I know I'm feeding the troll. So, what's your excellent bullshit antenna say about the Maldives, Kiribati, Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands?
They've all been above water for millions of years through several Ice Age cycles. Yet now, suddenly, while we're still supposedly in an Ice Age, they're going under water.
I'd also like you to explain your theory on why CO2 levels not seen in recorded history and only thought to have existed 100+M years ago (when the earth was warmer, btw) are not affecting the current temperatures. If you agree that CO2 is affecting temperature, why that is not an anthropogenic effect given that we've dug/pumped a large amount of historically sequestered carbon in various forms out of the ground and burned it releasing, yep you guessed it, CO2.
Oh, there was a similar global warming trend, one that was even steeper than the current one. Roughly 65M years ago. Followed almost immediately by a significant cooling event. There was also the warming event roughly 130 years ago following the cooling event of Krakatoa, but honestly nothing like this sustained increase over time over the intervening mean.
No. I made a comment that had nothing to do w/ homeschooling, and Gr8Apes came in protesting that there would be no children of Religious people to indoctrinate if those parents are home w/ their kids. I suggested to Gr8Apes that he work on the kids of Libs. Unless they've all been aborted by the Lena Dunham wannabes.
Interesting interpretation there. My comment actually pointed out that more children would be potentially subject to the indoctrination process at home via "home schooling" due to your pointing out the clan now having 100% free time to spend at home with the children. Nothing good ever came out of such insular situations, and the smaller the group, the more deviant from society they get. We've seen several Lord of the Flies situations recently.
I'm interested: why do you think I'm a leftist/liberal? Anti-religion? Sure, but that's not a sufficient stance to make me a leftist or a liberal. And if Libs were indoctrinating their children with hatred for others resulting in mass violence, I'd be railing against them too.
And yet video processing (100% cache misses as each frame is loaded from that super fast spinning disk that puts RAM access to shame) works just fine loading all available cores to near 100% normally using 1 working thread per logical core. I can do the same using multiple other domains. I have done so with a networked game long ago running in Solaris, and have coded multiple clients to work concurrently on a single data set. So sorry, everything you're pointing out is related to the single-threaded synchronous brain-dead approach used by the core of most games, not the physical limitations of the actual system. Writing a robust asynchronous queued message passing system with managed worker pools with synchronous results is not simple, and most games have enough bugs as it is that adding such a mechanism would melt minds during debugging. And no, functional programming isn't a magic bullet for that scenario.
Now do cache misses kill performance? Of course. Do games hit this limit? Show me a well-written one on today's hardware. Note that you have to exclude all GPU access in this context, as we're talking about CPU/memory performance, not memory to GPU and GPU processing, which can be admitted bottlenecks. Do terrible internal architecture and data structures kill performance in games today? It's almost guaranteed. You can write less than 10 lines of code that process data that takes 1000 times longer than making a few minor procedural access changes, on the exact same data structure. The problem with most programmers is that they have no understanding of how memory and data access works, nor the costs involved.
Not being familiar with CA, I'll have to take your word for it, as it's not worth arguing about the details. The point of them pushing them out is both good and bad. While studies have supposedly shown that keeping poor performing students with the general population "helps" those students, it also lowers the performance of the general population. Putting them into an environment where they can get more personalized attention without affecting others would be good. So CA has figured out part 1 of that solution.
An overbroad and irrelevant statement. First, "most coders" don't need to understand running decision trees in parallel in order to implement such a thing. Just like every coder doesn't need to understand the intricacies of the x86 CPU or have a PhD in mathematics. For these specialized aspects of a games architecture you hire specialists.
Except most game shops don't hire those specialists, which is why so many suck in this area.
Second, most home PCs are running quad to octa core CPUs. It doesn't take a genius to eek out all the performance you can per clock. This is a well understood problem and there is no shortage of solutions.
Apparently it takes more of a genius than those coding most games today. I'm running a hexcore with 12 threads, and in any game I've played recently (admittedly a smaller number every year) I've yet to see a game peg the CPU at all. A core or 2? Yes. 6+ cores? Never. Has the game slowed down? Absolutely. I can run a restricted Handbrake job, limited to 6 or 8 threads) in the background without affecting game play at all.
Good to know, I'm still running a HD57xx series in my work rig, and intending to move to a 4K monitor soon. I've actually been considering a 960, but you're indicating I may be able to view more options for price/noise/heat comparisons. Noise/Heat are my primary considerations after meeting the core performance requirements of driving a 4K screen.
There is a class of problems that super computers are awesome at. Somethings can be run almost infinitely parallel, e.g. large matrix operations, search routines, protein folding, etc. Another class of inherently ordered taskings depend completely on the speed of the processing, to a point. A large enough set of ordered taskings can be run in parallel if efficiency is not a concern.
The biggest problem with games is most of the coders, sadly, don't have a clue about running decision trees in a parallel system. It requires an entirely different mindset to code such a system.
I'm pretty sure that this decision was going to be made regardless of Trump. Ford is just using it as a chit they're going to call in later, but Trump has a bad habit of stiffing people. There's no way a $700M investment in the US is going to replace a 1.6B investment in Mexico unless the numbers just weren't there for Mexico in the first place.
Also, anybody that expects any real speed-ups from Intel in the next 2-3 years has no clue how long it takes to fundamentally improve a CPU.
It's been since 2010's release of the 980x that we've only moved up the charts maybe 50% on a per core basis. Note that a 980x is unlocked and can be increased significantly over its stock clocking. A 4790K (the fastest single core performer) can only be OC'd a little bit, so the actual performance differences may actually be significantly less than 50%. And that's just sad given that it's now 7 years later.
As a final insult, to actually double the performance from 7 years ago, you'll be spending nearly $1500+ for a 10 core 6950, and that's before exercising the considerable headroom of a 980x over that of the 6950.
No but homeschooling is a MAJOR problem. how else are we to stop these kids from averaging higher on exams and going to college at early ages.
I guess if you read fundamentally flawed studies you might state that. FWIW, the home schoolers I've been involved with, only 1 might have scored above the 60th percentile. The rest couldn't even get into an acknowledged university, instead going to private or community colleges, if at all. Yes, while it's anecdotal, but it involves a largish group of students numbering near 100. So at least in this grouping, home schoolers are doing much worse than average. It also happens to track realistic studies on the subject, meaning that I have no evidence to support any other conclusion.
Welcome all to a world where you don't own nor are allowed to alter the software on items you purchased outright.
It cost the manufacturer millions just to develop that software.
I'd be happy if they spent those millions in making better TVs. I have a cheap external box to deal with all the other features that no TV no matter how expensive can remotely compare to price-wise. I know they wish to own the consumer, but that boat sailed a long long long time ago.
All of those can be automated and/or handed off to AI.
Sure, but not for 50 to 100 years. And, things like educating our children and making judgement calls on elected officials probably never should be reduced to algorithms. Maybe for the elected officials if the algorithm is completely transparent, but if you trust SkyNet to educate all the children... that could go very very wrong.
That's within 1-2 generations, and quite possibly within our lifetime. Educating children can definitely be improved by algorithms over some teachers, anyways. I've had the displeasure of dealing with several absolutely unsuited persons in the teaching profession. Unsuited primarily because they lacked the ability to adapt their teaching to anything but their perceived view of a student (sounds a lot like an inflexible algorithm, and one that actively repels change) But, this doesn't mean we don't need teachers, since students need to learn to deal with other humans.
No, I was not talking about homeschooling at all... It said nothing about homeschooling: not all parents would have the skills to do that.
You said parents could spend more time with their children. Having seen homeschooling in action up close, I can make several comments, namely that your statement is correct regarding most current homeschooling parents, they do not have the skills to do so, but that doesn't stop them because there is exactly 0 oversight. The ones that would benefit the most from joining society are the ones that are kept closeted up under the guise of homeschooling.
I'm all for a broad interaction b/w kids, but that's something that can happen at schools, and does not require a kids time w/ his/her parents to be reduced to evenings and weekends.
If you're advocating parents spending time post school, great but that certainly wasn't clear from your initial post. We need to get all kids on at least semi-equal footing. In a post-employment world, there will still be opportunities to do things that will be limited to a few, and qualifying for those positions will be competitive much like today. The motivation to do those things will be driven by the same market forces that drive people to strive for certain goals, like living on a beach or lake or next to a wilderness, as there will be some sort of additional compensation. But, we have to get there first.
Actually, there is. A group got a 30mm copy and restored the original. The 1080p transfer definitely has some film grain and film degradation noticeable in spots, but is generally a better quality digital copy than the DVD/BD versions, and not merely because they lack Lucas' "enhancements". I'm sure Disney has better source to scan from, and certainly more desire to engage the fan base of those versions as their new story lines appear to much more true to where the original seemed to be leading.
Rogue One was the "prequel" everyone wanted to SW - A New Hope. We'll kindly forget that Ep 1-3 ever existed, as those films aren't worth wiping your shoes with. TFA to me was resetting the expectations of the SW fan base to where SW/TESB were leading, with a new cast. Tying in cameos from the originals seems appropriate. Effectively, with Rogue One and TFA, SW/TESB are now the back story for the new SW universe Disney wants to take us to. It's open ended, and thank goodness not populated with Ewoks nor targeted at 7 year olds.
I see plenty of work in reducing student-teacher ratios in education, increasing maintenance and inspection intervals, transparency reporting on public officials, etc.
All of those can be automated and/or handed off to AI.
All jobs that don't do R&D will be replaceable in the near future, as in within 1 or 2 generations. Even R&D jobs will likely not be immune, since much R&D is really nothing more than testing a basic hypothesis, of which most of the testing can likely be handed over to AI. The question is what do you do with 24B people with nothing but spare time on their hands, and a smidgen of 1% that actually will have all the wealth? It doesn't sound pretty, unless some serious changes in the way we deal with people occurs sooner than later.
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I know I'm feeding the troll. So, what's your excellent bullshit antenna say about the Maldives, Kiribati, Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands?
They've all been above water for millions of years through several Ice Age cycles. Yet now, suddenly, while we're still supposedly in an Ice Age, they're going under water.
I'd also like you to explain your theory on why CO2 levels not seen in recorded history and only thought to have existed 100+M years ago (when the earth was warmer, btw) are not affecting the current temperatures. If you agree that CO2 is affecting temperature, why that is not an anthropogenic effect given that we've dug/pumped a large amount of historically sequestered carbon in various forms out of the ground and burned it releasing, yep you guessed it, CO2.
Oh, there was a similar global warming trend, one that was even steeper than the current one. Roughly 65M years ago. Followed almost immediately by a significant cooling event. There was also the warming event roughly 130 years ago following the cooling event of Krakatoa, but honestly nothing like this sustained increase over time over the intervening mean.
150 people to run a blogging platform, no less. I wonder what the org chart looked like.
Medium should have no more than 20 people, and that would still be considered inefficient for what they are and do, IMHO.
No. I made a comment that had nothing to do w/ homeschooling, and Gr8Apes came in protesting that there would be no children of Religious people to indoctrinate if those parents are home w/ their kids. I suggested to Gr8Apes that he work on the kids of Libs. Unless they've all been aborted by the Lena Dunham wannabes.
Interesting interpretation there. My comment actually pointed out that more children would be potentially subject to the indoctrination process at home via "home schooling" due to your pointing out the clan now having 100% free time to spend at home with the children. Nothing good ever came out of such insular situations, and the smaller the group, the more deviant from society they get. We've seen several Lord of the Flies situations recently.
I'm interested: why do you think I'm a leftist/liberal? Anti-religion? Sure, but that's not a sufficient stance to make me a leftist or a liberal. And if Libs were indoctrinating their children with hatred for others resulting in mass violence, I'd be railing against them too.
And yet video processing (100% cache misses as each frame is loaded from that super fast spinning disk that puts RAM access to shame) works just fine loading all available cores to near 100% normally using 1 working thread per logical core. I can do the same using multiple other domains. I have done so with a networked game long ago running in Solaris, and have coded multiple clients to work concurrently on a single data set. So sorry, everything you're pointing out is related to the single-threaded synchronous brain-dead approach used by the core of most games, not the physical limitations of the actual system. Writing a robust asynchronous queued message passing system with managed worker pools with synchronous results is not simple, and most games have enough bugs as it is that adding such a mechanism would melt minds during debugging. And no, functional programming isn't a magic bullet for that scenario.
Now do cache misses kill performance? Of course. Do games hit this limit? Show me a well-written one on today's hardware. Note that you have to exclude all GPU access in this context, as we're talking about CPU/memory performance, not memory to GPU and GPU processing, which can be admitted bottlenecks. Do terrible internal architecture and data structures kill performance in games today? It's almost guaranteed. You can write less than 10 lines of code that process data that takes 1000 times longer than making a few minor procedural access changes, on the exact same data structure. The problem with most programmers is that they have no understanding of how memory and data access works, nor the costs involved.
Not being familiar with CA, I'll have to take your word for it, as it's not worth arguing about the details. The point of them pushing them out is both good and bad. While studies have supposedly shown that keeping poor performing students with the general population "helps" those students, it also lowers the performance of the general population. Putting them into an environment where they can get more personalized attention without affecting others would be good. So CA has figured out part 1 of that solution.
An overbroad and irrelevant statement. First, "most coders" don't need to understand running decision trees in parallel in order to implement such a thing. Just like every coder doesn't need to understand the intricacies of the x86 CPU or have a PhD in mathematics. For these specialized aspects of a games architecture you hire specialists.
Except most game shops don't hire those specialists, which is why so many suck in this area.
Second, most home PCs are running quad to octa core CPUs. It doesn't take a genius to eek out all the performance you can per clock. This is a well understood problem and there is no shortage of solutions.
Apparently it takes more of a genius than those coding most games today. I'm running a hexcore with 12 threads, and in any game I've played recently (admittedly a smaller number every year) I've yet to see a game peg the CPU at all. A core or 2? Yes. 6+ cores? Never. Has the game slowed down? Absolutely. I can run a restricted Handbrake job, limited to 6 or 8 threads) in the background without affecting game play at all.
Good to know, I'm still running a HD57xx series in my work rig, and intending to move to a 4K monitor soon. I've actually been considering a 960, but you're indicating I may be able to view more options for price/noise/heat comparisons. Noise/Heat are my primary considerations after meeting the core performance requirements of driving a 4K screen.
There is a class of problems that super computers are awesome at. Somethings can be run almost infinitely parallel, e.g. large matrix operations, search routines, protein folding, etc. Another class of inherently ordered taskings depend completely on the speed of the processing, to a point. A large enough set of ordered taskings can be run in parallel if efficiency is not a concern.
The biggest problem with games is most of the coders, sadly, don't have a clue about running decision trees in a parallel system. It requires an entirely different mindset to code such a system.
I'm pretty sure that this decision was going to be made regardless of Trump. Ford is just using it as a chit they're going to call in later, but Trump has a bad habit of stiffing people. There's no way a $700M investment in the US is going to replace a 1.6B investment in Mexico unless the numbers just weren't there for Mexico in the first place.
Also, anybody that expects any real speed-ups from Intel in the next 2-3 years has no clue how long it takes to fundamentally improve a CPU.
It's been since 2010's release of the 980x that we've only moved up the charts maybe 50% on a per core basis. Note that a 980x is unlocked and can be increased significantly over its stock clocking. A 4790K (the fastest single core performer) can only be OC'd a little bit, so the actual performance differences may actually be significantly less than 50%. And that's just sad given that it's now 7 years later.
As a final insult, to actually double the performance from 7 years ago, you'll be spending nearly $1500+ for a 10 core 6950, and that's before exercising the considerable headroom of a 980x over that of the 6950.
I'm concerned that unless you're a 0.001-percenter, you're going to be facing that same issue. And that might be too optimistic.
No but homeschooling is a MAJOR problem. how else are we to stop these kids from averaging higher on exams and going to college at early ages.
I guess if you read fundamentally flawed studies you might state that. FWIW, the home schoolers I've been involved with, only 1 might have scored above the 60th percentile. The rest couldn't even get into an acknowledged university, instead going to private or community colleges, if at all. Yes, while it's anecdotal, but it involves a largish group of students numbering near 100. So at least in this grouping, home schoolers are doing much worse than average. It also happens to track realistic studies on the subject, meaning that I have no evidence to support any other conclusion.
Welcome all to a world where you don't own nor are allowed to alter the software on items you purchased outright.
It cost the manufacturer millions just to develop that software.
I'd be happy if they spent those millions in making better TVs. I have a cheap external box to deal with all the other features that no TV no matter how expensive can remotely compare to price-wise. I know they wish to own the consumer, but that boat sailed a long long long time ago.
All of those can be automated and/or handed off to AI.
Sure, but not for 50 to 100 years. And, things like educating our children and making judgement calls on elected officials probably never should be reduced to algorithms. Maybe for the elected officials if the algorithm is completely transparent, but if you trust SkyNet to educate all the children... that could go very very wrong.
That's within 1-2 generations, and quite possibly within our lifetime. Educating children can definitely be improved by algorithms over some teachers, anyways. I've had the displeasure of dealing with several absolutely unsuited persons in the teaching profession. Unsuited primarily because they lacked the ability to adapt their teaching to anything but their perceived view of a student (sounds a lot like an inflexible algorithm, and one that actively repels change) But, this doesn't mean we don't need teachers, since students need to learn to deal with other humans.
No, I was not talking about homeschooling at all... It said nothing about homeschooling: not all parents would have the skills to do that.
You said parents could spend more time with their children. Having seen homeschooling in action up close, I can make several comments, namely that your statement is correct regarding most current homeschooling parents, they do not have the skills to do so, but that doesn't stop them because there is exactly 0 oversight. The ones that would benefit the most from joining society are the ones that are kept closeted up under the guise of homeschooling.
I'm all for a broad interaction b/w kids, but that's something that can happen at schools, and does not require a kids time w/ his/her parents to be reduced to evenings and weekends.
If you're advocating parents spending time post school, great but that certainly wasn't clear from your initial post. We need to get all kids on at least semi-equal footing. In a post-employment world, there will still be opportunities to do things that will be limited to a few, and qualifying for those positions will be competitive much like today. The motivation to do those things will be driven by the same market forces that drive people to strive for certain goals, like living on a beach or lake or next to a wilderness, as there will be some sort of additional compensation. But, we have to get there first.
You need to go to a different theater. At mine, a pint and a bin of popcorn plus movie ticket runs $16 total.
Check who home schools the most.
I think Ep 1 can be stated as "The Goonies recast in space", and the sequels (2 and 3) went downhill from there.
Hayden Christensen is to an actor what a deer is in headlights.
Actually, there is. A group got a 30mm copy and restored the original. The 1080p transfer definitely has some film grain and film degradation noticeable in spots, but is generally a better quality digital copy than the DVD/BD versions, and not merely because they lack Lucas' "enhancements". I'm sure Disney has better source to scan from, and certainly more desire to engage the fan base of those versions as their new story lines appear to much more true to where the original seemed to be leading.
Rogue One was the "prequel" everyone wanted to SW - A New Hope. We'll kindly forget that Ep 1-3 ever existed, as those films aren't worth wiping your shoes with. TFA to me was resetting the expectations of the SW fan base to where SW/TESB were leading, with a new cast. Tying in cameos from the originals seems appropriate. Effectively, with Rogue One and TFA, SW/TESB are now the back story for the new SW universe Disney wants to take us to. It's open ended, and thank goodness not populated with Ewoks nor targeted at 7 year olds.
I see plenty of work in reducing student-teacher ratios in education, increasing maintenance and inspection intervals, transparency reporting on public officials, etc.
All of those can be automated and/or handed off to AI.
All jobs that don't do R&D will be replaceable in the near future, as in within 1 or 2 generations. Even R&D jobs will likely not be immune, since much R&D is really nothing more than testing a basic hypothesis, of which most of the testing can likely be handed over to AI. The question is what do you do with 24B people with nothing but spare time on their hands, and a smidgen of 1% that actually will have all the wealth? It doesn't sound pretty, unless some serious changes in the way we deal with people occurs sooner than later.
But one potential positive trend of this would be an increase in time spent home w/ family, thereby reducing the time kids spend in daycare
Great, so now more people can home school and indoctrinate - err teach - family values.