Open Letter to FCC Chairman Powell
Adina Levin writes "An open letter to FCC chairman Michael Powell signed by internet and tech industry pioneers explains why the government shouldn't prop up the ailing telecom behemoths. Telecom companies bought expensive network technology with long bonds. That technology has been made obsolete by gear getting faster and cheaper all the time by Moore's law and Metcalfe's law. The telecom companies are asking for the equivalent of a bailout for their investments in sailing ships after the advent of steam. The way to speed the deployment of broadband to homes isn't to prop up businesses based on old technology, but to let uncompetitive businesses 'fail fast', and let new competitors play."
Doesn't their existing infrastructure, and social dependency on that infrastructure, give them a somewhat legitimate need for a bailout? If other, smaller, more efficient companies can replace everything the telecom behemoths do, then let the big boys suffer, but is that the case? Can smaller tech savvy companies do everything the large telecoms do or are we talking strictly about broadband internet?
sig.
This is where the government bailout would help, by allowing access to areas that would be under-served, and allow time for solutions to that problem.
Jeez, pretty hefty rant this early on a Tuesday. Must be fear of sniper-related traffic in DC.
LETS DECOMPOSE & ENJOY ASSEMBLING
Nahh. Privatize everything. It works.
You are trolling, aren't you. In case you don't know about it, go look up Railtrack - the UK privatised rail company that recently declared bankrupcy, leaving the UK govt with the options of a bailout of closing down the rail network. They chose the bailout. The sucessor company (Network rail) is a not-for-profit co.
My Karma: ran over your Dogma
StrawberryFrog
IANAE, but what happens when major telcos start to go under? As they struggle to maintain profit margins, how despirate will they get? Can replacement technologies and companies absorb the workforce that will be laid off? How often will this type of thing happen? Think about it, the current plain old telephone system is no good unless it is ubiquitous. That's why the telcos are in trouble. They needed to put entire systems in place before they where useful. Fiber is fantastic except when it comes down to two little wires in the last mile. In for a penny, in for a pound. Telecommunications systems need to be complete or not at all. How do we get the technoloy in place before it's obsolete?
It seems to me that the long term goal of replacing outdated infrastructure and ancient business models may be reached sooner by this "fail fast" proposal, but the chaos produced would be devastating to customers. Service outages, price fluctuations, and provider changes could cripple customers large and small. The industry that might come out of such a proposal may be worse off for the experience.
-- Minds are like parachutes... they work best when open.
Government subsidies are bad.
Riiiight. The streets around your house will look awful funny when only 70% of your neighbours pay their road construction bills. 30% of your street will be dirt road, the rest paved?
I suppose education should be completely privatized too. That way, the only chance a child from a lower economic class has to make something of themselves will be torn away because their parents can only afford to choose two of these three alternatives: 1) feed them 2) clothe them 3) educate them.
I suppose, by your logic, that I should have to pay for my own dedicated wiring from my house to the electricity provider of my choice, right? Would we really have, like, 99% of all houses connected to the electical grid (therefore, accelerating the growth of other technologies like electrical appliances) if distribution was privatized? Would there be any incentive to have a step down station in bumsville, nowhere?
Markets work, u know?
Markets work with quite a bit of help. Do you think they'd work if we didn't have laws regulating fraud, disclosure, etc.?
"I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
Seems like a self-serving whine by people with a vested interest in the 'failure' of older technology. No matter how carefully worded, I smell money in someone's pockets.
We need to remember that the internet was designed to be able to communicate with defense authorities during times of national strife, as in nuclear war. It shines because it is nearly impossible to kill all the telco communications capabilities at once. Old, yet trusty technology. Just look what YOU are doing with this technology today!
signed by internet [...] pioneers
Who are they? Is it reasonable to call someone an "Internet pioneer" even if he or she hasn't (co-)authored an RFC carrying a three-digit number?
The recent spate of government bailouts (airline, steel, etc.) reminds me of the S&L scandal in the 80's. I believe Japan had a similar problem as well. Instead of letting some 'creative destruction' take place, as our govt. did, the Japanese bailed the incompetent banks out.
Result: their economy has been stagnant for a decade.
Let's hope the govt. has learned from their mistakes.
If you look at all the telcos of various types, it is the incumbents (RBOCs, Baby Bells, ILECs, PTTs...) who are surviving quite well and even prospering. They didn't get sucked into the IP-based boom/bust as much as others, and more importantly their legacy phone switches make significant money through well-established per-minute billing. Wireless operators who charge per-minute are also doing OK, although 3G will probably kill some of them off.
It's precisely the next-gen telcos (CLECs, ISPs, xSPs) who invested in the new IP technology that ran into the boom/bust and are struggling or going bust. WorldCom is something of a special case - it had a lot of legacy technology that should have tided it over, but the accounting shenanigans were too much to survive.
This doesn't mean that IP-based networks are a passing fad, though - all that's happened is that the pioneers have gone through the normal bleeding-edge live/die cycle. Some of them have made it, some have gone bust, and all the old-line telcos have adopted the same technologies.
I agree that failing telcos should normally not be propped up - as long as someone can step in to maintain services by buying up their assets, particularly local loops that are hard to recreate, the customer shouldn't notice that much interruption. My problem is with the analysis that the legacy technology is why telcos are going bust.
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Phone hacking, the next generation
The problem is that if the telephone system becomes based on the Internet, there will be catastrophic security breaches in our telephone system.This is because every node on the internet can have packets directed at it by any other node. That's the whole point of end-to-end. But that means any joker with a PC can log in to his ISP and start up h4x0r scr1pt5 to start cracking phone switches.
With the current phone system, control signaling is out of band - end users can only control the phones at each end of the connection, and cannot control the functioning of the switches in between. You can command the switches by dialing a number, but you can only route your call this way, not control the basic functioning of the switch.
To a large extent security can be maintained by keeping the telco equipment in securely locked buildings.
But the protocols used for the phone system apparently aren't designed with security in mind, so that when they are adapted to the Internet, they become gaping security holes.
Potentially someone could do some clever work and bring down a whole nation's phone system, if it were on the Internet.
The convergence of the telephone system and the Internet has already been going on for a while. It is quite common for long-distance calls to be routed over the Internet, so you get phone-to-phone VOIP without the user being aware of it.
It is also common for telcos to be ISPs, and they just use the same fiber for voice and data. It's more economical to use the same data formats and protocols for voice as well as data, so they transmit all the voice calls with the Internet Protocol.
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Why are the Bells forced to lease out their DSL connectivity to other companies at below cost? Does this really spur investment? The reason that most people do not have access to DSL is that the Bells will NOT invest until they are allowed to compete against cable companies DIRECTLY
Do cable companies have to let the telcos use their cable at below cost?
What will happen to the parasites (CLECs) when the hosts (Bells) die?
Deregulate the Bells and let true competition take hold. You will not regret it, Mr. Powell
I sincerely hope that you are joking, or playing devil's advocate. The "market economy" is a fiction, created by government contrivance. Do you really believe that it is some sort of objective truth? or that it is the ultimate expression of human desire for advancement?
The market economy has done such an excellent job in protecting the environment and promoting individual liberty. Ironically enough, the "free market" has given us the most blatent interferences in market freedom that we have seen.
This is not to say that the market is undesirable or is not an excellent allocator of (some) resources - just that is it insufficient as a complete societal model.
Telecom companies provide a needed service, a phone is considered a necessary household item, and an Internet connection is becoming that.
Now, in many countries a telco has been forced to provide it's services to all parts of the country, even in sparsely populated areas, to get the telecom license. Now it is possible, with the new technologies, for startup telco replacements to start offering their services in big cities. By offering data connections and VoIP there, they can get all the traditional telco customers to switch to the new services. This may of cource take time, since big companies may have made investments in their own infrastructure and are unwilling to do a forklift upgrade.
But this leads to telecom companies going bankrupt and sparsely populated areas losing all service. A telco can easily make a profit in densely populated areas, but may run to red where there is only one customer every few kilometers.
Pumping money to failing companies is just rewarding badly run businesses, since there was no law that prevented incumbent telecoms from offering these same new technologies to their customers. They would even have been in a better position to do it, since they already had the customer base.
Sooner or later it becomes a problem when something that people need in their normal everyday life is run by market forces. Banks and railroads are good (or bad?) examples.
It's not just that they got caught buying the wrong equipment, the big telecoms players have specficially resisted IP over ethernet in order to keep entry costs as high as possible. The most ridiculous thing in the world is these suggestions that they had to stick with ATM and Sonet in order to cash in on the huge potential of video conferencing and video on demand and all this utter crap that only seventy year old technophobe shareholders would believe.
Compare an OC3 from a Bell -vs- an OC3 from a native ethernet provider like Cogent. These are two different worlds of cost.
But hey, let the FCC do what they will, we'll just add it to the list of criminal frauds already commited when it's time to impeach and imprison Bush and his administration.
It is far more profitable to either kill or join with your competitors, than to compete with them by offering better products at lower prices. This is why a strong government is needed to ensure a working market, based a continues struggle to provide better goods at lower prices than your compatitors.
Without such a strong government, producents will join force in guilds, who keep the market closed to outsiders, by force if necessary. This was the situation until the development of nation states with a strong King as the leader.
Unfortunately, this violates the foundation for the Libertarian belief, namely that all evil is created by government and all good come from the market. And as always when belief and reality slashes, the believers are unable to see the reality.
Of course, this isn't an excuse for the government to take up other tasks than ensuring that players on the market follow the rules.
...if some of the (hidden) corporate interest behind this goes something along the lines of:
"Please, please, don't bail out Worldcom! We all want to grab a piece of that 50% Internet backbone share for ourselves! Don't bail them out!" ?
Following the Sailing to Steam Power analogy:
Government's do not scrap entire fleets when a new technology improves over what is in existance, they strat building new ships and as the older, obsolete ships either sink, are lost in battle, or are too old to maintain they are replaced.
There is some old technology out there, and anyone seeking a bailout on that should be denied. Airlines should be denied bailouts, unless the money is used to go toward improved tech. The $100,000 switch of yesteryear can be replaced with a more relaible $25,000 switch that can handle more traffic, then that is what the money should go for -- improvements.
If their business model is failing, many airlines are in this boat only because of the lessed travel, then they need to adjust..close hubs, discontinue routes, etc. Yes, it would suck for the people that are affected, but what is to stop them from forming a local company to fill the void? It may be too expensive to run a daily flight from Los Angeles to San Francisco for a major airline using a big jet, because there are only 30 people wanting to go each day on average, but a smaller company with a 10 passenger leer could make 3 trips a day, and probably be very profitable.
Government should seek to involve itself in National Defense and Policies, and Proteciton of the Populace -- everything else should be a local matter.
Sig? What's a Sig?
But economics, psychologists and other liberal arts types realize that human beings defy "nature" all the time. People who study economics essentially study the cases where economics don't work! Psychologists study why people are not rational/utility maximizers.
As far as the broadband/telecom connection goes, did anyone else read this article in Business Week?
It talks about how broadband providers are keeping prices artificially high because they would rather deal with slower adoption rates at higher margins than faster adoption at lower margins because THEY KNOW EVERYONE WILL ADOPT BROADBAND EVENTUALLY and they can force us to pay more. Cable broadband profit margins are about 50 percent now.
Makes you realize how much companies like Comcast can prevent high-speed adoption and screw over the telecoms in the process.
(I canceled my Comcast modem and television service last week. Originally, I just wanted to get rid of the television service, but they told me that if I did, they were going to jack up my cable modem price by $15. I told them to cancel everything.)
You have people running big bussiness and people in the federal government. They're all friends. They went to Yale and Harvard and Princeton together... they drank at the same clubs. Their parents were friends, and their kids are going to Taft and Dalton and Exeter together right now.
Their goal? Simple. Take tax money out of the government, and get it into their pockets.
Back in the Reagan days, their favorite was the defense industry. It was perfect; there's relative secrecy associated with defense approrpriations, and the military bureaucracy is so intense that it took quite a while for the few people looking to find those $10,000 toilet seats.
We also saw a lot of "foreign aid" disappear into the ether, split up between the corrupt foreign officials and the corrupt local ones, all of it more or less going to Switzerland and Grand Cayman. Still do, actually.
More recently it's been Enron ("privatizing" electric utilities was already absurd, and anyone who followed it the time - including me - called it a blatant invitation to fraud; who knew they'd go all the way to turning off the lights to convince people of a fake shortage! Gives you an idea how little these people fear getting caught), the "airline bailout," the "farm subsidy," and of course, don't forget the "tax breaks."
Now it's a "telecom bailout."
All of these scams netted their perpetrators billions, and in some cases tens or even hundreds of billions. Almost none of the people involved have been investigated, let alone caught. It's the new American mafia, ladies and gentlemen.
Michael Powell is a notoriously corrupt FCC chairman; he's blatantly carried water for both the cable and bell monopolists, and under his watch telecom (and especially internet) service has been abyssmal (remember Northpoint? and what happened to the CLECs?) while prices have risen. It was easy for him, a smug "regulator" in a plum job snagged with handy nepotism; all he had to do was stand back and wink while the bells slaughtered their competition. You don't get a job like FCC chair under a Bush administration without knowing how the game is played... Anyway, this goofy letter to him is pretty amusing; you may as well write a letter to Satan.
Until heads start rolling in quantity (and believe me, once we started, by the time it's over we'd need to build a new federal prison), it's open season.
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> The primary reason most people advocate capitalism is ETHICAL, not scientific.
In what theory is capitalism ethical? Nothing in my readings has any statements about an ethical dimension.
> Health care? You have only to go to a socialist country to see how that works. They won't throw you out in the gutter, but they will make you get in line, possibly for months to remedy serious ailments such as cancer.
So what happens if I have cancer, but no money for treatment? How is this different to the "socialist" case?
> You need to think about more than one possibility. Chanting to yourself over and over again "Government can solve my problems, government can solve my problems" is not going to work.
As opposed to chanting "Government can't solve my problems" or "Only the market can solve my problems"?