User: soulgreen

Re:If its so likely, they why hasn't it happened?

On: Alternate Baseball Universes

i think the formula is flawed:
for example they say that dimaggio had an 81% chance to get a hit based off of his perfomance
from that year. so they adjusted the simulator to use an 81% of the time hit response.

in my opinion you would want to use his previous years data.
i know that still doesn't give you an accurate model but you can't base likelihood of what has already happened.