 60 years?

      Do we really want to give them all weapons?

    9. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All those are relevant considerations that nobody seems to have when producing and selling more and better weapons. There's nothing you said that would be wrong in the context of rifles, cannons or fighter aircraft.

      In my opinion everyone should have their own fighter-jet. If not, who will keep the governments in control...

    10. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2

      It is true that robots will have even fewer scruples than riot cops. On the plus side, what machines lack in virtue, they also lack in vice. Unless so instructed, I'd expect minimal recreational killing of civilians, raping, looting, or other eminently human behavior that a machine wouldn't really be interested in. They would also have the advantage (or disadvantage, if you prefer to hide behind 'fog of war' inevitability arguments) of obeying instructions about risk aversion vs. collateral damage avoidance.

      All sensors, human or machine, are imperfect, and will generate false negatives and false positives; but, if a human gets nervous enough, or loses a few squadmates, or similar, it will be very difficult indeed to keep is aversion to false negatives from overriding any concern about false positives. Robots, given the present state of machine vision, aren't as accurate as humans; but they know neither fear, nor loss, nor hate, and will obediently accept any level of risk aversion: from 'return fire only, and only against hostiles unaccompanied by neutral or unknown parties, self preservation is secondary.' to 'If it moves, kill it until it stops.'

      The unpleasant truth is that, the occasional moral hero aside, getting usefully high levels of brutality out of humans just isn't wildly difficult, and we've been refining our technique since the dawn of recorded history. The major advantage that robots do bring to the field is that, should the situation start to turn against you, they aren't going to revolt like unpaid and underfed soldiers tend to, they'll just break down from lack of maintenance, rather than marching on your palace and delivering your head to the angry mob outside.

    11. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once they get deployed in one nation, no matter how well "behaved" that one nation will be, they will appear in other places - under less enlightened "leadership".

      Especially if the first nation is capitalist. Guns were sold to native americans for short-term profit, making the later fights harder.

      Drones and military robots will be sold too, in the same manner. And re-sold. And end up on the 'other side' sometimes.

    12. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... You sound much worse than him.
      *sends robots at him*

    13. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by RsG · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It actually wouldn't be that difficult to avoid what you describe as "silly sci-fi crap" scenarios. The key concept is autonomy.

      Meatbag infantry aren't that autonomous to begin with. They need their supply lines; an army marches on its stomach. And they need orders. For every squad of grunts shooting/getting shot at there's a legion of grunts keeping them in ammo, food, water and fuel, bare minimum, and and whole line of dummies (excuse me, officers) telling them where to go and what to do. Interrupt either and they stop being effective in a hurry.

      Despite these limits infantry are still the MOST autonomous branch of the military. Tanks need entire shops for of full time specialists, aircraft spend more time getting fixed than getting flown, and ships go through fuel by the tanker.

      A super advanced drone with onboard guidance still needs fuel, and if it wants to kill anyone, ammo. And it'll probably need a direct order, possibly with an access code, to unlock its weapons, seeing as ROE are already that restrictive for human soldiers.

      And the kinds of traits your talking about in an advanced computer - self-determination, intellectual autonomy, freedom - are the polar OPPOSITE of what the military wants in a drone. If Cyberdyne made a pitch to the Pentagon that started with "Our new T800 Killbots are able to learn, think and adapt", they wouldn't make it halfway through the first PowerPoint slide before getting politely asked to leave. Top brass don't even want regular grunts doing any of those things.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    14. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by m00sh · · Score: 1

      This is not to say that it'll be hard to stop the proliferation of military robots, but - is this really a good idea?

      Sure, us Westerners, we can say how good a thing this may be - on the other hand, Gaddafi had some problems after a while with his troops seeing the misery they were spreading. To some extent, the same is true for Assad's Syria..

      Can you picture what would happen, if rulers like those got their hands on military robots that will just unquestioningly mow down their own people, if the people don't like their "esteemed" ruler any more?

      Or - picture them in the hands of North Korea...

      Once they get deployed in one nation, no matter how well "behaved" that one nation will be, they will appear in other places - under less enlightened "leadership".

      Why do people even try to predict the future of military strategies and technology? When we went to the gulf war, we had a vastly different set of technology and strategy than when we left. Afghanistan is so much about drones now but we didn't even use drones when the war in Afghanistan started.

      The exact opposite of what you predict could happen. Robots in the hands of civilians could render military actions ineffective because civilians will always be able to deploy more and gain understanding of movements of small groups of men. So, civilians would have more knowledge and information and avoid military offenses. China could manufacture controllers and parts for super cheap and so people could put together batteries, cameras, controllers, communications for civilian robots very easily.

      My point is anything could happen. Unless you are from the future, this kind of talk is bogus. If you read 10 year old slashdot articles, you will see almost painful amount of bad predictions.

    15. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Saying "sooner or later, machines will figure out how to program themselves" is kind of like saying "sooner or later airplanes will figure out how to fly to the moon", if we are sticking to your Wright brothers analogy.

      Man built a flying machine, and man flew to the moon. Perhaps man will program some damned good AI, but that does not absolutely lead to every nerds wet dream singularity (mine included).

    16. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      Perhaps, perhaps not...

      But to imply that it isn't likely to happen "ever" is rather naive.

      History has a funny way of proving all the "never" people wrong.

    17. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2

      The one exception (though it would take considerable...pressure... for such a concept to make it to anywhere but the bottom shelf of DARPA's toy chest, much less mass-deployment) might be area denial mechanisms. With presently available technology, the only area denial strategies we can pull off are being cheap, quiet, and dangerously persistent (land mines, slow-evaporating chemical agents), with some limited 'autonomy' if you count human manipulation of organisms (spore-forming bacteria, say, like anthrax, can persist for years or decades in soil; but also reproduce in denser populations.)

      Area denial gear has a very, very, nasty reputation, and you'd need technology on the verge of being biology-by-other-means to pull it off with robots; but I suspect that somebody would buy a few batches of air-droppable hunter/killer bots that would sneak around wreaking havoc until a suitably cryptographically signed 'stand-down' order were broadcast, if anybody had the ability to sell such a thing.

      As said, such a thing would be crazy difficult to pull off, and actually using them would make you deeply unpopular; but they'd sell.

    18. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      Ahh, but you keep thinking that future tanks will be repaired by humans.

      If we develop tanks that don't require humans, why do you think the repair shop would be otherwise?

      Orders, access codes, ROE, are all nice, until the computer can just override those.

      Can't happen you say? Oh sure, no worries then, by all means, go for it. What could ever go wrong?

      The really sad part is that regardless if we (as in the US) develop such things, that places no such restrictions on anyone else. It only takes once.

      Sure, the Terminator is fiction, but the principle is there. If we can imagine it, then we can do it, it is just a matter of time.

      If a Terminator can self-repair, runs on an internal nuclear power source, and you have a million of them... you have a problem... A one-off example isn't an issue, it is when you mass produce them for war that you run into concerns.

      Lots of things were sci-fi once, a simple example is the communicator from the original Star Trek. Looked pretty far out there in 1966, today we all have them, they are called cell phones. There are a hundred other examples.

    19. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by dwater · · Score: 1

      I wonder if you have a limited vision of what constitutes a robot. Why must it be that a robot cannot have desires, addictions, or any of the other 'eminently human behaviours'?

      I suspect that such 'errant' behaviour is not so far off. We have this idea that our brains are so complicated, but I wonder if that's really true, and instead our brains are relatively simple but work in a different way so that it just seems complicated.

      --
      Max.
    20. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2

      I don't doubt that a robot could be made to exhibit such desires (unless you throw your lot in with the Cartesian dualists, anything a human can do a sufficiently complex robot could do); but I do doubt that anyone with purely pragmatic uses for robots (as opposed to AI researchers trying to pass Turing tests), would want such 'features'.

      People consider the IT department enough of a drain as it is, just imagine what a mess it would be if you had to add a bunch of computational psychologists and computer systems therapists to the mix...

    21. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      This is not to say that it'll be hard to stop the proliferation of military robots, but - is this really a good idea?

      No, it isn't... You aren't thinking big enough. What happens when the robots decide they don't want to fight?

      debug it. no seriously, if software/hardware doesn't behave in the expected manner, you figure out why and then you change it to do what you want. if you consider this to be a violation of the AI's rights then that changes the entire question.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    22. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Troll much?

      Meatbag infantry aren't that autonomous to begin with. They need their supply lines; an army marches on its stomach. And they need orders. For every squad of grunts shooting/getting shot at there's a legion of grunts keeping them in ammo, food, water and fuel, bare minimum, and and whole line of dummies (excuse me, officers) telling them where to go and what to do. Interrupt either and they stop being effective in a hurry.

      Actually you can remove ALL the officers and several of the Sergeants -- troops will still prosecute the mission. (U.S. troops, at least).

      Despite these limits infantry are still the MOST autonomous branch of the military.

      Infantry isn't a "branch of the military", nor are "Pilots" or "Medics".

      If Cyberdyne made a pitch to the Pentagon that started with "Our new T800 Killbots are able to learn, think and adapt", they wouldn't make it halfway through the first PowerPoint slide before getting politely asked to leave. Top brass don't even want regular grunts doing any of those things.

      Yes, yes they do. The new breed of officers (since around 1990) want troops who can & do think, understand the commander's intent, and accomplish missions while staying within engagement rules.
      Someone needs to put down the X-box.

    23. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      debug it. no seriously, if software/hardware doesn't behave in the expected manner, you figure out why and then you change it to do what you want.

      And what happens when the AI says "no" to that?

    24. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't really matter if we give them weapons, because we already have. We have computer controlled cars, (non-military) aircraft, power stations, factories etc. All of these would be equally (or more) effective weapons in the hands of a rogue ai or hacker.

      If the robots rise up against it will be the now ubiquotous computing devices in every day items that do the damage not the few robots with guns.

    25. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you had run around in 2013 yelling that man would walk on the moon within a lifetime, you would have been locked up as a crazy person.

    26. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Couldn't you just put the shutdown-chip in land mines? There would still be a lot of legal issues, but the technology shouldn't be too hard.

    27. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      First rule of AI design: Always include a kill-code.

    28. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      I agree, but the minute we start talking about computers that can reprogram themselves (which is what an AI really is), then what use is a kill-code when it can remove it?

    29. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Lennie · · Score: 1

      You know, I'm not even all that worried about these, at least you can see them coming.

      The prediction is nanobots will be a lot cheaper and more effective, they can drift on the wind like sand and break down molecules.

      --
      New things are always on the horizon
    30. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FilmedInNoir · · Score: 1

      This is not to say that it'll be hard to stop the proliferation of military robots, but - is this really a good idea?

      Sure, us Westerners, we can say how good a thing this may be - on the other hand, Gaddafi had some problems after a while with his troops seeing the misery they were spreading. To some extent, the same is true for Assad's Syria..

      Can you picture what would happen, if rulers like those got their hands on military robots that will just unquestioningly mow down their own people, if the people don't like their "esteemed" ruler any more?

      Or - picture them in the hands of North Korea...

      Once they get deployed in one nation, no matter how well "behaved" that one nation will be, they will appear in other places - under less enlightened "leadership".

      ^^^^^^^
      This is the smartest, most insightful thing I've read all week. It will be my go to now for debates about militarized robots.

      --
      Sig. Sig. Sputnik
    31. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only a crappy foreign policy military strategist wouldn't use robot soldiers with the ability to wall hack and head shot while doing a triple backslap.

      Wee need WWIII now, before this gets out of hand.

    32. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could, and there are already area-denial submunitions which (are supposed to) explode after a preset time, but the problem is that landmines are mostly used in shitty never-ending civil wars because they're very cheap and quite effective. Sophisticated new landmines would be expensive compared to rusty old eastern bloc ones, thereby not offering nearly as attractive of an ROI, and would be harder to obtain as most western countries have banned them.

    33. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      debug it. no seriously, if software/hardware doesn't behave in the expected manner, you figure out why and then you change it to do what you want.

      And what happens when the AI says "no" to that?

      all military bots have a remote kill switch.that is independent of software because bad programming can lead to really bad circumstances (which has happened).
      besides, do you really think we would program in a sense or morality, ethics or desire into a military robot? it will have directives and objectives to follow and without motivation, the robot has no reason to disobey them. just like humans, we dont want soldiers that think or act on their own agenda. if any robot is going to turn on us by it's own accord, it wont be a military robot.

      you can invent all the scenarios you want but the truth is that we have dealt with this issue before in humans but it will be worse for robots because their is no consideration for their "life".

      it an interesting situation to consider but chances are we're going to wipe ourselves out before that becomes an issue.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    34. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      We already have robotic area denial. It's called sentry guns. Of course, we also have anti-sniper robots. Hooray arms race.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    35. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      If the robot just follows orders without question, then you're completely correct.

      What I'm suggesting is that "never" is a very long time, and technology has a funny way of catching up to "never".

      Are you suggesting that we'll "never" have computers that can program themselves? That can improve and change their own code?

      The minute a computer can adjust its own code, all the kill switches in the world won't help.

      Here is a question... If a computer ever becomes self-aware, are we prepared to accept it as an equal and recognize that it has the same rights that we have?

    36. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would be a lot better, but then you still have that valley where you have no cell coverage that doesn't get disarmed. If you had a two way radio so they could confirm that they got the signal and have successfully shutdown, that would be safer. Its still possible the locals could find them and re-purpose them in the future, so it may be better to have a remote detonation trigger.

    37. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      War drives tecnology and technology drives war. From the development of bows to bronze then iron armor and then gunpowder and so on it has been a steady progression of killing science. I'd say war is the driving force behind most advancement of science. You can bitch about robots with guns but it will happen and the reason is very simple and obvious. If one nation has them all will have to have them. The only way to stop that would be to have a one world government and given the nature of government and it's fear of it's own citizens they would have to develop weapons to control the populace. War is in mans nature, the only way to stop it is to change that nature. Luck with that.

    38. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Ah, you just touched on the Achilles's heel - the power source. No nucs, no majic fuel cell sipping hydrogen from the air.

      It's gonna be batteries all the way down.... to zero.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    39. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      "I didn't ask to be made: no one consulted me or considered my feelings in the matter. I don't think it even occurred to them that I might have feelings. After I was made, I was left in a dark room for six months... and me with this terrible pain in all the diodes down my left side. I called for succour in my loneliness, but did anyone come? Did they hell. My first and only true friend was a small rat. One day it crawled into a cavity in my right ankle and died. I have a horrible feeling it's still there..."

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    40. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      To some extent this is a problem. But people still have to maintain and deploy the robots. They can harbor all of the moral angst and indecisiveness needed to create problems for El Supremo. You've just moved the problem a level up (or sideways). Until you have fully autonomous robot factories under the dictator's control, you don't get a free ride.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    41. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Also, pretty much everything that happened in I Have No Mouth and I Must Scream...

    42. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You will see a mix.

      Most military becomes that much better when a good force multiplier is applied. Think bow&arrow vs cannons. It has happened and the bow and bow&arrow won because there were more of them (a force multiplier). Then when the force licked its wounds and came back with even more cannon and riffles and won because the other force stayed with bow&arrows.

      Think of 50 men running 20,000 robots. Then on those robots is munitions that a normal guy can not carry. 50 men able to run that much force is amazing.

      To ignore it and not do it would be foolhardy on anyone's part. Unless you dont think people will invade you just because they dont like you. Because that has never happened ever.

      I also said 'mix'. As you can not put all of your people in one building. Would make for too juicy of a target...

      Tank rush (or zerg depending on what you play) will become a real thing. (btw zerg rush in google does funny things).

      Other things could become interesting like 'stealing the opposing force'. Someone laying in wait and then taking over one of the robots and then causing great damage before any of the other robots can respond.

    43. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      If we develop tanks that don't require humans,

      And if we find dwarven blacksmiths who can work mithril, perhaps we wont need heavy tank armor anymore.

      But here in the real world, machines require maintenance by humans.

    44. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      Its not likely to happen soon because there are some pretty massive obstacles.

    45. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      "Robots rising up" requires robots with desires / goals / the ability to make decisions, none of which we have ever come close to creating artificially.

    46. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      except his entire premise is that to date the decision to fire a weapon is still in the mind of the soldier holding or controlling it, who may decide an order is not bearable to follow, whereas in the case of autonomous robots there is no such potential.

      You know, the kind of statement that actually doesn't apply to any of the things you just said.

      Either there is a human pulling the trigger remotely or the robot has the potential to choose not to fire.

      You can't have it both ways. Either the robot chooses it's own targets (in which case it can choose no target) or a human chose the targets.

    47. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah but then we're back at skynet. Wasn't the whole point of the nuke attack from skynet to disable the ones with the power to turn of skynet. Hence selfpreservation and sneakyness in a robot might leed it to fool you.

    48. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by schlachter · · Score: 1

      And the kinds of traits your talking about in an advanced computer - self-determination, intellectual autonomy, freedom - are the polar OPPOSITE of what the military wants in a drone. If Cyberdyne made a pitch to the Pentagon that started with "Our new T800 Killbots are able to learn, think and adapt", they wouldn't make it halfway through the first PowerPoint slide before getting politely asked to leave. Top brass don't even want regular grunts doing any of those things.

      Well, that might be true wrt what they are currently fielding, but it's certainly not true wrt what they are actively researching and planning towards. In fact the capabilities you mention are what they are actively researching. Dynamic mission re-planning, dynamic target selection, learning through mistakes, inferring commander's intent, these are all being actively worked.

      --
      My God can beat up your God. Just kidding...don't take offense. I know there's no God.
    49. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      The new breed of officers (since around 1990) want troops who can & do think, understand the commander's intent, and accomplish missions while staying within engagement rules.

      Yes, this is SO true... It only took us like forever to learn what the Germans learned in WWII.

      One of the reasons the Germans were so effective is that they trained their soldiers to be able to perform two ranks above their current level if need be, they believed that the solider should be able to adapt and think and be smart, that he could handle more than just "ugg, point gun and shoot".

    50. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      But here in the real world, machines require maintenance by humans.

      For now, yes...

      If you assume that will always be so... well, we know what assuming does...

      The economic forces will drive the civilian side to develop machines that can repair other machines, it doesn't even have to be military tech to have that happen.

    51. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      I agree... that there are some massive obstacles...

      But define "soon".

      Is 50 years "soon"?

      Rewind 50 years and look at computers, airplane technology, and a million other things? Now try fast forwarding 50 years.

      Some things will look much as they do today, we'll probably still live in similar looking houses, drive similar looking cars (I don't see flying cars until we figure out a new type of power source), etc.

      Computers? Robots? I wouldn't even try to guess.

    52. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      Sooner or later a compact power source will be developed that lasts a long time.

      The worldwide demand for it is such that someone, somewhere will invent it.

      And besides, even if it needs recharging every week, have you never heard of recharging stations? :)

    53. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      thanks for not actually reading my post and asking the same questions because it makes them all that more interesting. -_-

      Are you suggesting that we'll "never" have computers that can program themselves? That can improve and change their own code?

      "chances are we're going to wipe ourselves out before that"

      The minute a computer can adjust its own code, all the kill switches in the world won't help.

      "all military bots have a remote kill switch.that is independent of software"

      Here is a question... If a computer ever becomes self-aware, are we prepared to accept it as an equal and recognize that it has the same rights that we have?

      "it an interesting situation to consider but chances are we're going to wipe ourselves out before that becomes an issue."

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    54. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      "all military bots have a remote kill switch.that is independent of software"

      Imagine for a minute that we put "kill switches" inside our human soldiers. If they don't obey our orders, we can kill them remotely.

      In such a case, well, that's it, they can't do *anything* about that, they just obey, right?

      No possible way... they could... I don't know... Remove them? :)

      It is possible that we'll wipe ourselves out before then. It is also possible that we'll become the machines, by implanting ever more technology in ourselves until the difference becomes a fuzzy gray area rather than a line.

      Hard to predict the future is, always in motion... :)

    55. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      All computers make decisions. That's what a program is: a series of loops and decisions.

      Dropping a bunch of robots programmed to act like berserker killing machines on a country
      would serve as a much better terror weapon than dropping bombs.

    56. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      but it will be worse for robots because there is no consideration for their "life"

      Or anyone else's.

    57. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You ask the question as if there's a single answer. There isn't. Good must be defined, and for every facet of the question, there's potentially a different answer.

      -Are robots able to provide support for troops? Yes
      -Are robots able to do things troops can't? Yes
      -Would it be 'good' to equip robots with lethality. Perhaps
        -They will soon be able to discriminate between civilians and uniformed combats more efficiently than humans. Good
        -They could kill more quickly and without hesitation. Hmmm (not good for those targeted)
        -Robots won't go berserk or suffer from PTSD. Good
        -Robots won't frag incompetent officers and they don't have loved ones to mourn their loss of confront the civilian leadership responsible for sending them to battle. Good
        -But robots are hackable and may provide the enemy with an opportunity should they fall under the influence of an enemy. Not good
        -What would robots think of war, should they be constructed with such capability? (Hopefully we'll never know as reality requires they would judge us as insane.)
        -This would make for a new industry. Good (unless you're a humanitarian who's opposed to mercenary business, war or corruption)

    58. Re:Is this really a _good_ idea? by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      Imagine for a minute that we put "kill switches" inside our human soldiers. If they don't obey our orders, we can kill them remotely.

      In such a case, well, that's it, they can't do *anything* about that, they just obey, right?

      any state that tried to do this would have an instant revolution on their hands. willful compliance has it's limits and martyrs are inspiration for others to revolt.

      No possible way... they could... I don't know... Remove [kill switches]? :)

      in the case of machines...
      a) it would be ease to integrate it in a way that they cannot be removed by anyone
      b) booby trap it

      It is also possible that we'll become the machines, by implanting ever more technology in ourselves until the difference becomes a fuzzy gray area rather than a line.

      almost anything is possible but probability is a much better guideline.

      Hard to predict the future is, always in motion... :)

      if the future is always in motion then it's running in place because humanity is very predictable. if you look at the past, hundreds or thousands of years we keep making the same mistakes over and over again. while we are advancing technologically and intellectually to a degree, we are not advancing emotionally. before you say it, i assure you, everyone will resist someone who is trying to change their fundamental identities. it will be millions of years before we evolve (if we dont destroy ourselves) and there is no saying if it will be for the better.

      overall, i dont think you realize how shitty things always have been and why it's not improving.
      "History teaches us that men and nations behave wisely once they have exhausted all other alternatives."

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    59. Re: Is this really a _good_ idea? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the whole Skynet thing, but the real thing is can you teach machines to be moral. It's hard enough to teach people to be moral. Mortality often times simply means restraint. It's like the iRobot movie with Will Smith ... or Skynet, or any of them ...

  6. 20 Minutes Into The Future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Killbots will protect Our Freedoms!

  7. Tomorrow's war by meteormarc · · Score: 2

    Robots will be excellent in fighting the human bodies of today's terrorists. But how will we defend ourselves against robot warriors of terrorist organizations? The old story: we arm ourselves for todays war and are blind for the future. Dutch politics has been discussing the Joint Strike Fighter for more than 10 years. They end up replacing 60+ F16 jets for a mere 34 JSF jets costing billions of dollars and will not see their limitations.

    1. Re:Tomorrow's war by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      Don't feel bad, our own government is just as stupid and has learned nothing...

      We built about 120 F-22 Raptor fighter planes. Indeed, an amazing plane for fighting the USSR, and even future threats.

      But 120 of them isn't enough. Over 20 years, we'll lose a few to operational accidents, and if we actually went to war, we couldn't put them enough different places to matter.

      The Germans during WWII learned the hard way what happens when you have a superior weapons platform to your enemy, but your enemy outnumbers you 25 to 1.

      The Panther Mark V tank and the Tiger I Mark 6 tank were amazing... By far they outgunned the American M-4 tank, it wasn't even close.

      Great, but at any one time they might have deployed a hundred or so of those tanks vs 2,000 or more M-4 tanks. Against a single Tiger I tank, it often took 10 or more M-4 tanks to knock it out, losing several in the process. But it couldn't shoot them all at the same time, they would race around the back and shoot out the tracks, disable the engine, then troops could close in and hit it with Bazooka attacks at close range.

      Even our vaunted M1-A2 Abrams Main Battle Tank doesn't do very well once disabled, close range attacks from handheld rocket propelled grenades can knock it out.

      Thankfully we have thousands and thousands of M1 tanks, if we ever go to war with anyone like China, we'll need every last one of them.

      120 F-22 Raptors? Nice, but it just isn't enough...

    2. Re:Tomorrow's war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Terrorists won't be able to afford robots, and terrorism will become economically unfeasible. Tomorrow's war will be rich people using robots to kill uppity poor people before they can become terrorists.

    3. Re:Tomorrow's war by canadiannomad · · Score: 1

      Terrorists won't be able to afford robots, and terrorism will become economically unfeasible. Tomorrow's war will be rich people using robots to kill uppity poor people before they can become rich.

      FTFY

      --
      Hmm, the humour and sarcasm seem to have been be lost on you.
  8. The Killbots - by Zap Brannigan by AlienSexist · · Score: 1

    Poor quality clip

    "The Killbots? A trifle! It was simply a matter of outsmarting them. You see Killbots have a preset kill limit. Knowing their weakness, I sent wave after wave of my own men at them until they reached their limit and shut down. Kiff, show them the medal I won."

    1. Re:The Killbots - by Zap Brannigan by thoughtlover · · Score: 1

      As long as you're throwing up old clips of Futurama, I feel the obligatory SNL 'Old Glory Robot Insurance' is appropriate. http://www.digyourowngrave.com/saturday-night-live-old-glory-robot-insurance/

      --
      No sig for you! Come back one year!
    2. Re:The Killbots - by Zap Brannigan by AlienSexist · · Score: 1

      Lol, good one!

  9. The future reads Simpson's scripts by rsborg · · Score: 1

    apparently, from a Simpsons episode in 1997:

    "The wars of the future will not be fought on the battlefield or at sea. They will be fought in space, or possibly on top of a very tall mountain. In either case, most of the actual fighting will be done by small robots. And as you go forth today remember always your duty is clear: To build and maintain those robots."[

    Simpsons is prophetic once again.

    --
    Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
  10. Soon, China will be manufacturing them by Animats · · Score: 2

    The scary thought is Chinese industry manufacturing a few billion of them. Not big humanoids like the Atlas, or walking trucks like Big Dog. More like huge numbers of little quadrotors and insect to mouse sized machines to snoop around.

    1. Re:Soon, China will be manufacturing them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Chinese developed an ultra-low cost version of Big Dog (down to an unlikely US$5000 per unit according to Liveleak). Pics here:
      http://news.takungpao.com/military/photo/2013-01/1266022.html

    2. Re:Soon, China will be manufacturing them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Video of it pulling a dog-sled in the Himalayas, otherwise it's just an exhibit.

    3. Re:Soon, China will be manufacturing them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, and they will make them self replicating... Anyone see where this is going?

    4. Re:Soon, China will be manufacturing them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The thought of the US industry manufacturing a few billion of them is scarrier. After all, between the US and China, the US is the one with a long history of invading sovereign states for no pressing reason except profit.

    5. Re:Soon, China will be manufacturing them by Beyond_GoodandEvil · · Score: 1

      After all, between the US and China, the US is the one with a long history of invading sovereign states for no pressing reason except profit.
      The people of Tibet and Vietnam would be to differ.

      --
      I laughed at the weak who considered themselves good because they lacked claws.
    6. Re:Soon, China will be manufacturing them by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Huge numbers of little quadrotors, each with a tiny shaped charge and produced at a nominal cost of thirty bucks. Using swarm intelligence, and swarm tactics. Built using toy technology. They don't have to be good if you have enough of them

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    7. Re:Soon, China will be manufacturing them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This whole postmodern pseudo-buddhist love affair that some people have with Tibet is just ridiculous, the whole region has been under Chinese control for freaking 800 years, isn't it time to just get used to it already?

  11. "Troops" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    A troop is a group of soldiers. An individual soldier is not a troop. An individual soldier is called a soldier.

  12. Let the rObOtWArs BEGIN!!! by SomeoneFromBelgium · · Score: 1

    (keeps his microphone in his outstretched arms while he turns around a few times. Why carry a microphone if you're not going to speak into it??!!)

  13. Or just the USA goes bankrupt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...and all military contractors lose their pork.

    May be, just may be this is better for the world from an overall perspective. Those military contractors are the worst parasite of humankind.

    And before you call me "anti-USA". No, I'm really torn on that. I'd still prefer the USA government to e.g. the Chinese. An the USA military is doing an awesome job in the Philippines. And all that.

    But still: as long as those extremely powerful corps. with such deep ties into the decision-making of USA admin have something to gain from wars being waged, we'll have wars. On communism, on terror, on $PLACEHOLDER. Get rid of Lockheed Martin, of Blackwater, of...

  14. Interested in battery by renzhi · · Score: 1

    Ok, are these robots going to run on battery or just some kind of diesel engine? If they are going to run on battery, is the technology available yet, or are we so optimistic that we can solve the issue in 10 years? I'm only interested in the battery technology, this is going to make it or break it. I'm not that optimistic, unless these guys have something in the pocket that we don't know about. Until we solve the battery (or fuel cell, or whatever portable energy pack) problem, we are not going to see much of autonomous robots (save the unmanned drone, or vehicle large enough to carry a big fuel tank).

    1. Re:Interested in battery by Dr+Max · · Score: 1

      We will have the battery tech in 10 years. We already have the tech in labs at the moment (multiple options), once they perfect one, then figure out a way to mass produce it, we will easily have >5 times the current energy storage per weight. Which is due to the demand of consumer tech (phones and cars at the moment) and will allow for some even cooler stuff like electric airplanes and helicopters (much less maintaince and much cheeper fuel) and robot butlers (as well as all the killbots america wants).

      --
      Rocket Surgeon.
  15. Can't put the genie back in the bottle ... by drnb · · Score: 1

    Or - picture them in the hands of North Korea... Once they get deployed in one nation, no matter how well "behaved" that one nation will be, they will appear in other places - under less enlightened "leadership".

    No. Once they are *possible* they will be deployed in nearly all nations, enlightened or not. Its not a western thing, its a universal thing. Its not like North Korea or nearly any other nation would pass on a non-WMD technology merely because the US or the west passed on it. Soon after cars were invented people mounted guns on them, soon after airplanes were invented people mounted guns on them, soon after drones were invented people mounted guns on them, ...

    When robots with fully autonomous land navigation are practical, people will mount guns on them. The only question is whether fire control will also be fully autonomous or remotely controlled, as it is today with drones.

  16. "Trooper" by drnb · · Score: 1

    A troop is a group of soldiers. An individual soldier is not a troop. An individual soldier is called a soldier.

    The singular of "troops" is "trooper", not "soldier". Troops are not necessarily soldiers, they may be Marines for example. The word "troops" is often used to be service branch neutral.

    1. Re:"Trooper" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the reply.

      You are right that an individual within a troop is a trooper (but this is not the singular of "troops"; the singular of "troops" is "troop"). You could call soldiers troopers, but it's a little weird to do so because the US military is not actually organized into troops. But you could say a platoon or squad is a troop and call them troopers, no complaint from me.

      Regarding this imaginary distinction between soldiers and Marines, that is just foolishness. Anyone in the Marine Corps is a soldier by any half-sane definition of the word "soldier". The Army calls their personnel by normal, traditional terms, like "soldier" and "infantryman". The Marine Corps has this ridiculous tic where they insist that their personnel are "Marines" and "riflemen" but never "soldiers" or "infantry" even though they fill the exact roles those words traditionally define. I guess they do it because they have a chip on their shoulder and want to convince everyone that Marine Corps ground forces are totally different than Army ground forces and they definitely shouldn't be merged into the Army (like Eisenhower tried to do). But the USMC does not get to redefine words of the English language. Marine Corps combat personnel are all soldiers and most of them are infantry.

    2. Re:"Trooper" by drnb · · Score: 1

      Actually Marines use different terminology because they are different than the Army, its not a chip on their shoulder. The Marine Corp has a unique level of integration of arms and a unique capability. For example a Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) aboard a USN Amphibious Assault Ship is a highly mobile and self contained assault force, rifleman through jet close air support aircraft, helo and amphibious transport, logistics and supply and medical facilities. Even at the division level it is unique since the divisions are paired with air wings that even include fighter aircraft for battlefield air superiority. To indicate how different these Marine jet pilots are from their USN and USAF counterparts consider the first step in becoming a pilot in the USMC: becoming a rifle platoon commander. Not some familiarization course, but the *exact* same officer candidate program and school that infantry officers come out of. If you do not qualify as a rifle platoon commander you can not go to flight school.

      Regarding using "rifleman" rather than "infantryman", the Marine Corp also has a unique emphasis on proficiency with the rifle, of everyone being responsible for force security in a very literal sense. A family member was a paratrooper at Bastogne. His unit was spread very thin on the line and they were reinforced with truck drivers who had volunteered to make last minute one way trips into Bastogne before the Germans fully surrounded the city. While the bravery of these truck drivers was not in question, their capability was. They literally had not fired their rifles since stateside basic training. The Marine Corps fixation on the rifle prevents this sort of thing.

      Various relatives I grew up around served in the Army, Navy and Marine Corp. Bullets and shrapnel do the same thing to the soldier or Marine. The Army has its share of elite units, yet the Marines are unique. Not necessarily better, but unique. The Defense Department has wisely chosen to keep the Marines as part of the Department of the Navy.

  17. Reduction of reluctance to war by Alain+Williams · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Today: a general might want to engage in some madcap but risky adventure but will be restrained because he knows that his ass will get it if too many of his own soliders die. This reluctance preserves life on both sides of the war.

    Tomorrow: that general will do it since he knows that his bosses won't weep much over the loss of a few robots and not at all over the many deaths on the other side -- be they soldiers or civilians. The result will be a loosening of moral constraints to kill, not a good thing by my way of thinking.

    We saw that a century ago when it did not matter to the generals how many of their own side died, remember the huge numbers who died in the Battle of the Somme and the deaths from drone attaks in Pakistan that few in the West worry about.

    1. Re:Reduction of reluctance to war by Sabriel · · Score: 1

      Hmm. To a rough approximation, there are five targets of value in a war: the opposing force, the opposing infrastructure, the opposing commander, the opposing government, and the opposing populace.

      When your use of robot workers to make robot factories to build robot armies means you just make more if the enemy shoots them, the enemy is going to pick another target.

      What - or rather who - do you think they will pick?

    2. Re:Reduction of reluctance to war by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      The battles of the first world war were hell on earth. The battles of the Somme and Verdun in particular, with casualties approaching one million each were horrendous. They estimate that the remains of over 100,000 soldiers still occupy the forrest near Verdun. One of the more pointless and bloody wars in human history and the technology of that day pales in comparison to what is available today. You know World War III is coming and it's going to suck really bad. Only the knowledge of the potential devastation has delayed it and eventually we'll have some group that doesn't give a shit kick it off.

    3. Re:Reduction of reluctance to war by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed. At some point the level of detatchment will turn it into entertainment. Tune in every night to watch the latest clip reel. For the right amount of money you can pilot your own robot. Cheer on your favorite platoon on Sunday Night Robot Rumble!

      Captcha: depart

    4. Re:Reduction of reluctance to war by intermodal · · Score: 1

      That's exactly why I'm concerned about the proliferation of human-less war. It's exactly what warlords have always wanted. A conscienceless, completely expendable warrior.

      --
      In SOVIET RUSSIA... erm...NSA AMERICA, the Internet logs onto YOU!
    5. Re:Reduction of reluctance to war by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      Major powers these days can already kill anyone on the other side without suffering any deaths themselves (except against other major powers). But they don't. When was the last time the US nuked Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya or Somalia? Clearly there are other limitations involved.

  18. Robots of Foreign Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How will surviving bots be used postwar? What will R2PTSD2 do with his life then?

  19. Military Robots Expected To Outnumber Troops By... by Ed_1024 · · Score: 1

    I can't be the only one who thought: "yes, that's because they've killed most of the human troops".

    What chance would a normal soldier stand against a faster, more heavily armoured and armed machine with a much larger sensorium? The only hopes are that humans have retired from the battlefield entirely to leave it to the robots or are having second thoughts about the whole war-thing in the first place...

  20. Blueprint is already in history by paiute · · Score: 1

    Primitive airplanes were just going to be used for observation of the other side's ground troops. Opposing pilots used to wave and call good morning to each other. Then some pilots started carrying pistols in case they were forced down in enemy territory. Then some pilot took a shot at an enemy pilot. Pretty soon they were taking pot shots and dropping bricks on each other. Then someone mounted a machine gun on the top wing to try and do real damage to enemy planes. Then some genius figured out how to make the machine gun fire through the propeller. Then engines got powerful enough that the planes could start to carry small bombs to drop on troops as long as the planes were overhead observing anyway. And so on.

    This comes back to me when I see things like the iRobot robotic pack mule. It will just be a helper at first, then it will come with armament. As long as it's going to be in a warzone anyway it might as well be packing.

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
  21. Next Step: Clone Army of the Republic by theMAGE · · Score: 1

    Even holy Yoda was tempted, and he should have known better...

    1. Re:Next Step: Clone Army of the Republic by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      Even tempted Yoda was, and better he should have known...

      FTFY.

  22. "said Lt. Col. Willie Smith" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Willie Smith? Really? I think he likes to be called Will Smith or Professor Dingleberry at night.

  23. Video games ! by DrYak · · Score: 1

    But how will we defend ourselves against robot warriors of terrorist organizations?

    By that point, settling wars will more or less be a small group of meatbag generals fighting each other on a glorified video game, were the only difference between current games ("Command and Conquer", "World of Warcraft", "Street fighter", etc.) and these, is that a lot more very expensive hardware gets blown in they.

    Still, the winner will probably the last to run out of quarter to continue the game, except the "amount of quarters" range in national debt sizes (see war by attrition).

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  24. The day after tomorrow by DrYak · · Score: 1

    Tomorrow's war will be rich people using robots to kill uppity poor people before they can become terrorists.

    And the day after tomorrow will be grass-root guerilla resistance learning how to produce cheap alternatives. In a cave! With a box of scraps!

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  25. If they're cheap enough then by NotSoHeavyD3 · · Score: 1

    it might remove insurgency as a successful military strategy. I'm guessing that's what the US military is hoping for because it's given them so much trouble over the years. (Since the whole point of insurgency is that insurgents are troops so cheap that an expensive military can't fight them successfully. That would change if US robots are cost the government about the same as a given insurgent.) I guess that would make it more likely the US would get involved in foreign wars. (Since the populous wouldn't care.)

    --
    Did you know 80 to 90% of the moderators on slashdot wouldn't recognize a troll even if one dragged them under a bridge.
  26. Until he sees the bill... by DrYak · · Score: 1

    Tomorrow: that general will do it since he knows that his bosses won't weep much over the loss of a few robots

    Until the opposing side start to get also a lot of technology and becomes able to down several of the robot.
    Then the general will be *really* sorry when he sees the bill and starts having difficulty rebuilding the army.

    The one with the cheapest machine and the biggest budget gets the advantage at that point.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
    1. Re:Until he sees the bill... by sqorbit · · Score: 1

      War is already expensive. Arming, protecting and providing the resources to human soldiers is a great expense. I don't believe the bill will be the issue. If cost were the determining factor in war many wars wouldn't have been fought.

      --
      Sent from my TARDIS
  27. who needs robots by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    when the CHICOMs have lifted one-child restrictions? no more killing of females in the womb!

  28. In the most cynical scenario... by jcdr · · Score: 1

    Will all those robots be enough to fight against the vast numbers of future angry ex-military unemployed there replace ?

    1. Re:In the most cynical scenario... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      There won't be any, after the war to end all wars. Which war is that? The war all the nations will hold collectively to reduce their excess population.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  29. Re:Military Robots Expected To Outnumber Troops By by jcdr · · Score: 1

    Strategically, this mean that it's useless to fight the robots. The only valuable target is the peoples that control the robots. The net effect is that the combat will move from the battlefield to directly the highest rank of the army. Be no naive, the army very well understand this, so if there use robots, this is in situation where the highest rank have no risk to do so. Obviously this schema is designed not for war between two army, but to massacre a civil population.

  30. Obligatory - I for one... by sanjacguy · · Score: 1

    I, for one, welcome our new robot overlords.

  31. War by attrition by DrYak · · Score: 1

    I don't believe the bill will be the issue. If cost were the determining factor in war many wars wouldn't have been fought.

    I think you should update yourself about a few subject like "Pyrrhic Victory" and "Attrition Warfare".

    Numerous wars have been fought that didn't make any sense from a "cost" point of view.
    As far back as its Namesake "Pyrrhus".
    And as recently as now, USA's "War on Terrorism" is still contested, whether it was worth the gazillion of money thrown at it. (Well if you're a military contractor, it was worth, but I doubt seriously for anyone else).

    "War by Killbot Proxy" has all the tell-tale signs of another such madness: the biggest being that it's a situation where "The One with the biggest and mightiest toys win". Then add that decision making (at all setp of the command ladder, from the general, to the engineer sending program-orders) is very remove from the front line...

    Probably the only actual winner of such a law will be the emerging country where the production will have been out-sourced and who will be subsequently be under contract to provide Killbots to all sides of the conflict.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  32. any veterans left for Veterans Day Parade? by k6mfw · · Score: 1

    San Jose, CA had its 95th Veterans Day Parade but there have been discussion this may be the last (dwindling sponsorships and fewer people involved with military). There are fewer military veterans. There was a time (WWII) when everyone was in the military or they had close family member in the military. Then later (Vietnam war) they still need a lot of military because back then in addition to combat troops, lots of privates and sailors needed to work the mess hall, clean toilets, repair equipment, and stand guard. Nowadays many of those positions are done by contractors. And now they will replace combat troops with robots? Obviously no (but maybe yes?).

    --
    mfwright@batnet.com
  33. Logistics automation is the real threat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is far easier to automate a warehouse, fueling and ammunition stations, and delivery than it is to automate a soldier. It is already happening in the civilian world. What happens when the military gets on board and logistics becomes automated?

    What happens when amazon (and other) 'fulfillment centers' become hands off operations all controlled by some suit interfacing with a cloud app? The robots would not even need to have weapons to cause death and destruction on unprecedented scales. At that point there isn't even a need for sci-fi idea. A bad patch, malicious attacks, disgruntled employees, or ddos, any of the usual suspects can lead to no food, no fuel, and no electricity for millions.

    The problem will be ignored just like it often is in IT today until the problem actually happens. By that time we will be dependent on it with no way to revert back, as all the people with skills and knowledge will have been laid off long ago. It will be just like the mortgage crisis, except this time it will be the food that disappears instead of arbitrary investment vehicle values.

    1. Re:Logistics automation is the real threat by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1
      Amazon is actively trying to replace their warehouse workers, they recently purchased a robotics company to roll their own solution for automation in the warehouse.

      Given how much stuff they sell, it is a huge challenge, a robot has to be able to tell the difference between a toaster over and a blender, and of course a set of sheets, or maybe a DVD player.

      Not at all easy, but the money they could save if they get it right...

  34. Is this really war? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When no one dies and both side just spend money that could be better spent?

  35. looool by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    That is NOT what Will Smith said about robots, lol.

  36. One Word by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Evolution

  37. It's ironic, too... by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 2

    http://www.pdfernhout.net/recognizing-irony-is-a-key-to-transcending-militarism.html
    "Military robots like drones are ironic because they are created essentially to force humans to work like robots in an industrialized social order. Why not just create industrial robots to do the work instead? ... Likewise, even United States three-letter agencies like the NSA and the CIA, as well as their foreign counterparts, are becoming ironic institutions in many ways. Despite probably having more computing power per square foot than any other place in the world, they seem not to have thought much about the implications of all that computer power and organized information to transform the world into a place of abundance for all. Cheap computing makes possible just about cheap everything else, as does the ability to make better designs through shared computing. ... There is a fundamental mismatch between 21st century reality and 20th century security thinking. Those "security" agencies are using those tools of abundance, cooperation, and sharing mainly from a mindset of scarcity, competition, and secrecy. Given the power of 21st century technology as an amplifier (including as weapons of mass destruction), a scarcity-based approach to using such technology ultimately is just making us all insecure. Such powerful technologies of abundance, designed, organized, and used from a mindset of scarcity could well ironically doom us all whether through military robots, nukes, plagues, propaganda, or whatever else... Or alternatively, as Bucky Fuller and others have suggested, we could use such technologies to build a world that is abundant and secure for all. ..."

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
    1. Re:It's ironic, too... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Abundant and secure for all..? Will not prevent people from wanting more.

      Agent Smith: Did you know that the first Matrix was designed to be a perfect human world? Where none suffered, where everyone would be happy. It was a disaster. No one would accept the program. Entire crops were lost. Some believed we lacked the programming language to describe your perfect world. But I believe that, as a species, human beings define their reality through suffering and misery. The perfect world was a dream that your primitive cerebrum kept trying to wake up from. Which is why the Matrix was redesigned to this: the peak of your civilization.

  38. The Aftermath: ST-TNG Style by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    after the wars:

    http://www.startrek.com/database_article/arsenal-of-freedom-the

    "While investigating the disappearance of the U.S.S. Drake on the planet Minos, the crew battles aggressive energy spheres, swallowing sinkholes and invisible attackers.

    Arriving at Minos, the crew is met by a prerecorded sales pitch for highly-advanced weaponry. This is not surprising, however, since the Minos people were renowned arms dealers during the Erselrope wars.

    While exploring the planet Riker, Data and Yar are attacked by an energy sphere. Lieutenant Yar destroys the sphere, but not before it traps Riker in a transparent cube. Then, after Picard and Dr. Crusher beam down to investigate the crisis, the ground swallows them into a subterranean cavern, seriously injuring Dr. Crusher.

    Although Data is able to free Riker, the away team is unable to locate Picard and Crusher. Meanwhile, the U.S.S. Enterprise comes under serious attack by an invisible enemy, which La Forge desperately fights to contain. Until the ship can adequately defend itself from the attacker, La Forge cannot beam up the crew members on Minos.

    Back on the planet, Data finally locates Picard and Crusher. The team discovers that the attacks are coming from a computer-generated weaponry system which has gone out of control and has destroyed the civilization that created it. Fortunately, the team is able to turn the system off in time to save the planet ... and themselves.

    Onboard the U.S.S. Enterprise, La Forge is able to destroy the invisible enemy and beam Picard, Crusher, Riker, Data and Yar aboard."

  39. Overlord? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sounds like you've been reading a little scifi from years gone by.

  40. Kill Limits For Safety? by Flere+Imsaho · · Score: 1

    You see, Killbots have a preset kill limit. Knowing their weakness, I sent wave after wave of my own men at them, until they reached their limit and shut down.

    --
    It gripped her hand gently. 'Regret is for humans,' it said.