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China To Boost Non-Fossil Fuel Use To 20 Percent By 2030 (reuters.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: China aims for non-fossil fuels to account for about 20 percent of total energy consumption by 2030, increasing to more than half of demand by 2050, its state planner said on Tuesday, as Beijing continues its years-long shift away from coal power. In a policy document, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions will peak by 2030 and total energy demand will be capped at 6 billion tons of standard coal equivalent by 2030, up from 4.4 billion tons targeted for this year.

43 comments

  1. I believe the "coal usage will go up 35%" bit by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 0

    >> carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions will (go to) 6 billion tons of standard coal equivalent by 2030, up from 4.4 billion tons (now)

    That's the only part of this post I believe.

    1. Re:I believe the "coal usage will go up 35%" bit by nojayuk · · Score: 4, Informative

      Note the phrase "coal equivalent".

      At the moment China burns about 3 billion tonnes of coal a year, mostly to generate electricity. They don't burn a lot of gas right now compared to other nations. They're planning a big increase in their total generating capacity up to about 2TW and a lot of that increase is going to be fuelled by gas as they cut back on coal but they're going to emit more CO2 in total in the process because of the increase.

      Right now China burns about 2 tonnes of coal per capita each year. America burns about 3 tonnes of coal per capita annually but it also burns a lot more gas and oil per capita to power their first-world economy and infrastructure, military, road and air travel etc. China wants that sort of economy and infrastructure too.

    2. Re:I believe the "coal usage will go up 35%" bit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So many things wrong with this, but that is normal for the far left apologist.

      First, China is already at 6 TWH / year of electricity.
      Of that, roughly 85-88% of that comes from coal.

      Even for the future, you and china continue to scream that china is going clean, yet, more than 1/2 of their NEW energy is coal. Note that more than 1/2 of CHina's installation was coal, and this was after china cut back their coal plants.

      Now, china claims that coal is dropping, yet, they continue to add 35-100 GW of new coal plants each year. Anybody that believes that is a fool.

      Windbourne (moderating).

  2. That's Great But... by Njorthbiatr · · Score: 0, Troll

    It's already too late.

    People dragged their feet since it was definitive in the 90s. If humanity has a crisis from the shift we damn well deserve it at this point.

    1. Re:That's Great But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lovely another denier fucktard

    2. Re:That's Great But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If you have a different theory, we'd love to hear it. Where is this sudden spike in heat coming from? Nobody's disagreeing with you that the earth has increase and decreased before. However, every other time it's gone up just 1 degree, it's been over the course of a 1000-4000 years, not a less than 100. ( https://xkcd.com/1732/ )

      There's also approximate data points for temperatures from 20 thousand years ago (for example: https://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/briefs/schmidt_01/ )

    3. Re:That's Great But... by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      The oceans, nimrod. Heat storage at first went into the oceans. If you followed the NOAA research charts, you'd know that. But you're just a denier trying to find an excuse for why we should let you destroy the world.

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      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    4. Re:That's Great But... by Njorthbiatr · · Score: 1

      I'm not going to worry about terms like "climate denier" or use something like "scientific consensus". That shouldn't convince you really of anything.

      I use the word "definitive" because that's when satellite corrections took place, leading to a corroboration of evidence gathered. I really don't give a shit if you think that its natural cycles or our current hundred years aren't "statistically significant" for whatever the hell that means. It's pretty basic fucking observation that you can do in your kitchen.

      Do you know how greenhouse gasses work and why they're called that? If you don't, you're about 150 years behind in your Chemistry, back when people still thought bloodletting was a good idea. Good, now what happens when you dump lots of CO2 and methane into the atmosphere? Both of which are greenhouse gasses? And don't get me started on global dimming or albedo reflection, it's pretty fucking obvious the world is warming up.

      So you know that we're dumping tons of substances that would cause the world to get warmer, and it is. Whether it's "natural cycles" or whatever bs you may come up with or not, the fact of the matter is we're pumping greenhouse gasses into the fucking atmosphere. WHERE THE FUCK DO YOU THINK ITS GOING?

      That's not even the worst part, the worst part is that sealed gasses at poles, trapped in ice, are getting melted, and we're just like, "Yeah well we probably didn't cause it because uh... Natural trends!" If you think this, you must be mentally retarded, because there is no possible way you can accept that dumping large amounts of greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere isn't warming the planet without having some serious form of brain damage where you can't put your shoes on because you're incapable of the basic logical reasoning required to do so.

    5. Re:That's Great But... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      1. I think the dumping of dioxins and environmental toxins is a clear-and-present danger.

      2. I think that releasing billions of tons of CO2 is a problem but not for the problem of the earth warming up to temperatures that, at worst, were common only a short while ago geologically.

      I think the most important thing is to get to a post carbon age - and we don't get there by shrill cries of the apocalypse and making obscenely poor predictions (take a look at Al Gore's predictions). We get there by having a functioning economy, but substitution bad (natural gas) for worse unfiltered coal; by reducing our population (never hear that from people. Why? Because it means that we need to stop funding babies which disproportionately hurts the poor).

      We don't get there by signing treaties that doesn't solve the problem (Kyoto) as developing countries (read India and China) could continue burning coal. So the question is why prevent the Keystone Pipeline, why promote Kyoto when it doesn't help?

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
  3. The problem is not the ratio but the total carbon by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 4, Insightful

    While it is true that China is rolling out more all-electric cars SUVs and trucks than North America, the problem is not the ratio of electric vehicles but the shift from 80 percent bicycle to more cars and SUVs.

    China needs to stop providing parking spots for non-electric cars in high demand areas, and use those spots for bicycles.

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  4. Re:One good thing about China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


    I wish I could see your face when you eventually marry, have kids and your daughter is gonna be ashamed you're her dad and never tell you about her black bf.

    I will not even suggest your mother has ever had a mouthful of some dark meat.

    On second thought and having your children in mind, do us all a favour and don't reproduce. You're diluting the gene pool with your baboon-like behaviour.

  5. well at least the moon and the stars... by Thud457 · · Score: 0

    You can't take the sky from me!

    oh wait, maybe they can

    Or is this part of the AI suppression pogram?

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  6. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 4, Insightful

    While it is true that China is rolling out more all-electric cars SUVs and trucks than North America, the problem is not the ratio of electric vehicles but the shift from 80 percent bicycle to more cars and SUVs.

    China needs to stop providing parking spots for non-electric cars in high demand areas, and use those spots for bicycles.

    Why China? Why not everywhere else. Seems a bit unfair to expect China to stay on bicycles and not adopt ICE and only allow electric if other countries are not willing to do the same. Indeed, whilst the POTUS is promoting Coal as the fuel of the future, China has been promoting renewables. (it sucks that they have all the pollution and disregard for the environment from all the factories).

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  7. Carefully avoided the problem number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Using non-fossil energy isn't the goal here. The goal is to drastically reduce fossil energy consumption. They carefully avoided saying by how much they'll increase fossil energy use, but even if 20% of that 6 billion ton equivalent in 2030 will come from non-fossil sources, that means 4.8 will come from fossil sources, which is still a lot more than fossil and non-fossil combined this year. No cookie for you, China.

  8. You are fooling yourself... by bobbied · · Score: 1

    If you think China is going to reduce their fossil fuel use overall, you are a fool. They may be diversifying, but you can bet they will be utilizing the most cost effective means of power production they can find to build all that stuff you buy that they build.

    Guarantee they won't reduce C02 production any time soon. Oh they may CLAIM to have done so and make a big show out of "green" projects to appease their customers, but as long as coal is cheap, they will burn it, and they have plenty of coal...

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    1. Re:You are fooling yourself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Idiot increasing non-fossil fuel usage at a higher rate replaces the fossil fuel usage regardless of whether it is growth of static replacement. Learn math.

    2. Re:You are fooling yourself... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you think China is going to reduce their fossil fuel use overall, you are a fool. They may be diversifying, but you can bet they will be utilizing the most cost effective means of power production they can find to build all that stuff you buy that they build.

      China has a longer planning window than that. It's one of the benefits of not being a democracy.

      In the long run, they're optimizing on maximum feasible energy production a decade or two out, as their economy catches up with ours on a per capita basis. That isn't feasible off of just fossil fuels, and even if you ignore green reasons, is the real reason they're all-in on renewables.

      If China doubles their energy consumption, what do you think happens to the price of oil/coal/gas, which are all global commodities?

      Whoever's economy/industry is least reliant on fossil fuels will have a significant cost advantage in a decade or two...

  9. Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we're retardedly trying to bring coal back, Christ

    1. Re:Meanwhile... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Trump can do it! Behold this documentary on his impending success!

      http://www.cracked.com/video_2...

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  10. Re:One good thing about China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't think anyone would even fuck that guy... They would probably say it, but no one would actually do it.

  11. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

    Because China is the oil industry's favorite whipping boy these days.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  12. Upstart costs by Shotgun · · Score: 1

    This makes a lot of sense for China. If you're building out new infrastructure, build with the one that will be most cost effective in the future. You can take a solar panel to a remote village, and use a few hundred yards of copper to give lighting to all the houses....or, you can build a centralized coal plant and run hundreds of miles of copper to give lighting to all the houses. The renewable solar wins on a cost basis, even if you ignore the renewable.

    --
    Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
    Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    1. Re:Upstart costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This applies to most countries. Most have some high population cities and then the remainin 75% is rural. lol

  13. 2030 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's good to want...

  14. in other news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    fuck republicans.

    1. Re:in other news by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1

      You're right. It's always that simple:

      "Vote for me! My party will fix everything."

      Sorry. You're just a political hack.

    2. Re:in other news by Ryanrule · · Score: 1

      Fuck off. That's literally what the repubs run on.

  15. Re:Nuclear Power - Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor by slew · · Score: 1

    The missing piece of this article is that China is dumping a lot of money into developing thorium nuclear power. In comparison, Uranium is expensive, hard to dispose of, way too radioactive, and terribly inefficient.

    You mean the one that the US Dept of Energy** is helping them build because they can't convince the US government to fund it?

    In the meantime, overcapacity, cost overruns due to mounting safety requirements*** have delayed China's near term nuclear efforts. Maybe their future Thorium nuclear endeavors will go more smoothly...

    It's good to have optimism about new things, but sometimes thorium cheerleaders seem to have unwarranted optimism given the issues surrounding nuclear projects in the short history of nuclear power.

    **Isn't that department headed by Rick Perry who as a candidate wanted to eliminate that department, but apparently couldn't remember it's name...

    ***The same cost overruns that have basically pushed Toshiba near bankruptcy and Areva towards a french government bailout

  16. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Why China? Why not everywhere else. Seems a bit unfair to expect China to stay on bicycles and not adopt ICE and only allow electric if other countries are not willing to do the same. Indeed, whilst the POTUS is promoting Coal as the fuel of the future, China has been promoting renewables. (it sucks that they have all the pollution and disregard for the environment from all the factories).

    Because only China is doing this in large part. They have the top emissions worldwide. The US & Canada are both dropping.

    it's 2017, not 1997. wake up.

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  17. Re:Nuclear Power - Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1, Informative

    Read the Bloomberg article at the link, rather than this silly summary. It describes a nuclear program that is already producing so much additional power ("overcapacity") that it will reduce the number of coal stations faster than originally planned. The "mounting safety requirements" part was a two-year hold to make post-Fukushima updates to the program. China currently plans 176 reactors, far more than any other nation.

  18. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China is catching up to western living standards, from a long ways behind. If they followed the same trajectory as the US and Europe, their CO2 emissions would increase tenfold and stay there for the rest of this century. Instead they're planning to speed past that stage and cut emissions much sooner.

    Of course that's only possible because we pioneered the way, but still - it's a good ambition and should be praised, not jeered.

  19. China's goal with renewables is global domination by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone seems to be talking about green and whether green is real or fake or whatever. It doesn't matter. Not doing renewables means you lose the global economy. Two charts that show why China is all-in on renewables:

    (Note: I just linked the first ones I could find from Google image search. Feel free to confirm with other sources.)

    Cost of oil production:
    https://gailtheactuary.files.w...

    Energy consumption by a few major countries:
    https://gailtheactuary.files.w...

    See that purple line going up? China has 3x the people as the U.S., and that purple line is eventually going to pass ours. Noting that the cost of oil production has been increasing significantly faster as the world uses up all of its "easy to access" petroleum sources, we expect fossil fuel prices to continue to increase as global consumption accelerates with China and India's growth.

    As both of these trends continue there will be a point where the economy least tied to fossil fuels will have a significant cost advantage. That's China's real goal.

    If you're against renewables because Al Gore or something, look at the long run macroeconomic trends.

  20. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Well, technically, they did steal a lot of wind and solar tech to do that, but given the end result, I'm ok with it.

    What's a 20 foot increase in sea levels compared to some corporate theft by a nation state?

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  21. Increase oil and gas by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    TFA says Chine wants to

    increase oil and underground natural gas storage facilities

    How does that reduce fossil fuel usage? It seems there is something from with article title.

  22. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    Not just China, but China has a good opportunity to do it here.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  23. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

    Oh, I wish people had fewer cars here as well.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  24. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

    Because only China is doing this in large part. They have the top emissions worldwide. The US & Canada are both dropping.

    it's 2017, not 1997. wake up.

    China, despite having a lower GDP than the US has outspent the US in spending on renewables for every year this decade. China is already doing more than the US to break from fossil fuels. China has a lot of problems with how they treat the environment, but they're beating us on renewables.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  25. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While it is true that China is rolling out more all-electric cars SUVs and trucks than North America, the problem is not the ratio of electric vehicles but the shift from 80 percent bicycle to more cars and SUVs.

    China needs to stop providing parking spots for non-electric cars in high demand areas, and use those spots for bicycles.

    Why China? Why not everywhere else. Seems a bit unfair to expect China to stay on bicycles and not adopt ICE and only allow electric if other countries are not willing to do the same. Indeed, whilst the POTUS is promoting Coal as the fuel of the future, China has been promoting renewables. (it sucks that they have all the pollution and disregard for the environment from all the factories).

    The main reason it is more reasonable to do this in china is that their population does not yet own cars en masse. It's a little unfair to do it to a population who has already invested in vehicles. But, in China, I would dare say the majority still have a bicycle (or maybe an e-bike). So, it's more reasonable, because they haven't yet made the investment. It's not pulling the rug out from the common man the way it would be in a more developed economy.

  26. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Technically, the only reason China is beating the US and Canada on renewables is the inaction of Red states and provinces. If you actually look at the 13 states and 6 provinces investing in renewables, we're also investing just as much. But, being Communists, China can force everyone to actually do stuff, so they win.

    And I do mean win. It cuts their costs dramatically. It's why Blue cities grow faster. The few Red cities that invest in renewables and transit are growing a lot (part of why Texas does so well, too).

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  27. Re:The problem is not the ratio but the total carb by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    Except in every metric other than country total output, China looks much better than the USA. Better per capita, better per GDP, better spending direction, better policies.

    But yeah I know. There's lots of them so they don't deserve to use electricity. Now excuse me while I turn up the A/C because it's slightly uncomfortable in here.