What you are describing is the nature of progress and improvement. That's one reason why have programming, so we can improve things and do things we couldn't do before. What you're missing is that while today's bleeding edge will be standard in ten years, there will also be a NEW bleeding edge. People will apply their skills in different areas than today, they won't stop applying them. People want to be creative - they won't stop just cause things are changing.
On top of that, get ready to be "Moore's law'd'" out of most other programming jobs you might be thinking of taking - by 2015 computers will be fast enough that point-and-drool paint-by-numbers tools will be available to rapidly and idiotically autogenerate most of the code you write today with no discernable performance loss.
Sure, the tools with which we program will change. And the realms in which we program will change. And the products will change. Surely (hopefully!) by 2015 programming languages will have evolved into something completely different from what they are today, making it possible to produce programs on a completely different level than we do today. Sure, if you believe that just cause you know Java you're bound to have a job forever, you're going to get disappointed.
But any true programmer will already have the ability to learn and adapt as the tools and the environment changes, since this is part of the programming mind, in fact required by the programming mind. A person who has an ability to be creative with technology, who can be innovative, who can produce truly novel things will always be required.
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No. Consistensy isn't l33+.
What you are describing is the nature of progress and improvement. That's one reason why have programming, so we can improve things and do things we couldn't do before. What you're missing is that while today's bleeding edge will be standard in ten years, there will also be a NEW bleeding edge. People will apply their skills in different areas than today, they won't stop applying them. People want to be creative - they won't stop just cause things are changing.
Sure, the tools with which we program will change. And the realms in which we program will change. And the products will change. Surely (hopefully!) by 2015 programming languages will have evolved into something completely different from what they are today, making it possible to produce programs on a completely different level than we do today. Sure, if you believe that just cause you know Java you're bound to have a job forever, you're going to get disappointed.
But any true programmer will already have the ability to learn and adapt as the tools and the environment changes, since this is part of the programming mind, in fact required by the programming mind. A person who has an ability to be creative with technology, who can be innovative, who can produce truly novel things will always be required.
(Me? A programmer? Nooooo...)