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TEPCO: Nearly All Nuclear Fuel Melted At Fukushima No. 3 Reactor

mdsolar (1045926) writes "Almost all of the nuclear fuel in the No. 3 reactor of the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant melted within days of the March 11, 2011, disaster, according to a new estimate by Tokyo Electric Power Co. TEPCO originally estimated that about 60 percent of the nuclear fuel melted at the reactor. But the latest estimate released on Aug. 6 revealed that the fuel started to melt about six hours earlier than previously thought. TEPCO said most of the melted fuel likely dropped to the bottom of the containment unit from the pressure vessel after the disaster set off by the Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami."

255 comments

  1. So.. what? by timrod · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This article really doesn't explain why this finding matters. TEPCO themselves said they do not know how this will effect the decommissioning process for the reactor, if at all. The only thing that seems to be different is that they now believe some of the fuel is still inside the pressure vessel, and it's not clear that they didn't already know that to begin with. It doesn't seem like anything will really change until TEPCO actually sends people in to get a look at it.

    1. Re:So.. what? by Noah+Haders · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I see this as qualified good news. A power plant had a total meltdown but the world didn't end. There was no China syndrome situation. Maybe we can start to talk about nuclear risk more pragmatically.

    2. Re:So.. what? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe we can start to talk about nuclear risk more pragmatically.

      Ha. Hahaha. Ha.

      Yeah. Also, maybe we can go down to hell and make some snow angels. Then get on our swines and fly off to a peaceful middle east.

    3. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe we should also talk about the costs then? Nuclear is EXPENSIVE.

    4. Re:So.. what? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

      eh.

      Any difference looks a lot smaller than the markup I've ended up paying for things like going through an energy co-op instead of straight from the generating company.

    5. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Meh, it's an mdsolar submission - so the inference you're expected to draw from it is OMG TEH NUCULAR IS BAD!!ONEONE!

      Tell me again how many people died as a result of radiation leaks at Fukushima.
      And how many died as a result of the tsunami.
      And compare & contrast the relative panic and news coverage of the two.

      Bah.

    6. Re:So.. what? by Wycliffe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      eh.

      Any difference looks a lot smaller than the markup I've ended up paying for things like going through an energy co-op instead of straight from the generating company.

      Those numbers are almost meaningless. The nuclear numbers for the most part don't include the cost of cleanup operations
      like what happened in Japan or Chernobyl. They might include a little bit paid to the government for disaster recovery but that
      would quickly get used up in a real disaster. Likewise coal doesn't include environmental damage and oil doesn't include all the
      military needed to keep oil stable. Even solar and wind have some negative affects. We do need to talk about cost but we
      need to talk about ALL the costs not just the operating costs but all the externalized costs as well.

    7. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's mostly just a hate'n on TEPCO thing; they downplayed the degree of fuel damage in #3 and now their gamma detectors are showing that the fuel melt was nearly total, so we have another reason to say bad things about "capitalism" and stuff.

      I knew it was total in the first week. #1 is a puddle too. Eventually they'll find #2 is also a total melt down. It's physics. They lost cooling so the fuel melted. The pattern history shows us it that the engineers and managers error on the rosy side, and when they finally get a direct view inside the vessels they find it's much worse.

      TMI-2 was the same; there were supposedly credible people arguing whether any core damage happened as all, right up till they stuck a camera in there and found half the core slagged.

    8. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I see this as qualified good news. A power plant had a total meltdown but the world didn't end. There was no China syndrome situation. Maybe we can start to talk about nuclear risk more pragmatically.

      Can we start by discussing the wisdom of building them near the coast in earthquake prone areas known to suffer regular and massive tsunami disasters?

    9. Re:So.. what? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The tsunami continues to be a very big deal in Japan. More so than the nuclear accident at the time, and rivalling it now. The thing is the tsunami happened and that was it. Things are being done to improve safety and rebuild, but for the people left alive there isn't much on-going danger.

      Fukushima, on the other hand, continues to release contaminated material and water into the environment, continues to suck up vast amounts of money with no limit and no end in sight, and continues to prevent full clean-up and re-building in the areas around the plant.

      Both were terrible tragedies, but in the end Fukushima is going to cost more and last a lot longer. It also lead to the discovery of problems at many other plants, and brought into question many of the assumptions that were made about safety. The tsunami raised safety questions too, but the solution is clear: stronger defences, earlier warnings, move away from some areas. The way forward for nuclear is not so clear, so there is still a lot of debating to be done.

      Japanese people have a far better understanding of the issues than you give them credit for, and I'd go as far as to say many of them have a better understanding than you.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    10. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China syndrome?
      In this situation that would be a Falkland Syndrome, close enough: http://www.antipodr.com/

    11. Re:So.. what? by beltsbear · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately the price of Coal fired power is meaningless for the same reasons. The price of the cleanup of the pollution is not included. Even natural gas powered plants produce enough CO2 to warrant a cleanup cost. Sure, the cleanup is nowhere near the plant, and it might not be now (like nuclear) but in the end someone will pay.

    12. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even solar and wind have some negative affects.

      Negative affects? Oh, you mean solar and wind are moody and refuse to work sometimes.

    13. Re:So.. what? by Chas · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Maybe we should also talk about the costs then? Nuclear is EXPENSIVE.

      No. Nuclear is an economy on a different scale than than non-renewables.
      It costs more going in, but you get more coming out.

      If we could just stop the unwarranted fear of the technology from dictating public policy, it'd be even more economical.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    14. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yep.

      "Safety System Worked As Designed.

      Nucleophobes Outraged Over Lack Of Outrage" isn't a headline we'll see, however

    15. Re:So.. what? by Chas · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As soon as we can discuss TEPCO being idiots for ignoring their engineers and not building the infrastructure as required.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    16. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, I'm not sure if we're frightened enough. I think if you polled most american's right now, The number one fear would be gluten, followed by vaccines.

    17. Re:So.. what? by khallow · · Score: 1, Interesting

      The tsunami continues to release contaminated material and water into the environment too. The debris washed into the sea wasn't all biodegradable and green. And things like lead and mercury have a much longer half life than things like tritium. The two events aren't compared fairly and this just another example of that.

    18. Re:So.. what? by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We do need to talk about cost but we
      need to talk about ALL the costs not just the operating costs but all the externalized costs as well.

      We don't need to talk about costs at all. Costs are measured in the monopoly money we call "currency", and subject as they are to the vagaries and panics of the financial classes, are not an indicator or metric which we should rely on when planning our energy policies.

      We need to talk about watts, mega-watt hours, materials, hours of labour, and disposal of waste. We need to talk about physical things, things we know, understand, and can do in the physical world. Not about intellectual casino chips which are magicked in and out of existence like pixels in a video game.

      Energy policy is a long game that humanity is playing with the forces of the natural world. Our (dysfunctional) systems of money are about as relevant as our spoken languages in this debate.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    19. Re:So.. what? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Tell me again how many people will die next time a nuke goes rogue close to a 30 million citizens city in California.

      X people will die (X greater 1) in car accidents trying to flee the city.

      And a year later in a /. discussion you will explain us calm wordily: 'there was no death to the accident, the panic amoung the people fleeing, caused more deaths than the radiation! (Erm, no death, more than ... a contradiction)

      You know, we use(d) to say in Germany: "What does concern me nuclear plants or nuclear power? In my home the electricity comes from the plug in the wall!"

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    20. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Negative affects? Oh, you mean solar and wind are moody and refuse to work sometimes.

      Solar doesn't work half the time. Wind rarely gets above a small fraction of the theoretical power, because the wind is too fast or too slow. Wind massacres flying wildlife. Both take up huge amounts of land and look ugly.

    21. Re:So.. what? by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      I see this as qualified good news. A power plant had a total meltdown but the world didn't end.

      "The situation is far worse then we thought, but is didn't cause an apocalypse. Good news!" Riiiiight.

      Maybe we can start to talk about nuclear risk more pragmatically.

      Sure. The risk of fusion-as-we-know-it, including the unsolved problems of radioactive waste and weapons proliferation, are so high that, pragmatically, any sane society should abandon it as a dead end and put resources into renewables (including perhaps orbital photovoltaic), efficiency, and research into fusion and accelerator-based "energy amplifier" systems -- i.e., systems with a Big Red Switch you can flip to turn them off. It's only a romanticism with the Big Science of Splitting The Atom, a desire to normalize military nuclear technology, and the incredible profits can be made when the costs are externalized, that keeps the idea alive.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    22. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Those numbers are almost meaningless. The nuclear numbers for the most part don't include the cost of cleanup operations like what happened in Japan or Chernobyl. They might include a little bit paid to the government for disaster recovery but that would quickly get used up in a real disaster. Likewise coal doesn't include environmental damage and oil doesn't include all the military needed to keep oil stable.

      So what you are saying is nuclear is even cheaper, but that externalities are just paid for more immediately than for fossil fuels? Is that it? Or maybe you don't like paying for mistakes immediately and have your grandkids pay for it instead?

      Compared to coal, nuclear seems far safer option. The worse possible accidents with nuclear seem to only affect local areas, whereas business-as-usual operation of coal, gas and oil operations seem to cause global issues. Even discounting the multitrillion dollar Global Warming issue, how much compensation can I get for not being able to safely eat fish out of any lakes in continental US?

      http://www.epa.gov/hg/advisori...

      Oh right ... who eats fish anyway.

    23. Re:So.. what? by pkinetics · · Score: 1

      in USA there was an uptick in something called a Lebron. I haven't figured out what it was, and frankly since the world didn't melt down, I figure it was irrelephant.

    24. Re:So.. what? by pkinetics · · Score: 1

      I think that's the syndrome where all of USA imports contain lead or other toxic chemicals.

      In other random thoughts, this would a great way for Japan to get rid of their waste.... just export it super cheat to USA in all their products. Maybe in that generations PlayStation and call it the PS-235.

    25. Re:So.. what? by mjwalshe · · Score: 1

      And now its gas from that nice mr putin now

    26. Re:So.. what? by confused+one · · Score: 1

      No one's going to actually go in and look at the reactor (or what's left of it) for a long time. What it does tell us is that most of the fuel is in the bottom of the containment vessel, and not hanging in the reactor pressure vessel. While TEPCO how they will use that information today it will affect their decision making process as they move forward.

    27. Re:So.. what? by confused+one · · Score: 2

      My version of Hell... would be cold. I'd expect ice and snow.

    28. Re:So.. what? by Mr_Wisenheimer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, and maybe we can talk about about abortion pragmatically too . . .

      The average member of the public has an emotional, visceral reaction to things such as GMO, global warming, nuclear power, et cetera. You might as well be talking about abortion, because Joe Sixpack doesn't understand things like nuclear physics, cost-benefit analysis, risk analysis, et cetera.

      After September 11th, the average American was more worried about being personally harmed by terrorism than bad driving, even though outside of a few major cities, the risk of dying in a terrorist attack was almost non-existent.

      That is why there is such a disconnect between the public and scientists (and the scientifically literate) on these matters. It's easier to scare someone about strangers molesting their children than it is about their children dying or having a worse life because of global warming, even though the former is a remote probability and the later is almost inevitable.

    29. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is way to hot for a human to examine.
      This is why we are waiting for the robots (in development).

    30. Re:So.. what? by bidule · · Score: 3, Funny

      Even solar and wind have some negative affects.

      Do not anthropomorphize power generators. They don't like it.

      --
      ID: the nose did not occur naturally, how would we wear glasses otherwise? (apologies to Voltaire)
    31. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't really matter though. We already knew some of the core was melted and in the containment vessel; now we know all of it is. The cleanup problem is still the same, there's just a bit more to clean up.

    32. Re:So.. what? by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is dying because it is just too expensive... not from FUD. Even if there was no opposition from environmentalists or fear in the general population, people wouldn't invest in nuclear power.
      New nuclear plants cost about $10,000 / kw and their appears to be a negative learning curve so they get more expensive over time.
      Solar and wind plants cost less than half that and are getting much cheaper very quickly... plus free "fuel" for the life of the plant and minimal decommissioning costs.
      Add in nuclear fuel costs and decommissioning costs and the occasional $500 billion disaster (covered by federal insurance - ie. taxpayers) and nuclear is just too expensive.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    33. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean US engineers and GE building a known bad design?

    34. Re:So.. what? by Beck_Neard · · Score: 1

      The total amount of radioactive material put out by a coal power plant is actually larger, per unit of energy produced, than a nuclear power plant. And in a nuclear plant, the radioactivity is confined; even disasters like what happened at Fukushima-Daichi only release a relatively small amount of nuclear material into the environment. Whereas in coal the radioactivity is open to the environment. That's not to mention all the heavy metals that coal produces. Enjoy the mercury in your tuna, courtesy of china's booming economy.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    35. Re:So.. what? by Deadstick · · Score: 1

      Well, yeah, that describes the lowest level of Dante's hell...

    36. Re:So.. what? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Maybe we should also talk about the costs then? Nuclear is EXPENSIVE.

      Compared to natural gas? You got that right. At least for all the really old nuclear plants here in the US of A, which is why they are starting to shut them down

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    37. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So, if we don't use currency in your magic world, what common denominator do we use to compare things that are not the same... such as the environmental costs of using coal versus the labor cost of decommissioning a power plant?

      Yeah, we get it. Money is the root of all evil, controlled by evil elites, yada-yada-yada. But until you come up with a better abstraction layer for value just stay out of it.

    38. Re:So.. what? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      No, I'm not sure if we're frightened enough. I think if you polled most american's right now, The number one fear would be gluten, followed by vaccines.

      Actually, right now you need to put Ebola on the top of the list, but that's just for the next few days. Once the media stops covering it, your list is about correct.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    39. Re:So.. what? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The total amount of radioactive material put out by a coal power plant is actually larger, per unit of energy produced, than a nuclear power plant.

      No it isn't. The claim that it does can be traced to a single paper written in 1978 by a scientist at Oak Ridge National Lab. The paper only considered nuclear plants during normal operation. Yet more than 98% of radiation from nukes is released during accidents, which the paper ignores. The paper also ignores the biological characteristics of the radiation. Nukes emit radioactive cesium, iodine, and strontium, which tend to bio-accumulate. Nearly all the radiation in coal is thorium, which has no biological role, and just remains inert in the ash.

      There are plenty of good reasons to oppose coal. But "radiation" isn't one of them.

    40. Re:So.. what? by bobbied · · Score: 0

      That is why there is such a disconnect between the public and scientists (and the scientifically literate) on these matters. It's easier to scare someone about strangers molesting their children than it is about their children dying or having a worse life because of global warming, even though the former is a remote probability and the later is almost inevitable.

      You had me until that thing about global warming.... That sir, is still debatable, at least in terms of being "man made" and what the future dangers might be.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    41. Re:So.. what? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Actually, we are waiting for the radioactive components to decay so we can safely get close enough to deal with this. Robots may help us get a jump on the clean up and containment efforts, but they won't be able to do much of the work.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    42. Re:So.. what? by budgenator · · Score: 2

      Don't worry about CO2, the plants need it to live, the more there is, the more they grow.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    43. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have always thought that those concerned so much about Nuclear power should get into the inspection field and make sure no one is slacking on that.

    44. Re:So.. what? by tomhath · · Score: 1

      The reason this is on /. is because the editors want to still up more traffic with irrational debate

    45. Re:So.. what? by Wycliffe · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Don't worry about CO2, the plants need it to live, the more there is, the more they grow.

      I've heard this argument before and I know plants need co2 but is co2 really the bottleneck and does increasing
      co2 cause plants to really grow faster to compensate? If co2 is the bottleneck and an increase in co2 causes
      plants to respond in step and keep co2 stable them that's fine but that doesn't appear to be what is happening.
      Co2 levels appear to be increasing so obviously this feedback loop is either not working or not working fast enough.
      If a 5% increase in co2 causes plants to use 1% more co2 then we still have an increase of 4% so yes plants
      might help a little but they aren't really a solution.

    46. Re:So.. what? by gargleblast · · Score: 1

      It is true that intensive farmers must ensure their crops get enough critical nutrients. Marijuana Yields and CO2.

    47. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So dumb.

      We have people. We have materials. We have ability. We have need.

      But, no, lets not do something important so we can spend a shorter time here being more like Ebeneezer Scrooge.

      Money is not the root of all evil. Our excessive greed for it is. And we are going to let that obsessive "what is in it for me" ( duh, clean air? ) keep us down.

    48. Re:So.. what? by hey! · · Score: 1

      Well, it probably makes no difference to the clean-up, but it does add to the take-away lessons from the disaster. It's an ongoing theme that TEPCO knew less about what was going on at the time than they thought or led us to believe. You have to set that against the overall good news that the failsafe designs of even this relatively primitive reactor mostly contained the accident. The principles of engineering are sound; management, not so much; at least not in a disaster.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    49. Re:So.. what? by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is dying? Is that why dozens of new reactors are under construction worldwide and many existing power plants have been upgraded to produce more power?

      http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/current-and-future-generation/plans-for-new-reactors-worldwide/

      It may not be the glamorous renewable energy source, or even the go to source of base power generation, but it still has a solid role in worldwide energy production.

    50. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I knew this would be among the first posts. A worse disaster than reported, so the company was either lying or clueless, and you think it's good news.

      Come back when you can talk about nuclear power without the human risks of greed, ignorance, and sloth.

      My view is that we should build many nuclear power plants, and accept that because of human failings, unforeseen technical errors, and unusual disasters, they will occasionally go bad and poison a portion of the Earth.

    51. Re:So.. what? by Beck_Neard · · Score: 1

      > Yet more than 98% of radiation from nukes is released during accidents, which the paper ignores.

      Citation needed.

      Unfortunately a lot of anti-nuke people have used Chernobyl figures as a 'baseline' for nuclear accidents, but Chernobyl was a single freak accident and it's impossible that something like that will ever happen again. The causes of the accident (lack of containment building, embarrassingly lax security procedure, out of date reactor design) simply do not exist anymore anywhere in the world. Actually, Fukushima was also a very outdated design and it's unlikely that anything like that will ever happen again, but still within the realm of possibility.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    52. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it's not. Global warming, caused by man, is not debatable. It's time to tell you children and idiots to shut the fuck up.

      You morons are abusing the patient examination that is part of the scientific method by claiming all sorts of shitbrain errors in the science.

      Enough. Shut the fuck up. Sit the fuck down.

    53. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, first off it would not melt through the earth and come out in China. It would come out...I don't have globe handy. Patagonia? Ooo. Penguins.....

      But, I hear the Chernobyl slag, at least several years ago, was still acting up. We don't know if the Fukashima melt is or isn't concentrated enough to still be molten, slowly, slowly making it's way...
      Anybody remember the Japanese horror movie, The H-man?
      At the least, it means there will be a different clean up than if some of the core was somewhat intact. It may be less radioactive, but more of it. Less radioactive, than a partial intact core: assuming it has melted other stuff and is mixed and diluted with other stuff. Is it less radioactive enough, compared to a core, to make any difference in safety, handling, disposal?

    54. Re:So.. what? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      CO2 causes acidification of the oceans, which is a much bigger problem than the greenhouse effect, and will happen much sooner than the point where atmospheric CO2 levels become toxic to humans.

    55. Re:So.. what? by Zynder · · Score: 1

      The Lebron was just a horribly shitty car and we're lucky the world didn't meltdown- many Lebrons did! Like you said tho, it's mostly irrelephant cents everyone nose Chrysler is garbage.

    56. Re:So.. what? by Zynder · · Score: 1

      Oh god.....look, if you're going to bash nuclear for being so expensive, it would help to get your math half assed right. 10k/kwh is the current cost which has those fuel and decommissioning costs at least partly rolled in. It also includes all the environmental studies, red tape, permits, bribes (donations I mean), and god knows what else. So if you hypothesize there's no opposition (enviro, FUD, red tape) then it shouldn't cost 10k/kwh. It should be lower. If you have a $500b accident that is covered by the gov then including it in the cost is just cooking the numbers. When you say it's too expensive that's from your perspective. But you aren't the one building a nuclear plant. The people that are don't give 2 shits about the 500b because it doesn't come out of their pocket book. Evidenced by the amount of new reactors being built worldwide, I'd say the people who actually know about this issue, are completely fine with those costs and see profit in it.

    57. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yep.

      "Safety System Worked As Designed.

      Nucleophobes Outraged Over Lack Of Outrage" isn't a headline we'll see, however

      Another we will never see is "Nuclear safer than anyone actually thought possible"

    58. Re:So.. what? by Mr_Wisenheimer · · Score: 2

      Everything is "debatable", but what scientifically literate people believe about global warming is very far removed from public opinion, just like it is with evolution, nuclear power, GMO, and a host of other scientific subjects.

      Also, there is really no scientific debate any longer in refereed journals as to whether:

      1) The greenhouse effect is increasing due to human activity (actually, there was never really much of a real debate about this).

      2) The increase in the greenhouse effect has become the primary long-term driver of global warming (the scientific consensus has strongly leaned towards this conclusion since the third IPCC report).

      The question of consequences is a more controversial and active area of research, but there is little doubt that given that our entire civilization is based upon the stability of the climate (including building much of our most productive manufacturing centers, population centers, and agricultural centers in places likely to be damaged or destroyed by global warming), I do not think there is much debate that the long-term effects on human civilization will be profoundly negative.

    59. Re:So.. what? by bzipitidoo · · Score: 1

      Don't be so dismissive of Chernobyl and Fukushima as freak, one time events.

      The causes you mention are proximate causes. The root cause was human stupidity, recklessness, greed, and folly. That's what sank the Titanic. That's what has caused hundreds of oil spills, including Deepwater Horizon and Exxon Valdez. It's what killed thousands of people in Bhopal. Upon inquiry, over and over we find that the operators had plenty of warnings and plenty of measures they could have taken to avoid problems. They just chose not to heed the warnings. The Titanic didn't have to charge ahead at full speed at night. Didn't have to cut straight through a field of icebergs.

      In Fukushima's case, that recklessness manifested as several stupid decisions that saved a little money but made disaster certain if a tsunami struck. They did not build a high enough wall. The engineers knew how high it needed to be and told management, but management overruled or ignored them. Then, they didn't maintain the emergency generators. They skimped on several other measures. The people making these decisions had no business taking such gambles on behalf of the whole world. They were incompetent to understand the true risks they were taking. They had no reason to suppose that a tsunami would never hit, but they behaved as if it wouldn't happen. We would never have allowed such recklessness if we'd known. And that's another thing those fools did-- cover it up. They knew others would not approve of the risks they were taking. They knew. But instead of heeding those very legitimate fears, they denied that they were taking huge risks. They behave like ostriches, sticking their heads in the sand so they couldn't see doom approaching. Then they have the nerve to say that they are blameless and no one could have foreseen that a tsunami could be that big. The only way anyone could think that is by ignoring or dismissing most of knowledge ever recorded and studies ever done on tsunamis. They built for 3.1m and increased to 5.7m, and there had already been 8 tsunamis higher than that in the past century. The 2004 tsunami that hit Sumatra was 24m, and at a few points 30m thanks to funneling effects. They might have even tried a bit of propaganda, bribe someone to cook up bad studies showing that tsunamis are never bigger than some relatively small size.

      It will happen again. We do have honest asssessment and reporting in many areas, such as passenger airplanes. Nuclear power could be operated safely. The problem is, will nuclear power be operated safely? Fukushima shows us that it won't. People can't be trusted that far. The continued efforts of TEPCO to downplay the disaster and spin it as not really their fault and also not really so horrific after all shows that they haven't learned their lesson and they still don't take safety seriously enough. Covering their asses seems to be more important than coming clean on matters that imperil the lives of thousands. One example of the spin that nuclear proponents put on the issue is number of deaths. I have pointed out repeatedly that you can't use that alone as a measure of how disastrous an accident was. By that measure, a bad bus crash (Prestonsburg, Kentucky, 27 deaths) could rank as a bigger disaster than a major hurricane (Andrew, 26 direct fatalities).

      Would you put those TEPCO bozos in charge of a nuclear plant? I wouldn't.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    60. Re:So.. what? by mdsolar · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It is not just inert, but screened by the ash. The ash is (slightly) vitrified soil from the forest where the coal came from. It is like other low carbon soil in its uranium concentration. So there just is no increase in background radiation. The claim that there is is like saying using a bulldozer exposed new uranium. It does, but it buries just as much as it exposes.

      Fossil fuels are depleted in carbon-14 so when they are burned, the amount of carbon-14 in our food is reduced. So, fossil fuels use cuts our radiation exposure. Not a good reason to use them, but the effect is opposite claimed in that paper, which is really a disgrace for ORNL.

    61. Re:So.. what? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is dying because it is just too expensive

      Uhm. I think the stats provided above put a lie to that assertion.

      Even if there was no opposition from environmentalists or fear in the general population, people wouldn't invest in nuclear power.

      That would mean no obstructionist agenda hyper-inflating the price at every turn. As such, your 10K/kw would be a ludicrously high estimate.

      Solar and wind are getting cheaper. But solar and wind CANNOT BE USED AS BASELINE POWER. PERIOD. Which means when the sun isn't shining or the wind isn't blowing you have to augment the grid for the power these sites are now NOT generating.

      And guess who's got the in there.

      Natural gas. Yet another expensive non-renewable with dramatic environmental impacts.

      There's also the fact that air and solar just don't have the energy density that a nuclear plant does.

      As for the costs of the fuel. Right now this country has suspended rare earth mining because of how much potential nuclear fuel is coming up with the other rare earths. And we have a massive national stockpile. The fact is, the tailings from just a couple mines could run enough Thorium reactors to meet the nation's entire power needs for at least a year (if not longer).

      As for the continuous talk about disasters.

      The problem is, the idiots crapping their drawers over nuclear disasters are the same people blocking the industry from creating and building safer, better designs.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    62. Re:So.. what? by Noah+Haders · · Score: 2

      I think you're overly pessimistic. the world has seen two catastrophic nuclear power plant accidents (chernobyl and fukushima). For each we can quantify the total lives lost and health impacts (for chernobyl, lifetime impacts over several decates). We can quantify the number of people displaced and the duration of displacement. we can quantify the total costs of cleanup, costs of costs of health care, economic damage. All of this informs a rational debate on nuclear risks vs. benefits.

      right now, we have the anti-nuclear people saying the sky is falling and the other side is being paid-off, and pro-nuclear people saying that there's no problem and the other side is irrational.

    63. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The amount of people died by the tsunami can be (roughly) estimated now, and will not longer rise..

      However - The amount of people that will die of cancer and other radiation-related illnesses will only accumulate over time. Do not forget radio-active materials are already in the food chain and will spread over the coming years. My estimation is that the final death toll will exeed that of the tsunami with ease..

      And then I do not talk about contaminated land that is not longer sutibla for living, but will -without doubt- declared "safe" if the economic pressure and amount bribary gets high enough. This will lead to even more disease and deaths..

      And even the people that wont die immediately often do need very expensive treatment, so the financiall toll will be big too. And I do not even talk about long-term effects, like rise in birth-deformation and cost of maintaining those lives...

    64. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Before you bash others for not getting their math right you may want to read up on what the difference between a kW and a kWh is.

    65. Re:So.. what? by putaro · · Score: 1

      Well, if we could get a majority of people to start talking about risks and costs rationally it would be wonderful. As it is, you've got people criticizing solar plants because a few birds got fried. Never mind whatever problems the solar plant replaced. I think the risk/rewards on nuclear are acceptable but trying to get people to talk about nuclear in a rational way is difficult.

    66. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the idiots praising the safety of the new designs are the same people who lied about the safety of the older designs. And now they cry about not being trusted.

    67. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In Sweden we have elections coming up next month, and one of the parties' posters bear the message "Don't buy Russian gas. Build more nuclear power plants!"

      Apparently the uranium we use in our nuclear power plants is only Russian in reality, not in their poster-friendly fantasies.

    68. Re:So.. what? by gdshaw · · Score: 1

      eh.

      Any difference looks a lot smaller than the markup I've ended up paying for things like going through an energy co-op instead of straight from the generating company.

      [...] We do need to talk about cost but we need to talk about ALL the costs not just the operating costs but all the externalized costs as well.

      Not just the costs, but also whether the energy is dispatchable.

      Power sources which can be turned on and off at short notice - such as gas and hydro - are economically more valuable than ones which can't - such as coal and nuclear. (Some nuclear plants can be ramped up and down, but the capital costs are so high and the fuel costs so low that it doesn't win you much.)

      Any of the above are considerably more valuable than sources which are both non-dispatchable and intermittent, such as wind and solar. (How much more valuable depends on factors such as the shape of the demand curve, and how much of the rest of your capacity is gas and/or hydro. Intermittent sources can work quite well in some locations, others not so much.)

    69. Re:So.. what? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      the world has seen two catastrophic nuclear power plant accidents (chernobyl and fukushima)

      I seem to remember rather a lot of bleating on this website about how Fukushima was not a catastrophe.

      right now, we have the anti-nuclear people

      Also on this site I managed to be labelled one of those "anti-nuclear people" for suggesting we use proven waste disposal methods such as synrok and for daring to suggest that 1970's civilian nuclear technology is not the pinnacle of perfection and safety.

    70. Re:So.. what? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      but trying to get people to talk about nuclear in a rational way is difficult.

      Because the discussion is framed by years of "too cheap to meter" propaganda it tends to divide out into clueless fanboys and people calling them out as liars with the scientists and engineers quietly keeping their heads down somewhere in the middle (or getting attacked by both sides).

    71. Re:So.. what? by sjames · · Score: 1

      But note that the iodine is an acute risk only. It has a half life of about 8 days.

    72. Re:So.. what? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      He wasn't working as a scientist and it was a newsletter article (later used as source material for a Scientific American article) and not a paper. Alex Gabbard was one of the administrators at ORNL and started in that position on the strength of his military experience. He does have a science degree but he has never published a peer reviewed paper. He has published some fiction, a joke book and some books about NASCAR.
      The newsletter article (which is out on the net somewhere) is blatant propaganda and ends with sillyness about terrorists potentially building nuclear bombs out of fly ash. I didn't hear about the stupid thing until it surfaced on this site around 2000 - I'd spent a chunk of the 1990s looking at fly ash without seeing anything radioactive from SEM backscatter so I laughed a great deal.

    73. Re:So.. what? by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      CO2 causes acidification of the oceans, which is a much bigger problem than the greenhouse effect

      How exactly is this true? The greenhouse effect can lead to mass flooding in coastal areas, stronger hurricanes, increased tropical diseases, and reduced harvests of staple crops around the world. Ocean acidification can lead to... what, smaller fish catches at sea? Which can be made up for by increasing fish farming?

    74. Re:So.. what? by jalet · · Score: 1

      You made my day, thanks a lot ! Hopefully they'll understand some day...

      --
      Votez ecolo : Chiez dans l'urne !
    75. Re:So.. what? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Here's some help. It's not too hard to figure this stuff out, instead of just asking questions and expecting people to hand answers to you, while you act all indignant in the mean-time.

    76. Re:So.. what? by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      I repeat my question: what is the impact on humans, besides fewer fish to eat (which has already happened, by the way, due to overfishing)? And I repeat my assertion that the potential impacts of global warming are much more significant.

    77. Re:So.. what? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Global warming is only debatable if you choose to ignore scientific findings and declare the scientific method void of use. That's it. That's the only way it's debatable. If you want to ignore that and claim global warming is debatable, then fine - but don't expect anyone here to think of you as rational or knowledgeable about this field, as you have just demonstrated you are clearly neither.

      It amazes me that people like you exist.

    78. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So when you talk about cost-benefit does that include disposal of waste in normal operation as well as that waste that is created when inevitably some of the things that could not happen actually would? Considering the results of each of the accidents so far I must conclude that this is the worst case of privatizing the profits and nationalizing the costs there possibly can be. You can ask Ukrainians too (when they kill off all the Ruskis) too what does that mean financially to have results of an accident of this type as an item in budget considerations. So far I can see a lots of uninformed opinions about nuclear energy - some of them are against it some of them are for it. Judging on how things usually go I side with opponents for a while.

    79. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      indeed - looking from a proper angle each accident is a freak occurrence that would not happen if....

    80. Re:So.. what? by blackbeak · · Score: 1

      Soo.. overfishing + nuclear contamination to fisheries + global warming + other radioactive environmental damage = less significant? What if we throw in a massive Gulf oil spill? Kind of a crappy argument to claim that because X is worse, Y + X is less significant.

      I'll answer your question; massive releases of nuclear contaminants into the environment will raise the number of cancers, birth defects and other health issues that are related to radioactive contamination and lower the environment's (already stressed) ability to supply quality foodstuffs.

      Again, I'd like to point out that "we" (the general population of the world) are not responsible for the bulk of the environmental damage that has happened or is happening. "We" don't control/make decisions for Tepco, BP, Monsanto, etc., etc. Those sublimely paid, decision-making executives are responsible and should be held directly accountable for their actions. And how much environmental damage do you think the war machine causes? (Cue: sock puppets.) That's not "we" either. You'll know who "we" are when you're inside a FEMA camp!

      Back to the cute kitten videos.....

      --
      Everything and its opposite is true. Get used to it.
    81. Re:So.. what? by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 0

      Wind farms around here are in farmers fields. Most of the land is used for farming, The turbines don't interfere much with the crops. Ugly is subjective and a stupid qualification for energy production.

      How beautiful are coal mines? Uranium Mines? Oil Fields? Is aesthetic beauty that rational of a criteria to select energy sources?

      --
      Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.
    82. Re:So.. what? by Lord+Lemur · · Score: 1

      Wait a sec. You two are fighting over which outcome from the same root problem is worse? Are you are you both that shortsighted? You are on the same side. Solve the excess CO2 problem, and both out your issues resolve.

    83. Re:So.. what? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Ok, your mind is closed. Gotcha.

      BTW, I'm not so amazed that people like you exist. There's been a lot of your kind throughout history, many who ended up on the wrong side of the question.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    84. Re:So.. what? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Nuclear insurance is literally priceless. No commercial insurer will offer it.

      Decommissioning is also rather expensive. US plants keep costs low by not actually decommissioning, instead they just encase the reactor in concrete and leave it on site indefinitely. The true cost includes returning the site to its original state, where it can be re-used, and is much higher than the single digit billions encasing costs.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    85. Re:So.. what? by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      Some nuclear plants can be ramped up and down ...

      Some designs provide automatic load-following - from this MSR PDF:

      ... as the reactor temperature rises, the reactivity decreases. The reactor thus automatically reduces its activity if it overheats. Conversely, if more power is required of the reactor, more heat is drawn out. The returning colder salt increases reactivity and power levels resulting in automatic load following.

      MSRs can also be manually throttled quickly due to the absence of the neutron poison problem.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    86. Re:So.. what? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      I do not think there is much debate that the long-term effects on human civilization will be profoundly negative.

      Which sums up nicely what this is *really* all about, human civilization and the perception that human activity is *always* negative, or to put it another way, change is bad.

      If you believe in Darwin's theories, then apply them here. Life will adapt as it has in the past and if humans cannot adapt, they will die and civilization with it. Why are you worried about that? Evolution is a good thing, right? I say this with tongue firmly in my cheek, to illustrate how absurd this all is in the grand scheme of things and how your world view has shaped your perceptions of what is good and bad.

      You correctly say, we don't know what is going to happen and cannot predict it with any assurance of our accuracy, then you turn around and assume that the future only holds bad things and we need to fear it. WE DON'T KNOW, but fearing the unknown is a common trait in humans and I contend that there are those who use that trait to gain power and influence over others. They play on fear, hype the "bad" possibilities and gain control of others though the process. I contend that this is what most of this is about. This issue is more about politics than science, and more about control than prevention.

      Think about the ultimate destination of your thought processing... Where does this whole thing end up in the end. If civilization is "profoundly negative" what do you suggest we do about it? The only thing that I can come up with is abandoning civilization up front, but surely you don't mean we should just volunteer for mass extinction? Do you? Remember that it is your contention that civilization is only going to result in really BAD things.

      IMHO you are wrong in your assessment of civilization's future and I point to the past as evidence. It's always been a rocky road and we will continue to have bumps and failures, but in general, we've come a long way. It's not time to just chuck it all and "Global warming" (or whatever it's called today) is a *really* poor reason to consider it.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    87. Re:So.. what? by Mr_Wisenheimer · · Score: 1

      Evolution is not a "good thing". It is simply part of the natural world, like gravity or a massive forest. It is neither inherently good nor evil. Your premise is false.

      I worry about it the same as I worry about any other threat to human civilization: nuclear war, asteroid strikes, a massive fire, flooding, et cetera because I want human civilization to prosper. You seem to take the attitude that it doesn't matter what happens to the human race to our children and grandchildren, an attitude which I find highly objectionable and contrary to my ideals.

      We can make accurate predictions. As time goes on, the error bars on our predictions get smaller. We do not know everything, but we do know quite a bit. We know, for instance, that global warming is going to cause massive worldwide flooding. We know it is very likely to greatly increase the number of severe weather events. We know that it will dramatically disrupt human civilization by destroying the infrastructure we have built our civilization around.

      There are potentially much worse consequences, but I fear the consequences we can say with a high degree of accuracy will occur much more than some of the more apocalyptic scenarios. Again, you are making a false premise. My fear is based upon fear of the known consequences of global warming, not the unknown or uncertain ones.

      And your claim that civilization is "profoundly negative" is again a false premise. Civilization is neither negative or positive. The whole point of a successful civilization is to work in its own best interests, and its own best interest is to prevent a runway greenhouse gas effect. You don't have to "abandon civilization" to do that. That is again a false premise.

      And no, it is not my contention that "civilization is a bad thing". That is a straw man you have created.

      Your entire argument is based on false premises, anthropomorphism, and straw man arguments.

      We adapted human civilization to stop emitting harmful amounts of CFCs that were destroying the ozone layer and we can adapt human civilization to stop emitting greenhouse gasses that will eventually destroy a lot of what we have built up over the past 5000 years. We have the technology to move our civilization to a carbon neutral future. At this point, we just need the political will to do so. Right now, there are too many selfish individuals who have money invested in destroying our civilization through the unfettered release of atmospheric carbon. Until we put a stop to that, humanity will be on a road to a worse future for our children than the ones our parents left us.

    88. Re:So.. what? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      You need to look no further than all predictions made within the first few months of the effects of TMI, Chernobyl and Fukushima.
      TMI = zero deaths, zero cancers (from the predicted China Syndrome catastrophe)
      Chernobyl = predicted millions of deaths, currently at less than 200 deaths, 5000 long term cancer deaths
      Fukushima = predicted millions of deaths, so far zero deaths, zero cancers
      Get a grip. Nuclear is safe. The biggest impact of nuclear accidents except for Chernobyl is mass fear.
      Nuclear safety standards are ridiculously exaggerated. Billions of USD are spent yearly on unnecessary safety precautions.
      Specially the nuclear decommissioning costs are so high because they demand the land be returned to essentially zero residual radiation, which is nonsense.
      It's because of people like you that nuclear is so expensive. In the meantime, Coal powerplants are allowed to emit soot with uranium, thorium and radium into the air. A coal powerplant emits about a thousand times more radiation than a nuclear power plant will ever be. But the coal evils are never put in evidence, while nuclear is attacked viciously.

    89. Re:So.. what? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      anti-nuclear people saying the sky is falling is incompatible with the hard data.
      pro-nuclear people saying the other side is irrational just needs basic hard data analysis.
      all nuclear power accidents, incidents for both civil and military cases account to less than 2000 deaths worldwide for the 60 years we've been using nuclear power for electricity, heat and naval applications.
      Coal kills 13000 people per YEAR in the USA alone.
      A single hydro dam burst in China killed 200000 people in the 70s. Hydro kills those 2000 people every few years. Dams burst every year.
      Natural gas kills about 100x more per TWh produced than nuclear.
      Those are facts.
      The only scenario that the anti nuclear pundits can make a case is entirely based on Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt.
      I took an Intro to Nuclear technology course to form this conclusion. Anyone that has studied nuclear technology properly comes with the same conclusion.
      Anti nuclear arguments are based on lies and absurd extrapolations.
      Nuclear can be shown to be safer than solar PV and wind electricity. In all honesty I just consider all three energy sources similarly safe.

    90. Re:So.. what? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Clueless nuclear fanboys ? I'm yet to find such people. Nuclear isn't sexy, so it doesn't tend to attract the clueless.
      Most nuclear proponents have STEM background.
      You probably mean the professional nuclear engineers that are tired of having to refute absurd anti nuclear accusations.
      If you want to get just enough education to see the nuclear facts, enroll to this free online course:
        https://www.coursera.org/cours...
      I'm not sure one can enroll and get the materials right now since there's no current class going on.

    91. Re:So.. what? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Another anonymous coward hiding behind anonymacy making an extremely shallow statement.

      Nuclear is cost effective in most cases.
      Solar and wind look cheap in the surface, and can be cheap if you limit solar+wind to less than 25% of a grid's production. It's more like 20%.
      Solar is extremely lousy at high lattitudes. For instance in Germany solar produces ten times more electricity in the summer vs the winter.
      And don't get me started on wind extreme intermitency.
      If you rule out fossil fuels for electricity production, unless you have lots of good big hydro sites, nuclear is your only choice to provide the base of a country's electricity baseload.
      Wanna have a discussion, don't be a coward.

    92. Re:So.. what? by Lord+Lemur · · Score: 1

      That amazes you? In a country that elected Bush 2 twice, and Obama twice? You seriously think we have an over abundance of rational people?

    93. Re:So.. what? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      The only scenario that the anti nuclear pundits can make a case is entirely based on Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt.

      And, as all of human history proves, those are more than enough.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    94. Re:So.. what? by Bengie · · Score: 1

      Nuclear cheaper than coal once you factor in healthcare costs.

    95. Re:So.. what? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      So in your logic:

      I do not think there is much debate that the long-term effects on human civilization will be profoundly negative.

      !=

      "Civilization is a bad thing"

      Even though they are actually your words, not mine, they seem pretty similar and logically equivalent to me. But OK, if you want to think my argument claiming that something hasn't been bad in the past, so there is no reason to think it will be in the future doesn't apply, that means you think it has or will change from good to bad as time progresses.

      Are you trying to make a distinction between the "past" of civilization and the "future"? Civilization was good in the past, but is already or in the future will become bad? OK, When? When is the switch from good to bad on the time line and what causes the switch?

      But wait.... Remember that you already admitted that we are really bad at predicting what will happen in the future, and you are then claiming that we will get better at forecasting the future as time goes on. So I claim that based on your argument, you cannot make your claim about civilization's eventual effect, because where we may become better at predicting the climate and weather, there is no way you can know what the over all effect of human civilization will be.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    96. Re:So.. what? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Define catastrophe. The tsunami definitely qualifies, but the nuclear accidents actually killed or injured very few people.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    97. Re:So.. what? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Fukushima is not necessarily a one-time event. Chernobyl is. Something like Fukushima could happen again, given a rare combination of occurrences, while nobody makes Chernobyl-capable reactors anymore. Of course, Fukushima was really not that horribly bad, considering how rare such things are.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    98. Re:So.. what? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Change isn't always bad. It usually takes resources to adapt, so one could say it's always expensive. It looks like global warming is going to cost a whole lot, and it's worth accepting the facts and trying to decide what to do, rather than continually having the same stupid arguments over and over again. That is a political discussion, not a scientific one, but it's not going to happen without people accepting what's actually going on.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    99. Re:So.. what? by Talderas · · Score: 1

      I thought it was the Fjord Panto that meltdown.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    100. Re:So.. what? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      My mind is closed on many things. It isn't irrevocably sealed shut, but there are things that are simply a waste of time to disagree with unless and until somebody comes up with something revolutionary. I have no trace of good evidence to doubt gravity, evolution, or global warming.

      It's possible for the scientific consensus to be wrong on theories and interpretations. Finding situations where it's been wrong on the facts is much, much harder.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    101. Re: So.. what? by Beck_Neard · · Score: 1

      Your reply is completely orthogonal to what I'm saying. I'm not talking about whether accidents will happen. I'm talking about what happens when they do. It would be very hard for a chernobyl type level of radiation release to ever happen again accidentally.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    102. Re:So.. what? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > For each we can quantify the total lives lost

      Right. Now quantify the total money lost. I believe that stands currently at somewhere around $500 billion for the former (all in, direct cleanup was about $15 billion but that was using Soviet accounting) and the current expectations on the latter are around $150 to $250 billion (about $80 billion in so far, $137 billion just for the plant is already on the books).

      Now add those to the total price of building the reactors in the first place. There's about 400 power reactors, so that's somewhere between $1 and $2 billion per plant. The average plant is maybe 1GWe, so that's about $1 to $2 per watt.

      So in other words, the cleanup costs alone cost more than a modern NG plant or wind turbine. And then there's the $5 to $8/W CAPEX on top of that.

      Which is precisely why no one is building reactors, and everyone is building gas plants and wind turbines.

      > right now, we have the anti-nuclear people saying the sky is falling

      Ahh, my favourite tired old bromide.

      Anti-nuclear people didn't stop nuclear power. Repeat that until it sinks in, because it's true.

      Spiralling costs, which over doubled in the 2000s alone, stopped nuclear power.

      It was always expensive, now it's "are you fugging kidding me" expensive. Here, turn to page 8:

      http://gallery.mailchimp.com/ce17780900c3d223633ecfa59/files/Lazard_Levelized_Cost_of_Energy_v7.0.1.pdf

    103. Re:So.. what? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      Oh snap!

      Get it?

    104. Re:So.. what? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > We don't need to talk about costs at all
      > We need to talk about watts, mega-watt hours

      Wow. I can't imagine a statement more at odds with reality.

      When you've finished created this money-free world, you can come and pick me up on your unicorn.

    105. Re:So.. what? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > It costs more going in, but you get more coming out.

      That is highly debatable. A nuclear plant built today will certainly cost more up front, AND is highly likely to be more expensive as well.

      Nukes are easy to model economically because the fuel costs are vanishing in overall LCoE terms. In that respect they're more like a wind turbine than a coal plant. Sp basically it comes down to CAPEX, interest rates and building times.

      Reactors, like anything *big*, take a long time to build. Darlington B's timeline was 12 to 15 years when I last saw it (they nixed it). Now you don't get any money back for those 15 years, but you're paying in the whole time. So you model it all up and it looks good. And then something happens and the schedule slips. A 25% slip, totally reasonable, is 3.75 years of interest payments on the CAPEX while the economic value of the power you'll eventually get back goes down with inflation. And then Darlington A happens, which can operate until the sun goes out before it will pay back the interest payments. I believe Vogtle A might be close in that regard.

      Now compare this with wind. You can go from initial plans to running turbine in under a year. Heck, for solar, you can do it in two weeks in Germany. So lets say you run all your numbers and it looks like everything is cool, but then there's a 25% schedule slip. That's a couple of weeks of extra interest and inflation, unmeasurable.

      There is a time dimension to risk. Larger projects are *always* economically more risky. There's no way around it. The bankers look at their spreadsheets, notice the wild fluctuations in the sensitivity columns, and walk away. They've been doing that for decades.

    106. Re:So.. what? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > Nuclear is dying?

      Yes. Ask anyone in the industry. Even the bunker mentality isn't enough to disguise the state of the industry.

      > Is that why dozens of new reactors are under construction worldwide

      Can you honestly say that you believe these claims, the ones you point to? Here, lets go down the list on the page you noted:

      "In the USA there are plans for 13 new reactors"
        - there are currently two new reactors actually under construction, with all other plans on hold or cancelled outright. Companies are shutting down their nuclear divisions, and engineers are leaving the industry. Or, ask the *exactl same organization* for their take on the matter: "Ten other nuclear plants (13 reactors) are considered (at the start of 2014) to be at risk of closure".

      "In Canada there are plans to build up to 2200 MWe or more of new capacity at Darlington in Ontario"
        - these plans were cancelled *before* this page was prepared. AECL, the designer, no longer even has a commercial reactor team, they were sold off at a loss to an engineering firm more famous for corruption scandals than nuclear work.

      "In Finland, construction is now under way on a fifth, very large reactor which will come on line in 2014, and plans are firming for another large one to follow it"
        - Construction shut down in 2014 due to MASSIVE cost overruns and other complaints. The current estimate is 2018–2020 at the earliest, and the best case scenario is at five times over budget. The follow-up plans are dead.

      "France is building a similar 1600 MWe unit at Flamanville, for operation from 2016"
        - Currently delayed until at least 2016, as noted in 2012, before this page was written. Three times over budget and no sign of that going anywhere but up.

      " and a second may follow it at Penly."
        - Cancelled.

      "In the UK, four similar 1600 MWe units are planned for operation by 2019, and a further 6000 MWe is proposed."
        - Two of the three companies involved cancelled. The third has claims to continue, but refused to agree to a final price. The entire build is up in the air.

      Etc etc. Flip to the table at the end and look up each one in turn. Almost all of them are canceled, mothballed, or late. Almost every one went over budget.

      The entire Chinese expansion is on hold following the Sichuan earthquake and Fukishima - you don't want the people who can't make a single-story school stand up in an 8.0mag building your reactors. South Korea is currently putting many of its nuclear officers in jail for faking engineering studies and safety tests, which has cast something of a chill on their industry. India claims they're still working on a thorium design, for the last 40 years or so. All three, especially China, are installing wind turbines at a much faster rate. The same is true for the entire world.

      > many existing power plants have been upgraded to produce more power

      *Because it's dying.* No one will invest in a new plant, so they're using what capital they have to put the existing ones on life support.

    107. Re:So.. what? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > But solar and wind CANNOT BE USED AS BASELINE POWER. PERIOD.

      You are aware, of course, that this cuts both ways, right? Most nukes can't throttle more than maybe 20% daily, and as a result you *have* to have some sort of peaker supply available for the 50 to 75% peak load.

      That supply is generally a natural gas turbine. And since those now generate power for less than a nuke, you just use them instead. Which is precisely what everyone across North America is doing, as they decomm their nukes and coal plants and replace them with NG turbines.

      BTW, base load is currently selling for about 3 cents, a price point nukes simply can't hit.

    108. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some say the world will end in fire,
      Some say in ice.
      From what I've tasted of desire
      I hold with those who favor fire.
      But if it had to perish twice,
      I think I know enough of hate
      To say that for destruction ice
      Is also great
      And would suffice.

    109. Re:So.. what? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > Solar and wind look cheap in the surface, and can be cheap if you limit solar+wind to less than 25% of a grid's production. It's more like 20%.

      And so because we're at 5%, we have a LOT of room to go.

      It's even easier here in Canada, which already has 53% of it's power from hydro. We could go to 25% and thereby be 75% renewable, but due to the almost instant response of hydro, and the huge capacity we already have, we could probably go right to 90% or so. Some day I'll figure out how to run those numbers.

    110. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Nuclear is dying because it is just too expensive... not from FUD..."

      Wishful thinking. Come over to France and see how to provide cheap abundant energy exactly when you want it....

    111. Re:So.. what? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      The average member of the public has an emotional, visceral reaction to things such as GMO, global warming, nuclear power, et cetera. You might as well be talking about abortion, because Joe Sixpack doesn't understand things like nuclear physics, cost-benefit analysis, risk analysis, et cetera.

      Joe Sixpack understands cost-benefit analysis perfectly fine. Specifically, he understands that his opinion on nuclear power - or anything else, really - is extremely unlikely to have any noticeable effect, while research has a definite cost. For the same reason spouting an uninformed opinion is unlikely to have a significant cost, while it can have a noticeable benefit in the form of reinforcing identity or letting you feel you're fighting the good fight.

      It's just our old friend Tragedy of the Commons.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    112. Re:So.. what? by budgenator · · Score: 1

      The greenhouse effect can lead to mass flooding in coastal areas, stronger hurricanes, increased tropical diseases, and reduced harvests of staple crops around the world.

      Well no it can't, in order for it to do that the warming would have to continue in a linear fashion, but the reality is the warming effect diminishes logarithmic; that is one of the reasons why there has been no global warming for almost 18 years.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    113. Re:So.. what? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Yet more than 98% of radiation from nukes is released during accidents, which the paper ignores.

      Oh good you've made me feel a lot better now. Considering the large number of reactors around the world having operated for many years and we've only really had 2 noteworthy events I think I just turned from a NIMBY to a please in my back yard.

    114. Re:So.. what? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Actually, as of 2013 there were still 11 of the RBMK reactors operational, the same type that failed so spectacularly in Chernobyl. Heck, even the Chernobyl facility continued to produce electricity in the undamaged part of the plant until 2000, which a lot of people don't seem to know. I don't have a problem with nuclear power, but really, the remaining RBMK reactors need to be decommissioned pronto.

    115. Re:So.. what? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Clueless nuclear fanboys ? I'm yet to find such people

      Look at earlier posts on this site - especially the ones when the extent of damage to Fukushima was still emerging.

      You probably mean the professional nuclear engineers

      Most definitely not. I've worked with three professional nuclear engineers and had a fourth as a Masters student. None of them were cargo-cult-cloud-cuckoo-landers such as some of the idiots that have come out of the woodwork on this site when somebody dares to suggest the any form of nuclear technology is less than perfect.

      If you want to get just enough education to see the nuclear facts

      Or I could read a shitload of papers on the topic like I have for the last few decades.

    116. Re:So.. what? by Chas · · Score: 1

      Yep, nice cheap, non-renewable natural gas.

      So, in another few decades we're hooked on yet another non-renewable resource.

      As for the price nuclear power "can't hit", discuss it with me once we have a few next-gen designs in place and all the monetary impediments imposed on the industry have been stripped away.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    117. Re: So.. what? by loufoque · · Score: 1

      It's because of anti-nuclear people that it became so expensive.
      Ecoligists in general frequently slow down construction, increase costs and slow down innovation, one example being the Superphoenix project: a next-generation reactor which would have solved the problems of nuclear waste had to be dismantled before the initial investment was even paid off due to FUD from ecologists. Of course they couldn't use that as the reason to close it, so they pretended it was because of excessive costs.

    118. Re:So.. what? by davester666 · · Score: 1

      he liked it enough to come back and write a book about it...

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    119. Re:So.. what? by Mr_Wisenheimer · · Score: 1

      The statement I made is that the consequences of global warming will be profoundly negative FOR human civilizaiton.

      The statement that you made is that human civilization is, "a bad thing".

      You keep making straw-man arguments where you assign claims to me that I did not make, for instance you write: "civilization was good in the past, but is already or in the future will become bad," yet I made no such argument. In fact, I made it clear that civilization is not either an inherently a positive or negative thing, simply something that exists. I made it clear that it is in our own best interests as a species to mitigate long-term threats to our civilization, such as global warming.

      Then you make the further strawman: "you trying to make a distinction between the "past" of civilization and the "future"? Civilization was good in the past, but is already or in the future will become bad?"

      Civilization is neither inherently good nor evil. Stop putting words in my mouth. I believe it is in our own best-interest to do things to preserve the long-term health of our civilization, which I have made clear includes working toward a carbon-neutral future. That does not imply that civilization was ever "good" or "bad" or will be in the future.

      And I never, "admitted that we are really bad at predicting what will happen in the future." That is another straw man argument you make. We are very good at predicting some future events. We are really bad at others. That is why science comes with error bars. You are making the false claim that because we are really bad at predicting one aspect of climate change we are really bad at predicting all aspects of climate change, which is absurd on its face.

      A lot of climate change boils down to simple physics. If we keep increasing the greenhouse effect, for instance, barring some dramatic man-made or natural disaster (such as an asteroid strike or nuclear winter) we can say with extremely high certainty that the earth will keep warming, ice will keep melting, low-lying areas will be subject to flooding and destruction, et cetera. If you ask us to predict how much the mean temperature will increase by 2100, that will come with a significant error bar, because it depends on a lot of factors (like how much CO2 we emit, the sensitivity of the ocean, feedback systems such as water vapor, et cetera), but we can say it will lie in a certain range which will have certain consequences.

    120. Re:So.. what? by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Source?

    121. Re:So.. what? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Don't worry about CO2, the plants need it to live, the more there is, the more they grow.

      That's why we don't need fire departments. Fires just produce heat, and the sun produces far more heat in a day than every house fire that burns in a year.

      The problem with this kind of argument is that it ignores kinetics. Sure, plants use CO2, and with more CO2 there will be more plants, and eventually all of that CO2 will be fixed.

      The problem is that all of that CO2 won't get fixed instantly, so it builds up in the atmosphere and raises temperatures globally.

      Will things like climate change happen on their own if man weren't around? Of course. Does that make it any more desirable? No.

    122. Re:So.. what? by budgenator · · Score: 1

      The climate sensitivity specifically due to CO
      2 is often expressed as the temperature change in C associated with a doubling of the concentration of carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere. Climate sensitivity

      Equilibrium climate sensitivity is likely to be in the range 2C to 4.5C with a most likely value of about 3C, based upon multiple observational and modelling constraints. It is very unlikely to be less than 1.5C. {8.6, 9.6, Box 10.2} TS.6.4.2 Equilibrium and Transient Climate Sensitivity

      So if the 2C for is correct for Equilibrium climate sensitivity, and CO2 level is 400 ppm, for there to a temperature increase of 2C, CO2 has to increase to 800ppm, for 4 degrees 1600ppm; that's settled science, what's not settled is whether the equilibrium climate sensitivity 1.5 or 2.5

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    123. Re:So.. what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except you need to account for how much water flow year round you have. Does it rain continuously year round ?
      For instance, my Brazil has 70% Hydro, it's moving towards at least 5% nuclear, and installing some solar+wind. I'm sure we could go 10% nuclear, 10% solar, 10% wind, because solar would be mainly produced close to the equator, in semi desert land (no winter, very little rain, little clouds, lots of free land to install on), wind also works extremely well, since the dry season = strongest winds, and winds are fairly constant. The goal long term would be to shift natural gas towards cars, freeing up oil production for exporting, we already have nationwide natural gas pipelines, most cabs and high mileage small vehicles already run on natural gas.
      But we don't need heating on the wintertime, except for like 5% of our population, very unlike Canada.
      Of course, the official Brazil govt energy policy is far from my stated goal. Oil and Natural Gas is mostly produced by govt owned Petrobras, govt don't want to weaken Petrobras in any way, too much politics involved.
      We also have no pro E.V. policy. Just some local incentives for a small LEAF cab fleet. Since the LEAF is imported and our car import duties are astronomical, a LEAF costs 3x the price of an equivalent regular car, hybrids cost 50% more than a regular car (also zero local production, same import duties impact).

    124. Re:So.. what? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      No energy sources are perfect.
      But when you compare all aspects of nuclear to all other energy sources (except for hydro and geothermal), nuclear wins. All countries should maximize usage of available hydro and geothermal energy, then resort to nuclear+wind+solar for the rest.
      But nuclear It IS safer. It IS more reliable. It IS far less polluting than any fossil fuel powered sources.
      That doesn't mean it's perfect. Current water cooled, solid fueled reactors using once through (no reprocessing) fuel are able to use just 0,65% of mined uranium, with reprocessing that goes up to just over 1%. Plus it's not the safest form of nuclear. They require lots of complex active safety systems (at least when the reactor is operating).
      But still nuclear is the BEST energy source available for baseload electricity and when large volumes of heat in the form of steam is needed.
      Hopefully we'll get lots of electric vehicles and hydrogen powered cars. High temperature reactors are the best solution to make hydrogen. EVs with large capacity batteries can be mostly charged at night, increasing baseload electricity need (decreasing peaking electricity demand). Nuclear makes huge sense in this future scenario.
      Solar PV = combination of two of the ten most deadly professions in the world (roofing and electrician), double risk factor for its workers.
      Wind turbines are maintenance hogs, specially considering how little each turbine actually produces on a yearly basis. A 10MW wind turbine will in average produce the equivalent of 1 to 3MW continuous production on a yearly basis, even on the best wind sites. That means it takes a thousand wind turbines spread over lots of excellent wind sites to average the power output of a single large nuclear reactor.

    125. Re:So.. what? by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 1

      I didn't argue for a money free world. I argued that money is not the relevant factor in the energy debate.

      If you thing counting paper dollars and electronic euros is somehow going to meaningfully contribute to the sourcing, production, and distribution of electrical energy over the next five decades, please saddle your own unicorn, ride back to the 1960s and count all the pounds shillings and pence spent back then and their relevancy to energy today. It won't add up to a whole lot.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
  2. and the real bad news is... by Cardoor · · Score: 4, Informative

    considering that the recently passed 'state secrets' law in japan effectively gags anyone from talking about fukushima in an honest way, the fact that this is being released at all probably means it's just to warm up the public for the real shoe to drop..

    oh, and in case you don't know the law... here it is.

    1. Re:and the real bad news is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree that both this law and Mr. Abe are despicable, however it does not seem to "gag anyone from talking about Fukushima in an honest way".
      What am I missing here?

      More worrisome is the fact that Japan still has a long, respected tradition of suicide, especially within the military domain. They should never be trusted with nuclear anything.

    2. Re:and the real bad news is... by brambus · · Score: 0

      law in japan effectively gags anyone from talking about fukushima in an honest way

      Wow, that's some beautiful mental gymnastics there, going from a law intended to protect government/military secrets and lobbied for heavily by the US and linking that to Fukushima. Don't forget to stop by the booth and pick up your tinfoil medal.

    3. Re:and the real bad news is... by jd · · Score: 2

      I wouldn't worry too much about Fukushima, per se.

      It's the fact that the State Secret law passed days after the abandonment of the pacifist sections of the Constitution, at a time Japan desperately needs to get rid of masses of deadly radioactive material, that you need to concern yourself with.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    4. Re:and the real bad news is... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Since 'the incident' the police is knocking on doors of young couples living in the Fukushima area and in the fall out zones north east of it, telling the couples: " you know, you should consider to have no children" (Or move away to the far south or Hokkaido)

      Yes, that is not at all or at least rarely in the news, certainly not in the west.

      Japan is disrupted in a 'put head into sand', 'don't lose faith/face', 'but we have to do something', 'we don't know how to cleanup', 'we don't know how to punish TEPCO (would mean lose face)', 'but we have to do something' attitude ... and the 'let live goes on' attitude.

      In Chernobyl the death toll over all is estimated to be a million, roughly. /. posters claim it was 3 or 5 ... I witnessed 1986 about a few ten thousand ... it was news every day on TV. I really wonder how people in our days with straight face claim only a few people died.
      Luckily the initial disaster in Fukushima was far away from this. However the long term issues we only will know in 30 years ... plus.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:and the real bad news is... by imikem · · Score: 1

      Those noted nuclear apologists at the World Health Organization state that "up to 4000" people could die due to exposure to radionuclides released by the Soviets' stupidity at Chernobyl. But hey, everyone alive in 1986 will eventually die, so maybe we should just count everyone, right?

      Meanwhile coal (like that sweet lignite that Germany is digging up now) goes on killing at least HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE EVERY YEAR*, yet people seem only to care about teh ebil raydeeayshun. Maybe the coal casualties aren't as dead or something.

      It is way past time to grow up and stop pissing and moaning about nuclear.

      * According to Forbes, the figure is about 300000/yr in China alone.

      --
      Perscriptio in manibus tabellariorum est.
    6. Re:and the real bad news is... by brambus · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Since 'the incident' the police is knocking on doors of young couples living in the Fukushima area and in the fall out zones north east of it, telling the couples: " you know, you should consider to have no children" (Or move away to the far south or Hokkaido)

      Can you actually show this, or is this just the latest of the tall tales making its rounds on the anti-nuclear blogosphere? And anyway, even if it did happen in some form, all it would show is that people are afraid and giving each other potentially poor advice. It doesn't show that they're at actual substantial risk of harm, otherwise you could go around telling everybody to stay indoors to prevent them from being run over by cars (you know, this we can actually show to happen).

      In Chernobyl the death toll over all is estimated to be a million, roughly. /. posters claim it was 3 or 5 ...

      Ugh, not that rag again. Yablokov's publication is a book, not a peer-reviewed scientific paper. It contains tons of errors and was translated and pushed onto the New York Academy of Sciences by known anti-nuclear crazies who aren't above outright falsehoods (like their assertions that Fukushima killed 15000 people in US in the initial 14 weeks after the accident, even though their data is trivially shown to have been manipulated and utterly bogus; Mangano is often seen publishing together with another crazie, Sherman, and they've even been torn a new one by an avid linear-no-threshold-supporting researcher). The Yablokov publication has since been criticized by the NYAS and they've distanced themselves from it. The short story is that the NYAS' reputation was co-opted as a vehicle to fluff up the credibility of an utterly bogus piece of non-scientific writing by anti-nuclear activists.

      I witnessed 1986 about a few ten thousand ... it was news every day on TV. I really wonder how people in our days with straight face claim only a few people died.

      Oh my, so if something's on TV, it is truth! Well fire the scientists then, obviously all we need to do to determine fact from fiction is to listen to the daily news cycle. Fox News will be pleased.

      Luckily the initial disaster in Fukushima was far away from this. However the long term issues we only will know in 30 years ... plus.

      Even assuming the fairly uncontended (mainly in anti-nuke cycles) linear-no-threshold dose response model, according to actual peer-reviewed studies, on average we'd expect ~250 excess deaths over the years with an upper bound of ~2500 (and that's assuming no evacuations). Was the accident harmless? Certainly not. Should TEPCO be made to compensate people for their troubles? Absolutely! But this fear mongering using junk science is in no way different to global-warming deniers and 9/11 truthers simply ignoring scientific facts to meet their political agendas. Do be like them.

    7. Re:and the real bad news is... by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

      Since 'the incident' the police is knocking on doors of young couples living in the Fukushima area and in the fall out zones north east of it, telling the couples: " you know, you should consider to have no children" (Or move away to the far south or Hokkaido)

      Last I heard, it wasn't a big problem to get the Japanese to have no children. They have one of the lowest birth rates on Earth.

    8. Re:and the real bad news is... by Cardoor · · Score: 1

      ignorance (willfult or otherwise) always seems to find it's way into ad hominem attacks, doesn't it? well.. in case you aren't either a shill/troll or too far overdosed on the koolaid.. it's not like they're even really pretending. i mean, at least they used to try to cover it up.

      http://www.japantimes.co.jp/co...

      http://www.japantimes.co.jp/op...

    9. Re:and the real bad news is... by Cardoor · · Score: 2

      when the state can arbitrarily designate something as a 'state secret', it's all at risk. if you speak to nuclear engineers who have real opinions on the state of affairs there (most importantly, do not have any vested interests, economic or otherwise), you will understand why it's logical that they would create a gag order. Though the 'Fukushima Gag Order Bill', though given the intelligence of Abe and his cronies, might have been a first draft name proposal, they no doubt found it easier to wrap it into the larger and better sounding 'state secrets' bill. but by no means do i believe it to be the sole ugly thing baked in there.. carte blanches are great like that

      http://www.japantimes.co.jp/co...

    10. Re:and the real bad news is... by brambus · · Score: 1

      Seriously, you're citing opinion pieces (in the latter link) and COMMUNITY COMMENTS (in the former link) as evidence that this is purpose of the law? Can I also cite any old Internet yokel's comments as long as they appear on the domain of a news site?

    11. Re:and the real bad news is... by Cardoor · · Score: 1

      follow the logic for a moment.. if it happened to be true that information dissemination (particularly as it pertains to nefarious government doings) were controlled (even in some small part) via the large corporations that are mass media outlets... from where would you expect to gain access to truth? By no means should you, or I, or anyone simply believe something because it's presented - but to dismiss something (or accept something) purely on the basis of the level of 'officialness' of the medium, without regard for critical analysis of the subject matter is foolish (especially in light of the understanding that history again and again and again points to mass manipulation always existing... though it's uncovering is usually made far after the fact). i respectfully suggest you introduce yourself to the works of Gore Vidal.

    12. Re:and the real bad news is... by brambus · · Score: 1

      I'm not arguing that this law is good, I think it's an appalling law. All I was doing is ridiculing the OP for linking a law with the Fukushima disaster simply because it's from the same country with no evidence to back it up (OP's link only presented the law with no evidence that it's intended use is for Fukushima and your links were just speculation submitted to the paper by a reader and an opinion piece). And you know what they say of arguments presented without evidence. The debate around the disaster needs to be a lot more rational and a lot less alarmist and conspiratorial. Trouble is, fear sells papers, so I don't see an end in sight.

    13. Re:and the real bad news is... by Cardoor · · Score: 1

      perhaps i should have been clearer on my use of that article as reference. i have not (and have no real interest) in compiling all the data sources i have learned from which create the mosaic. the truth, as it usually is - is blatantly obvious. it's we who are blind. i listed it after a 5 second google search to at least turn any open-minded readers onto the possiblity of additional information.

      as far as ridiculing something, well, you seem more interested in attacking the source rather than content. even a cursory further examination (rather than expecting it to be spoonfed) would enlighten.

      i do however, encourage anyone who sees an uncanny coincidence in the timing of the action (which is/was in conjunction with a situation at fukushima that from a technical perspective, is effectively FUBAR - with significant long-term implications) to further investigate on their own and use critical analysis to determine for themselves. To the extent that I (or others who speak of these things) appear in other respects (even if it's just the ability to craft a seemingly coherent sentence) to be rational and logical, then maybe that will (to some degree) encourage others to accept the even possibility that the conclusions are based on some reasonable thought and analysis. if not - then no worries. i'm not much of a believer in revolution anyway. evolution on the other hand..

    14. Re:and the real bad news is... by brambus · · Score: 1

      perhaps i should have been clearer on my use of that article as reference. i have not (and have no real interest) in compiling all the data sources i have learned from which create the mosaic.

      Translation: I have no evidence.

      the truth, as it usually is - is blatantly obvious.

      Translation: don't think about it, use intuition.

      i listed it after a 5 second google search to at least turn any open-minded readers onto the possiblity of additional information.

      Interestingly, your response, which probably took longer than 5 seconds to compose, didn't include any of that copious information.

      as far as ridiculing something, well, you seem more interested in attacking the source rather than content

      I did ready through your links. One was a reader comment by an accountant formerly working at GE and another was an opinion piece which only most hypothetically mentioned Fukushima in a single sentence.

      i do however, encourage anyone who sees an uncanny coincidence in the timing of the action

      You mean like they waited for over 3 years since the accident and changed governing parties once during that time before choosing to push it through? Seriously, at this point I'd be more suspicious of the US' influence here, since it's the US that heavily lobbied for this law and they're the ones who love cracking down on whistleblowers (plus the Japanese government is best buds with them).

    15. Re:and the real bad news is... by Cardoor · · Score: 1

      your translations are wrong, self-serving and lazy. i will not do your work for you, especially as you have clearly made up your mind to keep your head in the sand. good day sir.

    16. Re:and the real bad news is... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      What has 'peer reviewed' to do with that?
      The amount of dead in Chernobyl we never will know as late deathes can not objectively accounted to it. No one knows if a cancer patient died on smoking or other radiation sources.
      Can you actually show this, or is this just the latest of the tall tales making its rounds on the anti-nuclear blogosphere? And anyway, even if it did happen in some form, all it would show is that people are afraid and giving each other potentially poor advice. Just ask one living there? I got that info from people who actually do live there.
      Ill advice? Yes ... since 40 years radiation suddenly is harmless.

      Thanx for your many links, though. They certainly support your 'believes'.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    17. Re:and the real bad news is... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Coal is not killing 100ds of thousands every year.
      Perhaps a few thousand die in coal mining, so they do in gold mining, or silver mining or what ever you mine ...
      If you can not make mining save, then stop mining, pretty simple.
      Who cares what you are mining? That is a strawman calculation.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    18. Re:and the real bad news is... by brambus · · Score: 1

      What has 'peer reviewed' to do with that?

      Publications without peer-review cannot be trusted to have been critically scrutinized by experts in the field.

      The amount of dead in Chernobyl we never will know as late deathes can not objectively accounted to it.

      So you're saying that we might as well guess at it? Actual research has been and is being conducted into this. What you're proposing isn't science, it's religion.

      Just ask one living there?

      As I said, at best it would demonstrate that misinformed people are giving other people misinformation. If you had asked around in the 15th century, you could have gotten people to wholeheartedly and with utter conviction attest to having seen witchcraft, but that doesn't mean witchcraft is real.

      They certainly support your 'believes'.

      You talk about hearsay and poorly researched pseudoscience. I meanwhile give you links to actual peer-reviewed research papers, real data and direct evidence. And I'm the one who has "beliefs"? I'm not writing this to insult you, but you seem awfully like one of the "feelies" who will deny science if it contradicts their feelings on a subject, be it climate change or GMOs or nuclear power for that matter.

    19. Re:and the real bad news is... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Erm, in what dream world do you live?

      In the last 15 years we had roughly 1000 articles on /. that showed peer reviewed magazines can not be trusted as the reviewers either lack the skills or the knowledge or are bribed.

      So the 'it is not peer reviewed' mantra, or how ever you want to name it, or the citation needed mantra, is just mood.

      Actually there are real people living there, and if one tells me: the moon is yellow, then I believe him. Why should I not?
      I don't need a peer reviewed magazine or paper to realize: wow, it is plausible that the moon is yellow.

      I did not propose anything ... no religion involved, I'm an atheist ... but good luck with closing your eyes and being blind to what actually is going on :)

      Ofc which craft is real. What a dumb ass are you? I cut the head of a chicken, spoil the blood all over you (while your 6 year old sister is watching behind a curtain), murmur incomprehensible sounds, put ashes on you, wave my fetish etc.

      What do you for god sake believe your sister saw? She saw witch craft. Did it 'help' you? Did it 'kill' you? Perhaps, perhaps not.
      There are plenty of african voodoo religions where the death penalty is executed by a Shaman, just doing some obscure ritual, the victim does not only believe, but 'know' they will die. So they do in the next days.
      Does that mean 'witch craft' is a real scientific, explainable thing, something metaphysically? Likely not. Does it work? In the right context yes.

      Go read a book man ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    20. Re:and the real bad news is... by brambus · · Score: 1

      Wow, your response to me showing that your source wasn't peer-reviewed is "bah, peer-review is worthless anyway, slashdot proves it!" At least you're honest in your science denial. You also conveniently forgot that I actually posted a few links that do more than just accuse the authors of not submitting to peer-review, but instead point out their use of unreliable sources, unproven or disproven dose-response models and excessive extrapolation, all of which will earn you a royal F- and the following loss of credibility in any academic setting. I also showed you how Sherman, the book's translator and promoter, data mined monthly CDC mortality data to draw a completely bogus conclusion, which fails even basic attempts at checking against the original data source and clearly shows the researchers' deliberate data manipulation.

      But hey, once you're into science denial, hearsay obviously trumps mountains of carefully examined epidemiological data. I hope you're proud sitting next to your creationist, global warming-denying, geocentrist, flat-earther peers.

    21. Re:and the real bad news is... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Peer review does not guarantee value, and was never intended to do so. However, a peer-reviewed paper is more reliable (as a general rule) than something never intended to see peer review, and multiple peer-reviewed papers in many different journals are generally convincing. Over the centuries, science has a track record for finding useful truth (especially counter-intuitive truth) much better than any other approach.

      In particular, actual science can give us a good idea of how many people Chernobyl killed and will kill. It isn't completely accurate, and we'll never know exactly how many were killed by Chernobyl (many will die of cancer, for example, and we can evaluate that only statistically). It is very likely to be much more accurate than any estimate pull out of somebody's ass for purposes of selling books.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    22. Re:and the real bad news is... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I did not say so such thing.

      My point is merely that many stuff is published without peer reviews. That does not make them wrong.

      On the other hand many publications especially regarding stem cells, was in peer viewed magazines and was debunked as fake later from outsiders.

      You simply have to accept that every news you see in TV is not peer reviewed. But obviously, you don't mind that.

      So if I recapitulate about stuff that happened 30 years ago, you demand from me to bring up peer reviewed 'evidence'?

      Wow, how stupid is that? If there was peer reviewed evidence, we did not need to talk about it, because then it would be common/public knowledge!

      So bottom line, your demand: 'if it is not published in a peer reviewed magazine, it did not happen', only helps those who want to suppress the truth.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  3. Is anybody surprised? by thsths · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In case of a nuclear accident, the industry will always downplay and deny everything that is not perfectly obvious. Has always been, and probably will always be. This is the main reason I do not trust nuclear power that is run for profit.

    1. Re:Is anybody surprised? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, and they'll lie about every aspect of every impact to protect against insurance losses later. Just assume that they're lying. They probably lied about the casualty and fatality counts as well. In fact, the world probably did end and we're all actually dead and living in a new world now.

      Don't swallow their bullshit. Check if you are dead. Do it now.

    2. Re:Is anybody surprised? by Minwee · · Score: 1

      In case of a nuclear accident, the industry will always downplay and deny everything that is not perfectly obvious. Has always been, and probably will always be. This is the main reason I do not trust nuclear power that is run for profit.

      Whereas non-nuclear power that is run for profit has always been quite trustworthy.

    3. Re:Is anybody surprised? by thsths · · Score: 1

      Non-nuclear power has well known consequences. An important one for coal is the release of mercury, lead and radon (!) into the atmosphere. Of course industry has downplayed it, but it is very easy to verify.

      As for state owned power - it depends on whether you trust the system. If it is totalitarian, so is the management of power plants.

    4. Re:Is anybody surprised? by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      In case of a nuclear accident, the industry will always downplay and deny everything that is not perfectly obvious. Has always been, and probably will always be. This is the main reason I do not trust nuclear power that is run for profit.

      Right, because coal is working out so safely for us.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K...

    5. Re:Is anybody surprised? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gathering some straw for your argument there?

      It's pretty safe to say that you shouldn't blindly trust anything, that has long lasting repercussions on the environment, that is run for profit.

      It always seemed suspicious that almost exclusively light water reactors were in use. Those are the cheapest kind of reactor but also the most fuel inefficient. Canada and India at least use mostly, the more expensive, heavy water reactors, which can use alternative fuel cycles.
      And then there's the breeder reactor, a concept as old as nuclear power, a reactor type that was meant to power our future. But what happened to it? It's rather simple. They're even more expensive than HWRs.

    6. Re:Is anybody surprised? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      also... rarley you read numbers about the death tolls of every technology involved...

      be it as it may. as long as people thrive for power and wealth nothing will change for the good. i'm just glad that we get an elon musk every now an then.

    7. Re:Is anybody surprised? by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      Non-nuclear power has well known consequences. An important one for coal is the release of mercury, lead and radon (!) into the atmosphere.

      Oh, and enough radioactive carbon-14 to make nuclear power look safe by comparison.

    8. Re:Is anybody surprised? by TheSync · · Score: 2

      I do not trust nuclear power that is run for profit.

      Uh, was Chernobyl run for profit?

    9. Re:Is anybody surprised? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, in a way it was. Just because it was owned by the state doesn't mean that they're a non-profit organization.
      They too thought that further security measures and observations of regulations were too expensive and therefore necessary. Have you seen pictures of the reactor in Chernobyl? It was practically a reactor inside of a glorified barn.

    10. Re:Is anybody surprised? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      In case of a nuclear accident, the industry will always downplay and deny everything that is not perfectly obvious. Has always been, and probably will always be. This is the main reason I do not trust nuclear power that is run for profit.

      So Chernobyl was ok with you? Yikes, you might want to rethink that..

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    11. Re:Is anybody surprised? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Still is a reactor in a glorified barn, just a bigger one now. It's on a really big farm too!

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    12. Re:Is anybody surprised? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Okay, so you're cool with something that kills, say, tens of thousands of people a year as long as the consequences of doing it are well known, as opposed to something that may kill a thousand people every thirty years but through consequences are not as well known?

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  4. I think this means by MobyDisk · · Score: 1, Interesting

    fuel at the No. 3 reactor began melting at 5:30 a.m. on March 13

    I think this confirms that that they should not have flooded the reactor with seawater because the meltdown had already happened by the time they made that decision. They flooded the reactor on March 15th, as a last ditch attempt to prevent a meltdown. But it was too late to save the reactor since the fuel was already completely melted. So all the seawater did was let more nuclear material escape.

    Or, alternatively, they should have flooded it with seawater days ahead of time. The tsunami was March 11th, so perhaps had they made that decision on March 12th it would have been in time to prevent the worst of it? Ehh... maybe not.... the reactor foundation was probably already damaged by that point. :-(

    1. Re:I think this means by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Consider that we are only realizing this now though, years later. Lack of information was a huge problem at the time. When the plant was in crisis and people couldn't get near the reactors to check them there was a lot of guesswork.

      The reason they didn't flood with seawater earlier was that they were pumping water in with fire engines. That was an established emergency procedure but failed to work because the cooling system was damaged and once again a lack of information lead to much of the water being syphoned off into storage tanks. They didn't know it wasn't working at the time though, and even when they realized couldn't understand why so it wasn't clear that flooding with seawater would actually help.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re:I think this means by tp1024 · · Score: 2

      Cooling down a molten core to the point where it solidfies reduces emissions quite enormously, especially when the containment (such as a Mark I BWR containment), wasn't designed to stay fully sealed after a meltdown. Otherwise, when the hot molten core just sits there, more aerosols (maiinly Caesium) are created and eventually scattered in the environment.

      When this containment was designed, back in 1958-1962, it was sufficient to ensure that there would be no catastrophic numbers of casualties after any potential reactor accident. (Something they did remarkably well, given their limited experience.) It was not designed to prevent contamination of the environment during accidents involving a core meltdown, unlike more modern designs or pressure water reactor containments, that just so happened to be large enough to stay sealed with a molten core inside, even though this wasn't a specifically set design goal back when the earliest of those were designed.

      All of this could have been prevented, if there had been filtered containment vents that could have kept the containment otherwise sealed.

    3. Re:I think this means by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They knew and lied about it. The hydrogen explosion & release of caesium-137 made it obvious.

      Meanwhile on slashdot the 5-insightful pro-nuclear shills were attacking anyone saying a meltdown was obvious. You can go look at the posts in the threads, they are still there for everyone to see how wrong they were then & now.

    4. Re:I think this means by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The containment buildings were supposed to contain everything, but they were damaged by hydrogen explosions. The hydrogen gas was supposed to have been vented, but the battery powered venting system stopped working after the disaster. Some consideration was given to venting into the atmosphere, but it was decided not to. A bad choice in hindsight, but they thought that their emergency cooling measures would work.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    5. Re:I think this means by thsths · · Score: 1

      Consider that we are only realizing this now though, years later. Lack of information was a huge problem at the time.

      Yes, but that is a well known problem. In every core meltdown, lack of information has been a serious issue. Guess why? Because the sensors melt, too. An expert may be able to guess what is going on, but it is beyond the skill of a typical operator.

    6. Re:I think this means by Dins · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile on slashdot the 5-insightful pro-nuclear shills were attacking anyone saying a meltdown was obvious. You can go look at the posts in the threads, they are still there for everyone to see how wrong they were then & now.

      Pro-nuclear shills vs. anti-nuclear shills!

      Film at 11:00!

    7. Re:I think this means by jd · · Score: 1

      I can accept that, but with reservations.

      A lack of timely information lies at the heart of all nuclear accidents, large and small. It would seem to follow that to improve safety, you'd want to improve on sensors - the number, resilience and backups.

      They were using helicopters, IIRC, which raises the question of what cameras and other sensors could have been used on those helicopters to fill in the gaps in their knowledge.

      Did they try firing simple rockets into the reactor core? Something capable of carrying a rad-hardened instrument package and a transmitter capable of being received by a helicopter. A camera, a spectrometer, a thermometer even. Something that would extend their knowledge of the problem.

      If they failed to make any real effort to prepare an adequate sensor grid in advance and failed to take basic steps to minimize uncertainty, then blunders from a lack of knowledge can't be blamed simply on that lack of knowledge. It stops being one of those things and starts looking like a massive failure and disastrous incompetence.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    8. Re:I think this means by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      fuel at the No. 3 reactor began melting at 5:30 a.m. on March 13

      I think this confirms that that they should not have flooded the reactor with seawater because the meltdown had already happened by the time they made that decision. They flooded the reactor on March 15th, as a last ditch attempt to prevent a meltdown. But it was too late to save the reactor since the fuel was already completely melted. So all the seawater did was let more nuclear material escape.

      Or, alternatively, they should have flooded it with seawater days ahead of time. The tsunami was March 11th, so perhaps had they made that decision on March 12th it would have been in time to prevent the worst of it? Ehh... maybe not.... the reactor foundation was probably already damaged by that point. :-(

      Armchair quarterbacking something this complex is a tad ridiculous don't you think? This reactor survived one of the worst natural disasters ever recorded. People were freaking out, the government was threatening to take over the plant, and worst of all they feared the earthquake was so strong that it had broken the containment vessel. Thank God it survived mostly unscathed.

      If there's one thing we can say in hindsight it's that there would have been almost no release of dangerous materials if there had been proper waste disposal/storage and it had been a modern reactor. So lets take care of those two things on all of our remaining reactors and avoid this problem in the future.

    9. Re:I think this means by Charliemopps · · Score: 2

      The containment buildings were supposed to contain everything, but they were damaged by hydrogen explosions. The hydrogen gas was supposed to have been vented, but the battery powered venting system stopped working after the disaster. Some consideration was given to venting into the atmosphere, but it was decided not to. A bad choice in hindsight, but they thought that their emergency cooling measures would work.

      I don't know much about Japan... but in the US most plant upgrades have been denied permits by the feds because of work done by organizations like Greenpeace. If I didn't know better, I'd think they were intentionally trying to cause accidents to further their anti-nuclear agenda.

    10. Re:I think this means by khallow · · Score: 1

      Hmmm, I wonder what sort of remote sensors could be used in the situation? I guess if neutron and gamma ray detectors could be built with decent spatial resolution, then that might work. A nuclear plant undergoing a meltdown is no doubt a high noise environment, but you still might be able to image its interior with infrasound.

    11. Re:I think this means by tinytim · · Score: 1

      Firing simple rockets into the pressure vessels... with a hardened sensor package that was shielded enough to withstand the impact but yet exposed enough to measure the environment... with a radio that will work in the presence of massive amounts of ionizing radiation. Certainly we have enough unobtainium by this day and age.

    12. Re: I think this means by antifoidulus · · Score: 2

      I was about 100 km from Fukushima when it happened, the reason they didn't flood the reactors with seawater right away was that the president of TEPCO, who before the earthquake was famous for being a cost cutter, wanted to save the reactor because if they flooded it it would never produce power again. He only reluctantly agreed to have it flooded after it was clear not doing so would result in an even bigger catastrophe. The dude should be hung for what he did.

    13. Re:I think this means by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That is incorrect.
      The mag 9.5 quake was 450 miles away.
      Ar the place of the reactor the quake was not even mag 6 ... the surrounding power pillions failed, shutting off the plant from external power.
      The plant itself was damaged by far enough to be unable to produce its own power and cool itself.
      And then the Tsunami hi tits emergency power.

      So, claiming the 'plant survived' a '.... how was your words? Ah: "This reactor survived one of the worst natural disasters ever recorded." '

      No, it certainly did not. It is smoldering in its ashes.

      Not only was it NOT EVEN HIT, by the 'worst natural disaster', but it got destroyed by its wake (1 thousand times weaker than the a actual disaster/quake)!! Or actually as wake implies by the water of the tsunami.

      Even if there had not been a tsunami, the plant was destroyed. What is so fucking difficult in accepting that? Sure, the emergency diesel power likely had prevented a 'disaster'.
      But the plant never would have gone online again.
      Claiming 'it survived the biggest catastrophe in mankind' is bullshit, and is a disrespect to the dead of Nagasaki and Hiroshima, or the simple earth quakes of the last 100 years.

      Google/Wikipedia for it. The official death toll is never even close to the 'unofficial' one. And all those quakes certainly qualify your brain dead definition of 'biggest disasters naturally recorded' ... Fukushima was no such thing yet. It will be in 30 or 50 years when the radiation death will start piling up.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    14. Re:I think this means by DeathElk · · Score: 1

      Design a system to be idiot proof, and they will simply design a better idiot.

    15. Re:I think this means by sphealey · · Score: 2

      - - - - - but in the US most plant upgrades have been denied permits by the feds because of work done by organizations like [organization parent poster doesn't like] - - - -

      Nuclear power plants in the United States with operating licenses undergo a continuous process of upgrade and modification, will continue to do so throughout their operating life, and in some cases continue to receive upgrades after retirement if in safestore mode. Over the last 20 years enormous effort has gone into simplifying and rationalizing the designs of the post-TMI era, standardizing operations, and improving backup systems. A current challenge is replacing the 1960s/70s era control and instrumentation systems which, while rugged and highly reliable, cannot be maintained as there are no longer sources of spare parts, with modern C&I systems. All while avoiding the fragility and instability of COTS electronics.

      It is true that the finance world on Wall Street has made it difficult to begin new from-scratch nuclear plants in the US (although a few are currently underway) due to serious doubts about ROI during the financed lifetime, but that's another issue entirely.

      sPh

    16. Re:I think this means by bobbied · · Score: 1

      You are right that the Tsunami was the issue here, not the earthquake, which the plant survived largely in one piece.

      However, I take exception to you description of the plant as being "smoldering in its ashes". Not exactly...

      The plant survived largely in one piece, sans the emergency generators and stuff that the sea water fouled. They have had some difficulties with keeping the reactors cooled and we have seen significant releases of radioactive materials into the environment because of the core(s) that melted, one apparently extensively. It's not a pile of rubble, and it's not smoldering in its ashes.

      Actually, the radiation exposure has been limited given the scope of the problems they've had, but this accident is not nearly the worst accident, especially in terms of deaths, for the industry.

      Now Chernobyl, THAT was a smoldering wreak after the accident.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    17. Re:I think this means by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Units 1, 2, and 3 at Fukushima are a 100% loss (Cores physically destroyed, primary loop hopelessly contaminated and damaged). Number 4 is a loss due to sharing a building with #3. The damaged structures continue to release airborne radiation. The improvised cooling system continues to be plagued by problems, including leaks of contaminated water reaching the ocean. Its open-loopness has resulted in a massive and ever-growing volume of contaminated water, which apparently cannot be decontaminated enough to release (or can't be scrubbed as fast as it is created).

      Other than Chernobyl, what worse accident has there been? The only two nuclear power industry accidents to approach this are the TMI-2 partial melt and at Leningrad NPP in the USSR where an RBMK-1000 suffered a partial melt with radiation release in the early 1970s (which exposed fatal flaws in the RBMK-1000's safety a decade before Chernobyl, thereby making Chernobyl even more absolutely inexcusable). If we broaden our horizons to military or experimental cockups, there are more candidates: The meltdown aboard the nuclear icebreaker Lenin, several lost Soviet nuclear boomers, the SL-1 explosion, the mess created by the Santa Barbara Field Laboratory, the Kyshtym disaster, the Windscale disaster... But of these only Kyshtym resulted in an exclusion zone.

      Fukushima wasn't the DOOOOM that the nutbars proclaimed (and/or continue to proclaim), but it does "us" no benefit to act nonchalantly as if it's not a big deal.

    18. Re:I think this means by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What did you mean by "rationalizing" in your message? I suspect think you meant "to make sane" but "rationalize" means "to come up with excuses for"

    19. Re:I think this means by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The plant itself was damaged by far enough to be unable to produce its own power and cool itself."

      Nonsense. Station batteries and diesels would have provided power if the tsunami had not hit. All IC and RCIC systems were still operational.

      "But the plant never would have gone online again."

      Why not? They were considering restarting Units 5 and 6 at Fukushima-1 even after the accident at Units 1-4.

    20. Re:I think this means by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Google/Wikipedia for it. The official death toll is never even close to the 'unofficial' one.

      [Citation needed]

    21. Re:I think this means by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      As I said, google yourself ... hundreds of links.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    22. Re:I think this means by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.

      Or are you talking about all those "indirect deaths" which included "OMG a nuclear reactor blew up somewhere in the distance I think I may get cancer ".

      Sorry but that has nothing at all to do with the nuclear disaster. I wonder how many of those people had stress due to losing their houses or having friends swept away in a giant wave. That's the wonderful thing about "indirect deaths". As it stands the actual disaster itself has zero confirmed deaths as a result of radiation. That means that the people who died would have died even if the hello kitty factory melted down. Hardly doom and gloom for the nuclear industry.

      In other news did you realise that 147000 people died in Australia last year indirectly as a result of being born! We need to outlaw this birth thing. It's killing people.

    23. Re:I think this means by sphealey · · Score: 1

      Dictionaries typically have a list of definitions for a word ;-)

      transitive verb:
      3: to apply the principles of scientific management to (as an industry or its operations) for a desired result (as increased efficiency)

    24. Re:I think this means by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I eye witnessed several thousand death myself.
      They where plain in TV, after all that happened 1886, I was 20 at that time ... so we had the nightly horror show with the honour public viewing of lead coffins in Moscow every day. After wards every "jubilee" year are TV shows with interviews of survivors. Every survivor tells you that 90% of his clean up team is dead and he is one of the last surviving ones.
      But perhaps: this is all made up :D

      Also every Russian or Ukrainian I met, know people who died to it, so I guess they also are making stuff up.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  5. Stupid Website by danbert8 · · Score: 1

    As if asahi.com wasn't already borked from the canal story, we link to them again?

    --
    Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
  6. They promise! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They aren't lying this time!

  7. I am still waiting... by jd · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    Back when the accident happened, a significant number of Slashdotters were saying that no meltdown had occurred, that there was no significant structural damage, that no radioactive material would reach the sea, that the incident was overblown and that the plant would be largely still operational.

    At this point, the discussion is not about how thoroughly the facility has been totalled but in what way.

    I don't care that there was limited data available at the start, drawing conclusions from data you don't have (aka making things up) is not an excuse. If you don't know, don't pretend you do. It is because TEPCO pretended that they knew that the world lacks much-needed nuclear power. It is because TEPCO made things up rather than obtained data that an accident was possible. Don't be a TEPCO.

    For those who defended the company, who downplayed the crisis as a nothing, who ignored any available information that didn't suit their preferred outcome, I am still awaiting an apology.

    An apology for deliberate pollution of the debate
    An apology for every post by every sceptical slashdotter modded to oblivion for the purpose of stifling debate
    An apology to Slashdot itself for so abusing the moderating system
    An apology for depriving the community of your own thought processes
    An apology for not once, in all subsequent Slashdot debates, conceding that honest debate is superior to dishonest control

    Maybe, by 2024, pride and conceit will be at levels where this is possible.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:I am still waiting... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know 'Don't Feed the Trolls' and all that, but I sincerely hope that this particular AC doesn't live anywhere near me. Dude, get some help...

    2. Re:I am still waiting... by Gothmolly · · Score: 1

      You're new here, aren't you.

      --
      I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
    3. Re:I am still waiting... by Charliemopps · · Score: 1, Troll

      Back when the accident happened, a significant number of Slashdotters were saying that no meltdown had occurred, that there was no significant structural damage, that no radioactive material would reach the sea, that the incident was overblown and that the plant would be largely still operational.

      God, we're sure lucky to have someone so intelligent as you to save us from ourselves... lets review the first article on slashdot about Fukushima so we can let you revel in our combined humiliation:
      http://hardware.slashdot.org/s...

      What's this? The post had meltdown right in the title? How could this be?!!?
      Oh that's right, you're full of shit.
      And just to make it clear, if you read through those posts... the Slashdot consensus at the time was the same as yours: The worlds over... big corporations just killed us all.

      The current death toll of the disaster: 0
      With 1 worker who died of esophageal cancer... so maybe 1
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...

      Long term affects:

      Predicted future cancer deaths due to accumulated radiation exposures in the population living near Fukushima are predicted to be extremely low to none.

      http://blogs.nature.com/news/2...

      Your reactionary statements are not based in fact.
      Nuclear power is fairly safe, modern reactors literally CANNOT melt down.
      The nuclear industry is prevented from upgrading their plants to safer models because people like you panic and protest.
      Japan moved to coal to replace the power lost due to the loss of nuclear power:
      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/...
      24,000 people per year died because of polution from coal fired power plants:
      http://www.catf.us/fossil/prob...

      get a clue

    4. Re:I am still waiting... by iggymanz · · Score: 0

      We're waiting for an apology from you for all the tech you use that actually caused death in their construction: the tall buildings you've been in, the power lines that have electrocuted linemen, the people who died in testing some of the drugs you used.....but there is no reason we should apologize for an downplaying an incident that caused zero deaths.

      You are a dishonest debater, a whiner, an illogical person. You are owed nothing but ridicule.

    5. Re:I am still waiting... by khallow · · Score: 1
      Ah, yes, the demands of apologies for things that didn't happen and words that weren't said. And I have yet to see any evidence of pro- or anti-nuke modding on Slashdot.

      An apology for not once, in all subsequent Slashdot debates, conceding that honest debate is superior to dishonest control

      Why don't you set a good example for us?

    6. Re:I am still waiting... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      with a 4 digit slash ID, that joke fails on him.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    7. Re:I am still waiting... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      You are certainly the last person who knows, get to know, or ever will know how many people died to the Fukushima disaster.

      Why do you believe you know 1 person died? Did you meet him on his dieing bed?

      Nuclear power is fairly safe, modern reactors literally CANNOT melt down.
      How retarded is that? Do they not can melt down? Or is it rather harmless if they melt down? Or do you mean, actually, the running reactors we have right now, 'can melt down', but are not 'modern'? Or do you indeed believe a modern reactor can not melt down?
      All the question marks indicate: you are wrong! As long as it is not a fusion reactor, it can melt down. The open question remains: will it breach its containment vessel ...
      Oh, a complete different question ... yeah, should have guessed you now try to weasel yourself out.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:I am still waiting... by sphealey · · Score: 1

      Valid points. Can't help but note the same group is out downmodding any comment pointing this out.

      sPh

    9. Re:I am still waiting... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One of the most insightful posts summing up the conduct of this debate that has been occurring for a long time. Unfortunately I see the nuclear mod trolls are out there censoring the argument.

      When evidence is presented to those who have accepted 'social proof' (which the report into the accident shows was the major contributor to the accident) their belief system becomes even more rabid. Typically and, predictably, the responses you will get to this post will be those that reinforce the belief system, even as they are being presented with even more evidence that they are wrong.

      You have been modded unfairly. I am modding you insightful because you are right, honest debate is superior to dishonest control.

    10. Re:I am still waiting... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are a dishonest debater, a whiner, an illogical person. You are owed nothing but ridicule.

      And you are an ad hominem fanboi who refuses to accept facts.

    11. Re:I am still waiting... by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      What facts, all the maimed and killed from Fukushima Daichi meltdown, all *zero* of them?

  8. The man who saved Onagawa by Old+VMS+Junkie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It could have been worse except for one determined engineer, Yanosuke Hirai, who insisted on a higher seawall for the Onagawa plant. A good article can be found at http://www.oregonlive.com/opin.... I have a quote on my wall from Tatsuji Oshima, one of his proteges. "Corporate ethics and compliance may be similar, but their cores are different. From the perspective of corporate social responsibility, we cannot say that there is no need to question a company's actions just because they are not a crime under the law."

    1. Re:The man who saved Onagawa by pipedwho · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up. Very informative.

  9. This is why we need NEW reactors by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Seriously, the mistake that everybody is making is stopping new ultra-safe reactors from replacing these old second gen reactors. Companies like Transatomic can make it so that the reactor can not fail.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:This is why we need NEW reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I heard those reactors are as sink proof as the Titanic.

  10. Explains the neutrons by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    "The estimated start of the fuel melting is roughly consistent with when neutrons were detected near the front gate of the nuclear plant, according to the officials."

  11. can not fail by mdsolar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Isn't that what they said about these reactors?

    1. Re:can not fail by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      When you have the laws of physics on your side, it is hard NOT to fail.
      The old reactors required ACTIVE work to stop them from melting down.
      OTOH, the molten salt requires an ACTIVE system to keep it going and a simple passive one to shut it down.

      BIG difference.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:can not fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Isn't that what they said about these reactors?

      I doubt it considering even a kindergartener could tell you that if you require power to run something, it's gonna run out of power someday (Although you might have to go all the way to high school to find kids who can connect that to "Having a backup system that requires power, that kills people when there isn't power--that might might fail to impress".)

      But please, do prove that's what they said about those reactors. I'd love to find nuclear physicists that couldn't pass high school!

    3. Re:can not fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, except that... we've heard it before. Those of us who are old enough to remember the 80s, 70s, 60s even - we remember how each generation of nuclear power was supposed to be cleaner, cheaper, safer than the one before.

      Until it isn't. Well, maybe "cleaner", but even that's debatable as the only serious leaks have been edge cases/disasters of this sort, which are thankfully too few to generalise from. But each generation, without exception, has been
        - over budget
        - more expensive than its predecessor
        - vulnerable to some kind of disaster that wasn't planned for because it was just so durn' unlikely, like "an earthquake more powerful than any ever recorded in the region".

    4. Re:can not fail by swillden · · Score: 2

      Those of us who are old enough to remember the 80s, 70s, 60s even - we remember how each generation of nuclear power was supposed to be cleaner, cheaper, safer than the one before.

      Yes, they were. And the reason they weren't is because those newer-generation reactors were never built. We had the first gen reactors built in the early 50s that were horrible, and the second generation (like Fukishima) in the 60s and early 70s which were much better than the first-gen, but still had some potentially nasty failure modes and required active management to be safe. And that's where we stopped. The third and fourth-gen reactors were never built. So, yes, we hear about all these new generations of designs which were supposed to be cleaner, cheaper and safer, and they would have been... if we built them.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    5. Re:can not fail by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Exactly.
      I went to zion nuke plant when it was first opened in the early 70's. And as a schoolkid, I thought it was cool. BUT, it was killed back in the 90's. Why? Because a tech made a SIMPLE mistake. Now, he never caused a meltdown or even came close, BUT, he did manage to destroy ONE of 2 reactors. Because it was a dual reactor (shared the same steam generator to keep down costs), once 1 reactor was destroyed, the other could not be used.

      BUT what was the real problem? It was because it was a gen 2 reactor. Simple as that.

      We need new reactors, that will not fail and cause a massive loss. In addition, they need to be cheap to put in.
      At this time, I wish that Obama would stand up and say that we are going to guarantee buying 10 of the new mPower reactors to use as desalination plants. In addition, we should back buying 10 instances of something like TransAtomic and Ideally, 10 of Flibe.
      By doing this, we get these companies going, and restart our nuke industry, which has been sold off.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:can not fail by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      They were built but they blew up or cracked or got a pebble stuck. All of these are old designs that failed.

    7. Re:can not fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They were built but they blew up or cracked or got a pebble stuck. All of these are old designs that failed.

      Thats the thing people forget about PBMR, they have a lot of machinery in them to move the fuel balls. The fuel balls have to be made uniform, about the size of a shotput and, then coated with graphite. In the reactor an inert gas is used (Argon, iirc) to seal the operational components from the atmosphere. They do not have a containment building and are described as 'walk-away' safe.

      The basis design issues revolve around uniform fuel balls not being uniform and getting stuck (like it did in Germany about the same time as Chernobyl). As the plant ages it exposes the reactor to leaks from the atmosphere, which means the graphite moderator around the fuel ball becomes flammable (just like Chernobyl) due to the introduction of oxygen the plant cascades into failure.

      Thanks for your posts mdsolar, anyone who makes an honest evaluation of the facts appreciates them.

    8. Re:can not fail by brambus · · Score: 1
      Care to point out which experimental reactor blew up? To my knowledge no gen 3 or gen 4 prototypes blew up or cracked. As to the pebble that got stuck in the THTR-300, it was a terrible design, no doubt about it, because:
      • Pebble bed reactors have extremely large numbers of moving parts, the exact opposite of reliable.
      • It used high-pressure helium for coolant, of which there isn't much on the planet and on scale-up it would almost certainly cause shortages.

      I have to agree with Bill Gates here again, in that modern computer modeling is a night and day difference between then and now. Back when the THTR-300 was designed (construction started in 1971, so design was done in the mid 60s), this(*) was the state of the art in supercomputers and this was still the most common way of solving mathematical problems and so people could not help but make bad decisions that had to be tested and failed experimentally. Nowadays we can digitally simulate to extreme minutiae the conditions that designers back then could only guess at. Today the uncertainty in reactor design isn't in the thermodynamics part anymore - we've got that down pretty well by now - it's in the materials science and how materials respond over time to various environments, i.e. our simulation granule has shrunk considerably from being whole subsystems of the plant to almost the molecular level. To claim that nuclear designs can't work because there were mistakes made 40 years ago is the same as to say that hydrogen fuel cells can't work, because look at what happened to Apollo-13.

      (*) "With performance of about 1 megaFLOPS, the CDC 6600 was the world's fastest computer from 1964 to 1969,"

    9. Re:can not fail by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Getting the computations right tells us to phase out nuclear power as too expensive. http://www.forbes.com/sites/am...

    10. Re:can not fail by brambus · · Score: 1
      Good to know that you can't defend your claim of gen 3&4 experimental reactors blowing up.

      Getting the computations right tells us to phase out nuclear power as too expensive

      Sure, it's just that stupid reality that keeps fucking up Amory's love story.

    11. Re:can not fail by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Gen 2 BWR reactors started getting built in the 1950s. Process safety is a phenomenon that started in the 1970s. Inherently safer design is a principle of process safety that really only appeared in the mid 90s. International Functional Safety standards only appeared in the 2000s.

      Generally in the history of building big and dangerous process equipment you can look at safety in this way:

      1950s - 1970s : Stay the hell away from it. We had only rudimentary safety systems designed to counter specific problems that were discovered by previous fuckups.
      1970s - 1990s : Better change management and the advent of hazard and operability studies removed a hell of a lot of dangerous design flaws such as wrong metalwork, and undersized relief valves. These plants are less likely to fail catastrophically. People thought about things like deluge systems and firefighting when they were constructed.
      1990s - now : We now live in an era of inherently safer design and functional safety. Process Safety people are amongst the most sought after jobs around the world. The focus is on designing a process that when all else fails, including carefully designed safety systems to carefully written functional safety standards (so unlikely to fail), even if everything fails they are designed to have a safe state. This is something that only really started happening with Gen IV reactors.

      Lets face it, we are now in a world where many processes wouldn't pass a design check. A Fluidized Catalytic Cracker in an oil refinery has hydrocarbons above autoignition sitting in a vessel gravity fed above a vessel of enriched oxygen. This is the thought process that went through people's head in the 30s. All there is to separate the two is a pressure imbalance which has a tendency to go horridly wrong very quickly. Such a design would never pass muster today.

      Nuclear is no different. Thought processes were different in the 1950s when these old reactors were designed. Yes they were safer but they were not safe.

    12. Re:can not fail by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Gen IV are often fast breeders. People can happen to those in a very very nasty way.

    13. Re:can not fail by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      The point is not the technology but when and how it is built. The discussion has changed from "the control system will keep us safe" to "the emergency shutdown system will keep us safe" to "the design will keep us safe".

      It's not about the type of process but it's details. There's nothing about the process of the AP1000 that requires passive cooling. 30 years ago we would have just thrown another pump and another backup system at it. Now we're talking gravity feeding in case all else fails. The same can be seen throughout the entire process industry. High Pressure / Low Pressure let down systems are a classic example too. The advent of fancy control systems and emergency shutdown systems meant that such interfaces used to be quite severely instrumented. Except when things go wrong as BP showed in Grangemouth their plant turns into a small crater. Nothing has changed in the process now, except that LP vessels are now built for the full rating of the HP side and relief valves are sized to vent the full flow of the HP side.

      The process is exactly the same, but there are inherently safer ways to design things, and that's the conversations being had today.

    14. Re:can not fail by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      That is Gen III, not IV and has been pointed out "the Westinghouse AP1000 has a weaker containment, less redundancy in safety systems, and fewer safety features than current reactors" http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02... so we're really looking at putting lipstick on a pig in much of this.

    15. Re:can not fail by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Please stop talking about the specifics of the technology and start reading what I'm actually talking about. I was using those as examples of mindset only, not of what a current reactor design right now will look like. I couldn't care less about your Gen III / Gen IV stuff. My entire point was the way these designs are built now is not the same way they are built in the past even if the process is completely identical.

      Funny you mention less safety systems, because that falls exactly into what I am saying. Looking back at the high pressure separation scenario, I retrofitted a safety system to a HP/LP separator at a refinery some 10 years ago. Based on the existing design the system was calculated out at SIL3. I now work at a plant where the completely identical process came out at SIL1. The safety system could tolerate 2 orders of magnitude higher probability of failure on demand because of the subtle changes in how it was built. The focus was on preventing a highly dangerous scenario from occurring and as such it didn't need very much of a safety system at all.

      These kinds of calculations may seem alarming to you, but the reality is the standards on which they are based are only about 10 years old. Dramatic changes in safety systems have come from now properly calculating scenarios rather than simply following some design code. Boilers are a classic example of this. Older boiler codes required 2 out of 3 instrumentation on monitoring water drum level and one isolation valve to fuel gas. When you actually do the maths you end up spending money in all the wrong areas and one instrument is actually reliable enough, but one valve isn't.

      Regardless of what you build now, Gen I, Gen II, Gen III, or Gen IV the plant will not be the same as the same design built 50 years ago because safety is now a calculated factor and not a judgement call. That is the one and only point I'm trying to make.

    16. Re:can not fail by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      This seems quite immature. In flood damage prevention, we adjust zoning laws. Nuclear safety seems far behind that. Limiting density to one dwelling per three acres within 15 miles of a nuclear plant would provide for rapid and organized evacuation. The evacuation at Fukushima killed many people owing to emergency preparedness being overwhelmed. We should close all nuclear plants in high property value or high population areas to really limit risk.

  12. Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by dtjohnson · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A large amount of radioactive material was released into the ocean where it will remain in the food chain for decades. Approximately 100,000 people are unable to return to their homes and a large area of land in a country where land is scarce and precious is uninhabitable. But...that's just the short term. Long term: Japan will have to deal with electric power shortages for years until their power generation can be rebuilt with new technology. Hundreds of billions of dollars will have to be spent over the next 20 years to decommission the mess at Fukushima and attempt to decontaminate the surrounding downwind land. All of this was avoidable...but happened because the resident village idiots were able to prevent realistic plans from being implemented for electric power generation at Fukushima. The Onagawa power station was closer to the earthquake epicenter and yet it survived undamaged thanks to a losing battle by the resident village idiots to ensure that it was built according to their idiot plans. They lost at Onagawa but 'won' at Fukushima. Idiots who said...why spend a lot of money on a bigger seawall at Fukushima? Idiot engineers at GE who said 'there's no need for a failsafe design for something that will never happen,' and idiots who say 'what's the big deal about a meltdown?'

  13. is anybody listening? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The plant shut down so safely that it served as an evacuation center in Onagawa

    this is the standard to which nuclear power plants should be built.

  14. Great article!!! by pkinetics · · Score: 1

    This needs mod points!!!!

  15. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by bobbied · · Score: 1

    A large amount of radioactive material was released into the ocean where it will remain in the food chain for decades.

    what isotopes are you talking about.. Some of this stuff is centuries before it goes away... Oh, and never mind that in Japan they currently occupy the only two locations where nuclear weapons have been used.... So, I'm not so sure this is as totally bad as folks claim.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  16. Um... by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    the China Syndrome was less about a nuclear disaster and more about cover ups and ignoring of known safety issues. It sorta sounds like we _did_ have a China Syndrome situation here...

    --
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  17. Complete Melthdown Beyond Complete Meltdown. by hackus · · Score: 1

    I told everyone this the week after the reactor detonated.

    I got labeled a crack pot, a troll and a fear mongering ignorant ranter.

    I also said TEPCO is lying and so is the Japanese government that everything was contained.

    But now that they admit it, it is OK.

    Why these people are not immediately arrested, and prosecuted is beyond me.

    The entire TEPCO board should be prosecuted, arrested and jailed. No need for a trail as they have publicly admitted they comitted a crime.

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
    1. Re:Complete Melthdown Beyond Complete Meltdown. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I got labeled a crack pot, a troll and a fear mongering ignorant ranter.

      Consider the possibility that you are a crack pot, a troll and a fear mongering ignorant ranter. The reactor didn't detonate, nobody ever said everything was contained.

    2. Re:Complete Melthdown Beyond Complete Meltdown. by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

      So those giant H2 gas explosions that destroyed the containment vessels in all 6 reactors never happened?
      Good to know..NOT!!

  18. Bad day by SuperTechnoNerd · · Score: 1

    Everything that could have gone wrong, did go wrong. They were in deep shit, and they knew it.
    Here is a very good documentary on how things played out.

  19. Communications and knowledge were a problem by ChumpusRex2003 · · Score: 4, Informative
    This is the crux of the problem. No one knew what was going on and what to do. Investigations over the last few years have shown that typical TEPCO safety drills were very limited and basic; there was little planning or rehearsal of complex accident scenarios, just basic minor incidents.

    There were poor decisions and communication between various designers and operators. Take for example, the situation at reactor 1. After the generators started, the emergency reactor cooling condensers should have switched on to provide cooling. However, operators had found that they were very effective and being unfamiliar with their use were concerned that they would cause thermal shock to the reactor. Not familiar with the operation of this system, the operators decided to manually switch off the condenser system to arrest the temperature drop. They would then switch them on again manually as reactor temp rose again. This worked fine, until the generators failed, removing control and monitoring from this system.

    Operators at emergency control, in a separate quake-proof building asked for confirmation of operation, but the control room could not give it. So,workers went out to inspect the reactor building for steam rising from the condenser stacks. They reported some steam rising, and it was assumed that the system was operational. However, the condenser system had never been used or tested since the plants were constructed 40 years ago. No one knew how they worked and how quickly they could cool the reactor, no one knew how much steam was produced during operation. It turns out that the workers sent out for reconnaissance saw only faint steam trickling from the stacks, consistent with the system having been switched off for many minutes, but still containing some residual heat. Had the system been switched on, the clouds of steam would have been so profuse and so dense that the it would have been impossible even to see the reactor building, let alone identify the condenser stacks.

    On the assumption that the system was operational, other attempts to provide emergency cooling were suspended or delayed. A steam/battery powered pump system was available to deliver fresh water to the reactor, but without a heatsink (condenser) available, the reactor temperature rapidly rose and so did reactor pressure, eventually overcoming the maximum discharge pressure of the coolant injection system. After a few hours, the UPS controlling this system discharged and it also failed.

    After 24 hours, reactor pressure unexpectedly dropped. Operators realised that this might permit external coolant injection and fire engines were called in. There was a huge delay, as the fire engines were unable to reach the site due to debris and some had been destroyed by the tsunami. Subsequent investigation showed that despite massive coolant injection, coolant did not rise in the reactor. The cause was thought to be due to damage to the reactor vessel or a pipe. In retrospect, it probably indicated damage to the reactor following meltdown of the fuel.

    There were also design oversights in the emergency systems for the plants. One of the final backup schemes for reactor cooling was the ability to connect fire engines to the reactor to inject coolant. It subsequently became apparent that in units 2 and 3, this water didn't reach the reactor, and collected in a condenser unit instead. This was always going to happen, due to the way in which the water pipes were connected. There was a pump connected between the storage tank and the injection flow pipe. Under normal injection conditions, the pump would have been running, and any additional water from the fire engine would likely have gone towards the reactor, and this presumably was the assumption under which the water injection protocol was developed. However, under power failure conditions, the pump was unpowered. Due to the design of the pump - a rotodynamic (impeller) pump. this pump would have offered little or no resistance to reverse flow when unpowered.

    1. Re:Communications and knowledge were a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you have any sources or studies into the Fukushima plant operation by professional or governmental bodies? Either Japanese or foreign.

  20. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1, Insightful

    A large amount of radioactive material was released into the ocean where it will remain in the food chain for decades.

    Hmm, 1.3 billion cubic km of ocean, at 3 ppb uranium naturally...

    So, the ocean has, as a matter of course, ~4 billion tons of uranium, of which 0.72% is U-235. So 28,000,000 tons of U-235 in the ocean naturally.

    So, if the reactor in question had a MILLION TONS of fuel (trust me, it didn't), it increased the natural radioactivity on the oceans by less than 4%.

    A more realistic number would be 0.001% for the increase.

    And even that number is a generous overestimate.

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  21. Re:A few notes on the construction of the fuel by Technician · · Score: 1

    The media had a hayday trying to cover an event in deep coverup. What they reported revealed volumes.

    They reported the Hydrogen Explosion. This was the first indicator to the public a major event happened. What the media does not know.

    1 The fuel pellets are held in rods made of Zirconium. This is because it is transparant to the reaction and does not slow the reaction so it can be controlled by control rods.

    2 Zirconium is flamable, even in water. It burns even better in water than in air. It breaks down water to use the Oxygen.

    3 There was a LOT of hydrogen produced in a short time to fill the containment building with an explosive Hydrogen air mix. There are other ways to generate Hydrogen, but not in huge quanities.

    When the Hydrogen explosion removed the containment, they were quick to point out this was not a Russian style steam explosion, but a Hydrogen explosion. I suspected at that time, they had burned the fuel rod structures in water. I suspected the fuel pellets were quite hot too.

    --
    The truth shall set you free!
  22. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by MrL0G1C · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So you think all of the radioactive crap that got dumped into the ocean is going to be magically dispersed evenly throughout the globes oceans?

    Or more likely it's going to bugger up seafood local to japan for decades to come.

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  23. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by sjames · · Score: 1, Informative

    Much of the leakage was cesium which reacts violently with water forming a cesium hydroxide solution. So yes, it will disperse nicely.

  24. That again? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    The total amount of radioactive material put out by a coal power plant is actually larger

    Why just accept that crap churned out an an Oak Ridge administrator, and later author of joke books, who managed to force his unreviewed bullshit into an issue of Scientific American without actually thinking about it first?
    Since coal is mostly plant material and radioactive carbon decays quickly in geological terms how is that even possible? Since power stations now have scrubbers, bag filters and other stuff to prevent solid material going up into the air how is that even possible? Gravity also does stuff to heavy elements remember, plus they tend to have very high melting points and are difficult to reduce.
    It's an easy and cunning answer. You just consider an ideal nuclear plant, on paper, not a real one, over a short time span - not long enough to change fuel. The amount of radioactive material put out by such a theoretical plant is zero. You then compare it to background radiation - DIVIDE BY ZERO ERROR - suddenly ANYTHING is infinitely worse.
    So by the trick used to devise the statement you've regurgitated your own body is putting out more radioactive material, per unit of energy produced, than a nuclear power plant.
    It's a pointless and annoying trick played by Alex Gabbard, the manipulative prick that also went as far as declaring that terrorists could build nuclear bombs from fly ash. If it's that easy don't you wonder why Iran is having so much trouble? After all these years it's still finding credulous suckers willing to eat that shit and spew it up again all over the place.

  25. No wind anywhere? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Come on. Even for those readers that didn't go to high school they've surely seen one of those weather maps with high and low pressures and can get some idea of what happens to air between them. The "no wind" argument only holds up if you only have windmills in one location. There are plenty of downsides to wind (small unit size, high maintainance, not cheap) but do you really think the readers here are so utterly stupid as to fall for that one? It's a bit insulting that you are trying that on.

  26. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by dbIII · · Score: 1

    what isotopes are you talking about

    It's radioactive decay so just about anything lighter than the fuel, which makes waste management so damn hard and was the reason to develop Synrok.

  27. Why is this important? One word by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

    IMOX. Plutonium enhanced pressurized water reactor. #3 was the single enhanced core in the 6 Tepco disasterous failures.
    The total melt is due primarily to the larger volume of daughter products with far smaller percentage of stable transuranic transmutational products v. daughter products of fission.
    Once again, the theory of breeder cost reduction takes a hit.

  28. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by ultranova · · Score: 1

    So you think all of the radioactive crap that got dumped into the ocean is going to be magically dispersed evenly throughout the globes oceans?

    If it dissolves in water, it'll disperse due to entropy, if it doesn't, it'll fall to seabed and get buried by sediment.

    Or more likely it's going to bugger up seafood local to japan for decades to come.

    "More likely"... on what basis?

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  29. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

    You incorrectly assume that water in the global oceans quickly mixes with all of the other water, I expect that process takes centuries considering the size of the oceans.

    Radioactive materials do not "disperse nicely"
    http://www.theguardian.com/env....

    http://enenews.com/vancouver-s...

    http://naturalsociety.com/thir...

    http://enenews.com/npr-affilia...

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  30. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

    ...And

    Cesium levels in the Pacific had initially gone up an astonishing 45 million times above pre-accident levels. The levels then declined rapidly for a while, but after that, they unexpectedly levelled off.

            In July, cesium levels stopped declining and remained stuck at 10,000 times above pre-accident levels.

            This means the ocean isnâ(TM)t diluting the radiation as expected. If it had been, cesium levels would have kept falling.

            The finding suggests that radiation is still being released into the ocean long after the accident in March, 2011.

    http://www.thelibertybeacon.co...

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  31. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by sjames · · Score: 1

    Those articles are not even about nuclear contamination in the ocean.

    Note on the 3rd link, the Cs measures in West Coast soil is a TINY amount and is most likely left over from our own atomic testing.

  32. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by sjames · · Score: 1

    It's right there in the quote. It is dispersing into the ocean quite well. Unfortunately, they appear to have failed to prevent further contamination. If they will do the right thing there, the levels will fall right off.

  33. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by sjames · · Score: 1

    Enenews.com decided to load for me now. Those do discuss the ocean, but they are talking about minute traces of radiation and actually demonstrate my point. If the stuff didn't disburse, it wouldn't ever make it to the U.S. west coast from Japan.

    To give you a good scale, banannas have about 30,000 times the radiation of the fish. A Bq is a truly tiny amount.

  34. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

    When cars move, do they disperse? No.

    The ocean has currents:
    https://www.google.co.uk/searc...

    So, the radioactive waters can traverse to ocean without completely dispersing. And note the diagrams all showing the current goes from japan to the US... and back.

    In fact where I live in Europe is warm because water travels around the globe without dispersing
    https://www.google.co.uk/searc...

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  35. Re:Idiot speaks: "So.. what?" by sjames · · Score: 1

    And those currents constantly mix at the boundaries with the rest of the water. If the water has barely detectable concentrations by the time it gets to the U.S. it will have undetectable concentrations by the time it makes it back to Japan. That's pretty good dispersion.