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The World's Largest Solar Farm Rises in the Remote Egyptian Desert (latimes.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: In 1913 on the outskirts of Cairo, an inventor from Philadelphia named Frank Shuman built the world's first solar thermal power station, using the abundant Egyptian sunshine to pump 6,000 gallons of water a minute from the Nile to irrigate a nearby cotton field. World War I and the discovery of cheap oil derailed Shuman's dream of replicating his "sun power plant" on a grand scale and eventually producing enough energy to challenge the world's dependence on coal.

More than a century later, that vision has been resurrected. The world's largest solar park, the $2.8-billion Benban complex, is set to open next year 400 miles south of Cairo in Egypt's Western Desert. It will single-handedly put Egypt on the clean energy map. That is no small feat for a country that's been hobbled by its longtime addiction to cheap, state-subsidized fossil fuels and currently gets more than 90% of its electricity from oil and natural gas. [...] The Benban complex, which will be operated by major energy companies from around the world, is expected to generate as much as 1.8 gigawatts of electricity, or enough to power hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses. It will consist of 30 separate solar plants, the first of which began running in December, and employ 4,000 workers.

153 comments

  1. 1.8 GW? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    So. they're going to get 1.8GW of the ~25GW they produce in total? For 12 hours per day, or less, of course.

    That seems to translate to maybe 4% of their electricity production.

    Color me unimpressed....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    1. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, 100% change overnight or it doesn't matter...

      get your head out of your ass son

    2. Re:1.8 GW? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 0

      Yep, 100% change overnight or it doesn't matter...

      Nah...but 10% might mean something. And 4000 people employed there??? For less than 2GW peak? Seems more like a public works project than a serious attempt to go Green....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    3. Re:1.8 GW? by Freischutz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      So. they're going to get 1.8GW of the ~25GW they produce in total? For 12 hours per day, or less, of course.

      That seems to translate to maybe 4% of their electricity production.

      Color me unimpressed....

      According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the US currently generates 1.4 percent of it's energy from solar, Egypt is about to cover 4% of it's energy needs from solar in one fell swoop. I'd say that's rather impressive, especially since the Egyptians have by now probably caught on to the fact that (A) sunlight, unlike oil and gas, carries no extraction costs with it, (B) it comes with no geopolitical baggage and (C) Egypt has a fantastic abundance of both sunlight and cheap desert land to put solar plants on. Meanwhile in the US, the nation's president thinks the future of the nation's energy generation lies in coal and natural gas of which one is being out competed price wise by Wind and Solar and the other soon will be.

    4. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      4% of total seems pretty good to me.
      Better than 0 surely?
      I don't know what the cost of a 1.8GW coal or gas power plant would be.

    5. Re:1.8 GW? by Freischutz · · Score: 1

      Yep, 100% change overnight or it doesn't matter...

      Nah...but 10% might mean something. And 4000 people employed there??? For less than 2GW peak? Seems more like a public works project than a serious attempt to go Green....

      One more time ... it's an iterative process.

    6. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean Egypt does have to buy fuel for 4% of the energy it produces? Impressive!

    7. Re:1.8 GW? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      With low labor costs and zero fuel costs, it could be advantageous even if those 4k workers were permanent. Chances are they won't since later maintenance is low.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    8. Re:1.8 GW? by Train0987 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      No extraction costs? What do you call the $2.8 billion to build the thing? That doesn't even count transmission.

    9. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many workers are needed to produce 1.8GW in a fossil fuel plant?

    10. Re:1.8 GW? by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      Yes, building a power generation station is a public works project. That's specifically what it is, in fact.

      Also, see if you can guess the times of peak electricity usage in Egypt. You think it might be when the sun is out?

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    11. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So. they're going to get 1.8GW of the ~25GW they produce in total? For 12 hours per day, or less, of course.

      That seems to translate to maybe 4% of their electricity production.

      Color me unimpressed....

      According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the US currently generates 1.4 percent of it's energy from solar, Egypt is about to cover 4% of it's energy needs from solar in one fell swoop. I'd say that's rather impressive, especially since the Egyptians have by now probably caught on to the fact that (A) sunlight, unlike oil and gas, carries no extraction costs with it,

      Are you sure about that? Last time I checked the equipment to collect solar energy cost money, especially before government subsidies and tax abatements. Then there are all the maintenance costs with keeping collection surfaces clean and pointed in the most efficient directions. Providing security for all that expensive equipment and transmission facilities. Not exactly cost free. It may be without FUEL costs, but there are things that cost money here.

      (B) it comes with no geopolitical baggage and

      Oh none at all, except all the hard currency you have to send to China to buy all that equipment. No geopolitical baggage there. (not!) Oh, not going photovoltaic? Then where are you going to buy all that equipment? From Egyptian sources? ARE there any Egyptian sources?

      (C) Egypt has a fantastic abundance of both sunlight and cheap desert land to put solar plants on.

      Finally, you got something right. But the environmental effects of setting up solar collection facilities and maintaining them are far from being totally considered here. It takes a LOT of water to keep all that solar collection surface area clean you know.

      Meanwhile in the US, the nation's president thinks the future of the nation's energy generation lies in coal and natural gas of which one is being out competed price wise by Wind and Solar and the other soon will be.

      And there you go, being wrong again. Natural Gas is the cheapskate's fuel of choice these days. When you consider the total cost of the plant, from building it, though operating it to decommissioning it, Natural Gas is hands down the cheapest, unless you count the geographically limited geothermal option, which is slightly cheaper. Wind and Solar are only competitive because of tax abatements and subsidies but cost almost DOUBLE the price of natural gas even then.

    12. Re:1.8 GW? by amicusNYCL · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No extraction costs? What do you call the $2.8 billion to build the thing?

      I'm not a geologist or anything, but I call that a construction cost. Which applies to any power generation station.

      Really, this isn't hard. Most of the same costs like construction and transmission will apply to any power generation station. But with things like solar, wind, and hydro, you only need to build them in the right location, you do not need to pay to get the fuel.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    13. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 2

      According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the US currently generates 1.4 percent of it's energy from solar, Egypt is about to cover 4% of it's energy needs from solar in one fell swoop.

      No, they're not. The capacity factor of solar electric is pretty shit. If we assume that the CF of this plant will equal the best place in the USA (Arizona) then the annual output will be about 19% of the rated output. This means a total of 2,995 gWh per year. Since Egypt currently produces about 170,000 gWh per year of electricity, this new plant will only equal about 1.7% of their total electrical production.

      It will of course be an even lower fraction of total energy production.

    14. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      O to 10% isn't impressive. It's completely unrealistic. This attitude of all or nothing is what always holds back progress.

    15. Re: 1.8 GW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      But you do know that power need more or less follows the course of the sun?
      Hence you do know that the CF is completely irrelevant?

      So why starting an argument about power with the dreaded CF?

      Oh, my mistake!? You did not know?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    16. Re:1.8 GW? by Freischutz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No extraction costs? What do you call the $2.8 billion to build the thing? That doesn't even count transmission.

      What do you call $X billion to extract the oil and then $Y billion to build a refinery to process it into a usable state and/or ship it to the consumer? ... which is the process with oil, natural gas and coal. You don't have to dig up the sunlight, you don't have to refine it, you don't have to ship it to the power-plant, it just shines down on you from the sky, onto your solar panels allowing you to go straight to the convert-it-into-electric-enery step.

    17. Re:1.8 GW? by Freischutz · · Score: 3, Informative

      No extraction costs? What do you call the $2.8 billion to build the thing?

      I'm not a geologist or anything, but I call that a construction cost. Which applies to any power generation station.

      Really, this isn't hard. Most of the same costs like construction and transmission will apply to any power generation station. But with things like solar, wind, and hydro, you only need to build them in the right location, you do not need to pay to get the fuel.

      Extraction costs is getting the coal out of the ground, processing costs is getting the raw coal into a usable state, shipping costs is loading it onto a barge and shipping it down to Florida, energy production costs is building a coal fired power-plant in Florida and buying coal at market prices so you can burn it and generate energy for Floridians to use to air condition their houses. Contrast this with solar, where the is no digging up the sunlight, no processing the sunlight into a usable state, no shipping the sunlight down the Mississippi on barges to Florida, you get to go straight to the power plant building part and there your costs are basically fixed since there are no fluctuations in the price of sunlight the price of sunlight is pretty much always $0.00. The real beauty of this idea is to use the sunlight you are trying to escape to cool down your house.

    18. Re: 1.8 GW? by Freischutz · · Score: 1

      According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the US currently generates 1.4 percent of it's energy from solar, Egypt is about to cover 4% of it's energy needs from solar in one fell swoop.

      No, they're not. The capacity factor of solar electric is pretty shit. If we assume that the CF of this plant will equal the best place in the USA (Arizona) then the annual output will be about 19% of the rated output. This means a total of 2,995 gWh per year. Since Egypt currently produces about 170,000 gWh per year of electricity, this new plant will only equal about 1.7% of their total electrical production.

      It will of course be an even lower fraction of total energy production.

      And yet 1,7% is still more than the US.

    19. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 0

      I know that up until today I had yet to hear a coherent argument from you on any topic whatsoever. And as of today, nothing has changed.

    20. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I expect it's really dim where you are. A big shadow of stupidity surrounds you and follows wherever you go.

    21. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      And yet 1,7% is still more than the US.

      Correct. And?

    22. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The $2.8-billion Benban complex will cost $1.5 billion in construction costs plus $1.9 billion in special Egyptian taxes for facilitation payments, commissions, military protection and lubrication (the numbers don't add up because of the cash and other off-books fees) for a total of $4.3 billion.

    23. Re:1.8 GW? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      But in that climate, solar is a more relatable 12-hour daily source than anywhere else with a significant user market and a lot of the kind of utter devastation that would be okay to pave over with solar collectors. Such a source could power, say, a large desalination project.

    24. Re:1.8 GW? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      EDIT: "...reliable 12-hour..."

    25. Re:1.8 GW? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Actually it's around 0.4% of total energy and 2.8% of electricity if Wikipedia's numbers are correct. But that's still nothing to sneeze at, plus they don't have the problem that Europe has with seasonal variations. They can build quite a bit more than this to cover most of the increased daily power use (3-4 GW on average).

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    26. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the US currently generates 1.4 percent of it's energy from solar, Egypt is about to cover 4% of it's energy needs from solar in one fell swoop.

      TFA says the Egyptian solar farm is the world's largest, producing 1,8 Gigawatts of power.

      On the other hand, this solar farm in Tibet produces 3,450 megawatts of power

    27. Re:1.8 GW? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

      That's a decent, if not amazing price considering the output. LCOE comes out as around $50-60/MWh or something like that?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    28. Re:1.8 GW? by youngone · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile in the US, the nation's president thinks...

      whatever he's paid to think.

    29. Re: 1.8 GW? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      But you do know that power need more or less follows the course of the sun?
      Hence you do know that the CF is completely irrelevant?

      CF is relevant when comparing generating capacity with demand. Egypt currently consumes about 170 TWh per year. That means they need 170 TWh production capacity. The CF will become very important if they intend to replace oil fired plants that have a CF of (I'm pulling a number out of the air) 60% with solar panels that they can expect only 30% CF.

      So why starting an argument about power with the dreaded CF?

      Because solar power is notorious for over promising and under delivering. You live in Germany, no? Then you should be abundantly aware of the high costs and low reliability of solar power.

      Oh, my mistake!? You did not know?

      You are right, I should know not to have a battle of wits with someone that is unarmed.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    30. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Assuming a petite 65kg worker composed of 17% fat @37MJ/kg and 5% carbohydrates @17MJ/kg, burning one worker would produce around 450MJ, at least if you first get rid of the water content which is easy to do by letting them partly fossilize in the hot Egyptian sun.

      To produce 1.8GW would require burning 4 fossil workers per second. 4000 workers would last you less than 20 minutes. The whole population of Egypt not even a year.

      HTH.

    31. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And that's for 1.8GW thermal, not GWe.

    32. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meanwhile those of us who don’t live in a turgid right wing fantasy world,
      are producing an entire households power from a $4000 solar system.
      You really are true retardistani fuckwad.

    33. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not gonna lie, this made me laugh.

    34. Re:1.8 GW? by 4wdloop · · Score: 1

      >> sunlight....
      >> (B) it comes with no geopolitical baggage
      Kinda disagree. Tell this to people in Syberia...
      Ok, fine, a "bit" more abundant than oil. :-)

      --
      4wdloop
    35. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      You're a lying jackass. $4,000 will get you a system that powers a small shack with a dozen lightbulbs and a TV. Anything beyond that is pure fantasy. Minimum cost for me would be $20,000 and that's if I do most of the work myself. Subsidies would offset some of that, but far less than half. Even if subsidies were high enough to bring it down to $4,000 that wouldn't make it a $4,000 system; it would make it a $20,000 system which was paid for mostly by other people.

    36. Re:1.8 GW? by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      And 4000 people employed there??? For less than 2GW peak?

      When labor is cheap, you can hire a lot of people to do things that wouldn't be cost-effective in America. fwiw

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    37. Re:1.8 GW? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Solar is quite likely a suitable energy source for a nation like Egypt. Here's what I expect to happen though, if the people planning these projects plan this out like so many others in the past, they'll soon exceed their ability to match supply to load and end up with excessive costs and unreliable electricity.

      It's real easy to go from 0% solar power to 10%. Getting from 10% to 20% solar is often a bit harder but still rather trivial. What usually happens when trying to get past 15% or 20% of wind and solar is there's a need for some kind of energy storage, or means to shed demand. This is what happened in California and Hawaii as a result of solar power subsidies. Germany is seeing this, but offset to some extent because they can still import electricity from it's neighbors with plentiful nuclear, hydro, and natural gas, and export excess wind and solar when they have it. Germany is basically using the rest of Europe as a battery, but paying for this service in having to buy high and sell low.

      Egypt has already got to the point of having to import fuel for their electricity. They have some hydroelectricity that they might be able to convert to pumped storage, which would be helpful for expanding reliance on solar power. A quick search of the internet tells me that Egypt has signed a deal with Russia to build a nuclear power plant. I'm not sure if construction started yet as the news articles I found claimed construction would start in 2017.

      Egypt will have to do something new. They've run out of rivers to dam up. They already started importing natural gas. On top of it all, oil is their major export and domestic oil consumption started to take a big bite out of their production decades ago.

      Egypt will have to do more than just solar to solve their problems.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    38. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet 1,7% is still more than the US.

      Correct. And?

      And, General el-Sisi may be a buffoon but at least he understands that getting the fuel for our power plant for free beats spending tons of money buying it on the open market. POTUS believes the exact opposite.

    39. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Extraction costs is getting the coal out of the ground, processing costs is getting the raw coal into a usable state, [...] Contrast this with solar, where the is no digging up the sunlight, no processing the sunlight into a usable state, no shipping the sunlight [...]

      A reminder that solar and wind plants are made of tangible stuff, almost entirely manufactured and constructed with fossil energy, and will use more fossil energy at the end of their life. Those variable energy flows also need storage, conditioning, and delivery by lengthy transmission lines, even if not by barge.

      Greens harping on about "fossil subsidies" are deluded. As long as we have a predominately fossil powered grid, fossil energy will be the ultimate source of virtually all subsidies, even if not directly. It is subsidizing wind and solar too, only at a much higher rate. Nuclear plants might be built with fossil wealth today, but advanced designs are capable of producing process heat for industry and synthetic fuels, enabling a truly fossil-free energy system. Renewables advocates have no answer for industrial heat, and are only cementing a dependence on fossil fuels into the future.

    40. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meanwhile those of us who don’t live in a turgid right wing fantasy world,
      are producing an entire households power from a $4000 solar system.
      You really are true retardistani fuckwad.

      I want one! $4000 dollars for solar panels on my house and I never have to pay another electricity bill again? SIGN ME UP!

      Oh, wait, you dropped a zero or two somewhere. I go look at what it costs for solar panels for my house in my "right wing fantasy world" and it's more like forty thousand dollars for solar panels to power my house. Using a loan calculator to figure out how much that costs per month and I'd see my cost for electricity triple, at least. Maybe that solar power system would last long enough that I'd win out in the long run but that's a gamble. That cost doesn't include the insurance or any maintenance. A hail storm could turn my $40,000 investment into a pile of busted glass that I have to pay to get rid of.

      Maybe in your house you like to take freezing cold showers in the morning, spend your day washing your clothes and dishes by hand, unwind by watching a tiny TV screen in the dark, and then go to bed, where you can try to sleep in 96% humidity. That's not a "house", that's a "shack".

    41. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And it's even carbon-neutral.

    42. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      If you believe that solar is free, you're obviously a moron.

    43. Re:1.8 GW? by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      the equipment to collect solar energy cost money

      As does the equipment to collect any other form of energy, plus maintenance and security. AND you have to pay the fuel extraction costs - along with capital, maintenance, etc for all the mining and refining infrastructure - and the same for all the transportation too (and its fuel costs).

      all the hard currency you have to send to China to buy all that equipment

      As opposed to their home-grown coal & gas plants? Most solutions require importing equipment. You're still pointing out the obvious.

      the environmental effects of setting up solar collection facilities

      .. are a heck of a lot less than the environmental effects of mining fossil fuels, transporting it, setting up a power plant, then burning millions of tonnes of it. And what makes you think you need water to clean solar panels? Some cheap labour and a broom is enough, or you can go more high tech.

      Natural Gas is the cheapskate's fuel of choice these days.

      You seemed to have missed the part of TFA where the whole reason for investing in solar was because their LNG imports were too expensive. And you're completely wrong about the relative LCOE of gas vs wind (comparable) and solar (US is within 20% on average, Egypt would be cheaper) - unsubsidised of course, except for the public still paying the bill for the health & environmental costs of the gas plant's emissions. If you factor those in then gas doesn't even get close to competitive.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    44. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Like building pyramids for example

    45. Re:1.8 GW? by Freischutz · · Score: 1

      Extraction costs is getting the coal out of the ground, processing costs is getting the raw coal into a usable state, [...] Contrast this with solar, where the is no digging up the sunlight, no processing the sunlight into a usable state, no shipping the sunlight [...]

      A reminder that solar and wind plants are made of tangible stuff, almost entirely manufactured and constructed with fossil energy, and will use more fossil energy at the end of their life.

      A reminder that as renewables displace fossil fuels that problem diminishes and then goes away as fossil fuels are phased out. Fossil fuels are a transient thing, a dying legacy technology, not a universal constant without which the universe will be sucked into a singularly and cease to exist.

    46. Re: 1.8 GW? by Freischutz · · Score: 1

      If you believe that solar is free, you're obviously a moron.

      I didn’t say solar was free. I said that if you build a coal plant you then have to pay market prices at regular intervals to buy coal to burn in your plant. If, however, you build a solar power plant you do not have to pay for the sunlight. If you still do not understand this it is YOU who are the moron here.

    47. Re: 1.8 GW? by Freischutz · · Score: 1

      You're a lying jackass. $4,000 will get you a system that powers a small shack with a dozen lightbulbs and a TV. Anything beyond that is pure fantasy. Minimum cost for me would be $20,000 and that's if I do most of the work myself. Subsidies would offset some of that, but far less than half. Even if subsidies were high enough to bring it down to $4,000 that wouldn't make it a $4,000 system; it would make it a $20,000 system which was paid for mostly by other people.

      In the UK Ikea is charging ~$5600 for a basic solar package, throw in battery storage it comes in at ~$9000. These prices will only fall and the panels will only become more efficient over the next couple of decades at least.

    48. Re:1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Renewables aren't displacing fossil fuels; see Germany. At best, they reduce fossil fuel consumption a bit, and they are not a particularly cost effective method of doing so. (Compare to any of the countries that have successfully decarbonized using nuclear.)

      All of the mining and refining of materials that go into wind and solar along with fuel for construction is done with near 100% fossil energy. That isn't changing, because wind and solar can't provide economical process heat, or even synthetic fuels. No one is even contemplating, much less projecting that windmills and solar panels will ever be produced with renewable electricity, as they would be astronomically expensive.

      You are quite mistaken about the impending demise of fossil fuels; the green ideal is a fossil-renewable partnership lasting indefinitely, including the burning of forests. It is unsustainable, and the only viable alternative is nuclear energy. It isn't even a question of if, but when, and how much damage will be done by then with foolish and ineffective "solutions".

    49. Re:1.8 GW? by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Denmark is around 50% renewable electricity. The total cost of Danish electricity imports is LESS than the total income from Danish electricity exports, despite the fact that Denmark imports MORE than it exports.

      Yes, that's because Denmark is conveniently situated near neighbours which struggle to get enough electricity in winter, and wind power in Denmark just so happens to be produced mostly in winter. If you mix your renewables correctly, there are LOTS of places around the world that are in similar lucky situations.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    50. Re:1.8 GW? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      You can be as unimpressed as you want. It along with other projects elevated India to one of the countries with the highest level alternative energy generation in the world.

      Just remember to be even less impressed with whatever country you *think* is better.

    51. Re:1.8 GW? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Sigh, I have got to stop drinking and posting at the same time. Wrong country. But same goal. India has a plan to do 20% renewable energy by 2020. What's the USA's plan, throw baby seals into coal power plants to make the coal look greener?

    52. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, as 4% is nothing to you, then give me 4% of your wealth and earnings.

      Or will you now be a hypocrite?

    53. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      You don't have to pay for sunlight? No way! Thanks Dr Science!

      Any more useless observations? Like "gas for my car is expensive, but I don't have to pay for wind!"? Or "airplanes have to pay for fuel, but if I throw myself off a building I don't have to pay for gravity!"?

    54. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      In the UK Ikea is charging ~$5600 for a basic solar package

      $5600 won't get you shit. I ran their cost estimator for shits and giggles, on a random roof in a random average sized UK town, using generous assumptions (single story, etc). Based on the size of the roof, the calculator estimated they would be able to fit a maximum of 16 panels, at a cost of £5,499, which is about $7,200 USD as of today.

      Those 16 panels at 270W each will produce a maximum of 4.3 kW at peak. The capacity factor for a solar system in the UK will be 9.7% according to the DECC. Which means that those panels will provide around 3,700 kWh per year. Given that the average UK household uses around 4,000 kWh per year, this system is still unlikely to meet all of the electrical needs of an average house over the course of a year, but at least it's close.

      But wait, there's more!

      The reason the UK has such low household electrical usage is because pretty much every household has access to natural gas, and they use a LOT of it. Average household gas usage works out to about 15,000 kWh per year. This dwarfs electrical usage. If you actually wanted to produce "an entire households power" like the original asshat claimed, you would therefore need a system which produces about 19,000 kWh annually. Given that our 3,700 kWh Ikea system costs $7,200 USD, it's safe to assume that a system that's 4 times as large would cost about three times as much. So you're looking at spending about $21,000 all in.

      throw in battery storage it comes in at ~$9000.

      Yes, if we throw in battery storage it becomes even more ridiculously overpriced. £9,780 for the system they offered me, which is $12,835 USD. Again, for a system that only provides about a quarter of an average households power requirements.

      These prices will only fall and the panels will only become more efficient over the next couple of decades at least.

      Wonderful. Maybe in another 20 years his claim will be true. Today it is not.

    55. Re:1.8 GW? by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      But, this whole argument goes away if the solar plant they're building uses molten salts.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    56. Re:1.8 GW? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      But, this whole argument goes away if the solar plant they're building uses molten salts.

      That's a lot like the arguments against nuclear power going away if new nuclear reactors are built are using molten salts.

      If you want to bring up some experimental technology in solar power to make the case for solar power then nuclear power advocates should be able to bring up experimental technology to make the case for nuclear power. Just like molten salt solar can use high temperature salts for thermal energy storage and load following so can molten salt nuclear reactors.

      If pumped hydro can be used for solar energy storage then so can pumped hydro be used for nuclear energy storage. In fact, the Tennessee Valley Authority uses pumped hydro storage to allow their coal and nuclear power plants to follow loads. I've visited one of the facilities.

      Barring some grand leap in solar and wind technology we will be using more nuclear power very soon. A leap in storage technology helps nuclear power adoptions just as much, if not more, than wind and solar.

      I look forward to any use of solar molten salt technology. That will demonstrate many of the technologies currently proposed for fourth generation nuclear power. Maybe these next generation reactors won't use a molten salt fuel, but it could use a high temperature solid fuel and molten salt cooling.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    57. Re: 1.8 GW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      My argument is pretty simple.
      You throw in a term you don't understand, CF.
      I made that pretty clear in my previous post. Why you call this 'incoherent' is beyond me.

      Perhaps you want to look at the power plant in question, and as a mental challange, calculate the amount of power it will produce over the course of a year? Hint: your idea of 'CF' wont help you in that. Another hint: perhaps it helps to read the linked article :)

      No worries, judging from your braindead post before, you will be off by a factor of 2 - 3 ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    58. Re: 1.8 GW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, CF is completely irrelevant for that.

      Then you should be abundantly aware of the high costs and low reliability of solar power.
      Solar power is neither expensive nor unreliable.

      You keep mixing up 'reliable' with 'dispatchable'.
      Two complete different things!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    59. Re: 1.8 GW? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      No, CF is completely irrelevant for that.

      Perhaps then we'll just have to agree to disagree.

      Solar power is neither expensive nor unreliable.

      Well, things like "expensive" and "reliable" are relative. Solar compared to nuclear, coal, natural gas, or even wind, is expensive and unreliable. What's your metric for comparison?

      You keep mixing up 'reliable' with 'dispatchable'.

      No, I'm not.

      Two complete different things!

      I agree that they are two different things, I'll use "dispatchable" when it's appropriate and "reliable" when it's appropriate. I used "unreliable" to describe solar power and I meant that.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    60. Re: 1.8 GW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Then explain me why in a desert around 12AM solar power is unreliable ....
      Or at any ofher place or time?

      There is completely reliable no sun at mid night, and there is completely reliable ligh around noon, unless you live close to the poles.

      Again: you are mixing up dispatchable with reliable.

      Regarding the costs, solar is the second cheapest power source, after wind, since nearly a decade now ... get up to date man.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    61. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      You have absolutely no clue what you're talking about, as usual. Capacity factor is directly related to annual output.

    62. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      According to the article it's 4,000 people at one facility. This entire project is supposed to be composed of 30 facilities when completed. That would presumably be 120,000 jobs ...

    63. Re: 1.8 GW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      And why is the anual output relevant for the power/energy the plant is producing tomorrow?
      (Your CF was wrkng anyway, as you did not read the article :) )

      Claiming that one has no clue, who worked about 10 years for power companies is idiotic.

      Hint: the power plant in question has a CF of ~0.50, which you would know if you had botherd to read the article.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    64. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      And why is the anual output relevant for the power/energy the plant is producing tomorrow?

      It's not; it's relevant to what percentage of electricity in Egypt will be generated by this plant. Which is what we were talking about, asshat.

      Claiming that one has no clue, who worked about 10 years for power companies is idiotic.

      I'm sure you mopped those floors real good. You still have no clue what you're talking about when it comes to the topic at hand though.

      Hint: the power plant in question has a CF of ~0.50, which you would know if you had botherd to read the article.

      The article doesn't talk about CF at all; you're just resorting to your usual tactic of making shit up. But, more importantly, if you think that it's possible for solar to have a CF of 50% anywhere on the planet, you're a raving lunatic. This is why they had you mopping floors instead of doing something more demanding like emptying garbage cans.

    65. Re: 1.8 GW? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Then explain me why in a desert around 12AM solar power is unreliable ....

      That's a very interesting definition of "reliable". I guess solar is "reliable" if you define it so narrowly to the point it's nothing more than "when the sun shines". My last car was "reliable" when the weather was warm and no snow on the streets, but in the winter it didn't like to start and had trouble getting up the steep hill in front of my house in the snow.

      Or at any ofher place or time?

      I'll remember that when a nuclear power plant has to reduce power or shutdown because of a heat wave. Nuclear power is "reliable" except in a time and place where the heat sink isn't cool enough.

      There is completely reliable no sun at mid night, and there is completely reliable ligh around noon, unless you live close to the poles.

      Maybe this video can clarify things:
      https://www.prageru.com/videos...

      Again: you are mixing up dispatchable with reliable.

      Repeating your claim does not make it true. Perhaps you could explain further, such as why "dispatchable" is relevant to the discussion. Just repeating yourself is very childish.

      Regarding the costs, solar is the second cheapest power source, after wind, since nearly a decade now ... get up to date man.

      Then why is only 2% of the world's energy from solar? If it's so cheap (and reliable) then everyone would want it. Egypt is building a big solar energy collector but they are also building a nuclear power plant with four reactors. If solar is so great compared to nuclear then why is Egypt bothering with nuclear and not just building more solar instead?

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    66. Re:1.8 GW? by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      If someone could solve energy storage, we'd have something. Sun doesn't shine 24 hours a day after all.
      Storing it is a bitch because, well it's energy. Can store it chemically, or against gravity with water say... nothing is free though. So far there is always a downside to storing say 1 megawatt/hour.

    67. Re: 1.8 GW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Of course the article is not talking about CF.
      But you claimed the CF would be in the 20% range, which is wrong.
      And the fact that you can not deduce that from the article makes you not look very bright :)

      Your ranting is interestig ... Hint: every solar thermal power plant has a CF far above 50%

      You have abolutely no clue what you are talking about.

      The solar plant in question is in a desert, over the course of a year 50% of the time it is covered by sun.
      The solar plant in question is tracking the sun by moving/tilting its panels.
      Hence the solar plant in question has - minus a sandstorm every few years, minus a rainfall once or twice a year, minus the fact that the rising and setting sun loses about 1% due to the atmosphere thickness - a CF of ~50%

      If you are not intelligent to grasp that, do us a favour and stay out of discussions about solar power.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    68. Re: 1.8 GW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Only x% .. you say 2% .. of the world energy is solar because not many companies invested into it.
      Why you still rant about reliablity is beyond me.
      Solar power is 100% reliable just like any other power source in the planet.
      And unlike a coal palnt that could in theory have a malfunction, solar power never has a malfunction.
      So yes: you still keep mixing up reliable with dispatchable. No idea why.

      Or do you really want to claim that tomorrow at your location the sun might have a chance not to rise reliable as it did the previous 4 bilion years?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    69. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Of course the article is not talking about CF.

      You fucking tool. In one comment you claim the article says it has a CF of "0.5" and bitch at me for not reading the article, and in the VERY NEXT FUCKING COMMENT you say "of course the article doesn't talk about CF".

      Fuck you. I don't know if you're retarded or just a troll, but either way I have no interest in your bullshit. Go bother someone else.

    70. Re: 1.8 GW? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But you do know that power need more or less follows the course of the sun?

      Errrr, not really. In hot countries like say...Egypt, residual heat can stay around long after the sun disappears thereby maintaining a peak use during the dark hours. That is without even consideration manufacturing users that can be ambivalent to time of day - smelters for example are constantly on. Solar generally hollows out the day-time peak but without storage it does little for the early evening demand.

    71. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      You're arguing with a moron who has no clue how to utilise math or logic, and is completely incapable of ever admitting that he is wrong. Stop wasting your time.

    72. Re: 1.8 GW? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Oh please. You really think that maintaining solar power plants requires one full-time worker for every fifty panels or so? That's not how any of this works.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    73. Re:1.8 GW? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Renewables aren't displacing fossil fuels; see Germany. At best, they reduce fossil fuel consumption a bit, and they are not a particularly cost effective method of doing so. (Compare to any of the countries that have successfully decarbonized using nuclear.)

      1) You're contradicting yourself in the first part and 2) the second part is irrelevant since historical experience is almost meaningless when the prices change as quickly as they do for the technology in question. That, e.g., Germany may have overshot deployment ten years ago when the equipment was six times as expensive as it is today is irrelevant for judging the economics of the 2030s when it will cost perhaps half as much again as it costs today.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    74. Re:1.8 GW? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      A reminder that solar and wind plants are made of tangible stuff, almost entirely manufactured and constructed with fossil energy

      Actually, at the very least, solar is mostly manufactured using electricity. Silicon processing takes most of it.

      Those variable energy flows also need storage, conditioning, and delivery by lengthy transmission lines, even if not by barge.

      Nuclear plants might be built with fossil wealth today, but advanced designs are capable of producing process heat for industry and synthetic fuels, enabling a truly fossil-free energy system.

      Ahh, so your "advanced designs" don't need any conditioning whatsoever, deliver power wirelessly, and can magically reach temperatures of 1500K or higher better than the existing electric solutions (or higher temperatures better than the existing chemical solutions).

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    75. Re: 1.8 GW? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Rofl,
      I did not say the article claimed it has a CF of 0.5.

      I said: you did not read the article.
      If you had read the article you knew: the panels are sun tracking, hence: with a little bit of IQ, 85 or 95 would be enough, you can easily conclude that it has a CF of ~50% (considering that it is in a desert and you only need to account for 2 days of clouds and 1 or 2 days of a sandstorm ... so we are around ~48%, aren't we?)

      Have a nice day, you super expert for power production and GMO via "mutations" ;D .

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    76. Re: 1.8 GW? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      No, I don't, but the article apparently does and maybe the Egyptians do also.

    77. Re:1.8 GW? by eric_harris_76 · · Score: 1

      Seems more like a public works project than a serious attempt to go Green....

      Which means it's time once again for the apocryphal/semi-apocryphal Milton Friedman anecdote.

      A government official in some Asian country is showing Friedman excavation at a public-works project.

      Friedman: Why are they using shovels, instead of bulldozers and other earth-moving equipment?

      Official: This is also a jobs program.

      Friedman. Oh. Why are they using shovels, instead of teaspoons?

      --
      There's no time like the present. Well, the past used to be.
  2. africans_smashing_solar_panels.webm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    n/t

  3. Re:yeah right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah right ... sure it will

    Sure it will what? If you're going to piss and moan, at least state clearly what you are pissing and moaning about.

  4. Re:Also, ya know, physics by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 3, Informative

    Fossil fool plants also cause bird deaths. Y'know, science...
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/...

  5. it was done 3500 years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the pyramids were very large power plants and provided electricity to all people of EGYPT

    1. Re:it was done 3500 years ago by r1348 · · Score: 1

      I thought they were landing pads for the worst spaceship design ever conceived.

  6. Re:Also, ya know, physics by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Informative

    Cool, so he was also a pioneer in "clean energy" frying birds as they flew. http://www.latimes.com/local/c...

    That's fewer than 1% of the birds killed by hunters in Texas every single day. And just about the same as the number of birds killed by airplanes every month in North America.

    Don't be a dope. And please, don't pretend you give one blessed fuck about birds getting killed when all you want is to spread FUD about solar energy.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  7. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It would take some kind of stupid bird to fry itself on a parabolic trough, don't you think? ( I know you don't understand the difference between the type of solar described in the LA times article and a parabolic trough but I will pretend you do.)

  8. Remote? by michaelmalak · · Score: 1

    Five miles from the Nile and twenty miles from Aswan may be remote, but Egypt has far, far more remote locations. Like Bugs Bunny remote.

    1. Re: Remote? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ?

      The lameness filter rejects "?" by itself

  9. Upcoming comments in this thread by jeff4747 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    - "But night!!"
    - "But this won't immediately cover all electricity generation, so it's useless."
    - "Nuclear is the only answer. Please ignore the multiple nuclear plants under construction that have been abandoned in multiple countries."
    - "I suddenly really, really, really care about birds, yet have completely forgotten about harm to birds from pollution."
    - "What we really need is a physically impossible electrical grid that covers (insert very large geographic area here)."
    - Elon Musk is a hero or a villain.
    - "My calculations based on retail power costs in a different place, as well as a massive overestimate of the maintenance costs, indicate this plant could never possibly be profitable."

    1. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by Scarred+Intellect · · Score: 2

      Thanks. That saves me a lot of reading. I think you forgot "teh baseload" though.

    2. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Don't forget "it's a boondoggle for big solar" and "solar panels pollute worse than coal!"

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Great job, to which I'd like to add:

      - "Why won't anyone invest in my untested & unproven Thorium reactor dream, which I nag others to pursue even though I only have my ego needs on the line?"
      - "Everyone knows coal is the future. Except for those that don't know it, and there are a lot of those people. Not many people know that!"
      - "Bah, asteroid mining is my only interest. Call me when these dopes start mining asteroids. Those things are made of solid precious metals you know."

    4. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      wouldn't that be "teh bassline" every electricity grid needs a good bassline.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    5. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by Required+Snark · · Score: 0
      There's also:

      "Thorium"

      Because any nuclear fission technology with a minuscule track record is always preferable to a proven technology that is already more cost effective, better for the environment, and has no multi-million year waste problem.

      --
      Why is Snark Required?
    6. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by blindseer · · Score: 1

      That's a nice list of predictions, here's mine:
      "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

      I see nuclear power has now finally gone beyond being ignored. Seems we're at the "laugh at you" stage now. There is no carbon free energy solution for any nation, that wishes to enter the modern economy, that does not include nuclear power.

      Here's a short video giving a quick review of some of the problems with ignoring nuclear power:
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      Here's a longer video going into more detail:
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      Is going 100% nuclear the only way to solve the world's energy problems? No, those videos should have made that clear. Judging by the success of a handful of nations that embraced nuclear power we can expect nuclear to be something like 50% to 80% of the solution.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    7. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

      wouldn't that be "teh bassline" every electricity grid needs a good bassline.

      Barney Miller or Night Court?

    8. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Night Court, definitely.

    9. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      You forgot about the birds. We can't dare kill a bird.

    10. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      I see nuclear power has now finally gone beyond being ignored. Seems we're at the "laugh at you" stage now.

      Nope. We aren't laughing. We're shaking our heads at your uselessness.

      France, the most nuclear-power-friendly country on the planet, just abandoned their latest nuclear power plant project mid-construction. Because it costs too much.

      Doesn't matter how many youtube videos you put out, you can't get the cost down low enough....Perhaps the next cost-cutting step should be not producing youtube videos.

    11. Re:Upcoming comments in this thread by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Imagine instead of nuclear power we were talking about space flight.

      "We can't send people into space!"
      "Why not?"
      "Because of the Challenger explosion!"
      "You do realize that was 32 years ago, don't you? With technology that's 40 years old now."
      "But getting into space is so expensive and dangerous, with every launch needing handcrafted rockets and a history of so many failures."
      "Rockets come off assembly lines now, built by highly automated manufacturing, using redundant safety mechanisms and fail safe systems."

      Now that same thing with nuclear.

      "We can't use nuclear power!"
      "Why not?"
      "Because of the Chernobyl explosion!"
      "You do realize that was 32 years ago, don't you? With technology that's 40 years old now."
      "But nuclear power is so expensive and dangerous, with every power plant needing handcrafted reactors and a history of so many failures."
      "Nuclear reactors come off assembly lines now, built by highly automated manufacturing, using redundant safety mechanisms and fail safe systems."

      I don't know how old you are but I'm old enough to remember Challenger and Chernobyl. There's people now that have no recollection of those incidents. Someone born in 1986 would be 32 years old now, old enough to have joined the US Navy at 18, become a nuclear technician, and looking forward to retirement after serving their 20 years just about the time President Trump would leave office if he serves two terms. What do you believe that person thinks of nuclear power? How do you believe that person will vote in that election? Keep in mind that while this person was in school he or she would have been told in public school modern history classes that the wars in the Middle East were conflicts over oil. Since then the USA has started building nuclear power plants again and much of Europe is starting to rely on Russian natural gas.

      My predictions on the future are worth precisely what you paid for them. What's happening now is not history repeating but it does rhyme. The young adults today grew up in a time of very safe and reliable nuclear power, and seeing people argue and fight over energy that nuclear power could provide. I gave an example of someone with first hand knowledge of nuclear power, which is admittedly a small portion of the population. These people though have families and friends. There's a lot of people now that know someone that served on nuclear powered Navy vessels. These people only know of Chernobyl and Challenger as something they read about in some college history course.

      What of Fukushima? Again, that's 1970s technology, older than Chernobyl. It's also in a far off place which was only read about on the internet and seen in history classes. Go ahead, keep bringing up Chernobyl as an argument against nuclear power because that's just about the only thing people can bring up to make their case. That's like telling someone that saw a Tesla sports coupe get launched to Mars about how people died on Challenger.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  10. Power Plants by StikyPad · · Score: 4, Informative

    Egypt also has a ton of wind turbines along the coast of the Red Sea, which I was surprised to learn. These are positive steps.

    That said, Egypt is also in the process of opening not one, but three gas power plants totaling 14.4GW of new capacity, dwarfing their solar initiative.

    I have friends who sell and install private solar in Egypt, but with grid power directly owned and subsidized by the state, it's hard to compete. Which is a shame, because Egypt's air pollution and AQI is right up there with India and China, and has only gotten worse over the past decade. Unfortunately the government seems about as keen to actually address air pollution as it does to support human rights, which is to say, not very much at all.

    1. Re:Power Plants by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      How many gas/coal plants are they closing? When people talk about all the fossil plants being built in Germany and China they always forget to mention that they are closing even more.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re:Power Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The back half of the article discusses the potential great impact of small producers and has this quote that portends better times for that market.

      "the government has made good on its promise to gradually cut energy subsidies — on July 1 electricity prices rose an average of 26%"

    3. Re:Power Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, air pollution from human sources is more tolerable in a desert, where you have to deal with sand storms and plain old dust. So maybe pollution isn't too much of an issue as initial startup cost. Oil/gas/coal are much denser sources of energy than Earthside solar power. (I'm not defending fossil fools, just playing devils advocate.)

    4. Re:Power Plants by StikyPad · · Score: 2

      Probably none. At least not as part of any effort to reduce emissions. The population of Egypt has grown by 30% (!) in the past 15 years despite negative net immigration, and increasing capacity is the primary focus.

      Also, a proposal for a new 6GW coal fired plant was just won by a Chinese company this year. https://www.reuters.com/articl...

    5. Re:Power Plants by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      This bugs the hell out of me, You even get environmentalists Blasély stating that gas is fine as an intermediatory step between coal and ??????, but they're too fucking lazy to even decide what the ??????? is or when it should be in place.

      The point is if we carry on like this then we'll be burning more and more gas until it's all gone and that'd be very bad for global CO2 levels. And then what? I can just see some countries going back to coal when gas starts getting expensive.

      It simply ain't good enough.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    6. Re:Power Plants by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Don't worry, once their economy collapses most of the population will try to flee to Europe and after a while civil war will take care of the real problem.

      Overpopulation.

  11. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ( I know you don't understand the difference between the type of solar described in the LA times article and a parabolic trough but I will pretend you do.)

    It's ironic how opponents of solar energy are usually not that bright.

  12. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    >> World War I and the discovery of cheap oil derailed Shuman's dream of replicating his "sun power plant" on a grand scale

    Also, ya know, physics. Not everyone has access to abundant sunshine, cheap natives and water within arm's reach.

    What boggles the mind is how NASA managed to convince the natives to help Spirit and where they got the water from! NASA sure are a crafty bunch!

    >> Shuman's plant used parabolic troughs to power a 60-70 horsepower engine

    Cool, so he was also a pioneer in "clean energy" frying birds as they flew. http://www.latimes.com/local/c...

    I would prefer 10M dead birds from concentrated solar to the 10B dead birds that oil is killing.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  13. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This has to be one of the most inane useless responses I've ever seen on Slashdot that wasn't supplied by an AC like myself.

    Meanwhile, in 1916, Shuman was doing this.

    What have you done?

  14. Go Figure by Dusanyu · · Score: 1

    Solar power in a Desert country that is reasonably close to the equator where solar would make seance. What is next Geothermal energy in Greenland?

    1. Re:Go Figure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seances are usually held in the dark though.

    2. Re:Go Figure by hey! · · Score: 1

      You just connect the terminals on the battery backwards.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  15. Next? Food! by BoRegardless · · Score: 1

    Bore through the Atlas Mountains to re-establish the inland sea that use to be there 6000 years ago. Would re-create rainfall in the western Sahara and add countless farming & fishing jobs.

  16. Now all they need is energy storage by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    They need to get on the phone with Elon Musk or at least someone who can provide them with energy storage to cover the surplus they'll generate during peak daylight hours.

    1. Re:Now all they need is energy storage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is easy to store the heat in a Solar thermal plant to extend the generating
      time into the evening. Doesnt need Elon Musk. It increases the cost of course,
      but there is nothing stopping them adding it in stages to spread out the cost.
      Solar power is not appropriate everywhere, but it is hard to imagine a much more
      viable implementation than in a desert.

      And as for the financial viability of Nuclear. Two words. Hinkley Point. Real project.
      Real money. Completely bullshit financials. Doesnt make any sense at all even assuming
      it comes online on schedule, which is highly unlikely. Nuclear is finished.

    2. Re:Now all they need is energy storage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not Australia, Egypt also has huge hydro plants on river Nile, it is easy to use it as a storage - just slow the emptying of the accumulation when solar electricity is contributing to supply, and ramp it up over night.

    3. Re:Now all they need is energy storage by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      nuclear is finished

      Oh well since YOU say so.. STFU. We need to get over the whole nuclear boogieman thing and embrace it.

  17. Solar vs. hydro by Nidi62 · · Score: 1
    So did Eqypt kill the head of the multi-billion dollar dam project in Ethiopia because it could affect the Nile, or because the power generated would compete with this project?

    So, the Egypt killing him part is speculation, but the head engineer of a $5 billion dam project being built on a Nile tributary in Ethiopia was recently found dead in his car in what looked suspiciously like a faked suicide. There's a lot of potential for big energy money in Northeast Africa right now, enough to make whichever state can harness it first a major geopolitical player.

    --
    The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    1. Re:Solar vs. hydro by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > So, the Egypt killing him part is speculation

      Yeah, let's feed into that because the internet definitely needs more bogus speculation.

    2. Re:Solar vs. hydro by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Egyptian government and their allies (including the west) probably strong armed Ethiopia into delaying the dam. If that had already happened it is much more likely that the Ethiopian government had him killed to cover up that fact.

      He had become irrelevant to Egypt, but a thorn in the side of Ethiopian government.

  18. Nuclear Ideologists by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    That's a nice list of predictions, here's mine: "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

    Seems like you have a bit of underdog syndrome going there blindseer. Nuclear has been going since the 50's when it was "too cheap to meter" and received billions of dollars of taxpayer funded subsidies - and still does.

    Nuclear Ideologists have been laughing at solar, wind and geothermal projects for the entire time. You're a prime example of someone fighting those visions of the future by attempting to hold us to a failing nuclear past.

    You've ignored solar, laughed at solar and you've been fighting solar so that it won't win.

    I see nuclear power has now finally gone beyond being ignored. Seems we're at the "laugh at you" stage now.

    No one is laughing at Nuclear Power, it's a very serious matter that we have to deal with in our generation. It's an onerous responsibility forced upon us by the Cold war generation. Our responsibility is to deal with the radionuclide AND carbon legacy left to us by a generation that didn't know any better because we do know better.

    That's why people are tired of all your bullshit, and that's why they're laughing at you. Your Nuclear Ideology is so completely absurd and divorced from reality that you've made it clear it's everyone else. Here's my list of why they laugh at you:

    • You're all about blaming NIMBYs and greenies for the Nuclear industries woes instead of the fact that it isn't a cost effective investment.
    • You're all about everyone else being too stupid to see how good *some new reactor technology* is when it is the oil and coal companies that comprehensively dismantled that technology by lobbying government.
    • You're all about forcing lots of other people who have valid concerns to accept your worldview without addressing those concerns.
    • You're all about minimizing and refusing to take responsibility when someones community gets obliterated by an exploding nuclear reactor which you then point to and say - see it's perfectly safe.
    • You're all about relying on subterfuge and political point scoring to deny the effects these elements have on DNA in the environment, then pour scorn on people who are rightfully scared of that.
    • You want the best for everyone and don't care who gets hurt so you get your way.

    While all the greenies were concerned with oil and coal companies polluting the air and water by protesting against that in previous decades, the oil and coal companies manipulated pro-nukkers into attacking greenies while they destroyed IFR in its infancy. You concentrated on blaming people that may have been your allies if you you weren't so morally superior and dogmatically skeptical.

    Whenever anyone tried to explain that to you pro-nukkers you instead concentrated on destroying them for asking intelligent questions that you had no answer for. When they went out and found the answers themselves the true nightmare of the effect of radionuclide contamination on the human genome became apparent and you pretend it doesn't happen. That's when everyone could see that you were Nuclear Ideologists, that your worldview is a political system based in social proof, rhetoric and a very dangerous lie.

    Nuclear Ideology, it's the false reality too expensive to maintain.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    1. Re:Nuclear Ideologists by blindseer · · Score: 2

      Seems like you have a bit of underdog syndrome going there blindseer. Nuclear has been going since the 50's when it was "too cheap to meter" and received billions of dollars of taxpayer funded subsidies - and still does.

      I can't find the precise numbers right now but nuclear does get billions in subsidies, but wind and solar get many times more. Nuclear power produces about 20% of the electricity in the USA, while wind and solar produce less than 10% combined. That means we get much more electricity for each dollar spent on nuclear than from wind and solar.

      You're all about blaming NIMBYs and greenies for the Nuclear industries woes instead of the fact that it isn't a cost effective investment.

      Huh? I'm not sure what you are saying here. It's pretty apparent that the reason nuclear power is not cost effective is because of the NIMBYs and "greenies" constantly protesting and tossing wrenches in the works. The material and engineering costs for a nuclear power plant are comparable to that of a coal plant, which makes sense because the two kinds of plants are highly similar. The only reason nuclear costs so much is because of the lawyers having to fight constantly for a license to get issued. Since they keep fighting for these licenses, in spite of the legal costs, then they still must expect to get their money back somehow. It's cost effective, otherwise no one would bother to even apply for a license.

      You're all about everyone else being too stupid to see how good *some new reactor technology* is when it is the oil and coal companies that comprehensively dismantled that technology by lobbying government.

      Current third generation designs do just fine on being cost effective, safe, low carbon, and low waste. It's because NIMBYs have kept protesting and suing the government when a license for a new reactor is issued that we have kept these second generation power plants running for decades beyond their designed life span. We don't need "some new technology" to make nuclear power cheap and safe, we just need a government willing to issue licenses for new reactors to replace the old. But there's far less political risk to extend the license on an old reactor than issue a license for a replacement. We can thank the NIMBYs for that. So, we have dozens of second generation reactors, like at Chernobyl and Fukushima, instead of far safer third generation designs.

      Oh, and there's political risk in not extending the licenses for old nuclear power plants. That would mean protests for new coal plants, or natural gas plants, that would have to replace it. Or even some NIMBY not wanting windmills to spoil their view of the bay. There would also be protests for lost jobs at shuttering a nuclear power plant. So, the NIMBYs backed the politicians in a corner, and the path of least resistance is quietly extending the license on a 40 or 50 year old nuclear reactor for another 10 years.

      You're all about forcing lots of other people who have valid concerns to accept your worldview without addressing those concerns.

      But they are not valid concerns. Nuclear power is safe. This is especially true with current third generation designs instead of the second generation designs that like to get "explody" when run by drunken soviet bureaucrats, or hit by a once in a century tsunami. We aren't going to get rid of the "explody" reactors without replacing them with new reactors, because even with the NIMBYs the path to a new reactor has lower resistance than coal power, bird killing and view destroying wind, or letting the lights go dark.

      Nuclear Ideology, it's the false reality too expensive to maintain.

      Nuclear power is the worst form of energy, except all the others. We are running out of choices and new nuclear power plants will have to be built. We can do that now or later, but it will happen. It would be nice to see some o

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    2. Re:Nuclear Ideologists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be nice to see some of the restrictions lifted that prevent development of fourth generation nuclear power but third generation is fine as well.

      Third generation nuclear is fine where it works, but it does have limitations. It needs water cooling which limits site selection, and produces low temperature heat making it useless for industrial processes. That leaves a large part of the clean energy problem unaddressed.

      Less obvious, is that water cooled reactors will always be very high pressure systems necessitating ~9" (23cm) thick piping/pressure vessels, and enormous concrete/steel containment structures for when pressure is lost and the water flashes to steam. There is no avoiding the large amount of complicated and time-consuming on-site construction work, and there are few places able to forge the parts needed, both of which will slow builds.

      Molten salt reactors address these issues, and are inherently safe low-pressure/high-temperature systems, which may be compact and factory produced, with simple on-site construction and safety systems. Some supporting conventional nuclear are failing to appreciate these points and actively critical of advanced reactors, when they are a necessary part of a viable roadmap.

    3. Re:Nuclear Ideologists by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Third generation nuclear is fine where it works, but it does have limitations. It needs water cooling which limits site selection, and produces low temperature heat making it useless for industrial processes. That leaves a large part of the clean energy problem unaddressed.

      Third generation nuclear is pretty bad about needing cooling water. Running at such low temperatures does mean that it's useful for industrial heat or electricity, but not both at the same time. Saying it leaves a large part of the clean energy problem unaddressed is a stretch. Third generation nuclear is basically a coal plant but without needing the coal, that alone solves a lot of problems. Fourth generation would be better, for example being able to produce heat for electricity and still have enough heat left over for something like desalinating water. If we lifted the effective ban on fourth generation nuclear today then we could expect prototypes in 5 years, and small scale commercial plants in 10 years. At least that's what the molten salt reactor people claim.

      Less obvious, is that water cooled reactors will always be very high pressure systems necessitating ~9" (23cm) thick piping/pressure vessels, and enormous concrete/steel containment structures for when pressure is lost and the water flashes to steam. There is no avoiding the large amount of complicated and time-consuming on-site construction work, and there are few places able to forge the parts needed, both of which will slow builds.

      The only reason these large parts are so difficult to obtain is that there's been no demand for them. Show the industry a demand, by issuing licenses for reactors, and we'll see the forges built. You think those forges we have now just appeared from thin air? They appeared because people wanted these large forged parts.

      There are ways to avoid these complicated and time consuming on-site construction. Set up a license structure where a design is approved so an assembly line can be made. You think nuclear reactors can't be made assembly line style? We do that with Boeing jets, those are multi-million dollar projects that are at least as complex as a nuclear reactor. The difference is that a nuclear reactor tend to stay in the same spot once it is powered up. We build Nimitz class aircraft carriers on an assembly line, and that's a multi-billion dollar project with a nuclear power plant inside.

      Molten salt reactors address these issues, and are inherently safe low-pressure/high-temperature systems, which may be compact and factory produced, with simple on-site construction and safety systems. Some supporting conventional nuclear are failing to appreciate these points and actively critical of advanced reactors, when they are a necessary part of a viable roadmap.

      We don't need to go to molten salt reactors for assembly line production of nuclear power. Military nuclear reactors have been built assembly line style for decades. The only difference is the scale.

      I'm not so sure the incumbent nuclear power people are as opposed to molten salt reactors. They opposed molten salt reactors in the past because it threatened their "razor and blades" business model. They'd take a hit on the building of the reactor knowing they'd make a good sized profit on making the fuel assemblies. Now that all these reactors are starting to reach end of life their ability to profit on the fuel manufacture will dry up. Even a single plant shutdown could threaten this model. I'm guessing that we'll see solid fuel reactors get shut down because the people supplying the fuel just don't want to be in that business any more. This will force the utilities to shutdown the reactor or go through the process of finding someone willing to make the high precision fuel assemblies.

      It's great being the first to do something but no one is afraid of being second. A lot of details behind building a MSR was lost when the experimental reactors were

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    4. Re:Nuclear Ideologists by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Seems like you have a bit of underdog syndrome going there blindseer. Nuclear has been going since the 50's when it was "too cheap to meter" and received billions of dollars of taxpayer funded subsidies - and still does.

      I can't find the precise numbers right now but nuclear does get billions in subsidies, but wind and solar get many times more. Nuclear power produces about 20% of the electricity in the USA, while wind and solar produce less than 10% combined. That means we get much more electricity for each dollar spent on nuclear than from wind and solar.

      I have the precise numbers. 2005 U.S Energy Policy Act.

      Solar and wind are covered under SEC.812, the two combined get one section . They have to raise 20% of their own funding for research and %50 of their own funding for Commercial with no other appropriations under the Energy Act. Instead they have to seek funding through the Small Business Act.

      As opposed to Nuclear that has twenty five sections dedicated to it, with funding allocations in various sections. Let's see:

      • $1662000000 from 2005-2020, that's the first section with 25 to go and nuclear already tramples solar and wind funding.
      • $10,000,000,000 in PERSONAL indemnities.
      • $500,000,000 indemnity for accident outside the US
      • One for EBR fans and sodium reactor fans $16,000,000 to destroy the technology - but keep blaming the Nimbys and greenies
      • $100,000,000 for *demonstration* hydrogen producing reactor That no one has utilized to replace oil
      • $500,000,000 to cover regulatory delays and another $250,000,000 for delays in the first 180 days PER CONTRACT

      So your claims looks like more of your laughable rhetoric. Solar and wind get nothing compared to this gross form of corporate welfare. Everything from R&D to commercial operations are covered and the US government bends over backwards to ensure nuclear power gets everything it needs.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    5. Re:Nuclear Ideologists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only reason these large parts are so difficult to obtain is that there's been no demand for them. Show the industry a demand, by issuing licenses for reactors, and we'll see the forges built. You think those forges we have now just appeared from thin air? They appeared because people wanted these large forged parts.

      There are ways to avoid these complicated and time consuming on-site construction.

      Obviously it was done at one point, but the industry is effectively starting the supply chain from scratch, with absurdly onerous regulations today. With such high pressures, the parts do need to be near perfect, often multiply redundant, and will never be cheap. Some might be made in a factory, but I'm unaware of any way to construct a containment building which doesn't require very lengthy and complex onsite construction work. Not that it isn't worth doing, but we also need to be doing more.

      I'm not so sure the incumbent nuclear power people are as opposed to molten salt reactors. They opposed molten salt reactors in the past because it threatened their "razor and blades" business model. They'd take a hit on the building of the reactor knowing they'd make a good sized profit on making the fuel assemblies. Now that all these reactors are starting to reach end of life their ability to profit on the fuel manufacture will dry up. Even a single plant shutdown could threaten this model. I'm guessing that we'll see solid fuel reactors get shut down because the people supplying the fuel just don't want to be in that business any more. This will force the utilities to shutdown the reactor or go through the process of finding someone willing to make the high precision fuel assemblies.

      This is an interesting perspective on the fuel, and I hope you are right. Reactors uprated by using Lightbridge's metallic fuel might extend their life a while, but I've always wondered how that might work with such a variety of fuel assemblies.

      It's great being the first to do something but no one is afraid of being second. A lot of details behind building a MSR was lost when the experimental reactors were broken down and the people that built them started to die off. Getting that back will take a lot of work. Once someone does that work then there will be all kinds of copycats. I expect to see a new MSR in the USA about one year after its done in China, Russia, or India. After that the USA will quite likely be building a dozen of them every year.

      A thorium breeder will take longer, but something like ThorCon or Terrestrial's IMSR really shouldn't pose much trouble; the MSR work was well documented and these are very similar. My only real pessimism derives from the insane nuclear regulatory environments in the west.

    6. Re:Nuclear Ideologists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have the precise numbers. 2005 U.S Energy Policy Act.

      Anti-nukes love to go on about indemnities, but the actual cost to date is close to if not $0, and isn't likely to grow much.

      So your claims looks like more of your laughable rhetoric. Solar and wind get nothing compared to this gross form of corporate welfare. Everything from R&D to commercial operations are covered and the US government bends over backwards to ensure nuclear power gets everything it needs.

      What is laughable is your pitiful attempt to deceive people by ignoring the amount of energy generated while talking subsidies. Even if you included all the ridiculous numbers you cited, an honest comparison of subsidy per kWh would indeed show a "gross form of corporate welfare", just not for nuclear or even fossil fuels.

    7. Re:Nuclear Ideologists by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      I have the precise numbers. 2005 U.S Energy Policy Act.

      Anti-nukes love to go on about indemnities, but the actual cost to date is close to if not $0, and isn't likely to grow much.

      I'm not anti-nuke, I'm anti-stupid. So what does that have to do with the funding of nuclear vs solar whilst you ignore billions of dollars of actual appropriations and input tax credits that rape the taxpayers wallet. ...Nothing.

      What is laughable is your pitiful attempt to deceive people by ignoring the amount of energy generated while talking subsidies.

      Except you already know that nuclear doesn't generate an energy return, otherwise you're too stupid to read the page I linked you before.

      Even if you included all the ridiculous numbers you cited, an honest comparison of subsidy per kWh would indeed show a "gross form of corporate welfare", just not for nuclear or even fossil fuels.

      Oh you mean the ridiculous numbers that congress passed into law.

      Nuclear Ideologist and your crumbling nuclear ideology. All the funding is there for your new reactors and no one is using it. You're so naive it's pathetic. You know the nuclear industry calls you useful idiots don't you?

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  19. Re:Also, ya know, physics by blindseer · · Score: 0

    That's 6000 birds killed per year at a single 400MW solar power facility. Let's scale that up to the 100GW that nuclear power provides in the USA.

    100GW / 400MW * 6000 = 1.5 million

    But then we have to factor in the capacity factor difference to get a more accurate comparison of actual energy produced. Nuclear power in the USA has an average capacity factor of over 90%, but just to make the math easy let's just assume it's four times that of Ivanpah, which has a capacity factor of about 20%. That means if we replace nuclear power in the USA with concentrated solar thermal power that would mean 6 million birds killed.

    Now, we can not simply take this as the total because nuclear power does not kill zero birds. I did some searching on the internet and I get different numbers of birds killed by nuclear power but they fall between 500,000 on the high end to 300,000 on the low end. So, that would mean at least an additional 5 million birds killed if we replaced nuclear power with concentrated solar thermal power.

    For comparison I've seen estimates that coal kills somewhere between 8 million and 25 million birds per year. Coal produces about 30% of the electricity in the USA. A little back of the envelope math tells me that on the low end of those numbers coal is as dangerous for birds as solar. If we take the high end of bird kills then solar looks pretty good by comparison to coal.

    Wind produces about 5% of the electricity in the USA (compared to about 20% for nuclear) and kills somewhere around 250,000 birds. Scale that electrical output up to what nuclear produces and that's about 1 million per year. Not that bad, but still higher than nuclear.

    None of this compares to the billions of birds killed by domestic cats but domestic cats don't hunt eagles. Windmills, solar collectors, and (I can only assume) nuclear power plants, kill eagles. Domestic cats don't kill eagles. If people care at all about protecting threatened eagle species then wind and solar are not the energy sources you are looking for.

    Oh, one more thing. Electric power lines kill somewhere around 50 million birds per year. There's wide error bars on that, and I don't know how many of those would be eagles. If the solution for addressing the intermittent nature of wind and solar is putting up more power lines to move the electricity from where it is produced (as the sun and winds move) to where it is needed then we can expect this number to grow. How many more birds would be killed? I believe it doesn't matter, I've already shown that nuclear power would reduce the birds killed while wind and sun would increase it. I've established that birds would be saved with nuclear power, the only question is the magnitude.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  20. Re:Also, ya know, physics by PopeRatzo · · Score: 0

    Let's scale that up to the 100GW that nuclear power provides in the USA.

    100GW / 400MW * 6000 = 1.5 million

    That's still fewer than the number of birds killed by Texas hunters every year.

    Can you please stop pretending you care about birds? You embarrass yourself. It is possible for you to say that you don't believe there should be any solar energy used in the US, and only nuclear plants should be built and subsidized by the government without having to make up some big narrative about saving the lives of birds.

    If you loved birds, you would hate hunting, and my guess is you're one of these brave militia types who believe that the tree of liberty has to be watered with the blood of innocent animals. Or something. For liberty. So don't play. Peddle your FUD elsewhere.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  21. Re:Also, ya know, physics by blindseer · · Score: 1

    That's still fewer than the number of birds killed by Texas hunters every year.

    I don't dispute that it's fewer. I also don't dispute that lots of birds are killed by hunters in Texas. I'm just curious though where you got that number. Is that birds taken in legal hunts? Illegally killed? Both? I'm guessing that if this is all legal hunting then how is that relevant? The reason that hunters can take these birds as game is because it is deemed as part of population control of certain species. That's how conservation works.

    Can you please stop pretending you care about birds?

    Oh, right, I forgot my usual disclaimer. Birds are jerks. I don't care about the birds.

    It is possible for you to say that you don't believe there should be any solar energy used in the US, and only nuclear plants should be built and subsidized by the government without having to make up some big narrative about saving the lives of birds.

    I just thought it would be relevant to the discussion to put bird deaths by the different energy sources into perspective. I'm not arguing that nuclear should be used to the exclusion of all other energy sources, only that nuclear must be part of the solution to solve our energy problems if a modern economy is to continue existing.

    If you loved birds, you would hate hunting,

    I don't see why I can't love birds and hunting. Birds are jerks but they are also tasty.

    and my guess is you're one of these brave militia types who believe that the tree of liberty has to be watered with the blood of innocent animals. Or something. For liberty. So don't play. Peddle your FUD elsewhere.

    The whole of the arguments against nuclear power are based on fear, uncertainty, and doubt. Whenever there's a mention of trying to get a new nuclear reactor built there's mention of Chernobyl and Fukushima. Both those reactors were second generation designs, designs that required active safety systems to prevent a meltdown. With Chernobyl the active safety systems were disabled by drunken fools that wanted to impress their superiors. With Fukushima the problems were the active safety systems were overwhelmed by a combination of ignoring known faults in the design (just having the sea wall to spec could have saved the plant) and that it was hit by a rare tsunami that exceeded expectations. Well, we have new expectations now. We also have had passive safety systems, that don't require external power like second generation designs, for at least 20 years now.

    What kind of FUD did I bring here? I showed my math. I know I didn't cite my sources but if you dispute them I'll go dig them up for you.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  22. Re:Also, ya know, physics by PopeRatzo · · Score: 0

    I'm guessing that if this is all legal hunting then how is that relevant?

    Solar power plants are also legal.

    You just thought that nuclear power is so great that to make your point you had to turn a discussion of solar power into pearl-clutching over dead birds.

    We can revisit this discussion when nuclear power doesn't need government subsidies to exist. It's been around like half a century, and it still requires government support. You would think a mature world-saving technology wouldn't need government support OR you trying to hijack discussions of solar power with FUD.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  23. Re:Also, ya know, physics by blindseer · · Score: 1

    You would think a mature world-saving technology wouldn't need government support OR you trying to hijack discussions of solar power with FUD.

    I'm fine with doing away with the energy subsidies. Let's not subsidize solar, wind, oil, coal, ethanol, or even nuclear. Let's level the playing field and see who wins.

    Given how loudly the wind lobby screams (usually into my phone in election years) when their precious subsidies are threatened I suspect even "mature world saving technology" that is wind wouldn't be very successful without the subsidies they've been getting.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  24. Re:Next? Food! by sysrammer · · Score: 1

    Bore through the Atlas Mountains ...

    Elon has this plan...

    --
    His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  25. Re:Also, ya know, physics by shilly · · Score: 1

    Um. Not to point out the bleeding obvious, or anything, but taking away subsidy today doesn't account for the investments of subsidies in various tech types in the past. So it doesn't create a level playing field.

  26. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From wikipedia:

    Cats that live in the wild or indoor pets allowed to roam outdoors kill from 1.4 billion to as many as 3.7 billion birds in the continental U.S. each year, says a new study that escalates a decades-old debate over the feline threat to native animals.

    Let's not pretend wind power is a meaningful threat to birds.

  27. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm guessing that if this is all legal hunting then how is that relevant?

    Solar power plants are also legal.

    Apparently you've never hunted because if you did then you would have taken a state mandated course to get a license, where things like why the state allows hunting is explained. The state allows the legal killing of birds because the state has biologists and other scientists that figure out how many birds of a species are "extra" and fit for being culled from the population. This is different than birds that wind up dead from other human activity, like building solar thermal plants, where the birds that die are random and may be the kind that the biologists consider "not extra". In fact it may be worse than merely being "not extra", these birds may be threatened with extinction.

    A quick Google search tells me this:

    According to a study in the Wildlife Society Bulletin, every year 573,000 birds (including 83,000 raptors) and 888,000 bats are killed by wind turbines — 30 percent higher than the federal government estimated in 2009, due mainly to increasing wind power capacity across the nation. This is likely an underestimate because these estimates were based on 51,630 megawatts of installed wind capacity in the United States in 2012 and wind capacity has grown since then to 65,879 megawatts. And, at one solar power plant in California, an estimated 3,500 birds died in just the plant’s first year of operation.

    https://instituteforenergyresearch.org/analysis/license-to-kill-wind-and-solar-decimate-birds-and-bats/

    Those dead raptors could be a species that are considered a nuisance, and the conservation officers might be glad they are dead, or they could be bald eagles, which are protected. If these hunters in Texas are shooting bald eagles then they deserve to go to prison. If they are hunting plentiful game birds, and exceedingly numerous nuisance birds, then they deserve thanks.

    It seems quite certain that these solar collectors are killing protected species of birds. In that case maybe the solar power plants should no longer be legal. You can dismiss the concerns of dead birds that are protected under law now because the numbers are small, at least for now. This is because solar power produces less than 5% of our electricity. What happens if the dreams of moonbats like Helen Caldicott are realized and all our energy comes from the sun and wind? That means we can't dismiss the deaths of these birds any more. These power plants might put those Texas hunters out of business as there aren't any birds for them to kill any more.

    I like to hunt birds. I'd like to keep hunting birds. I won't be able to hunt birds if these windmills and solar collectors keep killing them. Maybe if you shut up and fucking listen for a bit you might learn why it's important which species of birds are being killed, both by hunters and stupid fucking solar panels. Legal hunters ARE NOT killing bald eagles. Legal solar panels ARE killing bald eagles. You might not care if bald eagles get killed but other people do. If solar panels are killing the birds I want to hunt, or the raptors that control the rodents, then I don't want solar panels anywhere near me. I'll take nuclear power instead.

  28. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FYI, from wikipedia:

    Cats that live in the wild or indoor pets allowed to roam outdoors kill from 1.4 billion to as many as 3.7 billion birds in the continental U.S. each year, says a new study that escalates a decades-old debate over the feline threat to native animals.

    So let's not pretend wind power is a meaningful threat to birds.

  29. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

    Then you'd be wrong. Compare the unsubsidised LCOE columns, and look how nuclear is still double the cost of wind.

    --
    Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  30. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Um. Not to point out the bleeding obvious, or anything, but taking away subsidy today doesn't account for the investments of subsidies in various tech types in the past. So it doesn't create a level playing field.

    That's correct. What I recall is that wind and solar needed subsidies to "jump start" the industry. Well, it's got its jump start now. Let's see if it can sink or swim on its own.

    There's something different about nuclear power and government subsidies though. Nuclear power can propel submarines and aircraft carriers. Uncle Sam therefore has an inherent interest in nuclear power, it makes the US Navy go faster, farther, and without having to stop for fuel. It's been a long time since the US Navy protected American interests with wind propelled warships. Solar panels on a main battle tank isn't going to make it move any faster.

    I remember ethanol being a valuable commodity in making gunpowder in World War One, but is it all that valuable now? I mean as a commodity for national defense. Maybe I'm mistaken but I'm quite sure we don't use the same kind of gunpowder today, or at least we make it differently now. I'd think the government would rather corn syrup be kept as is, instead of converted to alcohol, for dumping on pancakes, or making energy bars, or other food product. Again, I say that with the thinking of national defense being the primary concern of the federal government. If there's another big war then I suspect that those corn ethanol plants will get shut down real quick, because the US imports a lot of calories in sugar and other foods and burning food in that case is a bad idea.

    Well, burning food in any situation is a bad idea. Ethanol is shit for fuel, no one would even consider burning it if it wasn't for the government subsidies. It may have been a neat little experiment to try out for a while but that should be the first energy subsidy to go. If I'm wrong about that then ethanol should do just fine on its own, given all the money it got for a "jump start".

    Everyone got a jump start. Time to see how every energy source can compete now.

  31. Re:Also, ya know, physics by blindseer · · Score: 1

    If you actually bothered to read the report, rather than just look at the charts and graphs, you'd see that they point out that their cost analysis did not account for issues like the regional needs and existing electricity generation capacity.

    In other words, it's complicated.

    If wind power didn't need these subsidies then the wind lobby wouldn't spend so much money on push poll calls, radio advertisements, and letters in the mail, for me to vote a certain way. What has happened is that these wind subsidies have turned into a political money laundering scheme. A political party can now vote in favor of wind subsidy to encourage these subsidies getting turned into political contributions. The politicians can leverage a their vote in favor of a wind subsidy to get money for reelection.

    I'll give you two guesses on which political party benefits from energy subsidies, like those for wind.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  32. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

    Yeah, they talk about regional variations further down; keep reading. But this is just illustrative anyway, and obviously the region of Egypt will likely vary rather more from those figures. Solar, for example, is likely to be somewhat cheaper per MW than listed, given their latitude and climate. I couldn't find any equivalent reports for Egypt itself, sadly.

    I can see you prefer to believe that "politics" is the main reason why nuclear isn't as cheap as wind, but the evidence cited so far does not bear out that view. Feel free to provide anything that substantiates your point of view.

    --
    Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  33. Sigh by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

    "It will single-handedly put Egypt on the clean energy map"

    Right, because Aswan doesn't exist.

  34. Public works project by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Much like the pyramids.. Government provides a job building something useful, while tens of thousands of people are otherwise unemployed and potentially getting into trouble.

  35. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here you go. Nuclear is objectively cheaper, but that doesn't matter with renewable mandates and subsidies that allow them to pay people to waste electricity and still make money.

    Advocates love to point at LCOE as "proof", but that is not an accurate reflection of the real costs, and the EIA even warns that it should not be used to compare variable with reliable sources.

  36. German tax payers paid for this by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

    This was paid for by a state guaranteed loan from Germany, which is never going to be paid back because Egypt won't stop being an economic basket case. Western governments are using loans as disguised foreign aid to prop up countries in a Malthusian trap ... trying to keep the status quo going for a bit longer. It's all going to come tumbling down, the only question is if there will be an Europe at the end of it or if we will join Africa and the Middle-East's descend into Anarchy.

    I'm guessing we will, I'm also guessing the US and Israel have plans to sabotage/capture all nuclear material in Europe and the non Israeli Middle East for when it does happen. It would be silly not to have them.

  37. Re:Also, ya know, physics by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    100GW / 400MW * 6000 = 1.5 million

    That has got to be the dumbest misapplication of maths I have ever seen. And I've seen some pretty dumb shit posted on Slashdot before.

  38. Re:Also, ya know, physics by blindseer · · Score: 1

    Okay then, how would you do the math?

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  39. Re:Also, ya know, physics by OwP_Fabricated · · Score: 1

    Nuclear is nice if you want baseline power you can just anywhere that won't necessarily get cracked wide open by a fault line.

    Nuclear has had a ridiculous, insane amount of bullshit FUD spread about it because of old reactor designs, two preventable disasters, and ignoring newer reactor designs that don't do any of the things people cry about. The most modern reactor designs could basically be bombed and cause less environmental damage than a shitload of coal sludge or a few years of fly ash.

    The NIMBY crowd is still huge and encompasses basically everyone left center and right because...well, NIMBY people are pretty universally stupid and driven by a primal fear that bypasses party/political affiliation.

    It's still way the fuck more expensive than basically all alternatives and still has its own drawbacks and hazards.

    My answer: Nationalize electricity production. If we can spend a shitzillion dollars on a piece of shit jet that won't ever accomplish anything outside of asphyxiating pilots when they cross the international date line we can spend it on completely taking over power generation so we can just wholesale move to whatever makes the most sense in terms of protecting the environment and meeting our future power needs.

  40. Re:Also, ya know, physics by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

    Opinion pieces that gloss right over construction and decommissioning costs aren't reliable sources either.

    LCOE is not the whole story, I agree - dispatchable power has extra value, and you need a certain amount of that. While you can make renewables more dispatchable with storage, that adds extra costs, so the big picture is going to depend on local grid needs. And I'm not against nuclear; there are cases where nuclear makes far more sense than renewables. But you have to look at the costs of both objectively, and for a number of cases, unsubsidised renewables with added dispatchable storage are still cheaper than nuclear by LCOE.

    No single energy source works best for all possible cases, so why not be objective about all the costs (including LCOE, health, environment, grid stability, capital risks etc), and just use what works in a given situation for the best overall price?

    --
    Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  41. Re:Also, ya know, physics by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    Sure as fuck not by linear extrapolation. There is not a single thing linear in the power generation industry, not size of plants, not cost, and sure as heck not your doom and gloom "I care about a few birds" scenario.