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HDTV and Its Impending Problems?

NeuroManson asks: "With the growing hype surrounding HDTV and copy protection, and as further corporate control of the FCC becomes more commonplace with the inevitable arrival of the technology thanks to Hollywood, you will have no choice in the future of watching anything else, since your TV, VCR, etc, will be forced into obsolescence. There are two things that this brings to mind that should be addressed: who will be paying for the retrofit to the thousands of CRT and TV manufacturing plants around the world to make this possible; and assuming that this is going to be a US only problem in the short term (approx 3 years), how do they propose to safely dispose of all those outmoded TVs?" About the only way that this can happen by the recently proposed deadline of July 1st, 2007, without trashing and replacing the majority of our current televisions, American television owners would have to have their TVs "serviced" by a qualified technician to continue to receive broadcast signals. Having a secondary tuner would not work as that would break the "trusted" display chain that Hollywood is seeking to establish.

"Assuming there are approximately 300 million Americans, with 2/3 having upwards of 2 TV sets, that amounts to close to 500 million or more perfectly functional TVs that will wind up in landfills or third world 'recycling' countries like China. These are not exact figures, but you get the idea. As this grinds on, it looks like economic and ecological impacts are the predominate risks involved, as well as not being able to record the latest Star Trek because they put a copy-block flag into the digital broadcast. This is something that I think everyone, from the geek on the web to the little old lady across the street, through the average soccer mom should be concerned about. Any suggestions as to how such could be made publically known, organized against, and promoted, in such a way that the public would know it as a threat, not only to their way of life, but also to their pocketbook and health?"

24 of 386 comments (clear)

  1. Simply put by cscx · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It just won't happen. This is an FCC/Hollywood pipe dream. If it does actually happen this way, there will be revolution, trust me. There are people who can barely afford TV sets today, let alone taking that privlege away from them by forcing digital down their throats.

  2. It's not all bad... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    While forced technological innovation may be a bad thing, remember that the main reason this is being pushed through is because the FCC really needs the additional frequencies. This is your future Gigabit wireless that they're trying to lay the foundations for.

    Mike

    1. Re:It's not all bad... by Amiga+Trombone · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While forced technological innovation may be a bad thing, remember that the main reason this is being pushed through is because the FCC really needs the additional frequencies. This is your future Gigabit wireless that they're trying to lay the foundations for.

      OK, but consider this - suppose in the early days of VCR technology, congress had mandated the use of Beta as the standard format for video reproduction? That would have precluded entry of VHS, laser-disk and DVD into the market.

      The problem with government mandated technological innovations is that they tend to stifle any further innovation. Why would anyone bother to spend the time and money developing what might be superior technology? You can't compete with a standard required by law.

  3. problems by chainrust · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Although broadcasters will be broadcasting HDTV by 2006, there is a catch. HDTV can be broken up in to several different, lower quality channels. Its much cheaper for networks to do it this way, so what do you think will happen? The other big problem is that by 2006, the majority of us will still have plain old nonHD-TVs. What incentive will there be for the networks to provide a high-quality signal? I don't think its realistic to expect networks to broadcast high-quality TV for free when they can split the signal and make more money, especially when the consumer demand is not there. The only hope is to have pay channels like HBO - I think thats the only real HDTV you will see.

    1. Re:problems by ealar+dlanvuli · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is the one thing I always try and impress upon people.

      The snow effects you currently see on a big screen tv when watching 80$/month cable will turn into large blocks or black rectangles. The world isn't going to magically quadrouple thier bandwidth overnight, and most stations don't broadcast anything near a proper signal as it is.

      Currently a television signal could be "crisp and clear", for example several of the "remember 9/11" shows had proper recording. In all cases I thought I was watching mid-res HDTV but in reality I was watching plain old TV. People don't care enough to require this (nor do they feel they have the ability to modify the market), and I strongly doubt they will in the future either.

      --
      I live in a giant bucket.
    2. Re:problems by powerlord · · Score: 4, Interesting

      This is the one thing I always try and impress upon people.

      The snow effects you currently see on a big screen tv when watching 80$/month cable will turn into large blocks or black rectangles. The world isn't going to magically quadrouple thier bandwidth overnight, and most stations don't broadcast anything near a proper signal as it is.


      Absolutely true. I've got basic cable, my in-laws have digital cable.

      Every now and then I get some static on my reception... no big deal really. Sure, it degrades the quality of the picture, but the mind works great and can pick up on enough thats going on, that it has never turned out to be an issue.

      I was over at my in-laws. They started getting static. First it started with some mild pixelation on screen, followed by the sound getting spotty (like a bad cell phone conversation), and then they kept having the screen freeze and strobe slightly (kept getting packets of data but not enough to redraw the screen).

      Yes, this is just "traditional TV" broadcast in a Digital format but the idea is the same. Signal Quality is important. Without good signal quality, I'll take analog over digital ANY day of the week.

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
  4. What about existing HDTV sets? by tweakt · · Score: 5, Interesting
    You are forgetting about the growing percentage of HDTV compatible TV sets already out there. The majority of these sets have analog inputs. Yep. High-Res, but its still analog. Basically its a large VGA monitor (only limited to 60hz vert refresh and ~80khz horiz.)

    Will these become "obsoleted" as well? No. The copyright protection systems discussed so far involve also the recording of analog signals. This is about the same as macrovision did for DVD players. This is already happening with DVHS.

    The truth is, probably ~80% of the HDTVs sold (all the reasonably priced ones) do not contain an HDTV tuner, they have analog inputs which are capable of 1080i, 720p, etc, resolutions. These _cant_ be simply ignored since it took so long to get capable equipment into the hands of consumers, the industry isn't just going to say tell everyone to buy another set.

    I imagine these will be grandfathered. New sets will contain digital connections (like DVI for example) and some kind of end-to-end protection, but this, as we all know is futile anyhow.

    For the time being, there are VERY few practical ways for Joe Consumer to record a high-def broadcast and replay it, or even send it to someone else. DVHS is the only customer usuable solution right now. Which as we read about earlier has already been taken care of.

    1. Re:What about existing HDTV sets? by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 5, Interesting


      Interesting.

      The computer industry has a scam that they use with unsuspecting executives. It is the "security" scam. The industry ran this scam against the DVD consortium. In actuality, there was no security, but the computer industry managed to convince the DVD group that there was. The deception was, and is, immensely profitable for some hardware manufacturers. But, of course, a 16-year-old released a method of breaking the encryption (with help from more knowledgeable people.)

      More recently, Microsoft tried to run the security scam against the entire world. The Passport scheme was working well in the sense that only a small percentage of people realized that it was a scam. But the U. S. government's Federal Trade Commission (FTC) told Microsoft to stop in its August 8, 2002 order: Microsoft Settles FTC Charges Alleging False Security and Privacy Promises

      Microsoft has run the security scam against its corporate customers. In actuality, the (local) security of Windows 2000 and Windows XP is very limited; if corporate customers realized this, they might not invest in these operating systems. See the section "Windows XP provides no local security" in the article Windows XP Shows the Direction Microsoft is Going.

      You and others in your comments are questioning the HDTV security scam. You are saying, "Hey, wait a minute. Isn't this, and this, and this wrong with the scheme?"

      Now Microsoft and Intel and AMD are running the scam with a thing called Palladium. With Microsoft's Palladium, we will, supposedly, have security in an inherently insecure operating system. Palladium's security certificate system is like putting all the world's money in one bank. If someone, a disloyal employee perhaps, breaks into that bank, the entire security is lost, and everyone who spent millions trusting that system will both lose, and have to continue with the system, just like with DVD's.

      Palladium prevents security vulnerability the way the U.S. government's "War on Drugs" prevents illegal drug use. In actuality, the real purpose of the "War on Drugs" is to prevent competition by small illegal drug manufacturers, which would lower the price. The big manufacturers are selling more drugs now than before the "War on Drugs", and at artificially high prices.

  5. I challenge... by billbaggins · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I challenge the statement that an external tuner won't work. One thing that Congress has actually been pretty decent about is that it still has to be possible to time-shift programming. (See the SSSCA and CBBTPA for details.) So somewhere in this mess it's still gonna have to be possible to hook up a recording device. Unless Congress mandates that all TVs come with recording equipment internalized as well, that "trusted display chain" is nothing but a pipedream, and deep down even Eisner realizes it.

    What's more, they probably want to make it possible to use existing VHS recorders, because otherwise people will go out & get TiVos and DVD recorders and other things that will make it very easy to exchange Content with all their eyepatch-wearing friends. If the VCR works, the TV will too. I wouldn't worry about throwing out that tube just yet...

    --
    "The best argument against democracy is a five minute chat with the average voter."
    --Winston Churchill
  6. Re:Just dont buy one.. by Greyfox · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Huh. I doubt I'd be able to cook nearly as well as I can now had it nood been for Alton Brown and Emeril Lagasse. Yes, there is a lot of television not worth watching but that's pretty much true of any media.

    Still, I tend to envision television's ultimate form as every show ever made in every language. To steal a quote from a Qwest commercial. At any point I should be able to choose to watch any show no matter how obscure. Hollywood opposes that unless they can get their cut. Hollywood's idea of the ultimate form of television is that every viewier pays for every bit of content they watch. And they'll happily charge you for the privilidge of watching commercials if they can get away with it (Case in point, been to a Movie theater lately?)

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  7. This is absolutely ridiculous... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ... for Slashdot to have such an anit-technology standpoint. Every HDTV article I've seen on Slashdot in the last two years has been totally against it. Wild claims by ill-informed posters decry the supposed "lack of difference" in picture quality or fears that their TV's will be remoted controlled by Hollywood.

    I've owned an HDTV for over two years now. A big one! Widescreen, rear projection. I watched a boatload of DVD's on it via a progressive scan player. 480p looked pretty damn good! Leaps and bounds above interlaced NTSC video from a VCR. Nobody will deny this, of course.

    Three weeks ago, the first local station went up with the DTV (digital TV) broadcasting. Last week I purchased a DTV set-top-box and a very small UHF antenna which I hid behind the TV. I turn it on and get to watch real, true high-definition content received directly from the air! No cable, no satellite. Even watching non-HD content that is upconverted directly from the network -- it blows DVD away!

    Anybody who says they can't see a difference is either not watching HDTV or a blind luddite!

    1. Re:This is absolutely ridiculous... by WCMI92 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      ".. for Slashdot to have such an anit-technology standpoint. Every HDTV article I've seen on Slashdot in the last two years has been totally against it."
      "I've owned an HDTV for over two years now. A big one! Widescreen, rear projection."
      Three weeks ago, the first local station went up with the DTV (digital TV) broadcasting."

      Yeah, HTDV IN THEROY can provide incredible pictures. But reality is that it will be YEARS, if not DECADES after the deadline, if ever, before the majority of signals are more than standard TV is now.

      It's like saying that Slashdot is anti technology because it's ANTI MICROSOFT! DTV is much like Microsoft: They promise you the moon (HDTV), but charge you a premium and still deliver the same old crap (SDTV), but the only new "feature" is intrusiveness, loss of privacy, and "fair use" (DRM).

      --
      Corporatism != Free Market
  8. Re:Just dont buy one.. by DoorFrame · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Who is it that always mods these posts up. Every time there's a story about television, someone chimes in early with a "I haven't watched TV for ten years and I'm better for it. Throw your TV away!" post. I'm vasilating between whether I think these posting are trolls, just idiots, but that's not relevant.

    What is relevant, is the fact that someone, each and every time, decides that these posts are worth modding up.

    They're not.

    They're not interesting. They're not insightful. They're not funny. They're either off-topic or they're troll. Please start modding them down, or at least not modding them up.

  9. Don't confuse DTV with HDTV by wfmcwalter · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The deadline of which the yahoo! article speaks is for DTV - where the over-the-air/cable signal is digital. There is no requirement for the resolution to be any greater than currently available for NTSC.

    Digital TV has been creeping in for years, all without anyone buying a new TV. In the UK we had BSB digital a decade ago, and BskyB is digital now, and I believe Dish network in the US is also digital. Most europeans have access to over-the-air digital with DVB boxes, and in the US one can get AT&T digital over cable. [Some of these (dish, BskyB at least) transmit one or two HDTV channels, but these mostly seem to be used in TV stores to try to sell the occasional HDTV set.] All of this is done with external translator boxes in the comsumers home - almost no-one has either a DTV, never mind an HDTV.

    My local COMET store is selling funny little DVB translator boxes for around 60 quid, so all this stuff about digital TV adding hundreds to the cost of TVs is horseshit. I'd bet that once every TV can do DVB, they'll be _cheaper_ than regular TVs.

    Now, there's other reasons to worry about DTV, not least the greatly increased control this gives the content/distribution folks, but "I need to buy three new TVs" isn't one of them.

    --
    ## W.Finlay McWalter ## http://www.mcwalter.org ##
  10. It's not that extreme. by rob_from_ca · · Score: 5, Informative

    It was tough to find the questions buried in that long commentary, but here are the answers:

    1. Who pays for the factory retrofits?

    It's not like we're talking about a completely new way of generating images that makes all old factories completely obsolete. Most of the parts stay the same, there are a few new ones, and some need to be built with better specs. The manufacturers are constantly upgrading their facilities, because it enables them to sell more TV's cheaper. So they'll pay, and if it does cost a lot, they'll pass some of it on to the consumer, just like they always do, but I'd be suprised if there's a huge jump in priace in 5 years. HDTV Tuners started out at $1000 and have dropped to $500 in about two years, and they're still not really being manufacturered in quantities yet. Plus, tuners to upgrade old sets don't need to be high-res, which makes them much, much less expensive.

    2. Where do all the old TV sets go?

    Where do they go now? Into landfills. That problem has got nothing to do with HDTV. There will be an easy, cheap, external box to buy that will make your TV continue working. Hollywood doesn't care about low-res, NTSC analog outputs, only the higher-resolution ones, so they don't need a "trusted chain".

    There are things to be worried about for when it comes to freedom of digital media going forward, but this isn't one of them.

  11. Re:It's not nearly as bad as it sounds by Gerry+Gleason · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The conversion to new technology isn't as fast as you think. I'm still using two 20 year old TVs (a 25" Zenith and a 13" Hitachi with a completely manual tuner). Admittedly, part of why I'm still using these is 1) I don't care that much about getting anything bigger or more modern and 2) there isn't much of a technology roadmap. I suppose that when I can get a decent sized HDTV compatible in the $500-1000 range, I could be convinced to upgrade.

    As long as the technology is unsettled, at least some people will be reluctant to do anything as long as they have something that works. There will also be a lot of people who just can't afford to upgrade. Advertising driven TV is dependant on a mass audience and the lowest common denominator will dominate it for a long time, no matter what the people pushing the new stuff thing. These are powerful interests.

  12. Some facts by AstroMage · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Reading the posts so far, it seems that very few people understand the issues involved. An exception is a reply titled "Don't confuse DTV with HDTV", look it up above. Here are some more facts to set matters straight:
    1. The FCC says that analog transmissions will shut down on 2007 only if 85 percent of the population will have DTV receivers.
    2. Rather than replacing your TV set, you can use a Set Top Box that receives digital transmissions and converts them to either NTSC or AV signals.
    3. You could use a DVD to do the same job.

    In addition, I believe that by 2007 DTV prices will drastically go down- even today, you can get a large DTV screen for $1600.
    So don't panic, things are not as bad as you think ;)

    To read more, check out: http://www.oren.com/knowledge.html

    Hope this helps :-)
    Astromage

  13. Re:Just dont buy one.. by WCMI92 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Should be obvious to most that television dwindles intellect. My solution is to just not buy one. Dont really need it.

    Got the net for news and I can watch dvds on my computer."

    They aren't selling. That is why they already pushed the deadline back once. There is really no reason TO buy a DTV right now, as VERY few stations and cable systems even broadcast in it.

    Why should someone pay $1200 instead of $300 for a TV when there is no benefit?

    And even if there WERE more DTV stations broadcasting, is it really a benefit, when freedoms we have had in the analog world are forefit just for the priviledge of a (possibly) more "ShinyThing"?

    Remember that while the FCC has mandated DTV, they did NOT mandate any standard for what a DTV signal is!

    This means that a TV station has the option of broadcasting in anything from HDTV quality, down to MULTIPLE heavily digitally compressed SDTV signals!

    There is no assurance that EVERY or even MOST programs or stations you receive will be any better in quality than what we get today on NTSC analog!

    --
    Corporatism != Free Market
  14. Public television? by handsomepete · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I was just talking to someone here at work who is somewhat acquainted with a few of the local TV stations. He said that, on average, it will cost approx. $1.7 million to outfit a television station with the necessary technology to prepare for all this nonsense. That may not be a massive amount to a big city CBS affiliate, but what about public broadcast stations? Won't they also have to participate in this?

    I'll certainly bitch and moan if I have to outfit my TV with some new-fangled doo-hickey to watch anything, but I'll bitch and moan even more if I lose the small local/publically funded stations here. That's a lot of call in donations for a station already on a tight budget. Is there some sort of government money available for what they're forcing on everyone?

    (please note, this is just a figure that some guy gave me. I'm not claiming it to be absolute, just what I heard.)

  15. Re:Just dont buy one.. by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Funny

    You sound a little edgy. Maybe you're not getting enough sleep because you stay up too late watching TV. If so, you might think about getting rid of your TV. You'll be better for it.

  16. Incorrect by alexhmit01 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Most people with HDTV sets don't have HDTV, they just get better DVD quality. A lot of people get Digital Cable (heavily compressed NTSC/480i signal) and are convinced that their expensive set is important.

    I have an apartment, and I got an attic antenna giving me the local OTA signals. Combine that with DirecTV (HDNet, ShoHD, HBO-HD), and you get 8-9 HDTV signals. It's fun, it looks great, but it ain't easy.

    Broadcast HDTV is going strong, slowly. All the HDTV STBes for satellites include an antenna input. Samsung has a line of OTA-only STBes.

    Living in a city (I live in Boston), you start to think that everyone lives in apartments. However, more middle-class individuals live in houses in the suburbs. Home ownership remains high. Houses can put roof-top antennas up, etc.

    HDTV is coming along, its coming along slowly, but its coming along. Personally, I would expect HDTV to die a few years after the DTV switchover. I would expect the local affiliates to show 6 480i signals in the HDTV over-the-air. This doesn't bother me though, if you can get 40 channels over-the-air with a $150-$200 STB, that will put a lot of preasure on cable/DSS.

  17. Re:Just dont buy one.. by lightcycler · · Score: 4, Informative

    In the UK, Digital Televisions are not available in sizes less than 28", and at approximately double the price of the equivalent analog TV. They offer no additional features, since they use the same signal. Even when digital signals are available, they will offer only double the picture quality (oh wow, an EGA mode), preferring to spend their bandwidth on american-style hundreds of channels of crap, rather than improving quality in the 2-3 channels that people might watch.

    Right now, only the most "have-to-have-latest" type of people are even considering DTV, and even they have to admit it's not any better than standard. If DTV is to become popular, broadcasters will need to wait until enough people have the receiving kit (i.e. until enough people decide to pay double-price for a standard household item) before they can switch-off analog signals and force the rest to sign-up or sit out.

    Doesn't seem likely in the medium term. Hell, most people don't even see the advantage in DVDs, and digital television has far fewer distinguishing features.

    Needless to say, when DTV is in the process of becoming popular, it won't help when the early-adopters report that their video-recorders don't work, or that they can't change channel during adverts. If so much of a hint of hollywood-style customer-screwing gets talked about, the whole project could be delayed by years. This could be an advantage... it could even be specially arranged....

  18. FUD! by gerardrj · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Several points:
    • The deadline is ONLY for over the air broadcasters using the 2-63 channels on the standard dial.
    • The deadline only mandates the inclusion of digital tuners, not HDTV or any other resolution or format change.
    • There will likely be no end to analog broadcasts on the deadline date, but years afterward. At least not until there is evidence that a significant majority of people have new sets or converters.
    • Even when digital is broadcast exclusively, all you'll need is a set-top converter to view these broadcasts on a standard(today) analog TV. (these should be cheap, I but I think they should be free)
    • If you subscribe to cable TV, your current analog cable stations can stay analog.
    • Another FCC mandate requires all digital simulast of analog content by April 2004. That's not going to happen.

      • The whole thing here is that the FCC wants this conversion to take place as soon as possible so they can re-parcel the old televisions spectrum and sell it at auction for bug $$$. TV stations pay nothing for the airwaves under the "public good" clause.

        All those analog TVs will still be useful. Just as B&W monural TVs can still be used today in the age of color image and stereo sound. Please don't use such alarmist tones unless you really understand the issues at hand.
    --
    Article X: The powers not delegated... by the Constitution...are reserved...to the people
  19. Re:It's not nearly as bad as it sounds by dpbsmith · · Score: 4, Funny

    What will you do with your 20 year old TV's when they stop broadcasting analog signals on VHF and UHF, which if I'm not mistaken, is the plan?

    The reason you (and I) have been able to enjoy the low costs that come with durable equipment is that the transmission standards haven't changed in fifty years.

    Now, suddenly, there are as many new transmission standards are there are kinds of recordable DVD. Can you even keep track of them all? I can't.

    In the United States, it doesn't seem to be possible to buy such a simple thing as a cell phone that will work anywhere. Shortly, it probably won't be possible to buy a simple TV that will pick up every local broadcast.

    You'll have to have a stack of three or four converter boxes... which upgrade their firmware automatically every few months and will then mysteriously stop working, and you'll have to wait two hours on hold listening to irritating music interrupted every minute by a recorded voice apologizing for the delay...