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User: alucaneat

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  1. Re:Mired in statistical fallacies on Chicago Developing 'Suspicious Behavior' Monitoring System · · Score: 1

    "P(S|T) is the probability that the system will identify you as suspicious, given that you are a terrorist. You can call this the system's "accuracy." Let's be generous and say the accuracy is 99.99% = 0.9999."

    The definition of accuracy is not accurate:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accuracy

    Accuracy= (True positives+ True negatives)/Total number of instances

    Using your notation: Accuracy = P(S/T)*P(T) + P(~S/~T)*P(~T)
    P(S/T) is just the true positive rate (called also Recall)