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MIT Study: Tesla Autopilot Drivers "Maintain Functional Vigilance" (mit.edu)

Long-time Slashdot reader Rei writes: Friday, the results of a study by the MIT Center for Transport and Logistics on autonomous system driver attentiveness were released, and the results were conclusive: "drivers do not appear to over-trust the system to a degree that results in significant functional vigilance degradation in their supervisory role of system operation".

The study, involving 323,384 miles driven (34,8% on autopilot) and 8682 "tricky situations" identified. Of the "tricky situations", 0% of incidents involved slow driver responses or missed detections; 4,5% rapid/timely responses; 90,6% anticipatory reaction (preventing the situation from occurring); and 4,9% "other". The study suggests that this is the result of two effects: 1) drivers effectively learn the limits of the system through usage; and 2) "tricky situations" are common enough so as to prevent excess trust by the driver in the system — creating the counterintuitive result that the better the systems become, the worse the driver may become.

While the study is limited by the age of the vehicles (under a quarter were even running HW2, vs HW3 which is being released now — and due to the length of the study, most of the miles were accumulated on older software versions), it offers positive conclusions — but also a precaution — about the integration of humans and driver assist systems.

In other news, Tesla has announced an April 22 Autonomy Investor Day to showcase the capability of its development versions of the software in city driving, and has started rolling out stoplight detection, no-confirmation automated lane changes and exits, and a limited rollout of advanced summon (navigates through parking lots without a driver).

55 comments

  1. It's not autonomous driving then by magzteel · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When it comes to cruise control I know I'm driving and I have to make sure the cruise control doesn't run me into another car.

    With "autopilot" I'm supposed to be fully aware at all times of what going on while I'm not actually doing anything. Basically it is a neat toy that I can play with to see what it will do. No thanks.

    1. Re: It's not autonomous driving then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But clearly this study is bullshit. Even on basic CC where I know I am still driving I still am slightly more laggy both paying attention and response than my foot directly on the accelerator.

      Obvious bullshit is obvious.

    2. Re: It's not autonomous driving then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're getting slow old man

    3. Re: It's not autonomous driving then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We must remain vigilant at all times. You never know when an al-Qaeda pot hole will try to terrorize you. And ISIS has already claimed responsibility for your Tesla driving itself off the road.

      Sieg heil the homeland as mandated by law. AE911Truth Org

    4. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by Cutterman · · Score: 1

      Drove an automatic shift for the first time in years recently. Really weird experience. Car always downshifted or upshifted a few milliseconds before or after I would have (and a _lot_ of milliseconds in a couple of corners!). Didn't know what to do with my free hand (ya, ya ya!) [or my spare foot]. Felt like I was only partly in control - didn't like it.

      Back to my 5-on-the-floor that keeps me awake and involved.

      Mac

    5. Re: It's not autonomous driving then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is this applicable to Tesla in the least? Tesla cars do not have any gears that require shifting (either manually or automatically). The accelerator pedal responds immediately thanks to electric motors. At least try to stay on point.

    6. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by friedmud · · Score: 2

      You obviously haven't tried any of the more advanced systems. They are much more than "toys".

      I have two cars that both have adaptive cruise control and lane keep assist. While they are not full autonomy... they are _very_ useful. Adaptive cruise control in particular (where you set a desired speed - and a desired follow distance if you come up on another car) is a godsend on long trips. It removes all of the frustration involved with normal cruise control and people going slightly slower than you...

      Lane keep assist is similarly great on long trips... just for helping you stay in your lane that little extra bit. It's also good in town where sometimes I might be adjusting the radio or picking up my coffee or something and I feel the slight tug of the system as it makes sure I don't cross over into oncoming traffic.

      Both of these systems could make you more "complacent"... but what I find they do is make me more _relaxed_ instead. Instead of worrying over every detail of driving I can relax and enjoy the ride more. I actually find that this leads me to being _more_ alert on long trips because I don't get as tired or road hypnotized.

      Anyway - now that I've had a taste of computer assisted driving I definitely want more. A car that could at least drive itself (with me still paying attention) on the highway would be great!

    7. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Adaptive cruise control in particular (where you set a desired speed - and a desired follow distance if you come up on another car) is a godsend on long trips.

      I had a rental car with that feature. It was nice for some cases, but too often it was getting confused by slow cars in other lines (especially in a curve), and would suddenly brake.

    8. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As an ex-professional driver, that's how I feel about anything with less than 8 gears. Rather pointless.

    9. Re: It's not autonomous driving then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I read his point as being that the more automation is involved, the more humans tend to become mentally disengaged from the process at hand. That is in fact related to the Tesla Autopilot and other similar systems.

      I am also an MT6 driver and I see Cutterman's point all the time. My friends who drive ATs are much less mentally engaged and more distracted than I am during driving, because the car is doing so much more for them automatically. I see the same in myself when I drive their AT cars: I find myself to be less aware and my attention drifting, unless I spend real conscious effort to fight that tendency.

      Well the various levels of auto-driving tech has that same problem on steroids.

    10. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by Corbets · · Score: 1

      I had a 2011 Audi S5 that had a fantastic radar-based cruise control, never got confused. At all.

      Traded it in last year for a Model X, and the autopilot is a godsend. Cruise control is even better than Audi’s, and the “lane keep” function (a misnomer, but that buckets it with other manufacturers’ products - autosteer) is amazing. You really can’t know how great it is until you’ve done a road trip or two with it.

    11. Re: It's not autonomous driving then by friedmud · · Score: 1

      Iâ(TM)m sure there are some systems that are better than others: but neither of mine have ever done that.

      For reference I have a Ford from 2 years ago (radar and camera system) and a brand new Subaru (two camera system). Overall the Fordâ(TM)s system is better (quicker to acquire, etc.) but both are really good.

    12. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by magzteel · · Score: 1

      You obviously haven't tried any of the more advanced systems. They are much more than "toys".

      I have two cars that both have adaptive cruise control and lane keep assist. While they are not full autonomy...

      I've had both of these. They are nice features when they work. They get confused by many common situations, such as bad weather. Regardless, as you said, they are not "full autonomy". You must still be the driver at all times.

    13. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by WalrusSlayer · · Score: 1

      Adaptive cruise is what finally made cruise control useful again. A bummer that rain confuses it, but other than that, it works perfectly on all the Toyota's I've had it on. Until I got that, I couldn't remember the last time I bothered with normal cruise. These days you really need to be out in the boonies to have sufficiently light traffic that you're no constantly having to tweak your speed.

      Bonus points now is that Toyota bundles this with pre-collision detection. That has kicked in a number of times. Most of those it was just reacting a split-second quicker than I was and I would have avoided the collision even if it wasn't there. But there are at least two times where the situation changed around me so quickly that I would credit it for significantly lowering the odds that I would have had a big problem on my hands.

    14. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by jjo · · Score: 1

      By the same reasoning, an aircraft autopilot is just a "neat toy" of no real value, since the pilot must maintain situational awareness at all times: funny how airlines always waste money on such useless toys. While you do have to maintain awareness of what's going on, you don't have to make the thousands of little corrections to keep the car's speed and trajectory in the acceptable range. After a long drive with Tesla Autopilot, I always feel less tired than driving in a regular car.

    15. Re:It's not autonomous driving then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The solution is the radio buttons should be bigger.

      Rather than requiring you to take your eyes off the road.

      I'm sure in the future car companies would much rather the car drive itself and your eyes be on a screen of constant advertisements for places you should drive to.

  2. Joe Biden by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Huge pervert!!!

    TRUMP 2020!!

    1. Re:Joe Biden by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Every Trump supporter should be tickled pink about this.

      They're knocking down a *sure fire* candidate that can defeat Trump because he touched a woman on the shoulder.

      **ALL** conservatives should sit back and giggle at this, and watch the show.

    2. Re:Joe Biden by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wrong u have no right 2 touch ppl. he made her feel umconfortble #meetoo

  3. Commas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why would an American study about an American company use commas instead of decimal points?

    1. Re: Commas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey. it could have been worse,,, like smart quotes from an Apple iDevice,

    2. Re: Commas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, I shut that off a long time ago. ASCII characters also help keep Unicode out of SMS messages to android users. 160 byte limit per message before chunking.

  4. How about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People that drive a manual transmission Did MIT test their "functional vigilance" against the autonomous car people in this study?
    .

    1. Re: How about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Terrible argument. Manual transmission cars implicitly lose "function" while the clutch momentarily disengages the engine. The duration of that moment is different from driver to driver, but is never zero. Tesla cars just don't need to shift and are always hooked up; with no delay in throttle response.

  5. i hate thinking of a subject every god damn time by fluffernutter · · Score: 0

    So how does this explain the concrete barrier incident? Or the firetruck incident? Or the semitrailer crossing the road incident? Those don't happen?

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  6. Re:i hate thinking of a subject every god damn tim by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    MPI discovered unicorns!

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  7. Quick by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lets get someone to finally say something good about our cars!!!

  8. what did you expect? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Elon Musk is just a scummy salesman.

    1. Re: what did you expect? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Feeling better about yourself now that that's off your chest?

    2. Re:what did you expect? by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

      Here, have a flamethrower.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    3. Re: what did you expect? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He' not wrong though

  9. I was Studied by crow · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I am one of the drivers in the study. They equipped my car with three cameras, one for my face, one for my hands, and one out front. They also record data directly from the car and audio. When I look at the animation of the various trips, I can recognize my drive to work.

    I generally turn on Autopilot (AP1) anytime the road has paint on both sides of the lane. I've learned that there are some situations it handles poorly, such as coming over the crest of a rise, so that accounts for a lot of the disconnects. On highways, we're on Autopilot most of the time, and it's really quite good, though I watch for stopped cars, construction zones, and exits (it used to be bad about following the right paint into the exit).

    If you have any questions about my experience, I would be happy to answer. (I'm not seeing messages from Slashdot on post replies recently; I'm not sure if something broke, but I'll try to check back.)

    I signed a release for video clips of disconnects for release with this paper, so there will probably be some videos of me somewhere.

    1. Re:I was Studied by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 1

      Thx for sharing your experience.

      Do you feel that knowledge of being watched tends to increase attentiveness in your case, or did you feel you drive as you normally do? Also, were you contacted for the study, or did you apply? I'm sort of curious about the selection method, and whether it might introduce any inherent bias.

      To be honest, the study's conclusion probably goes against most people's expectations, and so its always worth looking at the study with a reasonably critical eye. It's a good thing that people are looking into thing sort of thing though.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
    2. Re:I was Studied by crow · · Score: 2

      There were flyers at the Tesla service center in Watertown, and I contacted them. We had the cameras installed in September of 2016. Occasionally I remember the cameras and pay extra attention, but that's rare, probably 1% of the time. We pretty much ignore them.

    3. Re: I was Studied by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with your $100 example is that your bias led you to set up an example where there was no camera.

      There is always a cabin camera in all present production Teslas. It might be recording or might not but it is there.

      I drive in a Tesla today and I have the camera there. My experience matches the experiment. I learn where it works well and adapt to where it does not. What IMO makes this work is that the tesla is relatively predictable but not 100% predictable. I never quite know and that keeps me vigilant as it is now.

      Having 7 external cameras is sooo much more aware/vigilant than I am at my best. The machine never gets bored, tired, distracted, text messages, phone calls or lazy. It will be interesting to see how the longer term safety records from the real world work out. My bet is much safer.

    4. Re: I was Studied by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      So you're saying the inside of a Tesla is like an AirBnB lodging? That's pretty creepy dude.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    5. Re:I was Studied by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Hmm, having multiple cameras pointed out you and recording data and audio constantly is quite likely to affect your attention levels during driving. People behave differently when they are aware that they are being observed.

      I wonder if there might be a kind of "uncanny valley" for level 2 autonomy, where it gets really good and lulls people into a false sense of security. AP is currently not reliable enough that people are going to trust it.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    6. Re:I was Studied by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The study was invalid or at least not applicable to the general population. The drivers selected are not a random selection from the general population. The drivers opted into purchasing a vehicle with autopilot, probably with the intention of using the system.

    7. Re:I was Studied by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have any questions about my experience, I would be happy to answer.

      Were you paid or otherwise compensated for participating in the study?

    8. Re:I was Studied by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have any questions about my experience, I would be happy to answer.

      Any idea of the CPU, OS, DRAM, SSD of the logger hardware?

      How was the logger connected to the Tesla such that it was aware of autopilot activation and deactivation?

      How frequently was the data transferred from the logger? (I'm assuming physical access to your vehicle was required during these transfers)

    9. Re: I was Studied by lucky.random · · Score: 1

      The way of data collecting is basically invalid. Being watched will definitely change the behavior, especially if one knows the study is about usage of auto pilot. More importantly, agressive or reckless drivers who use auto pilot without paying attention to road would not volunteer to such study.

  10. Re:i hate thinking of a subject every god damn tim by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    A couple of anecdotes do not change overall statistics.

  11. Re:i hate thinking of a subject every god damn tim by KevMar · · Score: 1

    I fully expect that we will one day have an amazing self driving system, but it will have to screw up a million times to get there. So those mistakes do happen and they will continue to happen and systems will continue to improve because of them.

    --
    Im a gamer, not a grammer major. This post is full of spelling and grammer mistakes.
  12. Rei says full level 5 by 12/31/2019 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rei,

    This article is meaningless because you promised us Musk/Tesla/You will provide us with full level 5 autonomous consumer vehicles by the end of this year.

    Some random study about what happens in the next few months is pointless when full level 5 is less than a year away. A few more months of fake self driving just isnt important when we are getting full level 5 by 12/31/2019, as per you.

    I do look forward to mocking you on 1/1/2020 when nothing has improved in any real way. Maybe the drive into a cement block bug or the drive into an emergency vehicle bug will have been worked out,

    Musk is a villain and a proven repeat liar. You are a sheep.

  13. Re:i hate thinking of a subject every god damn tim by fluffernutter · · Score: 0

    They're not "anecdotes". They're real things that happened that shouldn't have happened if this article is true.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  14. What are the confidence intervals? by larryjoe · · Score: 1

    "0% of incidents involved slow driver responses or missed detections" is not a believable absolute statement, at least not without statistical confidence intervals. There are already recorded historical incidents that contradict this 0% statement, so the statement is obviously not true in an absolute and infinite precision way. Either the study needs to state the confidence intervals or state how the study differs from the past contradictory historical incidents. For example, how does the statement that "drivers do not appear to over-trust the system to a degree that results in significant functional vigilance degradation in their supervisory role of system operation" square with the guy who died while watching the Harry Potter movie? Either the study was constructed in a way that doesn't capture this situation, or the metrics were constructed in a way that doesn't capture this situation.

  15. Selection bias by sonamchauhan · · Score: 1

    Since Tesla were too cheap (many meanings here) to build-in a camera pointed at the driver, this study installed one...

    Not only does the driver know they are being watched, the type of driver that agrees to enroll in this study is comfortable being surveilled.

    How were the results corrected for that? How *can* they be?

  16. You don't know what the word anecdote means. by Brannon · · Score: 2

    It's not really possible to have an intelligent conversation with someone who doesn't know what words mean.

  17. Re:i hate thinking of a subject every god damn tim by mentil · · Score: 1

    It doesn't, but 'sample error' does.

    --
    Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
  18. That's because all Tesla owners are wealthy by ourlovecanlastforeve · · Score: 1

    Tesla autopilot drivers are attentive and vigilant because they're all wealthy.

    Rich people don't get rich by making bad decisions.

    I guarantee you that less than 5 minutes after Tesla sells their first economy subcompact there will be a "ghost ride the whip" video on Youtube.

  19. Re: i hate thinking of a subject every god damn ti by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They're not saying it's perfect, they're saying it's no worse than regular drivers on average. Based on the miles logged on by Tesla cars with autopilot, you would expect some accidents. Those accidents are likely to be different in nature than those that would be caused by humans.