My point is the war isn't won at launch. Its won when the system has lots of GOOD games for it, and they become cheap.
Nope. Console wars ARE traditionally won at launch, or at least the first one to reach a certain number, which in this round is estimated at 10 million units. Also, good games come as consoles are established, the more established a console, the more attractive for the publisher/developer (admittedly, that doesn't necessarily mean that games are better). Finally, other consoles (Xbox360, Wii) won't remain at their price level either. If they can start at a lower price, it doesn't mean that they have no leeway downwards.