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SpaceX and Boeing Slated For Manned Space Missions By Year's End (fortune.com)

schwit1 shares a report from Fortune, covering NASA's announcement last week that it expects SpaceX to conduct a crewed test flight by the end of the year: SpaceX's crewed test flight is slated for December, after an uncrewed flight in August. Boeing will also be demonstrating its CST-100 Starliner capsule, with a crewed flight in November following an uncrewed flight in August. NASA's goal is to launch crews to the ISS from U.S. soil, a task that has fallen to Russia's space program since the retirement of the U.S. Space Shuttle program in 2011. NASA began looking for private launch companies to take over starting in 2010, and contracted both SpaceX and Boeing in 2014 to pursue crewed launches. The push to restore America's crewed spaceflight capacity has been delayed in part, according to a detailed survey by Ars Technica, by Congress redirecting funds in subsequent years. The test flights could determine whether Boeing or SpaceX conducts the first U.S. commercial space launch to the ISS. Whichever company gets that honor may also claim a symbolic U.S. flag stuck to a hatch on the space station. Sources speaking to Ars describe the race between the two companies as too close to call, and say that a push to early 2019 is entirely possible. But in an apparent vote of confidence, NASA has already begun naming astronauts to helm the flights.

79 comments

  1. Affirmative action now! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The chance of a lifetime.

  2. space is a lie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    they have put in big curved monitors and cheat us, there is no space, there is nothing

  3. Good precursor by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

    This will be good practice for SpaceX's crewed trip to Mars in 2024. We truly live in exciting times!

    1. Re: Good precursor by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      I was born Muslim. No need to convert. I already know.

    2. Re:Good precursor by JoshuaZ · · Score: 3, Informative

      Not really good practice. The trip to the ISS is very short, a matter of hours (although the Soyuz in some orbital profiles had to take a little longer). The journey to Mars is on the order of months. The Dragon is also much, much smaller, and since the Red Dragon https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Red_Dragon has been canceled, there's not even a benefit from that. All of that said, I do agree that where spaceflight is concerned we definitely live in exciting times.

    3. Re:Good precursor by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Mars is a bit farther, but once we build our space factories and mine our asteroid dust we will be ready to go to Mars.

    4. Re: Good precursor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please adjust this troll bot. It is responding to the wrong subject.

    5. Re:Good precursor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed, soon we can get off this God-forsaken shithole called Earth!

    6. Re:Good precursor by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      SpaceX's plans with the BFR do not involve asteroid mining or any in-space construction. Musk is in general, a bit skeptical of most space-mining and space industries plans. See for example http://shitelonsays.com/transcript/elon-musk-interview-at-the-royal-aeronautical-society-2012-11-16.

    7. Re:Good precursor by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      Well Musk really needs to start reading the comments section here. Space factories and asteroid dust are important components for interplanetary spaceships.

    8. Re:Good precursor by jfdavis668 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yes! We need to move to a much better God-forsaken shithole!

    9. Re:Good precursor by sgtsquid · · Score: 2

      Well Musk really needs to start reading the comments section here. Space factories and asteroid dust are important components for interplanetary spaceships.

      What if he reads the comments here and converts to islam instead?

    10. Re:Good precursor by aussie_a · · Score: 0

      The chance of having your pussy groped by Trump on Mars is significantly smaller than it is on Earth. Could definitely be a valid choice for Ivunka to make

    11. Re: Good precursor by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Just nitpicking, but no one is born muslim, christ, or jew or what ever.
      You are all just born as children ... god(s) is something the parents or environment is doing to you, long after your birth.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    12. Re: Good precursor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good morning, Boris! It's it snowing much in Moscow today?

    13. Re: Good precursor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just to pick some more nits. Some of us are born geniuses!

    14. Re:Good precursor by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Maybe he is already Muslim!

    15. Re: Good precursor by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Why yes. It is!

    16. Re:Good precursor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Youve got a point there, a stupid one, but a point none the less.
      Is Mars really far enough though? Better off in another galaxy I reckon.

    17. Re: Good precursor by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      us

      You keep using that word, I do not think it means what you think it means.

    18. Re:Good precursor by Teancum · · Score: 1

      While space-based factories might be useful a century from now, the infrastructure needed to get one built simply doesn't exist right now.

      I'm sure Elon Musk has heard every crazy idea you can think up and more, 99.99% of which he legitimately ignores as a waste of his time and even has hired multiple assistants to filter out the cranks and scam artists who try to give him such suggestions. It is a bit harder to filter out ideas from actual SpaceX employees, but then they tend to be a bit more grounded because they are producing actual spacecraft doing things in space.

      There is zero reason for Elon Musk to be reading any of these comments, and little if any reason for any of those assistants who filter the crap like this to bother reading either.

  4. Re:Turn away from science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't you have something better to do than spam this site with your stuff?

  5. Crewed test flight? by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

    How can you do a crewed test flight? You send people up, tell them to do no work, and then examine whether they've exploded or not? Who volunteers for that mission?

    --
    This space intentionally left blank
    1. Re:Crewed test flight? by AlanObject · · Score: 2

      Who volunteers for that mission?

      You would be surprised at how many would.

      Not me though. Never buy Version 1.0 and all that.

    2. Re:Crewed test flight? by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      The idea of a crewed test flight is that docking with the ISS and some related aspects including the long-return flight from the ISS are not easy. So a crewed test flight before the full-up docking is intended. Frankly, it seems redundant to me, but it will be pretty safe.

    3. Re:Crewed test flight? by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Is screaming in terror considered work? Sign me up!

    4. Re:Crewed test flight? by Brett+Buck · · Score: 2

      Have you ever heard of what we used to call a "test pilot"? IOW, the guys that were all the early astronauts?

    5. Re:Crewed test flight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How can you do a crewed test flight? You send people up, tell them to do no work, and then examine whether they've exploded or not? Who volunteers for that mission?

      Are you saying that all people who have flown or driven in every vehicle ever made was crazy to volunteer?
      Even 747's had crewed test flights, and every car on the road has crewed test drives.

    6. Re:Crewed test flight? by torkus · · Score: 1

      For one, the capsules still have an emergency escape in case of a problem - while that has some limitations it greatly increases safety to the crew even if their rocket goes boom a bit louder than it's supposed to.

      Even without that, there are MANY willing volunteers who would gladly do the training and education necessary for a chance at spaceflight...even if there was a 1 in 10 chance of death.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    7. Re:Crewed test flight? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      What you are describing is what is called a test pilot. The crews have even already been announced and are among some of the most experienced pilots you could ever imagine existing and veterans of several shuttle flights too I might add along with years of experience being test pilots with aircraft and many other accomplishments.

      That is how you do a crewed test flight. A test pilot is somebody who is both an engineer and an accomplished pilot and gives detailed engineering analysis both during and after the flight based upon actual experiences.

      As a side note, every aircraft ever made commercially has a test pilot which flies that aircraft for the first time before it is handed over to a customer, sometimes it is flown several times. That doesn't happen much with spacecraft other than most pilots and commanders of space missions in the past have traditionally been test pilots anyway including usually a thousand hours+ of experience operating multiple kinds of aircraft and spacecraft.

  6. Re:Not going to happen by JoshuaZ · · Score: 4, Informative

    Even if Boeing (who has the knowledge and a successful track record) builds the capsule, fact is SpaceX has yet to have a single fully successful mission (they always had a major problem) and has a track record of ignoring problems.

    Ok. There's so much wrong here, I'm not sure where to begin. First of all, Boeing and SpaceX have different capsule systems. Space X is using the Dragon 2 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dragon_2 on top of a Falcon 9. Boeing is using the Starliner https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CST-100_Starliner on top of an Atlas rocket. As for the idea hat SpaceX has yet to have a single successful mission, this is demonstrably not true as a glance at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_and_Falcon_Heavy_launches where for example you can see 17 successful launches in 2017 alone. While SpaceX has had some very high profile failures, there success rate at this point is close comparable to other major rocket companies, and the Dragon spacecraft has also successfully returned to Earth. Moreover, one of the major things that people think of a as a "failure" of SpaceX is when one of their rocket's first stages doesn't land successfully. In fact, that didn't happen at all in 2017, and moreover isn't an issue anyways because it isn't an issue for mission success, simply an issue for if they have a rocket available for cheap reuse later.

    I suppose one could point to the rumors of failure of Zuma, but it is pretty clear that if anything failed there it was on the Northrop-Grumman payload end, not SpaceX, as demonstrated by the fact that SpaceX did not halt flights after the Zuma launch.

    All of that said, there are some signs that SpaceX has been too fast and loose with some safety issues. A recent set of government audits found serious safety and protocol issues at pretty much all the major space contractors but with more issues at SpaceX than any of the others https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-22/top-u-s-space-contractors-cited-for-lapses-by-pentagon-watchdog. However, none of those issues have so far translated into any substantial problem.

  7. Re: Not going to happen by dbialac · · Score: 0

    Except for 4 full failure launches. I put the last mission on them. The same mechanism has worked on other rockets for years without failure. I wouldn't go on a SpaceX rocket even if given a free ticket. I have too much to live for. Meanwhile other rockets such as the Delta are at 100% success rate.

  8. Re: Not going to happen by JoshuaZ · · Score: 5, Informative
    There's no reason to think Zuma failed in any way other than unconfirmed rumors. SpaceX has stated explicitly that everything they did worked fine http://spaceref.com/news/viewpr.html?pid=52053. And all four of the launch failures happened much, much earlier in their program in terms of launches. Moreover, the ability to land the first stages means that SpaceX is actually getting *more* information about the state of their rockets than others since they can do a detailed inspection after the landing.

    Meanwhile other rockets such as the Delta are at 100% success rate.

    So, almost no one has a 100% success rate. Note by the way, that this is part of why both the Dragon and Starliner(the Boeing capsule) have an ability for the capsule to separate if there's an issue with the rocket. It is interesting that you mention the Delta, since around 9% of Deltas have failed. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delta_(rocket_family)#Launch_reliability. Last I checked, 91% is not 100%. (Granted, many of the failures were early Deltas and many of those failures were partial failures where people in a capsule above might survive). But, in fact, NASA doesn't think that man-rating any version of the Delta makes sense https://www.wired.com/2008/07/why-nasa-isnt-t/, whereas NASA is in favor of man-rating the Falcon 9, Block 5, so the people who think about this sort of thing have thought very carefully about this. Part of why NASA won't man-rate the Delta is because its regular flight profile subjects payloads to 6 gs, but a major part is also its lack of redundant systems where adding them in would require massive work.

    NASA is insisting, quite appropriately on at least a few Falcon 9 Block 5 flights before they put people on it. The Block 5 is going to be the final version of the rocket and has a lot of tweaks which will make reuse easier but also other bits that will improve safety and reliability.

  9. Where have we heard this before? by wakeboarder · · Score: 0

    Oh, yeah, the other 100 or so targets promised by Musk and not delivered on time. It's all a big PR sham.

    1. Re:Where have we heard this before? by mschwanke97402 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Didn’t SpaceX set a record last year for most flights in a calendar year? Weren’t quite a few of those flights actually commercial flights, as in paying customers? Hasn’t SpaceX carried commercial and government cargo on re-used boosters this year. Space is one of the hardest things a company could ever set out to do. Targets will be missed and the there will be failures along the way. SpaceX has stuck it out and accomplished much.

    2. Re:Where have we heard this before? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      SpaceX set a company record for the most flights in a calendar year, but not quite a global record for any company/organization. They are doing some good though and are definitely a competitor in the global launch market and having a significant impact upon launch prices right now.

      And I agree with you that any company which can send aloft a piece of equipment which functions at all while in orbit is pretty damn impressive. Getting into space is just barely possible and has almost no room for excuses or lazy engineering. Virgin Galactic is an example of a company who has tried and failed with unfortunately several deaths associated with their efforts too.

  10. Re: Not going to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Indeed, stop panting, fan boys, this isn't happening, and you'll be lucky if we get anywhere near Mars in your lifetime let alone begin colonizing space. In case you haven't noticed by now, Musk is a liar.

  11. Re: Not going to happen by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 2

    The Zuma failure is only a rumour, and if it happened, it was caused by hardware which SpaceX was not allowed to see or touch, so it isn't their fault.

    Falcon has had two full failures: CRS7 failed in flight AMOS-6 failed on the pad. Falcon has had one partial failure: CRS1 was successful but a secondary payload did not make its intended orbit and was lost. They also blew up a 'grasshopper' experimental vehicle but that is in no way comparable to a Falcon failure.

    Two and a bit failures from 48 flights (or intended flight in the case of AMOS-6) is neither great nor terrible.

    To be allowed to fly people, SpaceX and Boeing have to convince NASA they have less than 1/270 chance of losing crew.

    --
    Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
  12. Re: Turn away from science by mschwanke97402 · · Score: 1

    Then submit a post of your own for publication praising Allah. The rules of this site ask that you reply on the topic posted.

  13. Too late by dramason · · Score: 0

    Should have happened 30 years ago. Not now and not at this price. Space belongs to everyone.

    1. Re:Too late by LostMyBeaver · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm not completely sure I agree with you. In sentiment I certainly do. You're right, we should have had 30 years more experience in space now.

      But here's a few things.

      1) I'm a globalist. Consider that almost every single "Great American Achievement" during my short lifetime of 42 years are credited primarily to immigrants. This isn't to speak poorly of Americans, but there's a general rule of history and that's that greatness almost always comes from people willing to give up absolutely everything and take the greatest risks to achieve it. This generally means leaving everything you know and love to go someplace which may be even openly hostile towards you to make something great. American's do great things abroad, but rarely in America.

      The moral of the story in this sense is that we as humans should have accomplished a great deal more in collaboration to reach space. And to a certain extent we really did. We built the space station and people have lived in space for over a year. We have created a lot of technology able to function and operate in space and we're not far from starting to do more than just put people there, we should be able to build habitats where we may produce food and may build things we need too.

      We are almost experts on water recycling now. We can scrub air like crazy. In those 30 years, we have learned so incredibly much about space that now companies can take that information and privatize it.

      2) The price is dropping fast. My household income is only a few hundred thousand a year and I think I'll be able to take a family trip to space at some point before I die. SpaceX and Blue Horizon are amazing companies who will increase the infrastructure into space. Virgin should eventually have the capacity to transport people to LEO. It's an issue of supply and demand. As soon as we have the means to reach space with lower fuel cost and at a much higher frequency, prices will drop substantially.

      3) Space belongs to no one too. Consider there's an awful lot of space. There is more than enough to go around. We will have no problem sharing and if someone wants to claim property rights on a square kilometer on a dusty planet somewhere, I suppose most people won't begrudge them the right to do so. I don't really think ownership will matter beyond small personal items when the space age truly happens.

      4) If we did this 30 years sooner, we wouldn't have been ready. To accomplish it, the space craft would have had to be government owned / operated / whatever. They would have been public projects. That means bureaucracy and politics. It also means cutting corners, wasted spending, etc... we spent 30 years learning an incredible lesson. While organizations like NASA can do this stuff, the government can't. Privatizing space changes everything. Right now, there are a small number of players. Someday, there will be more. If an entire country is only able to go to space if the government chooses to launch a rocket, then any space missions which are not specifically government will be of little interest and will be very expensive. The government as a whole has a responsibility to flood the economy with money produced by the deficit and produce massive numbers of jobs, therefore making space cheap was always a bad idea for the government.

      Now, multiple companies are launch capable. Soon, more will be capable and some will be human rated. We'll soon move past the thrill of simply getting into space and move onto going somewhere in space.

      Let's be honest, Elon Musk is a dreamer and by most standards a mad man. We can't tell whether he should be locked up for mental health, arrested for running his company stocks just short of a ponzi operation, or if we should place him on a pedestal and try and change the laws of the US to allow for a foreign presidential candidate. He sometimes seems like he's learned how to live by reading Iron Man comic books and he models himself after Tony Stark. I'll die laughing if he all of a sudden makes an Iron Man suit.

      Wha

    2. Re:Too late by Kjella · · Score: 3, Insightful

      2) The price is dropping fast. My household income is only a few hundred thousand a year and I think I'll be able to take a family trip to space at some point before I die.

      My guess is that this is extremely optimistic at least for an orbital flight. The Dragon is supposed to have a crew of 7 when it's operational. Musk has said the fuel cost alone is $200k, so just gas money is almost $30k/seat. The second stage which still has no technical or economically proven recovery is about 30% of the cost which would be $60M*0.3 = $18M = $2M+/seat. And that assumes the first stage and capsule are free with infinite reuse. Note that NASA is expected to pay around $150M for an ISS flight or $20M+/seat, so I've already assumed a 90% drop from the current rate. Maybe it gets cheaper carrying passengers by the busload and construction costs will drop with further scale, but I still think you're well into fantasy land doing it on a salary of a few hundred grand.

      Maybe a suborbital joyride with Blue Horizon just peeking across the 100km limit, but that's going to be a much shorter ride straight up, peek out the windows hey there's space then back down again. The Lynx will give you 4-5 minutes of weightlessness on an hour's flight. Is that worth >$100k? It's a fancier vomit comet where you get your astronaut wings, but my guess is that once you have joyriders doing that in bulk we'll move the goal post to "proper" space flights. Same reason Yuri Gagarin is way, way more known than Alan Shepard. Reaching orbit is a completely different beast with a completely different price tag, SpaceX is great but physics dictates there's some miracles I think even they can't pull off. It's never going to become a mass market thing.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    3. Re: Too late by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      I'm a globalist.

      Any more meaningless rhetoric I might've missed? (I quit reading after you shared this particular warm, fuzzy and semantically-unparseable bit...)

    4. Re:Too late by Immerman · · Score: 1

      But the Dragon is irrelevant to SpaceX's long-term plans. The BFR (assuming it works as planned) is going to be the first fully reusable rocket they build. And, if we believe the cost projections* it will cost ~$9M per launch, versus the F9R's $24.3M. Combined with the greater payload capacity, that would drive the cost down below $200/pound, and eventually below $40. That's only $40k per 200lb person+effects, and eventually $8k. Not cheap, but easily within the range of even a low six-figure salary. Granted that's the cost to SpaceX, and the profit margins will likely be quite generous for some time, but as competitors enter the reusable launch vehicle market profit margins should begin to shrink rapidly.

      And that's the plan for the 2020's-2030's. If they plan their vacation for the 2050's prices will likely be considerably cheaper as more advanced/affordable rockets enter the field. There'll also be a much greater chance of orbital and lunar resorts to cater to their vacation, rather than just floating around Earth in the rocket's cabin.

      *https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2017/10/spacex-bfr-to-be-lower-cost-than-falcon-1-at-7-million-per-launch.html

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    5. Re:Too late by quanminoan · · Score: 1

      My guess is he's referring to the future plans with the BFR, not one of the falcon variants.

    6. Re:Too late by Kjella · · Score: 1

      The BFR (assuming it works as planned) is going to be the first fully reusable rocket they build. And, if we believe the cost projections* (...) And that's the plan for the 2020's-2030's.

      It's not, that's Musk's fantasy about what Mars travel might cost eventually with mass production, 1000 times reusability and whatnot. That's like 50 years at last year's launch cadence of 20 using a single rocket. So far even Falcon 9's ten time reusability which he's been talking about since the first rocket landed is pure projection, no rocket has flown more than twice. They've said they'll maybe do a third time this year. And he's already backtracked once on his ITS/BFR concept from 2016 to 2017, it's not something you'd do if it was far into development. It's pretty much concept art at this stage...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  14. Troll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Troll bot

  15. Re: Turn away from science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Islamophobe!

  16. Re: Not going to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yup lied about rockets. Lied about south Australia's battery. Lied about electric cars. Lied about you being a dumbarse. Oh, well he at least got the last one right

  17. memetic warfare by Reverend+Green · · Score: 0

    The trolls sure are out in force for this one! I guess Russia/China/Soros/etc just HATE to see America retaking the lead in space exploration.

    1. Re:memetic warfare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, it makes a change from the Astronauts blown to bits lead for the US I suppose.

    2. Re: memetic warfare by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      There's no question that both the ULA and Roscosmos have a vested interest in undermining Musk; he's their worst fucking nightmare.

  18. Re:Turn away from science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So your comment, that is made possible by science only, is deceiving? If you'd believe in your own drivel you'd pray instead of posting here.

  19. Re: Not going to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The battery is going great, and has saved parts of the National grid at times with its ultra fast response time to transient loads, Like when a big Victorian Coal plant shat itself recently. A great success, furthering our world leading renewable startegies here in SA.

  20. Re:Turn away from science by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Instead of exploring space, explore the truth. Allah is the truth. Islam is the truth. The Qur'an is the truth. Convert to Islam and turn away from the science that will deceive you and turn you away from the truth that is Allah.

    At the time of the Abbasid Caliphate you had science to, and in fact invented several of them.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  21. Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is big, really big. You might think its a long way down the street to the chemist, but thats just peanuts compared to space.

    1. Re:Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      MISQUOTER!!!! Burn the heretic, burn him!

  22. Re: Turn away from science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You are a coward for Islam and you are a liar for Islam. You engage in taqiyya. Get back to us when your religion isn't murdering people AND you are willing to post from an account instead of as an Anonymous Coward

  23. Re:Turn away from science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The truth is that Mohamed was a pedophile who married a six year old, had sex with her when she was nine, and impregnated her at twelve.

  24. Re:Space is the lie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Space is fake. The Earth is flat.

  25. sour grapes by k6mfw · · Score: 1

    I'm not thrilled of constant delays by SpaceX, BO, NASA Orion but rather than bitching and moaning, how about insightful commentary? I haven't RTFA nor am I a rocket scientist. I offer this https://www.youtube.com/watch?... where "Everyday Astronaut" summarizes reasons for FH delays (some insights of why not to just stop improving and fly the same thing over and over). There are probably better articles, finding them can be challenging particularly private companies don't want to reveal too much. Or maybe building something so high performance is much more difficult than first imagined.

    At times I wonder how were we able to do it so fast back in the days when nowadays a flying a new manned spacecraft keeps getting delayed. My first guess is the infrastructure (hardware, parts logistics, education system) ain't what it used to be. But then I don't really know.

    --
    mfwright@batnet.com
    1. Re:sour grapes by Megane · · Score: 1

      I read this a few weeks ago after being linked to it from somewhere: https://history.nasa.gov/SP-4206/contents.htm

      Basically, they took big steps so they could meet JFK's challenge. For example, the first launch of Saturn V was a "full stack" launch, with both the second and third stages. That alone saved them two or three launches over the "right" way to do it.

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  26. Re: Not going to happen by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    Except for 4 full failure launches.

    There has actually only been one full launch failure - CRS-7. (That one was actually so benign a LES wouldn't have had any problem riding it out.)

    I put the last mission on them. The same mechanism has worked on other rockets for years without failure.

    It's rather difficult to label it as "the same mechanism" if F9 doesn't have the same physical interface.

    Meanwhile other rockets such as the Delta are at 100% success rate.

    I'm trying to fathom the logic that ascribes "4 full failure launches" to F9 while deeming Delta IV Heavy's first flight as a success, but to no avail.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  27. Re:Turn away from science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    even worse are the assholes that respond to the assholes that respond to trolls

  28. Re: Not going to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    uuuummm yeah, no

    wrong on every single statement you made

  29. Re: Not going to happen by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    What else is missing in reliability, is that both Boeing and Lockheed Martin, used others equipment, which was old and expensive. And both Delta/Atlas are way too expensive to compete in the global market. Otoh, SpaceX has not only developed their own, but now have the lowest cost with the largest payload, and is going to even bigger payloads. In the mean time, ULA is doing nothing, except dying.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  30. Re: Not going to happen by Megane · · Score: 1

    There has actually only been one full launch failure - CRS-7. (That one was actually so benign a LES wouldn't have had any problem riding it out.)

    The payload could even have aborted and gone down on parachute (minus the "trunk" with the docking adapter, I'm sure), except they never expected such a situation, so they didn't program the flight control software to do that.

    I'm trying to fathom the logic that ascribes "4 full failure launches" to F9 while deeming Delta IV Heavy's first flight as a success, but to no avail.

    The only logic I can think of is "ULA shill". SpaceX hatebois are even more annoying than Apple hatebois.

    --
    #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  31. Re: Not going to happen by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

    I don't quite agree with this either. Vulcan and ACES https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Cryogenic_Evolved_Stage are both very interesting projects which could both reduce some space costs and allow types of missions that are close to impossible right now. Tony Bruno, the new head of ULA, has really shaken things up there.

  32. Re: Not going to happen by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    I live short ways from ULA HQ, and know a number of engineers there. Vulcan is moving slowly, and aces is on hold ( horrible mistake ). I had high hopes for bruno, but he really has not done squat.

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    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.