Examining Gravity Waves
Joseph "JoeDaMac" Haake writes "Sometime within the next two years, researchers will detect the first signals of gravity waves -- those weak blips from the far edges of the universe passing through our bodies every second. Predicted by Einstein's theory of general relativity, gravity waves are expected to reveal, ultimately, previously unattainable mysteries of the universe."
In a perverse sort of way, I'm hoping that this experiment generates all the wrong data. Data that is completely the opposite of what people expect.
Think of all the fun that would be! Think of the chaos, the pontificating, the explanations, the TV specials! Think of all the dissertations that would generate! Yes sir, that would be wonderful.
If tits were wings it'd be flying around.
"Researchers WILL detect..."
On the whole, i think that's not necessarily true. There are several mathematically consistent fringe quantum-physical theorys (usually something akin to higher-order-symmetry electrodynamics) in whcih gravity waves are indistinguishable from e.m. waves, or are longitudinal-time e.m. waves.
You can also read the story here.
Would this help unify quantum gravity and GR? Could it give evidence to bolster string theory? The results of this experiment should be very interesting.
On the ither hand, it could be affected by the whole varying-alpha thing. If something that fundamental is wrong, I think their data will be much less useful.
The LISA experiment, which gets mentioned in passing, is really quite audacious - three spaceships orbiting the sun in a clever rotating triangle pattern, 5 million miles apart from each other, and detecting changes in distance between each other to an accuracy of 20 picometers!
In essence, it's just a really, really big version of the Michelson interferometer we all played with in 1st year physics - I remember the thrill back then of realising what tiny changes in distance you could discern with just a couple of mirrors, a lamp and something to measure the recieved intensity.
It's exciting to witness the nascence of an entirely new form of astronomy.
Suen and his collaborators are using supercomputing power from the National Center for Supercomputing Applications at the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, to do numerical simulations of Einstein's equations to simulate what happens when, say, a neutron star plunges into a black hole. From these simulations, they get waveform templates. The templates can be superimposed on actual gravity wave signals to see if the signal has coincidences with the waveform.
"When we get a signal, we want to know what is generating that signal," Suen explained. "To determine that, we do a numerical simulation of a system, perhaps a neutron star collapsing, in a certain configuration, get the waveform and compare it to what we observe. If it's not a match, we change the configuration a little bit, do the comparison again and repeat the process until we can identify which configuration is responsible for the signal that we observe."
They will be changing the way they observe in order to conform with what they expect to observe. Doesn't this mean that ultimately they're not really going to discover anything new? I mean, if they set up their observation so that when looking at a neutron star collapse it matches the mathematical model, what's the point? Why not just look at the mathematical model?
Karma: Chevy Kavalierma.
...and they will come in little pulses, and when we decode the pulses we will realize that they say "Mars Needs Women".
Liberty uber alles.
Sometime within the next two years, researchers will detect the first signals of gravity waves....
Wow. Somebody has a pet theory.
Perhaps the most exciting thing about them is that we may well not know what it is we're going to observe. We think black holes, for sure. But who knows what else we might find?"
Jabba-The-Hut doing the Wild Thing.
"When we get a signal, we want to know what is generating that signal," Suen explained. "To determine that, we do a numerical simulation of a system, perhaps a neutron star collapsing, in a certain configuration, get the waveform and compare it to what we observe. If it's not a match, we change the configuration a little bit, do the comparison again and repeat the process until we can identify which configuration is responsible for the signal that we observe."
Sounds to me like they may be changing their model to fit the data in such a way that they won't know for sure it is a match. For example, a signal roughly fits the model of a black-hole forming, but not quite. They then keep tinkering with the black-hole formation model until it matches the signal. But in reality the signal could actually be something not related to black holes. They are putting the cart before the horse it seems.
It seems they would have to match a specific electromagnetic observation(s) to the gravity wave event to verify. Otherwise it is just a guess.
I could see some justifiable confidence if the signals were complex, and were only slightly off the models. In other words, near dead-ringer matches of something that would be too much of a coincidence to be something completely different generating the same (expected) complex signal. But I doubt we are at this stage in both the models and accuracy of the signal detection.
Table-ized A.I.
The article does a decent job of explaining what they'll do when the detect the gravity waves, but it doesn't answer an important question. How are the going to do this detection? Since we haven't been able to do this to date, there must be some new technology that was recently developed, or is being developed, that allows us to do this. Anyone know the answer to this?
You are completely right, but this can be a very dangerous thing to try to do. I work in computational fluid dynamics, and some people advocate doing this kind of CFD (tuning turbulence models to match data of very complex things usually) this leads to some bad mojo most of the time. you get codes that look good when you use them on multistage axial flow trans-sonic compressors (for example) because it was tuned to that, but it can't solve flow in an axisymetric duct! Then people think the code is great and start to trust it until it misses in a huge way on something that is a little different that what it was tuned to and everyone freaks out!
I REALLY think that the only way to do this kind of thing correctly when you don't match data, is to go back and look at the set up/first principles... Were your boundary condition assumptions fair? Did you assume anything was insignificant, was it?... that sort of thing. Tuning is something that scares the crap out of me, mostly because it sounds like a good idea to most people.
"I'll have a Guinness, no wait, make that a Coors Light" -Grad student I work with, who shall remain anonymous...
...you don't know everything, and one day we will!
If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
What about that experiment this sept2002 with the alignment of some planets...
Arent the results still being crunched?
I believe it was about measuring the speed of gravity.
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So like, umm, does this mean that we'll soon see stuff like the Wave Motion Gun like they have on the Space Battleship Yamato?
I wonder if they will be at all able to measure the speed of a graviton with this current setup. It seems as though they are having enough trouble just detecting them in the first place though. I think this is a first step towards a new branch of physics that uses gravitons in experiments. For instance, some spin-2 thermodynamics could be experimentally demonstrated if gravitrons could be isolated and easily detected. This is probably not going to happen any time soon, but LIGO is a big first step towards that goal.
In case anyone is interested, "gravity waves" also refer to the buoyantly driven waves in the atmosphere and ocean.
If gravity moved at the speed of light, then the Earth, in it's orbit, would "see" the Sun where it was about 8 minutes ago. Over geologic time, this changes the orbit. Over the life of the solar system, Earth's orbit isn't stable. So, gravity much act faster. One estimate of the speed of gravity is that it must be at least 10^15 times faster than light. That means that the wavelengths may be very short. So, using light interferometry to detect them may be futile. There may still be things to learn from the experiment, however, even if it isn't about gravity.
-- Stephen.
Its actually very insightfull :)
If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
If some big masses wiggle at some distance and you don't believe in infinite propagation speeds, you expect to have something that looks like gravity waves. The question is whether they will be those predicted by Einstein or whether they will behave differently.
It's not that legitimate scientists didn't take his work seriously - it's that they couldn't reproduce a simple effect. Considering that he himself has not shown this result to anyone else . . . Well, the options are:
A) The scientific community is frightened by a discovery that would bring huge $ amounts into research for further work and innovation
OR
B) This guy's a quack.
I invite you to apply Occam's razor.