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AI Identifies Heat-Resistant Coral Reefs In Indonesia (theguardian.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: Between 2014 and 2017, the world's reefs endured the worst coral bleaching event in history, as the cyclical El Nino climate event combined with anthropogenic warming to cause unprecedented increases in water temperature. But the June survey, funded by Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen's family foundation, found the Sulawesi reefs were surprisingly healthy. In fact they were in better condition than when they were originally surveyed in 2014 -- a surprise for British scientist Dr Emma Kennedy, who led the research team.

A combination of 360-degree imaging tech and Artificial Intelligence (AI) allowed scientists to gather and analyze more than 56,000 images of shallow water reefs. Over the course of a six-week voyage, the team deployed underwater scooters fitted with 360 degree cameras that allowed them to photograph up to 1.5 miles of reef per dive, covering a total of 1487 square miles in total. Researchers at the University of Queensland in Australia then used cutting edge AI software to handle the normally laborious process of identifying and cataloguing the reef imagery. Using the latest Deep Learning tech, they 'taught' the AI how to detect patterns in the complex contours and textures of the reef imagery and thus recognize different types of coral and other reef invertebrates. Once the AI had shown between 400 and 600 images, it was able to process images autonomously.
The Ocean Agency has published a short 2-minute video on YouTube about the Coral Triangle survey.

86 comments

  1. Trying to make up by Topwiz · · Score: 1

    I wonder if Paul's family gave them the money because his boat almost completely destroyed a reef a couple years back.

  2. Way cool by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    It is nice that Paul Allen is actually funding things that really help society. Finding coral that can deal with the heat is really important to a lot of ocean life.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Way cool by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      It is nice that Paul Allen is actually funding things that really help society. Finding coral that can deal with the heat is really important to a lot of ocean life.

      Probably different species involved than the species that can't survive the heat. Yeah, fantastic that there is a survivor; but there is still going to be a mass extinction of coral species unfortunately.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Way cool by luis_a_espinal · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It is nice that Paul Allen is actually funding things that really help society. Finding coral that can deal with the heat is really important to a lot of ocean life.

      Probably different species involved than the species that can't survive the heat. Yeah, fantastic that there is a survivor; but there is still going to be a mass extinction of coral species unfortunately.

      You are absolutely right. We are heading towards an extinction event. The only thing left to do (sans finding a way to revert global heat-up) is to repopulate devastated areas with more heat-resistance species.

      I think that will be a necessity (since live reefs are an ecological necessity), but this implies we are going to start treating reefs the way we treat agriculture - using more resistant crops to phase out those that aren't.

      A necessary step, but not a pretty one no matter how we slice it.

  3. But can it find criminals in plain sight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Trump and company, and all republican politicos, need to be STOPPED at all costs before we all DIE! Where is braveheart's king when you need him!

    1. Re:But can it find criminals in plain sight? by Ferretman · · Score: 1

      Um...where was the reference to Trump there, friend?

      Ferret

      --
      Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    2. Re:But can it find criminals in plain sight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AC we are all going to die someday anyway, but you'll want to stick around to see who Trump replaces Justice RBG with. And you'll want to see how large a margin Trump wins his second term by in 2020. And you'll want to see the last humpback whale with your own eyes, and witness the chaos in the next decade or two when both polar icecaps and Greenland melt completely. Sure, NYC and much of Florida will submerge, but there are solutions for that. (Just ask Venice!) Boats are more efficient than taxi cabs anyway. Good times are surely ahead. Antarctica will become habitable in our lifetimes!

    3. Re:But can it find criminals in plain sight? by Killall+-9+Bash · · Score: 1, Interesting

      When i was a kid, in the 1980's, the alarmists said the sea levels would rise 2 feet and coastlines would change by 2020. Fuck climatology.

      --
      "Prediction: within 10 years, Windows will be a Linux distribution." Me, 7-6-2016
    4. Re:But can it find criminals in plain sight? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Not sure who the alarmists are, but maybe look to the scientific literature instead. The IPCC report at the time suggested that we shouldn't expect 2 feet of sea level rise until 2100 (and certainly not by 2020!) , but may only get 1 foot by 2100. See figure 12 of the IPCC FAR WG1: https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreport...

      So maybe fuck the alarmists (whoever those folks are) but trust the science?

    5. Re:But can it find criminals in plain sight? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If Trump is impeached, President Pence will vanquish liberalism forever.

  4. Seems great but... by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    unless they can start growing this coral everywhere as fast as the current coral is dying then there are still going to be a large die-offs in oceans. The proliferation of this coral is the kind of thing you would expect to happen naturally over thousands of years. We still need to clean up this planet.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    1. Re:Seems great but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We still need to clean up this planet.

      Why?

    2. Re:Seems great but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heat isn't the only problem coral is facing either. More CO2 in the ocean means higher acidity levels. Agricultural and other land runoff also damages coral. Basically they are getting hit from all sides by humanity.

      Even though the ocean is immense, enough carbon dioxide can have a major impact. In the past 200 years alone, ocean water has become 30 percent more acidic—faster than any known change in ocean chemistry in the last 50 million years...
      At its core, the issue of ocean acidification is simple chemistry. There are two important things to remember about what happens when carbon dioxide dissolves in seawater. First, the pH of seawater water gets lower as it becomes more acidic. Second, this process binds up carbonate ions and makes them less abundant—ions that corals, oysters, mussels, and many other shelled organisms need to build shells and skeletons.

      Well documented by 25 years of AIMS research on the Reef, the increased sediment and nutrient loads to coastal waters:

            * smother coral reef organisms due to the settling of suspended sediment
            * reduce light availability for coral and seagrass photosynthesis due to increased turbidity
            * favour the growth of macroalgae at the expense of corals due to high nutrient availability.

      More recent work on contaminants such as agricultural pesticides has demonstrated that several reef foundation species are highly sensitive to acute exposure of herbicides. The potential build-up of contaminants can weaken the health and resilience of corals and other organisms, making them more susceptible to disease outbreaks or climate impacts.

  5. Or, maybe local conditions were cooler by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Even if global temperatures rise, there will still be patches that aren't affected, or are even cooler than they were before, thanks to a shift in currents. Maybe this patch of reef isn't hardier, just luckier. That could be good news...maybe the existence of local garden spots is better than a magic supercoral that will someday replace all the extinct varieties worldwide.

  6. What a Remarkable World We Have! by Ferretman · · Score: 2

    I think the phrase is, "Life...finds a way."

    Ferret

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    1. Re: What a Remarkable World We Have! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But sometimes it's only 10% of it that survives.

    2. Re: What a Remarkable World We Have! by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      And, strangely enough, man needs the oceans to be healthy.

      --
      No sig today...
    3. Re: What a Remarkable World We Have! by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      And, strangely enough, man needs the oceans to be healthy.

      Man needs to eat.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    4. Re: What a Remarkable World We Have! by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      And breathe.

      --
      No sig today...
  7. The environmentalists LIED !! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So those so-called 'environmentalists' are dishonest

    They have lied to us that 'warming waters killed coral reefs'

    1. Re:The environmentalists LIED !! by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      I wonder if you apply that logic anywhere else in life.

      Are you a chain smoker because some people smoke their whole lives and never get cancer?

      Do you forgo your seat-belt because not everyone died in car crashes before they were standardized?

      People have survived hitting the ground from free-fall at terminal velocity, are you gonna jump out of a plane without a parachute?

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
  8. Don't confuse bleaching with dying by raymorris · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Just don't confuse coral "bleaching" with dying. It's normal for coral to "bleach" (expel their algae) every few years, and there can be dozens of different causes.

    Around 40% of the time, after the bleaching event a different composition of algae takes the place of the expelled algae, about 50% of the time the same type of algae re-colonizes the polyps, and about 10% of it dies.

    1. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Just don't confuse coral "bleaching" with dying. It's normal for coral to "bleach" (expel their algae) every few years

      But not entire reefs, all at the same time, over vast areas,

      Are you one of those who thinks it's also "normal for the Earth to warm up, therefore AGW can't exist?

      --
      No sig today...
    2. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      But not entire reefs, all at the same time, over vast areas,

      How much is normal? How often would you say this happens?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, no, no. Just no. This myth peddled by the fossil fuel industries et. al. needs to die. IAAMB (I am a marine biologist) and no, it's definitely not normal.

      Yes, they can survive it, but it's not normal. I guess you could argue it's the new normal as a result of increased ocean temperatures, but it's definitely not normal normal.

      Also, those stats are way off, otherwise we wouldn't have over 100,000 sq km the Great Barrier Reef dead dead, as in, really dead, as in, the zooxanthellae is gone, and the coral has completely died in the space of just 2 years. Coral rarely ever recovers from bleaching and your stats are almost exactly backwards - around 90% of the time bleaching results in death. If there was any validity to what you're saying then the most recent mass global bleaching incident can't have caused such widespread outright death of coral, and yet that's exactly what it did. I know this with absolute certainty because as a marine biologist I've been to countless affected reefs across the globe and seen that the coral is most definitely dead dead, not pretending to be dead, but real actual dead.

      Simply put, your argument isn't backed up by any kind of scientific fact. The only thing you're right about is that when the coral dies, other algae comes along. But it's a different type of algae, the type that blankets and suffocates what little coral remains, and so certainly doesn't help the corals, it overwhelms the remaining coral turning them into carcasses preventing any hope of regrowth. The only upside to this is that some species of fish love to eat algae, so it could cause a boom for those species. Whether it's a big enough boom to clear the algae off the coral sufficiently to allow new coral to grow on top of old is anyone's guess right now. It's a race against time because whilst some fish will see a boom in eating the algae, there's also no coral nursing ground for the young.

    4. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by Layzej · · Score: 1

      How much is normal? How often would you say this happens?

      Severe coral reef bleaching is now ‘five times more frequent’ than 40 years ago, with climate change playing a significant role in the rise.

      The longest-lasting recorded global bleaching event began in 2014 and continues to affect coral reefs worldwide. Few areas in the Southern Hemisphere escaped bleaching in the recently ended summer; surveys of the Great Barrier Reef suggest that more than 90 percent of it has been affected by bleaching.

      Scientists first recorded a mass coral bleaching, one which affects entire reef systems and not just a few individual corals, in 1979. Sixty recorded events occurred between 1979 and 1990. Global coral bleaching events are mass bleaching across all three tropical ocean basins—the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans. The first global event took place from 1997 to 1998, with at least 15 percent of global reefs dying, and the second occurred in 2010. Number three, still happening today, looks on track to be the worst ever, affecting 38 percent of the world’s reefs.

    5. Re: Don't confuse bleaching with dying by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Cool, thanks. Your first link is broken, though.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    6. Re: Don't confuse bleaching with dying by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Nuts. Let me try that again: Hughes, T. P. et al. (2018) Spatial and temporal patterns of mass bleaching of corals in the Anthropocene. Or go here for the PDF: https://repository.kaust.edu.s...

    7. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by Killall+-9+Bash · · Score: 1

      Are you one of those who thinks it's also "normal for the Earth to warm up, therefore AGW can't exist?

      No, it's normal for Earth to be a frozen iceball. You better root for global warming, human caused or otherwise, cause the next minor ice age like in the 17th century is going to kill billions.

      --
      "Prediction: within 10 years, Windows will be a Linux distribution." Me, 7-6-2016
    8. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Are you one of those who thinks it's also "normal for the Earth to warm up, therefore AGW can't exist?

      Well, it IS normal for the Earth to warm up - it's how we exit those dominant time periods called ice ages...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    9. Re: Don't confuse bleaching with dying by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      The "anthropocene" does not exist, it is not a valid, scientific name. Any "scholarly work" that refers to it is showing its politics right front-and-center.

      Additionally, looking at the linked paper, we see they determined the temperature for each reef via looking at the MAXIMUM (not mean, not median, the maximum) temperature recorded for the 1 deg Lat x 1 deg Long box that is centered on the reef - whether or not that corresponded to the "peak" of bleaching.

      Additionally, they did NOT include control reefs that have not " warmed more than average" - meaning you do not know if this is from warming or not. All in all, pretty shoddy, politically driven work.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    10. Re: Don't confuse bleaching with dying by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Referencing a conspiracy site to rebut something published in "Science" is laughable.

    11. Re: Don't confuse bleaching with dying by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Yes, the messenger, not the message. How "tolerant" of you! Here you go for the information you refuse to learn:

      The global body tasked with naming geological eras, the International Commission on Stratigraphy, has rejected the proposed Anthropocene epoch

      In other words - the anthropocene does not exist. Using that term is simply done to be political and biased.

      And what about the criticism of the paper itself, including shoddy definitions of temperature, and lack of control reefs?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    12. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Are you one of those who thinks it's also "normal for the Earth to warm up, therefore AGW can't exist?

      AGW exists, it's just hyped beyond what the evidence warrants.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    13. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Over hundreds of thousands, if not millions of years.

      Not over a few decades.

      Get someone to drive a car into you at 1mph. Didn't hurt right? Get someone to drive one into you at 100mph.

      See how that works? It's not the event that matters, it's the magnitude that matters, and AGW is real and a massive problem because of the magnitude of the rate of warming.

    14. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And your evidence for this is what exactly?

      You're already wrong in this discussion about the effects on coral - you seem to think it's a non-issue, but even in the last 20 years as a diver I've seen a massive deterioration in the health of reefs globally, and bleaching is the number 1 problem, contrary to the OP above, bleaching most definitely does not lead to only a 10% chance of death. On reefs where I've seen mass warming related bleaching almost the whole affected reef has been dead within a year, with only the fringes which were least affected recovering, that implies the chance of survival from warming related bleaching is way less than 1% if the vast majority 99% > of the reef has died off.

      It's not something that's localised either, it's affecting coral globally, the Caribbean has a very distinct set of corals and wildlife from Asia and Australia, and when they're both affected, they're both affected. This implies that resilience is incredibly rare across the entire global population of coral.

      I think what the OP is dishonestly conflating is the fact that sometimes corals naturally get sick, and sometimes they expel their algae as a result of that, and often they can recover. This is certainly true - it's not uncommon to see a bleached coral in isolation on a reef that does not subsequently died. This is completely different to the sustained pressure of warming related bleaching however - the former is like having a cut on your leg, yeah you're bleeding, but it'll heal, you'll be fine, in contrast the latter is like having a slice through a major artery, you're also bleeding, and it's going to kill you.

      There are safe havens for coral, currently deep coral seems fairly unaffected, but it'll take a while before it adapts via evolution to come back up from the deep, and even that's assuming it doesn't eventually get affected. The great barrier reef dying is a major problem, but I'd be surprised if it's permanently fatal, because it's size also means there are a handful of reefs with localised micro-climates that protect it from warm waters being swept in from the pacific, so say for example, you have a kind of bay type construct, with an outflow from a river sweeping past it - this helps push incoming water away from the bay and protects it somewhat, it doesn't make it immune to warming. I believe it's possible that if we can put a stop on AGW, and reverse it then the great barrier reef could, eventually recover, but for a time it means massively reduced fish stocks, given that every square metre can be home to hundreds of fish, but post-death is closer to between 0 and 10 and we're talking about having already lost 1/3rd of the great barrier reefs 350k square km or so then that should tell you that in this case, the situation really isn't over-hyped whether it can eventually recover or not.

      Reefs are, if anything, massively understated in their importance to global fish stocks, and the damage being done to them via AGW can't be stated enough. The great barrier reef got all the news during the last mass bleaching event that occured, but you know it actually impacted reefs globally? From Australia to Indonesia, Thailand to the Maldives, the Seychelles to Egypt, Malta to Portugal, the Azores to the entire Caribbean basin, east coast Brazil to the Galapagos and Hawaii - this was a global bleaching event, not just localised. It was very clearly related to the increased global ocean temperatures at the time.

    15. Re:Don't confuse bleaching with dying by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      AGW exists, it's just hyped beyond what the evidence warrants.

      Well, you have moved beyond the "AGW doesn't exist. It's just an academic/ China conspiracy" lunacy.
      I guess that is progress.

    16. Re: Don't confuse bleaching with dying by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      As if you've ever read anything about global warming beyond pop science and crap websites.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  9. Re: Or Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do realise there are dozens of species?

  10. Re:Or Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Or there are varieties of coral that can take a few degrees more than others. We know so little, we could be looking at the equivalent of all breeds of dog dying out, except say beagles. In some years time all dogs are beagles. And similarly, we risk that in some years from now the only coral will be one or two kinds of coral, not a collection of 100+ types of coral.

  11. Re: Or Maybe by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    "we know so little" Maybe you should do more studies then instead of writing panicked breathless articles. Find out what is happening before making uninformed decisions.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  12. Re: Or Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry, but you're being anti-scientific on this. It's established fact that many species of coral are vulnerable to a 2c difference in temperature. It's trivial to reproduce in a lab, and we've witnessed it in nature en-masse simultaneously over sites distributed globally.eliminating the possibility of things like pathogens (because they can't travel that quickly, and because lab testing found none).

    Your argument is, at this point, equivalent to saying the earth is flat.

  13. Re: Or Maybe by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    "It's established fact that many species of coral are vulnerable to a 2c difference in temperature." Which species are you talking about?

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  14. biggest reef... by johnjones · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Australia has a pretty big reef and what have the australian gov done with 444million dollars ?

      awarded the largest ever non-profit grant to an organisation with six staff members "without due diligence, without a proper tender process, without them even requesting it"

    Great Barrier Reef Foundation then took big minning exec's a on snorkelling tour

    contact Mr Frydenberg here :

    https://www.aph.gov.au/Senators_and_Members/Parliamentarian?MPID=FKL

    1. Re:biggest reef... by Joce640k · · Score: 2

      That's politics, not science.

      --
      No sig today...
    2. Re:biggest reef... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Heaven forbid they actually try to help some executives appreciate the reef by having them experiencing it first hand.

  15. Re: Or Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Snowflake Coral

  16. AI? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Seriously guys, it's just a computer program. When will we cut the hype?

  17. Re:Or Maybe by umghhh · · Score: 1

    Over billions of years the evolution took care of that.Gosh the bloody rock that extinguished almost all life few millions years ago so it is not nice but nature will take care of it. The constant alarm about change is of course understandable. If the good citizens that raise these alarms all the time took time to spread condoms in Africa (for the starters) that would help more that constant talking about how bad global anthropocentric warming is. If you believe in it do something real go and promote use of condoms. You may help prevent spread of aids and other std there too - consider that a worthwhile bonus.

  18. How stupid you want to be? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What do smoking or wearing seatbelt have to do with the LIES told by the environmentalists?

  19. "Anthopogenic" my ass! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    CO2 is a TRACE GAS you bloody lunatics. Its present atmospheric concentration of "410 parts per milllion" is the same as only 1 part in 2500. Do you have any idea how powerful a greenhouse effect CO2 would need to have for the 1 part in 7700 (which is the contribution of mankind) to have any effect whatsoever on the temperature? Even pure CO2 isn't a very powerful greenhouse gas. Water vapor is vastly more effective. There is ZERO CHANCE any warming which has affected coral could be anthopogenic. ZERO!

    1. Re:"Anthopogenic" my ass! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      PS: And YES I am familiar with the hypothesis of "forcing." This theory has been falsified by absolutely every prediction made to test it. The hypothesis is batting zero! It is invalid! It simply is not happening!

  20. Re:Or Maybe by alvinrod · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It probably is, or at least a sizable portion of it is. There's some temperature difference that will result in the death of 50% of all coral, just like there's a dosage for any substance that will be lethal for 50% of people. It might not be two degrees, but it's some amount.

    That really isn't the point though, as once you've killed off that bottom 50%, the surviving population that will pass on its genes are the 50% that are more tolerant of heat. Assuming the change doesn't happen to rapidly as to cause an extinction, the parts of the population with the genes most fit for the new environment will be more reproductively successful and you eventually end up with a population that is more suited to its environment.

    Life as a whole is pretty damned resilient. After Chernobyl, there were some people who thought it would be a lifeless radioactive hellscape for some time, but it didn't take long for some plants to develop a tolerance for the radiation and thrive in an area that would be deadly for everything else that didn't adapt to it. I don't think we should use this is an excuse to allow ourselves to damage the environment, but rather that we should reject arguments calling for radical action because otherwise life will perish.

  21. Re: Or Maybe by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    Information: A minor species of coral that isn't as vulnerable to heat doesn't cancel out all the vast swathes of coral that's already dead/dying from heatstroke.

    But I'm sure this "news" will be published all over the USA's disinformation system before breakfast.

    --
    No sig today...
  22. Re:Or Maybe by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    a) Can we talk about both things?
    b) Condoms in Africa is a religious issue. We can help beat that by promoting critical thinking via. discussions about, eg., global warming.

    --
    No sig today...
  23. They will believe anything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is no such thing as "anthropogenic warming". There is no proof that it exists.

  24. Re: Or Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bacteria get immune to antibiotics. (99% die off, then resistant survivors reproduce.) Similar for corals - heat kills off a lot, a few survives. With time, the survivors fill in. Of course the process is much slower with corals, they reproduce slower than bacteria.

  25. Re:Or Maybe by DarkOx · · Score: 1

    Yes. I think a lot of people are to committed to things never changing. Life adapts its what life does, people adapt its what people do. However I think we should still watch, think, and act carefully.

    Things will change, they may change in ways we will like and ways we wont. A lot produce will be larger and more energy dense as C02 levels go up. That might actually help us feed larger populations. Other things are happening we might not like so well.

    Chernobyl is a fine example. Overall the biome might have more life and be more diverse. However smaller shorter lived animals have been favored. The same seems to be true of plants. We are not small short lived creaters and as a species I don't think we'd want to be smaller and have shorter life spans as an adaptation. The same goes for plants. We want things like big long lived trees for hardwood timber. Fast growing soft wood isn't as useful for some applications we care about. Some exceptions exist; groups of wolves for example are doing very well but the aspect of the radiation that is helping them is increased small prey; but mostly keep us away so we don't compete with or hunt them.

    More broadly looking at the world in general we are seeing a decrease in diversity. That is probably dangerous. I will allow for the possibility that might not be true; there could have been an explosion of new microbial specie that we simply are not counting and haven't noticed. I don't think we really want to return to world of sludge really. The reality is the climate is changing. I think we should probably drop the hubris that 'we' are the prime movers but we can acknologe we have more than enough influence to impact the time horizons and we might be able to nudge certain things in one direction or another. It would be good to nudge things in directions we want to go.

    --
    Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
  26. Re:Or Maybe by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

    I read an interesting article about Chernobyl's fauna, and they aren't really resistant to radiation or anything, get lots of cancer and so on, but overall the affect on them from the radiation isn't as bad as having humans there, so the populations are doing better than where humans are.

  27. Re:Or Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Considering that per capita CO2 production in the poorer parts of Africa is about 1% of the USA, perhaps some family planning and access to birth control in America might accomplish more.

  28. Correction: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Scientists identify heat resistant reefs using algorithms. Millennials: walking, talking hyperbole machines. I think they are the real 'artificial' intelligence.

  29. Re:Or Maybe by ranton · · Score: 1

    Assuming the change doesn't happen to rapidly as to cause an extinction

    From TFA: "The broad scientific consensus is that coral reef ecosystems worldwide risk collapse by as early as 2050". This means that based on current research, it will happen too rapidly for nature to handle. That is why the coral reef in this story is potentially important, because it could show an example of coral which is resilient enough to weather this rapid change. But then again the research here is in very early stages, so it doesn't appear they know why this coral is more resistant. Or even if it is the coral at all, instead of some other factor local to this area.

    Life as a whole is pretty damned resilient. [...] I don't think we should use this is an excuse to allow ourselves to damage the environment, but rather that we should reject arguments calling for radical action because otherwise life will perish.

    The danger is never that life won't find a way. The danger is if the change is too significant for humans to handle. This isn't about saving coral reefs so people can enjoy snorkeling, it is about the US$375 billion per year these reefs add to the global economy. And about the local human societies most at risk if this economic engine is damaged. Whether or not some plants survived and thrived in Chernobyl is not nearly as important as whether or not human crops survived in the area.

    --
    -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
  30. Re:Or Maybe by ranton · · Score: 2

    Things will change, they may change in ways we will like and ways we wont. A lot produce will be larger and more energy dense as C02 levels go up. That might actually help us feed larger populations. Other things are happening we might not like so well.

    Higher CO2 levels will not help us feed larger populations. While it is true that increased CO2 levels do assist photosynthesis and increase plant growth, at least in certain plants. But this one minor advantage pales in comparison to the negative consequences of CO2. First off the increase in plant growth has diminishing returns, and eventually plateaus (at about 500 ppm). Second, global climate change will change which areas of the planet have the best climate for crops, but it won't change which areas have the most fertile land (at least not quickly enough). So overall arable land will decrease. Third, more severe weather will harm crop yields far more than increased CO2 levels will help.

    There are benefits to higher CO2 levels, but they simply don't compare to the negatives. It is like having one strongly performing stock in your investment portfolio, but 9 others that are tanking by an even greater amount.

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    -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
  31. It's almost like.... by argStyopa · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...coral is one of the oldest, most durably-tolerant species on the planet, and not (generally) this delicate snowflake of a clade that will suddenly die because temps ticked up a degree or two?

    Coral is HUNDREDS of milions of years old.
    It has tolerated MUCH warmer and MUCH cooler conditions.
    It has tolerated MUCH *faster swings* in temperature.
    It will be here long after the last Green Ecomarxist's voice insisting that "coral is all dying!!" has faded away.

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    -Styopa
    1. Re:It's almost like.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Coral is hundreds of millions of years old in the way mammals are hundreds of millions of years old. Doesn't mean we've evolved to survive things like being set on fire though.

      Where you're outright wrong is this:

      "It has tolerated MUCH *faster swings* in temperature."

      Nope, nope, nope, nope, nope. There has been no faster swing in temperature than what we're seeing now.

      And therein lies the problem, coral is dying right before our eyes, precisely because it can't evolve fast enough. This isn't conspiracy theory, or hearsay, this is a real actual thing you can go and see for yourself and that millions of people alive for the last few decades have witnessed first hand, whether you live in the Florida Keys, the Great Barrier Reef, the Red Sea, the Caribbean, or Indonesia, Thailand et. al. This is a real problem that's visible and measurable first hand.

  32. Re:Or Maybe by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

    Wow! I guess all the tomato hothouses here in the Oxnard, CA area are stupid for upping their CO2 levels to > 1000 PPM! Who knew that growth of plants plateaus at 500 PPM - someone better tell NOAA!

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    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  33. Re: Or Maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Heat stroke?

    Because the alleged increase in ocean temp is lower than the noise in the data and the natural change between day/night and summer/winter.

    You agw zealots are so ignorant of basic science.

  34. Re:Or Maybe by ranton · · Score: 1

    Wow! I guess all the tomato hothouses here in the Oxnard, CA area are stupid for upping their CO2 levels to > 1000 PPM! Who knew that growth of plants plateaus at 500 PPM - someone better tell NOAA!

    The 500 PPM value came from a story about wheat and rice, and did mention it is different for different plants (corn is even lower). The article appeared to be focusing more on the large cash crops.

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    -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
  35. Not an ideal solution by TomGreenhaw · · Score: 1

    So, just to be clear. The solution to climate change is to encourage invasive species?

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    Greed is the root of all evil.
  36. Re:Or Maybe by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    Here's a study showing positive returns for increased wheat yields with CO2 up to 2000 PPM, but a maximal increase around 890 PPM.

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    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  37. Severe bleaching is now 5x more frequent by Layzej · · Score: 1

    The global body tasked with naming geological eras, the International Commission on Stratigraphy, has rejected the proposed Anthropocene epoch

    And yet the term does have meaning in the scientific literature, though it may trigger readers of conspiracy blogs.

    For example, Paul Jozef Crutzen (Nobel Prize-winning atmospheric chemist) describes it thusly in the Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society: "The term Anthropocene suggests: (i) that the Earth is now moving out of its current geological epoch, called the Holocene and (ii) that human activity is largely responsible for this exit from the Holocene, that is, that humankind has become a global geological force in its own right. "

    Seems an apt description of what the paper shows is happening to coral, with the global proportion of coral being hit by bleaching per year rising from 8% in the 1980s to 31% today. The average reef was affected once every 25 to 30 years in the 1980s but now experiences bleaching every six years.

    1. Re:Severe bleaching is now 5x more frequent by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      The global body tasked with naming geological eras, the International Commission on Stratigraphy, has rejected the proposed Anthropocene epoch

      And yet the term does have meaning in the scientific literature

      Apparently, it does not. It is not a recognized term by the ICS, who are the arbiters of what geologic epochs actually are. If you decide to call a frog a drazzlif, it does not mean that drazzlif is a term with scientific meaning. Anthropocene doesn't exist.

      And I am curious about why you continue to ignore the failures of the paper in terms of how they determine the temperature and their lack of control reefs. Does the science not interest you, just the labeling and fluff around it?

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      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    2. Re:Severe bleaching is now 5x more frequent by Layzej · · Score: 1

      It is not a recognized term by the ICS, who are the arbiters of what geologic epochs actually are.

      If a term isn't a recognized epoch then it has no meaning? Google scholar returns about 59,200 papers.

      Here's more research on the accelerating trend towards bleaching. This time in Nature:

      Coral reefs across the world’s oceans are in the midst of the longest bleaching event on record (from 2014 to at least 2016). As many of the world’s reefs are remote, there is limited information on how past thermal conditions have influenced reef composition and current stress responses. Using satellite temperature data for 1985–2012, the analysis we present is the first to quantify, for global reef locations, spatial variations in warming trends, thermal stress events and temperature variability at reef-scale (~4km). Among over 60,000 reef pixels globally, 97% show positive SST trends during the study period with 60% warming significantly. Annual trends exceeded summertime trends at most locations. This indicates that the period of summer-like temperatures has become longer through the record, with a corresponding shortening of the ‘winter’ reprieve from warm temperatures. The frequency of bleaching-level thermal stress increased three-fold between 1985–91 and 2006–12 – a trend climate model projections suggest will continue. The thermal history data products developed enable needed studies relating thermal history to bleaching resistance and community composition. Such analyses can help identify reefs more resilient to thermal stress.

      Got anything better than a conspiracy blog showing otherwise?

    3. Re:Severe bleaching is now 5x more frequent by Layzej · · Score: 1

      This one was published in July. It provides references showing that widespread coral bleaching and subsequent mortality have been clearly linked to elevated sea surface temperatures. It says that for global events there is not enough data to establish a trend (only five events on record), but that low-level bleaching has increased to the point where most regions and ocean basins are reporting some coral bleaching every year.

    4. Re:Severe bleaching is now 5x more frequent by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      It is not a recognized term by the ICS, who are the arbiters of what geologic epochs actually are.

      If a term isn't a recognized epoch then it has no meaning? Google scholar returns about 59,200 papers.

      No, it has meaning, as I stated in my first post several back - it's a politically charged, made-up term designed to show a particular political bent/belief right out of the gate.

      Got anything better than a conspiracy blog showing otherwise?

      You're hopeless. I wonder when the chant of Nazi starts...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    5. Re:Severe bleaching is now 5x more frequent by Layzej · · Score: 1

      All terms are made up. That's how language works. This one seems to trigger you, but the meaning is clear: "The term Anthropocene suggests: (i) that the Earth is now moving out of its current geological epoch, called the Holocene and (ii) that human activity is largely responsible for this exit from the Holocene, that is, that humankind has become a global geological force in its own right. "

      Here's another report showing the acceleration in bleaching: Monitoring Data and Evidence for Increased Coral Bleaching Stress:

      Coral reefs live within a fairly narrow envelope of environmental conditions constrained by water temperatures, light, salinity, nutrients, bathymetry, and the aragonite saturation state of seawater. While many environmental extremes can cause coral to expel their symbiotic microalgae and bleach on local scales, only elevated ocean temperature has been shown to cause the widespread “mass” bleaching spanning hundreds of kilometers or more. Corals have, over millions of years, evolved strategies to cope with temperature extremes, but anthropogenic climate change has been increasing temperature much faster than corals have been able to adapt. As mass bleaching has increased in frequency and severity, the connection to unusually warm ocean temperature has become clear... We use long-term climatic datasets over the last 146 years and satellite records since the 1980s to document temperature and heat stress changes near coral reefs and the influence of large-scale climate patterns such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Since the 1980s, satellite-based observations of the oceans have dramatically increased our capability to observe ocean variations globally and synoptically and provide the basis for identifying recent changes in heat stress and patterns of coral bleaching. Furthermore, the latest advances in satellite-based sea surface temperature analysis and other products provide unprecedented means to detect and monitor, in near real time, environmental conditions related to coral bleaching events.

  38. How "tolerant" of you! by Layzej · · Score: 1

    How "tolerant" of you!

    If you aspirations are to be tolerated then you may want to find better sources. ;) This is a "news for nerds" site, not a conspiracy blog after all. Maybe avoid Ken Hamm and Samuel Shenton as well.

    1. Re:How "tolerant" of you! by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Nothing conspiratorial about that site. That's the issue - just because they report actual, published science that you don't agree with, you label it conspiratorial. For example, the ICS is the actual, worldwide body in charge of naming climactic epochs - and they said "no" to the anthropocene. How is that conspiratorial? Your intolerance is astounding...

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      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  39. Better condition Did Well by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    They were resistant, not immune. Still had problems.

    RTF scientific paper.

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    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  40. Re: Nitrogen is your friend by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    You should try huffing that fulltime, and get rid of all those poisonous O2 molecules.

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    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  41. Nothing conspiratorial about conspiracy blog? by Layzej · · Score: 1

    Nothing conspiratorial about that site. That's the issue - just because they report actual, published science

    Cite the science if you have any.

  42. Re: Nitrogen is your friend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're recommending I commit suicide? Let's make a pact. You go first.