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User: Vintermann

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  1. Re:How consistently has he "sounded alarms"? on Global Warming's Silver Lining For the Arctic Rim · · Score: 5, Informative

    Mean global temperatures have refused to rise for the past 20 years, now?

    I wonder what you could get away with saying. Maybe there was a great volcanic eruption in Chile last week. Maybe there hasn't been any hurricanes over the caribbean for five years. Maybe global sea level has dropped two meters on average?

    Because it's about as plausible to say any of that as saying mean global temperature has refused to rise for the past 20 years.

  2. Re:Gulf Stream on Global Warming's Silver Lining For the Arctic Rim · · Score: 2, Informative

    It is a big risk in the sense that it would be bad in the case that it happens. It's listed in the IPCC proceedings under "nonlinear response of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation".

    Warning that something bad can happen is not the same as predicting it. I don't think anyone is supporting it in the sense "this is very likely to occur", and it would be very odd if they did so at an earlier time (since the uncertainty would have been even greater).

  3. Re:Deniers... on Global Warming's Silver Lining For the Arctic Rim · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's not a straw man. Lots of people question that the climate changes, that CO2 is the cause, that increased CO2 concentrations are from human emissions. Just today I read an article by Norway's most prominent denier, and he asserted

    1. CO2 concentrations can't possibly rise, because the ocean regulates it.
    2. Even if it appears to be high right now, it can't possibly cause warming, because it's saturated.
    3. The laws of thermodynamics contradict global warming.

    I'm not going to judge all deniers by their least unreasonable spokesmen - for one, because they certainly wouldn't return the courtesy, and two, because they do very little to combat the more crackpot theories.

  4. Re:Gulf Stream on Global Warming's Silver Lining For the Arctic Rim · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Climate change isn't predicted to destroy the gulf stream, at least not to remotely degree of confidence we associate with other climate-related predictions.

  5. Re:So obvious question... on Oracle Needs a Clue As Brain Drain Accelerates · · Score: 1

    *Gasp!* Yoda was a sith!

  6. Re:So obvious question... on Oracle Needs a Clue As Brain Drain Accelerates · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When buying a knowledge-oriented company, there's always the risk that the employees - the company's most important assets - decide they don't want to be bought, and find themselves other jobs. Sane buyers take steps to keep them. The value of those employees was a huge part of the price of Sun - unless the non-employee assets of Sun (read: copyrights and patents) is worth a lot more than the market though they were, Oracle is throwing money out of the window.

    Buing Sun, and watching the employees go? To me, it looks similar to the reckless acts of spite that coke-crazed IT CEO of the eighties would pull. I would not be happy about this attempt to make money if I was an Oracle shareholder.

  7. Re:This is nice, but... on 3dfx Voodoo Graphic Card Emulation Coming To DOSBox · · Score: 1

    Have you tried Dune 2 with the Roland MT-32? It will blow your socks off.

  8. Re:Reality check on Meta-Research Debunks Medical Study Findings · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I've always considered the Placebo Effect to be a good thing. If your mind affecting your biochemistry works as well as the actual drugs, that's less we need to give to people.

    Yeah, but what if they are being told over and over again by "alternative practicioners" that the medicine doesn't work, and has terrible side effects? That has a placebo effect, too.

  9. Re:FEH on Genetically Engineered Silkworms Spin Spider Silk · · Score: 1

    That's it, I'm getting a bullet proof vest out of knitted piano wire!

  10. Re:(0.999...)st Post! on Proving 0.999... Is Equal To 1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The floor operation arguably doesn't make much sense for infinite decimal places. I don't know if it's ever used for anything in mathematics except finite-precision numeric methods.

    (also, it was a joke. Laugh.)

  11. Re:(0.999...)st Post! on Proving 0.999... Is Equal To 1 · · Score: 4, Funny

    But, if you choose the rounding method known as "floor", then 0.999... is 0, right? So for sufficiently bad rounding methods, 1 = 0.

  12. Re:Science on Sir Isaac Newton, Alchemist · · Score: 1

    But most new agey healers deal with things like joint pain, chronic pain, headaches, and other ailments that are likely stress and/or posture related

    Indeed they do. But that is not harmless. For instance, consider Eczema. It is affeced by stress, and responds well to placebo, so a skillful alternative therapist (skillful at helping the patient relax and feel he's in competent, caring hands) can have an effect on it. But so can scientific medicine. A simple corticosteroid salve has an effect that knocks the placebo effect out of the water.

    Have you ever seen someone with the kind of eczema they treat with class D corticosteroids? It does not look pretty, and it feels worse - think sunburn times three. When having the choice between a "natural" therapy that maybe gives a slight respite in 14 weeks time, and a real medicine that can make it go away completely in days, I think that parents who choose the former for their kids are getting close to abuse.

  13. Re:Science on Sir Isaac Newton, Alchemist · · Score: 1

    Chiropractic, in its original form, teaches that all disease arises from certain maladjustments of the spine ("subluxations") that have not even been proven to exist. How much a chiropractor believes in it varies a lot.

    It's one of several medical disciplines that can be either responsible or not (i.e, "alternative"). Osteopathy is another - US osteopaths have almost completely abandoned the unscientific views of their founder, but you don't have to go further than Canada to find osteopaths who are hardly better than naturopaths. The other way, in the US midwivery is often seen as an alternative practice, and is in fact a lot less rigorous than midwivery in other countries, where it's simply professional, scientific birth assistance.

  14. Re:Same Old Song And Dance on Computer Defeats Human At Japanese Chess · · Score: 1

    You're still underestimating computers. Look up Zen19 on KGS - it runs on an ordinary SMP system, hardly a supercomputer. It's stable at 3 dan.

  15. Re:Same Old Song And Dance on Computer Defeats Human At Japanese Chess · · Score: 1

    It turns out that early game, it would put a high priority on letting me take pieces.

    You sound surprised, but this is very basic Othello strategy. You don't seek "material advantage" except when you're confident you can get a wipeout win.

  16. Re:Same Old Song And Dance on Computer Defeats Human At Japanese Chess · · Score: 1

    Yes, a computer did beat the top ranked Western Chess player. At worst, deep blue did not beat the top ranked chess player.

    Programs running on a regular notebook computer can these days beat grandmasters even giving pawn odds.

  17. Re:Shogi - chess on steroids on Computer Defeats Human At Japanese Chess · · Score: 1

    That's Bughouse. It's a very chaotic game because of timing issues.

  18. Re:First move on Computer Defeats Human At Japanese Chess · · Score: 1

    Nope, your lookup table would probably have to be bigger than the universe. Computers may win at Shogi, but not that way.

  19. Re:Nice headline on Computer Defeats Human At Japanese Chess · · Score: 1

    Checkers, aka Anglo-American Draughts, is solved. The Draughts played in continental Europe is not solved.

  20. Re:Nice headline on Computer Defeats Human At Japanese Chess · · Score: 1

    Black belt in calligraphy, that would be something to have.

  21. Re:*yawn*. Call me when we lose at Go. on Computer Defeats Human At Japanese Chess · · Score: 1

    Yes. 3 dan on KGS is above what most of us can ever hope to reach at go - certainly, if someone doesn't know any go today, they wouldn't reach it until the programs have moved on.

  22. Re:Post needs editing on British Teen Jailed Over Encryption Password · · Score: 1

    How did you circumvent the yelling filter? Will you share your secret?

  23. Re:Just Awesome on British Teen Jailed Over Encryption Password · · Score: 1

    Right. It doesn't matter if your goal is to prevent people from being nasty to you, they can usually be that anyway.

    The ones that really need encryption aren't the ones that have something to hide, but the ones that have someone to protect (besides themselves).

  24. Re:Yes, different in the USA on British Teen Jailed Over Encryption Password · · Score: 1

    The consititution is supreme, because it says so?

    Wait a minute, does this work forthe holy books of various religions as well?

    A law - any law - has only the force of people's commitment to it, their willingness to pressure others follow it (with force or without), and possibly, if you're feeling profound, it's inherent truth and moral value. But even the latter is of scant consolation if people don't agree. Men always reign supreme above laws, because we make them, not the other way around.

  25. Re:So we like open source, but not open protocols? on Skype Officially Available For Android · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In this case, the closed and proprietary VoIP protocol enables people to work around price discrimination on closed and proprietary wires.