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User: lgw

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  1. Re:long term solutions on The Future of the Cloud Depends On Magnetic Tape (arstechnica.com) · · Score: 1

    3-9s? That's worse than using 10-year-old HDDs, tossing them in a box, and then losing the box. I think you're off somewhere, but then is is MS so who knows. They sell their cloud services at a deep loss, so eventually that will change.

    The best cloud archiving is S3 Glacier. It's roughly $50 per TB per year, and gives 11-9s SLA. You can avoid bandwidth costs with Snowball (or if you think in EB instead of TB, Snowmobile).

    LTO8 is roughly $10 per TB, plus whatever Iron Mountain charges to store a box full of them for you, probably less than $1 pre TB per year, unless you're small scale. It's also an easy sell to auditors, where S3 may take some convincing.

  2. Sort of: aluminum smelting is a two-step process. Bauxite -> Alumina -> Aluminum. The former process requires heating to >1000 C, the latter is electrolytic (the input is heated to a bit under 1000 C, but I assume that's heated electrically since the electrical power is right there). But then, I don't know how often these are done separately, vs on the same site where you might as well use an electric furnace for the first step a well.

    In any case, Solar still presents a challenge as you need uninterrupted power to keep the aluminum molten in the cells. I supposed with good enough energy storage that could be overcome, but I doubt it will be an early convert. Still, wherever hydro is working, it's working.

  3. I assumed "digging a hole" was a joke. Humans don't dig holes that are significantly deep, in comparison to the radius of the Earth.

    The heat from the Earth's core is transported out through the surface at a certain rate. Convection in the mantle brings a certain amount of heat to the crust. That's all the energy we can get out of geothermal. Realistically, trying to consume a non-trivial percentage of that heat would have unpredictable effects on techtonics.

    Wikipedia says that the total outflow is 0.03% of solar, or 3/10,000ths. If we look at heat lost through land vs ocean, that's about 1/10,000th so my memory wasn't too far off.

  4. Re:We beat a country the size of California on US is World's Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade (wsj.com) · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Without the 16th amendment, any income tax must be sent to the states, proportional to population. (Same reason there's no federal sales tax today).

    Corruption of the Senate seems perfectly optimized for the current system. Flipping back to appointment by the states would confuse all the lobbyists for a while, and give us many years until we come full cycle. Plus all those lobbyists would have to actually (gasp!) visit flyover red states in order to bribe all the state governments. Do them good to get out of DC once in a while. Of course, in another few decades we'd want to flip it again.

    An amendment takes 3/4 of the states. That means the left coast can be entirely ignored. According to the documentary Demolition Man, we'll be amending the Constitution soon enough to allow Schwarzenegger to become president. I figure it's a twofer.

  5. Patenting it! First to file BIATCH!

    Got there first with my patent application on adding solar panels to the benches! Just to make the Seattlites feel guilty every time they sit down.

  6. They don't actually build it on the surface. They dig a hole.

    The total energy of geothermal outflux is about 1/10000th of the total energy of solar influx. That's what you've got to work with with any approach.

  7. Re:the transition period on Some Electric Car Drivers Might Spew More CO2 Than Diesel Cars, New Research Shows (bloomberg.com) · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Corn ethanol makes no sense other than as a subsidy to corn farmers. It's just about the worst choice for a biofuel.

  8. And whoever made up the summary hit the loaded language mark too - you see "spew" in a lot of pollution stories to let you know which conclusion you should draw before reading the rest.

    You can also play the "old-school media drinking game". Drink a shot whenever you see a headline or first sentence that reads "Republicans Seize" or "Republicans Pounce", to let you know they're dangerous animals. Be be responsible and stop before you die of alcohol poisoning.

  9. You'd have to hire someone to sweep the bums off the solar panels every morning.

    Nah, just add spikes to the panel the way they do to the benches in Seattle.

  10. The legitimate problem with geothermal is that it doesn't scale. It's great where it's naturally concentrated, but across the Earth's surface it averages about 1/10,000th of solar influx.

  11. As solar and energy storage get better, the need for large centralized fission plants will fade. Heavy industry will still need thermal power, but fission isn't really appropriate there either (avoiding steel-melting temperatures is sort of a design goal of a nuke plant, after all). Fingers crossed on fusion not being "just 20 years away" one of these decades.

  12. Having driven both, I like electric cars. The technology is finally right up there equal to, and in many ways superior to, internal combustion cars.

    They aren't as much fun as rowing through the gears, but open roads are vanishing anyhow. Bumper-to-bumper commute 30MPH in the rain? Might as well take advantage of an electric drivetrain.

    The current offerings are still relatively expensive, though. Maybe that's just the Tesla aesthetic, but they don't have much going for them beyond the drivetrain. Still not so useful for rural life, either.

    . The cost of solar arrays has dropped so much in the last decade that this is practical now; it does mean you'll want to site car manufacturing plants

    Heavy industry in general isn't a great candidate for Solar. Car manufacturing (final assembly) maybe, as there are a lot of low-energy processes, but creating the steel and aluminum inputs is still mostly "primary thermal power", that is, they don't use electricity in the first place. Still, if battery manufacture in particular were more green, people could feel more smug about their smugmobiles.

  13. Re:We beat a country the size of California on US is World's Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade (wsj.com) · · Score: -1

    That would require a constitutional amendment. If we cannot muster the support to amend the 2nd amendment, what makes you think we can muster the support to amend the 22nd?

    Depends how much better the economy gets in Trumps second term. We could repeal that part of the 22nd Amendment while we're repealing the 16th and 17th. Or the 8-1 SCOTUS (after 3 more Trump picks) could just decide the 22nd doesn't apply, because of "emanations and penumbras" of the Constitution.

  14. Re:We beat a country the size of California on US is World's Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade (wsj.com) · · Score: 1

    The religious child molestation problem

    You seem to have blurred problems with Catholicism and Islam across all religions. Catholicism's problems seem to stem from the expectation of celibacy for priests, which attracts those with little interest in a conventional marriage, but Buddhism doesn't seem to have that problem, so that can't be the full answer.

  15. Re:We beat a country the size of California on US is World's Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade (wsj.com) · · Score: -1

    Having a large economy is a far cry from "carrying the united states", but it's cool that the NPC script was updated to include Wikipedia links, that's always welcome. America has been Made Great Again (well, economically, but that's a start) despite the best efforts of California Socialism.

  16. Re:We beat a country the size of California on US is World's Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade (wsj.com) · · Score: -1, Flamebait

    Also with the State of California (The Top State Economy in the US) carrying most of the country.

    Is that what progressives tell themselves these days? Man, someone should add more robust programming to those NPCs, they're pretty repetitive.

    Welcome to the Trump Economy. It's why Trump will be re-elected in 2024 and 2028. (2020 is a given.) You ready for the Red Tide in November?

  17. $23 or $24 dollars to everyone. He's pretty rich.

    Half of that, if he gave all of his money and not just "pocket change".

    Alternatively, he could buy ~1/3 of all US farmland, and use what it grows to feed starving people.

    As opposed to what that land does now? Or do you mean he could destroy the livelyhood of farmers in poor nations by giving that food away for free? And who would he be taking that food away from in order to do that - you know, who buys that food today? And how would he convince local dictators, who are blocking current charities in order to control their people? How many divisions does Bezos have, and how many do you want him to have?

    Man, I don't think you thought that one through.

  18. Your argument fails to mention any reason that "basing on physics" should be a goal. Surely "correctness" should be the goal?

  19. You can certainly try to do fewer of the things you know are wrong, and more of the things you know are right. We're imperfect people in an imperfect world, but there are degrees of fuckup.

    So the best counter is actually to ask if they believe in the Bible, like the Tower of Babel, Sodom and Gomorrah, Noah's Ark etc. because very literally believes that anymore.

    The Bible is not a book about how the world is - it's not intended as science or, for the old testament, accurate history. No one really thought that way at the time. It's a book about how to be in the world. That's common across all religions, even most of those invented in modern times.

    And as far as "Jesus == Santa Claus", hey, whatever people want to believe to get them acting in a way they won't regret later.

  20. In the early days of IE6, it was the 90% player, and MS was adding "features" left and right. They were implementing like crazy, just implementing their own stuff.

  21. Re:Click the link, it's SFW on Facebook Plans Camera-Equipped TV Device, Report Says (cheddar.com) · · Score: 1

    What's next, Zuckerbook? Convincing people they should put their sex lives and bathroom visits on Facebook, too?

    Don't be silly, that stuff goes on Twitter.

  22. Re:Stephan Hawking was not ... on Stephen Hawking Warns That AI and 'Superhumans' Could Wipe Humanity; Says There's No God in Posthumous Book (cnn.com) · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It's rather hard to take a position on the existing of the god of the Deists, the Spinosan Heresy, and similar definitions of god as either a hands-off creator of the universe, or as another name for the universe itself.

    The creation of the universe is really an open question in physics. There are a bunch of plausible theories, including brane collisions, Penrose's cyclic cosmology, universe-as-a-simulation, or my own favorite "we're inside a block hole inside a bigger universe". There's also a theory that the universe was created as a result of random fluctuations of the vacuum energy state, but that one's down there with mythology IMO.

    Some entity creating the universe on his workbench, whether as a simulation or in some other way, is as good a theory as any other at this point. I'm not sure why it's important to pick one?

    If instead you're referring to the idea shared by many religions of "live as if there were a judgemental being that sees everything you do and will hold you accountable", well, that's obviously true. That being is your future self.

  23. Parent post is not flamebait by any stretch of the imagination. Looks like the mods got the bad crack again today.

    I'm interested in Hawking's views on the subject, as he's a generally smart guy, but he's in no way an expert on "AI". Well, unless of course it's been the chair talking to us for the past 10 years, and not Hawking - but you'd think we'd have figured that out when he died.

  24. Re:Please tell Google quit breaking web APIs on Chrome 70 Won't Ship With a Patch For Autoplay-Blocking Web Audio API Which Broke Web Apps and Games Earlier This Year (theverge.com) · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Chrome is the new IE6.

    Google clearly figures its market share is big enough that it can just ignore standards. The world turns, and everything old is new again.

  25. Re: Main concern on Climate Change Will Cause Beer Shortages and Price Hikes, Study Says (vice.com) · · Score: 1

    Pirates added rum to their water barrels to preserve it. It wasn't higher than 3% alcohol and it worked in preventing algae growth and the prevalence of bacteria. They called it Grog, now shutup maties.

    Admiral Edward "Old Grog" Vernon, of the Royal Navy and very much not a pirate, in 1740 ordered that the rum his sailors were given be watered down, to reduce the problems with alcoholism in the fleet. The ration at the time was one half pint of run a day, which sailors would save for several days and get totally hammered. Watering down the rum would make the rum spoil faster, limiting the number of days it could be collected and still be worth drinking.

    BTW, sailors would mix beer or rum with stagnant water to make it taste better, not to purify it.

    The more you know ...