Hmm I think your reasoning is a little sloppy. Firstly you assume that each on the loci is statistically independent, I'd guess not. Secondly you assume that all gel locations are equally probable, this has to be wrong, I'd guess the distribution is highly skewed towards a small subset of locations. The article itself states that adding four additional loci takes you from 1 in 37e6 to 1 in 1e9 an inprovement of a factor of 27 or 2.3 per loci, a long way from 600! There must be a strong case of diminishing returns here, so even the 13 loci tests used in the US are probably not much better than 10 loci test mentioned in the article.
Its difficult to believe that bonafide scientist could be so stupid. If they have 660,000 records on file, and the chance of a random match is 1 in 37e6, then the chance of matchng someone at random in the entire database is 1 in 37e6/660,000 = 1 in 56. The bigger the database gets the worse the problem. If they have been using such "evidence" to put people away, they must have hundreds of innocents in the slammer by now.
Infinite number wavelengths does not imply infinite bandwidth, the max thoretical bandwidth for an optical fiber is on the order of several 100Tb/s, still pretty big. Ok, back to the fun stuff...
I'd recommend that the just sell shares in the company to ordinary folk, just like Real Goods and Sam Adams did. Make an offer on slashdot and have people sign up on their web site. I'd be in for a few hundred bucks if they did this. I bet they could raise a mil without breaking into a sweat. Might be a good way to expand slashdot as well:-) I don't think all of the reporting hassles kick in until the shares are publicly traded...
Slashdot Mirror
Hmm I think your reasoning is a little sloppy.
Firstly you assume that each on the loci is
statistically independent, I'd guess not.
Secondly you assume that all gel locations
are equally probable, this has to be wrong, I'd
guess the distribution is highly skewed towards a
small subset of locations.
The article itself states that adding four
additional loci takes you from 1 in 37e6 to 1 in
1e9 an inprovement of a factor of 27 or 2.3 per
loci, a long way from 600!
There must be a strong case of diminishing returns
here, so even the 13 loci tests used in the US are
probably not much better than 10 loci test
mentioned in the article.
Its difficult to believe that bonafide scientist
could be so stupid. If they have 660,000 records
on file, and the chance of a random match is
1 in 37e6, then the chance of matchng someone at
random in the entire database is
1 in 37e6/660,000 = 1 in 56. The bigger the database gets the worse the problem.
If they have been using such "evidence" to put
people away, they must have hundreds of innocents
in the slammer by now.
Infinite number wavelengths does not imply infinite bandwidth, the max thoretical bandwidth for an optical fiber is on the order of several 100Tb/s, still pretty big. Ok, back to the fun
stuff...
I'd recommend that the just sell shares in the :-) I don't think all of the reporting
company to ordinary folk, just like Real Goods
and Sam Adams did. Make an offer on slashdot
and have people sign up on their web site. I'd
be in for a few hundred bucks if they did this.
I bet they could raise a mil without breaking into
a sweat. Might be a good way to expand slashdot
as well
hassles kick in until the shares are publicly
traded...