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10 Linux Predictions For 2002
Weedstock writes: "In an article on LinuxWorld, Joe Barr is once again making 10 predictions about the success of Linux for the new year." The first of many sets of predictions for 2002, no doubt. And some guy named "Robin" or "Roblimo" or something like that wrote about Linux in 2003 for Newsforge.
This should be under "It's funny. Laugh", not "Linux Business".
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Both pure Linux and dual-boot Linux/Windows machines from top-tier OEMs will start to appear in the marketplace...
Yeah, right. TheRegister might think Mandrake is easier than Windows XP to install, but actually running even this the most simplified of Linuxes is still beyond the average joe sixpack user. This is the only thing really keeping Linux from desktops at the moment - well, that and hardware/software compatibility - but I don't think it's going away any time soon.
The Microsoft/DOJ "settlement" will be tossed out by the judge as being completely one-sided
If both sides agree on it, why would the judge toss it out? As for the hold-out states, more of them will drop off once the settlement goes through and the ones that remain will be stuck with Microsoft for another year or so, eventually having a very limited impact.
A major three-letter intelligence agency will suffer a public and catastrophic breach of classified data because of exploits in Windows XP and ban its use completely
This is just hilarious. Firstly, I doubt that any "three-letter intelligence agency" (there aren't that many) are running XP at this point, or are planning to start doing so. If they're running Windows at all, they'll be on 2000, which is getting pretty secure now that it's been out for a while.
At least one global megacorp will announce a complete migration away from all Microsoft Windows platforms
This is quite likely, actually; as Linux becomes more usable and more well-known to big businesses looking to save money/improve security, some companies will undoubably decide to move. Others will decide that Linux/Mac/whatever they were on before wasn't right for them, and switch to Linux. Stuff like that happens all the time. I am thinking Joe was running low on ideas at this point
AOL will stun the world by releasing a beta AOL client for Linux
Yeah, sure. And Tux the Penguin will be replaced by Joe the Wannabe Journalist.
(I don't have a sig)
Quality, performance, value; you get only two, and you don't always get to pick.
see sig...apparently most ppl believe it to be so...
QED
BSD is for people who love UNIX. Linux is for those who hate Microsoft.
"Linux and it's open source competitors to Windows only have to be "good enough" and free for them to win."
.10% in two years and .04% in four?
Linux has been "good enough" for years, at least by your standards. How come they haven't won yet?
"Linux desktop is already approaching the 80% mark pretty fast. "
Perhaps if you compare it to Win3.1, but compared to modern environments it's more like 20%.
"I figure linux should reach 10 percent in two years and over 40% in four."
I actually rather suspect Linux desktop use will decline from it's position today. Perhaps you meant
Linux had more of a chance back in '99 compared to NT4 and MacOS8, but the gap(or should I say chasm?) between it and modern systems such as MacOSX or WinXP has been increasing, not decreasing.