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Pluto Mission Apparently Cancelled

hey! writes "This just in at space.com -- new details of the Bush NASA budget. It looks like the Pluto-Kuiper express has been cancelled -- possibly our last chance for centuries to get a closeup look at Pluto's atmosphere. As Jupiter moves out of position for gravity assist and Pluto moves further from the Sun it's atmosphere will begin to freeze. My favorite line in the report -- ISS will get increased "consistent with a strategy of constraining space station cost growth." OK, they're talking about being pound wise and penny foolish, but you can't pass up an Orwellian straight line like that."

21 of 199 comments (clear)

  1. ISS expenses by rjh · · Score: 5

    If the Administration hadn't expressed an interest in constraining budget growth of the ISS, I'd be worried.

    Anyone want to post hard numbers on exactly how many billions of dollars the ISS is over-budget? How much of our "financial aid" to Russia has really been "please, take this bribe and keep Baikonur operating a little while longer"?

    The ISS is hugely, massively overbudget. The Administration's expressed interest in constraining more costs is prudence, not Visigothism. Saying "this thing is already several billion overbudget, and we don't want to see it grow one dollar moreso" is a great deal different from saying "we're not going to give this the funding it needs".

    While I'm adamantly in favor of the space program and long-term habitation in space, I'm not in favor of the idea (which some Slashdotters seem to agree with) that any level of funding is acceptable, and any constraint on funding is neo-Luddism.

  2. this just in by slashdoter · · Score: 5
    This just in......

    Aliens on pluto are reportedly unhappy with the decision, as they can now not live up to a bet they made last year with the Martians to crash the probe. The Martians are said to be joyful over the news because pluto now has to change it's name to snoopy.....


    ________

    --
    Does anyone actually have a Java program designed to control air traffic, or for the operation of a nuclear facility?
  3. This makes me sad. by Mr.+Flibble · · Score: 5

    [B]ut you can't pass up an Orwellian straight line like that.

    Sadly it looks like they can. Science or the pursuit of knowlege is usually one of the first things to go in times of trouble. I am not an American, but I would hardly call the times in the U.S. "troubled". I fear that the constant downgrading of NASA is perhaps that warning sign of trouble.

    There is simply too much "lack of caring" for scientific (or more specifically skeptical) thinking in North America, things like the "outlawing" of evolutionary instruction are, like the NASA "A Blueprint for New Beginnings" dangerous. Sure, the budget is 2% greater than 2001, but with the space station all the money is put towards that.

    Expect to see even more "cheaper, faster" but not "better" space exploring craft in the future.

    I have a bad feeling about this.

    --
    Try to hack my 31337 firewall!
  4. Why didn't they do a lunar station ? by SirGeek · · Score: 3
    Wouldn't it have been lots cheaper/safer to do a lunar station ?
    • Gravity
    • Been there
    • Less complicated system
    They could come up with some sort of dome that they use and have the shuttle transport and install it (it would be of a minimal size - bed rooms..). They just launch tons and tons of air canisters (enough for a few months) and then launch construction equipment.
    1. Re:Why didn't they do a lunar station ? by styopa · · Score: 3
      Actually there are several reasons why building a lunar station is not as practical as a space station.
      • Cost:
        1. Lunar landers have not been upgraded since the Apollo program. Design then building spacecraft capable of landing and taking off of the lunar surface costs a lot of money. Much more than reusing existing technology and finishing up the X33 (or whatever the incarnation is now).
        2. The amount of fuel used to travel to the moon is drastically more than to reach the ISS. Remember, now you have to worry about leaving both the Earth's and the moon's gravity wells, and landing, and both trips. Even one way supply missions would require more money.
      • Complexity:
        1. The largest transport rocket available today is the Proton 2, a Russian rocket. So first we have to make sure that everything fits into the Proton 2. Now the easiest way would have the components be able to land on their own. This then requires that each component has quite a bit of space taken up with what is required to land. The other approach would require a vehicle in space to transport the component to the surface and place it where it needs to be, this is not easy.
        2. Assuming that there is no construction vechile, so we are using the all components make their own landing approach, we now have to combine the components. If one does not want to combine the components expect loss of time due to amount of time spent doning space gear and moon walks. Does the new component have everything it needs to combine inside it, or will that require supply launches? How close can you have the components land to each other without threatening the safetey of the other components?
        3. As mentioned above in the Cost section the need for a up to date moon lander is needed. Do you first get something very basic and then construct a "runway" on the moon so that things like the X33 can land there, or do you construct a vehicle that can land vertically on the moon and like a plane on Earth?
      • Safety: Something goes wrong and they need a fix NOW. As it is, the ISS has to wait for the shuttle to be prepaired or an emergency launch, weather has to be perfect ... or a rocket is launched with the materials, but again there is the whole weather issue. By moving the base out to the moon there is a larger travel time for supplies to get there.
      • Been there: MIR has been up in space, constantly manned since 1986. The US had Space Lab for a short while also. Russia and the US have experience with space stations. No one has been to the moon in a very long time.
      • Usefulness:
        1. NASA and RKa need something up in space NOW. The public here in the US is getting bored with NASA, which means that NASA is in danger of losing funding. They need a big project that will succeed. They don't want to throw billions of dollers into a project that has not been done before.
        2. Someone mentioned natural resources from the moon. That is silly. The construction of mines on the moon would be horribly expensive. It is cheeper to mine in on Earth then it is to deal with setting up a low grav. environment and then using large amounts of fuel to transport the materials back to Earth. There are uses for mining the moon but I will discuss that later.
        3. We need to be performing experiments in zero-g. Although performing experiments in a low-g environment would be useful, the experiments performed in zero-g are more useful.


      The moon may become useful for planetary exploration. There are two approaches for going to Mars, there is Dr. Zubrin's Mars Direct approach, and there is the stepping stone approach. The first is to just go to Mars, do not go to the moon, do not build a station there. The second approach is to first go to the moon, and get some experience building in a low-g enivronment. From there use the moon station as a stepping stone to other planets like mars.

      Personally I think that the Mars direct approach is what is needed right now, and then we should come back to build the stepping stone. I feel this way because I have little faith in the American people to keep interest in going to Mars while we sit on the moon. After the public becomes interested in space exploration again, after going to Mars, convince them that building the stepping stone on the moon is necessary. Build factories on the moon and then launch larger vehicles from the moon and its smaller gravity well. etc...
      --
      Disclamer - Opinion of Person
  5. management means management by DHartung · · Score: 3

    dimator writes:
    >Space station program management would also shift from Johnson Space Center, Houston
    >to NASA Headquarters in Washington under Bush's plan.

    This is a travesty. "Washington, we have a problem." How stupid is that!?


    Of course the Mission Control rooms at Houston's Johnson Space Center will remain right where they are. What is changing is that the JSC manager will no longer be virtually independent. One of the crippling problems with NASA over he years has been the feudal independence of the various centers (Houston, Marshall, Kennedy, Dryden, JPL ... ), which has meant fierce competition instead of cooperation. Johnson, in particular, was run by the notoriously prickly George Abbey, who has just been bumped up to a non-job in NASA headquarters, after some 20 years (interrupted) of stubborn power.

    All this means is that Goldin is making sure nobody gets that powerful again anytime soon.
    ----

    --
    lake effect weblog
    {Network engineer in Chicago--looking for work!}
  6. One scrapped nuclear Submarine would pay for it. by StarTux · · Score: 4

    We have two many nuclear submarines going around in circles that really are not needed any more. How many times over is it necessary to destroy the Planet? We have enough power to destroy *all* life on Earth.

    We have enough deterrants already, no need for more, why not pout this money into things that help humanity? Further the prospects of everyone on Earth, not hinder it with the chgance of total death. Can you imagine in 65 million years a new intelligence trying to figure out killed our species out? Was it an Asteroid? Nope. Oh my, it was there own weapons, they must have been primitive.

    If you think that the threat has subsided, well it has to a point, but remember that in 1995 we came to within 2 minutes of Nuclear devastation due to a Norwegian weather rocket fooling the Russians into thinking that the US had launched a first strike against Moscow.

    I am not saying we should scrap all the military assests, that would be silly, but we should cut back the white elephants and put that money into something more meaningful.

    We have achieved more when reaching out exploring than we have any other way, in my ever so humble opinion.

    StarTux

  7. US Space Policy by Eloquence · · Score: 4
    Cost of manned mission to Mars as estimated by NASA: $ 20 billion.

    Estimated cost of national missile defense system: $ 60 billion.

    In other words: The United States develop a "missile defense" system against "rogue states" which is known not to work. For this money, they could fly man three times to Mars and back. 'nuff said.

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    1. Re:US Space Policy by drsoran · · Score: 5

      Cost of manned mission to Mars as estimated by NASA: $ 20 billion.

      Estimated cost of national missile defense system: $ 60 billion.

      President Bush accidently shooting down the Shuttle while playing aboard a US Nuclear Submarine: Priceless.

  8. all is not lost! by fatmantis · · Score: 4

    This particular budget cut is a travesty of magnificent proprtions. The celestial clock happens to be perfectly in tune with our technological advancement, to offer us this rare glimpse of our environment, as a species. To decide that we can't afford to redirect a few paltry resources to the task strikes me as narrow and crude. It's almost as if, as a species, we are too lazy to bother craning our necks a little to see what's outside the crib.

    But it doesn't have to be this way. NASA isn't the only agency capable of sendiing the probe. in fact, maybe this feat could be accomplished on a voluntary basis? We have theories/plans for magical technology at our disposal, commercial support services to pester, potential launch capabilities and a wide variety of legal launch facilities around the world.

    Consider: we have, just here at slashdot, the ears of a number of very technically capable individuals that might be persuaded to help create a Pluto Probe in an open sourced, ameteur manner. Corporate sponsorship would be soon to follow. Perhaps I haven't thought it out too carefully, but it is apparent to me that the potential to deploy a probe exists, despite the government.

    --

    ::I will not moderate my opinions for your stinking karma

  9. Still a chance for Pluto... by Ecyrd · · Score: 5

    To quote the document which the Slashdot reference refers to:

    To support a potential, future sprint to the planet Pluto before 2020, additional funds will be directed to key propulsion technology investments.

    I think this is an excellent idea: The Deep Space 1 probe has already pretty much proven that ion drive works, and more interesting propulsion technologies exist on the drawing board. Not only the Pluto-Kuiper program will benefit from this (the Kuiper belt will still be there) but other probe programs as well (except maybe Moon probes, but they ain't that interesting anyway).

    The whole budget thing seems to me like GWB is shaking a stick at NASA, saying that they must start to think about the commercialization of space, and to build more reliable stuff.

    It isn't all bad, IMHO. It could be a lot worse.

  10. Re:One scrapped nuclear Submarine would pay for it by trims · · Score: 3

    This is insanely off-topic, but it's worth mentioning, because it comes up every time someone suggests we cut the nuclear triad to save mondo buckaroos:

    Nuclear Forces Cost Virtually Nothing. In comparison to the conventional infrastructure, that is. Yes, the R&D for the B2, Ohio SSBNs, and Trident D5 were very expensive, but everything except the B2 pales in comparison what we're going to spend on the F-22, F-117, SeaWolf, and JSF.

    Fundamentally, about the only significant cost-savings you can squeeze out of the Nuclear forces is not to build any more B2s (I think we have 1 scheduled for FY2002, at about $2B ). Cutting anything else is a tiny savings, since we've already done the research and paid for the hardware, and there is fundamentally very little there to begin with.

    Yes, I'm very much for getting rid of the B2 force, and seriously cutting the MX/Minuteman deployments. But don't be fooled. These aren't going to save any significant money (doing both of the above might save a few hundred million/year, tops). Compared to the billions it costs to keep a single Carrier task force running, or an Armored Division prepped, this is peanuts. And remember, a huge amount of the military budget is personnel (pay, medical benefits, housing, et al), consumables (new ammunition, jet fuel, etc.) and R&D, all of which have very little to do with the nuclear forces.

    If you're going to cut nukes, do it for strategic reasons. Don't be an idiot and think it will save any real money, though.

    -Erik

    --
    There are always four sides to every story: your side, their side, the truth, and what really happened.
  11. Project was scuttled pre-Bush... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5

    According to NASA:

    2000/09/13 - A NASA stop work order has been issued for The Pluto-Kuiper Express mission as currently envisioned. Further direction from NASA has been given to develop a new mission to reach Pluto before 2020.

    Note that the date is last September, which is before the US Election debacle. To you Bush haters out there, please understand the facts of the situation before you immediately jump all over Dubya.

    1. Re:Project was scuttled pre-Bush... by hey! · · Score: 5
      Actually, the stop work order doesn't mean the project is necessarily cancelled, but that it is expected to be cancelled. It would be more accurate to say that the Clinton administration set the nail and the Bush administration is driving it home.

      This definitely has the fingerprints of the beltway mandarins all over it. For one thing it's so early in the GWB adminisgtration for any of these kinds of projects to appear on his radar screen. However, even if it somehow did, I expect that it would not be revived. Combining the Bush tax cut and deficit reduction plans, there's simply no chance for a program like this. This is a man who when asked what his favorite book growing up was, drew a blank.

      This is not a Democrat vs. Republican thing, it's a people who believe in basic research and exploration vs. people who are interested in short term financial issues. Maybe those folks are more practical, but I'd hate to be those people who don't look up at the milky way and wonder how all our creations, from Shakespeare to the stock market, could arise from the dust of stellar explosions.


      The cloud-capp'd towers, the gorgeous palaces,
      The solemn temples, the great globe itself,
      Yea, all which it inherit, shall dissolve
      And, like this insubstantial pageant faded,
      Leave not a rack behind. We are such stuff
      As dreams are made on, and our little life
      Is rounded with a sleep.


      Greatness in a nation doesn't arise from constant juggling marginal benefits, but from acts of daring and imagination. The Portuguese were entirely right, by their own way of looking things, to send Columbus packing. It was Spain that became the great empire.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  12. Re:One scrapped nuclear Submarine would pay for it by Detritus · · Score: 3
    How many times over is it necessary to destroy the Planet? We have enough power to destroy *all* life on Earth.

    The US nuclear arsenal is less than 3,000 megatons of explosive yield. Russia's nuclear arsenal has been estimated to have a comparable yield. While this is enough, if properly targetted, to kill a large proportion of the humans on Earth, it isn't remotely enough to "destroy all life on Earth". As a point of reference, the eruption of Mt. St. Helens has been estimated to have released 450 megatons of energy.

    --
    Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
  13. YHBT. YHL. HAND. by tbo · · Score: 5

    If you read the troll FAQ (sorry, don't have the link), you'll recognize this as a classic troll. First sentence is entirely reasonable, but, as the post progesses, it becomes more and more inflammatory. The closing line, "NASA is finally doing something useful.", is the closing barb...

    If you don't believe me, check qpt's user info and look at his comment history. See how many -1's qpt has posted? There are also some 3's and 4's, suggesting that he's a pretty successful troll.

    Just so I don't wander too far off-topic, I'll analyze and rebut one line:

    Far too much effort is being wasted in superfluous programs that have no real chance of every producing a usable application.

    Yeah, like quantum mechanics. Oh, wait, about a third of all technology invented in the past 50 years involves QM (directly or indirectly). Think semiconductors, high-temp superconductors, laser diodes...

    And what the hell was up with those crazy Watson and Crick guys who were playing with a double helix? And that Newton guy...

    I dare you to name a single scientific theory that's at least 50 years old and hasn't been useful.

    I could go on, but it's just a troll. If you fell for it (as the moderators have), you should be ashamed of yourself.

  14. Up in arms by Forager · · Score: 3
    Everyone seems so upset about losing the Pluto mission, but did you read the rest of the article? (Standard Disclaimer: I hate Bush, I think he stole the presidency, but I'll be fair) Check out the funding plans

    snip

    Highlights of 2002 Funding

    • Provides $14.5 billion for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), a 2-percent increase over 2001 and a 7-percent increase over 2000.
    • Provides increased funding for International Space Station development and operations consistent with a strategy of constraining space station cost growth. ... NASA will be undertaking a number of management reforms to bring space station costs under control.
    • Provides a 64-percent increase over 2001 for NASA's Space Launch Initiative. This increase continues NASA's commitment to provide commercial industry the opportunity to meet NASA's future launch needs and to dramatically reduce space transportation costs and improve space transportation safety and reliability.
    • Funds a more robust Mars Exploration Program.
    • Funds a science-driven program of prioritized follow-on missions for second-generation Earth Observing System measurements that will provide a greater understanding of how Earth and its climate are changing -- an increase of 5 percent over 2001.

    snip

    Did I read wrong, or is Bush actually INCREASING the budget for some majour programs? And privatizing space flight? There is strong support for the argument that privatizing space flight will send us forward by leaps and bounds, because of the increased funding, the increased safety requirements, and the increased interest (competition, etc).

    Truth be told, NASA isn't getting enough. But when Bush actually increases their budget, rather than decreasing it like I feared he would, I think he deserves a little credit. True, some of the bazillion dollars given to military could have gone to NASA, but at least he increased spending on space stuff!

    So don't be so quick to criticise Bush on this one; he seems to be doing NASA a favour this time.

    Forager

    --
    student of animation and the fine arts
  15. Get the space program off the back burner! by double_h · · Score: 3

    It really saddens me to see how the space program has gotten shoved in the background over the past decade or two. Sure, it's a horrendously expensive endeavor in the short term, but I can't think of ANY better long-term investment, with returns in technology, economic wealth (I'd wager there's gold - and things even more valuable - in them there asteroids), and essential resources (stick a big array of solar panels in orbit, and you've got insane amounts of free energy, forever). And with overpopulation and global industrialization progressing at their current rate, humanity better start thinking NOW about where it's going to go as a species once things start to get truly shaky, even if that's a century or two down the road. Getting lots of people off the planet, one way or another, looks like the best long-term option from my perspective.

    In the short term, too, I think the space program has many benefits. It gives people something to dream about, and a way to express the pioneer spirit now that all of available land masses on earth have been more or less spoken for. When I was growing up, in the late 70s-early 80s, the space program was one of the first things to get me REALLY fired up about learning. Following the progress of the Voyager missions, the Mars probes, and the first Space Shuttle flights was utterly mind-blowing. I suspect that these interests had plenty to do with my getting interested in computers, which has proved rewarding in all sorts of ways. But then, a few years later, between the arms race of the cold war and the explosion of the Challenger, the U.S. cooled off on the space race, and hasn't regained the same momentum since.

    There are plenty of arguments that money for the space program can be better spent. Not just on increased military spending and tax cuts for the rich, but for things like food and education. How can a nation spend billions building space probes when so many of its own people are going hungry, homeless, and without medical care? That's a sticky question.

    But in the long term, I think that if anything holds the keys for humanity's long-term success as a species, it's probably the space program.

    Note to President Bush: if you succeed in getting me that $1600 tax cut you've talked about, you can send my share to NASA. They've got much cooler things to spend the money on than I do.

    All your mp3 are belong to us.

  16. Re:the source of the problem... by Christianfreak · · Score: 3
    Anyone smart enough to be president is too smart to run for the office :)

    "One World, one Web, one Program" - Microsoft promotional ad

  17. So raise the money by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 3

    To those of you bitching and whining: Instead of depending on Uncle Sugar for everything, why don't you organize an effort to privately fund a probe? If it's that important, you shouldn't have any trouble raising the funds.

    Oh, I see, it's important, not not important enough to do anything personally.


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    Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
  18. A new way to fund NASA... by Gendou · · Score: 3

    If we take all the proceeds from the "ALL YOUR BASE ARE BELONG TO US" merchandise, we could finance NASA enough to get a human on Pluto.

    Sorry Ed. ;-)