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User: rally2xs

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  1. Re:Space for solar hasn't been much of a concern on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 1

    Hey, I love the Tesla and really want one, but $100K is $100K, and it ain't happenin' 'til the $100K is maybe $30K. That would be the "magic battery" at work.

    And I do a lot of those long distance drives. I have a destination in Arizona that I frequent. I live in Virginia. I was there last month. It's about 2600 miles when you go down I-95 and hang a right at Jacksonville, then take I-10 the rest of the way. Its really weird to look at your Garmin GPS and the "next turn" is 1600 miles away at an exit onto Valencia in Tucson. But anyway, it took a leisurely 4 days to do that with about 2 - 3 fillups per day. They were about 5 minutes each. It would have taken probably an extra day to let the car sit there and charge 100% each time.

    Quick recharge is the same mechanism at work as is hauling stuff. Lots of people have pickup trucks that get terrible mileage but that they drive to work and everywhere else because they sometimes have to haul stuff - boats, 4X8 sheets of plywood, etc. They don't have the money to buy 2 vehicles, something that gets great mileage but won't haul much more than a briefcase, and then something that will tow the boat. So, they buy something that will tow the boat, and drive it everywhere 'cuz its their only vehicle. I'd have to keep my Subaru WRX for the Arizona (and other places I go for the same reason as Arizona, and they're all over the US - its 3 years old, has 116,000 miles on it) trip and just drive the Tesla when I could afford to wait for a charge - or if there was a supercharger available.

    And I think we'd have to convert _all_ the transportation to electricity, including the 18 wheelers and the locomotives, because once cars and light trucks went away, the economy of scale of making gasoline and diesel would go away, they'd sell probably a small fraction of the amount they do now, so the price per gallon, to pay for all the hideously expensive activities associated with refining and transportation of it would force the price per gallon of the remaining gasoline and diesel to skyrocket. $20 / gallon? Maybe. Then you need to electrify jet air travel (how? I don't think there's a solution for that), boats, trains, 18-wheelers, etc.

    Oh, I think the electricity for transport from the grid is going to take a lot of buildout of the grid. I have a scenario that I calculated once and saved, see if I can find it:

    I found it, but Slashdot won't let me copy it in here - it says "filter error - please use fewer "junk" characters. Dunno what they're talking about, unless it is the carets I was using for powers of 10 that I was representing. Anyway, it'd take about 2.8 trillion dollars to build 164,000 wind turbines to power all of transportation that, or about $507 billion to do that in nuclear plants in order to provide electric with no pollution. Nukes and wind give us zero pollution. Didn't try solar since it only produces on some of the days and only in daylight. Really expensive, and that didn't even try to estimate building out the grid for electrics. If you're a photographer and attempt to photograph virtually any landscape, even in the near-wilderness, there's going to be a power wire running thru your picture. I contended with this while shooting the Apache Trail just east of Phoenix last month. Wires everywhere, but it'd get markedly worse to make transportation go on electricity. I'm still for doing that, but there will be costs in both dollars and esthetics.

  2. Re:Space for solar hasn't been much of a concern on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 1

    We're not talking about cars. We're talking about leaving the oil in the ground, and doing that requires that all of transportation be converted from petroleum fuel to electricity so it can run off the renewable fuels that can be used to make electricity.

    Again, TCO doesn't matter to a guy that is only qualified by his bank to buy a car under $20K. I can go higher, but I would be crazy to attempt to buy a $100K car. Payments on a $100K car? Even at 10 years, that's really a lot of money per month. Buy a car like that, and not have any money left over to go anywhere in it. And then there's insurance on a $100K car... I'm guessing the insurance companies probably REQUIRE LoJack.

    Yeah, I'd love to have a Tesla-like car myself, that would go 300 miles, and cost $30K. That would be what I need, that and being able to recharge it in 5 minutes ("Supercharger" - yeah, I'll pay the $65 or so for that - still cheap if I only have to do it on long trips) and I have even spent time drooling over a Tesla, but it ain't gonna happen at this address until those things are addressed. $30K / 5 minutes / refuel most anywhere. That's 50 years in the future, I think, if it happens at all. I'm 67 so I ain't never gonna see it.

  3. Re:Space for solar hasn't been much of a concern on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 1

    Your Tesla. Remember when I said, "Cheap?" I meant cheap.

    I did not mean that one car had to serve all functions, but that all functions must be served by an array of electric cars similar to the array of gasoline and diesel powered cars that service it now. In other words, the condition needs to exist that no one can select a car or truck or 18 wheeler or boat or locomotive or aircraft, etc. powered by gasoline that cannot also be selected and powered by electricity for roughly the same price. There is no battery available to enable this condition.

    Did I say it right this time? I think you know what I meant.

  4. Re:But even if they had enough power... on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 1

    "Payoffs to society" would be providing a good or service at the least cost and greatest availability. Involvement of government generally causes increased costs and less availability. That is a prime reason for private industry to be doing it.

  5. Re:Space for solar hasn't been much of a concern on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 1

    No, that's not the magic battery we need. The magic battery we need will power the car (or diesel 18 wheeler, locomotive, ship, etc) for its normal range when using petroleum fuel, and cost the same as a vehicle that uses petroleum fuel. There is no such animal at present.

    It doesn't need to power the car for the "average" needs of the "average" commuter, it needs to power the car for all the needs of all the current auto-buying public.

    My Subaru WRX is insanely fast, will go over 300 miles on a tank of gas, is "rechargeable" in about 5 minutes, and cost $29K. There is no such vehicle even possible today. It would probably even be competitive if it costs maybe 1.2X or 1.3X the cost of my WRX due to the cost saving of electricity compared to gas, but the closest thing we have is the Chevy Volt, it being the only almost-reasonably-priced car that could serve to take me to Tucson and back as I just drove last month in the WRX in the time it took me to get there. I refueled in 5 minutes or so, as can the Volt. The Volt is much more expensive and much less "quick" and therefore much less "fun." Doesn't fill my wants and needs. I almost bought one once anyway, but would have kept the WRX, and couldn't afford both the Volt and the WRX. Get back to me when there's a Volt version of a Jeep Cherokee... That would be a "maybe."

  6. Re:Space for solar hasn't been much of a concern on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 2

    They can already make insane amounts of money if they're successful at making a magic battery for electric cars, because running cars on electricity is insanely cheap when you compare it to gasoline or even diesel. People would fall all over each other to buy them. People have been working on them for about a decade at least, but you know what? We still don't have it. Why? Because it is an extremely difficult problem. It may be a problem without a solution, as it my be impossible to store enough energy in a small enough space to use for powering a car without it costing more than the people can afford. It might just not be doable. We may NEVER get the magic battery, in which case we're going to have to, say, build railways where roads are, and have a catenary or other system to feed power to cars from an external source, and move cars that way. That may be too expensive too. But if a solution to this is not found, then the people can, in 200 - 300 years when the fossil fuels finally run out, look forward to living in poverty due to really expensive and scarce energy.

  7. Re:But even if they had enough power... on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 1

    "And it would pay off extremely well."

    If that is true, then private industry could (and should) do it. Adding gov't to something just increases the cost (absolutely) and delay (probably.)

  8. Re:But even if they had enough power... on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 1

    They're not going to be able to build that overnight. If they think they might need it next year, they should start building something that big in about 2005.

  9. Re:California leads the charge on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 1

    Been to California last year. Never saw / smelled a thing. Denver is worse, I can see that.

  10. Re:Space for solar hasn't been much of a concern on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 2

    "But really you need to address your flagrant overuse of electricity."

    Right there is one of my strongest objections to environmentalism and liberal politics, that being someone else thinking they have the right to tell someone else how to live.

    He can use exactly as much energy as he is willing and able to pay for.

    I recently logged 1705 KwH for a month of fairly cool winter month with geothermal heat. House about 1700 sq. ft. I'm living in Virginia right now, which has a lot of sun most of the time, but I'm originally from Ohio where I've seen the sun go behind clouds in November and not be seen again until sometime in January. Yeah, that happened one year, depressed the H out of me. Overcast sucks any time of year. But it'd take a H of a battery to be able to actually go off grid here, and in Ohio you better get a wind machine, 'cuz solar will let you down big-time. Hey, there isn't all THAT much wind in Ohio, either.

  11. Re:Space for solar hasn't been much of a concern on Deploying Solar In California's Urban Areas Could Meet Demand Five Times Over · · Score: 2

    "It will be fixed" is the same as saying, "we will do magic."

    It won't be fixed until someone invents the magic battery. We also need the magic battery for making our transportation work on electricity. The magic battery needs to be cheap and small and cheap and high capacity and cheap and lightweight and cheap. That's not going to happen by magic. All these energy protesters and environmental protesters and carbon tax advocates are not going to help a damned bit unless they get their PHD's in electrochemistry, get their butts into a lab someplace, and invent for us the magic battery. THEN we might get somewhere with electricity from "renewable" sources.

  12. Microsoft Wireless 3000 on Ask Slashdot: Good Keyboard? · · Score: 1

    This is the one I'm using now:

    http://www.amazon.com/dp/B0021...

    Has some useful hotkeys like zoom in and zoom out, one-key mute, volume up and volume down, calculator, etc. Full size with numerical keypad, no "ergonomic" layout to learn. It replaced a wired model 3000 that doesn't seem to be available any more, or at least I couldn't find it. Would rather have wired so I didn't have to worry about the battery, but this is good as long as the battery holds up - 2 AA batteries.

  13. You're 6 Year Old Should Be Able To Use a SDC. on Would You Need a License To Drive a Self-Driving Car? · · Score: 1

    Really, if someone has some scenario of the car malfunctioning, and a hero driver catching it before it hits a wall or goes over a cliff, they have another think coming. Nobody would be that quick. These self-driving cars are going to either be good enough that you can get in and snooze all the way to work, or they will be worthless.

    The thing that will really stop SDC's from happening are the laws. The gov't isn't much going to like giving up its highway robbery known as speeding tickets so will not alter the speed limit. The SDC will have to be programmed for the speed limit, while "regular" cars will go flying by probably 15 - 20 mph faster. SDC occupants will not only be in grave danger from getting hit from behind, but will be unhappy at taking far longer to get anywhere than the lawbreaking "regular" drivers that are supplying the state will all the ticket revenues.

    SDC's will work most everywhere else in the world except the USA.

  14. Want a Strategy That Works? on We Stopped At Two Nuclear Bombs; We Can Stop At Two Degrees. · · Score: 1

    First of all, "reducing" carbon emissions by political means - a carbon tax, etc, won't work. You just get more expensive fuel, with more widespread poverty amongst those that can't afford the more expensive fuel, and you get a marginal reduction built upon the bodies of the poor that die in subzero weather trying to sleep under a bridge, or the bodies of the kids whose parents can't afford to take them to the doctor for some preventive care.

    No, the strategy that works is to give the world's manufacturing back to the USA. We can now do all our manufacturing power including heating with natural gas, which is 80% of the vaunted "hydrogen economy" since methane, the main ingredient of natural gas, is 4 parts hydrogen and 1 part carbon which we burn very, very cleanly.

    And to get the world's manufacturing back to the USA, the USA must pass the Fair Tax. Understanding this requires understanding that the US income taxes are what have been sabotaging US business for decades. They are the reason that manufacturing shuts down in the USA and pops up in Canada, Mexico, Southeast Asia, Russia, anywhere but the USA.

    The Fair Tax abolishes absolutely all the income taxes, as well as the IRS, and does not tax business at all. Bill Archer, a former head of the House Ways and Means committee, commissioned a survey of 500 foreign CEO's and asked them, "What would you do if the USA passed the Fair Tax?" 400 of them said that they would build their next factory in the USA. The other 100 said that they would move their company's headquarters to the USA.

    Doing the world's manufacturing in the USA would go a long way toward combatting the injection of further CO2 into the atmosphere.

    Other than that, we need to get some smart physicists who know electrochemistry to invent for us the magic (cheap, high capacity, cheap, lightweight, cheap, physically small, and cheap) battery so that we can use it in electric cars and power our transportation. It does no go to generate TeraWattHours of electricity with natural gas, wind, solar, and so forth if we can't use it to get from point A to point B via cars, trucks, ships, boats, and airplanes. Converting transportation to electricity is the next big challenge. Do that, and the reason for whining about a global warming crisis will disappear. Whether it is real or it is the biggest hoax ever perpetrated upon mankind, achieving electric cars and natural gas fired electricity with as much wind and solar as we can afford to build, and taking manufacturing away from everyone else that can't do it as cleanly (virtually everyone) will be the ultimate solution.

  15. Re:1420 what on NJ Museum Revives TIROS Satellite Dish After 40 Years · · Score: 1

    A dish at "0.4 Mhz" wouldn't be effective. Has to be Mhz. Don't know how to relate the number "0.4 Mhz" with "1420 Mhz." 0.4 meters would be 1000 Mhz. Who the H wrote that gibberish, anyway?

  16. Re:It's a radio telescope on NJ Museum Revives TIROS Satellite Dish After 40 Years · · Score: 2

    Well, I dunno... the dish has mechanical parts that are 40 years old. What condition were they in? Did they need to replace any motors or bearings or control electricals or build new interfaces to old obsolete ones? Did they have to do anti-corrosion measures, maybe even paint the thing? It may have been quite a project. I'm not clicking no links that people have deemed to be a "hack attack" so am not about to read the original article.

  17. Re:Us versus them mentatilty on LAPD Orders Body Cams That Will Start Recording When Police Use Tasers · · Score: 1

    24 hr body cams would record those actions too, and support lawsuits by those mistreated. Lots of reasons to be recording.

    And, stop and frisk was highly successful, as shown by recent rise in NYC shootings. That's shootings, not necessarily murders, crime, etc.

  18. Re:Us versus them mentatilty on LAPD Orders Body Cams That Will Start Recording When Police Use Tasers · · Score: 1

    Police deal mostly with the bad guys, who _are_ the enemy.

    Cameras should be on any time the officer is on duty.

  19. No Help At All on LAPD Orders Body Cams That Will Start Recording When Police Use Tasers · · Score: 1

    Cameras should be on for the entire shift. It does no good to start a camera upon the release of a taser, because what we're really interested in is the circumstances that led up to the release of the taser. This is absolutely useless.

  20. "Pure" Linux Experience on Unity 8 Will Bring 'Pure' Linux Experience To Mobile Devices · · Score: 1, Interesting

    That likely means you have to memorize how 350 different 2-letter-abbreviated command-line utilites work along with 17 or so switches each one has... Everybody will flock to do that.

  21. Re:I'll Always Want To Own on In a Self-Driving Future, We May Not Even Want To Own Cars · · Score: 1

    Don't have guns or bikes all the time, but yeah, sunglasses, insurance papers, etc, I have 'em along. I also don't have to worry if I leave my cell phone in the car, 'cuz it'll be right there in the car in the garage, and not taking off to meet the next fare who finds it and converts it to his own purposes. Them Android phones are expensive.

  22. Re:Exactly like a... taxi ! on In a Self-Driving Future, We May Not Even Want To Own Cars · · Score: 1

    Visited the courthouse a few days ago. "No cell phones, no pocket knives, etc. etc." The Taxi drove away 90 seconds ago. Now what? Call it back, have it take you back home and stash those things? I just emptied everything into my car, which was sitting outside like a portable vault. Cover valuable stuff with a newspaper or possibly a coat (the "messy car defense" for not having things stolen out of the car - if they can't see it, they won't break into it to steal it) and that problem was solved.

    The only problem remaining is the blatant violation of 4th amendment rights when gov't agents conduct a search like that without any probably cause. Same thing for airports. Airlines could do it if they wanted to, but not gov't agents like the TSA. But they do. We are in a "post-Constitutional" era..." and on the way to a dictatorship if the President's last major constitutional-ignoring keeps getting repeated, which of course it will.

  23. Re:freedom and status on In a Self-Driving Future, We May Not Even Want To Own Cars · · Score: 1

    Nothing wrong with mass transit as long as you don't want to arrive with 300 lbs of tools, or maybe a hunting shotgun or maybe even a personal protection firearm which most pinhead mass transit systems ban. Nothing like being overexposed to the criminal elements on mass transit AND being defenseless at the same time.

  24. Re:Cars will be luxuries... on In a Self-Driving Future, We May Not Even Want To Own Cars · · Score: 1

    We can fix the collapse of the middle class by repealing the income tax. That's all we have to do. Really.

  25. I'll Always Want To Own on In a Self-Driving Future, We May Not Even Want To Own Cars · · Score: 1

    My bike rack will be on the trailer hitch with my bike on it when I get up.

    My hunting gun will be in the trunk, packed there the night before the trip to the cabin.

    My self-protection gun will be secreted exactly where I want it to be and not need to be retrieved or possibly forgotten before departing.

    The sunglasses I use will be in the center console.

    The insurance stuff will be in the glove box.

    Various hobby stuff or work things will be in the trunk where I don't have to remember to pack them.

    Etc.