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Moon of Jupiter Prime Candidate For Alien Life After Water Blast Found (theguardian.com)

A NASA probe that explored Jupiter's moon Europa flew through a giant plume of water vapour that erupted from the icy surface and reached a hundred miles high, according to a fresh analysis of the spacecraft's data. An anonymous reader shares a The Guardian report: The discovery has cemented the view among some scientists that the Jovian moon, one of four first spotted by the Italian astronomer Galileo Galilei in 1610, is the most promising place in the solar system to hunt for alien life. If such geysers are common on Europa, NASA and European Space Agency (ESA) missions that are already in the pipeline could fly through and look for signs of life in the brine, which comes from a vast subsurface ocean containing twice as much water as all the oceans on Earth.

NASA's Galileo spacecraft spent eight years in orbit around Jupiter and made its closest pass over Europa, a moon about the size of our own, on 16 December 1997. As the probe dropped beneath an altitude of 250 miles, its sensors twitched with unexpected signals that scientists were unable to explain at the time. Now, in a new study, the researchers describe how they went back to the Galileo data after grainy images beamed home from the Hubble space telescope in 2016 showed what appeared to be plumes of water blasting from Europa's surface.

134 comments

  1. How Quickly They Forget ... by powerlord · · Score: 4, Insightful

    âoeAll these worlds are yours except Europa. Attempt no landing there.â

    --
    This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    1. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by doconnor · · Score: 1

      The big news about this discovery is that we would have to attempt a risky landing to check for life there.

    2. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Goose+In+Orbit · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Get a life... a sense of humour... and a username...

    3. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Funny

      ÃoeAll these worlds are yours except Europa. Attempt no landing there.Ã

      The aliens use Safari, huh?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      I don't think we would, if the water and ice is blasted high enough up a probe might be able to fly through the cloud to collect samples. I have no idea what the charged particles hitting that material will do to it though, maybe there wouldn't be any frozen life chunks to see any more. Then again, maybe we could identify Europan life without attempting a landing.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    5. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or iphones, with headphone jacks --- they never could figure out what those ports were for

    6. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by doconnor · · Score: 1

      Yes. I forgot the not in the sentence.

    7. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Come on.. It's not a "shitty novel". It's a novel written by a SCIENTIST who included REAL THEORY into the story.

    8. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      âoeAll these worlds are yours except Europa. Attempt no landing there.â

      Aren't they planning on submersible probes to send to Europa? If they fins a crack or fissure in the ice and go straight into the water you could argue that we technically havent landed there. I wonder if the aliens care about semantics?

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    9. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Quoting inane crap from a shitty novel and shitty movie does not make you seem smart. It makes you seem obsessed with minutiae nobody - and I mean NOBODY - is interested in. Nobody but lowlife autistic losers like you. Grow up. Oh sorry, too late. Kill yourself.

      Hey, sorry about whatever happened to you. You didn't deserve that.

    10. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by fafalone · · Score: 1

      Just tell rich people that the eggs of the ultra-rare Europan Sturgeon in the subsurface oceans are a delicacy so rare and delectable that Earth caviar is plebeian trash they should be embarassed to be seen eating. Then bam, forget a simple landing, we'll have the funding to drill down right into that thing.

    11. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by khandom08 · · Score: 2

      Can you point to the areas on this doll where the bad man touched you?

    12. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, it does. So there...

      CAP === 'gimmicks'

    13. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by powerlord · · Score: 1

      or Chrome.

      Need to see if they could be using Firefox too. I'd assume even aliens wouldn't use IE, so I won't bother testing that, but Edge is still a possibility.

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    14. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Harvey+Manfrenjenson · · Score: 1

      Get a life... a sense of humour... and a username...

      Look, I agree with you that the AC's response was humorless and gratuitously unpleasant, but... I have to admit I rolled my eyes a little bit at the (inevitable) 2010 reference. If I wanted to hear from commenters whose response to every conceivable news item is a movie reference, I'd start reading io9 again.

    15. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must be new to the internet. Good luck with that.

      What category do you give to those that spend time pointlessly criticising harmless(*) posts. NOBODY is interesting in that.

      (*) Did initially write "mostly harmless" posts but wouldn't want to upset you.

    16. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by TheFakeTimCook · · Score: 0

      Quoting inane crap from a shitty novel and shitty movie does not make you seem smart. It makes you seem obsessed with minutiae nobody - and I mean NOBODY - is interested in. Nobody but lowlife autistic losers like you. Grow up. Oh sorry, too late. Kill yourself.

      While you were at it, you forgot to mention that no one cares that John McCain is Dying.

      Fucking illiterate clod.

    17. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by TheFakeTimCook · · Score: 1

      âoeAll these worlds are yours except Europa. Attempt no landing there.â

      Aren't they planning on submersible probes to send to Europa? If they fins a crack or fissure in the ice and go straight into the water you could argue that we technically havent landed there. I wonder if the aliens care about semantics?

      We'll find out...

    18. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This town needs an enema!

    19. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Eromyna ti gnikat ton m'I dna, llell sa dam m'I.

    20. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, that's how Jeff Goldblum hacked them with a Mac

    21. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look, I agree with you that the AC's response was humorless and gratuitously unpleasant, but... I have to admit I rolled my eyes a little bit at the (inevitable) 2010 reference. If I wanted to hear from commenters whose response to every conceivable news item is a movie reference, I'd start reading io9 again.

      my god! it's full of stars!

    22. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by drsquare · · Score: 1

      Quoting things isn't humour.

    23. Re:How Quickly They Forget ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those ports are for listening to audio without getting pawned when the next Bluetooth vulnerability comes out.

  2. Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    By the time we get a dedicated probe to investigate that moon, it is possible that bacteria and other small organisms riding Galileo could have an established population.

    1. Re:Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That theory presumes the probe was not sterile.

    2. Re:Conamination. by doconnor · · Score: 1

      Galileo was purposely burnt up in Jupiter's atmosphere to prevent this very possibility.

    3. Re:Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Life finds a way."
      https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/abs/10.1089/ast.2012.0906

    4. Re:Conamination. by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      By the time we get a dedicated probe to investigate that moon, it is possible that bacteria and other small organisms riding Galileo could have an established population.

      Futuristic goal: If we knew for sure there were no life on Europa, it would be interesting to send some select microbes (perhaps engineered to survive there) to Europa, and see how long it took for them to alter the chemistry of the moon enough that we could detect it from orbit.

      A pristine wilderness with no predators, how long would it take a small sample of microbe to colonise most of the moon?

      Yeah, it's way too early for us to assume we could detect life there- or engineer microbes to survive there, but I think a lot could be learned about early evolution, and perhaps some distant colonization of future worlds by observing.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    5. Re: Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Better than the theory that humans are the only life in the entire universe. But I guess we have to disprove that by spending millions to put a submarine on one of Jupiter's moons. Now that's what I call intelligent life at work! Bwahaha... morons...

      At least we don't have to prove 9-11 was an inside job. That's already an established scientific fact: ae911truth dot org

    6. Re:Conamination. by meglon · · Score: 1

      That idea presumes nothing, but recognizes the fact that no probe we've sent anywhere has actually been sterile. What they have been is within the standard allowable limits. Those limits were developed in the 1950's and 60's, well before we had an understanding that there are numerous types of things that can survive in hard vacuum and unfiltered radiation for extended periods of time, e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    7. Re:Conamination. by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      I was going to say something about Huygens, but that landed on Titan, not Europa. We haven't seen anything to the surface of Europa yet.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    8. Re:Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The events of this article occurred before Galileo was pointed into Jupiter.

      It is entirely feasible that the reaction "to prevent this very possibility" was years too late.

    9. Re:Conamination. by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      Panspermia -- all life on Earth originated on Europa 4 billion years ago.

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    10. Re:Conamination. by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's way too early for us to assume we could detect life there- or engineer microbes to survive there, but I think a lot could be learned about early evolution, and perhaps some distant colonization of future worlds by observing.

      Why even bother engineering? Just grab a couple different strains of extremophile bacteria from terrestrial locations with conditions that mirror what would be expected on Europa. One of those strains-or given how fast bacteria can replicate, one of it's offshoots-could have a decent shot at taking hold there.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    11. Re: Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      We already know humans aren't the only life in the entire universe. I mean, I've got a dog. I'm pretty sure he's a) alive, b) not human and c) exists in this universe.

      We won't even talk about some of what's growing in my fridge.

    12. Re:Conamination. by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's way too early for us to assume we could detect life there- or engineer microbes to survive there, but I think a lot could be learned about early evolution, and perhaps some distant colonization of future worlds by observing.

      Why even bother engineering? Just grab a couple different strains of extremophile bacteria from terrestrial locations with conditions that mirror what would be expected on Europa. One of those strains-or given how fast bacteria can replicate, one of it's offshoots-could have a decent shot at taking hold there.

      I'm not sure if there are any, even extremophile bacteria that can survive Europa's chemistry; I'm not even sure (besides cold) what they would face, or from what they would "feed". If there are some that can find an energy source, and survive Europa, sure, use existing bacteria. I'm just not sure if any existing organisms could.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    13. Re:Conamination. by HeckRuler · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I understand the concern. That we'll lose vital information about a real-world real-time test environment lasting billions of years and the origins of life and abiogenesis are hella interesting and we want to study pristine environments prior to fucking shit up and making a mess.

      But once a place is established as being sterile, can we please make an effort to establish an ecosystem off-world? We're one crazy motherfucker away from a civilization ending event, possibly a human-extinction event, and we might not get another chance to spread life across the solar system. And we ARE currently in another mass extinction event. We, collectively, as in all known life-forms. It's like banking a backup. Roaches on Earth might one day evolve another race that can launch rockets, but if there's TWO or more sets of roaches, the odds of building up a civilization are that much better. How about a dead man's switch? Send up a sealed box of dormant extreamophiles wrapped in thermite. If we don't send a signal or recover it in 100 years, it opens up.

      And what is it going to take to convince people that a planet is sterile? There's no lush jungles around the canals on Mars and there's no moon-men eating cheese. At what point is it fair game to try and seed planets?

      People rarely think about the long-term goals.

    14. Re: Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No more vodka for you, Stanislav.

    15. Re:Conamination. by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      That would just be repeating the same experiment the Venerians did on earth several billion years ago, before their civilisation collapsed under global warming. Actually, maybe not such a bad idea.

    16. Re:Conamination. by Gojira+Shipi-Taro · · Score: 1

      And what is it going to take to convince people that a planet is sterile?

      I dunno... maybe a huge vasectomy scar?

      --
      "Oh my God. This is terrible. This is the end of my Presidency. I'm fucked."; ~ Donald J. Trump
    17. Re:Conamination. by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      If your red dots swirls for more than 200 years, consult a cosmologist.

    18. Re:Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The universe is better without us. I'm in the camp that human extinction was in the cards all along.

      "Source" or whatever you believe in has been mocking us all along.

    19. Re:Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Totally agree. That said, it would take a major extermination event to 'destroy all humans'. Basically, like cockroaches, we are everywhere. Some of us would likely survive a major extinction event and continue to evolve. If all our collective information gets lost, that would be 'bad', our species would have to start anew. However, if we can keep from destroying our knowledge base and the survivors live, we'd still have a chance to continue on. A lot seems to be riding on the next 1 to 200 years. It's important that we keep talking and use our brains, not our basic instincts to destroy what is 'foreign' to us.

    20. Re:Conamination. by Opyros · · Score: 1

      Sometimes I wish we would, if only to put an end to the completely unfunny "ATTEMPT NO LANDINGS HERE" joke we get on every single story in any way involving Europa.

    21. Re: Conamination. by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      Agreed. Let's not discuss that.

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    22. Re:Conamination. by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      Sure, but "US" in this case includes all the animals, insects, plants, and fungus.

    23. Re:Conamination. by HeckRuler · · Score: 3, Informative

      it would take a major extermination event to 'destroy all humans'.

      We ARE in the middle of a major extermination event. But I'm pretty sure we'll live through it as a species though.

      To destroy all humans, it just needs one guy to launch an attack that causes retaliation. One of a very narrow group of guys, but they all seem to be batshit crazy to some extent.

    24. Re:Conamination. by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      Why is it important to continue human life elsewhere? Why not preserve earth?

    25. Re:Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It wasnt. Mythbusters has proven just how hard it is to make something 100% sterile.

    26. Re: Conamination. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, it hasn't yet happened.

      I attribute this paradoy to the Fight Club effect. As in: How hard it actually is, to get the averagenxoward

    27. Re:Conamination. by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      and see how long it took for them to alter the chemistry of the moon enough that we could detect it from orbit.

      Orbit around where? Europa - or Proxima Centauri B?

      Considering that the available liquid on Europa is under 50-odd km thickness of water ice - and that stuff flows at thicknesses of hundreds of metres under Europan gravity - your only real prospect of detection is from any debris included in plume debris - exactly as is being considered as an exploration target. How long would it take terrestrial bacteria to adapt to Europan "geo-"chemistry? That's a hard question. While the likely sources of carbon chemicals are probably going to be reasonably familiar (carbon dioxide, some simple carbohydrates and/ or amino acids, and the old "concentration problem" of myriads of other more complex structures, the credible sources of electron acceptors are not ones that would be metabolically familiar to many terrestrial organisms. Super-oxide and/ or peroxide produced by radiation impact on the ice surface (followed by convection and basal re-melting in the subsurface ocean to release into the water column) - well they're the #1 fingered compounds fingered in suspicions over the origination of aging and cellular damage leading to senescence. Not a good start. Sulphide released from primordial meteorite dust in the "dirty snow balls" ? Well, the chemistry exists, but generally it's antithetical to the presence of superoxides, so you're going to have to pick your organisms "right" first time. Which means characterising the environment a lot better than it is characterised already.

      I think it would take a long time - geologically (say some millions of years, and probably several attempts) before you got orbit-detectable changes from an inoculation attempt.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    28. Re:Conamination. by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      Doing one doesn't preclude the other. I want to do both. And I was specifically NOT talking about spreading human life, but rather seeding a planet with extreamophiles, bacteria, fungus, and whatever could survive. To establish some self-propagating ecosystem. Life.

      It'd also be cool to continue human life elsewhere though.

  3. So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water plume by mark-t · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I'm not saying that's not what it is, nor am I contesting that a water plume could plausible explain the data that they had received from their probe, but unless they got an actual picture of what the probe could see around it at the time, I don't think it's reasonable to assume anything conclusive.

    It may have been caused by some unexpected effect on the jovian planet itself that they weren't prepared to look for.

  4. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How would a picture be of any more help than sensor data? You're far from the sun, far from the plume, what do you think a picture would show you? How would YOU know what you're looking at in such unfamiliar settings?

    "It may have been caused by some unexpected effect on the jovian planet itself that they weren't prepared to look for."

    Sure, it might be a herd of water buffalo playing a trick on us!

  5. timing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I lost track of how many solar system bodies have water plumes now. At least a dozen. Is this just another one on the list?

    Is some kind of funding up for vote? Is that why they are talking about it now? And why in such terms as if it is the only one?

    1. Re:timing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you retarded?

    2. Re:timing? by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      NASA has already proved there is water on Mars: https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap0...

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    3. Re:timing? by nonBORG · · Score: 0

      You mean ice? there is no water in liquid form on Mars and if it did exist it would very soon be gone. Due to the low pressure the boiling point of water on Mars is very low so it would evaporate very very quickly.

      --
      You can't handle the truth! - Because I don't post left all my comments get modded down, bye bye Karma.
  6. Cue the anti-NASA anti-science trolls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Americans don't trust NASA and they don't trust scientists. All they trust now is either a book written thousands of years ago, or some clown that tells them that he'll fight for them, when said clown has spent his entire career screwing over people like them, accumulating more than 1300 civil lawsuits against him.

    RIP civilization. It was good while it lasted. Welcome back superstition, tribalism and savagery.

    1. Re:Cue the anti-NASA anti-science trolls by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      or some clown that tells them that he'll fight for them, when said clown has spent his entire career screwing over people like them, accumulating more than 1300 civil lawsuits against him.

      RIP civilization. It was good while it lasted. Welcome back superstition, tribalism and savagery.

      Are you ranting about Ronald McDonald or Donald Trump?

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Cue the anti-NASA anti-science trolls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's the difference?

    3. Re:Cue the anti-NASA anti-science trolls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's the difference?

      One is a purveyor of poison that creates a slow death associated with obesity and heart disease.

      The other can kill you much faster with a random 3AM tweet attacking the leader of a nation state. If that doesn't seem palatable, tough shit. You're not left with many other dietary options.

      I'll take my chances with the burger pimp any day.

    4. Re:Cue the anti-NASA anti-science trolls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you. I, too, was very disappointed at the unnecessary lack of politics in the summary and the article. What's the point of reading this if I can't use it to demonize of my enemies?

  7. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

    Are you suggesting a photo taken in the black of space is more accurate than a sensor that analyses the contents of what it passes through? I highly doubt a photo would add anything to this. You could perhaps question the accuracy of the sensors, but the fact that they detected water (something we've long suspected on Europa), not ammonia, or liquid nitrogen or some other unexpected substance; helps me believe that the sensor accurately identified what it passed though.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  8. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by rahultyagi · · Score: 2

    I don't think you actually read the stories. The sensors did not "detect water". They sensed some anomalies in magnetic field and plasma density which defied any obvious explanation at the time (in 1997). These scientists did some modeling and showed that those signatures can be explained by the presence of a water plume. That is certainly interesting and supports the conclusion that Galileo may have passed through or very near a water plume, however it is very different from saying that "the sensors detected water".

  9. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Well we know that Europa has water.... we've known it for some time. What we don't know, or at least what I can infer that we don't know from the article, is that the probe *ACTUALLY* flew through a plume of water... only that a water plume would be one plausible explanation for the data that they had received.

    If the probe had *detected* the water it was flying through, even that would be something... but from what I was able to take from the article, no such actual detection was made... they are only inferring that it flew through a plume from the data that they have. Now maybe this inference is right, but absent any actual direct detection of it, it's still just an assumption.

  10. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Pictures don't have to be based on visible light. My main point is that they did not directly detect any plume of water... they detected some phenomena that could be plausibly explained by flying through such a plume, but they did not actually detect any plume of water that the craft flew through.

  11. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He might have suggested something along the lines of the extraterrestrial origin of Loch Ness monster's ancestors. Remember those photos taken a while back were not of superior quality either. This would simply end the debate once and for all.

  12. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    While what you're saying is generally true, often times things that happen in space are just our best guess for several obvious reasons. In this case, they found that if they modeled a specific jet of water from a specific location at a specific temperature, it would produce the exact same sensor readings on the probe. So, no, it's not concrete evidence, like a lot of phenomena in space, it's circumstantial evidence which happens to precisely fit into the measurements which were actually made at the time. I believe those sensor measurements would be considered prima facie evidence for the probe flying through a water jet.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  13. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    I would think that you'd need to establish that there was something on the probe afterwards that could reliably be identified as water, or that a chemical analysis of whatever it was flying through at the time was water vapor.

    Given that the probe (to the best of my understanding) isn't designed for atmospheric exploration, I expect it's unlikely to have the instrumentation necessary to evaluate this, so I wouldn't want to conclude anything, because there's far more about the universe that we don't know than we do... and making an assumption about it only based on what we think we do know when we don't have enough direct evidence of what we're evaluating to objectively substantiate it is, IMO, nothing more than blind guesswork.

  14. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

    Hubble imaged a plume several years ago, NASA has been confident that's it's happening but the new data suggests a previous probe actually flew through one of the plumes and no one realized it at the time.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com...

  15. Europa is likely Volcanic too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We know that Io, the closest of the big 4 moons to Jupiter, is FIERCELY volcanic. This is due to both the gravity of Jupiter and the 1:2:4:8 resonance of the big 4 moons orbits. Europa is the 2nd closest. So although not likely as volcanic as Io, it is likely somewhat volcanic. This would make enough heat to keep the water closest to the surface liquid. It would also pour energy and chemicals into the water similar to the smoker vents on the floor of Earth's oceans. This is a VERY good environment for life. It is the environment in which the first life on Earth formed.

  16. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or aliens squirting at our probe to acknowledge its presence.

  17. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

    Hubble imaged a plume several years ago

    From that article:

    We do not claim to have proven the existence of plumes

    Hubble imaged something which might have been a plume.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  18. We're whalers on the (WRONG) moon by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

    Maybe the water plumes are actually the spouts of giant space whales. Futurama was right, the whalers just went to the wrong moon!

    --
    The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
  19. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1
    My point is that they don't even actually know that it flew through water *AT ALL*... only that it detected anomalies which could be plausibly explained by having flown through a water plume.

    Now maybe it did, and their guesses are right, but because they didn't actually detect any water that it was flying through, I consider their so-called explanation to be isomorphic to them not actually knowing what happened, but being simply too proud to admit as much.

  20. Re:All these worlds are yours... by aneroid · · Score: 1

    (guess who didn't see the First Post.)

  21. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's not an assumption for Enceladus. Cassini saw plumes, it flew through one, and it directly detected mostly water vapor there. (along with traces of nitrogen, methane and CO2) I mean, it's exciting that there are two such moons in the solar system, but I'd say that right now, Enceladus is the BEST candidate for extraterrestrial life in the solar system, with Europa a very close second, if only because we have less direct data.

  22. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

    Yes, that's why they do science and look for things like gravitational shifts and plasma changes that would indicate a probe flew through one.

    Maybe you've heard of this thing called science, it's where they look for other evidence and rarely are thing unequivocal.

  23. What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Imagine this: plume of water vapor erupts from deep within Europa, hundreds of miles high. Most of that never leaves the vicinity of Jupiter, but a little of it manages to escape, freezes, and floats around the solar system for a while.. eventually coming into the gravitational influence of a young Earth. It makes it through the atmosphere, eventually finding it's way into Earths' oceans, carrying the seeds of primitive life..

    1. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by slew · · Score: 1

      Imagine this: plume of water vapor erupts from deep within Europa, hundreds of miles high. Most of that never leaves the vicinity of Jupiter, but a little of it manages to escape, freezes, and floats around the solar system for a while.. eventually coming into the gravitational influence of a young Earth. It makes it through the atmosphere, eventually finding it's way into Earths' oceans, carrying the seeds of primitive life..

      On the other hand, people have also been imagining we be Martians...

      Of course, maybe the Martians came from Europa... ;^)

      Well Wallas are Beltas... Pashang fong!.

    2. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Imagine this: plume of water vapor erupts from deep within Europa, hundreds of miles high. Most of that never leaves the vicinity of Jupiter, but a little of it manages to escape, freezes, and floats around the solar system for a while.. eventually

      being irradiated into oblivion.

    3. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      imagine this: a plume of semen erupts from deep within your father, hundreds of millimeters high. Most of that never leaves the vicinity of the vagina, but a little of it manages to escape, and floats around the fallopian tubes for a while, eventually coming into the membrane influence of a newly released ovum. It makes its way through the ovum's contents, eventually finding its way into the nucleus, carrying the DNA of a 7 digit ID slashdotter.

      Nah, never could happen.

    4. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're just acting out on Slashdot because all your Facebook trolling/stalking accounts have been deleted. Go back to your containment website (https://www.4chan.org) and STAY THERE.

    5. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      There's certainly been theories like that. I remember one where it was a meteor or an asteroid, carrying single-celled life to Earth. Also, haven't there been experiments on the ISS showing some microscopic life (Amoebas? Bacteria? I forget..) surviving in vacuum, going dormant?

    6. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by Ken_g6 · · Score: 1

      I'd even go further. This makes panspermia seem possible. What if life originated on an icy world like this? What if it normally spreads through being frozen in small ice blocks from jets like these?

      --
      (T>t && O(n)--) == sqrt(666)
    7. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

      You have just re-invented the established concept of panspermia!

      Pieces of Mars blown into space from (large) meteorite impacts on Mars are also considered candidates for this type of genesis. Geologists believe the have actually found meteorites on Earth that originated from Mars.

    8. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Niven did it better. Still, ok books and nice show.

    9. Re:What if life on Earth originated on Europa? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      No scientist I know of thinks that panspermia is impossible - just (1) very unlikely, and (2), not a useful contribution to the question of the origin of life.

      With an origin of life on Earth then we've got a reasonable handle on the conditions under which it happened, the materials available, and we can perform relevant, falsifiable experiments to test our theses. If we then move our origin of life to some other planet somewhere else in the universe, we've got almost no idea of plausible conditions of chemistry, temperature and pressure which rather scuppers the idea of performing falsifiable experiments to test our hypothesis.

      "I just rolled a triple-6!"

      "I don't believe you, you just threw the dice down that well."

      "But they landed triple-6, I'm sure!"

      And argument which I'm just waiting to hear come out of the mouth of a White House Official Spokesperson some day soon.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  24. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by DRJlaw · · Score: 2

    I'm not saying that's not what it is, nor am I contesting that a water plume could plausible explain the data that they had received from their probe, but unless they got an actual picture of what the probe could see around it at the time, I don't think it's reasonable to assume anything conclusive.

    They did not assume that it was a water plume -- they hypothesized that it was a water plume and then tested that hypothesis. "We went back and looked at [the anomalous data] more carefully and found that they were just what you'd expect if we'd flown through a plume."

    They also did not report that their data was conclusive, rather they literally wrote:
    "We show that the location, duration and variations of the magnetic field and plasma wave measurements are consistent with the interaction of Jupiter's corotating plasma with Europa if a plume with characteristics inferred from Hubble images were erupting from the region of Europa's thermal anomalies. These results provide strong independent evidence of the presence of plumes at Europa."

    It may have been caused by some unexpected effect on the jovian planet itself that they weren't prepared to look for.

    It may have been caused by a giant space whale farting. Until you either demonstrate that their data is inconsistent with a water-ice plume or provide a testable hypothesis that is consistent with the Galileo and/or Hubble, however, your objection is mere hand-waving against claims that were not made.

  25. Re:All these worlds are yours... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    dont feel bad man
    phone poster should be banned anyway

  26. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by nonBORG · · Score: 0

    Level of assumptions is bigger than that. It is assumed (with zero evidence) that where there is liquid water there is life.

    Why assume something like this? Mainly because liquid water is a requirement for life and it is rare to find liquid water. So the possibility of finding life due to water is a zero, however those that think so do not make good headlines. Scientists who are willing to say ohhh water so possibly life make better headlines.

    --
    You can't handle the truth! - Because I don't post left all my comments get modded down, bye bye Karma.
  27. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    My objection is to conclude that it is something like a plume of water when they didn't actually, you know, detect any friggen plume of water. It just so happens that a plume of water fits the data they have.

    Given that there's vastly more about the universe that we don't know than we do, it seems more likely to me that when they didn't even directly detect the thing, it's more than likely caused by some other phenomenon that they just weren't prepared to look for at the time.

    As it sits, their claim looks no different than if they had just said they didn't know what it was, except that admitting as much would at least be far more honest.

  28. I must be the only person who read this headline.. by Rei · · Score: 2

    As though it were talkinh about a moon of "Jupiter Prime".

    Come to think of it, I guess it is. You could stick "Prime" after almost any proper noun in the news, and it'll mean the same thing, only it'll sound like it's happening in a sci-fi multiverse.

    --
    Give a boy a gun and you arm him for a day. Teach him how to make a gun, and the whole metaphor breaks down.
  29. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 2

    It's not exactly blind guesswork, we're not blind. We have sensors. I don't know which ones the probe carried, but I do know that they showed signals which the team in 1997 did not have an explanation for and they considered them anomalous. It now turns out that if we assume a certain water jet with certain properties, it explains the sensor measurements. That's not blind guesswork, it's educated guesswork.

    Yes, we will never know what the Galileo probe flew through in 1997. But it's not exactly a stretch to say that we can see plumes shooting from the surface, we've long assumed that there is an ocean twice as large as all the oceans on Earth, so, therefore, maybe it flew through a water jet. Happens to fit the data we do have also. Yeah, it could have been a cloud of alien pee. But it was probably a water jet.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  30. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by Type44Q · · Score: 1

    It may have been caused by some unexpected effect on the jovian planet itself that they weren't prepared to look for.

    A planetary ejaculation?

  31. i've been living here for years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    not really news. i've been living here for years!

  32. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by DRJlaw · · Score: 1

    My objection is to conclude that it is something like a plume of water when they didn't actually, you know, detect any friggen plume of water. It just so happens that a plume of water fits the data they have.

    Of course, if you'd actually read the article you'd have noticed that the Hubble Space Telescope has repeatedly detected plumes of what appeared to be water-ice, so it's not as if the hypothesis was pulled out of nowhere.

    As it sits, their claim looks no different than if they had just said they didn't know what it was, except that admitting as much would at least be far more honest.

    That's now how science works. That's not how any of this works. Try actually reading the paper - I'll even hand it to you on a silver platter.

  33. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by DRJlaw · · Score: 1

    they are only inferring that it flew through a plume from the data that they have. Now maybe this inference is right, but absent any actual direct detection of it, it's still just an assumption.

    You appear to be awfully invested in putting words and conclusions into the researchers' report that were not written, then criticizing what was not written in order to declare that the researchers have made a critical error.

    Now let's look at the words that you have actually used:

    Inference: "a conclusion reached on the basis of evidence and reasoning."
    Assumption: "a thing that is accepted as true or as certain to happen, without proof."

    An inference cannot be an assumption. By definition. In case you have any doubts, synonyms of evidence: proof, confirmation, verification, substantiation, corroboration, affirmation, attestation.

    Futhermore, they did not even infer that the probe flew through a plume. They inferred, in their own words:
    "The sudden, short-duration jump in the frequency of intense emissions can be interpreted as consistent with a highly localized source of plasma, thereby supporting the hypothesis that the magnetic perturbations arise from passage through a localized plume."

    Can be interpreted as consistent with != did do so. Hypothesis != assumption. Get over yourself.

  34. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    Yes, we will never know what the Galileo probe flew through in 1997. But it's not exactly a stretch to say that we can see plumes shooting from the surface, we've long assumed that there is an ocean twice as large as all the oceans on Earth, so, therefore, maybe it flew through a water jet. Happens to fit the data we do have also. Yeah, it could have been a cloud of alien pee. But it was probably a water jet.

    I trust you can see the progression from ignorance to probable conclusion, even without providing any new data that was not already known.

    And it's one thing to say that there is evidence of water plumes, but it's quite another to say that it actually flew through one while it was going off.

    Sure it's possible, but in the end, they don't actually have any direct evidence to support it beyond that it fits the data that they did happen to measure. If they had been taking environmental measurements at the time that said it was flying through water vapor, sure.... but they don't They start by saying that a water plume would explain the data, and somehow morph that into a conclusion that a water plume is the most likely explanation for the data. That's what I've raised objection to.

  35. Welcome back! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Welcome back! Here's a message to brighten your day!

    Eat a dick.

  36. Makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So to prevent mass-extinction happening on our planet, you want to spread the very pathogen that causes it?

    Maybe we shoud get our shit together instead. Because otherwise, going extinct is exactly what we should.

    And the planet had already countless mass-extinctions. Nearly between every geological layer. It will recover. Although maybe not, if we keep going.

    1. Re:Makes no sense. by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      I never said anything about preventing the Halocene mass-extinction event. I'm pretty sure that trigger has been pulled. And a human-extinction event is a crap-shoot. Seeding other planets would be "in case of".

      Viewing all life as a pathogen is pretty damn cynical. Also I think you're the third person to mistakenly assume I'm talking about spreading humanity. What did I say to mess that up? Is everyone just that self-species-centric?

  37. 2/2 ... Mobile lacks preview and has submit above by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... to get the average coward to fight you.

  38. For very low values of "plume of water" by DarthVain · · Score: 0

    Without knowing how fast the probe was going, nor how dense the plume of water, my spidey sense says "unlikely".

    As it is likely the probe was going really fast, and when I think of a "plume of water" I think pretty dense, which if ever the two were to meet, the "detection" would be in the form of the probe de-compiling into it's composite parts...

    That said, for very low values of plume of water, where it is more accurate to say, a very slight increase in water vapor where you might expect zero, is a more survivable event.

    Also a plume "hundreds" of miles high? That would be a catastrophic event. Think about the largest volcano ever, and the largest eruption ever, and how high that was... though taking into account gravity and atmospheric density might also need to be factored in. At any rate at least the way it was written seems implausible.

  39. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by DRJlaw · · Score: 1

    And it's one thing to say that there is evidence of water plumes, but it's quite another to say that it actually flew through one while it was going off.

    Which they didn't say. You said that - it's a strawman.

    Sure it's possible, but in the end, they don't actually have any direct evidence to support it beyond that it fits the data that they did happen to measure. If they had been taking environmental measurements at the time that said it was flying through water vapor, sure.... but they don't They start by saying that a water plume would explain the data, and somehow morph that into a conclusion that a water plume is the most likely explanation for the data. That's what I've raised objection to.

    But it is the most likely explanation for the data until you or someone else comes up with a more likely explanation for the data. Saying "we don't know what unknown phenomena might have happened" is neither an explanation nor a means to demonstrate that the explanation provided is less likely than some other explanation.

    Stop mischaracterizing what was claimed and building strawmen. They reported measurements, built a model of a passage through a water plume, and reported that the measurements were consistent with such a model, suggesting that the measurements were supporting evidence for the hypothesis that the sorts of plumes observed by the HST were water plumes. That is all. Nothing more. Everything else is your own creation.

  40. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    I'm suggesting that if they weren't actually taking measurements at the time that could substantiate such a conclusion (specfifically either photographic evidence, or else an actual direct analysis of whatever environment it was flying through at the time the anomaly was detected), it seems vastly more likely that it's because of something they haven't thought of at all.

  41. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    What data do you think they do or do not have? Have you seen the actual data? Because they're telling us that they did in fact detect something at the time, and just didn't know what it was. That sure sounds to me like the sensors have some sort of ability to measure the immediate environment around the probe. Is your argument just based on the assumption of what sensors they have, or more specifically, what sensors they don't have? I mean, this thing was designed to spend over 7 years measuring various things around Jupiter and its moons, including a probe that did directly measure Jupiter's atmosphere.

    I'm suggesting that if they weren't actually taking measurements at the time that could substantiate such a conclusion

    OK, but why? What's your evidence? What do you know about the sensors, their capabilities, and which ones were operating that we don't know?

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  42. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    If in fact they had detected the plume by sensors, then the article would have said that... but they did not. They described what the sensors *did* detect, and suggested that a water plume would be consistent with what they detected, despite not having any direct evidence of such a plume.

    FTA:

    As it hurtled past [Europa], instruments onboard the probe detected a brief but dramatic twist in the magnetic field and a sudden, rapid increase in the density of plasma, or ionised gas, the spacecraft was flying through.

    Nowhere in there does it say or suggest that the sensors detected a water plume that it was flying through.

    I'm not suggesting that it didn't necessarily fly through a water plume, only noting that since such a plume was not observed by any direct observation or measurement for the existence of water vapour in the environment in which the probe happened to be as it was detecting this anomaly, the statement that it supposedly actually flew through a water plume seems to be scientifically dishonest, because in reality all they know about what happened are the things that they actually measured.

  43. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    despite not having any direct evidence of such a plume.

    I'm not sure where you're getting that from. The direct evidence is the whole point.

    Nowhere in there does it say or suggest that the sensors detected a water plume that it was flying through.

    You don't think so? It does say this:

    rapid increase in the density of plasma, or ionised gas

    Since you're on top of Jovian science, I'll leave it you to explain what happens to water molecules in the electric and magnetic fields 120 miles or so above Europa. I'll give you a hint in case you haven't been keeping up with the mailing lists: it doesn't stay as molecular water. See if you can deduce what it turns into.

    the statement that it supposedly actually flew through a water plume seems to be scientifically dishonest

    Fantastic, thanks for your opinion.

    Just out of curiosity, since you know so much about the environment around Jupiter and Europa I'd like to take the opportunity to ask. What other events could have been responsible for the plasma which was measured above Europa? How common are they? Have they been observed in a similar way to the observations of apparent jets of water coming from the surface of Europa? If we know that water jets would result in such an environment, but that there may be other events which are responsible, what are the chances that this was one of those other events instead of the seemingly more likely result of a water jet getting ionized?

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  44. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by DRJlaw · · Score: 1

    it seems vastly more likely that it's because of something they haven't thought of at all.

    No. You've merely conclusively assumed that it is something else without evidence and without even being able to suggest what it is.

    You don't get to hide behind words like "more likely" when you won't give those words any effect when used by the original researchers. It works both ways.

  45. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    You don't think so? It does say this:

    rapid increase in the density of plasma, or ionised gas

    Yeah... and even a rank amateur astronomer is going to know that when you are talking about such things in space, you are generally referring to hydrogen unless explicitly indicated otherwise.

    Besides, water vapor is a *compound*, not an elemental substance, so how the heck do you think that would even work?

  46. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    I think it's more likely to be something else, yes... but that's only because I realize that there's more in the universe that we don't know than what we do know, and in absence of any direct observation of a water plume that it was flying through (actually detecting water vapour, explicitly, in particular), while I don't question that flying through a water plume is a definite possibility, I wouldn't consider it to be a particularly likely one just because I don't have any alternative explanation that is more likely.

    You can't evaluate the likelihood of something from only one sample anyways.

  47. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    Yes, notice how I said molecular water, not elemental water.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  48. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    Nowhere in that story did it say that the sensors detected water, however.,.. it said it detected plasma and ionized gas. It said nothing about the elemental (or molecular) composition of anything that had detected. In fact, if it had detected water vapor, there is absolutely no reason that this story would not have explicitly said so, rather than dance around it by saying that the measurements were merely consistent with having flown through such a plume.

  49. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    Uh, yeah, I agree with all of that. They detected a certain ionized gas and had no explanation for it, until they modeled what would happen to a water plume with certain characteristics. Similar to the plumes that Hubble is said to have observed. If one of those plumes occurred with certain characteristics at a certain time, then it would result in the ionized gas which they measured. I'm not sure where the confusion is at this point.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  50. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    Because the ionized gas wasn't water. In fact, if were anything other than hydrogen, the article likely would have said so because hydrogen is so abundant in the universe that it is implicitly considered the default for such phenomena.

  51. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    Yeah I'm still not sure where the confusion is. I mean, if someone farts in a room before you walk in and you smell it, you know what happened without needing to have actually measured gas being released from his anus, right? We're newcomers to space travel, but I imagine that those who have been doing it for a while would fly through a cloud like this and their first reaction would be "this thing is sending up jets of water." This is the first experience that we're getting, it's not like Earth or the moon have a bunch of extraplanetary water plumes that we would have studied and measured before. We haven't, this is the first one, this is what learning looks like.

    I don't think you'll see a scientist anywhere saying "I am 100% confident that the measurements in 1997 were the result of a water plume." But I bet that confidence interval is pretty high after seeing the pictures from Hubble and putting it together. So, again, I don't know what you're trying to argue about.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  52. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    In fact, if it were so outwardly obvious that it had flown through a water plume as what you suggest, they would have realized it in 1997, and not just now.

  53. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    It only became obvious because of the recent pictures that show the plumes actually happen.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  54. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    I don't refute that plumes happen... but in fact, there's no real direct evidence that the probe actually flew through such a plume. It matches the data, but considering they didn't actually detect any water vapor at the time the probe flew throught it, this as likely to be a coincidence as not.

  55. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    We're still going around in the circle, huh? OK.

    1) They do have direct evidence. The probe measured it.
    2) There would never be water vapor where the probe was. Demanding water vapor evidence as proof is stupid when it would not be in that location in the first place. What was there was the ionized gas that was evidence of the water plume leaving Europa. It was measured. It is direct evidence.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  56. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    I didn't say it wasn't evidence of a plume happening on Europa... that, at least, would make sense. What I said it wasn't evidence of was that, as the article says, it flew *THROUGH* such a plume.

  57. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

    Oh, I didn't realize you were getting that pedantic. It flew through whatever the plume turned into at that distance. Happy?

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  58. Re:So of course, they just ASSUME it is a water pl by mark-t · · Score: 1

    Or it didn't fly through a plume at all, any more than you can say that the ISS regularly flies through hurricanes.

  59. i've said it for years... by iq145 · · Score: 1

    What NASA really needs to do is send a marine robot to Neptune or Enceladus or Europa, maybe even Titan. Equip it with a melter on its undercarriage for ice surfaces. The best chance of finding some form of life is in water, not a dry barren waste like Mars. By now, they should've realized... Mars is a "failed" planet. It almost had the potential to be an Earth, but it didn't quite take. They may (or may not) one day find fossils on Mars of some extremely early bacteria, but that's all they'll ever find. (Unless they discover some sort of evidence of visitation... but then again, why would anyone have an interest in such a boring planet... except for us)