Astronomers Investigating Unknown Object That Hit the Earth In 773 AD
KentuckyFC writes "In November 2012, a group of Japanese scientists discovered that the concentration of carbon-14 in Japanese cedar trees suddenly rose between 774 AD and 775 AD. Others have since found similar evidence and narrowed the date to 773 AD. Astronomers think this stuff must have come from space so now the quest is on to find the extraterrestrial culprit. Carbon-14 is continually generated in the atmosphere by cosmic rays hitting nitrogen atoms. But because carbon-14 is radioactive, it naturally decays back into nitrogen with a half-life of about 5700 years. This constant process of production and decay leaves the amount of carbon-14 in the atmosphere relatively constant at about one part in a trillion will be carbon-14. One possible reason for the increase is that the Sun belched a superflare our way, engulfing the planet in huge cloud of high energy protons. Recent calculations suggest this could happen once every 3000 years and so seems unlikely. Another possibility is a nearby supernova, which bathed the entire Solar System in additional cosmic rays. However, astronomers cannot see any likely candidates nearby and there are no historical observations of a supernova from that time. Yet another possibility is that a comet may have hit the Earth, dumping the extra carbon-14 in the atmosphere. But astronomers have ruled that out on the basis that a comet carrying enough carbon-14 must have been over 100 km in diameter and would surely have left other evidence such as an impact crater. So for the moment, astronomers are stumped."
Tree Rings, July 30, 2012.
"Recent calculations suggest this could happen once every 3000 years and so seems unlikely."
Why would it seem unlikely, that at some point 1300 years ago, an event calculated to happen every 3000 years actually happened?
There was indeed a "red crucifix" supernova found recently around 775 -- seems obviously the cause.
"There was a time when astronomers would have immediately ruled out this possibility as well. But last year, astrophysicists calculated that sun-like stars can produce superflares of this size about once every 3000 years."
I think that if an event happened 14 centuries ago, and one explanation is supposed to happen every 30 centuries or so then it isn't something that can be discarded as an explanation without further evidence.
Why do they rule out the superflare? Just because something happens once in 3000 years doesn't mean it couldn't have happened at a particular point in time. It only means that, given a large sample, on average the events are spaced around 3000 years apart. But in some instance it be 2000 or even 2 years apart, but other, longer periods still give an average of 3000. So in fact at any given point in time there is a non-zero probability that the event can happen and may as well have happened back in 774 AD.
While we're arguing about solar flares, or supernovas, we're kind of ignoring the obvious. The title states "an unknown object" "hit the earth". That, also, is ruled out right in the article.
Maybe a better title would have been "Some shit happened in 773 AD and no one really knows what it is, but here's what we have so far!"
It could happen. ;-)
Isn't Carbon 14 what is used in Carbon dating? I thought carbon-14 was supposed to be constant in the atmosphere? How we can trust the dating if at any given time there might be more or less being absorbed into the now dead things that we are measuring?
Read this, already published here like a year ago (o more):
http://phys.org/news/2012-06-red-crucifix-sighting-supernova.html
Dinosaur farts? SUV's? Algore flying his CO2 plane around? I'll bet they tried to jack up everyone's taxes back then, too. Cap & trade.
You know, if they were so interested in reducing CO2 they'd just cap.
Taking your time, aren't you boys?
---- The above post was generated by the Turing Institute. Maybe.
Good thing you brought it here. Nothing solves a mystery faster than wild ass conjecture.
When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.
If a Sun superflare happens once every 3000 years on average, how can you say it's too unlikely to explain something particularly weird that happened over 1200 years ago?
What kind of Math is that?
"Carbon-14 is continually generated in the atmosphere by cosmic rays hitting nitrogen atoms. But because carbon-14 is radioactive, it naturally decays back into nitrogen with a half-life of about 5700 years. This constant process of production and decay leaves the amount of carbon-14 in the atmosphere relatively constant at about one part in a trillion will be carbon-14. "
should read
"Naturally occurring carbon-14 is about 1 part per trillion. In 773 AD there was suddenly a lot more."
Part of the reason there are so few clues to the cause is the paucity of recorded history in that period. Correlation doesn't mean causation, of course.
Gently reply
http://science.slashdot.org/st...
Where I posted my theory that it killed off all the dragons, elves, fairies, witches etc.
I eat only the real part of complex carbohydrates.
I'm not saying it was aliens... but it was aliens
Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
So - you think a bit of Carbon-14 from 1300 years ago is news?
How about the "tree ring" detection for the next 5000 years based on one fouled nuclear plant gone bad ?
OK, not impressed ? How about the first six in a 30 year period with rampant commercialization ? Have humans ever made a horrible mess with chemicals, slaughter of other humans, horribly bad judgement on engineering ? oh of course, but the results are gone within a generation.. until you get to nukes, with half-lives like that described for Carbon-14.
I was in a talk with a nuclear weapons designer.. who rarely is seen due to immediate threats .. (and there were a few threats from the audience here too) He was a pompous, overweight red haired man who arrogantly proclaimed a lot of things.. including, that "The United States has never failed in achieving an engineering objective" .. at that moment, someone said.. isnt it rather cold in here? The air-conditioner for the large lecture room was stuck on, and no one could figure out how to turn it off.. (true)
So all you closet wall street'ers and you James Hanson rationalists and you Star Trek fairy-tale futurists.. a couple of nuclear disasters in the future and the profoundly fertile creation we live in is fouled for thousands of years .. There's no place like home, eh?
"a comet carrying enough carbon-14 must have been over 100 km in diameter and would surely have left other evidence"
Yeah... but not anyone to find it.
Medieval texts are both full of truth and full of utter bollocks. History and especially scientific history from around that era is scarce and subjective at best. Unless they can give actual examples that are clearly interpretable only one way, I don't think it should be taken seriously.
I was promised a flying car. Where is my flying car?
But astronomers have ruled that out on the basis that a comet carrying enough carbon-14 must have been over 100 km in diameter and would surely have left other evidence such as an impact crater... ... or perhaps the complete extinction of every living thing on the planet.
http://www.volcanodiscovery.com/de/kirishima.html
788 AD
In 772, Charlemagne began a war of extermination against the heathen Saxons, destroying the Irminsul, the chief seat of their religion. Santa Claus (known as Odin at that time, later Sinterklaus, then Santa) observed this, and at the end of 772, delivered elf-coal, high in carbon-14, to everyone in Charlemagne's forces. In the process, coal dust flew in unprecedented amounts from his sleigh, and this was naturally absorbed by the trees during 773.
I swear, if you people just knew your history a little better, you could maybe make this "science" stuff work better.
I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
One possible reason for the increase is that the Sun belched a superflare our way, engulfing the planet in huge cloud of high energy protons.
...and it could just be God, testing our faith. We learn from presentations at The Creation Museum that God does this all the time, putting riddles into nature to show us that we aren't all smart and sciency like we think we are. He could totally make a giant space gun that shoots high-energy protons at certain places in the earth to make it look like something happened a long time ago, just like he made it look like the dinosaurs lived way before Adam and Eve.
The lower leg of the Fairbanks Creek mammoth had a radiocarbon age of 15,380 RCY (Radio Carbon Years), while its skin and flesh were 21,300 RCY. (Harold E. Anthony, Natures Deep Freeze. Natural History, Sept. 1949, p. 300).
And I quote: "This constant process of production and decay leaves the amount of carbon-14 in the atmosphere relatively constant at about one part in a trillion will be carbon-14."
Huh? Americans... what can you do...
According to the IAU's vote, Pluto doesn't exist.
I'm looking at Google Earth right now, just give me a few minutes ill find the impact lol
Jack of all trades,master of none
*golf clap*
Carbon dating doesn't work. The worlds environment was different before the flood. The earth is only 6000 years old. Watch Kent Hovinds explanation on carbon dating. Actually carbon dating shows that the world can't be millions of years old.
Creationist trolls and their trolling on the trollaboat. No one is actually that stupid and still a functioning adult. Nice try though.
Every 3 hours, then? (1 year / 3000 = 3.3333e-4 years)
And as we all know, a year is roughly 10 kilo-hours long.
(Although I always prefer to think of it as 10*\Pi megaseconds, a figure which even has an interesting physical interpretation)
And how would a volcano create Carbon 14?
And, more interestingly, how would it send it 15 years back in time?
http://voxullus.wordpress.com/2013/11/28/on-the-origins-of-black-pete-a-proper-historical-context/
Even if it's half-life period is up, there would be half left luckily.
Yet another possibility is that a comet may have hit the Earth, dumping the extra carbon-14 in the atmosphere. But astronomers have ruled that out on the basis that a comet carrying enough carbon-14 must have been over 100 km in diameter and would surely have left other evidence such as an impact crater.
Not to mention completely obliterating all higher forms of life on the planet, you know, like astronomers...
The NSA: The only part of the US government that actually listens.