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User: garyebickford

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  1. Re:Send money to support our TV commercial! on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    I forget the name, but an economist came out a year or two with an analysis of the potential of space development. The result was that, if things like asteroid and lunar mining and space solar power are successfully developed, within 100 years the mean standard of living of every person on earth could be increased by a factor of 10. I'd be OK with 1.5 or 2. I'm somewhat skeptical of space solar power myself, mostly due to the political difficulties, but technically SSP could eliminate all ground-based power plants, nuclear, coal, or oil, and provide enough power for the entire automotive and transportation fleet to be electric. (I don't see how that would work for ocean shipping, but hey.)

    It's not an ideal comparison, but the "discovery" of America turned Europe from a relative backwater to the colonial powerhouse of the later centuries. Without American resources, Europe would never have become what it is today - the global language, if any, might be Swahili, or Mandarin, or Hindi, or maybe Russian.

  2. Re:So, the famous plan on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    I've been told that the B-52 planes flying today have almost no original parts in them - everything has been changed out, improved, updated. The fleet is right now undergoing a complete remake of tthe flight controls, with a new glass cockpit. Those are physical planes, not just plans. And tecchnology has come a long way - the new SuperDraco motors on SpaceX Dragon are 3D printed, saving something like 70% of the cost.

    But you are right to an extent. In the original Plan, the Space Shuttle was in there, taking parts up to what became the ISS. The original Atlas rockets, upgraded and modified in many ways, are still in use - but they use Russian engines. Today's space community, or industry, or whatever, now includes China, India, Japan, and over 30 other countries. Ecuador and Costa Rica have space programs, small but active. So the new Plan will use elements of the old Plan, but will also have new threads and new technologies, and must have a different focus on space as a global endeavor.

    One minor hope is that by showing the increasing interrelationships across national boundaries, and by showing new supply chains, a new Plan may help international cooperation. That's a tall order, but it's not without possibilities.

  3. Re:NSS roadmap on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    I hit 'submit' too fast ... I'll be reading your papers later tonight. I am glad to know about them. We may want to include links to them in the website, and we'll also be assembling a community of folks who are advising or otherwise helping build the system.

  4. Re:NSS roadmap on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    The NSS roadmap has a different focus, as does Dani Eder's Space Transport and Engineering Methods Wikibook. This wikibook is a good basic reference to the many technologies related to space, so we want to incorporate links to his work to allow folks on our website to learn more when desired. Dani supports our project, and has graciously allowed us to include references and links to his work in the Plan website. With permission, we can incorporate multiple roadmaps as part of the website or by reference, and provide useful links between roadmap elements and the projects that are related to them. This is just one way in which the website (which will be at the "thespaceplan.com", which presently points to the Kickstarter page), can become a comprehensive resource.

    As an aside, every member of Space Finance Group is also a member of NSS including two or three past NSS officers, and I believe that NSS supports this effort though I haven't seen the paperwork myself.

  5. Re: So, the famous plan on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    There's a link to Maker Magazine there. And the original link. And somewhere here is a link to the BBC program ... ahh, here 'tis. This program inspired us to offer a "huge" version for schools.

  6. Re: Poster already widely available on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    Now see, if your school had had a poster on the wall you'd know better! :)

  7. Re: Send money to support our TV commercial! on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    No, we did the commercial, you can see it on the Kickstarter page.

  8. Re: Good use for the money on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    So I'm guessing you didn't write that on your sat phone! :D
    Did you watch the weather today on your cable? Or perhaps you were lost in the woods - should have used your GPS!

  9. Re: Job 1, fix the video's music on kickstarter. on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    I don't recall it, sorry. But the folks who did the TV commercial are just one of many who have given their time, effort and money to help make this happen, for which we are grateful!

  10. Re: So, the famous plan on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 1

    Sorry, I've been so involved. For those who aren't familiar the Maker Magazine articleis a good start. Of course the original link above has some info. And Google is your friend. :)

  11. Re: Nope on Updating the Integrated Space Plan · · Score: 2, Informative

    Back in the day there were several thousand printed and distributed, and that was just within the industry. Rockwell International used it as a pr tool, and a copy once hung behind the desk of the NASA administrator. We've been told by some in the space development community that seeing the original is what got them into it. BBC did a documentary on it in 2007. So it continues to be a big deal in the community.

    The original was not just "blue sky" fantasies but a compilation of what the engineers of the time considered a reasonable stepwise progression from what they were building - the Shuttle, and the rest of the space technology that has been flying for a while - to what analysis showed would probably be necessary, and possible. If there had been a Congressional hearing on how to go forth, this Plan would have been one of the source materials. Of course the later time frames were increasingly speculative, of necessity. But it was not just a dreamer's fantasy.

    But our goal is even less fantastic. A poster is just a snapshot in time and is limited in how much information can be included. But a website does not have those limitations. It will start slowly, but over time we intend the website to be a useful analytics tool where you can see how things are connected as well as information about the companies and agencies. For instance, who owns SeaLaunch? What is their financial status? Their launch schedule? Their success rate? We want to be the resource for all of that.

    If the Kickstarter only just barely succeeds the website project will go slowly. (We are encouraging folks who want to help with any of this, from data collection & curation to building the back end, to pledge at the $1 level at least, to get on our contact list.) but if it's wildly successful we'll be able to build the team to make it rock.

  12. Re:Repost on Xanadu Software Released After 54 Years In the Making · · Score: 1

    Cool! :D

  13. Re:Mine this project documentation, please on Xanadu Software Released After 54 Years In the Making · · Score: 1

    No. (IANAL). However if itt was 'published' at any point, after some period of time that used to be one year, if the patent application has not been submitted it's no longer patentable and goes into the public domain.

  14. Re:Theory vs. Practice. on Xanadu Software Released After 54 Years In the Making · · Score: 2

    Well Ted and his (various) teams did actually build semi-working versions of Xanadu. The project was at one point owned by AutoDesk. So even if it wasn't popular, that would stilll count as prior art.

  15. Re:Yay, at last! Or? on Xanadu Software Released After 54 Years In the Making · · Score: 4, Informative

    Actually, Ted Nelson hates the whole web as implemented, as in his opinion it's a bastard stepchild that makes the real utility of hypertext impossible. Keyword: "transclusion". His approach as that even the smallest snippet of a quote was transcluded, not copied and pasted. This would seamlessly allow (& depend on) micropayments or microattribution, as appropriate.

    Source: Saw him speak, spent a while talking with him 15 or so years ago, have a signed copy of his book.

    BTW: Ted also came up with the term "hypertext" IIRC.

  16. Re:Reps are wrong; last mile should be utility on Congressman Introduces Bill To Limit FCC Powers · · Score: 2

    Yes, there's a happy medium.

    The history of AT&T is most interesting. At that time (late 1920s IIRC) there were hundreds or thousands of phone companies. AT&T was the biggest. AT&T used both technical arguments and outright bribery to establish the phone monopoly. It argued that with all these companies competing - mostly for the "last mile" - the country would suffer with too many conflicting technologies and incompatibilities, and price competition would prevent spending the money for the research and development needed. This was not so long after the railroads went through some growing pains that had to be fixed with legislation, so they had a point. But they also spread money around Congress like water - not just campaign donations but cash under the table. At one point it was estimated that 90% of Congress had been paid off by AT&T. So the competitors basically were never allowed to make the opposing technical case - it was a done deal.

    The result was a slow but steady growth in technology, and the tremendous R&D of Bell Labs. But it's also possible that the other path might have resulted in much faster development - we'll never know.

    Later AT&T and its children fought tooth and nail to prevent any other product from hooking up to its lines - again their argument was to "protect the infrastructure". The 1968 CarterFone Decision broke that side of the monopoly and allowed us to plug any phone or modem we wanted into the network, so long as it they "did not cause harm to the system". The present arguments are a continuation of this issue. In a related process, Skype applied to the FCC in 2007 to apply this decision to the wireless industry and require wireless carriers to allow any device to connect to wireless without getting prior approval from the carrier. (This would, I think, break the monopoly on phones that each wireless carrier presently maintains.)

  17. Re:Reps are wrong; last mile should be utility on Congressman Introduces Bill To Limit FCC Powers · · Score: 1

    I'm not convinced the Republican Party "of old" was ever all that much better although I could be swayed by the idea that they're a lot more brazen in their willingness to embrace just about any corporate proposal. I'm especially unconvinced the Democrats are any better,

    The original GOP, recall, was essentially created to end slavery. Had Lincoln not been elected, it's possible that the war might not have happened. In the 1880s (IIRC - may have been earlier) the GOP entered a Civil Rights bill that was essentially the same as the one that finally got passed in 1962 - and THAT one was passed with 80% GOP support, only 66% Dem support even though it was sponsored by the Dem administration. Even then, the Dems only came along after much arm twisting and 'incentives'.

    From the end of Reconstruction until FDR, the South was 100% Democratic - this is the period in which the black vote was suppressed. The potential black vote was, almost 100% GOP - "Party of Lincoln" and all that, but were not allowed to vote. (Fascinating book, "Making Whiteness" - about the fugue state that the South created, living a false dream after the Civil War and imposing that dream on the rest of the country with its solid voting block.)

    More recently, I grew up in Oregon (I don't live there now.) In the late 1960s Oregon was a majority GOP state, but people tended to vote for the better candidate of either party - but were fundamentally conservative in the real sense - using resources wisely and avoiding sudden changes without thinking through the consequences. Under a GOP governor, Oregon passed the first "bottle bill", and the first statewide land-use planning law in the US. The planning law was intended to protect farmers from the tax consequences of encroaching housing. The increased potential value caused their property taxes to skyrocket, so was taxing them out of business - so they had to sell, which then put the pressure on the next farm, and so on. These taxes could often be several times the total annual revenue of a farm. By setting up an "Exclusive Farm Use" zoning law, these farmers were given a lower tax burden that allowed them to keep their farms. These two measures were fundamentally conservative in the real sense. Today "conservative" and "liberal" are both terms of convenience that mean whatever the parties want them to mean, so are essentially meaningless In fact the huge influx of urban Democrats into Oregon that shifted the politics was the result of those policies. Even today, in the most recent elections only five counties out of thirty-odd actually vote "blue" - all of the more rural areas are still solidly Main Street Republicans.

    Throughout its history the GOP has oscillated between being the party of Big Government and the party of Small Government. Under Lincoln it was definitely Big Government - he was the first to impose an income tax, the first (and only IIRC) to suspend Habeus Corpus during a war, and the first (obviously) to assert that states could not secede - although he himself wrote at some point that he believed they had the right. The period of Teddy Roosevelt was an especially interesting one - the so-called "Progressive" era that he started, was originally within the GOP. It was mostly a populist, anti-corruption movement. But the power brokers hated it, especially after it morphed into something closer to the present "Progressive" liberal mantra.

    Bottom line - populists of all kinds are going to have a hard time.

  18. Reps are wrong; last mile should be utility on Congressman Introduces Bill To Limit FCC Powers · · Score: 1

    IMHO this is yet another example of the national Republicans being out of touch with real people on Main Street (unlike the 'true' Republican party that existed for decades.) They are listening to the lobbyists for the big cable providers, etc. - those whose present business model is based on having local monopolies, while being allowed to act as if they were in competitive markets. This even extends to liability for content - these companies are arguing on the one hand that they are 'common carriers' and so are not liable for illegal content, but then act as enhanced information providers, who can be liable.

    Since it's inefficient to run numerous separate cables down each street, the 'last mile' at least should be treated as a utility - a simple transition point might be the location where Akamai, Google and NetFlix put their cacheing servers, and/or where all of the trunk lines come together into the router(s) that ship the data to/from the consumers. This is analogous to what the phone systems do. The fact is that the entire purpose of the Utility regulations was to avoid two things: massive duplication of infrastructure (wiring), and unfair marketing practices.

    Ideally the last mile providers of IP and TCP - both cable and phone - would be required to split off and operated as independent divisions from their 'enhanced services' business, to avoid any opportunity to use unfair means to create an advantage, such as what they are explicitly doing now. In fairness, they should provide the fastest available data transmission between the central office at a regulated price. Then their information provider division would have to compete along with everyone else for access - including TV and data. If Home Shopping Channel wants access, they can pay the user (through the last mile provider). In this model, any company could put together a package of services and sell it to the home user. The last mile provider would not care what it is or where it's from.

    IANAL, but IMHO there is ample cause for a national class action suit or DoJ action against these monopoly practices. Use of their control over the 'last mile' to force other information providers to pay more than their own partners seems to me to be an obvious violation of the Sherman Act. They assert that they don't have a monopoly, because their is also a phone line there. However they also have monopoly licenses for cable services and the associated digital services from each town and county jurisdiction, and the cost of the infrastructure is such that it's been uneconomic for the phone companies to build out a competitive network. The cable network started off as a high-bandwidth delivery system, which was easy to upgrade to digital, while the older, low bandwidth phone network has to be built out almost from scratch.

    As a rural resident I'd even advocate a deal where the last mile utilities to be created were given subsidies, perhaps in the form of low-interest loans, to run high speed internet to every residence. I'm not in general an advocate of government subsidies - i.e. corporate welfare. But historically, the Rural Electrification project subsidized rollout of electricity to rural communities, which provided a historic economic boost and paid for itself. The Bonneville Power Administration and Tennessee Valley Authority built dams and power lines. Local power was handled by both public and private entities. Similarly, even today your phone bill includes a tax/fee infrastructure that helps to subsidize rural telephone companies - big city companies hat this, and it's the basis for those Free Conference Call vendors.

  19. Re: Nothing new under the sun, just new uses on How MIT and Caltech's Coding Breakthrough Could Accelerate Mobile Network Speeds · · Score: 1

    Indeed. Back in the day my company used custom hardware - 8x8 binary convolver - to do pattern recognition on images. It ran at the unbelievable rate of 12 billion pixel operations per second. The chips were originally from the cruise missile program, so we had to get a DoD license for every one we shipped. By the mid-1990s a reasonably fast Pentium could do the same work in software. And I'm pretty sure that some ray tracing code that ran on the Cray X-MP would now run faster on my phone.

  20. Re:Why do they need their own spaceport? on Proposed SpaceX Spaceport Passes Its Final Federal Environmental Review · · Score: 1

    The other reason is the idea of recovering the Falcon 9 rocket. It could be easier to launch from Texas and recover at Cape Canaveral.

    I like this - I hadn't thought of that before. This would be a simple way to recover the first and perhaps second stages. Instead of having to either direct the rocket bodies 100 miles back to the launch site, or have it 'land' 300 miles out in the Atlantic they could follow a partially ballistic path outside most of the atmosphere and descend to Canaveral, ready for shipping back to Texas.

    However I'm not sure about the viability of the launch path. The SpaceX launch facility is in Boca Chica Texas, way south, close to the Mexican border. Cape Canaveral might be too far north to allow the rocket bodies to land at Canaveral for launches to equatorial orbits - although The ISS path varies to as far north as southern Canada, so that would work given the right timing.

    However, Puerto Rico has a spare former military airbase that they are working to turn into a spaceport. So that could provide an alternative for those launches, if it's not too far downrange - it looks about twice as far as Canaveral.

  21. Re:And so Putin approves $50 billion for Sochi on Proposed SpaceX Spaceport Passes Its Final Federal Environmental Review · · Score: 1

    In general, the "weaker persons" in the US are in better shape than at any time in previous history - of the world. What has changed are the benchmark and our perceptions. Consider that the poverty level income in the US - _before_ any benefits such as food stamps, housing subsidies, earned income tax credit, ll the things that become available when your income is that low - puts you in the top 5% of incomes worldwide. At no time in previous history have the great majority of people lived so long, eaten so well, or had such healthy lives.

    It's true that the US standard of living is presently stagnating relative to the rest of the world although not in real terms - our true standard of living today is better than it was 10 or 15 years ago. In large part this is due to the success of US, and later European, efforts since WWII to improve the lives of people in "third world" nations. Now (inevitably, with free markets) the whole world is catching up, and in some cases surpassing us as all those sources of cheap labor and resources become middle class as well and global demand begins to ramp up.

  22. In fairness, those sound like mostly hardware driver issues. FOSS often has a disadvantage when the hardware vendors neither build a linux version of their proprietary drivers, nor provide adequate, up to date information for someone else. This has been perhaps the longest running and most problematical part of the Linux situation. A very relevant question is whether the ACPI fan itself is doing what it's supposed to - it may be that the HW vendor put a hack in its proprietary Windows driver to work around it but never told anybody else. Or not, of course. Most folks who traditionally and even now talk about the unreliability of MS Windows don't realize that the great majority of the old "blue screens" were caused by buggy proprietary HW and HW drivers, not the OS itself.

    So, assuming that by GM45 you mean the Intel GM45 gaming chipset, the true question there is why didn't Intel provide a non-buggy driver for Linux, or documentation that will allow a FOSS driver to work correctly? (Although high performance HW like this is almost always hard to write drivers for, even for the vendors.) To my mind, this may be a reasonable example of the commercial vendor "error" I discussed in my last paragraph, not of Linux or FOSS. Or it's just growing pains for new HW. Consider that Intel had a year or two to work on the driver with the latest and greatest Windows machine before release so their problems were never public, while the Linux driver folks may have just started, and are developing in a public setting.

  23. Re:wrong direction. on OpenSSL To Undergo Security Audit, Gets Cash For 2 Developers · · Score: 1

    After seeing your note, I did a bit of searching and could not find anything significant. The only issues were those raised by Brad Knowles in 2004, which IMO were adequately addressed by the OpenNTPD folks shortly thereafter. I did not find anything else except for a bug found in Debian in 2007. The BSD team's responses noted that the purpose of OpenNTPD was not to be a complete clone of the original, but to be sufficient for most uses with security and cleanliness as the primary goals. In that context, some of the more complex and rarely used features were not considered worth inclusion, at least at the time when the project was only a few months old.

    So, can you expand on your assertion? (Hmm. I see now the above was an AC comment.)

  24. Re:wrong direction. on OpenSSL To Undergo Security Audit, Gets Cash For 2 Developers · · Score: 1

    I like the idea of the "improve" strategy for OpenSSL, in addition to LibreSSL. This is the advantage of open source. I expect that each project will benefit from the perspective of the other, and as OSS projects they will hopefully cooperate to assure that the libraries interoperate. In the long run, it's not unlikely that the two will re-merge. The OpenBSD folks seem less inclined to that historically, but there are a number of projects where that has occurred - Compiz and Beryl come to mind. So these two projects could be an example of the benefits of the OSS model.

  25. Re:"Audit"? Try massive rewrite. on OpenSSL To Undergo Security Audit, Gets Cash For 2 Developers · · Score: 1

    I have an answer to anyone who comes later to look at the code and says, "WTF??" - "Historical reasons!" This covers the seven different hacks that resulted from the hardware changing, the requirements being uprooted and new ones being grafted on, bad design decisions, and 14 years of mods to handle various idiosyncracies of different machines and OS that the dang code had to run on in those 14 years.