If you want to compare the two situations answer this question.
"I put a pot of water on my stove to boil,
how long will it take?"
You will immediately, I hope, identify that I haven't given you enough information to even start solving the problem. My major omissions include, but are not limited to:
1. Amount of water in the pot.
2. Material the pot is made of.
3. type of burner used.
4. Current Gas pressure, (since I have a gas stove).
5. the mineral content of the water.
6. The state of the burner (is it clean).
7. Did I put a lid on the pot?
8. Ambient air pressure.
9. Ambient air temperature.
We can continue for a long time. The prediction of climate at this stage of our understanding and technical ability is still at the level of my first question. We know many of the questions we would like to answer, but cannot at this point measure all of the factors involved.
The biggest point, often overlooked (Except by the scientists trying to wake the IPCC and friends up), is the foundation of most of our weather and corresponds to the burner in the water boiling experiment. THE SUN. We are still in the early stages of the understanding the suns cycles. We have some idea on how it cycles, but we cannot predict it. Failing to predict the suns cycles means that we have no chance whatsoever of predicting climate.
But most fortune tellers would love to make the money these guys are making. At least the not so good ones. To live off the public trough in the guise of science. What a wonderful way to live.
At least these guys answer to massively parallel computing is better than the one I got from the computing center manager for Westinghouse Bettis 8 years ago. He showed us his 30,000 processor computer. We oohed and awed. He then turned and said "this is our new one, it has 120,000 processors."
When asked "Can you use the 30,000 processor one yet?," he replied "No".
Backdoors into encryption techniques is ridiculous. Hamstringing the software sold in the states will not affect the ability of terrorists to encrypt their software. The code is already out there. Discussions of coding practices are available in a variety of areas. The genie is out of the bottle. Fight it in the same way we have fought every increase in encryption technology. As with the gun control issues, it only hinders the law abiding citizens, not the criminals.
Cryptanalyst can come up with a method to break the current encryption technology. There is nothing wrong with figuring out how to make encryption transparent. That is just improved knowledge. Putting backdoors into software makes the software worthless to anyone. All it takes is one person slipping the backdoor to a friend, who then gives it to our enemies, and voila, no more secrets.
Oh, but our government will have enbreakable codes, cause they will use their own software for encryption.
We open a new Box every day that cannot be closed again. Accept it. You can try and find another Box that makes the old one obsolete, which will of course release new problems, but you cannot backtrack.
We as a country have to come to terms with this and come up with new ways to attack the problem.
Slashdot Mirror
Modeling Boiling water is not that simple.
If you want to compare the two situations answer this question.
"I put a pot of water on my stove to boil,
how long will it take?"
You will immediately, I hope, identify that I haven't given you enough information to even start solving the problem. My major omissions include, but are not limited to:
1. Amount of water in the pot.
2. Material the pot is made of.
3. type of burner used.
4. Current Gas pressure, (since I have a gas stove).
5. the mineral content of the water.
6. The state of the burner (is it clean).
7. Did I put a lid on the pot?
8. Ambient air pressure.
9. Ambient air temperature.
We can continue for a long time. The prediction of climate at this stage of our understanding and technical ability is still at the level of my first question. We know many of the questions we would like to answer, but cannot at this point measure all of the factors involved.
The biggest point, often overlooked (Except by the scientists trying to wake the IPCC and friends up), is the foundation of most of our weather and corresponds to the burner in the water boiling experiment. THE SUN. We are still in the early stages of the understanding the suns cycles. We have some idea on how it cycles, but we cannot predict it. Failing to predict the suns cycles means that we have no chance whatsoever of predicting climate.
TNT
Brad
But most fortune tellers would love to make the money these guys are making. At least the not so good ones. To live off the public trough in the guise of science. What a wonderful way to live.
At least these guys answer to massively parallel computing is better than the one I got from the computing center manager for Westinghouse Bettis 8 years ago. He showed us his 30,000 processor computer. We oohed and awed. He then turned and said "this is our new one, it has 120,000 processors."
When asked "Can you use the 30,000 processor one yet?," he replied "No".
Brad
Backdoors into encryption techniques is ridiculous. Hamstringing the software sold in the states will not affect the ability of terrorists to encrypt their software. The code is already out there. Discussions of coding practices are available in a variety of areas. The genie is out of the bottle. Fight it in the same way we have fought every increase in encryption technology. As with the gun control issues, it only hinders the law abiding citizens, not the criminals.
Cryptanalyst can come up with a method to break the current encryption technology. There is nothing wrong with figuring out how to make encryption transparent. That is just improved knowledge. Putting backdoors into software makes the software worthless to anyone. All it takes is one person slipping the backdoor to a friend, who then gives it to our enemies, and voila, no more secrets.
Oh, but our government will have enbreakable codes, cause they will use their own software for encryption.
We open a new Box every day that cannot be closed again. Accept it. You can try and find another Box that makes the old one obsolete, which will of course release new problems, but you cannot backtrack.
We as a country have to come to terms with this and come up with new ways to attack the problem.