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The Myths and Realities of Synthetic Bioweapons

Lasrick writes Three researchers from King's College, London, walk through the security threats posed by synthetic and do-it-yourself biology, assessing whether changes in technology and associated costs make it any easier for would-be terrorists to pursue biological weapons for high-consequence, mass- casualty attacks (and even whether they would want to). "Those who have overemphasized the bioterrorism threat typically portray it as an imminent concern, with emphasis placed on high-consequence, mass-casualty attacks, performed with weapons of mass destruction (WMD). This is a myth with two dimensions."

36 comments

  1. Crack by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bloweapon.

  2. Resident Evil/Biohazard by AtomicSymphonic · · Score: 1

    Synthetic bioweapons are the name of the game in the Resident Evil franchise. Personally, I have always considered something like this to be a distinct possibility, so should we be surprised at this development?

    Or should we all be calling for Leon S. Kennedy and friends to save the day once more?

  3. Still not easy by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 1

    IT would probably be easier, bot not exactly easy. Off course, terrorists could "cook up a weapon" as they need it, and if they can use suicidal people to do that for them, they have a severe advantage to military forces. Making such weapons is hard, but storing them is also quite hard. So if you use someone else to make it for you, these weapons are useless unless you use them immediately.

    --
    Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
    1. Re:Still not easy by Thanshin · · Score: 1

      So just send the weapon maker to enemy territory to build/make it there. Even if he makes a mistake and kills himself, there's a chance his corpse will infect the surroundings.

    2. Re:Still not easy by gtall · · Score: 1

      I think it depends on the resources available. If, say, some rogue scientists in, to pick a nice orderly with a long proud tradition of human rights, say Pakistan, were to synthesize a bioweapon...or a chem weapon, I could see them turning it over to the Taliban for disposal. This is what scares the hell out of the Pentagon and the Indian defence establishment but with respect to nuclear material. So the article might be right in that there is no threat to Johnny Ahmed producing a bio weapon, Dr. Johnny Ahmed working for a Pakistan uni might do so.

    3. Re:Still not easy by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Not really. What the Fine Article was saying, basically, is that even with planet leading expertise and equipment, making anything other than the biological equivalent of a dirty bomb is very, very hard. The US and USSR could barely do it in the 1990s. Even though the tech has improved by leaps and bounds, actually using that tech has also become much harder.

      It's not all that easy to splice DNA together to get something functional. You can get a Nobel Prize for that sort of thing these days. Maybe in another couple of decades, but not tomorrow.

      TFA did point out that terror weapons - scary things that don't really kill very many people - are another issue entirely. It doesn't take much to get a populace wound up - all you have to do is chop somebody's head off and put it on YouTube.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    4. Re:Still not easy by cusco · · Score: 2

      Everyone is over-thinking this. All they really need is to get a tourist, work or student visa for some innocent illiterate campesino somewhere (preferably non-African), tell them they won a "lottery" or something that gets them a well-paying job in the US, infect them with Ebola, put them on a plane with instructions how to get on the subway, and tell them that their new employer will meet them at Grand Central Station. Even if they didn't infect anyone as they waited there all day, getting sicker and sicker, for someone who never showed up the resulting panic would cause almost as many problems as an actual outbreak. Remember, the goal isn't casualties, it's instilling fear in the target population.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  4. Greater Danger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The greater danger is really a nation or researcher engineering a major killer (e.g. airborne ebola) and having it escape the lab by accident a few decades hence, kind of like the smallpox vials the CDC found...

  5. Shared atmosphere by Thanshin · · Score: 2

    Can you imagine how interesting these problems will get once humanity stops sharing a single atmosphere?

    I predict the first human colony will be killed by terrorist bio-attack.

  6. Oh my by ma11achy · · Score: 1

    Apologies for bringing down the tone of the conversation, but I read this as "Myths and Realities of Synthetic Blowjobs". 0_0

    I really need to get out more.

    --
    Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines
    1. Re:Oh my by Thanshin · · Score: 2

      Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter/kickstarter.

    2. Re:Oh my by StripedCow · · Score: 1

      The nice part of this product is that you can wear it without anyone noticing!

      --
      If Pandora's box is destined to be opened, *I* want to be the one to open it.
    3. Re:Oh my by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Interesting, I popped this story in a 2nd tab, when the first time I read it as bioweapon, 2nd time as blowjob, and I'm like wut? 3rd time as bioweapon again. Weeeird.

  7. My friend Hugh's farts... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...they do rank as DIY's biological warfare items.

  8. interesting by zvien · · Score: 1

    awesome

  9. Oh my by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People see what they have their mind tuned to! :-)

  10. My friend Hugh's farts... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only if he's had a good portion of canned beans.

  11. probable risk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Terrorist groups will now be chased on the probable intention they might have of using technology they don't have and they didn't try to develop in the first place.

    On the other hand, we have people who actually had the intention to create this technology, spent the efforts and time into it, and now master it, more or less, which is at least suspicious.

    I'm not saying I'm not concerned by the risk any crazy individuals could do crazy things. But I'm also, if not more, concerned, by the risk larger, organised groups as armies and governments would represent. A mass murderer with a gun would kill tens or hundreds of people and then would die or be arrested. An army with proper equipment would kill millions of people and may not be arrested.

    1. Re:probable risk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is exactly why we need to obliterate ISIL. They would absolutely use chem/bio weapons if they had them. The muslim scourge must be purged from the face of the earth at all costs.

  12. Shared atmosphere by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I predict noone will hear about it on slashdot because while they continually manage to make the user think "they literally took the worst possible theme they could think of and made it real" - by the time Humans have a colony in space the site is likely to just be a single ad, marketing survey and ai-derived bot to subliminally influence the viewer into buying some stupid gadget.

  13. Poison Ivy by dixonpete · · Score: 1

    I've always thought http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U... ( from Poison Ivy) might be useful somehow in warfare. I got a dose of it last month from a trek through the woods and was really impressed by it's effects. I got a really light brush from a plant and the effects took better than a month to heal. Do a Google Image search and you'll see the effects can be very impressive.

    1. Re:Poison Ivy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would be more a chemical weapon. Bioweapons are self-replicating and transmissible.

    2. Re:Poison Ivy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And not everyone's allergic to it. I can walk through the stuff (though I try to avoid it) and have nothing happen. I still go home and wash it off, but I've never broken out once in my life--and unlike today's youngins, I spend a huge amount of time outside.

    3. Re:Poison Ivy by penguinoid · · Score: 1

      Poison ivy is self-replicating and transmissible to another plot of land.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    4. Re: Poison Ivy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not allergic to it either. I used to eat it to win bets at boy scout camps.... Whatever they put in Armor All, however, makes me breakout in hives. Makes detailing my cars a tricky job.

    5. Re:Poison Ivy by Aldenissin · · Score: 1

      While I like the way you think, I have to agree that it would probably better serve as a chemical weapon. Although, I suppose one could try to engineer it to grow "faster" and in more environments, but as it is a plant, it just grows too slow and under too-specific conditions to do much more real damage than it already does. It'd mostly serve as a distraction and harasser, which isn't to say it wouldn't have value. It does have many more disadvantages though, like that many are not allergic to it.

      --
      Like a city whose walls are broken down is a man who lacks self-control.
  14. Ebola by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here, let's let nature take care of that for you.

  15. Monsters? by MagickalMyst · · Score: 0

    > DNA synthesis has become cheaper

    Does this mean that, in addition to the Zombie threat, we should be worried about Chimeras, dragons, giants and satyrs too?

    --
    Political correctness is really just herd psychology pushed by insecure people who desperately seek social conformity.
    1. Re:Monsters? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      As long as you can create your Chimera in 3000 base pairs or so. Putting them all together gets very much harder.

      Perhaps if you are worried about very, very tiny monsters. Otherwise, not so much.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Monsters? by cusco · · Score: 1

      The reason Ken Alibek was given a visa and citizenship almost overnight when he defected from the Soviet Union was because of his work on 'black pox', a smallpox/Marburg chimera. They had combined the two and came up with an air-transmissible hemorrhagic virus that worked.

      Oh, you meant the monster. Never mind.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  16. Bioweapons are a real threat by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
    We can create bioweapons. The main problems with creating them are:

    1) Total lack of ethics - and the resources to get away with murdering thousands of human test subjects along the way.

    2) Suicidal tendencies - not just for individuals, but for the funding group. Because any realistically dangerous weapon will have a good probability of killing it's creators first, and a very high probability of killing it's creators in the long term (either directly, by evolution, or by revenge nuclear attacks.

    3) You still need Highly intelligent and highly trained people involved. Most of whom lack Suicidal tendencies.

    This armegeddon scenario is actually far more likely than a nuclear war, as that requires far more people to behave far more stupidly and unlike nanite fears, is actually physically reasonable.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:Bioweapons are a real threat by cusco · · Score: 2

      Military organizations never seem to have much trouble filling these jobs, even when the participants know it's illegal. Clinton was horrified when he found what was going on at Dugway and the other vile biowarfare sites the Pentagon has, and as Commander In Chief he instructed the military to cease all work on bio-weapons. The Pentagon's response was to rename the programs and move them to the Black Budget. No one even had to change cubicle.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    2. Re:Bioweapons are a real threat by Isaac-1 · · Score: 1

      All three points can be solved by certain religious beliefs.

  17. Just me? Article is not all that insightful. by mha · · Score: 1

    Lots of generalities and assertions, no depth at all. Was this really worth being posted? They may or may not be right - but all you can have after reading it is an "opinion". No actual knowledge in that article, or even any insights. It is mere boulevard paper level journalism.

    Also, what is missing is the speed with which the options increase. I just finished edX course MIT "Introduction to Biology" (HIGHLY RECOMMENDED!!! WARNING: CONTAINS ACTUAL KNOWLEDGE! https://www.edx.org/course/mit...) and so much happened just the last 10 years! So an assessment of the danger of these developments that only looks at the current state (and what a bad job they do with this) is kind of useless.

  18. knocking down the straw man by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Wow, way to knock down the straw man arguments.
    Your basic premise is not the one that I have seen in most writings.
    The premise I have seen is that once the knowledge for bio weapons in created, the EQUIPMENT/RESOURCES needed to create them will be much smaller than the equipment and resources needed to create a nuclear bomb.
    You can know everything about building a nuke from scratch, and it will cost a country a huge amount to make one.
    Once you have a few scientists who know how to make the pathogens, you only need a reasonable sized lab to create them.
    The argument is against the US and Russia and China funding the basic research that is still needed to create this knowledge base.
    The ladies writing the article have a sad lack of knowledge of the historical usages of bio weapons. It goes back to ancient times when corpses where flung into besieged cities. Wells were polluted with the dead. It was used often because it worked.

  19. Wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... high-consequence, mass-casualty attacks ...

    1970s television shows and the rhetoric after the WTC plane crashes suggest this is what terrorist cells want. It isn't although 3,000 deaths is an extreme toll. The WTC incident didn't damage infrastructure, it didn't overwhelm the emergency services long-term, it didn't create an exponential death-toll over time, it didn't close public events or services. It was the most terrorists could do and they did it cheaply.

    Most terrorists don't want to the rule the world and the few that do, don't preach genocide. Terrorists essentially demand compensation from their victims: Which can't happen if the victims are dying or starving.

    Any disease that spreads quickly can can cripple or destroy a country. This has already happened with livestock, like avian flu which humans catch. Other livestock have been decimated by diseases that humans can carry without suffering infection.

    A terrorist could some-how, expose a plane-load of people to Ebola (spread by touch), before it lands in an western nation: No university education or complex machines required. This simple, low-tech scenario addresses the 2 problems of biological warfare: Delivering the disease to the target population and multiplying the spread of infection.

    Ebola is worth mentioning because it has moved from a small, static population to a large, mobile population which has limited capacity for disease containment and treatment. Add to that infected people avoiding treatment and superior health services (other countries) failing to control the initial outbreak, the result is exponential growth. Those post-plague shows like 'Survivor', or movies like '28 days later' and 'Resident evil' don't describe how containment procedures failed but I imagine it started like this.