3 passengers are the extreme lower limit as far as what is economically feasible. Expect more. I'd expect ticket prices between 0.5M and 1M. I'm figuring a higher DDT&E as vertical flight is far more of a challenge. For a quick and dirty estimate, I put the DDT&E at $60M and the TFU at $10M. Remember that SS1 had a DDT&E + TFU of around $30-35M. Given initial parameters I could do a Monte Carlo to give closer estimates but that's the ball park.
Nothing in this release is anything that was either not already in the public domain or that isn't so vague as to say nothing. For instance, of course they'll have at least 3 people. Of course they'll have a turn around time of around a week; in order to compete with Spaceship One, they'd better.
They've said absolutely nothing that they haven't said before and use numbers that say nothing to someone who would act as competition. She's still an unknown.
(Back to work)
Though this topic forced me to post I must say that most of the comments I scan on/. are complete incoherent crap. It has completely disabused me of the idea that a group can collectively derive truth for any gems are quickly overlaid with dung.
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3 passengers are the extreme lower limit as far as what is economically feasible. Expect more. I'd expect ticket prices between 0.5M and 1M. I'm figuring a higher DDT&E as vertical flight is far more of a challenge. For a quick and dirty estimate, I put the DDT&E at $60M and the TFU at $10M. Remember that SS1 had a DDT&E + TFU of around $30-35M. Given initial parameters I could do a Monte Carlo to give closer estimates but that's the ball park. Nothing in this release is anything that was either not already in the public domain or that isn't so vague as to say nothing. For instance, of course they'll have at least 3 people. Of course they'll have a turn around time of around a week; in order to compete with Spaceship One, they'd better. They've said absolutely nothing that they haven't said before and use numbers that say nothing to someone who would act as competition. She's still an unknown. (Back to work) Though this topic forced me to post I must say that most of the comments I scan on /. are complete incoherent crap. It has completely disabused me of the idea that a group can collectively derive truth for any gems are quickly overlaid with dung.