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How NASA Will Use Robots To Create Rocket Fuel From Martian Soil (ieee.org)

Engineers are building a prototype of a robotic factory that will create water, oxygen, and fuel on the surface of Mars. From a report: The year is 2038. After 18 months living and working on the surface of Mars, a crew of six explorers boards a deep-space transport rocket and leaves for Earth. No humans are staying behind, but work goes on without them: Autonomous robots will keep running a mining and chemical-synthesis plant they'd started years before this first crewed mission ever set foot on the planet. The plant produces water, oxygen, and rocket fuel using local resources, and it will methodically build up all the necessary supplies for the next Mars mission, set to arrive in another two years. This robot factory isn't science fiction: It's being developed jointly by multiple teams across NASA. One of them is the Swamp Works Lab at NASA's John F. Kennedy Space Center, in Florida, where I am a team lead. Officially, it's known as an in situ resource utilization (ISRU) system, but we like to call it a dust-to-thrust factory, because it turns simple dust into rocket fuel. This technology will one day allow humans to live and work on Mars -- and return to Earth to tell the story.

But why synthesize stuff on Mars instead of just shipping it there from Earth? NASA invokes the "gear-ratio problem." By some estimates, to ship a single kilogram of fuel from Earth to Mars, today's rockets need to burn 225 kilograms of fuel in transit -- launching into low Earth orbit, shooting off toward Mars, slowing down to get into Mars orbit, and finally slowing to a safe landing on the surface of Mars. We'd start with 226 kg and end with 1 kg, which makes for a 226:1 gear ratio. And the ratio stays the same no matter what we ship. We would need 225 tons of fuel to send a ton of water, a ton of oxygen, or a ton of machinery. The only way to get around that harsh arithmetic is by making our water, oxygen, and fuel on-site. Different research and engineering groups at NASA have been working on different parts of this problem. More recently, our Swamp Works team began integrating many separate working modules in order to demonstrate the entire closed-loop system. It's still just a prototype, but it shows all the pieces that are necessary to make our dust-to-thrust factory a reality. And although the long-term plan is going to Mars, as an intermediate step NASA is focusing its attention on the moon. Most of the equipment will be tried out and fine-tuned on the lunar surface first, helping to reduce the risk over sending it all straight to Mars.

79 comments

  1. And they kept on by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As humanity wound down victims of their own exploitation the robots prepping the next realm for exploit quietly and dutifully kept making fuel until hundreds of years later the remenents of our civilization shutdown for good exhausting all the raw materials. We are gone

  2. Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by SuperKendall · · Score: 0

    By the time NASA gets to Mars, it will probably be cheaper to buy the excess fuel and supplies Musk's robots have already created from mining started in the next few years...

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by gweihir · · Score: 1

      When anybody gets to Mars with a possibility to get back, nobody alive today will still be alive.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    2. Re: Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fucking space nutters, nutting it up again!

    3. Re:Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      Yeah, Musks robots will arrive the same year the $35,000 Model 3 arrives.

    4. Re:Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, nobody without gills. You lungbois are all dead though.

    5. Re:Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by nospam007 · · Score: 2

      "Musk's Martian Mart"

      You must be new here. It's called 'Elon's Emporium'.

    6. Re: Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have it on good authority that we will go Mars in 20 years. The same time we have practical fusion power generation.

    7. Re:Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So 2019 then.

    8. Re:Easier way - buy from Musk's Martian Mart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is he the new character to replace Apu on The Simpsons?

  3. Funny Joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA getting to Mars. That's funny dude.

  4. Add a century by gweihir · · Score: 1

    And maybe that is realistic. May still be too soon though.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re:Add a century by Tough+Love · · Score: 2

      Manned Moon round trips were almost 50 years ago. It made no economic sense at the time and the engineering challenges were such that only the most powerful state actors could realistically attempt it. Since then, technology has shrunk the engineering costs while the world economy has expanded exponentially. It still makes no economic sense. Permanent bases on the moon and Mars would clearly be vanity projects, but vanity projects that are now well within the economic reach of at least three of the world's economic units. So your extra century might well be right in terms of economic viability but it is certainly not right in terms of vanity. I will counter with a ten year time frame for at least a partially self sufficient moon base and twenty for Mars.

      For your further entertainment, here is a way to make rocket fuel on the moon out of water and aluminum oxide, both abundant on the Moon. The Moon is a lot closer to Mars in terms of delta-v than Earth is, so connect the dots.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    2. Re:Add a century by quenda · · Score: 1

      There is an easier way.
      Wouldn't it make a lot more sense to send a nuclear-thermal rocket to Mars, and then you only need to load propellant, not fuel?

      Melt some ground and suck up the water from a bore.
      The water could be used directly as propellant, or extract the hydrogen for a faster trip home. (Much less needed than for a chemical rocket)

  5. gear ratio by Hognoxious · · Score: 0

    Gear ratio - because millenials find "efficiency" too confusing.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    1. Re: gear ratio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seriously. Comparing it to a gear ratio is ridiculous. If you have a 1:225 gear turning a 225:1 gear, then you get out exactly what you put in (ignoring mechanical losses). If it were anything like a gear ratio, that 1kg of fuel delivered would have 225 times the power of normal fuel (minus efficiency losses). Canâ(TM)t they just say that it is what it actually is rather than using a sloppy analogy?

    2. Re: gear ratio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're on an iphone. Hognoxious the meth faggot assumes you're a millenial for using an iphone. He's going to whine about you. It's his whiny life wasted one minute at a time, as he nears the grave. Good riddance? :D

    3. Re:gear ratio by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      'Fuel ratio' is the rocketry term. Mass ratio of fuel/oxidizer to everything else, including cargo (for a needed total delta v).

      1 over fuel ratio could be defined as 'gear ratio', but it's still a stupid overload of a term.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    4. Re: gear ratio by cmcqueen1975 · · Score: 1

      Technically, "225 times the power" isn't correct. "225 times the torque" would be more accurate.

  6. End of time by vanyel · · Score: 3, Informative

    At least until the clock gets confused at January 19, 2038 03:14:07 GMT

    1. Re:End of time by NikeHerc · · Score: 0

      At least until the clock gets confused at January 19, 2038 03:14:07 GMT

      Dude, I think you're off a bit. My computer says the confusion begins Monday, January 18, 2038, 21:14:07 GMT.

      --
      Circle the wagons and fire inward. Entropy increases without bounds.
    2. Re:End of time by vanyel · · Score: 1

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... says January 19, 2038 03:14:07 GMT fwiw...

    3. Re:End of time by viperidaenz · · Score: 2

      Change your "GMT" to "CST" and you'll be correct.

    4. Re:End of time by NikeHerc · · Score: 1

      Has anyone on this thread ever edited a wikipedia article? The article noted above (re: January 19, 2038 03:14:07 GMT) is wrong. It should be January 18, 2038, 21:14:07 GMT.

      --
      Circle the wagons and fire inward. Entropy increases without bounds.
  7. 2038 huh? by squiggleslash · · Score: 5, Funny

    The year is 2038. After 18 months living and working on the surface of Mars, a crew of six explorers boards a deep-space transport rocket and...

    ...all of a sudden the computers black out. The screens are full of kernel and daemon error messages. All about somehow the time being wrong. The chief engineer scratches his head, before realizing what has happened. He runs over to the array of analog satellite dishes back at the base, and calls Houston. 30 minutes later, the reply comes through.

    "Uh, yeah, this is Houston. We are confirming that we did use 32 bit processors for all the computing infrastructure up there with you... older designs means we know the bugs, why are you asking? And what is a... "thirty two bit time underscore t type"?

    After 30 minutes of waiting, the engineer listened, resigned to the answer, already knowing what he was being told. "I'll get right back to you, out" he grumbled, and left his chair, thumping the wall, and walking back to the rocket.

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    1. Re:2038 huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      came here for this.

    2. Re:2038 huh? by Kjella · · Score: 2

      Well, things built for space tend to last a long time - the Voyagers are still in operation after 41 years. Hubble is 28 years old. The ISS is 20. Opportunity may have died in June but made it to 14 at least. Add the fact that a design like the JWST can take a decade or more it's quite likely there'll be 32 bit designs still active in 2038. But you would think at least somebody on the team would remember Y2K unless ageism has gone completely bonkers.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  8. Von Nuemann machines... by The+Original+CDR · · Score: 1

    James P. Hogan wrote Code of the Lifemaker about a alien spacecraft that crash landed on Saturn's moon, Titan, and, due to damage from the crash, built self-replicating robots that evolved into a sentient lifeform. A million years later, humans show up and the robotic society goes to hell. The original purpose of the spacecraft was to drop off self-replicating robots to mine for resources and ship back home.

    1. Re:Von Nuemann machines... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Very relevant and on-topic, Chris! Complete with typo in the subject line!

      "due to damage from the crash"

      No, wobbleguts, from your own link:

      "One of those factory ships suffers severe radiation damage from a near-miss by a supernova and goes off course, drifting in space for a hundred thousand years before landing on the Saturnian moon Titan."

      Thanks for your contribution.

      If you're trying to build your karma back up....

    2. Re:Von Nuemann machines... by The+Original+CDR · · Score: 0

      I'm not Chris and my karma is excellent.

    3. Re:Von Nuemann machines... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course not. You're Cum Dumpling Reimer, right?

    4. Re:Von Nuemann machines... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm going to reset my password and start helping FCLM mod you down because of the sass in this comment.
      You should know your place in society. A old fat man should expect that sass will never result in anything good. You're not a teenage retarded girl nobody will give you any passes and nobody needs anything from you.
      It might not happen to your face but you should except that when you act this way it will cultivate an environment of casual conspiracy where people withhold new opportunities and generally keep you down.
      Down in your sped classes.
      Down to the ground when your tard wrangler has a bad day.
      Down in your IT janitor job
      Down in your lonely studio apartment
      Down in -1 on Slashdot.

      Idiot.

       

    5. Re:Von Nuemann machines... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You need professional help. Have you seen a proctologist?

    6. Re:Von Nuemann machines... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The irony is that I would use you to give myself advice. Your problems are exaggerated versions of most people's problems.
      When I told you to go see a behavioral therapist who could coach you how to avoid offensive behaviors. I went to a doctor to deal with my long untreated ADHD and my life improved considerably.
      Now a year later you're still fighting with FCLM, down in the Slashdot gutter, not working on your career or retirement and we're on the cusp of a recession. The federal government is aggressively moving to GovCloud, you're near the end of your contract, and you're nowhere close to being able to follow your job to Amazon.
      Dang you know a new 19 year old just started and she probably wrote her very first computer program at a boot camp around the time you posted your Microsoft cert video and took networks in highschool before that.

      In like a year she blew right by you and makes almost double. There is no reason you can't do the same that she did.

  9. Whiny GOP biker meth faggot whines about millenial by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    News at 11.

  10. "The year is 2038" by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 1

    Good God, don't scare me like that! I'm not 64-bit-time compliant yet! Didn't we just have one of those?!?

    --
    "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
  11. All dead by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

    "After 18 months living and working on the surface of Mars, a crew of six explorers boards a deep-space transport rocket and leaves for Earth"

    No, they won't, because they would be dead from the radiation. Why does Mars fantasy completely ignore reality and basic science? It is like a blind spot in space nutters when they hear the word "Mars colony".

  12. Next by nwaack · · Score: 1

    They'll be harvesting methane fuel from Uranus!

  13. With what??? by DanDD · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Oh look, NASA engineers are playing in the dirt. They might as well practice mining for gold in finely shredded cash.

    So far the Orion capsule, just the capsule and it's service module mind you - not a rocket, not a long-term habitat, not a lander/ascent vehicle, just a capsule, will cost the US $18,000,000,000 (so far). That's eighteen BILLION. For a capsule. That will sustain life for a month or so. With diaper wearing astronauts inside.

    From the link above, here's what that 18 BILLION isn't paying for:

    These prior Orion costs:

    1. Exclude costs "for production, operations, or sustainment of additional crew capsules, despite plans to use and possibly enhance this capsule after 2021"[105]
    2. Exclude costs of the first Service Module and spare parts[106] to be provided by the European Space Agency for the test flight of Orion in 2020 (about $1 billion)[107]
    3. Exclude costs to assemble, integrate, prepare and launch the Orion and its launcher (funded under the NASA Ground Operations Project,[108] currently about $400M[109] per year)
    4. Exclude costs of the launcher, the SLS, for the Orion spacecraft

    There are no NASA estimates for the Orion program recurring yearly costs once operational, for a certain flight rate per year, or for the resulting average cost per flight.

    So this is basically a long-term Lockheed Martin/Boeing subsidy. The US taxpayer is buying something that nobody knows how much it will cost to operate or sustain. Boys and girls, this is what happens when politicians spend someone else's money with reckless abandon. If allowed to continue, congress will be raping your ability to retire in order to pay for THEIR retirement.

    In comparison, the Falcon Heavy cost between 500 MILLION and 1 BILLION to develop. For something can can be launched far more cheaply (and re-used) the Saturn program ever dreamed of. SLS will do no better than Saturn. By the time the SLS Launcher, Orion spacecraft, habitats, and ascent/decent vehicles are designed and built, Lockheed and Boeing's cost will be in the TRILLIONS for a Mars mission, and decades will have passed.

    It's time to stop throwing good money after bad and let the private sector do what it's good at, and let Lockheed & Boeing compete freely and fairly: they spend their own money to develop something, they present it, if it's good, someone buys their product or service. Enough free money, open-ended contracts and bonuses paid out for demonstrating nothing more that cost overruns and slipping schedules. Cancel Orion and SLS. If Uncle Sam wants space toys for the military, let it come entirely out of a Pentagon budget and not pollute NASA further. The shuttle was a disaster of merging civil space and military requirements that we don't need to repeat.

    --
    "Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
    1. Re: With what??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with going to mars isn't the rocket. The rocket is the easy part.

    2. Re:With what??? by mentil · · Score: 1

      You should read a line-item breakdown of the NASA budget some time, it's extremely disheartening.

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    3. Re:With what??? by Kjella · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Oh look, NASA engineers are playing in the dirt. They might as well practice mining for gold in finely shredded cash. [Long rant about SLS and Orion]

      Well then why are you trash talking the engineers that are actually doing what NASA should be doing? An ISRU factory for Mars is exactly the kind of unique, never been done before experiment with no obvious commercial potential that they should be working on, whether it's delivered via the SLS/Orion or BFR/BFS. I know SpaceX envisioned some day refueling their rockets on Mars but to my knowledge they haven't released as much as a sketch indicating they've seriously worked on it. With the R&D challenges they have with the BFR and the difficulty they have finding funding for it I'd be very surprised if they've done anything at all.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    4. Re:With what??? by DanDD · · Score: 1

      Fair question. There are some worthwhile things that NASA engineers are allowed to do. They just aren't very efficient through no fault of their own.

      After watching NASA and Congress sling money around for half a century, it seems that NASA and their engineers just become pawns for congress and defense contractors to swindle more money. So, I guess that's why I'm trash talking this project and why perhaps I'm throwing the baby out with the bath water.

      --
      "Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
    5. Re:With what??? by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Oh look, NASA engineers are playing in the dirt. They might as well practice mining for gold in finely shredded cash.

      Not too familiar with Orion, but SLS is hardly an engineer problem, but more of a management (Senate) problem. The engineers were told how to build something and they are doing it. For that matter, from what I remember of SpaceX history, is that it was built with NASA engineers who had ideas of what was possible but were not allowed to explore them. NASA has issues, but I doubt the problems are the engineers.

    6. Re:With what??? by DanDD · · Score: 1

      Agreed, and another poster properly chastised me for harshing on the engineers. The whole damn industry is so inefficient and corrupt that I'm inclined to throw the baby out with the bath water. This is a character flaw that I've added to the list...

      Your recollection is close, the major difference is that it wasn't NASA engineers who were doing the developing, rather an engineering team at TRW (acquired by Northrop), who were working under a NASA contract to modernize the lunar module engines used on the Saturn/Apollo moon landers. Ultimately NASA cancelled that contract before the new motor could fly, and Elon Musk was able to romance and recruit the lead engineer and his entire team - Tom Mueller.

      --
      "Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
  14. Wrong, radiation on Mars can be dealt with by DanDD · · Score: 4, Informative

    "After 18 months living and working on the surface of Mars, a crew of six explorers boards a deep-space transport rocket and leaves for Earth"

    No, they won't, because they would be dead from the radiation. Why does Mars fantasy completely ignore reality and basic science? It is like a blind spot in space nutters when they hear the word "Mars colony".

    Citation please.

    Here's NASA's own basic science:

    The Mars Radiation Environment Experiment has shown that radiation on the surface of Mars is likely no worse than on the International Space Station. The exception is during directional solar emissions called Solar Particle (or Proton) Events, during which time Martians can take cover underground or beneath better shielding. Such events are relatively short duration and could be viewed as taking shelter during a storm. Would you consider Florida uninhabitable because some fragile wood frame houses get blown away by a hurricane ever half century or so?

    --
    "Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
    1. Re:Wrong, radiation on Mars can be dealt with by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2

      Would you consider Florida uninhabitable because some fragile wood frame houses get blown away by a hurricane ever half century or so?

      Nope. I would consider Florida uninhabitable because of Palmetto Bugs.

      And the fact that it's Florida.

    2. Re:Wrong, radiation on Mars can be dealt with by 110010001000 · · Score: 0

      Baloney. Radiation on Mars is 250% of what the ISS experiences. You shouldn't believe Wikipedia. Those articles are written by space nutters. You are exposed to about 0.6 rads per year. On Mars it would be 8. You would be dead quickly.

    3. Re:Wrong, radiation on Mars can be dealt with by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 1

      8 rads per year isn't good, but it's more "worry about it in 20 years" territory than "keel over next week" territory.

    4. Re:Wrong, radiation on Mars can be dealt with by DanDD · · Score: 1

      Those articles have references straight from NASA peer reviewed studies, so I'll take their word for it over yours.

      --
      "Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
  15. It's about time... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh look! 20 years later, they're recreating Zubrin's Mars Direct, and thinking they've had a revolutionary new idea!

  16. But why would you care? by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    When anybody gets to Mars with a possibility to get back

    That doesn't matter at all to what I wrote. It really doesn't matter at all to anyone, even if the lifespan there were say one year you would have tens of thousands clamoring to go.

    But the reality is inside 10-15 years Musk will be making round trips to Mars and back. You may be super old but I'll sure live to see it.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:But why would you care? by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Hahahahahaha, dream on.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    2. Re:But why would you care? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      But the reality is inside 10-15 years Musk will be making round trips to Mars and back.

      A more reastic schedule is that in 10-15 years time, the BFR will finally be operational and could fly towards Mars. He doesn't even have the plans for the rest.

  17. Re:Sort of naive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what alternate universe are you posting from?

    maybe you could provide some citations for your claims?

    *crickets*

  18. Simply no other way.... by ColaMan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We'd start with 226 kg and end with 1 kg, which makes for a 226:1 gear ratio. And the ratio stays the same no matter what we ship. We would need 225 tons of fuel to send a ton of water, a ton of oxygen, or a ton of machinery. The only way to get around that harsh arithmetic is by making our water, oxygen, and fuel on-site

    Or refuel on-orbit, which is SpaceX's thoughts on the matter, because 90% of that fuel is needed to get you 150km up out of Earth's gravity well. Or..... just could develop more efficient engines. Or make bigger ion thrusters, a reactor that can deliver 1MW continuously, send all the supplies on the slow trip to Mars with the ion engines, send the people on the quick one with the chemical rockets, etc, etc.

    No, but the only way around the problem is to develop tricky automated mining equipment and make all that stuff once you get there. I work with mining equipment. Maintenance intervals (oils/filters/etc) are every 50 hours of operation, machine-stopping breakdowns occur every few hundred hours, large component changeout (pumps, hydraulic cylinders, etc) is 4000 hours. 4000 hours is a year of operation at a 50% duty cycle. So you're going to ship all this stuff to Mars, and then expect it to run, continuously digging stuff up and crushing it and heating it and so on and so forth, for a couple of years? In a cold, dusty, zero-maintenance environment?

    I know, I know, we're going to need mining equipment on Mars for stuff. Just send someone willing to stay a few extra years. And a whole lot of spare parts.

    --

    You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
    There is a lot of hype here.
    1. Re:Simply no other way.... by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      Or refuel on-orbit

      How does the fuel get to orbit?

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    2. Re:Simply no other way.... by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      The real purpose is to mine for pork barrels.

    3. Re:Simply no other way.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It seems to me that 3D printing addresses a LOT of the spare parts issue: Make the extra parts you need, instead of haul along all the extra parts you _might_ need.

    4. Re:Simply no other way.... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      It's funny - you think the stuff you know is hard, and the stuff you don't know is easy (or at least plausible).

      Protip on the latter: It's hard too. Much harder than you think.

    5. Re:Simply no other way.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What are you smoking, "3D printing addresses a LOT...". It addresses nothing of importance in a mining context!

      How do you 3D print an oil filter or an air filter? What is the process for 3D printing a broken headlamp? Can you print a tire or a new radiator? Would you put any faith at all into a 3D printed excavator bucket, let alone replacement carbide teeth? Will 3D printed hydraulic hoses even be worth installing, or will they simply be leaky pieces of garbage that waste vast quantities of hydraulic fluid? Hydraulic fluid you cannot easily replace on Mars?

      3D printers are an interesting technology but really, you need to get a grip. Servicing mining equipment on another planet is no trivial exercise and 3D printing just isn't up to that job.

    6. Re:Simply no other way.... by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      No, but the only way around the problem is to develop tricky automated mining equipment and make all that stuff once you get there. I work with mining equipment. Maintenance intervals (oils/filters/etc) are every 50 hours of operation, machine-stopping breakdowns occur every few hundred hours, large component changeout (pumps, hydraulic cylinders, etc) is 4000 hours. 4000 hours is a year of operation at a 50% duty cycle. So you're going to ship all this stuff to Mars, and then expect it to run, continuously digging stuff up and crushing it and heating it and so on and so forth, for a couple of years? In a cold, dusty, zero-maintenance environment?

      That sounds like dumptrucks and the like. Air-breathing diesel-powered vehicles, which are obviously irrelevant to the surface of Mars, or basically anywhere else in the solar system.

      What's the maintenance like on a bucket wheel excavator? Purely electrically powered, it's a much closer match to what mining on Mars might be like.

  19. TLDR -- did they credit Robert Zubrin? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After all 'The Case for Mars' is probably a dusty tome to them by now. Maybe some new whippersnapper wants to claim credit for old ideas.

  20. We Drill by Zorro · · Score: 2

    Mars radiation problema can be solved by finding a cave or drilling underground.

    The Gopher provides all the tech we need for that part.

    1. Re:We Drill by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      Yeah you just need to drill underground. On Mars. Go to Home Depot and buy a drill. On Mars.

  21. have fun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    with your not so system D eunuch timestamps

  22. Zubrin / Mars Direct by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Zubrin demonstrated this in the late 80s or early 90s, pretty basic chemistry according to him. Will be good to see it tested on Mars though.

    1. Re:Zubrin / Mars Direct by sgage · · Score: 1

      Zubrin did not demonstrate this. He simply pointed out that it was possible, that ISRU was the way to go. Every schoolboy knows the stoichiometry and energetics - yes, you can do this. Now go and engineer an autonomous unit that can actually do it on the surface of Mars, such that when you arrive there, there are nice tanks of oxygen, water, and methane.

    2. Re:Zubrin / Mars Direct by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He tested a device in a simulated Martian atmosphere iirc reading his book.

  23. Sounds like Zubrin ... by ninjagin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ... or more like "Mars Direct". Thank goodness. I may not be a huge fan of the idea of permanent settlement on Mars, or this "terraforming" nonsense, but basic exploration has to solve these problems and Bob was writing about the solutions a long time ago. He gets dismissed as a crank from time to time, but it's nice to see something he laid out getting a little push.

    --
    .. pa-ra-bo-la, pa-ra-bo-la, 2 pi R, 2 pi R, where's your latus rectum, where's your latus rectum, 2 pi R
  24. Humans will be unnecessary on Marse by 2038 by aberglas · · Score: 1

    The robots will be able to do it all by themselves. Perhaps with a little help from the friends back on earth.

    Heck, robots are already doing a pretty fine job of exploring Mars today.

    The real question is whether by 2038 humans will still be necessary on Earth. How about by 2138?

  25. The surface of the Moon is not the surface of Mars by sgage · · Score: 1

    'Most of the equipment will be tried out and fine-tuned on the lunar surface first, helping to reduce the risk over sending it all straight to Mars.'

    Because conditions on the surface of the Moon are just like those on the surface of Mars. How did this idiotic statement get in this report?

  26. 32-bit time_t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >The year is 2038.

    Not for long.

  27. The Human Gear Ratio Problem by BobSteinVisiBone · · Score: 1

    A different "gear ratio" explains why Mars will never be a backup planet for people, though it may for humanity.

    I'm guessing there's a much larger ratio, say 10,000 engineers, technicians, controllers, and other workers to get 1 person to live permanently on Mars. In 2100 there will be a similar article about why the Mars colony should not accept any new immigrants, but instead make all its new Martians on-site.

    --
    Bob Stein, http://bobste.in
  28. The outer space debate is swamped by the clueless by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

    The outer space debate is swamped by the clueless on both sides.

    How is it that advocates nor detractors not understand that in space, you only expend energy to leave a gravity well and to enter a gravity well? And that its only "expensive" to leave Earth's gravity well. It should be screamingly obvious that materials needed to get from Earth orbit to Mars (H2O, O2, & propellant) don't have to be launched from Earth. A future self-sustaining Mars expedition will have to produce its own O2, H2O, and foodstuffs from the Mars environment. Most important, it could be much, much more affordable to send out a robotics mission to Mars to produce H2O & propellant, and then send it to Earth's orbit, rather than lifting it all from Earth. (I am also interested in the possibility in using Martian produced H2O to act as a radiation buffer around the spacecraft.)

    The other thing that bugs me is how no one understands the basic economics of the history of manned space exploration. Its so ridiculously expensive, the Apollo (and Shuttle) program chose to have its astronauts die, rather than have a backup rocket available to "rescue" them. There's no reason to expend hundreds of billions of dollars on a program to sustain humans on the Moon as a test case. Being only three days away doesn't make rescue "cheap" enough to be worth using it as a "stepping stone". The Moon has less exploitable H2O, and it near-definitely doesn't have anything worth "mining" that could offset the cost of an extended Moon expedition. The riskiest result of a successful Moon mission would be that neither a nation state or corporation would have the available investment capital to then try going to Mars.

    --
    There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon