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Science a Mystery to U.S. Citizens

maddugan writes "CNN and probably others are posting their synopses of the National Science Foundation's biennial report on the state of science understanding in the US. Sixty percent of those surveyed believe in ESP, psychic power, and alien abduction."

18 of 1,173 comments (clear)

  1. Not so. by Apuleius · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Religion cannot be tested by science. After that little dustup with Copernicus, most religions are carefully designed to be untestable. ESP, psychic powers, and the such (i.e. superstition), CAN be tested by science, and routinely are tested and disproven by scienc. That people believe in them is a matter of grave concern.

    1. Re:Not so. by Beckman · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Perhaps the issue isn't about the science, rather the general trust in scientists.

      At one point in history a scientist was a respected professional. Now that the public has seen that scientists can be bought to testify to almost anything (smoking does not cause cancer) the trust has been broken.

      When people talk of professional ethics its not just to maintain the good of those in the field, but also to maintain a status in the general public.

  2. Re:So what? by dublisk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A couple solid pieces of evidence is infinitely more reliable and useful than thousands of unreliable anecdotes. Having "so freaking much" of evidence if the evidence is crap. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. On the other hand, _every time_ any one of these claims is tested in a controlled, scientific matter, they _never_ work. I'd say that's enough to reject these claims outright.

  3. Surprised? by BlackGriffen · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For the vast majority of people, science is just another religion: taken on faith or rejected as heresy. It's sad, but true. The reason a lot of people probably get disillusioned with science is because science doesn't have all the answers, and isn't always right, and it makes no bones about it (at least the good scientists don't, anyway). I find that one quote I love is the one from a movie called Dangerous Beauty, "The people want answers. They don't care if they're wrong answers, they want them just the same." When someone comes across something not currently explained by science, and science cannot explain it immediately, they automatically assign a supernatural explanation to it.

    Are people just so arrogant as to not be able to admit, or perhaps even afraid to admit, that there are just some things that have not been explained yet? Things that are just beyond our current grasp, but not necessarily beyond our potential grasp?

    *sigh*

    BlackGriffen

  4. CNN survey by rant-mode-on · · Score: 5, Insightful
    On that CNN page, there's a survey asking what you think your knowledge of science is. As of 9.30pm EST, 76% rated themseleves as either very good or excellent.

    Either:

    • a) Web surveys are seriously flawed

    • b) Americans think they know everything
      c) All of the above
    1. Re:CNN survey by King+Babar · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Take a look at Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments for an interesting look at why results like that are to be expected.

      Ah, thanks for beating me to this recommendation. :-) A cute point about this particular paper is that it actually won an Ig Nobel Prize a few years back. Now, it sure ain't a flawless piece of work, but it is a result that you ignore at your peril. For those who won't bother to click through or read the linked paper, the punch line is exactly what the title says: not only do *most* people from a given population think they're at about the 60th percentile in ability for X, for almost values of X, but they do not correct their inflated self-assessments even when confronted with data that should clue them in. So, you might think that somebody who was in the bottom 10% but who thought they were better than the average student at, say, "proper" English grammar could recognize that this might not be true if you confronted him or her with their own written work and a representative sample of student work. But they don't; if anything, they now think they are even better than they did before.

      Now, I suppose the Ig Nobel was awarded to them because in some sense this is a "duh" result. But the real point is that it really does completely crush what might seem to be an obvious and humane teaching strategy: provide students with models of superior work and have them strive to meet that ideal. I hope some of you just had your blood run cold when you just realized why this won't work.

      Now it gets even better once you realize that this same effect can help explain why education about science and technology is especially hard to design. A big strong argument in favor of Real Science in comparison with PseudoScience is that the Real kind eventually leads to very tangible yet nearly miraculous things. So Real Science gives rise to miraculous stuff like rewritable CD players and genetic engineering, while astrology and ESP only seem to lead to bad TV specials. Now, you think that this difference would be clear, and that you would listen to the people who brought you the Magical Machines when they point out that astrology is complete crap. But they don't.

      Be afraid. Be very afraid.

      --

      Babar

  5. Re:Scary by Tackhead · · Score: 5, Insightful
    > Only 50% of people surveyed knew that the Earth revolves around the Sun once a year. I am absolutley gob smacked. Is this really a cross section of American society!?

    Yes.

    Good thing they can vote and write letters to their congressmen, though. Otherwise our politicians might do something stupid, like ban new areas of medical research or make it hard to approve new reactor designs because "nukular" power is "like, totally scary and dangerous", especially when compared to buying oil from nations whose populations only want to kill us.

    I'd go off here on a tangent about how we should have a Constitutional amendment requiring prospective voters to demonstrate at least third-grade science and literacy skills before you get to vote, and maybe, I dunno, maybe an eighth-grade science education before you can run for elected office.

    But since that would require a vote... and since more than 50% of the people aren't even up to Copernicus and Galileo yet, oh, never mind...

    The more I think of it, a "democracy" in which 50% of potential voters are unaware that the Earth revolves around the Sun, but they choose the leaders who control what research can and cannot be done... well, it just doesn't sound like that great a deal. (Neither does a "democracy" where 50% of the population pays 4% of the taxes and votes for the leaders who charge the other 50% of the population the other 96% of the taxes, for that matter.)

    Bottom line, I think it's over for us. We jumped the shark in 1969 with the moon landings, and it's all been downhill from here. Maybe it's time we realized that for the US, democracy has finally become a bug, not a feature. A hobble against our progress, rather than our guarantor of freedom. (And a pretty lousy guarantor at that, if the Slashdot crowd's rantings about recent antiterrorism legislation is to be believed.)

    Furthermore, the current US practice of importing skilled workers because the majority of its own citizens are, to put it gently, a bunch of drooling fucknozzles, is clearly only a stopgap measure. Maybe it'll keep the patient alive for another decade or two, but it's not going to solve the underlying problem.

    Are there any Asia-Pacific nations that need high-tech folks with English skills, and have sane immigration policies that will give Westerners with the requisite skills and/or clue a shot at doing something useful with our lives? Democracy is not a requirement. Just give me a functioning capitalist economy (sorry, Japan, not until you get your banking system in order) and a high level (hell, even a basic level) of literacy.

    Someone's scientists are gonna start the nanotech industrial revelotion, or get heavy into bioengineering, or lob some stuff up there and make a self-sustaining lunar colony, or something even cooler that none of us have imagined yet, and I don't want to miss out on either the excitement or the financial rewards.

  6. wrong by garyrich · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Why? Galileo claimed the Earth revolves around the Sun, which at the time was quite controversial and extraordinary. However, simply observing the planetary motions proved him right. Nothing extraordinary there"

    It was indeed extraordinary. Observing the motions of the "wandering lights" with Galileo's "magic glass" was very extraordinary. Actually seeing the moons of jupiter revolve about the planet was a world shaking event for those that saw it and understood the Ptolemeic worldview that was official church dogma. It just *couldn't* be so. but you lool in the glass, and it *is* so.

    Extraordinary.

    --
    -- your Web browser is Ronald Reagan
  7. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  8. that is a sign of bad education by Edmund+Blackadder · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The US really has to improve their school education.

    We have probably the best university education in the world, and one of the worst public education systems in the industrialized world.

    It is a side of the great inequality ruling american society - just as we have a huge disparity between rich and poor, we have a great disparity between people with good and bad education.

    I dont know if people realize how problematic this is. Having large numbers of badly educated people is just asking for civil unrest. And we can really do better in the richest and most powerful nation on earth.

    Of course there are communities in the states that will strongly resist education. But that pressure will be getting very weak because the internet erode the power of local authority centers.

  9. Re:This is obvious... by PatientZero · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I agree completely until your last sentence. I believe that it's our nature to be curious and ask questions. Watch any infant or toddler. They inspect everything and constantly ask, "Why? Why?"

    Unfortunately, our society works to stifle that creativity and questioning. At home you are told to obey your parents simply "because." In school you are taught to trust everything the teacher says as correct. By the time you get to your teens, you've been pressed into a nice little mold of conformity so as not to rock any boats.

    Our society must change, but of course it's cyclical. Who if not these same conformists are going to change society?

    This is why I am against universal standards. If you allow each school to try new techniques and teaching methods, you may run the risk of some children not being taught the "important" subjects. But of course that happens now anyway. More importantly, you enable the possibility that some students will escape the molding process, and everyone will learn from those schools.

    Just as nature produces a variety of species to guard against the complete extinction of life, so too must we as humans explore multiple avenues of growth if we expect to remain strong.

    --
    Freedom to fear. Freedom from thought. Freedom to kill.
    I guess the War on Terror really is about freedom!
  10. I'm not sure the questions were meaningful by John+Miles · · Score: 5, Insightful

    For instance, there are plenty of scientists who claim to be Christians (as opposed to Christian Scientists). Should those scientists be stripped of their professional accreditation because they believe in the eventual return to Earth of a 2,000-year-old dead Jewish guy?

    If you think so, then be prepared to lose the benefits to society of a number of otherwise-intelligent, thoughtful people.

    If you don't think so -- if you believe that one's religion should not disqualify one from being considered a "scientist" -- then what's the difference between a scientist who is a Christian and one who believes in other unprovable, irrational propositions such as clairvoyance or astrology?

    A great many people, including some of history's most successful scientists, have their pet irrational beliefs. It probably doesn't make sense to use someone's New Age-y beliefs as the chief yardstick of their scientific literacy.

    --
    Dahlmann tightly grips the knife, which he may have no idea how to use, and steps out into the plain.
  11. Re:Public Crap Versus Scientific Crap by Viking+Coder · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Ah, the theory of Proof by Instant Gratification: "If I don't immediately understand it, it must be false."

    Some knowledge takes a lot of work to understand. If that were not true, then the Greeks would have killed themselves off with laser-guided nuclear warheads dropped from a solar-powered orbiting platform built from superconducting nano-tubes.

    --
    Education is the silver bullet.
  12. Re:Public Crap Versus Scientific Crap by wurp · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Wow, please tell me that's a troll. Please.

    Explain quicksort without math. Explain the behavior of gyroscopes. Explain TV.

    Wow, man, if you happen to be math challenged, that's OK. But when virtually all of our modern advances require math to explain, your lack of understanding of it doesn't mean that it doesn't work.

    And I agree with the other reply... the distinction between science and esp is that I can write down what I observed, explain it with math, and send it to someone across the world who can duplicate my experiments, and get the same answers from that math. If you could do that with ESP, we would use it instead of telecommunications satellites. Oh yeah, explain orbits without math. Details matter.

  13. Re:So what? by Shelled · · Score: 5, Insightful
    However, simply observing the planetary motions proved him right. Nothing extraordinary there.

    It's been a long time since I read deeply on the matter, but I believe this is incorrect. The accepted theory in Galileo's time - spheres within spheres with Earth at the centre - predicted positions of the planets visible to the naked eye quite well. However as the data improved the old model required more and more additions to explain small perturbations. Galileo did provide evidence extraordinary for his time, observations via the telescope.

    Wow, you've researched every claim and every test of those claims?

    Meaningless. I can lift the pen on my desk up six inches and release it, it will fall back to the desk. If I do this the rest of my waking hours until I die without it ever once falling up, it doesn't prove that when whoever pries it from my cold hands releases the pen it won't fall up, but at some point you have to move on.

  14. Re:90 percent also believe... by hendridm · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > If you don't like the idea of the non-provable parts of religion, at least accept the rules. Catholicism teaches you to be happy in what you do and do what makes others happy.

    I think most of us can accomplish these tasks without 1) going to church and 2) paying the church. If you remove the supernatural crap, all you have is morals and a positive attitude. I don't need some priest telling me that I sin all the time. I get enough of that at work.

    Note: I was raised a Catholic and now consider myself an atheist.

  15. Re:In the end, what does this mean? by gwernol · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Science, logic, empiricism, and the like are very good at explaining stuff. In fact, you can explain a whole lot of things with these. But you cannot explain everything with them; there are holes. And there are holes in every school of thought out there; the universe is just plain not simple enough to allow for a single set of principles to explain all things. So to fill in those gaps, something else is needed. And whatever this "something else" is, it has its own holes, ones filled in by science. They complement each other, rather than conflict.

    I'm sorry but that argument doesn't stand up to a moment's examination. First just because our current set of scientific theories don't explain everything says nothing about science's ability to explain everything, which seems to be your argument. Just because I don't know something today doesn't mean I can't learn something new tomorrow. Second, I don't see and you give no evidence at all to back up, the claim that the current holes in scientific theory are complemented by any alternative "theory" (presumably some form of religion). There are plenty of phenomena that are explained by neither science nor any alternative theory. Believing in lots of contradictory systems does not get you any closer to a "complete" understanding of the universe than believing in any one of them.

    In the end, though, it all goes back to Goedel's theorem that no system of methematics can be both consistent and complete at the same time. It's true for schools of thought as well; if you want to be truly consistent in your beliefs, then it is impossible to stick with only one.

    I'm sorry but you are just plain wrong about this. Godel's theorem is about mathematics and mathematics alone. It cannot be applied to other fields of knowledge such as general philosophy. If your argument is based on the belief that Godel's theorem is applicable outside mathematics then you need to go back and try to understand Godel's theorem again. For example, Boyer states that: "Gödel showed that within a rigidly logical system such as Russell and Whitehead had developed for arithmetic, propositions can be formulated that are undecidable or undemonstrable within the axioms of the system." Clearly many philosophies are not "rigidly logical systems..." and so Godel's theorem does not apply to them.

    if you want to be truly consistent in your beliefs, then it is impossible to stick with only one.

    This is so preposterously not what Godel's theorem states that I am beginning to suspect you are a troll. Please go back to a good account of Godel's work and take another run at it.

    --
    Sailing over the event horizon
  16. Hypothetical Situation by Lendrick · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Let's say you're a scientist. You can five of your prestigious scientist buddies go out on a camping trip and witness a strange flying object doing crazy aerobatics that defy the laws of physics. Who exactly do you tell?

    The trouble with all this stuff is that somewhat fringe ideas that might be worthy of further study (what if there are really alien visitors?) are lumped together with complete idiocy.

    I've got a strong engineering background, and enough college physics to understand the basics of relativity, but I question some beliefs of the scientific establishment. The sad fact is that there are likely a lot of scientists who really would like to take a serious, open-minded look at the UFO phenomenon, but the only way to examine it and keep the respect of one's peers is the weather-balloons-full-of-swamp-gas approach.

    At the moment, modern science isn't capable of giving serious attention to things like the possibility of extraterrestrial visitors. Why should it be trusted to be the final word?