As a side note - we have, in fact, pretty much solved the problem of population growth as a species. The main growth engine is the increase in life span by now. Birth rates have been steadily falling (UN long term models actually assume that they will be growing again in the future for the developed world), the only problem being that the slowdown has been somewhat slower in some parts of Africa than expected, but it is still falling quickly. The population will grow for the next 50-100 years, but we will probably have to deal with a declining population after that.
(already wrote in another thread, but) They just didnt take it (the money going into the GDP of another countries) into account! Let me cite them:
"Although GDP is a measure of government and consumer spending plus business investment plus exports minus imports, for the purposes of this project IDC did not account for exports or imports."
Oh yes of course. What I had in mind actually while referring to the conclusions of the study was the claim that the countries with highest rate of piracy would win the most. Which is absolutly not the case, as only a percentage of the money will go into the GDP of these countries.
When we are talking about the global software market, then we have to take into account the effect piracy has on incentives to innovate etc (btw, the effect might not be as straightforward as expected - when we are in the monopolistic market, it is entirely possible that it will convert only to the profits of shareholders, not to any additional innovation etc). But here they are making conclusions on how much every country will win, and these conclusions are knowingly misleading.
I can cite you an assumption hidden in the text: "Although GDP is a measure of government and consumer spending plus business investment plus exports minus imports, for the purposes of this project IDC did not account for exports or imports."
this GDP measure is fundamentally flawed, and is the only reason why this study comes to the conclusions it comes. When your piracy rates are high, then reducing it by 10% means more spent on licenses, and everything that is spent on licenses is considered to be the GDP of the country here. While common sense would say, that most of it will go out of the country.
So this study is bullshit. I want to ask from the guys in BSA - when You give as examples like this, why would you expect we would act honestly?
Slashdot Mirror
As a side note - we have, in fact, pretty much solved the problem of population growth as a species. The main growth engine is the increase in life span by now. Birth rates have been steadily falling (UN long term models actually assume that they will be growing again in the future for the developed world), the only problem being that the slowdown has been somewhat slower in some parts of Africa than expected, but it is still falling quickly. The population will grow for the next 50-100 years, but we will probably have to deal with a declining population after that.
(already wrote in another thread, but) They just didnt take it (the money going into the GDP of another countries) into account! Let me cite them:
"Although GDP is a measure of government and consumer spending plus business investment plus exports minus imports, for the purposes of this project IDC did not account for exports or imports."
Then again, what would you expect from BSA?
Oh yes of course. What I had in mind actually while referring to the conclusions of the study was the claim that the countries with highest rate of piracy would win the most. Which is absolutly not the case, as only a percentage of the money will go into the GDP of these countries.
When we are talking about the global software market, then we have to take into account the effect piracy has on incentives to innovate etc (btw, the effect might not be as straightforward as expected - when we are in the monopolistic market, it is entirely possible that it will convert only to the profits of shareholders, not to any additional innovation etc). But here they are making conclusions on how much every country will win, and these conclusions are knowingly misleading.
I can cite you an assumption hidden in the text: "Although GDP is a measure of government and consumer spending plus business investment plus exports minus imports, for the purposes of this project IDC did not account for exports or imports." this GDP measure is fundamentally flawed, and is the only reason why this study comes to the conclusions it comes. When your piracy rates are high, then reducing it by 10% means more spent on licenses, and everything that is spent on licenses is considered to be the GDP of the country here. While common sense would say, that most of it will go out of the country. So this study is bullshit. I want to ask from the guys in BSA - when You give as examples like this, why would you expect we would act honestly?