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User: Bruce+Perens

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  1. Video from the barge on An Engineering Analysis of the Falcon 9 First Stage Landing Failure · · Score: 5, Informative

    A video from the barge itself is here. Everything goes wrong in the last second of landing, with over-correction putting it down on one leg, and then the leg crumples.

  2. Here is the barge on the way to port, possibly with debris onboard. Here's a video of the landing shot from the barge itself. And I am waiting to see the barge from the Carnival Fascination webcam.

  3. A video from the barge is now online here. If you step through the final frames, you can see that the camera mount ends up knocked over and pointing at the ocean, but the lens and its cover are unbroken and all we see flying appear to be small debris. So not a really high-pressure event.

  4. Re:incredibly close to target is far from success on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    It's very tempting to think this should work like an airplane. Lots of people wrote that it was "too hot", etc. But it isn't an airplane. The plan was really to approach at 1/4 Kilometer Per Second, then brake at the very last second.

    Obviously Crew Dragon, which carries people, will approach differently. But it's a lot lighter.

  5. Re:legs too late? on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    In the F9R test videos they catch some of the backscatter from the engine and seem to catch fire. Maybe they were trying to avoid that. They are very light carbon composite. Or perhaps they mess up the airstream for precision navigation, or they don't like the 250 m/s wind.

  6. It looked to me that the barge was structurally undamaged but that some heavy equipment on the deck was forcibly ejected. It's clear to see in the HD version. Those 1000 HP thrusters are expensive, and it looked to me like one of them going overboard. But I suspect they were prepared to lose more than one vessel in testing this.

    And I bet there was a range safety self-destruct charge onboard. F9R blew itself up with one. But it was probably so safe that it didn't go off.

  7. See this tweet.

  8. Re:Landing vs splashdown on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    Remember the reporters asking what was holding DC-X up? They couldn't see the rocket exhaust.

    I sneaked inside of the Rotary Rocket the last time I was in Mojave. Someone left the bottom hatch ajar. But there wasn't a way to climb up to the cockpit from in there. Lots of pigeon droppings and it's used to hold the equipment for the multimedia kiosk nearby. Sad to see.

  9. Re:Larger landing area on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    I learned an important lesson from Open Source, and it applies to SpaceX too: Things work a lot better if you just give the engineers the freedom to do engineering.

    I think that in government projects and in most larger companies we tend to devalue the technical people in favor of the nontechnical. And we don't give them much power to actually run things. And then we wonder why efficiency is so low.

    It has certainly given me ideas for how to run my own company.

  10. Re:Larger landing area on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    Yes, but what engine were they flying in F9R and Grasshopper? Both of those were lighted up for the entire flight and didn't bounce around.

  11. Re:Any ideas for improvements? on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    The final approach is at 250 m/s. If I have this right, they'd be going about that fast if they started falling from zero velocity at 3 KM, ignoring air resistance. So, whatever parachute you use has to get you much lower and slower than that, and so precisely positioned above the barge that you can do the rest on the rocket.

    Now, ULA plans to revive the Rogalo Wing from Gemini and combine it with the mid-air retreival from Corona, so this might not be completely absurd.

  12. Re:Landing vs splashdown on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 2

    Sorry.

    I guess then you were not so lucky as to have rocket scientists in the family. I guess I'm not unlike many techies my age, whose dads worked in aerospace. My dad worked on the lunar module at Grumman. My father in law worked in the blue cube for Lockheed.

    People think of me an the Open Source guy. But I have been getting space spoon-fed to me since before first grade.

  13. Re:Larger landing area on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 2

    It's still slowing down during the last rocket length. That is really cutting it close, yes. I think the goal is to use an absolutely minimal fuel expenditure. The current configuration is not capable of landing after a GTO insertion. When they were considering doing the test for the DISCOVR flight, they were not going to have enough fuel for the normal recovery sequence, and were planning to delete the subsonic decel burn and come up to the barge at 1 KPS rather than the leisurely 250 m/s.

  14. Re:"Close" Only Counts on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    Armstrong did punch out of an LM trainer before that mission. It crashed and burned. They say that afterward, he went back to his office and quietly did some paperwork.

  15. Re:"Close" Only Counts on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 2

    Well, it did what SpaceX was paid for reliably, which was to send the Cargo Dragon up to ISS in an expendable rocket. All of the NASA demo and supply flights they have done have been successful.

    Recovery is so far a secondary and private mission of SpaceX, and Musk did say it had less than a 50% probability of success for this attempt (but a 75% to 80% probability of success for the year).

    Me, I'm damned impressed that they can bring that thing from 78 miles high and suborbital speed, and touch the landing gear down on the barge at an acceptable descent rate. I think this is pretty good for the second try and they'll nail it soon enough.

  16. Just look for one that says "Fallout Shelter"

  17. Re:"Close" Only Counts on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 2

    If you think that's bad, read some of the comments to nontechnical news site articles on the recovery failure. Ignoramuses whining "how much of my taxes did this failure use". They aren't even smart enough to realize that it launched the Dragon to ISS successfully, and that NASA isn't footing the bill for recovery attempts. It's really enough to kill one's sympathy for the common man.

  18. Re:Larger landing area on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I was surprised by something in the re-entry profile. They use what they call "lift" from tilting the rocket body against the air stream to control horizontal motion. I call it "falling with style". So they can go back uprange some distance without an additional fuel expenditure.

    All of their communication so far has been that they can get back to the pad with the F9 or the two outer stages of the F9 Heavy. The center stage of F9 Heavy would probably need the barge.

  19. Re:Larger landing area on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That would be hot for an aircraft, but it was the planned vertical speed profile for the rocket. The grid fins need speed to work and they are the main control surfaces. The cold gas thrusters don't have infinite gas behind them and the engine burns are very short.

  20. They planned the fast approach. Consider that the main control surfaces are the grid fins. They don't work at slow speeds. It's all about landing with the minimum use of weight (thus fuel).

  21. Re:"Close" Only Counts on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 2

    I must confess that most of my programs have bugs the first time I write them. I don't start over from zero when that happens.

    The Wright Flier didn't get to San Francisco, but it started the path that led there. Actually touching down on the planned point, at the planned vertical velocity, is pretty good. They'll fix the rest.

  22. Re:Landing vs splashdown on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    The required longer burn to make up for a shut down engine does use extra fuel. It also changes the orbital injection point.

  23. Re:Any ideas for improvements? on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 1

    Speed and distance are the big problems. Rockets can do both. Things that are tied to ships or the ground have trouble keeping up with the rocket.

  24. Re:Landing vs splashdown on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 2

    The first stage is most of the rocket by weight. The second stage has one engine, while the first has 9. And as you can see from a photo, the second stage is much smaller.

    What makes it recoverable is that it doesn't take much fuel to bring an empty first stage back down. It's really light when empty. They only use one engine out of the 9, for very short burns, to do that.

  25. Re:Landing vs splashdown on Longer Video Shows How Incredibly Close Falcon Stage Came To Successful Landing · · Score: 2

    It's lighter to not reuse the hydraulic fluid.

    It's an open loop system with pressurized gas pushing the fluid out and then it's dumped in the air. Pumps and whatever powers them have weight.

    Remember that big fuel-required multiplier in getting any weight at all to 78 miles height and suborbital speed.