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Google Earnings Reveal $3.6 Billion Lost On 'Moonshots' In 2016 (cnn.com)

Thursday Google revealed earnings results for 2016 showing the total loss for their "other bets" division had reached $3.6 billion. An anonymous reader quotes CNN : The "other bets" portion of its business includes ambitious projects like self-driving cars, life sciences research and high-speed Internet access... Alphabet shuttered a project to beam Internet to rural areas with solar-powered drones, halted the expansion of its costly Google Fiber effort, and forced Nest to cut costs and pay for its own legal and PR expenses. At the same time, the company has moved other moonshot projects closer to market. In December, Alphabet spun off its self-driving car program into a separate company called Waymo and began working on partnerships with automakers.
Google's CFO says going forward they'll "continue to calibrate the magnitude and pace of investments".

92 comments

  1. Not every single research project pays off... by StevenMaurer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    But the ones that do more than pay for the ones that don't

    News at 11

    1. Re: Not every single research project pays off... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, we used to call it R&D. That department isn't an immediate profit center but if you don't have one then you won't have a new product tomorrow.

    2. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by ScentCone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not every single research project pays off... But the ones that do more than pay for the ones that don't

      But when pharmaceutical companies use this same approach, they are Teh Eeevil.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    3. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Not every single research project pays off... But the ones that do more than pay for the ones that don't

      But when pharmaceutical companies use this same approach, they are Teh Eeevil.

      The pricing schemes of the pharmaceutical companies are the evil part of their business practises.

    4. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by ScentCone · · Score: 2

      Why? Because they know they have to make a profit or they go out of business, so they (wait for it!) look at the markets where they sell and try to make the best bet on what they can charge so they can continue to do things like spending billions on research and retain the investments needed to stay afloat in a wildly risky business? Yeah, pure eeeevil. They should definitely be nationalized and run by the government.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    5. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, the pharmaceutical companies have managed to pick the the "We Do Evil" moniker because of a bunch of less-than-stellar behaviors

      - Spending more money on advertising than research
      - Pushing the bounds of advertising, both to the public and to professionals to rather dubious levels
      - Pushing the prices of older, well established, simple drugs to sky high levels - just because they can
      - Lobbying the spineless Congresscritters to keep drugs from other (actually healthier, safer) countries out of the US unless the go through a US company.

      To be sure, they aren't the only morally limited players. Congress gets big hug for the above mentioned cowardice and the inability to fund the FDA to decent levels. The Executive Branch has had it's fair share of screwball ideas (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid 'Security'). Doctors and hospitals haven't looked out for patient interests in decades. Insurance companies have never looked out for anybody other than themselves.

      And finally, Americans want Tesla healthcare at Trabi prices.

      Capitalism is a bad way to run an economy although arguably better than anything else we've played around with. But whatever it is we're doing in the US (It isn't really capitalism) isn't working at all.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    6. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by ScentCone · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Spending more money on advertising than research

      Right. You spend money on advertising as you see necessary to sell your product so you can stay in business.

      Pushing the bounds of advertising, both to the public and to professionals to rather dubious levels

      So what you're really thinking about there is the poor state of critical thinking skills in the average person who watches TV?

      Pushing the prices of older, well established, simple drugs to sky high levels - just because they can

      Because selling what you have, while you can, so you can also spend billions on other things that don't make any money, is part of how you manage to avoid bankruptcy.

      Lobbying the spineless Congresscritters to keep drugs from other (actually healthier, safer) countries out of the US unless the go through a US company.

      Talk to the politicians who love to act through the infliction of ever more regulations. Happily, one of the chief among those just left office, and one of the scariest possible replacement for him talked herself out of being elected.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    7. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by interkin3tic · · Score: 2

      Worth keeping in mind it costs on average 2.5 billion to bring a new drug to the market, and most drug candidates fail. If this were a non-essential industry, it would have folded a long long time ago. We can't allow it to fail to exist, thus we have to allow some stuff.

    8. Re: Not every single research project pays off... by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

      Innovation is massively dangerous to wall street and investors. Investing in it frequently returns only loss, not investing in it may render your portfolio empty. it's better to collaborate and do away with it.

    9. Re: Not every single research project pays off... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      R&D is R&D which many companies spend on and don't have a problem. Google likes to have it both ways, calling stuff products when it excited people and R&D when it inevibly disappoints. Google Glass would have been great if it were R&D only, but they spent probably tens of millions on promotional videos and various other attention grabbing opportunities. Once it was clear it failed, they're like "hey man we are just doing research". Fiber was not Research. It was an infrastructure product designed to scare ISPs into improving connectivity, which is great. But we can't pretend it's just research after the bean counters convinced Larry that it's a financial black hole.

      Also, there's research and spending like a drunk on payday on all kinds of stupid shit. We didn't need to wait to know that Project Loon is a stupid waste of time and money. How much cash did they pour down that hole? And I wonder how much real research value did it or Fiber actually produce besides confirming that it is in fact a stupid idea.

    10. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by badpool · · Score: 2

      Spending more money on advertising than research

      Right. You spend money on advertising as you see necessary to sell your product so you can stay in business.

      Pushing the bounds of advertising, both to the public and to professionals to rather dubious levels

      So what you're really thinking about there is the poor state of critical thinking skills in the average person who watches TV?

      You don't need to advertise health products unless you can't convince doctors that they're a healthy, necessary solution. So you make a Superbowl ad instead, utterly mislead non-doctors (i.e. the rest of us) and have them pester their doctors for a prescription.

      You're essentially blaming people for not having medical degrees. You are a complete and immoral idiot.

    11. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by BoogieChile · · Score: 2

      > And finally, Americans want Tesla healthcare at Trabi prices

      Actually, I think they'd mostly be happier with Toyota Camry healthcare at Toyota Camry prices instead of the Chevy Nova healthcare at Bentley Mulsanne prices they're paying now.

      You know, like those people who live in countries where they can have a whole baby by cesarean in a private hospital for less than the cost of a couple of Xanax.

    12. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      True for prescription products. You're not suggesting banning nosebleed stopper (tampon) ads?

    13. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by Raenex · · Score: 1

      You don't need to advertise health products unless you can't convince doctors that they're a healthy, necessary solution.

      Not everybody goes to doctors for common ailments, and even when they do, times may change and people may not be aware of new solutions. And not all doctors are equally knowledgeable.

    14. Re: Not every single research project pays off... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Advertising is fine. But most marketing from drug companies are outright deceptive and false. When profit is the only motive, this behavior is appropriate. That's why they are evil. But then so is every other company where that is the sole purpose of existence. Yes, most company execs would be evil. No, that's not a good thing. But I am glad we have sheep to stand up for them.

    15. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by lexman098 · · Score: 2

      Your argument seems to be that we should pass the blame from corporations to everyone else. Yes consumers are stupid. Yes congress is way too easily manipulated by the corporations. That doesn't excuse anti-competitive, price-gouging behavior. And remember, corporations are people. They have a moral obligation to play fairly for the good of society. Don't let them fool you into thinking they'll go out of business if you don't give them everything they want.

    16. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      But the ones that do more than pay for the ones that don't

      News at 11

      Nowadays, Google does not do R&D, they buy the companies that have promising products or services. Lets not sweat the small stuff, lets profit where we can in big stuff ways.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
    17. Re:Not every single research project pays off... by syntotic · · Score: 1

      When neither money nor ideas nor the product are theirs... what did you expect? Moonshots of pure genius? But they will not los a single dollar on me nit even by mistake, eh? THERE everyone is perfectly aware where the money was coming from and where it was supposed to go to.... dont they?

  2. Management by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder how many of these would have done well if they hadn't been snapped up by google and just carried on doing what they were doing?

  3. Accounting by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's crap like this that's why we can't have nice things. Specifically, Google Fiber is not a loss. Accountants put it on the books as a loss, but it's not. It's just an expensive investment in physical plant with a long payoff period. It may takes years, even decades, but it's not like people are going to stop using this new-fangled thing called the Internet.

    Wall Street has been the death of American innovation. If money spent doesn't earn a profit in the next quarter, Wall Street doesn't like, it, doesn't want it, and doesn't understand it. The stock price of Tesla Motors is a fine example. Here we have a company investing hugely in physical plant, and Wall Street has no idea what to do with it, so the value of TSLA fluctuates by 50% of its value, all the time. So-called "financial analysts" don't even know how to talk about it. It doesn't fit into their neat little boxes.

    (And there's a job that's just ripe for automation. It wouldn't even take a sophisticated neural net. 90% of the financial "analysts" in the world could be replaced by some templates and a bucket of Markov chains, driven by a small shell script.)

    So Google will shut down Fiber, having utterly failed to modify the behavior of the incumbent ISPs. And we will all pay for it. And pay and pay and pay and pay... It's Comcastic!

    1. Re:Accounting by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      Economics used to be a complex subject.

      Now it's pretty simple:

      CEOs and shareholders demand asymptotic stock price increases over a very short period of time.

      The buzzword for that is, "greed."

      The end.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    2. Re:Accounting by ledow · · Score: 1

      Gigabit to entire towns is a loss-maker not just in terms of decades.

      In the UK, the only non-former-government-monopoly provider was NTL. Who, after 20 years of putting in cable, went bust. Literally, they were bought up after being near bankruptcy (by Virgin Media), including all their assets for a cut-down price, and since then any new VM rollouts have had to be built-in to the cost of building a housing estate. The number of places served by VM is pretty pathetic, it's FTTC only, and they've had to re-sell DSL services provided by British Telecom like everyone else to get anywhere near full-reach in the rest of the country.

      The only other near-competitor was a project run in the town of Hull that pretty much flopped and never left the town.

      Bear in mind that the UK is about HALF the size of California, and has TWICE as many people.

      Any infrastructure like that is basically loss-making for DECADES, if it ever recoups its investment. FTTP is even more expensive.

      There's a reason that sewage, electricity, gas, water, etc. supplies are utilities often run by government or obliged to provide services to all and paid for at least partly from your taxes.

      That kind of infrastructure is a dead investment and we've known about that for centuries.

    3. Re:Accounting by djinn6 · · Score: 1

      Google Fiber is not a loss. Accountants put it on the books as a loss, but it's not. It's just an expensive investment in physical plant with a long payoff period.

      Unless you're an accountant working for Google, you can't know that.

      Google Fiber may not be a loss to the general public, but it is a loss to Google, who apparently could not get enough ROI with their test rollouts to continue doing it. This makes sense if you think about it economically. Even if they did roll it out to all the other cities, all that they would've accomplished is turn a bunch of monopoly markets into competitive markets, and their income will never reach what the previous ISP was getting. This is great for the consumer, but Google gets none of the savings.

      The real solution is to have a city or town pay for its own infrastructure using bonds etc., or just nationalize the existing infrastructure with eminent domain. Utility grids (and yes, internet is a utility) should never have been private, because all of them are natural monopolies. Google might seem like they have the heart of buddhas right now, but you never know they won't spin off the division and put a new guy in charge.

    4. Re:Accounting by ezdiy · · Score: 1

      What happened to smart investors going long for decade spans?

      Times too uncertain for long bets?

      With google fiber it is even more bizarre. It is widely known that last mile telco returns are investments which routinely break even in a decade, there should be surprises about the initial capex. Not to mention that google completely ignored the synnergic effects.

    5. Re:Accounting by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      You describe a certain kind of investor, I suppose, and one that is too common in some quarters. But not all of us are expecting instant dividends or great leaps in share prices so we can sell at great profit. There are investors who view investments as long-term strategies, with steady growth over time, rather than obsessing over every dip in revenue or profits.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    6. Re:Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It's just an expensive investment in physical plant with a long payoff period."
      Um, how would you know that? There is no guaranteed payoff. What if no one decided to get Google Fiber and went with another provider?

    7. Re:Accounting by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      CEOs and shareholders demand asymptotic stock price increases over a very short period of time.

      Your response addresses neither stock price nor immediate gratification; both context parameters for "greed," in my post.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    8. Re:Accounting by ScentCone · · Score: 1

      It's crap like this that's why we can't have nice things ... long payoff period. It may takes years, even decades ... Wall Street ... death of American innovation

      No, Wall Street has all sorts of happy investments in companies that DO take years and years to get a small number of viable products (out of many expensive failures) to market. It's call pharmaceuticals. Bio-tech in many forms is long ball, and money continues to pour into those companies, with investors knowing full well that there will be years between ideas and viable products, with most ideas going down in flames. The difference between some young tech company like Google dabbling in a random grab-bag of technologies in a bunch of different areas and a company that has spent decades researching and making drugs is: investors have a track record with the large drug companies, and the life cycle is understood - so they are willing to make long term risks. When Google says, "Hey, that whole search and advertising thing worked pretty well, so obviously you can trust us on solar powered ISP airplanes" ... it's not surprising that investors may be a little more shy.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    9. Re:Accounting by esonik · · Score: 1

      There is an insightful talk by Clayton Christensen on this topic:
      https://youtu.be/rHdS_4GsKmg

    10. Re:Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      maybe they know that the future will be wireless...

    11. Re:Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      > expensive investment in physical plant with a long payoff period.

      Maybe there's a payoff. Maybe.

      I work for an ISP in Seattle that is connecting a few buildings because CenturyLink can't offer DSL to much of the city due to old wiring and Comcast, that has the cable monopoly over much of the city, isn't expanding service. In my building with 95 units, we spent around $75k in one-time costs for telco-quality microwave to the building, routers, switches, and labor. That might seem too large, but figure $10k for the wireless equipment and licenses (roughly, I'm not too sure on the price) plus a cisco router that supports 10G plus nine switches for each phone closet plus fiber with labor, and it adds-up. There was already cat5 cable from the phone closets to all of the units so that helped a lot. After four months, we now have four customers pay $60 per month. It's going to take us twenty-six years to pay for that initial investment assuming zero (which is absolutely not true!) monthly costs. Also, there's no way the equipment will last that long. We've already had one bank of four (IIRC) ports quit in one of the cisco switches. Plus, if CenturyLink runs fiber to the building and is able to offer faster than 1.5 Mbps DSL that they currently offer, we might even lose customers. We're only doing it to get get big enough to become an annoyance to a larger ISP and get bought-out.

    12. Re:Accounting by ezdiy · · Score: 1

      Gigabit to entire towns is a loss-maker not just in terms of decades.

      The long haul costs are pretty trivial these days, the problem is still mostly last mile. Not in terms of technology, but legislation, leases, slush fund to get dig/pole permits and more, and that is assuming there are no state ordinances explicitly foiling metro net development like it is common in the US.

      It indeed is similiar to real estate development in many ways. Needless to say UK has one of the most fucked up real estate markets, no surprise last mile competition is effectively nil.

      Any infrastructure like that is basically loss-making for DECADES

      Northern, central and part of eastern europe beg to differ, ROI for city is 3-6 months/cust, distant rural areas about 8-16 mo/cust. A lot of ISPs cover that by contract clauses, so they are guaranteed to get their break even money always.

      City metro telcos + high speed wifi routinely cover 30% of population. The secret to it is commieblocks and just-in-time infra deployment - not sure how exactly that is viable in the UK, but in here, FTTX can be done for very cheap in densely populated cities, and those cover good chunk of population.

      Remote areas get internet 2x more expensive, but still very cheap - mostly as a consequence of cut-throat urban competition, ISPs are forced to branch out into rural areas.

    13. Re:Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google Fiber is not a loss. Accountants put it on the books as a loss, but it's not. It's just an expensive investment in physical plant with a long payoff period.

      Unless you're an accountant working for Google, you can't know that.

      If you're an accountant, please retake accounting 101.

      What accountant on Earth would ever fucking put a physical plant investment under short term investment? The IRS would audit you IMMEDIATELY if you tried to pull that sort of shit.

    14. Re:Accounting by ezdiy · · Score: 1

      quarterly repots and stock flipping

      Short sightedness and excessive risk aversity are consequences, I'm interested in inherent causes of it. Calling it "greed" is a bit too nebulous - there's always profit motive, regardless of market strategy.

      instant gratification

      Running a company isn't a netflix binge.

    15. Re:Accounting by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 1

      Google Fiber is not a loss. Accountants put it on the books as a loss, but it's not.

      What's the point of doing a test rollout if they can't later decide it isn't feasible?

    16. Re:Accounting by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      (And there's a job that's just ripe for automation. It wouldn't even take a sophisticated neural net. 90% of the financial "analysts" in the world could be replaced by some templates and a bucket of Markov chains, driven by a small shell script.)

      In fact, forget the Markov chain... and the templates.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    17. Re:Accounting by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      This is why private companies can never do infrastructure works that nation building requires, regardless of how many invisible-hand marketeers wish it were so.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    18. Re:Accounting by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Of course, if that's the only viable Internet service, you'll probably eventually end up with 95 units * $60 = $5700 per month, or $68,400 per year. If everybody signs on, you'll pay for the cost in a little over a year. And if only four customers sign on over the long term... well, then you picked the wrong building to wire, and maybe that's why CenturyLink didn't bother to hook it up.

      That's the economic reality: Most underserved areas are underserved for a reason: they aren't profitable. If you really want equality of Internet access, only government can realistically do that, because only government can truly afford not to care whether its capital improvements will break even or not.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    19. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google tried to cheap out on last mile capex by attempting to use utility poles owned by incumbent companies without paying them a red cent. When they balked Google packed up there toys and when home instead of playing the long game.

    20. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds a little like Wave. I live in Cristalla, and I think there's only two customers here. We're surrounded by buildings that can only get dialup. I can't imagine how many decades it will take Wave to pay back their investment.

    21. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forget just how anti-Internet Microsoft is thus the Seattle area. I put in a shared T1 to my building and out of the almost 140 units, only two of my neighbors were interested in faster than dialup.

    22. Re:Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > end up with 95 units

      Wow, I wish! Even in our best performing buildings we're only getting about 20% which would be 19 units in my building. Even with 19, you're still talking about over five years just to cover the install cost.

      I don't think you get how much people in Seattle just don't give a damn about the Internet. We have a lot of hipsters and Microsoft people. The hipsters don't really care, and the Microsoft people are anti-Internet. My local rep supports CenturyLink's increases on per-minute charges for ISDN. I had ISDN until recently and several of my friends do, so I strongly object to that. Telco costs should be getting cheaper instead of more expensive.

    23. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How much is the rent in your building? I'm damn tired of my dialup.

    24. Re:Accounting by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      Inherent cause: Greed.

      Netflix binging isn't profitable.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    25. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you just explained well why faster than dialup is hard to find one seattle. Most people either don't care or are related to someone that works at Microsoft so they're anti-Internet.

    26. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Cristalla

      I looked at a sublease there for $2,600 per month. That is a very nice building. When I mentioned that I work from home and need a fast Internet connection, the building manager told me to look elsewhere.

    27. Re:Accounting by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      What happened to smart investors going long for decade spans?

      What happened is that long term investing has become MORE common. If you ignore HFT (which is market-making, not investing), average stock hold time has been going up for decades.

      The myth that investors today are more demanding of immediate profits is basically BS, and there are many companies with high stock prices and low profits that are investing for the long term. Amazon is a good example. That wouldn't have been possible a few decades ago.

    28. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish I lived in one of your building. I'm tired of per minute ISDN charges.

    29. Re:Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > The stock price of Tesla Motors is a fine example.

      No, it is not. It may be the hipsters' darling, but it is a high risk long term investment. Short term it isn't making profit. Long term, it's 1) an early adopter, which does not equal a winner, 2) leadership is narcissist, chasing dreams for fame, not long term profit, and last but not least 3) the battle for taking the crown of fossil energy for cars has not been won or decided yet, there are growth limits to battery run cars, fragmentation problems, and competition from hydrogen and other solutions.

      My experience as an investor monitoring Tesla has been the opposite of your claim. It's the short term cowboys who play that bouncing stock. The long term players avoid it. And that includes players who bought early Amazon when it was known for only making loses, but grabbing market. While Tesla stock is bouncing but essentially flat, long term investors will wait until they really prove they have a long term future and stock growth.

    30. Re:Accounting by AaronW · · Score: 1

      That's how I invest and I've done extremely well by doing this. Many of my investments are in companies that do a lot of R&D and I've done quite well from this. One of my investments that has done extremely well the investor blogs keep complaining about the company spending a lot of money. Generally, established companies that invest a lot in R&D tend to do fairly well. Startups have been and probably always will be a risky venture, but when they succeed the payouts tend to be big. Companies investing in long-term R&D are more like venture capitalists in that the projects that succeed can bring in a lot of revenue.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    31. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ISDN is considered broadband here.

    32. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My friends all hate the Internet. Seattle sucks I'd if you're an Internet fan.

    33. Re:Accounting by citizenr · · Score: 1

      sure, but NEST is a total loss, and all the robotics acquisitions are a write off (nobody even wants to buy them from google now)

      --
      Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
    34. Re: Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But you'll still make out like bandits in the hundred year scale.

    35. Re:Accounting by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Specifically, Google Fiber is not a loss. Accountants put it on the books as a loss, but it's not. It's just an expensive investment in physical plant with a long payoff period. It may takes years, even decades, but it's not like people are going to stop using this new-fangled thing called the Internet.

      I've canceled my cable internet and switched to cellular. I have FIOS in my area, too, but there's more competition in cellular, so us lighter users (not streaming Netflix) can get a better deal. It shouldn't be this way... DSL used to be dirt cheap, and some cable companies even had $15/mo plans, but reduced regulation in the US over many years has eliminated those cheaper options across most of the country. They've held the line better on cellular competition, but I'm concerned that won't last much longer, either.

      In any case, Google Fiber isn't an internet monopoly ANYWHERE it operates. Saying it's guaranteed to profit is idiotic... There are always a half dozen competitors around who can undercut Google and steal their fiber customers. Your underpants gnome understanding of economics falls short. When you've got a few million to waste, build your own ISP and get back to us.

      Even while people are cord cutting their cable TV, a smaller number are cutting their internet service, too:

      http://pipedot.org/story/2015-...

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    36. Re:Accounting by itsenrique · · Score: 1

      But he has a point, it was always a greedy game. It's more like some kind of monkeynomics get more "now, while you still can". Combine that with "everyone else is motivated by quarterly results", and boom: even if you can see your own short sightedness, you are afraid your competitor will run so lean, they'll wipe the floor with your 10 year plan.

    37. Re:Accounting by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      I agree.

      I'm 71 years old and I grew up admiring AT&T and Bell Labs.

      Nokia Bell Labs (formerly named AT&T Bell Laboratories, Bell Telephone Laboratories and Bell Labs) is an American research and scientific development company, owned by Finnish company Nokia. Its headquarters are located in Murray Hill, New Jersey, in addition to other laboratories around the rest of the United States and in other countries.

      [Emphases mine.]

      I was in awe of the fantastic news that came out of that lab. It was the gold standard for risk-taking and production of marvelous technologies. It was home to world-class scientists.

      You're familiar with those moments when we think to ourselves, "Hey! Whatever happened to ...?"

      Yeah, Bell Labs.

      --

      "Those who do not learn history are bound to repeat it; those of us who do are bound to predict it." ~ © 2017 CaptainDork

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    38. Re:Accounting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reduced regulation? No, the whole reason dsl was cheap was because of open tail regulation. That's why the Fiber era started, because the ILECs didn't like their network being open to competition so they began to migrate to something they didn't have to. This is the exact same reason the DSL era started, so they could offer a product that wasn't open to competition regulation (initially, there was no ability for clecs to offer service, especially at the non CO based nodes).

      It really grinds my gears when people who were not part of the industry talk about lack of regulation helped in the past, when it was exactly regulation that fixed it.

  4. Go Google! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    While I question the viability of some of the projects, I hope Google continues to push ahead with R&D. So many companies are one hit wonders because their big investors want to milk the companies for short term profit. One the companies is killed off and the corpse picked clean, they move on to a new victim. When Amazon plowed into cloud services, the outcry from many was immediate from those looking to make a fast buck. By plowing earnings back into R&D and taking paper losses, Amazon was looking beyond just being an online reseller. A decade down the line, AWS was probably one of the smartest bets ever. The profits are greater than the other low margin business can offer.

    1. Re:Go Google! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup its nice to see tech companies investing and researching tech.

    2. Re:Go Google! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or, as is the case with many of Google's "Research projects", they spend billions proving to themselves that the stupid idea they came up with while stoned is in fact a stupid idea.

  5. they lost because they sold them by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Seriously, the bulk of the loses is because they sold these items prior to bringing them to fruition.
    The CEO, Sundar Pichai, should be nuked for his stupidity.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re: they lost because they sold them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong CEO. This is Larry's Alphabet not Google.

  6. Money not well spent. by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

    Apparently, most of that money went toward ammunition for actually trying to shoot the Moon, until someone Googled "moonshot". After that, they also Googled "moonshine" and then sold their stock in rock polishing products.

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    1. Re:Money not well spent. by flatulus · · Score: 1

      Thank you - I enjoyed that! :-)

  7. Things used to be better by mi · · Score: 1

    Economics used to be a complex subject.

    Things aren't what they used to be. And they never were.

    The buzzword for that is, "greed."

    Are the people of today greedier, than they were 50 or 100 years ago? Can you substantiate such a claim?

    The end.

    The end? Oh, no! Clearly, what we are witnessing is a market failure — KKKapitali$m is revealed once again to be inherently incapable of providing Internet-service to the poor via solar-powered drone — which means, it should be nationalized. Then, the selflessy well-paid unionized workers, lead by the omniscient government officials will secure the human rights of the downtrodden.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:Things used to be better by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      Economics and I are no stranger.

      There was a time when only formal training could explain multi-variable effects.

      Now there are only two variables:

      1.) CEO greed
      2.) Shareholder greed.

      That explains the moon shots by the major players (Facebook, Google, Apple, Microsoft, etc.) who are burning cash, at flame-out rates, on unicorns rather than investing in R&D, which is way too slow to for both 1.) and 2.).

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    2. Re:Things used to be better by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      ... rather than investing in R&D

      The moonshots ARE R&D.

    3. Re:Things used to be better by mi · · Score: 1

      You are still blaming people's "greed" for something you dislike, while neither confirming nor denying (despite a direct question), that people have become greedier today, than they were 50 and/or 100 years ago.

      The question, thus, is no longer why is Google doing certain things, but why is CaptainDork dodging a question. And I'm not interested...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    4. Re:Things used to be better by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      No.

      Moon shots are off core competency and tangential to to greed.

      The major players have way too much cash on hand are out of ideas regarding core competency.

      I've lived the movie and it doesn't end well.

      I worked at Mobil Oil as a suit and they branched out into insurance, real estate, retail (Montgomery Wards) because they had cash to burn and they were already out of ideas regarding exploration, and they'd milked crude oil almost to the point of excess.

      They got bought out for a song.

      Apple is a good example. They bought TV technology, autonomous cars, wind farms in China ...

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    5. Re:Things used to be better by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      "Greed doesn't need a source of blame." ~ © 2017 CaptainDork.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    6. Re:Things used to be better by itsenrique · · Score: 2

      This is fascinating, but they were still greedy when they had ideas regarding core competencies. It seems more like what happens when you get so wealthy you stop thinking straight.

    7. Re:Things used to be better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Economics and I are no stranger.

      Pity we can't say the same about grammar.

    8. Re:Things used to be better by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      I think you're close, but what it is, is an extension of the greed panic.

      When core competency has maxed out, there's all these cash reserves that are not helpful to the primary need to increase CEO and shareholder well being.

      Desperate times call for desperate measures, and the big players have to go off script and scramble to make more money.

      They do that by purchasing companies that have nothing to do with what they do.

      In the next step, we'll see big the companies sell off the satellite businesses in an effort to implode back to their core.

      Look at IBM, Yahoo, HP ... and Mobil Oil

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  8. It's like buying lottery tickets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but with much better odds.

    captcha: continue

  9. Re:AI and analysts by hackwrench · · Score: 1

    My brother is an analyst. It would appear that part of his job is tending to AI platforms. https://www.linkedin.com/in/oc...

  10. Slashdot editor daily checklist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ã Autonomous cars bullshit
    Ã Uber oh-noes story
    Ã Libtard SJW story
    Ã Elon Musk dick sucking story
    Ã Apple ad
    Ã H1-B street shitters leading the way in the IT world

  11. "losses" from an advertising company... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Heck, just offering fiber, verily, self-driving cars, etc are probably worth the prestige bump even if they spend more than they earn.

  12. Could you explain that? by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    "You forget just how anti-Internet Microsoft is [in] the Seattle area."

    Could you explain that? How is Microsoft anti-internet? How does Microsoft affect what people do in their private lives?

  13. Background. Donations? Incompetence. by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    Wikipedia says Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google was given that position in October 24, 2015. The reorganization of Google into Alphabet was completed on October 2, 2015, only one year and 3 months ago.

    Interestingly, Wikipedia says Sundar Pichai's salary is $150 million per year. It must be tough to survive on so little income. Maybe we should send him some money.

    To me, the management of Google seems less and less competent. The management of Microsoft by Satya Nadella seems, to me and many others, UTTERLY incompetent: CNET Editor Rails Against Non-Consensual Windows Updates.

    Why are incompetent managers from the culture of India being given leadership roles?

    1. Re:Background. Donations? Incompetence. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So whats apples excuse?

    2. Re: Background. Donations? Incompetence. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      I do not think it is so much being Indian, but being religiously MBA , and less about the tech.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  14. You conflate investment with speculation, disprove by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Tesla has $8 billion in assets and $7 billion in liabilities. They are currently worth $1 billion. Their stock valuation is $40 billion, the market values them at $40 billion.

    Why the huge discrepancy in what they are worth in terms of assets and liabilities versus what people are willing to pay for the stock? It's not because they are making a bunch of money - Tesla is losing money at the rate of almost a billion dollars per year. It's because people think Telsa might make a lot of money ten years from now (and it's a sexy brand, which appeals to uninformed "investors").

    > If money spent doesn't earn a profit in the next quarter, Wall Street doesn't like, it, doesn't want it

    Your own example proves otherwise - Wall Street pays 40X the actual value for Tesla because they hope for long-term profits. Everybody knows Tesla won't make a profit this quarter, next quarter, or the quarter after that, but they are buying Tesla stock at a huge premium based on long-term potential.

    However, using the example of Tesla or any startup to generalize about the market is silly. The vast majority of investment is in stable companies like General Mills, Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble, Mastercard, etc. These are *investments* - General Mills had 34% return on investment last year. They've been making money for a long time, and will almost assuredly keep making money for a long time. That's an investment.

    In contrast, Tesla had a negative 82% ROE last year. Hopefully one day they'll make a profit, maybe. Putting money in Tesla is *speculation*, not investment.

  15. Time Value of Money by Shane_Optima · · Score: 1

    It's just an expensive investment in physical plant with a long payoff period. It may takes years, even decades, but it's not like people are going to stop using this new-fangled thing called the Internet.

    It doesn't work like that. Unfortunately.

    I want Comcast to die too, but if the free market is going to kill it then the people doing the investing have to be convinced that the payoff (adjusted for risk) is worth more than other projects they could invest in.

    You can't ever say "eventually you'll make it back" and expect that to be a compelling argument. I mean, if it rate of return fails to keep up with AAA debt, it's an objectively stupid investment. And if the rate of return fails to keep up with inflation, it's an objectively losing investment.

    The stock price of Tesla Motors is a fine example. Here we have a company investing hugely in physical plant, and Wall Street has no idea what to do with it, so the value of TSLA fluctuates by 50% of its value, all the time. So-called "financial analysts" don't even know how to talk about it. It doesn't fit into their neat little boxes. (And there's a job that's just ripe for automation. It wouldn't even take a sophisticated neural net. 90% of the financial "analysts" in the world could be replaced by some templates and a bucket of Markov chains, driven by a small shell script.)

    No, the rational long-term valuations of Tesla (which are masked by a hell of a lot of noise, yes) are driven by things that expert systems can't grasp, namely the plausibility of electric dominating, the timeline of that domination, and whether Tesla will remain near the top or be overtaken and eclipsed by ICE car competitors switching to electric. And the people who've done serious research and calculations on these things tend not to talk all about it in WSJ interviews.

    Without the rational long term valuations and long term investors, IPOs don't succeed and the short term investors and algorithm traders don't have any wave of genuine long term growth interest that they can try to predict and make money off of. (And without the short term traders, liquidity plummets, ultimately hurting the IPOs a lot.)

  16. Good point. by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    Good point. Apple CEO Tim Cook is another example of a manager who does not seem to be able to handle the enormous challenges of running a large company.

    However, I think it is especially difficult for someone from a very different culture to manage a U.S. company.

  17. You oversimplify, vastly by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    The stock price of Tesla Motors is a fine example. Here we have a company investing hugely in physical plant, and Wall Street has no idea what to do with it, so the value of TSLA fluctuates by 50% of its value, all the time.

    It also fluctuates because it's investing hugely in physical plant far beyond it's projected needs - and because it's projected needs far exceed it's proven capacity. Then there's the doubts about about how many Model 3's will actually sell, and doubts about Tesla's ability to actually produce them in the large numbers ordered. Then there's their debt load (taken on to pay off the government loans 'early'). And their recent purchase of Solar City. And liability concerns over Autopilot. And their ongoing cash flow problems. And... Well, you get the picture.

    And the picture is much more complicated than you paint.

    Meanwhile, Amazon has barely been profitable, in a large part because of their enormous and ongoing investment in physical plant, with their ongoing net positive cash flow... and Amazon's stock prices have been doing just fine. Boeing, with a proven track record, has dumped billions into developing the 787 over the last decade - but their stock price has done just fine as well. Etc... etc...

    Wall Street knows how to handle companies sinking enormous sums for deferred payout just fine. Tesla may be the darling of the geek fanboy crowd, but said crowd isn't actually very business savvy or financially well informed.

  18. New Oppertunity To Lose Money: Antiamerican Acts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Google, Apple, M$ and the usual suspects are now really playing with fire by throwing money at legal defense funds designed to award anti-American acts of terrorism by H1B mules.

    Google, Apple, M$ et al., welcome to the TSA.

    A new executive order will require all corporate travel to comply with screening and flight security as the airlines.

    By by corporate Jet to Nirvana!

    Ha ha butt fuckers

  19. Pure research is such a waste by kurt555gs · · Score: 1

    Look at all the money Bell Labs pissed away inventing the transistor. And what did their stockholders get out of that?

    --
    * Carthago Delenda Est *