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Spy Satellites? What Spy Satellites?

mutantcamel writes: "This story at Yahoo says that the actual orbits of US spy satellites are not the same as the ones that the UN thinks that they are. The errors include a launch of a satellite that was never registered, and only two of the last ten satellites have been correctly registered. The errors are bound to cast doubts on what will really happen with the Son of Star Wars programme." Heh, "errors".

9 of 372 comments (clear)

  1. bogosity - look at the real threat models. by billstewart · · Score: 3, Insightful
    ICBMs are big and expensive, and only a couple countries have had the technological base to develop them (at least until recently) - and you'd only use them if you wanted to have a real war. The Russians wouldn't shoot at us because of Mutually Assured Destruction (i.e. if we thought it was a real attack, we'd massively nuke them and they'd massively nuke us.) China's in a similar position. India's not that mad at us, and if they nuked any body it would be Pakistan or China. Western Europe are our allies, plus anything that turned into a nuclear war with Russia would probably involve lots of tactical nukes used in Germany. Cuba had Russian ICBMs there, but that problem's been taken care of.


    A much more realistic attack model for a small country would be to put the nuke in a truck or a shipping container and drive or sail across the border to a major city. If they need extra security, they can always pack the stuff in drugs and smuggling it across the border is no problem at all....

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  2. Re:losing face and moral authority.. by Bluesee · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The Comprehensive Test Ban treaty, or CTBT, wasn't ratified by the US, who, incidentally were the first signatories, because the Republicans were so consumed with their hatred of Clinton that they couldn't see straight to give in to even the slightest notion of a 'victory' to him. Partisan and short-sighted politics thereby diminished the US in the eyes of the world (once again), and severely reduced the level of security in the world. Realize that the US stands to benefit greatly from the CTBT; having already tested its weapons to a great degree, they would only become more secure when Pakistan, India, et al voluntarily gave up the ability to test (and thereby develop) their own deadly creations.

    Between that, the Kyoto protocol, NMD, and now this discovery that we have been 'in error' on our satellite orbits (is Russia truthful about thiers?), our prestige in the world is reduced to that of a big bully with an attitude problem, rather than the shining beacon of democratic promise and economic prosperity through principled administration of a higher ideal. Plus the fact that W is arrogantly and defiantly ignorant of the issues, and needs Condo Rice to tell him that Mexico is part of North America...

    slightly ot, but it puts it all in perspective, ya think?

    --
    SDMI: Finally! Music that won't rip or burn! Brought to you by the fine folks at RIAA.
  3. Re:But who will do something? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "And I'm not saything this from necessarily an American standpoint - I fully respect the rights of all other countries to do the same thing."

    Uh huh. So you wouldn't mind if some country assasinated Bush and supported a puppet dicator... Or maybe funded the Canadians to terrorize and wage a guerrila war against the US... Just because they don't like our method of government.

    I mean, sure you'd be sad if your side lost, but you fully respect their right to do that sort of thing, eh?

  4. The article's obvious bias is funny. by unitrcn · · Score: 4, Insightful
    No matter which side of the missile-defense debate you're on, you really have to laugh at the way it is written. Look: First paragraph: 1-sentence summary. Second paragraph:
    The errors will add to concerns over George W. Bush's plans to place weapons in space. If today's satellite orbits cannot be trusted, opponents reason, how will we verify the numbers of future space-based anti-missile lasers and anti-satellite weapons?
    And that quote comes unattributed, apparently the product of the author of the story at New Scientist. WTF happened to objectivity in journalism?

    On the other hand, since it lets us know its bias straight-off, we can dismiss it without having to wade through the crap that follows.

    Look Mr Harvard-Liberal-Academic-Kennedy-Wannabe, we all know you hate Bush. But are you really that naive to think that any nation capable of putting a satellite in space wouldn't be able to make the same kinds of observations you did? I have a feeling most nations understand that spy satellites are, well, for spying, and that unless they want to start a war they'll let us have ours and we let them have theirs. The U.S. Space Command is more than capable of keeping track of all man-made satellites in earth-orbit, so arguments about collisions are irrelevant. And the fact is that the treaty says that contents of each country's satellite registry is comnpletely up to that country, so the U.S. is not in violation of the treaty.

    The only way I can explain this article is that this "respected space analyst" is either extremely arrogant and naive, or (more likely) an anti-Bush liberal democrat. The other thing to remember is that New Scientist is based in Europe (in G.B. I believe), and to fill a weekly magazine with "cutting-edge scientific journalism" they have to choose a few dodgy topics as filler, the more controversial, the better.

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    The real unitron has Slashdot ID 5733, and needs to change his sig.
  5. Re:Now that is stupid... by JanneM · · Score: 5, Insightful

    First, the choice of orbit isn't random; some orbits are better than others (land or sea coverage springs to mind). These orbits will tend to crowd faster than others (there is a real shortage of geostationary orbits by now, for example). Second, they'd be circling in similar orbits for years.

    OK, let's stand on random point on a cricket field (though I'd prefer an icehockey rink, but whatever :-) ), and toss marbles. This time, however, we toss them in similar directions. Also, we do another toss about every fifty minutes for the next ten years (or around 100.000 times).

    /Janne

    --
    Trust the Computer. The Computer is your friend.
  6. accidentally on purpose by beanerspace · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Yeah, I can see it now. A small, fast Chinese satellite of questionable commercial value is "struck" by a slow moving and very expensive U.S. Spy satellite. The Chinese demand an apology for our malicious act.

    What's next, a slow moving propeller driven spy plane taking down a faster, more maneuverable fighter jet ?

    What happens when such "accidents" occur just while some hostile nation is amassing large amounts of troops and tanks on neighbor's border ?

    Using the 'an accident might happen' line of reasoning, wouldn't the U.S. also then be compelled to disclose the locations of submarines, ships, armored vehicles and planes so they also don't collide with commercial vessels ?

    Other nations hate it, but then they're inclined to hold disdain for any super power. It's the nature of power politics and warfare to be suspicious of the guy with the big gun. It's their purgative to try and get the information, just at it is the U.S.'s to say NUTS.

  7. Losers by vacamike · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why is it that political or foreign-relations stories get all the responses with Bush-bashing and America-bashing?

    I would like to have an accurate poll as to how many of these 'informed' slashdot posters actually voted. After all, I have found that the ones who complain the most do so since they didn't voice their opinion at the appropriate place and time; i.e. the polls.

    p.s. 'i didnt like either candidate' is not a valid excuse; try again.

  8. Re:But who will do something? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The reason Americans can have the opportunity to live happy lives is thanks to those CIA killing sprees.
    What is a happy life to you, boy? Prozac? Sony? Warner Brothers? Nike? The very companies battling not for your purchase, but your dependence, fighting from lower moral ground than "controlled" substance vendors?
    If you don't have a stick, your neighbor will come over with his stick and take your food and women.
    Women can protect themselves just fine anyway. Those who can't deserve whatever they get -- especially when the jingoist right-wing takes their reproductive choice away in the name of Mammon and Country. Pull your head out of your browser and grow some perspective.
    I don't care what the military does. as long as it maintains my country and stays away from the citizens of my country.
    You know so little about current affairs and the structure of government that it ought to be a felony (and you ought to lose your right to vote as a result). 1) The CIA is the foreign espionage and sabotage unit of the United States. It has effectively no oversight from Congress nor accountability to elected officials. It is not a branch of the Armed Forces. 2) The CIA tortured, raped, and killed civilians in Latin America to keep US toadies in power and derail justifiable civilian revolutions. 3) The CIA has been involved in testing chemical agents (such as LSD) and biological agents on US citizens. 4) The CIA deliberately manipulated foreign policy and public opinion to bring the US to the brink of war, again without public oversight.

    Are you awake yet? This has not a thing to do with war, nothing to do with pointing fingers or guns at whoever the media conspires to call the bad guy this week. This has to do with you being a willing, gullible toady of a patriot and failing to rub two brain cells together to check facts, read between lines, or think critically about what they're saying and why they're saying it.

    And *that's* why those CIA assassinations occur... along with why the satellites are hidden as much as they can be.
    Fact check: the satellites aren't hidden at all. From a few weeks of observation or perhaps even less, you can calculate the orbital elements and track the movement for as long as you like or until the orbit changes again. The orbital elements of these satellites are public knowledge anyway, so why is the US lying? From recent experience, it's because that's all it does well.

    You don't have any idea what you're talking about. Shut up and listen for a change.

  9. Hiding spy satellites is hardly evil... by Bjarke+Roune · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Using the words of George Carlin: "how can it be a spy satellite, when on the news they say it's a spy satellite?" The point being, of course, that spy satellites naturally are supposed to spy on people, and it's not very productive to spy on people if they know exactly where you are and what you are seeing. So, of course the owner of a spy satellite will try to conceal it's whereabouts. In case of war, shooting down a satellite you know where is is also a hell of alot easier than if you didn't know.

    If you still think the US are evil here, think about how successfull a real, human spy would be if he walked around with a big sign saying "I'm a spy!" That wouldn't work very well, now would it? In fact, it would simply be silly, not to say stupid, right? It's the same thing with satellites (of course not completely, but the analogy is sound).

    If anyone is worried about bias, I'm Danish, not American.