I bet in 1991 people started to stop smoking in large numbers...
It is not suprising that cancer rates increase as the population lives longer, as if you don't die from other things, eventually a chance mutation, virus provided oncogene, and/or telomere shortening will begin carcinogenesis.
If you look at countries with very low life expectancy, cancer rates are very low as well.
It is true that the age of the "job for life" is over in the US. Especially in fast moving fields like technology, jobs will come and go as fast as tech trends. People will have to save and apply that money to re-education several times in their life to adjust to market conditions.
But even if we disallowed all foreign trade, this would remain true.
When the US had a GDP per capita of $2500 (2002 dollars), we didn't have as many environmental or labor laws either. When people are rich, that kind of stuff becomes much easier to legislate.
There will be a real estate market crash when people want to stop living in the US. Judging from the people on the border who risk their lives to come here, I don't think that is in the near future.
Dow is at 10K because GDP growth last quarter was the highest in 20 years. Companies have made the reforms required by the dot-com bust, and are now making profits again. They are hiring (cautiously, unlike the dot-com "are you breathing? you're hired!" syndrome), and the unemployment rate is dropping.
Why does the US need to export more goods and services than it imports?
The US unemployment rate just went down. Keep in mind that the US is doing much better than countries with more "progressive" labor laws, such as France and Germany with unemployment near 10%.
US GDP continues to rise year after year. Last quarter's US GDP growth was over 8%, the highest in 20 years!
The US sells all kinds of things to itself, and has an excellent economy, without worrying about the trade deficit. Every free market exchange is an increase in wealth for both participants, even if it is foreign trade.
A high trade deficit means that the US is rich, and is spending a lot of money. When the US is so poor that we can't afford to import a lot of products, that is when we should worry.
Lou Dobbs has become a populist scare-monger.
There is a small risk of dollar inflation due to the trade deficit. As long as there continue to be promising opportunities for foreign investment in the US, and as long as the dollar remains the worlds reserve currency, inflation should not be a problem.
Eventually, as other countries like India and China become richer, they will import more from the US, and the inflation issue will be even less of a concern (infact, US exports to China are rising already). As of right now, inflation doesn't seem to be an issue, in fact the consumer price index dropped last month. The dollar is dropping versus the Euro, but not in absolute terms.
The global economy is not a zero-sum game. The more your trade (within a country or between countries), the wealthier everyone becomes.
One can make arguments about textile workers and other low-skill labor, but you would be hard-pressed to say that an Indian programmer is "oppressed." These people are getting a chance to do incredibly well in their country.
You may want to extend these graphs back to Carter and Regan years...
But what the unemployment graphs show is that 1) under Bush Sr., unemployment rose, then the trend reversed just before Clinton came into office and 2) the trend of reducing unemployment reversed towards higher unemployment in the time around the 2000 election, where Bush Jr. policies were not yet in place.
Here is "Origin of multidrug resistance in cells with and without multidrug resistance genes: Chromosome reassortments catalyzed by aneuploidy" which addresses the aneuploidy and "evolution" issues.
Cancer Detection and Prevention Volume 22 Issue 5 Page 377 - September 1998 doi:10.1046/j.1525-1500.1998.00050.x
Genetic Instability and Chromosomal Aberrations in Colorectal Cancer: A Review of the Current Models. C. Richard Boland M.D. et al.
...One of the most important concepts that has facilitated our understanding of carcinogenesis is that of genetic or "genomic" instability, which is required to permit a sufficient amount of genetic damage to accumulate to permit the neoplastic phenotype to emerge and evolve. Two mechanisms that lead to genomic instabilit y one of which involves the loss of chromosomal fragments from the nucleus, and a second which is characterized by microsatellite instability are discussed.
Cell Motil Cytoskeleton. 2000 Oct;47(2):81-107.
Aneuploidy, the somatic mutation that makes cancer a species of its own. Duesberg P, Rasnick D.
...ever new and eventually tumorigenic karyotypes evolve autocatalytically because aneuploidy destabilizes the karyotype, ie. causes genetic instability. Thus, cancer cells derive their unique and complex phenotypes from random chromosome number mutation, a process that is similar to regrouping assembly lines of a car factory and is analogous to speciation....
When I talked about treatments failing, I should say I don't mean failing in every individual, but that for most types of cancer (and not all), no single treatment will succeed in all patients, in part due to the "evolution" problem.
In cancer, cells reproduce more rapidly, and often their reproduction tends to involve greater mutation. This combination leads to a population with wider genetic makeup, encouraging evolution of treatment-resistant cells.
Nature. 1998 Dec 17;396(6712):643-9.
Genetic instabilities in human cancers.
Lengauer C, Kinzler KW, Vogelstein B.
Johns Hopkins Oncology Center, Baltimore, Maryland 21231, USA. lengauer@jhmi.edu
Whether and how human tumours are genetically unstable has been debated for decades. There is now evidence that most cancers may indeed be genetically unstable, but that the instability exists at two distinct levels. In a small subset of tumours, the instability is observed at the nucleotide level and results in base substitutions or deletions or insertions of a few nucleotides. In most other cancers, the instability is observed at the chromosome level, resulting in losses and gains of whole chromosomes or large portions thereof. Recognition and comparison of these instabilities are leading to new insights into tumour pathogenesis.
I think the biggest problem is that cancer undergoes natural selection rapidly, which is why it is so hard to fight. Since cancerous cells have a great deal of genetic mutation, populations of cancer cells can "evolve" to thwart treatments. Targetting almost any individual protein in cancer is bound to fail.
I think it is like asking an American "Do you like George Bush?" You are likely to get different responses depending on who you ask and where they live.
I know an Iraqi Kurd in the US, he and his family (stil in Iraq) were very supportive of the US invasion.
Meanwhile, the guys at the Baghdad Internet cafe had this to say:
baghdadic: WE THANKS THE USA FOR SAVING US FROM THE DIRTY PRESEDENT WHOS IS CALLED SADDAM HUSSEIN baghdadic: HE WAS DISTROY OUR BEAUTY LAND...then later in the chat...
techartvideo: David asks "Why do you think the United States invaded Iraq?" baghdadic: BECAUSE IRAQ IS VERY RICH WITH PETROL. INORDER TO CONTROL THE WORLD
So you get mixed messages...
Who knows what you would hear from a Sunni living in Tikrit or Fallujah who had to join the Ba'ath Party, or from a Shi'ite living in Basrah or Najaf who saw his father killed by Saddam. Or from a young person who grew up under the trade embargo, versus an older person who remembered the better days of the mid 70's.
Actually in my chats with people at the Baghdad Internet Cafe, a lot of people go there to get work-related email. Indeed, internet email is important in business there now, especially when other means of communications become less reliable. The cafe has a generator...
Keep in mind that in the 70's, Iraq was a very prosperous & developed nation. It is not quite in the same situation as many African countries that have never become a developed nation or had some kind of real economy.
On Saturday, I had an Internet chat with Iraq, between a coffeehouse just outside of Washington, DC, and the Baghdad Internet Cafe.
One of their questions went like this:
baghdadic: LATEEF ASKS U HOW MUCH THE LATIST MODEL OF COMPUTER IN US ? techartvideo: U can get good computer for 350 dollars, very good for 3000 dollars. baghdadic: IT IS EXPENSIVE techartvideo: How much for a computer in Baghdad? baghdadic: 200 USD FOR P4 ( ASIAN ORIGIN ) TO 1300USD FOR LAP TOP
Which goes to show that the world is pretty much the same everywhere, especially for geeks!
If you get a bigger dish, you will have more rain fade margin...I'm a big fan of dishes over 4.5m diameter;) 8m in high-rain areas like the Gulf Coast.
In the US (ATSC standard), digital television is 8VSB modulation plus FEC to achieve 19.39 Mbps MPEG-2 transport stream.
There have been several trials to encapsulate IP in MPEG-2 packets, and multiplex the IP stream into the DTV video stream on a different PID. For instance, a few Mbps of multicast Windows Media video has been shown at NAB.
Moreover, just because data is encrypted does not mean that the modulation technique does not leave a signature.
Most modulation modalities actually apply pseudo-noise to the signal to keep the power spread in a constant envelope in case someone sends all zeros, for instance. Without the spreading, the "all zeros" signal would become a single spike of power at a particular frequency, which could overdrive the amplifiers.
I have an unencrypted carrier on satellite AMC-3, but through a spectrum analyzer it looks just like encrypted DVB or DigiCipher II signals on the same satellite, like a guassian with a flattened top.
Of course, I don't believe in RF SETI. The size of antenna required to create a beam powerful enough to be seen several lightyears away makes it impractical. Optical and X-Ray SETI is where it is at.
Slashdot Mirror
The College Perk coffeehouse in College Park, MD, has free wireless.
Another place in the area told me "we don't have wireless because I don't want people coming in and just using the Net and not buying anything."
OK, well, guess where I buy my coffee now?
Also at College Perk, I organized a Chat with the Baghdad Internet Cafe that brought in many customers.
I bet in 1991 people started to stop smoking in large numbers...
It is not suprising that cancer rates increase as the population lives longer, as if you don't die from other things, eventually a chance mutation, virus provided oncogene, and/or telomere shortening will begin carcinogenesis.
If you look at countries with very low life expectancy, cancer rates are very low as well.
Does either Sirius or XM have an EBM station, along the lines of German EBM Internet Radio?
It is true that the age of the "job for life" is over in the US. Especially in fast moving fields like technology, jobs will come and go as fast as tech trends. People will have to save and apply that money to re-education several times in their life to adjust to market conditions.
But even if we disallowed all foreign trade, this would remain true.
India has a GDP per capita of $2500.
When the US had a GDP per capita of $2500 (2002 dollars), we didn't have as many environmental or labor laws either. When people are rich, that kind of stuff becomes much easier to legislate.
There will be a real estate market crash when people want to stop living in the US. Judging from the people on the border who risk their lives to come here, I don't think that is in the near future.
Dow is at 10K because GDP growth last quarter was the highest in 20 years. Companies have made the reforms required by the dot-com bust, and are now making profits again. They are hiring (cautiously, unlike the dot-com "are you breathing? you're hired!" syndrome), and the unemployment rate is dropping.
Why does the US need to export more goods and services than it imports?
The US unemployment rate just went down. Keep in mind that the US is doing much better than countries with more "progressive" labor laws, such as France and Germany with unemployment near 10%.
US GDP continues to rise year after year. Last quarter's US GDP growth was over 8%, the highest in 20 years!
The US sells all kinds of things to itself, and has an excellent economy, without worrying about the trade deficit. Every free market exchange is an increase in wealth for both participants, even if it is foreign trade.
A high trade deficit means that the US is rich, and is spending a lot of money. When the US is so poor that we can't afford to import a lot of products, that is when we should worry.
Lou Dobbs has become a populist scare-monger.
There is a small risk of dollar inflation due to the trade deficit. As long as there continue to be promising opportunities for foreign investment in the US, and as long as the dollar remains the worlds reserve currency, inflation should not be a problem.
Eventually, as other countries like India and China become richer, they will import more from the US, and the inflation issue will be even less of a concern (infact, US exports to China are rising already). As of right now, inflation doesn't seem to be an issue, in fact the consumer price index dropped last month. The dollar is dropping versus the Euro, but not in absolute terms.
The global economy is not a zero-sum game. The more your trade (within a country or between countries), the wealthier everyone becomes.
There is an algorithm for several parties to have a conversation while keeping the actual sender of each message anonymous.
It is called the Dining Cryptographers Problem.
One can make arguments about textile workers and other low-skill labor, but you would be hard-pressed to say that an Indian programmer is "oppressed." These people are getting a chance to do incredibly well in their country.
You may want to extend these graphs back to Carter and Regan years...
But what the unemployment graphs show is that 1) under Bush Sr., unemployment rose, then the trend reversed just before Clinton came into office and 2) the trend of reducing unemployment reversed towards higher unemployment in the time around the 2000 election, where Bush Jr. policies were not yet in place.
Here is "Origin of multidrug resistance in cells with and without multidrug resistance genes: Chromosome reassortments catalyzed by aneuploidy" which addresses the aneuploidy and "evolution" issues.
Cancer Detection and Prevention
Volume 22 Issue 5 Page 377 - September 1998
doi:10.1046/j.1525-1500.1998.00050.x
Genetic Instability and Chromosomal Aberrations in Colorectal Cancer: A Review of the Current Models. C. Richard Boland M.D. et al.
Cell Motil Cytoskeleton. 2000 Oct;47(2):81-107.
Aneuploidy, the somatic mutation that makes cancer a species of its own. Duesberg P, Rasnick D.
When I talked about treatments failing, I should say I don't mean failing in every individual, but that for most types of cancer (and not all), no single treatment will succeed in all patients, in part due to the "evolution" problem.
In cancer, cells reproduce more rapidly, and often their reproduction tends to involve greater mutation. This combination leads to a population with wider genetic makeup, encouraging evolution of treatment-resistant cells.
Nature. 1998 Dec 17;396(6712):643-9.
Genetic instabilities in human cancers.
Lengauer C, Kinzler KW, Vogelstein B.
Johns Hopkins Oncology Center, Baltimore, Maryland 21231, USA. lengauer@jhmi.edu
Whether and how human tumours are genetically unstable has been debated for decades. There is now evidence that most cancers may indeed be genetically unstable, but that the instability exists at two distinct levels. In a small subset of tumours, the instability is observed at the nucleotide level and results in base substitutions or deletions or insertions of a few nucleotides. In most other cancers, the instability is observed at the chromosome level, resulting in losses and gains of whole chromosomes or large portions thereof. Recognition and comparison of these instabilities are leading to new insights into tumour pathogenesis.
I think the biggest problem is that cancer undergoes natural selection rapidly, which is why it is so hard to fight. Since cancerous cells have a great deal of genetic mutation, populations of cancer cells can "evolve" to thwart treatments. Targetting almost any individual protein in cancer is bound to fail.
I think it is like asking an American "Do you like George Bush?" You are likely to get different responses depending on who you ask and where they live.
...then later in the chat...
I know an Iraqi Kurd in the US, he and his family (stil in Iraq) were very supportive of the US invasion.
Meanwhile, the guys at the Baghdad Internet cafe had this to say:
baghdadic: WE THANKS THE USA FOR SAVING US FROM THE DIRTY PRESEDENT WHOS IS CALLED SADDAM HUSSEIN
baghdadic: HE WAS DISTROY OUR BEAUTY LAND
techartvideo: David asks "Why do you think the United States invaded Iraq?"
baghdadic: BECAUSE IRAQ IS VERY RICH WITH PETROL. INORDER TO CONTROL THE WORLD
So you get mixed messages...
Who knows what you would hear from a Sunni living in Tikrit or Fallujah who had to join the Ba'ath Party, or from a Shi'ite living in Basrah or Najaf who saw his father killed by Saddam. Or from a young person who grew up under the trade embargo, versus an older person who remembered the better days of the mid 70's.
Actually in my chats with people at the Baghdad Internet Cafe, a lot of people go there to get work-related email. Indeed, internet email is important in business there now, especially when other means of communications become less reliable. The cafe has a generator...
Keep in mind that in the 70's, Iraq was a very prosperous & developed nation. It is not quite in the same situation as many African countries that have never become a developed nation or had some kind of real economy.
On Saturday, I had an Internet chat with Iraq, between a coffeehouse just outside of Washington, DC, and the Baghdad Internet Cafe.
One of their questions went like this:
baghdadic: LATEEF ASKS U HOW MUCH THE LATIST MODEL OF COMPUTER IN US ?
techartvideo: U can get good computer for 350 dollars, very good for 3000 dollars.
baghdadic: IT IS EXPENSIVE
techartvideo: How much for a computer in Baghdad?
baghdadic: 200 USD FOR P4 ( ASIAN ORIGIN ) TO 1300USD FOR LAP TOP
Which goes to show that the world is pretty much the same everywhere, especially for geeks!
UAV spamming.
Coming soon, no doubt!
What about TMDA? I find it to be the best.
8VSB rul3z! COFDM l0s3z!
If you get a bigger dish, you will have more rain fade margin...I'm a big fan of dishes over 4.5m diameter ;) 8m in high-rain areas like the Gulf Coast.
What kind of modulation does BushLAN use? QPSK?
In the US (ATSC standard), digital television is 8VSB modulation plus FEC to achieve 19.39 Mbps MPEG-2 transport stream.
There have been several trials to encapsulate IP in MPEG-2 packets, and multiplex the IP stream into the DTV video stream on a different PID. For instance, a few Mbps of multicast Windows Media video has been shown at NAB.
Moreover, just because data is encrypted does not mean that the modulation technique does not leave a signature.
Most modulation modalities actually apply pseudo-noise to the signal to keep the power spread in a constant envelope in case someone sends all zeros, for instance. Without the spreading, the "all zeros" signal would become a single spike of power at a particular frequency, which could overdrive the amplifiers.
I have an unencrypted carrier on satellite AMC-3, but through a spectrum analyzer it looks just like encrypted DVB or DigiCipher II signals on the same satellite, like a guassian with a flattened top.
Of course, I don't believe in RF SETI. The size of antenna required to create a beam powerful enough to be seen several lightyears away makes it impractical. Optical and X-Ray SETI is where it is at.
I want to know where the "unexpected plumes" were found. I'd like to stay away from those regions ;)