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Climate Scientist Pioneer Talks About the Furture of Geoengineering

First time accepted submitter merbs writes At the first major climate engineering conference, Stanford climatologist Ken Caldeira explains how and why we might come to live on a geoengineered planet, how the field is rapidly growing (and why that's dangerous), and what the odds are that humans will try to hijack the Earth's thermostat. From the article: "For years, Dr. Ken Caldeira's interest in planet hacking made him a curious outlier in his field. A highly respected atmospheric scientist, he also describes himself as a 'reluctant advocate' of researching solar geoengineering—that is, large-scale efforts to artificially manage the amount of sunlight entering the atmosphere, in order to cool off the globe."

140 comments

  1. Just be careful by penguinoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So long as they don't accidentally break some important system that they forgot to account for, I'm all for it.

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    1. Re:Just be careful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's as if you *KNOW* they will screw it up. I'm confident they will. My greatest concern is that because the engineering is happening now over some major metropolis areas (such as San Francisco) for the last several years -- the people there deserve to feel the effects of human activity. The *best* solution is for us to not put a bandaid on the situation so that the effects of our cultures are fully felt and thus causal to reconsideration of priority. This won't happen, though, because humans are notoriously poor long planners and attracted to immediate satisfaction.

      My greatest issue with all of it right now is that the weather engineering is happening without public disclosure or consent.

    2. Re:Just be careful by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Nuke'em from orbit.

      It's the only way to be sure.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:Just be careful by Anon-Admin · · Score: 2

      Hold on a second. This installation has a substantial dollar value attached to it.

    4. Re:Just be careful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are just softening you up for accepting the idea that they have already been doing for some 40-50 years.

      They have been geoengineering for many years.

      http://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/

    5. Re:Just be careful by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      The criterion should be: if your geoengineering process can't run away, no problem. A legal procedure would be adding nutrient to areas of the ocean to produce carbon-eating algal blooms; the process runs only until the nutrient is consumed. An illegal procedure might be engineering a plankton organism that eats carbon, feeding on existing oceanic nutrients; such an organism could run away and consume all atmospheric carbon, freezing the world and killing most land plants.

    6. Re:Just be careful by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

      I'm guessing he also explained how it would cost the government $100,000,00, payable in monthly instalments to various institutions, to do the feasibility studies.

    7. Re:Just be careful by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      That's cheap compared to the money you'd be spending to keep the actual geoengineering going month after month.

    8. Re:Just be careful by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

      Probably. It's just something I heard about a conference for the Deep Carbon Observatory some time ago. We'll get everybody into a room to discuss whether we think it's a great idea for the government to give us $100,000,000 to do a study into it. Oh, we all voted Yes! The result was a massive shock, as you can imagine.

  2. Cooling is worse then warming. by HornWumpus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We know there is an ice age tipping point just a few degrees colder then present. Geo-engineering could fuck us all if they trust a climate model that overestimates.

    Alternatively we could all be driving 10 liter W-16s, just to save the planet.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    1. Re:Cooling is worse then warming. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Alternatively we could all be driving 10 liter W-16s, just to save the planet.

      At some point in the future, we probably will, but for now we've created for ourselves plenty of margin for error between the current conditions and triggering an ice age.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    2. Re:Cooling is worse then warming. by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      The planet will be fine either way. Save the humans.

    3. Re:Cooling is worse then warming. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      We know there is an ice age tipping point just a few degrees colder then present. Geo-engineering could fuck us all if they trust a climate model that overestimates.

      I guarantee to you that no matter what we do the Earth will not plunge into an ice age in your lifetime or even your grandchildren's lifetimes. It takes multiple centuries for such a thing to even get going and millennia to fully develop. It is easily countered just by increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

  3. Furture? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Furture? Really there's furture?

    1. Re: Furture? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I come from the furture! I can prove it. Just listen to my furtive and furious farts!

    2. Re:Furture? by NotDrWho · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, it's right after the parst and prersent.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    3. Re: Furture? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Furbies are just the furkinning! Furries will furnish your doom!

    4. Re:Furture? by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Furry future? O_O

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    5. Re:Furture? by Jason+Levine · · Score: 1

      I come from the future. Just look at my posting date/time. See? Future!

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
    6. Re:Furture? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ther furture? ERMAGERD!

    7. Re:Furture? by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

      Not to be confused with the furniture, which has far more shrubberies in it.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    8. Re:Furture? by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      Not to worry, the knight that says ni, will fix it.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    9. Re:Furture? by q4Fry · · Score: 2

      I'm going to fature the furture on my bolg. We can half a debate in the convents.

    10. Re:Furture? by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      I see fur in the future.

    11. Re: Furture? by gargleblast · · Score: 1

      Do you come from a furture in which samzenpus wins a Purlitzer?

    12. Re: Furture? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A day later and the typo still isn't fixed. A purlitzer definitely is not in slashdots furture....

  4. Mod parent to infinity by NotDrWho · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah, that was my first thought. Before you go fucking with something as important as the climate, you had better be DAMN SURE you know EXACTLY what you're doing. Some systems are just not to be fucked with lightly.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    1. Re:Mod parent to infinity by GameboyRMH · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well bad news, we've been fucking with it heavily for a couple hundred years with no plan whatsoever, and we're still mostly acting like it's no big deal.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    2. Re:Mod parent to infinity by NotDrWho · · Score: 2

      Well bad news, we've been fucking with it heavily for a couple hundred years with no plan whatsoever, and we're still mostly acting like it's no big deal.

      Yeah, and we're trying to stop that, because we realized it was a mistake.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    3. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, except that parent is right - we're still mostly acting like it's no big deal.
      Some increased awareness doesn't mean that we (as a species) are actually trying to stop it.

    4. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Mr_Wisenheimer · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Who is "we", because it most certainly does not include Fox News, the Wall Street Journal editorial board, the petrochemical corporations, or any of their shills and acolytes, and that is a pretty large segment of the population.

    5. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I see you're still using electricity.

    6. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Megol · · Score: 1

      Yes. From hydro power. Yes that also destroys the environment but in a considerably lesser way than the alternatives.

    7. Re:Mod parent to infinity by penguinoid · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well bad news, we've been fucking with it heavily for a couple hundred years with no plan whatsoever, and we're still mostly acting like it's no big deal.

      No, we've done very little to purposely change the environment (and nothing at the global scale). Our various industries all give us guaranteed benefits (though not necessarily net benefit), and the effects on the environment are a side-effect, and comparatively small. If we decide to intentionally target the global environment, the effects could be much bigger.

      I'm not saying climate engineering is a bad idea, but keep in mind that people are arrogant and overconfident. Test everything, even if it means going slowly. We don't have a backup planet in case there's a mistake, and we really can afford to wait decades before implementing these measures.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    8. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, I typed this with a butterfly.

    9. Re:Mod parent to infinity by geekoid · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      It is a big deal. It a huge fucking deal. But morons like you can't understand that, don't understand even the most basic science, and keep talking as if your ignorant opinion should have the same weight as an informed opinion.

      The only people who it isn't a big deal are people who have become bitches of science denial.
      You are no different then the people in Africa denying that Ebola is real.
      Stupid, ignorant, FUD spread prick.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    10. Re:Mod parent to infinity by mi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But morons like you [...] bitches of science denial [...] Stupid, ignorant, FUD spread prick.

      I suppose, this was another example of the sophisticated argument exquisitely worded in order to convince an opponent, rather than shout him down...

      Can I subscribe to your newsletter? Thank you!

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    11. Re:Mod parent to infinity by timeOday · · Score: 4, Insightful

      the effects on the environment are a side-effect, and comparatively small. If we decide to intentionally target the global environment, the effects could be much bigger.

      We can only hope, but I find that extremely unlikely. How many dollars have been spent on dredging up carbon and dispersing it into the atmosphere in the last 200 years? The US spends a trillion dollars per year on gasoline alone, and the US is about 1/4 of world oil consumption (less by now). Global coal consumption is over 7 billion tons per year. That is a ton of coal for every man, woman, and child on earth, per year, every year, for decades on end.

      What this means is even if we find some means of restoration that is 100 times as potent at cooling the planet as CO2 is in warming it, the task is incomprehensibly huge.

    12. Re:Mod parent to infinity by timeOday · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Individual effort is precisely the wrong way to approach the problem. No individual has a measurable impact on the overall environment. The only thing that would work is manipulating the natural economic incentives that are pushing us towards disaster.

    13. Re:Mod parent to infinity by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      The US spends a trillion dollars per year on gasoline alone

      Umm, no.

      In 2013, the USA used 134.5 billion gallons of gasoline. Which works out to about $450-500 billion.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    14. Re:Mod parent to infinity by penguinoid · · Score: 3, Interesting

      What this means is even if we find some means of restoration that is 100 times as potent at cooling the planet as CO2 is in warming it, the task is incomprehensibly huge.

      No. No it isn't. There's a few individuals who could personally afford to send us back into an ice age. Just to give a couple examples,

      According to estimates by the Council on Foreign Relations, "one kilogram of well placed sulfur in the stratosphere would roughly offset the warming effect of several hundred thousand kilograms of carbon dioxide."

      Recent research has expanded this constant to "106 C: 16 N: 1 P: .001 Fe" signifying that in iron deficient conditions each atom of iron can fix 106,000 atoms of carbon,[34] or on a mass basis, each kilogram of iron can fix 83,000 kg of carbon dioxide.

      But they have side effects. And perhaps they have side effects that won't become apparent until we try them on a large scale.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    15. Re:Mod parent to infinity by timeOday · · Score: 1

      I see, the amount of "Finished Motor Gasoline" was 134.5 BN, so I should have said "oil" instead of "gasoline."

    16. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, we've done very little to purposely change the environment (and nothing at the global scale).

      Just because nobody is taking credit for saving civilization from Global Cooling that doesn't mean they didn't plan Global Warming. Now it is just up to us to make sure that it doesn't swing too far in the other direction.

    17. Re:Mod parent to infinity by davester666 · · Score: 1

      are you sure those electrons actually came from that particular power plant?
      and that it wasn't originally built to send power somewhere else, and the power just happened to be redirected to you because it was more convenient to do so and build a coal-fired electric plant closer to 'somewhere else'?

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    18. Re:Mod parent to infinity by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Read the IPCC reports, then you'd know how it is a big deal to everyone.

    19. Re:Mod parent to infinity by mi · · Score: 1

      Read the IPCC reports

      The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are exactly the sort of people I was talking about — the ones, whose salaries and authority depend on Climate Change being a big deal. The conflict of interest is so glaringly obvious, it is comparable to the proverbial elephant in the room. They've been caught red-handed before.

      The "reports" they produce are written by people appointed by governments. Few of them are scientists, and what few scientists there are seek not knowledge, but ways to confirm their pre-existing convictions — and when the data fails to do that, they "homogenize" it until it does... And though governments differ world-wide, they all have one thing in common: they are all convinced (often sincerely), that they "know better" and could "do good" if only they had more control over their subjects and their pretty little heads.

      This is why you have never heard of any "green" measure, that would have reduced rather than increased the government's power over Individuals, have you?..

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    20. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Bengie · · Score: 1

      Hyrdo contributes more per watt to the greenhouse effect than coal. All that methane created by anaerobic processes is much worse than CO2 at trapping heat.

    21. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's pretty much the best you can expect from Geekoid.

    22. Re:Mod parent to infinity by Yaotzin · · Score: 1

      Hyrdo contributes more per watt to the greenhouse effect than coal.

      Citation?

      --
      Error: No error occurred
  5. Agricultural Revolution 2.0 by deathcloset · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Humans must control the environment, it's just what we do. To quote the late, great Jacob Bronowski, man is, “...not a figure in a landscape, but the shaper of the landscape.” We've already affected the planet - just look at the deforestation in the Amazon (the jungle) from satellite images - it's impossible to ignore, even from space. If your face looked like the Amazon looks right now you would go see a doctor. How could this not be inevitable? First we sow the fields, next we sow the planets.

    1. Re:Agricultural Revolution 2.0 by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Great. The so-called "Green Revolution" has resulted in the destruction of topsoil everywhere it has been used, and increasing fossil energy dependence. What's next?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Agricultural Revolution 2.0 by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

      Of course it also prevent a lot of starvation.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    3. Re:Agricultural Revolution 2.0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that if it ever fails it will cause massive starvation that will cause orders of magnitude more death and disease then any other event in history.
      We have built our civilization on a stack of cards.

    4. Re:Agricultural Revolution 2.0 by pigiron · · Score: 1

      In pre-Columbian times massive areas of the Amazon basin were de-forested and under cultivation.

  6. Resource Conflicts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If people thought conflicts over rivers, lakes, land were bad wait until one country is setting the thermostat.

  7. We can learn from volcanoes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What was happening with that solution involving dispersing sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, just like volcanoes, since volcanoes do that, and it cools the Earth for a good while.

    Or extending the smoke stacks of coal burning plants up to 18 miles high so that sulfur dioxide goes into the stratosphere instead?

    1. Re:We can learn from volcanoes. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The problem with injecting SO2 into the stratosphere is that you can never stop doing it as it has a limited lifetime in the atmosphere and as more and more CO2 is in the atmosphere you would have to increase it. Who's going to pay for that indefinitely into the future? On top of that the SO2 reduces the sunlight hitting the Earth which will reduce photosynthesis and thus agricultural productivity. TANSTAAFL.

  8. waxing pedantic by thomasvs · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    Did he talk about it furtively because he knew he didn't spellcheck first?

    1. Re:waxing pedantic by thomasvs · · Score: 1

      Interesting, a user moderated this off-topic.

      Maybe I should be more blunt - can someone fix the spelling mistake in the title please? Spell checkers really aren't that hard to use. I'm pretty sure Geoengineering does not have a Furture.

  9. What could possibly go wrong? by castle · · Score: 1, Insightful

    And they already do this stuff at varying scales. Want to increase/decrease rainfall? Been doing it since the 60's and probably earlier.

    I say climate scientists are a pretentious lot. And while I hate to be considered an unreasonable person with regard to respecting scientific opinion, climate science is a major source of ridiculously dangerous and harmful ways to do the wrong thing and throw a complex poorly understood system awry. Thanks for the Ice Age/Marsification/Greenhouse World you self-righteous boffins! ;) but complex organic systems are probably pretty resilient, so perhaps it'll just be a temporary roaring correction til Mama decides to purge the fleas on her back who pretended at trying to fix a system that is self-regulating by doing grossly ridiculous things in the interests of saving us from the over-hyped threat of the generation. ..!..

    1. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe your lies.

    2. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  10. THE FURTURE AWAITS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What amazing technology will we come up with in the furture? In the furture, will everyone drive a flying solar-powered car? Will furturistic robots walk the earth in search of energy? I for one cannot wait for furturistic technology to arrive.

  11. Ah good, the most important point addressed by GameboyRMH · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It does nothing to address global warming's ugly twin brother, ocean acidification. And by presenting the world's public with an apparent techno-fix, it could deflate the movement to reduce carbon emissions.

    "For me, my main concern is that we would start doing solar geoengineering while we're still building things with smokestacks and tailpipes," he tells me. "And in that framing, I think the solar geoengineering is just facilitating continued greenhouse gas emissions."

    Very well, as long as you know. No point having a nicer climate for a little while as we set the stage for an oceanic mass extinction.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    1. Re:Ah good, the most important point addressed by khallow · · Score: 1

      No point having a nicer climate for a little while as we set the stage for an oceanic mass extinction.

      Because we have nothing better to do? Like keep a few billion people from starving to death? Or managing an industrial civilization through a difficult time for a few centuries? Or merely to have a nicer place to live?

      There's plenty of reasons to have a nicer climate, even if you choose not to recognize those reasons.

    2. Re:Ah good, the most important point addressed by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Oh so now the climate's really important to you?

      I'll see your reasons for having a nicer climate and raise you 1 mass extinction. What's your plan for that, sprinkle hunger-suppressing drugs into the water?

      If we're being responsible, it's not about choosing between cutting sunlight and cutting CO2 emissions, it's about CO2 cuts first and then maybe cutting sunlight. Just cutting sunlight and acting like it's fixing global warming is a joke (the punchline is mass extinction again! Hahaha!).

      A good way to keep a few billion people from starving to death is to have a few billion less people in the future. We're starting to get population levels under control, so we're on the right path as long as we never, ever follow the advice of the nutball economists suggesting we should increase poopulation levels to keep their silly game running (I guess we need more unemployed people?).

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    3. Re:Ah good, the most important point addressed by khallow · · Score: 1

      Oh so now the climate's really important to you?

      That never stopped being important. There's just two things people tend to forget. First, they have yet to demonstrate a serious threat to said climate (or from ocean acidification for that matter). Second, climate is not the only thing I consider important.

      A good way to keep a few billion people from starving to death is to have a few billion less people in the future. We're starting to get population levels under control, so we're on the right path as long as we never, ever follow the advice of the nutball economists suggesting we should increase poopulation levels to keep their silly game running (I guess we need more unemployed people?).

      And that's one place where modern CO2-belching civilization helps big time. Every bit of increasing technology and wealth results in lower human fertility. Native populations of most of the developed world reproduce at below replacement rate.

      If you're going to replace that with something "greener", you need to consider whether you will destroy that advantage in the process. For example, a global carbon emissions reduction scheme that creates a huge pile of high fertility poor people isn't going to work.

  12. It's not built into our moral wetware.. by somepunk · · Score: 0

    But not taking action has consequences, too. Rather scary ones, in this case, I think one could argue. Maybe the responsible thing to do is to is to take a more deliberative role in how our species is altering the environment, rather than just allowing ourselves to continue to alter it according to maladapted systems and nonconscious collective behavior.

    --
    Those people who think they know everything are a great annoyance to those of us who do. (Isaac Asimov)
  13. Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What we have to do is fairly simple.

    1. Stop using fossil fuel. Fairly easy to do this, just end all tax exemptions and artificial subsidies for coal oil and gas. All of them. Then start phasing in retrofits of existing coal plants to use cogeneration (waste heat) and cut coal use in half. Use oil for lubricants. Cut jet fuel use in half using 787s (half fuel use) and turboprops (even less fuel use). Use high speed trains and then battery EV trucks fed by local wind/solar storage for short runs. We know we can do this, we just subsidize the old 18th century methods.

    2. Cut energy use in heating/cooling buildings. Efficiency. There's most of your energy use. Passive solar design, put solar cells on roofs, use shades and ceiling fans. We know how to do this and have for half a century. Just expire tax subsidies and exemptions for buildings that don't do this, phasing them out 10 percent a year.

    3. There is no 3. It's that fracking simple.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    1. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1, Funny

      4. Spel real good

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      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    2. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2, Interesting

      'Simple'

      You keep using that word. I don't think that word means what you think it means.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      It was simple. And, if done, it would literally cut 80 percent of GHG carbon pollution worldwide.

      Your problem is you don't want to do it, because you live in Fear, or in Subsidy.

      Nothing wrong with that, other than the Tragedy of the Commons.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    4. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. Stop using fossil fuel

      SO SIMPLE except everything that makes the modern world FUNCTION is based on the idea that you can transport a high volume of things long distances. Not even talking about ships or planes, how do you even have lettuce year round in the grocery store. The produce fairy didn't sprinkle magic dust and make it happen. It was hauled there by trucks and trains across amazing distances.

      The reason fossil fuels are subsidised so heavily is because if they weren't the price of food would skyrocket and people would freak the fuck out on a scale I don't even dare to imagine. Remember the energy crisis chaos in the 70s? That was manufactured and SHORT compared to "simply" making the keystone of transportation obsolete.

      The transition to alternative fuels is happening (when even the military is looking into it you can see the writing on the wall) but it HAS to be a gradual process because anything else would be utter chaos

    5. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 0

      Wrong. Look, some of us work at universities where we MAKE things that don't need fossil fuels, and produce them worldwide.

      Adapt or die.

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      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    6. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      Solar is already cheaper than oil. And passive solar and cogeneration are cheaper than coal and gas without direct subsidies.

      Adapt. The time for excuses is over.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    7. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by JWW · · Score: 1

      Your "simple" plan cuts transportation by a huge margin, say hello to large price increases for anything transported further than a trivial distance. The food you eat is not just transported, but planted, and harvested using the energy whose price you massively increased. Increase food prices even more. Your plan for coal breaks the power grid. Brownouts, blackouts and mandatory rationing will be necessary. Oh and the impact on food refrigeration will help increase food costs even more again.

      Your "simple" solution would cause massive chaos, social unrest, riots and death. I suppose if thats your simple goal, then you're fine.

    8. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      No, not really.

      PACCAR (just a few miles away) is already making all-electric and fuel cell (H20 split) trucks, as well as hybrid trucks and biodiesel trucks.

      Boeing is already making jets and planes that use 1/2 to 1/10th the fuel to move people and goods. China and almost all First World nations are making high speed trains, and Canada has used fuel cell trains powered entirely by wind and solar along train lines (using battery swap modules) as well as biodiesel ones.

      Tractors in the EU and various other nations are made to use biodiesel or fuel cells. We sell it from US/Canadian plants overseas.

      We have the technology and the large-scale production capacity to make it.

      You just don't get that the 20th Century is over.

      Wake up and smell the Adapt Or Die change.

      Adapt. Or die.

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      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    9. Re: Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

      You mean you don't use oil to generate electricity.

      Some nations do.

      This is slashdot, not Podunk Illinois.

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      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    10. Re: Thing is, we know what we have to do by rickb928 · · Score: 1

      And some nations don't. Your point?

      More to your point, do the nations that rely on oil for electricity generation seem to be good candidates for solar replacements?

      --
      deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    11. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by khallow · · Score: 0

      Unless global warming doesn't end up being that big a problem. Then we don't even need to start your two step program. "Simple".

    12. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by JWW · · Score: 1

      When you put it that way it sounds much more sensible, and tint as simple.

      I do not disagree that technological advances will save us. I do disagree that carbon taxes and regulations will.

      When these things you advocate outperform the old fossil fuel based variants, they will take over completely. Oh and those subsidies won't eventually matter. The new industries will get some of their own, and, this it the key part, if they outcompte fossil fuels on efficiency, there will be no way, subsidy or not, fossil fuels will win.

      This just takes patience. Time will march on and in 30 years there will be no more gas automobiles. That process will not be simple, though. It will be a complicated evolution of both the technologies and the marketplaces they operate in.

    13. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      Didn't say anything about carbon taxes.

      I did say removing tax exemptions and subsidies for fossil fuels.

      The invisible hand is already tipping. The House is getting in the way of the market.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    14. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by khallow · · Score: 1

      I did say removing tax exemptions and subsidies for fossil fuels.

      Well, that gets into a new area of debate. Most of the parties which pay subsidies for oil are OPEC countries which have little interest in stopping such payments. In comparison, your average developed world country just isn't kicking that much out in subsidy. Most of the remaining subsidies are of the sort given to similar industries (such as the accelerated depreciation schedule given to resource extract industries, for example). I include the US military-industrial complex in that - which is really a subsidy for defense rent-seekers than oil producers.

      Then there are the fantasy numbers attached to the alleged environmental harm of petroleum. Sure, if oil really did have a huge global warming externality attached to it, then yes, you could reasonably consider that akin to subsidy.

      I don't consider complaints about petroleum subsidies very serious, when they ignore both that much of the alleged subsidies are either outside the control of the country they reside in or imaginary.

    15. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      The time for excuses ended a while ago.

      Adapt or Die.

      At this point, those are the remaining choices.

      (sorry to be blunt about it, but that's what it means)

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    16. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by khallow · · Score: 1

      Adapt is the obvious choice. I think it's a huge indication of the collective head-in-ass thinking about climate change debate that adaptation was allowed to be rhetorically ruled out from the beginning by the parties that had the most to gain from exaggerating the effects of global warming.

      Are we honestly worried that someone will be unable to move out of their home in a few centuries (even though the people and the home will likely be gone long before any such need to adapt would occur)? Or that societies that can move their populations every five years and rebuild every building they have in thirty, somehow can't move people around to avoid serious harm from climate effects that take centuries to manifest?

      As to agriculture, global warming actually results in an increase in arable land (due to the warming of the northern hemisphere). And one of the greatest food crop reductions of recent years (including droughts and such) came from subsidizing US corn production for biofuels (with carbon dioxide emission reduction being one of the flimsy rationalizations for implementing this program).

      I think here the challenge won't be adapting to climate change. It will be noticing climate change.

    17. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      There already is climate change. Acidic oceans making shell formation difficult to impossible for baby clams in the NW coastal areas, species migration to higher elevations, entire forests decimated by insects that don't die due to global warming.

      But keep denying it if you want. God doesn't care that you ignored his "steward" deal.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    18. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by khallow · · Score: 1

      There already is climate change. Acidic oceans making shell formation difficult to impossible for baby clams in the NW coastal areas, species migration to higher elevations, entire forests decimated by insects that don't die due to global warming.

      Acidic oceans has been a problem in the pacific northwest of the US long before someone thought to blame climate change for it. Species have been migrating to higher elevations for ten thousand years. And there wouldn't be that decimation of forests without those invasive species - which is not a climate change-related issue.

      This is a typical case of confirmation bias. Find a bunch of bad things happening (some which have happened probably for millions of years as in the case of the local ocean acidification) and blame it on a nebulous "climate change".

      But keep denying it, if you want.

    19. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      We're done.

      I don't mind that you're ignorant. but I do mind that you expect that to be ok.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    20. Re:Thing is, we know what we have to do by khallow · · Score: 1

      We're done.

      Seriously, learn to research and debate. You wouldn't have presented the argument you did, if you had done even a little research and questioning.

      The bit about oyster spat (the young) die-offs due to ocean acidification is particularly bad since seriously, it's probably been going on for millions of years. We just haven't noticed it until fairly recently. The problem here is not that the ocean is acidic, but that it is far more acidic than can be explained by human CO2 emissions.

      But what does explain suddenly acidic ocean waters? Undersea volcanism - which has probably been causing local ocean acidification for millions of years.

  14. Re:Chemtrail patents by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I forgot to mention that the documentaries on DVD also talk about Monsanto patents on crops that can survive higher than normal levels of aluminum in the soil.

  15. Geoengineering wars to come by gurps_npc · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Warmer nations, particularly smaller island nations furiously trying to create global cooling, while an alliance of Canada, Russia, Scandinavia and the newly created United Federation of Antarctica desperately trying to keep it nice and toasty.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Geoengineering wars to come by trout007 · · Score: 1

      And I thought my wife and I fighting over the thermostat was bad.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    2. Re:Geoengineering wars to come by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      Let's see: the Maldives laying chemtrails across the sky (to increase atmosphereric reflectivity), while the Russkies generate all the CO2 they can, in an attempt to thaw-out the methane deposits... sounds a little over-simplified, truth be told. ;)

    3. Re:Geoengineering wars to come by dave420 · · Score: 1

      I don't know why they would - the new pests they'd be covered in wouldn't help them, not would their tundra melting and becoming swampland (complete with even more pests). Their land isn't good for farming, and so they'd be screwed. Their hydroelectricity would suffer as their capacity lessened, too, making it far from awesome. This notion that cold countries would be "better" if Global Warming kicked in a bit more is verging on the childish.

  16. conspire to live in a safe clean world by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    talk is cheap enough https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=wmd+weather+media+censorship & the truth can be discomforting.. the distraction causes further inaction...

  17. Man, what a bad idea... by matbury · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Geo-engineering to counter the effects of CO2 is like someone taking sleeping pills to counter the effects of habitually doing amphetamines at an alarmingly increasing rate. If that doesn't convince you, how about listening to a well-informed 3rd party who isn't chasing research funding for their pet geo-engineering project: Can Geo-Engineering Save the Planet? - Christopher Williams on Reality Asserts Itself http://therealnews.com/t2/comp...

  18. Didn't these people watch Futurama? by smooth+wombat · · Score: 3, Funny

    All they need to do is follow the example set forth in those tomes of knowledge. First you start by putting larger and larger ice cubes into the world's oceans.

    When that no longer works (or you run out of ice), you construct a very large mirror in orbit about the Earth which will reflect large amounts of sunlight. Just make sure a piece of space debris doesn't run into it and point it down towards the planet. Ants under a magnifying glass anyone?

    Finally, if all else fails, have every robot on the planet point their exhaust vents skyward and at a predetermined signal, furiously vent their gasses to move the planet slightly further away from the Sun.

    Simple really.

    --
    We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    1. Re:Didn't these people watch Futurama? by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

      Of course you NEGLECT to mention that - for all of this to work - Richard Nixon's head has to be elected President of Earth! A rather convenient oversight...

      I, for one, am not ready to pay that price.

      --
      #DeleteChrome
    2. Re:Didn't these people watch Futurama? by Livius · · Score: 1

      Not difficult, providing you don't care whether it's a fair election or not.

  19. NIMBY by jimmifett · · Score: 2

    Practice makes perfect, so try it out on Venus first.
    At the same time, try out warming techniques on mars, so that when inevitably used on and screws up earth, you can attempt to reverse and make it even worse.

    1. Re:NIMBY by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1, Funny

      Practice makes perfect, so try it out on Venus first.

      They already did.

      If you've ever read Robert Heinlein, you'd know that - back when he was writing stories in the 50s and 60s - Venus was a temperate (albeit still very cloudy) planet.

      --
      #DeleteChrome
  20. Diplomatic engineering by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Since China has already agreed to GATT, invoking Article XX carbon tariffs on their imports ought to be a solution that avoids more costly and risky approaches.

  21. Already done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Already done : we have around 43% of earth's land surface covered by humans .

    1. Re: Already done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought for a second there you said hummus.

  22. Um...100%? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what the odds are that humans will try to hijack the Earth's thermostat

    Industry raising the temps? Long ago.
    Green-industry attempts to lower the temps? Started and continuing.
    Fighting over whether it's too hot or too cold? Always.

  23. Concensus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How the heck would we ever get enough peoples on-board to be able to go ahead with deliberate geo-engineering? And if we ever did, would conditions at that time be reversible?

    1. Re:Concensus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They don't need permission, they just do it secretly:

      What In The World Are They Spraying - DVD documentary
      Why In The World Are They Spraying - DVD documentary

  24. pselling mistake by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I call for all bad spellers in the wolrd to untie together.

  25. stop spewing carbon into thining atmosphere by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the chemically correct approach... welcome our solar powered bequesters

  26. Too Late by blue9steel · · Score: 2

    We're already engaged in geo-engineering so I'm having trouble seeing how doing it in a smarter more rigorous way is a bad thing.

  27. you're saying the real clouds will come back? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    for certain, in about 3 years of not poisoning ourselves. simple sprayed water vapor will help cool our special selves until the creationally supplied balance returns

  28. If you're going to geoengineer... by cl3v3r · · Score: 1

    ...let's do Mars first, and *then* take those lessons back to earth.

    The law of unintended consequences for well intentioned human interventions into natural systems is legend. Diurnal mongoose introduced to Hawaii to eat nocturnal rats, ended up attacking the same endangered bird species as rats.

    1. Re:If you're going to geoengineer... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We humans know what we're doing!
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Osborne_Reef

  29. Furture? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Man, the "furture" is gonna be scary....

  30. No! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did no one see Snowpiercer??

  31. solar powered flying fire hydrants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    blast from our past... rock on /. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCS-g3HwXdc

  32. Furture? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Climate Whiz talks about the furture engineering of the English language...more at 11!

  33. Re:Chemtrail patents by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is a "drout"? Sounds bad...

  34. Very, VERY bad idea! by pubwvj · · Score: 1

    Planet hacking is a very, very, very, very, very, very bad idea. Might I emphasize that a bit more? People don't understand things well enough, are too incompetent, too driven by greed and the risks are enormous.

    LEAVE - IT - ALONE.

  35. CDR yes, SRM no by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

    I don't see any problems with carbon dioxide removal, aside from potential local environmental problems. The methods include reforestation, adding iron to the ocean and grinding up serpentine.

    Solar radiation management, like adding sulfates to the air, has lots of global environmental effects, and it doesn't do anything about acidification of the oceans.

    It's best to consider these separately.

    --
    a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
  36. Climate Whiz (et al) are all knowing, right? by fygment · · Score: 0

    Because climate is part of the global system, clearly one must understand the interaction of all the components.
    Which means the Climate Whiz (et al) know what all the components are.
    And naturally, the Climate Whiz (et al) know what all the components do and how they work.
    And, of course, how all the components interact.
    With such knowledge one supposes that what 'they' say is true, there is nothing left to discover.

    Oh, hey look here, was this already known? Hope there's nothing else hidden out there. How catastrophic could that be :-p

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.
  37. How Long? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good thing we don't need to geo-engineer the planet to cool it down. Nature is taking care of that for us not so nicely. Another ice age due and these clowns want to cool earth? Pity that CO2 scam didn't work out, now they are "reluctantly" looking at geo-engineering to solve a problem that doesn't exist.

    A question for everyone who thinks that CO2 controls the climate. How long with rising CO2 and flat or falling temperatures before you admit your theory is wrong? 20 years? 30? Never?

    All 5 of the major datasets (RSS, UAH, HadCRUT4, GISS, NCDC) show no warming for between 14 and almost 18 years. In that time CO2 has risen 8-10%.

    Here are 2 predictions. First I predict that CO2 will continue to increase because
    China and other countries don't care about CO2. They don't even care about real pollutants much less CO2. Second I predict it will get colder over the next 20-30 years. Why?

    Dr Libby in the 1970s said that "looking forward it will stay cold until the mid 80s (it did), then it will warm by about 1/4 degree F until the end of the century (it did), then it gets cold". When asked how cold she was predicting a 1-2 degree F drop with an
    outside chance of a 3-4 degree drop. Pray it is the former.

    Dr Easterbrook in 2001 said the PDO was done it's positive warm cycle and that we were in for 25-30 years of cold weather. How cold? We have his good, bad and ugly predictions based on previous negative cold phases of the PDO. Pray it is the first one.

    Dr Abdusamatov in 2006 said we are at the top of the temperature sine wave and it will be 200 years of cold weather. Pray he is wrong.

    Why do I join with them and side with their predictions? While past performance is not a guarantee of future correctness it is a lot better record than the IPCC and their
    dozens of models of which none have been accurate. They are all based on CO2 controlling the climate and the other 3 are all cyclical natural cycles. I'll go with those who have a good track record at predicting future climate. Dr Libby is the most impressive as her prediction is 30+ years going and still accurate.