Most software is going to be on the web in 20 years, if not sooner. The model makes far more sense that the model we have today. We will all rent software one day, coming full circle from the early days of computing. Always-on internet at high speeds is not far off, and technologically feasible...... yet 98% of computers are slaves to Bill Gates' OS?...it will be a longer term transition, but I believe eventually we will be securely connected to the net and "rent" software, and someone like Google will step in and reinvent the operating system for these reasons. It makes too much sense for the consumer and the developer.
Most computers are used for 2 things: 1. email + 2. finding info on the web. Long-term, I am hopeful and eager to see software make a big move towards mostly-on-the-web paradigm... i.e. seeing someone like Google work with an open source community like Linux to develop a scaled down operating system that was based upon: 1. security and 2. interacting with server software. I believe this will happen.
While Windows was a blessing at one time (not having to write software for multiple OS's) it is now overkill in most cases. When speeds get increased on the internet, application developers only need to write software for 1 thing --- the browser. Interfaces can take on many forms with the capability of FLASH (and AJAX) to richly customize the interface into any imaginable possibility, and interact with server-side code.
The potential merger of Google + ADBE + MACR could create a paradigm that will be positive for consumers & developers, and be revolutionary in the software world.
There is no way Microsoft will compete with Google. NO WAY. They are marketing machines at Microsoft, but this can't be solved by marketing with their complete lack of infrastructure and position.
Google is a 55 billion dollar company whose ONLY MARKET is information and search technologies, with revenue from related advertising....the media's market share numbers about Google's dominance are understated (they say somewhere between 35% and 50%)... according to my own data from browsers hitting my websites... GOOG has 69% share, with MSN at 5%! AOL has 2x the market share of Microsoft, and AOL's search is powered by Google! I trust my data more than the media. Note I have a higher search ranking on MSN, so if anything, it would skew the numbers towards MSN.
Though Microsoft is a 250 billion dollar company, this includes Windows OS; plus development tools (where they are losing market share), Windows Server OS (where there are many FREE options now from Linux and Sun)... I could go on and on. What % of that $285B has been used for search or will be used for search? I know the answer in Google's case... 100% of it, or 55+ billion. I do not think MSFT would be wise to spend 25% of its resources on a market that they are tremendously far behind on. Plus Google has a HUGE head start with technology and market share. No contest. Google wins everytime.
-Holts
http://holtsblog.blogspot.com/
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Reinventing the Operating System
...it will be a longer term transition, but I believe eventually we will be securely connected to the net and "rent" software, and someone like Google will step in and reinvent the operating system for these reasons. It makes too much sense for the consumer and the developer.
Most software is going to be on the web in 20 years, if not sooner. The model makes far more sense that the model we have today. We will all rent software one day, coming full circle from the early days of computing. Always-on internet at high speeds is not far off, and technologically feasible...... yet 98% of computers are slaves to Bill Gates' OS?
Most computers are used for 2 things: 1. email + 2. finding info on the web. Long-term, I am hopeful and eager to see software make a big move towards mostly-on-the-web paradigm... i.e. seeing someone like Google work with an open source community like Linux to develop a scaled down operating system that was based upon: 1. security and 2. interacting with server software. I believe this will happen.
While Windows was a blessing at one time (not having to write software for multiple OS's) it is now overkill in most cases. When speeds get increased on the internet, application developers only need to write software for 1 thing --- the browser. Interfaces can take on many forms with the capability of FLASH (and AJAX) to richly customize the interface into any imaginable possibility, and interact with server-side code.
The potential merger of Google + ADBE + MACR could create a paradigm that will be positive for consumers & developers, and be revolutionary in the software world.
-Holts
There is no way Microsoft will compete with Google. NO WAY. They are marketing machines at Microsoft, but this can't be solved by marketing with their complete lack of infrastructure and position. Google is a 55 billion dollar company whose ONLY MARKET is information and search technologies, with revenue from related advertising. ...the media's market share numbers about Google's dominance are understated (they say somewhere between 35% and 50%) ... according to my own data from browsers hitting my websites ... GOOG has 69% share, with MSN at 5%! AOL has 2x the market share of Microsoft, and AOL's search is powered by Google! I trust my data more than the media. Note I have a higher search ranking on MSN, so if anything, it would skew the numbers towards MSN.
Though Microsoft is a 250 billion dollar company, this includes Windows OS; plus development tools (where they are losing market share), Windows Server OS (where there are many FREE options now from Linux and Sun)... I could go on and on. What % of that $285B has been used for search or will be used for search? I know the answer in Google's case... 100% of it, or 55+ billion. I do not think MSFT would be wise to spend 25% of its resources on a market that they are tremendously far behind on. Plus Google has a HUGE head start with technology and market share. No contest. Google wins everytime.
-Holts
http://holtsblog.blogspot.com/