Intel Promises A Cool Billion (Transistors)
NevDull writes: "CNN is reporting that Intel has announced new semiconductor packaging which will lead to CPUs with a billion transistors running at 20GHz within 6 years. Yummy!" The advance here is removing the balls of solder between the chip's packaging and the microprocessor core, which leaves room for more transistors (or a thinner package). Like it says, though, this is years away from your pocket Cray.
And as usual, Motorola and IBM will develop this technology first and promise chips as fast as 25 GHz. But in reality, the first IBM/Moto chips will come at 12 GHz at about the time that Intel releases their 20 GHz chips.
Apple will introduce the chips in it's new iHyperMac which is the size of a quarter with a holographic display but they will be running downclocked to 10 GHz for marketing reasons.
I hate to complain, here I go anyway. Moores law isn't a law. Its a fabrication. If I say that according to "Bills Law" the number of transistors in a CPU will grow linearly with the gross domestic product of Bulgaria you'd laugh at me. In truth, however, that's *almost* as valid as Moore's law.
Comparing Intels predictions (as wildly optimistic as they are) to Moore's law is therefore about as productive as trying to teach a duck to sing Ave Maria in Latin
Ok, I feel better know. I'm gonna go get a beer