I think there is a #3...which I see as the donimant problem.
Management doesn't participate in the process...pick your reason -- lack of time, lack of interest, lack of patience, doesn't see value, etc. Without management (or an authorized representative) involved in the process, you will almost never produce a good product.
I like the TV analogy...simple, idiot proof, etc. Now, here is my 2 cents.
In the future, you can forget Linux, Windows, or any other OS that you can think of (today) for the home user. Instead, the future will look like this:
1. Everyone will have a "high speed" connection where "high speed" is sufficient enough such that the bandwidth is not a signficant bottleneck in terms of processing information and is available at reasonable cost.
2. Connecting to the Internet will be performed via a TV (with input devices such as wireless keyboards), Xstation-like machines, Game Machines, etc.
3. Applications will be served from your main provider (probably the same as your bandwidth provider) and also from other providers on the Internet.
4. Advanced hardware support will include firewalls, caching servers (for your home LAN), regular PC's (for Slashdotters), etc.
The biggest unknown to me is where will your data reside? I see a couple of choices:
a. At your home on some type of dedicated file server that may also include a tape drive or equivalent archive device.
b. At some storage warehouse. Of course, this must be secure. May or may not be the same as the bandwidth provider.
c. At the application provider. For example, an application like Quicken might become obsolete if your Bank's web site provided the same functionality.
BTW...the easiest way to see the above scenario is NOT to look into the future, but rather, look into the past. Much of this has already been done before with different names and places:)
I think there is a #3...which I see as the donimant problem.
Management doesn't participate in the process...pick your reason -- lack of time, lack of interest, lack of patience, doesn't see value, etc. Without management (or an authorized representative) involved in the process, you will almost never produce a good product.
- Joe
I like the TV analogy...simple, idiot proof, etc. Now, here is my 2 cents.
:)
In the future, you can forget Linux, Windows, or any other OS that you can think of (today) for the home user. Instead, the future will look like this:
1. Everyone will have a "high speed" connection where "high speed" is sufficient enough such that the bandwidth is not a signficant bottleneck in terms of processing information and is available at reasonable cost.
2. Connecting to the Internet will be performed via a TV (with input devices such as wireless keyboards), Xstation-like machines, Game Machines, etc.
3. Applications will be served from your main provider (probably the same as your bandwidth provider) and also from other providers on the Internet.
4. Advanced hardware support will include firewalls, caching servers (for your home LAN), regular PC's (for Slashdotters), etc.
The biggest unknown to me is where will your data reside? I see a couple of choices:
a. At your home on some type of dedicated file server that may also include a tape drive or equivalent archive device.
b. At some storage warehouse. Of course, this must be secure. May or may not be the same as the bandwidth provider.
c. At the application provider. For example, an application like Quicken might become obsolete if your Bank's web site provided the same functionality.
BTW...the easiest way to see the above scenario is NOT to look into the future, but rather, look into the past. Much of this has already been done before with different names and places
Think about it...
- Joe