African Manufacturing Jobs Could be Threatened by US Based Robots, Report Says (bbc.com)
Within less than two decades it will be cheaper to operate robots in US factories than hire workers in Africa, a new report warns. From the report: Falling automation costs are predicted to cause job losses as manufacturers return to richer economies. Some analysts say poorer countries could be less impacted by this trend, however the Overseas Development Institute (ODI) suggests otherwise. But its report adds African nations have time to prepare for the change. "African countries must not shy away from manufacturing, but instead prepare by increasing access to internet, investing in technical skills and promoting technological innovation," said Karishma Banga a senior research officer at ODI. "If done well, automation can present important opportunities for African countries by improving labour productivity in manufacturing," she said. It has been suggested that poorer countries will not as be affected by automation because they have less money to invest in it.
nt
Slave labor has built many societies. /cough Pyramids?
The story of all civilizations.
Africa needs to get its shit straight and cook up an economy to support themselves. They do not need to be the world's latest source of cheapest available labour to be exploited for trinkets. No, "the internet" and other gimmicks are not even key here: The key is to get organised. This needs infrastructure, of which information tech is but one part. Africa doesn't need the rest of the world exploiting it, supporting its upper crust in the name of "development aid", patronising it, or anything else. Africa needs to get its own shit straight.
. . . African robots are cheaper than US robots.
Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
Africa doesn't really have much of a "manufacturing" sector to begin with...
Within less than two decades it will be cheaper to operate robots in US factories than hire workers in Africa
Speaking as someone who runs a manufacturing plant and who has bought robots, this is complete bullshit. Anyone who actually believes this has no idea of the costs involved or the capabilities of robots or manufacturing automation. There is PLENTY of headroom in labor intensive industries for people to be employed in manufacturing including in Africa. Robots simply are not that cheap or capable and are in no danger of becoming so any time soon for most tasks.
Robots are economically viable for high volume and/or dangerous work. They are not nearly as flexible or capable as many people imagine them to be and they certainly aren't cheap. There are some industries and products where they make a lot of sense and many more (especially low volume production) where they are not economically viable. Most automation actually doesn't come in robot form either for that matter.
The problem Africa has in getting into manufacturing comes in several parts. 1) A lot of corruption, 2) extremely bad infrastructure, 3) An inexperienced talent pool for workers. All these are solvable problems but aren't easy ones either. Automation is far down the list of obstacles to manufacturing in Africa.
In other news 99% of the population unemployed because of tractors.
When I saw the words "robots" and "threaten" in the title, I was thinking the US was using armed drones to take out African workers.
Slave labor has built many societies. /cough Pyramids?
Slave labor indeed built the infrastructure of many societies. Strangely enough, though, not the pyramids (despite the persistent myth).
The pyramids were, basically, a work project to keep people employed during the non-planting months.
https://harvardmagazine.com/2003/07/who-built-the-pyramids-html
https://www.usnews.com/science/articles/2010/01/12/egypt-new-find-shows-slaves-didnt-build-pyramids
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
Some regions could be stuck in a cycle of permanent poverty. That is, if you give them only fish, and no fishing nets, then they're dependent on you for fish. Now, replace a simple net with modern robots connected to modern computers, and it's obvious they can never build such a thing from scratch, starting with zero relevant knowledge or infrastructure. Worse, if somehow you happen upon a textbook that explains how to engineer or program computers or robots, chances are you won't try to make a robot manufacturing plant in your fish handout village... you'll go to where the robot and computer jobs are, somewhere that already has computers and robots.
Either they'll be dependent on handouts from robot-owning regions, or robots are brought in locally to do the work locally. Either way they'll be unemployed. I guess what it all comes down to is: who owns the robots, and how are the fruits of their labor going to be distributed? We still don't have a good answer for that.
Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
In other news 99% of the population unemployed because of tractors.
99% of the oxen and draft horse population: yes.
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
This article can be applied to any target nation's economy, not just African nations. And the robots taking away jobs come from Asia as well as from the West. Where African nations will win, is by producing better quality products than anywhere else, and by protecting their resources for future generations to enjoy.
Racist? Stupid? Unfunny?
You expect us to believe Christopher Dale Reimer is gone from Slashdot with creimer shit like that?
Science innovates for better technology. Better technology makes better automation. Better automation often leads to low-quality jobs being replaced.
This has how it has always worked and will always work.
Not if you take into account shipping to the US. If you want to sell in Africa, you'll produce in Africa, but if you want to sell in the US, you'll produce in the US.
Sorry but it's not remotely that simple. US labor is among the most expensive in the world so labor intensive goods tend to be produced elsewhere, even for items consumed by the US. But even that doesn't capture it all. Supply chain location matters too. East Asia dominates electronics manufacturing in large part because that is where the supply chain is located. It's FAR cheaper to make the products there and then ship them to the US in most cases and that isn't really a function of labor rates for the most part. Japanese labor isn't much cheaper than US labor but Japan exports a huge amount of stuff to the US. Conversely the US has a HUGE export sector too even though the US is a net consumer.
you frequently need to ship the raw materials from somewhere, but producing at either the material source or the selling destination is cheaper than involving a third intermediary location for production.
The calculation isn't that simple. It depends on relative labor rates, tariffs, exchange rates, local supply chains, infrastructure, lead times, communication costs, administrative costs, and a host of other considerations. All other things being equal you would be right but things are rarely equal like that.
I think Africa has great access to the Internet. Various princes and other administrative people for the NNPC are constantly contacting the relatives of deceased foreigners about unclaimed riches in trunk boxes. Given the amount of 419 e-mails I would say they have plenty of bandwidth.
>> "I guess what it all comes down to is: who owns the robots, and how are the fruits of their labor going to be distributed? We still don't have a good answer for that."
The group/state/organisation that owns said robots enjoys the fruits of the robots. This was worked out a few milenia ago.
Robots will lead to on-shoring. This isn't really news. Both Afrika and Asia will be selling way less finished goods to the first world.
We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
They seem to be doing pretty well with robots despite wages and working conditions we here in America find deplorable.
Yeah, good infrastructure, skilled employees and a lack of (the wrong kind of) corruption is good. But those things are also expensive. You need schools and roads. And with schools and roads comes taxes and (worse) an educated and mobile workforce. If you're gonna pay that much you might as well build in American (or whatever country your selling in) and not pay the tariffs.
The point of the article is that automation is going to hit the developing country (e.g. the ones without the stuff you're citing) hard. This is the thing that always drives me nuts about people. They want all the good stuff (skilled, hard working talent) and they _never_ want to pay for it. I get it. I don't want to pay for nice thing either. But sometimes you either do or you don't get it.
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In other news 99% of the population unemployed because of tractors.
99% of the oxen and draft horse population: yes.
A single modern combine, operated by one driver, can do as much work as 100 horse pulled reapers driven by 100 men.
Cryptofeces Lepidoptera Creimerus infestation is a serious problem. Not only are they capable of reproducing asexually like amoebas, they can also lay eggs hermaphroditically in unexpected places. They can disguise eggs as something useful to fool the unaware, sometimes pretending to be a haiku author, blogger, vlogger, or IT closet cleaner.
Very dangerous. They can seemingly reproduce out of the cosmic background radiation, even if you step on twelve of them, there's always one you miss.
Don't be fooled by the C. Lepidoptera Creimerus's innocuous, rolly-polly [youtube.com], and almost friendly appearance; despite its great size, stupid demeanor, and bedraggled toothless appearance, they have the hardiness of a tardigrade.
Only a concerted, targeted downmodding campaign has been shown effective in controlling this dangerous pest.
Experience shows that stopping such a campaign leads to C. Lepidoptera Creimerus returning within days.
Don't let it happen again!
Only in a state that doesn't charge a business property tax.
I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
CREIMER' SUBMISSIONS UPDATE: /. so make sure to go to:
Note also that creimer is trying to regain karma by getting his submissions published as articles on
https://slashdot.org/~_sharp'r...
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https://slashdot.org/~cdreimer
https://slashdot.org/~criss69
https://slashdot.org/~Anonymou...
https://slashdot.org/~FatCashe...
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https://slashdot.org/~IApeFatC...
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and mod down his submissions as well. The great thing is that you don't even need mod points to mod down a submission, just click on the "minus" icon!
Yes, believe it or not, creimer owns all the above sock puppet accounts. It is a mystery why Slashdot management tolerates it!
creimer wrote:
I don't bother with mod points. I'm doing something much more sinister. It took ten story submissions ? I'll have to double check the number ? to move cdreimer's karma from neutral to excellent without ever being exposed to the capricious mods. Mmmmmwwwwahahahahahahaha!
https://slashdot.org/comments....
Danger, Will Robinson, Danger! Creimy is posting more than 2 posts a day. Hurry! mod down otherwise /. will go to hell again!
Note: you can mod down even if already at -1 to lower karma and to prevent lost /. users to accidentally mod up.
creimer wrote:
All you need to do is find a website with a permissive TOS, say, Slashdot, create a Python script to scrape your own comments, sprinkle Amazon affiliate links in various posts, and then re-post past links whenever possible. Won't be long before you start making "coffee money" each month.
https://slashdot.org/comments....
C.D. Reimer is a renowned Slashdot collaborator, as he puts it himself; "Because of the quality of my posts and my article submissions, I'm a highly rated commentator and moderator."
But does anybody ever wondered what "C.D." stands for? Well, it stands for Creimy Dumpty of course!
Creimy Dumpty sat on the wall,
Creimy Dumpty had a great fall.
All the king's horses
And all the king's men
Couldn't put Creimy Dumpty
Together again.
Creimy's siblings video and theme song, very realistic, especially the pants, just like Creimy's:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
With "Vice President Pence Vowing US Astronauts Will Return To the Moon", we are sure they will need miracle workers up there, here is what it would look like. Note that Creimy takes care of bringing a lot of food to the moon as depicted below:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
Creimy's real pictures:
Before the sex change:
https://ibb.co/cc7Ddw
After the sex change:
https://ibb.co/gVad65
Creimy's "enterprise-level" chair, he talks about it all the time on slashdot:
Slave labor has built many societies. /cough Pyramids?
except evidence shows that the pyramids were not built by slaves the worker's villages in their shadow the worker's tombs. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
A robot is gonna take your job away from you
There's nothing that a hundred men or more could ever do
And now the jobs are lost in Africa
Gonna take a miracle to keep the things we had
The US military can't find a single positive use for anyone with an IQ below about 83. This includes ~10% of the population. Imagine that, they can't do anything productive. Africa has an average IQ of LESS than 80... Good f'ing luck...
facts, look it up.. search IQ by nation etc .. Also theres no evidence that IQ can be improved from the biological, it can however be retarded(childhood abuse, malnutrition, public schools).
You rage against reality to no effect. We can see what is right in front of us, even if you choose to cover your own eyes.
Racism has a past, but antiracism has no future. Pluck the Talmudic mind virus from your brain, if you wish to live.
A robot usually is made of metal.
Business people are usually made bones and shit packed in skin.
Maybe not all manufacturing is the same? I'd imagine the clothing industry is going to be very prone to robot manufacturing
Clothing manufacturing is among the hardest industries to automate. Clothing manufacturing is among the most labor intensive industries in the world. This is why you almost invariably find clothing manufacturers to be clustered in places with extremely low labor rates. This includes making the cloth for the clothing too. Even the most automated looms require quite a lot of labor to operate.
I don't think your experience translates to the entire manufacturing industry.
The calculations for labor vs automation don't depend on what you are making. To oversimplify, you have material costs, labor hoursXrate required, and overhead / volume. Automation introduces some capital costs and reduces the labor hours. Whether or not automation makes sense depends on the size of the reduction in labor costs and how much volume you can amortize the fixed costs over. None of this depends explicitly on what sort of widget you are making.
We need to stop propping up crappy oppressive regimes (including China, truth be told) with shitty products at WalMart. Bring the jobs back to America, roboticize them and force some of these lazy maggots to get a better education. Simple math.
Just think of all those poor African pirates who will be out of jobs! What will those poor innocent criminals do without lots of rich ships to plunder?
Something about this article must be getting away from me. I would think that wealthier places than Africa where wages and benefits are high would be targeted sooner than low wage companies. If a $25.00 per hour employee is eliminated the savings is obvious but if you remove a worker who earns one dollar a day or whatever the economics are unclear to me. The new issue is whether my automation can do better and cheaper than the competitors automation. That leaves poor nations and businesses in a very bad position as the funds to automate a production facility are a huge barrier.
I don't know about that figure. There are a lot of Amish or Mennonite farmers using draft horses, and there are as many horses, today in the USA, as there were in 1900. A lot of non-Anabaptist farmers with draft horses for sport, as well, at least in PA.
Oxen are SOL, though. The only oxen used, other than in historical parks, are steers being fattened for the table. Tasty for us, at least.
Of course, 5% or more of the US populace is still employed in agriculture, so tractors didn't end 99% of the jobs.