There's A Lot At Stake In The Weekly US Drought Map (npr.org)
Crippling drought this year has caused more than $1 billion in damage. As it has played out, anyone affected by the drought or trying to manage it has turned to a once obscure map that has become key to understanding what's happening: the U.S. Drought Monitor. From a report: That includes water planners who decide resource allotments. Farmers who need water for their livelihood. Federal bureaucrats who use the map to calculate aid for the Livestock Forage Disaster Program. And then there are citizen scientists like Dave Kitts outside of Sante Fe, N.M. "I think it's a little obsessive, but I check it every Thursday," says Kitts, who has lived on the same 2-acre spread in New Mexico for decades. Dry years like this past one can crust the soil and kill his pinyon trees. "It's just upsetting and depressing to me," he says. "And when it moves the other direction, it definitely lifts my spirits."
Scientist Mark Svoboda started the drought map 20 years ago, when Congress took an interest after drought struck Washington, D.C. He directs the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska, Lincoln. "We're covering everything," he says, "from groundwater, stream flow, temperature." In bad drought years like this one, the map has patches of crayon yellow, orange and red that show the levels of drought. Right now, there's a deep crimson bull's-eye in the hardest-hit area of the southwest, where Colorado borders Utah, Arizona and New Mexico. The Drought Monitor map is updated weekly, often taking into account input from hundreds of people -- in addition to scientists. Ranchers and farmers from across the country also send missives to state and national offices, making the map a mix of art, science and farmer wisdom. But it starts with recommendations from state climatologists on any potential changes.
Scientist Mark Svoboda started the drought map 20 years ago, when Congress took an interest after drought struck Washington, D.C. He directs the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska, Lincoln. "We're covering everything," he says, "from groundwater, stream flow, temperature." In bad drought years like this one, the map has patches of crayon yellow, orange and red that show the levels of drought. Right now, there's a deep crimson bull's-eye in the hardest-hit area of the southwest, where Colorado borders Utah, Arizona and New Mexico. The Drought Monitor map is updated weekly, often taking into account input from hundreds of people -- in addition to scientists. Ranchers and farmers from across the country also send missives to state and national offices, making the map a mix of art, science and farmer wisdom. But it starts with recommendations from state climatologists on any potential changes.
Of course something so practical to transport water from the land of plenty to the land of drought will never be built. That would be like interstate socialism or something ideologically terrifying to the coal-fired types.
Does that exist?
The West is dry. Semi arid. People keep moving here and expect water. Shocking.
But we will blame was what already dry on climate change.
Read Desert Solitaire. I, like Abbey, hate you people.
Another good resource is https://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwi...
It even has data on dissolved oxygen and turbidity as well as the usual volume information.
I watch it too. Do not even live in the southwest. A few years ago cali was dark red. Now it is light yellow/white.
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu...
vs
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu...
I also watch the lake levels at http://lakepowell.water-data.c...
Just semi interesting. Next year is shaping up to be a 'dry one' http://graphs.water-data.com/u...
and we're gonna have massive water shortages in 20 years if nothing is done.... and so far we're doing basically squat. Meanwhile the wealthier parts of my city look like they've been terraformed there's so much green.
It's gonna be interesting because unless either a) the predictions of scientists 95% are completely wrong or b) technology changes drastically to make desalinization cheaper/easier whole cities are going to be emptied out. Parts of California can start up desalinization plants they built in the 90s but the rest of us will be screwed.
It'll take a decade to build the aqueducts needed to move the water to places like Texas, New Mexico & Arizona. And knowing Americans their not going to look at those suffering cities and say "boy, we sure need to help" they're gonna blame the people there for not doing anything about it, never mind that most of those cities are relatively poor and even the big ones have a small number of well to do with the rest pretty much dirt poor.
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The central Appalachians have had almost continual rain since last February. This was a year without a summer. Cool and wet day after day. It has rained a least once a day for months.
Cows and Keyline: Restoring Desert Grasslands http://bit.ly/1x3atMg
"Tempers are wearing thin. Let's just hope some robot doesn't kill everybody." --Bender
this is dry reading.
Table-ized A.I.
Always seem to forget to clarify this point
Good point. If all the illegals and Mexicans living in Arizona were repatriated back to their own countries, it would reduce water demand by at least 30%. That is a huge win. Plus all the grifters collecting free housing, free food, and free medical care will be eliminated from destroying the commons.
Meanwhile the wealthier parts of my city look like they've been terraformed there's so much green.
Hint: There is no actual problem as long as this remains true.
You may think there will be a problem in 20 years but when all the money is saying no problem is imminent, you can be more relaxed.
Think of it this way - if in 20 years there is a problem you have a HUGE amount of water reduction the city can engage in (by limiting water to those areas outside you note are so green) to provide water for important uses.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
Nice weather means clear skies. Without rain. Stop moving to dry areas and then complain that there is no water. Move to Minnesota. Land of 10,000 lakes.
Those interested should also look at http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/, the Web site for the Climate Prediction Center. This has predictions of rainfall and temperatures in the short-term, medium-term, next month, and next three months. It also has links to drought maps, both the subject "United States Drought Monitor" and maps predicting the evolution of droughts for the current month and the next three months.
Are these two part of the Russian trolls everyone talks about trying to mess with our social perceptions?
The USDM map is updated during weekly shifts that run from Monday to Wednesday. Some are at NDMC in Lincoln, NE, by employees of the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Sometimes the map is updated at other locations by USDA or NOAA employees.
There are five categories of drought ranging from D0 (near drought) to D4 (exceptional drought), and they're clearly defined based on observations. Despite this, the USDM map is more arbitrary than many might think. If you click that link, you'll see a variety of indicators for what constitutes each drought category. One challenge is what category to select when different indicators are in different categories. It's also a challenge about how to update the map when there's a rapid change in conditions. For example, if there's an area in D4, but the area receives several inches of rain in a few days, USDM authors are reluctant to reduce the drought category too much in a single week.
There's also the issue of what to do in areas in between observations, where it's somewhat subjective how to draw the contours for the drought monitor. Some local regulations and forms of aid for those impacted by droughts are directly tied to USDM categories. There can be a lot of money involved, and those who have money at stake will lobby the USDM authors to update the map in a way that's beneficial to them.
While reports are supposed to be made to state climatologists, who then pass the information along to the USDM author for that shift, that's not always how it works. Sometimes the USDM authors will receive lots of calls directly from various people in a particular county of region, lobbying for the map to be updated in a way that benefits them. I've heard of USDM authors getting lots of calls from farmers in particular counties, in a coordinated effort to get the drought category raised. I believe that some federal assistance becomes available at the D2 threshold, so often these calls are lobbying for the drought category to be raised to D2. If there isn't other data from that particular area, it's subjective and up to the USDM author for that shift how to proceed.
I've never updated the USDM and I don't work at NDMC, but I know people who do. I'm glad I'm not responsible for updating the map, because the shifts can be quite long if there are a lot of updates, and people can become pretty angry if the USDM author doesn't update the map the way those people want it updated.
- Scientist Mark Svoboda started the drought map 20 years ago, when Congress took an interest after drought struck Washington, D.C.
Is that true? I mean, it's definitely believable, but I'm not sure I like that this wasn't a thing until it hit D.C. I'm speculating here of course, but the implication is that this (and by extension, other things) aren't on their radar unless it affects them directly. That's no way to lead.
Please guys, use private messages, or even encrypted services. These are valuable resources. They have science in them. They are related to climate change. The only way these resources will continue to stay useful is if Trump doesn't find out about them.
This tells you everything you need to know:
"Scientist Mark Svoboda started the drought map 20 years ago, when Congress took an interest after drought struck Washington, D.C."
There have been occasional short and long droughts across the US forever. Grapes of Wrath, anyone? But it suddenly becomes "of interest" to the Federal government when congress people suddenly can't (have some illegal lawn care worker) water their lawns.
The current "crisis" is mostly one of reporting; utterly pedestrian in it's extent and well within the norm of the past century's variability.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/w...
-Styopa
People have lost their jobs before, this isn't a "disaster", so just move your farms and change what you eat, americans, and you'll adapt. Don't you DARE try to get some aid. If you do, it will only prove that this is a scam from the NWO lefitst liberal nazi commie socalist media led be Soros....
The Los Angeles aqueduct is 419 miles long, so water is being transported over quite a distance. The original poster is simply recommending a much more extensive aqueduct system to help alleviate droughts. It's reasonable, provided water isn't being transported from other areas is an unsustainable manner.
LA is in a semi-arid climate zone:
Los Angeles has a Mediterranean climate (Köppen climate classification Csb on the coast, Csa inland), and receives just enough annual precipitation to avoid Köppen's BSn (mild semi-arid climate) classification. Los Angeles has plenty of sunshine throughout the year, with an average of only 35 days with measurable precipitation annually.[72]
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Los_Angeles#Climate
If you live in an area that has a "wet" season and a "dry" season, then you're going to be fucked if the wet season does not show up. Stop living in and around deserts if you don't want water problems.
See also: Cape Town, South Africa and "zero day".
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cape_Town_water_crisis