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How "Big Ideas" Are Actually Hurting International Development

schnell writes: The New Republic is running a fascinating article that analyzes the changing state of foreign development. Tech entrepreneurs and celebrities are increasingly realizing the inefficiencies of the old charitable NGO-based model of foreign aid, and shifting their support to "disruptive" new ideas that have been demonstrated in small experiments to deliver disproportionately beneficial results. But multiple studies now show that "game changing" ideas that prove revolutionary in limited studies fail to prove effective at scale, and are limited by a simple and disappointing fact: no matter how revolutionary your idea is, whether it works or not is wholly dependent on 1.) the local culture and circumstances, and 2.) who is implementing the program.

92 comments

  1. For those who found TFA to be TLDR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The moral of the story is to never give brown skinned people anything. They will simply squander it.

    1. Re:For those who found TFA to be TLDR by guises · · Score: 4, Informative

      For anyone who makes the mistake of believing this AC, the actual TL;DR is: Ideas that work well, even ideas that have been demonstrated to work very well through rigorous study, oftentimes only apply to the specific area which was studied. For this reason charitable development needs to stop thinking big and start working incrementally, village by village. Nothing and nobody can pull an entire country or continent out of poverty in a timeframe that isn't counted in decades.

      He gives examples - a rigorous four-year study found that giving deworming pills to children in a particular area in Kenya had a larger impact on school attendance than giving them textbooks, even though they were very short on textbooks. A deworming program has subsequently been rolled out to cover millions of children in Africa and India, with a hope for similar results, but they've stopped with the rigorous testing with the feeling that they've sufficiently demonstrated the program's usefulness. The author points out several reasons why, for some areas, textbooks might still be a better answer and makes the claim that grand programs like this one can be both ineffective at their goals and have pretty crazy unforeseen consequences. There's a funny example of unforeseen consequences with a group of teenage latina girls who went through a workshop intended to keep them out of gangs, a successful workshop: not one of them was arrested for violence within six months of the end of the program. However, within those six months every one of them had become pregnant. Apparently gang membership was fulfilling a need for them that found they had to satisfy in some other way.

    2. Re:For those who found TFA to be TLDR by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      For you reading-impaired types, the points being made were: respect local culture, allow local entrepreneurship to flourish in possibly unexpected ways, and approach developing world societies as whole systems, rather than focusing in isolation on the funding and engineering of your playground pump.

      But watch that first point, because sometimes you just have to stand up and demand that some aspect of local culture be changed if any progress is going to occur. If this author were to encounter a society that practiced FGM on its women, would be consider it progress if he could convince the locals to perform the procedure with anesthesia under sterile conditions, rather than with a piece of broken glass?

    3. Re:For those who found TFA to be TLDR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The even shorter version is:

      Scientific replication and generalization requires multiple studies of competing hypotheses.

      To anyone honest in academics, this is like NGO aid organizations and venture capitalists discovering what science is really like. This article is really insightful, but you could turn it around the other way and say that fads involving big ideas are hurting science as well.

      The US, and especially certain segments of it, need to get over its myth of the lone genius, putting out big world-changing ideas that revolutionize everything. It's never a single person--true revolutions happen gradually over time, involving many many people and lots and lots of evidence. The "Big Idea" myth does hurt society.

    4. Re:For those who found TFA to be TLDR by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Scientific replication and generalization requires multiple studies of competing hypotheses.

      Or better, test your aid to make sure it's actually working. A technique could work in multiple studies of competing hypotheses and still not work later on.

      But if you are spending millions of dollars without checking how well it's working, why not?

      but you could turn it around the other way and say that fads involving big ideas are hurting science as well

      I'm not sure that's relevant. Deworming kids isn't exactly a big idea.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re: For those who found TFA to be TLDR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. Progress would be not mutilating childrens sexual organs.

    6. Re: For those who found TFA to be TLDR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Progress. How about a society where a female is not required to have her genitals cut off to be "suitable for marriage". I know that if all nubile females were not mutilated then males faced with the choice of marrying someone with their females intact or never marrying would quickly jump on the bandwagon.

      Several youtube videos documenting why FGM is still practiced are highly educational. In one the mother explains that she has had the eldest girls done with the younger ones next when she has the money. She is worried that a boy might play with the daughters "penis". That is one reason why it must be cut off.

      Very sad.

    7. Re: For those who found TFA to be TLDR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They have .. progressed .. to that in Egypt. Girls still die. Either from complications or suicide. If you cannot imagine why then consider what your life would be like after your penis was cut off.

  2. I don't blame people for trying alternatives by bytesex · · Score: 1

    The only thing that foreign aid has helped accomplish so far (the last FORTY years!), is prop up dictators and help them balance their budgets, so as to keep their weapons-buying programs out of harms way. This article sounds like somebody has a cushy job to lose.

    --
    Religion is what happens when nature strikes and groupthink goes wrong.
    1. Re:I don't blame people for trying alternatives by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      Yeah. Especially in the U.S. "foreign aid" == military subsidies

    2. Re:I don't blame people for trying alternatives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only thing that foreign aid has helped accomplish so far (the last FORTY years!), is prop up dictators and help them balance their budgets

      Selecting and placing dictators in place is mainly the work of CIA, not the result of foreign aid.

    3. Re:I don't blame people for trying alternatives by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

      But what we discovered in the Middle East is that those dictators were all that was keeping religious psychos at bay. Now we're scrambling to groom a new generation of dictators to set the Middle East right again.

    4. Re:I don't blame people for trying alternatives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But what we discovered in the Middle East is that those dictators were all that was keeping religious psychos at bay. Now we're scrambling to groom a new generation of dictators to set the Middle East right again.

      The problem is that the dictators which were propped up for all those years destroyed any 'normal' political activity in the country. All normal political parties, whether of the right or left, were destroyed by the dictators' secret police forces, often using equipment provided by western defense manufacturers.

      When the dictator finally dies / is removed, all that remains to form the base of a new government are clan affiliation groups that weren't attacked as they didn't have any particular political goals beyond "We got ours", and underground religious groups which tend to have become fairly extreme in order to survive the extreme persecution they faced.

    5. Re:I don't blame people for trying alternatives by wiredlogic · · Score: 1

      And that's just considering the US (USAid, MIC subsidies funneled through Israel & Egypt, etc.).

      --
      I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
  3. NGO's have the same problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If anyone can be accused of being oblivious to "local culture and circumstances" it's the NGOs. Parachuting into theocracies and kleptocracies will medicine and sewer systems does not harm the theocrats or kleptocrats.

    And harm is exactly what it needed.

    1. Re:NGO's have the same problem by globaljustin · · Score: 0

      the problem is the decision makers - not the ideas

      being in charge means *deciding between options*

      --
      Thank you Dave Raggett
  4. Comparison by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the Big Ideas are like religions to be evangelized. Perhaps the pushers of the big ideas should consult the evangelical organizations cross religions doing such things before going to all-out raping and pillaging the local cultures. ;)

    1. Re:Comparison by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      Already done, you haven't seen pope Bono of Ireland lately?

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
  5. the problem is people by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    people got them into their current situation and people are keeping them there, it's that simple. it's a global problem, it's just worse in some areas.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  6. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Interesting

    than today?

    No.

    I kinda like the hunter-gatherer lifestyle myself. Agriculture is overrated.

    Says a guy typing on a computer that couldn't exist along with a hunter-gatherer lifestyle.

    For the record, agriculture was the first development that freed up labor from the "hunter/gatherer" mode to allow enough surplus to develop things like, oh, computers (along with the rest of civilization).

    And no I'm not being racist, a noteworthy scholar had commented once that a hunter-gatherer from 100,000 BC lived better than the average man in 19th century London.

    And another one decribed that lifetyle as "nasty, brutish, and short".

    Just curious, have you ever tried a "hunter/gatherer" lifestyle? Gone to a wilderness area, ditched the trappings of civilization (clothes, cellphone, computer, canteen, all that stuff), and tried living on what you could hunt down or gather (and no, I'm not referring to what you can gather at the local Mcdonald's...)...

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  7. Why giving ? by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 2

    I do not understand why the need to give foreign aid in the first place, I really don't

    I am from China, and when I was in China, China was hit by the double whammy from Chairman Mao - in the form of great famine and cultural upheaval

    Tens of millions of people perished

    Despite of the suffering, China didn't receive any fucking foreign aid from nobody --- and at the end of it, China still survive, and the population of China is still over one Billion

    Why then the West wants to give out money to help those "poor" countries? I mean, what the West is thinking?

    They think without the "foreign aid" those poor countries will die?

    For thousands of years the people of those "poor countries" were there before the "West" is known as the "West ... and they never got any "Western aid" at all, and still, they survived, right?

    Don't care if it's brown skin, white skin, dark skin, yellow skin or whatever shade of skin those people are, with or without foreign aid they will survive

    With or without the "disruptive method", those "foreign aid" is a waste of money anyway

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:Why giving ? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      I am from China, and when I was in China, China was hit by the double whammy from Chairman Mao - in the form of great famine and cultural upheaval

      Hey, you people decided you'd rather have Chairman Mao than the kleptocrats you had before. On balance, I'm not sure you made the right choice, but on the other hand, I'm not sure you didn't (the previous "government" was about as bad as any in history, when you come right down to it).

      Tens of millions of people perished

      From what I've read, closer to 100 million than to ten million. Mao easily displaced Hitler as the cause of the greatest number of human deaths in history (thought the Black Death still beats them both).

      Why then the West wants to give out money to help those "poor" countries? I mean, what the West is thinking?

      Depending on whether you're talking government aid or private aid, the logic is that you get a better trading partner if those people over there aren't starving OR that it's the Christian thing to do (and don't waste my time going on about "christian hypocrisy" - the only people I actually know who go over to places like Liberia to help out (medical missions, in this case, every year, not just because ebola) are doing so because they consider it their Christian Duty).

      They think without the "foreign aid" those poor countries will die?

      Based on past evidence, a lot of them will. Note ebola, consider its effects sans Western medical people/equipment being sent to Africa.

      For thousands of years the people of those "poor countries" were there before the "West" is known as the "West ... and they never got any "Western aid" at all, and still, they survived, right?

      For values of "survive" that include average lifespans of 40 years or so, starvation a year or two every decade, a great deal of what civilized people consider to be serious crimes (rape, murder, that sort of thing), etc.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    2. Re: Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China has the right idea. If you don't work, you don't eat.

      I imagine that would do wonders to clean up my city's streets from the hundreds of young people who prefer to camp there 24/7 versus getting a job.

    3. Re:Why giving ? by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

      It's called White Guilt. Google it.

      Also, a corollary according to Jerry Pournelle: "Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for Western Civilization as it commits suicide."

    4. Re:Why giving ? by codeButcher · · Score: 1

      Personally, I do favour a more hands-off approach. Let people figure out their own future, as (IMHO) it seems that western aid often brings with it a perpetual dependence on that aid.

      On the other hand, from some of your previous posts I gather that you personally are an emigrant from China to a large western state. A lot of emigration from "poor countries" to western countries happens because people are not happy with the way those countries (the people in it) survive, they want to "survive" somewhat "better". "Better" being in part defined by the standard of living such aid seems to suggest. (Because there are also some "worse" aspects to western culture in comparison to what is left behind.) I guess your opinion would carry more weight if you were still living and working in China. Just saying.

      --
      Free, as in your money being freed from the confines of your account.
    5. Re:Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's called White Guilt. Google it.

      Also, a corollary according to Jerry Pournelle: "Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for Western Civilization as it commits suicide."

      The interesting thing here is that the majority of US "foreign aid" is in fact military aid; little to do with "White Guilt" and more to do with US dominance. Liberalism, the philosophy of Free Market Economics and Laissez-faire economics and the deregulation that follow from it are very relevant in this case since it's very much these things which have caused the problems which need foreign aid to deal with.

      With a little bit less ignorance we could discuss, besides the moral reasons, the real practical reasons for foreign aid which, for the USA for example, would incluide:

      • avoiding potential disasters like Ebola which could easily affect us all
      • building up "soft power and influence"
      • avoiding Chinese foreign aid becoming dominant

      If you think that the Chinese are giving foreign aid entirely from the goodness of their hearts and due to Chinese "White Guilt" then you have a different level of stupid. Study the RAND report (it is not an accident that a defence organisation is involved in reporting on foreign aid) and you may begin to understand a little more of the world.

    6. Re:Why giving ? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      When China gives foreign aid they're practicing Colonialism Lite, and in the long term that's a good thing. Remember the boost India got from British law, civil organization, and railroad engineering?

    7. Re:Why giving ? by Kjella · · Score: 1

      It's called White Guilt. Google it.

      Also, a corollary according to Jerry Pournelle: "Liberalism is a philosophy of consolation for Western Civilization as it commits suicide."

      And he also describes his politics as "somewhere to the right of Genghis Khan". I guess if you see the non-Western Civilization as the enemy, then foreign aid is aiding and abetting them. Because total war justifies children dying of starvation, dirty water, lack of housing or basic healthcare. Except western civilization has been "helping the savages" for a long time, what's lacking is just the religious indoctrination of missionaries, I guess without the reward in followers it's not worth the compassion. Sounds like a great Christian. Here in Norway we've pretty much stopped pushing Christianity on people, there's still a lot of personal faith but I am somewhat concerned that other aggressive religions continues to expand and convert but I'm hoping they can be secularized too. It's not like the Church has been the shining example of democracy, equality, tolerance etc. anyway.

      Part of that nationalism is significantly overrated, I don't care if Norwegians eat sushi (Japan). I don't care if they listen to blues (US) or reggae (Jamaica). I don't care if hundreds of millions read/watch Harry Potter to create some kind of "global" culture, though I suppose that's <10% actually. What I do care about are laws and social norms, we've spent the last 100+ years turning Christianity from a patriarchal, reactionary, homophobic organization who fought hard against all kinds of self-perceived "wickedness" to a mostly cuddly care bear so we could have peace, prosperity and progress. If you look at the worst ongoing conflicts the biggest and worst are always about religion. Even if ours is somewhat benign it's part of the problem, not the solution.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    8. Re: Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kind of hard to find a job in the middle of the great recession combined with massive outsourcing and legal/illegal rampant immigration.

    9. Re:Why giving ? by guises · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There's some kind of cognitive disconnect here.

      Question: "Why then the West wants to give out money to help those "poor" countries?"
      Answer: "China didn't receive any fucking foreign aid from nobody" "Tens of millions of people perished"

      Question: "they never got any "Western aid" at all, and still, they survived, right?"
      Answer: "Tens of millions of people perished"

      Look, the survival of the country doesn't mean shit. Countries are just organizational tools. The aid has the objective of improving the lives of the people, not the country, and it does work - it has been rigorously demonstrated to work when it's done a certain way under certain conditions. All that the article is trying to do is point out that those conditions are very idiosyncratic and that aid organizations need to take that under consideration.

    10. Re:Why giving ? by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      Why? Because it is how you create new markets for goods and services. Starving people without a dime are not a market you can sell them anything. Helping them in a way to improve their economy is a win-win situation provided it works. So, you then need to invest first and expect the outcome will pay for the initial investment. Big ideas are launching Big Businesses for Big people expecting Big outcome. Help here is just another word for economic stimulation.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    11. Re:Why giving ? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      If you look at the worst ongoing conflicts [wikipedia.org] the biggest and worst are always about religion

      Alas, WW2 doesn't seem to have been about religion, and it's still the largest war in human history (and if it were split into two separate wars, they'd be the two largest wars in history).

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    12. Re:Why giving ? by mc6809e · · Score: 1

      Alas, WW2 doesn't seem to have been about religion, and it's still the largest war in human history (and if it were split into two separate wars, they'd be the two largest wars in history).

      You're just using too narrow a conception of religion, IMO.

      Fascism, National Socialism, and Communism all have their true-believers. And some of them are so certain their faith is the correct one that they're willing to kill for it.

    13. Re:Why giving ? by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, the old Humpty Dumpty tactic.

    14. Re: Why giving ? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Kind of hard to find a job in the middle of the great recession combined with massive outsourcing and legal/illegal rampant immigration.

      Baloney. Go early in the morning to any Home Depot or other home improvement store, and you will see a crowd of day laborers in the parking lot. By late morning, most of them have found work for the day. Do a quick demographic survey, and this is what you will find: Number of white people: 0%. Number of black people: 0%. Number of Hispanic people: 100%. The reason is that the Hispanics can't get paid to do nothing. The problem is not a "lack of jobs" but a lack of easy jobs that people are willing to do. Necessity is the mother of the work ethic.

    15. Re:Why giving ? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Remember the boost India got from British law, civil organization, and railroad engineering?

      When the British arrived in India in the 1600s, Indians and Britons had roughly similar levels of income. By 1947, when the British left, Indians had less than 5% the income of Britons, and India was one of the poorest countries in the world. In the decade prior to independence, three million Indians starved to death.

    16. Re:Why giving ? by plopez · · Score: 1

      Don't tell a Jews that. The Nazis sold it as being part of an anti-Jewish anti-Communist crusade.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    17. Re: Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That policy is fine if the government doesn't also get in the way and prevent you from making your living in numerous different ways.

      Try to go live your life as a farmer, raising cattle or crops out on some land in the middle of nowhere, using only barter to trade with others for what you need and don't produce yourself. See how long you can do that before the government steps in and shuts you down, either through forced tax collection or eminent domain.

      Gov't has gotten way to big for its britches, and no forces all kinds of social programs on everyone, even if you don't want it. Then they force you to pay for those programs at gunpoint, and adjust your life the way they see fit because you are now "benefiting from those programs".

      There are scarce few places in this world where you can go, do your thing, and just be left alone.

    18. Re: Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm a lowly AC, but I send you mod points in spirit. Well put!

    19. Re: Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod up!

    20. Re: Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahaha, go back at the end of the day and find out how many of them got their pay. You'll find that quite a few will complain about being stiffed, but what can they do, they're all illegals.

      Go stand out there yourself, by noon you'll still be the only white guy standing there, because you've got a government willing to make sure you get paid for your work.

    21. Re:Why giving ? by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      With or without the "disruptive method", those "foreign aid" is a waste of money anyway...

      Maybe you never have personally experienced the benefits and profitability of public relations.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    22. Re: Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are right it would do wonders.

      They would either:
      1 Find work, any work, theft, robbery, mugging would be fine work given these choices. Glad you recommend it.
      2 Be dead. Historically this has been a rather common result of your preferred approach.

      I'd like to see people like you who propose these views actually have to live in an environment like that while starting from the bottom.
      Probably wouldn't do any good. You'd probably still blame the poor for their poverty.

    23. Re:Why giving ? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Statistical distortion much? In the 1600s there was no industrialization yet, so all Europeans were poor except for a tiny elite. By 1947 most Europeans had a reasonable level of income, even so soon after the bloodiest war in history. Meanwhile India suffered from centuries of religious war between the Hindu and the you-know-whos, and the man British excuse for staying was actually the knowledge that of they were to leave, the two factions would annihilate each other.

      Once Britain hit on the idea of isolating the Religion of Pieces in a new Stone Age country of its own, India could safely become independent and, after the usual failed experiment with Communism, start industrializing.

    24. Re: Why giving ? by JakartaDean · · Score: 1

      China has the right idea. If you don't work, you don't eat.

      I imagine that would do wonders to clean up my city's streets from the hundreds of young people who prefer to camp there 24/7 versus getting a job.

      Where I live and work (as a CSR consultant), Indonesia, people also don't eat if they don't get a job. Among other failings, malnutrition of children under 5 years runs at around 35%. That causes stunting and is associated with poor cognitive test scores, which is in turn correlated with lower income. I don't have the data for China handy, but your solution is overly simplistic and reflects poorly on your understanding of the article and the issue.

      --
      The subject who is truly loyal to the Chief Magistrate will neither advise nor submit to arbitrary measures (Junius)
    25. Re:Why giving ? by ChoosyBeggar · · Score: 1

      This definitely sounds like a Chinese point of view. IOW, "Hey, they're not my close family & friends, so fuck'em." Here in the US, as harsh as some of our foreign policies are, there are many people, not just in the general populace, but in government as well, that truly want to try & help to make the world a better place.

    26. Re: Why giving ? by ChoosyBeggar · · Score: 1

      Calling bullshit on your bullshit. Bullshit!

    27. Re:Why giving ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Free trade and capitalism have been two of the best ways for countries to escape poverty. When trade with a country doesn't improve both countries, then almost it's almost entirely due to a corrupt government (see Liberia, several South American countries, etc.) rather than the trade itself. Colonialism and Imperialism are the major causes of the problems foreign aid tries to solve (well, that and a lack of iron or copper in those countries, which meant that industrialization was much more difficult), and companies are often involved in those, but it's not true to claim that free market economics is the cause.

  8. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by janek78 · · Score: 2

    Please define "better". For myself, the greatest achievement of humankind is the advancement of knowledge about the world. Depending on what your priorities are, you could argue that a different era was "better" (e.g. less polution, less stress [doubtful], more "natural", or whatever floats your boat). But if you give up on what makes us what we are, you could argue that the best way to live your life is to be in a coma. Yes, today sucks but it is still better than any day before. YMMV.

  9. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

    Just curious, have you ever tried a "hunter/gatherer" lifestyle? Gone to a wilderness area, ditched the trappings of civilization (clothes, cellphone, computer, canteen, all that stuff), and tried living on what you could hunt down or gather (and no, I'm not referring to what you can gather at the local Mcdonald's...)...

    I said hunter-gatherer, not living all by myself. They had things called tribes and families, you know. See Dances with Wolves sometime.

    And another one decribed that lifetyle as "nasty, brutish, and short".

    Again, you seem to equate hunting/gathering with lawless anarchy where it's every man for himself. Ice Age hunters formed groups and undoubtedly worked well with each other.

  10. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

    I'm not talking about *you* per se, I'm talking about poor people in Africa. A healthy hunter-gatherer lifestyle seems preferable to dying from lack of clean water.

  11. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

    I said hunter-gatherer, not living all by myself. They had things called tribes and families, you know. See Dances with Wolves sometime.

    Feel free to take family and friends with you on your great experiment in living the hunter/gatherer lifestyle. If you can convince them that living in the woods scrounging for food is better than sitting in their comfortable house watching the interwebs....

    Again, you seem to equate hunting/gathering with lawless anarchy where it's every man for himself. Ice Age hunters formed groups and undoubtedly worked well with each other.

    Hmm, we've found physical evidence of murders among Ice Age hunters, so they "worked well with each other" no better than we do now. And "anarchy" is a lack of government. Which pretty much defines the Ice Age hunters. Or did you consider your Grandfather to be "government" when you were growing up?

    By the by, I am by no means trying to suggest that "hunter/gatherer" is synonymous with solitude or anarchy. I AM trying to suggest that the lifestyle looks a lot better from the easy chair at home than it does when you're actually living it. And that romanticizing the hunter/gatherer lifestyle from your computer desk is, at best, silly.

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  12. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

    A healthy hunter-gatherer lifestyle seems preferable to dying from lack of clean water.

    What makes you think hunter/gatherers historically had access to clean water? What makes you think that water that the rest of the animal kingdom has been crapping and pissing in is "clean water"?

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  13. What Works and What Doesn't by retroworks · · Score: 2

    What works is the "tinkerer's blessing" (opposite of the curse of natural resources). Chronicled in Yuzo Takahashi's history of Japanese radio technicians https://muse.jhu.edu/login?aut... , development is best done through normal trade with geeks and technicians. South Korea, Singapore, Guangdong, Taiwan, etc. all developed from refurbishing and reverse engineering used technology. Benjamin Franklin was engaged in buying used surplus printing machines and textile machines for reassembly in the USA, Technicians, nerds, repairers, fixers tend to be smart quiet truthful people, and when economies grow from talented knock off (Shanzai in Chinese) to outsourced contracting to ODM, you wind up with Terry Gou, Simon Lin, and Lee Byung-chul.

    What has tragically happened in Africa and India is that do gooders and celebrities like Annie Leonard have found a recipe of white guilt and created a bogus "e-waste" crisis which puts African geeks and nerds in prison. FreeHurricaneBenson. Forums like Slashdot, where repair and tinkerers gather, have been important places to assess the ewaste hoax. http://retroworks.blogspot.com... I lived in Africa in the mid 1980s and have been finding win-win trade with display devices for almost two decades, and see Africans getting increasingly furious at the people making up fake stats, taking pictures of kids at dumps, and making money without sharing. Search Heather Agyepong's "The Gaze on Agbogbloshie", or read Emmanuel Nyaletey's "My Reaction to The E-Waste Tragedy" http://www.isri.org/news-publi... Emmanuel is an electronics repair technician who grew up a few blocks from Agbogbloshie, Ghana, the scrapyard in a city of 4 million people (Ghana). currently on scholarship for coding at Georgia Tech. I'll put my money on geeks like Emmanuel and the free market over anti-trade rantists and celebrity AID show Bob Geldoffs all day long.

    --
    Gently reply
  14. Prof. Yunus "Creating a World Without Poverty" by lkcl · · Score: 4, Informative

    this is really really important: anyone wishing to make a difference in the world really REALLY needs to read the book written by Professor Yunus, the joint winner of the 2006 Nobel Peace Price, "Creating a World Without Poverty".

    in his book, Professor Yunus describes how he naively studied Economics because he believed that he would be able to change his country's financial situation through studying first world economies. after graduation he set out just after one of the worst natural disasters his country had experienced and realised how completely pointless his studies had been. however he did not give up, and set out to work out what the problem actually was.

    he learned that the poor are first and foremost incredibly resourceful... mostly because they have to. he also learned that many of them are, because there are no enforceable usury laws, permanently kept in debt to money-lenders. this shocked him so badly that once he freed an entire village from debt just from the small change in his wallet: something like $USD 15 was all it took to pay off a decade of usury.

    what he discovered is that the gratitude of these people when freed from their former situation is immeasurable. the Grameen Bank doesn't have lawyers or debt collectors. the people that they lend money to are so GRATEFUL that they work non-stop to turn their lives around and pay off their loan. in fact, the repayment success rate is around NINETY EIGHT percent. it's so high that the *GRAMEEN BANK* considers it to be THEIR FAULT if one of their customers is ever in default. by contrast in the western world the default rate is 88%. i'll repeat that again in case it's not clear: only TWELVE PERCENT of creditors in the western world pay their debts on time, every time, and in full.

    but the main reason why anyone wishing to help the emerging markets and the third world should read his book is because he patiently, with all the knowledge from his economics background, outlines why NGOs, Charity and the "Corporate Social Responsibility" clauses of standard profit-maximising Capitalist Corporations are all worse than doomed but are guaranteed to be ineffective at best and invariably seriously damaging and counter-productive.

    right at the start of his book he outlines a surprising offer by Danone to work with him (follow his advice) to actually be effective. it was Professor Yunus's first experience of having been "under the microscope" of people with both big resources and heart. in other words the team at Danone were huge fans of what Yunus was trying to achieve: when he explained to them the financial structure that was needed, they listened, and they did it. they did not go in with a charity, or with donations: they set up a "non-loss, non-dividend" business, selling *locally-produced* yoghurt that happened to have the nutritients that the local population happened (by a not-coincidence) to be chronically deficient in.

    the yohurt was sold not at a loss but at an affordable financially sustainable price because the focus was on remaining *stable*, not on exploitation through maximisation of profits: the focus was on allowing people to feel proud of what they achieved, and to take responsibility for their own wealth. they were EMPOWERED through the enormous generous resources of Danone's, but it was a successful venture because they LISTENED to what Professor Yunus had to say.

    1. Re: Prof. Yunus "Creating a World Without Poverty" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your claim of 88% western world default rate seriously hurts your credibility. Here is some evidence; maybe you could provide a counter example? http://www.ifap.ed.gov/eannouncements/attachments/060614DefaultRatesforCohortYears20072011.pdf

    2. Re:Prof. Yunus "Creating a World Without Poverty" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, seeing that lenders are the problem, he became one of them, undercut their interest rates slightly, and made out like a bandit?

    3. Re:Prof. Yunus "Creating a World Without Poverty" by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      this shocked him so badly that once he freed an entire village from debt just from the small change in his wallet: something like $USD 15 was all it took to pay off a decade of usury.

      How long did it take before they were back in debt?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:Prof. Yunus "Creating a World Without Poverty" by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 0

      First of all, your dig at the Nobel Peace Prize is racist, you just can't stand that a black man won it in 2009 and you'll go to any length to criticize him.

      Second, that pro-capitalist bullshit is a bunch of bullshit, stop cheerleading for Danone and other multinational corporations. The sooner they are driven out of business, the better.

      Third, the whole "money-lender" thing is anti-Semitic, and this is the nail in the coffin of your whole gestalt. Yeah, you didn't actually say "Jews" but then again you didn't need to, you made it quite clear. Please stop speaking in public.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    5. Re:Prof. Yunus "Creating a World Without Poverty" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would they go back in debt after having a bad experience with it?

    6. Re:Prof. Yunus "Creating a World Without Poverty" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I think the point is not that they *want* to go back into debt - most people in poverty know that debt is bad, and that they really shouldn't be borrowing money they can't pay back. (This goes for people in the West in addition to people elsewhere.)

      The problem is that if you don't have a sufficient "resource cushion" it's incredibly easy to get back on a debt treadmill. All it takes is a sick kid, or a broken car, or some other emergency where you *need* money now, and all of a sudden you're spending most of your income to pay off interest in your loans. Really, it's often the rational thing to do. Either you take out a loan to fix your car, which means paying half your paycheck for the next 5 years, or you can't get to work so you don't have any paycheck to begin with. 50% of something is still more than 100% of nothing.

    7. Re:Prof. Yunus "Creating a World Without Poverty" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for posting this story about Yunus. The initial event that you describe which set Yunus on the way to founding the Grameen bank took place in the mid 70s (in today's dollars it would be more like $150 dollars that he lent, btw, not exactly water-into-wine). It's a shame that the western world refused to pay attention to the success of the Grameen bank (and Grameen Phone) for so many years, but finally we've started to come around to realizing exactly what Yunus knew: the poor don't need aid, they need access to the same financial tools that we in wealthy nations have.

      Ten years ago when I was doing some work in Cambodia I met a couple of French NGO workers who were introducing more efficient wood-fueled cooking stoves into the rural areas. Instead of giving them away, they subsidized a Cambodian manufacturer for the first two years of production so that they could sell them at just above cost and spend money on marketing. The ad campaign featured a beautiful young wife extolling the stoves for their stylishness and cleanliness, which was an excellent (local) strategy because the housewives' biggest complaint about their current stoves was not the inefficiency but the soot (everyone wants to look good). At the time I met the NGO worker they had been in the country for about 18 months and were planning on ending the subsidies early because a viable market was already flourishing and competitors with similar designs were already appearing. I don't remember what their total outlay was, but it was quite low.

  15. See summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "disruptive" new ideas that have been demonstrated in small experiments to deliver disproportionately beneficial results...fail to prove effective at scale

    1. Re:See summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Disruptive
      How in the world do we come to the idea that just because something is disruptive it is a good thing? In most cases, I would argue the opposite.

    2. Re:See summary by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Disruptive
      How in the world do we come to the idea that just because something is disruptive it is a good thing? In most cases, I would argue the opposite.

      "Disruptive" is the buzzword du jour for all the libertarian fruitbats who read Dystopian novels as aspirational lifestyle guides.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  16. Non-Result? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't you suppose the effectiveness of classic models ALSO depend on "local circumstances and who is implementing the program". Seems like a 0% signal to noise to me.

    We need a better word for studies (or headlines) that are a Nop...

  17. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Hunting and gathering works only for small human populations. That's why the one place where advanced western societies are still hunting and gathering, at sea, has led to a horrendous problem of fish depletion. For the good of the oceans we need to ban use of that stupid "Wild Caught" label on fish and get good at aquaculture.

  18. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Feel free to take family and friends with you on your great experiment in living the hunter/gatherer lifestyle.

    Where? Overpopulation and ubiquitous nation-statism preclude it.

    If you can convince them that living in the woods scrounging for food is better than sitting in their comfortable house watching the interwebs....

    Societies grow - you can't just "convince" people to enter one. See also: all the "convincing" state capitalist revolutions of the 20th century from Hitler to Mao.

    we've found physical evidence of murders among Ice Age hunters, so they "worked well with each other" no better than we do now.

    Anecdote is not the singular of data.

    I AM trying to suggest that the lifestyle looks a lot better from the easy chair at home than it does when you're actually living it.

    Happiness and lack of harm are more important than "ease". H-G lifestyle was full of challenges, but how would a hunter-gatherer fare here now?

    And that romanticizing the hunter/gatherer lifestyle from your computer desk is, at best, silly.

    It is a ridiculous denial of human intelligence to suggest that a person has to live something to recognise its good points. The Interweb for me is a way of hiding from the noise and loneliness of modern life, not something I celebrate.

  19. Re: Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do realize that in the days of hunter gatherer lifestyle, average lifespan was about 30? Makes it hard to justify as healthier.

  20. **bad idea** not "big idea" by globaljustin · · Score: 1

    we have to blame the business people here

    the problem is that the people with money don't know the difference between a *good* tech innovation and *bullshit* marketing gussied up as tech innovation

    the problem is ignorance of the decision makers, not our ideas

    there are plenty of good ideas to be had floating in the ether...

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
  21. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

    Oh I think we know how to do aquaculture. But people buy the cheap stuff, and companies reduce costs by feeding who knows what. I think that messes up the taste. There are very good tasting farmed fishes, e.g. some organic, though the cheap standard ones can be quite bad sometimes.

  22. Six million Jews by tepples · · Score: 1

    Alas, WW2 doesn't seem to have been about religion

    Six million people killed for practicing Judaism, as well as members of the Christian Congregation of Jehovah's Witnesses sent to the camps for their pacifism, would disagree with you.

    1. Re:Six million Jews by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      And the Romani and gays? Each group targeted by the Nazis would be correct in viewing their persecution as a result of the rise of Nazi Germany but the war was not a religiously motivated war. It was about the thing behind even the religious wars - the acquisition of the territories an assets of others.

  23. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

    And another one decribed that lifetyle as "nasty, brutish, and short".

    Again, you seem to equate hunting/gathering with lawless anarchy

    Um, no sir, he was not. That nasty, brutish and short was all at the hand of dear, kind Mother Nature herself. Animals fight back you know. Winter is brutish and unforgiving. Life is short because of those things and the fact that you had better not get injured or sick.

    And, FYI, being a hunter/gatherer takes a helluva lot more space than an agrarian or our society does. So, to even achieve your proposed Utopia, first we eliminate 6.7 billion humans. And don't for one second think you won't be in that number, simple odds are against you.

  24. Thankyou Captain Fucking Obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You can apply this to pretty much anything.

  25. Congress Can UnFund Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Congress has the Constitutional Authority to set appropriations and spending levels for all Federal Government agencies and functions.

    To stop Obama, Congress can defund Department of Homeland Security and all White House operations! Require that all monies and all accounts revert ownership to the Department of Treasury. In addition, all the cars, furniture, SUVs, silver ware and buildings revert their stewardship back to the General Services Office. Even Air Force One, Two, Marine One and Two, and all the other jet aircraft that Kerry uses to live on the go will be un-available and Obama cannot usurp a C-130 or any other DoD aircraft or buy a Boing or Airbus aircraft for joy ridding around the globe. IRS can then start recovering all monies payed to DHS and WH personnel and start criminal Felony charges proceedings on each employee.

    The White House kitchen wont even have peanut butter.

    Then on January 21 2016, five minutes after the real President is sworn in, he nullifies all Obama executive orders!

    Simple matter. Simple as biology.

    1. Re:Congress Can UnFund Obama! by plopez · · Score: 1

      Anything like that, IIRC, is administered by the GSA.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    2. Re:Congress Can UnFund Obama! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then on January 21 2016, five minutes after the real President is sworn in,he nullifies all Obama executive orders

      Just like how Obama nullified all of Bush's orders who nullified all of Clinton's orders who nullified all the other Bush's orders who...

      No, I suspect that whoever replaces Obama will decide that he's going to keep all of these powers for himself, just like how Bush took Clinton's CRA orders and turned them into the "Blueprint for the American Dream" and how Obama has kept pretty much all of Bush's powers - and used them. I'm sure you'll cheer him on when his IRS starts investigating liberal organizations. You'll probably even cheer him on when he orders the INS to stop investigating major employers for hiring illegals, you've probably even got a good soundbyte ready to cover for it. "Why should companies be punished for the illegal acts of their employees?" that sound about right?

      Insanity is doing the same thing and expecting something different to happen.

  26. big ideas also hurt national development by silfen · · Score: 1

    People are always looking for quick fixes and silver bullets, preferably centrally administered and implemented in a few years. They don't work for international development, but they also don't work in national politics.

    The best way of achieving prosperity and development is to ensure that people are free to make their own choices, not to dump government aid or programs on them.

  27. TED talks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He just hasn't gone to enough TED talks. My 1 hour presentation really will change the world.

  28. Who defines "game changing"? by PPH · · Score: 1

    Because a "big idea" that fails to provide widespread beneficial results is, by definition, not game changing*. It sounds like your PR people just got a bit ahead of themselves while trying to raise venture capital.

    *On the other hand, a few people trying to lash together a couple of DEC PDPs with no grandiose thoughts of being game changing seem to have done just that.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  29. US STILL sends aid to China to subsidize solar by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > China didn't receive any fucking foreign aid from nobody

    They actually received billions in foreign aid, cash from the US and subsidized loans from Japan. Aid to China has dropped dramatically over the last 30 years, but USAID is still sending taxpayer money to China to subsidize their green energy industry. At the same time, the US is suing China for illegal subsidies to their solar industry, which violate trade agreements.

    So the current standard operating procedure in the US is:

    Make a trade deal woth China agreeing to no subsidies to companies engaged in international trade.
    Borrow money from China.
    Give that money back to China, on the condition that they use it to subsidize green energy companies.
    Sue them for subsidizing the green energy companies.

  30. We know what helps developing economies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Developing economies need the ability to strategically protect infant industries with tariffs, subsidies, and foreign ownership restrictions. See this book by University of Cambridge development economist H.J. Chang: http://www.amazon.com/Bad-Samaritans-Secret-History-Capitalism/dp/1596915986

    This is the way the vast majority of developed countries (USA, England, South Korea, Japan, Germany, etc) became developed. By reducing the ability developing nations to enact trade barriers, we ensure they can never develop competitive industries.

  31. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hunter-gatherers' lives were not necessarily short and brutish. To start, there were many different societies that could be described as hunter-gatherers. Here in Alaska, the native peoples had substantial homes, extensive trade networks, astounding arts, and sophisticated political and commercial organization.

    As far as I can see, the only thing you got right is that most subsistence life styles require a lot of space.

  32. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    See Dances with Wolves sometime.

    That's it. I'll live on a movie set. The interns will bring anything I need...

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  33. It takes government to save every village by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 1
    It takes a government to save every village in the world...

    Ideas that work well ... oftentimes only apply to the specific area which was studied. ... charitable development needs to stop thinking big and start working incrementally, village by village

    But wait! Homogenizing problems is what the government excels at! It's "too hard" to examine all of the individual situations*, and they'll all match up in the wash, so let's come up with a single, proven solution that solves things for everyone, everywhere, always. Any Unforeseen Consequences, if they exist, have a short Half-Life.

    I really hadn't considered that NGOs had succumbed to this, I thought it was just something in the culture in D.C. and elsewhere. (Space aliens from Mars with their mind control, still pining for our Earth women, maybe.)

    So is this a self-limiting thing of politics, the gathering of people and ideas together for a common cause? In order to reach a consensus you have to flatten out the facts SO MUCH that in some situations you miss the problem completely or even aggravate it?

    (This does not bode well for the upcoming One World Government. Maybe the Illuminati invented the internet for this very reason?)

    ---------
    *) Unless one of the members needs to profit from a particular situation; then we'll make an exception.

    --
    If the universe is someone's simulation -- does that mean the stars are just stuck pixels?
  34. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Because we have not been farming most species for very long, there have been a lot of early problems with fish farming. This should not deter us from getting better at it. If the ultra-green New Zealanders can do it, so can we.

  35. Thanks for the post by kipkemoi · · Score: 1

    Hi schnell - this was a good find. Thanks

  36. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by tehcyder · · Score: 1

    a noteworthy scholar had commented once that a hunter-gatherer from 100,000 BC lived better than the average man in 19th century London.

    The average working man led a pretty horrible life in an industrialised 19th century city, so that is entirely possible.

    However, the relevant comparison is with an average person in 21st century London. I know which lifestyle I'd prefer, and as a clue it's the one where I can walk into a supermarket and buy food for my kids.

    --
    To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  37. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For the record, agriculture was the first development that freed up labor from the "hunter/gatherer" mode to allow enough surplus to develop things like, oh, computers (along with the rest of civilization).

    Most archaeologists and anthropologists would have agreed with your sentiments about 50-60 years ago. The idea that the "primitive" lifestyle was "nasty, brutish, and short" idea is attributed to the philosopher Thomas Hobbes in 1650, and lasted for centuries. So your post is about 50-60 years out of date, a record even for Slashdot.

    There is a big difference between philosophical speculation and science, the latter being based on evidence (as opposed to just making things up).

    Evidence started coming out around 1966 that the "nasty, brutish, and short" idea was incorrect. Marshall Sahlins was one of the proponents. The evidence came from a combination of sources, including the study of modern hunter gatherer societies, and direct archeological evidence (lifespan and health can be determined from bodies, for example).

    The most recent well known work in this area is Ross Sackett's 1996 meta-study, which suggested that hunter gatherers work an average of 6.5 hours a day, compared to 8.8 hours for the modern "civilized" adult. Also, their lifespans were considerably longer than the average city dweller for most of human history.

    Civilization did result from cities, but it wasn't because of freeing up labor, or from better living conditions. Agriculturalists worked harder than hunter gatherers, and cities were generally disease-ridden cesspools where people died quite young. Instead, the key factor was that cities allowed the work of the agriculturalist to be siphoned off and used for other purposes (city dwellers could form military forces that dominated the lands around them, simply by their size). The agriculturalists had to work harder, and thus had even less free time, so the few on top could afford both luxuries and the weapons needed to stay on top. It was the continued development of weapons and luxuries for the dominate few which eventually would led to civilization.

    Just curious, have you ever tried a "hunter/gatherer" lifestyle? Gone to a wilderness area, ditched the trappings of civilization (clothes, cellphone, computer, canteen, all that stuff), and tried living on what you could hunt down or gather (and no, I'm not referring to what you can gather at the local Mcdonald's...)...

    People who grow up in this lifestyle know how to survive and prosper in their native environment. This environment is no longer the native environment for most of modern humanity, and it is foolish to expect those without the appropriate knowledge and experience to prosper. Further, hardly anybody has to do this without some sort of equipment, however primitive it might be by modern standards (even just a few hand-crafted tools passed from parent to child), so expecting people to make do without any equipment is also foolish.

    Even in such a case, however, one can make do if one has the appropriate knowledge and the weather is sufficiently mild.

  38. Re:Were Hunter-gatherers doing better by mpeskett · · Score: 1

    Agriculture developed independently in multiple places. In each case it would have involved former hunter-gatherers deciding to cultivate crops instead. Clearly there was something attractive about the idea or they wouldn't have bothered with it. Probably just something daft though, like having a stable source of food or being able to produce an excess to survive through a lean period, and allow some of the population to do something other than constantly hunt and gather... but who really needs that?