Why The X-Box Network Will Fail
angkor wrote to us an article from The Register that looks at what Microsoft is planning for the X-Box Network. The factual information is educating on it's own - and the analysis of why they think it will fail is interesting as well.
The article does have some very good points, but underestimates the power of the MS marketing department.
The article could probably be right, but still. There is already 10.000.000 sets out there and that is likely to increase. MS will give away that Xbox-live pack with every new console, just to get the initial crowd in place.
MS might forget a couple of things though. Like mentioned in the article, they're going for the wrong crowd (parents iso teens). But the article forgets that Xbox-live will probably be the biggest/best online gaming option for the Xbox, which will have 10 million+ sets out there.
One thing I am missing in the article is : what about the bandwidth on the users side ? I'm sure MS can buy the biggest datacenters in the world, and implement all the cool features mentioned. But if the users don't have enough bandwidth to make use of it... then the disney experience will be a burst bubble. People get annoyed easily.
And they don't control that (yet).