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SETI@Home Revisits Its 100 Best Signals

cmbrothe writes "The Planetary Society is running an article about SETI@Home's plan to revisit its 100 most promising signal candidates. The article also outlines the criteria for selecting the candidates."

56 of 327 comments (clear)

  1. the criteria... by jaredcoleman · · Score: 5, Funny


    the signal must sound like a humpback whale...

    1. Re:the criteria... by platypus · · Score: 4, Funny
      I have a friend at SETI, and he sent me the code for the best signal. They are waiting for computing time at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory to further analyze it:
      nyy lbh onfrf ner orybat gb hf


      fhpxref
  2. The problem with doing it this way by Transient0 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Is that the REAL signals will obviously be coming from starships in nearby space which have either warp/hyperdrive and will therefore be NOWHERE near where they were when the signal was first detectred months or years ago.

    1. Re:The problem with doing it this way by librex · · Score: 3, Funny

      except of course if the signal went through a space anomaly that we havent encountered before..

      Read your Star Fleet manual ensign!

  3. formula for likelihood of life by guidobot · · Score: 5, Insightful
    The formula used to rank the different stars according to the likelihood that they would host a communicating civilization is:

    score= N*(bv-bv0)*exp(0.5*(bv-bv_sun)^2)/(par+0.01)^3

    where

    N is a normalizing factor, 1.65x10^7
    bv is b-v color
    bv0 is b-v color of the bluest star in the catalog (-0.41)
    bv_sun is the b-v color of the sun (+0.65)
    par is the parallax in milliarcseconds

    How exactly do you test the validity of a formula like this?

    1. Re:formula for likelihood of life by ari_j · · Score: 5, Funny

      Empirically. You find places that it says there is life. Then, you go and check for life. The correlation ratio between the two sets of results should give a very good indication of the validity of said formula.

    2. Re:formula for likelihood of life by djmurdoch · · Score: 3, Informative


      score= N*(bv-bv0)*exp(0.5*(bv-bv_sun)^2)/(par+0.01)^3

      How exactly do you test the validity of a formula like this?


      That's easy -- it's clearly wrong. It's saying the Sun gets the lowest possible score according to the 3rd factor, when it should obviously get the highest score. (They left out a negative sign.)

      Why do journalists put formulas online when they don't have a clue what they mean?

    3. Re:formula for likelihood of life by stratjakt · · Score: 3, Funny

      >> That's easy -- it's clearly wrong. It's saying the Sun gets the lowest possible score according to the 3rd factor, when it should obviously get the highest score.

      There's no life on the Sun, ya goofball!

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    4. Re:formula for likelihood of life by KjetilK · · Score: 3, Informative
      It's just a operational formula. You've gotta start somewhere, you know!

      I tried to dig up the paper, but these guys are really publishing a lot of stuff. this may have something to do with it. The author's homepage is here, you can look through a list of some of his papers.

      --
      Employee of Inrupt, Project Release Manager and Community Manager for Solid
    5. Re:formula for likelihood of life by SETIGuy · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Maybe we were't clear, low scores are better. (I didn't have a chance to review Amir's article before it went out. In fact, I haven't read it yet. Does that mean I'm a real slashdotter?)

      When you get down to it this "star score" is fairly arbitrary. I outght to know, I invented it. If you take out the Gaussian term, it reduces to the number of stars in our sample closer to the sun than the star being scored that are also bluer than the star being scored.

      I threw in the Gaussian term as a "we like stars like the sun" term.

      But it's OK for this "star score" to be somewhat arbitrary. The "star score" represents how interesting the star is to us, not a literal interpretation of the probability of life existing around that star. A "how probable is life there" score doesn't really exist.

  4. Playing the Odds by Nintendork · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I'm telling myself that it's not going to happen, but what if more than one of those 100 candidates turns out to be the real thing. What a shocker that would be!

    I mean, with the amount of planets out there, I'm sure there's a whole lot of life and a lot of intelligent life. It's just that we hope to find one other intelligent race and people aren't even thinking about finding more than that.

    -Lucas

    1. Re:Playing the Odds by Nintendork · · Score: 3, Insightful
      As an afterthought on the possibility of intelligent life, think about this. There was life on Mars. They're thinking there might be life on Europa. That's 3 different bodies producing life (Found thus far) in our solar system alone.

      -Lucas

    2. Re:Playing the Odds by passion · · Score: 3, Funny

      the message would probably say something along the lines of... "first post!", or "hello world!...?"

      --
      - passion
    3. Re:Playing the Odds by Nintendork · · Score: 3, Informative

      Nice scientific arguement. Read this page on NASAs site.

    4. Re:Playing the Odds by C14L · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm telling myself that it's not going to happen, but what if more than one of those 100 candidates turns out to be the real thing. What a shocker that would be!

      In fact, that could be quite beneficial for humanity. Humans tent to identify themselfs by what they not are. In other words: If a group of people has some kind of "enemy" or "opposite", it usualy becomes more united. That does allways happen and on any scale. So hopefully, when we discover extraterrestial civilizations, people may begin to define themselfs more as "humans" and less than citizens of different countries.

      Thinking that over... if they don't find any signal, they should make up one! Anyways, nobody will be able to validate it, if it comes from some 1000 Lightyears away...

    5. Re:Playing the Odds by Nintendork · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah, they'll say that it's light refracting off the gases of venus causing radio interference in a very improbable way.

  5. Re:Suppose we get a signal... by Shimbo · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Ah, a signal. Quick, beam a signal back, and...uh...wait 30,000,000 years for a reply! Cool!"

    sounds like your typical tech. support query.

  6. Wait a minute.... by John+Harrison · · Score: 4, Funny

    Wasn't that telescope destroyed in Goldeneye? How are they still using it?

  7. I have to wonder... by craenor · · Score: 3, Funny

    If they've done any research to correlate the number of possible signals to the frequency of radio broadcasts featuring Michael Jackson...just a thought, I mean, they are looking for aliens...

  8. The "Wow" Signal by szquirrel · · Score: 5, Informative

    Just for fun, I googled the 1977 "Wow" signal mentioned in the article and every so often in SETI news. Found this good BBC article on the subject.

    This blatant karma whoring is brought to you by the letters "ET".

    --
    Never approach a vast undertaking with a half-vast plan.
    1. Re:The "Wow" Signal by spakka · · Score: 5, Funny

      They need to devise a better naming scheme for these events, or else we'll end up with

      1. The 'Hey, Bob, look at this!' signal
      2. The 'Jesus Christ!' signal
      3. The 'Fuck me!' signal
      ...
      (97 others)

    2. Re:The "Wow" Signal by Tenebrious1 · · Score: 3, Funny

      #100 - The "All your base are belong... oh shit!" signal.

      --
      -- If god wanted me to have a sig, he'd have given me a sense of humor.
  9. Obligatory comments here.... by CSG_SurferDude · · Score: 5, Funny

    Obligatory comments here...

    • From the religious right, about how there are no aliens, and if there are, they are the work of Satan.
    • From the ignorant masses, about how this is a waste of money that could be better spent on (Insert pet project here).
    • From the biologists, about CPU cycles that could have been spent finding a cure for cancer.
    • From the Optical SETI folks, about what a waste of time RADIO SETI is.
    • From the /. crew about "Isn't this a dupe?"

    Did I miss any?

    1. Re:Obligatory comments here.... by stratjakt · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yes, you missed a few:
      - beowulf clusters
      - something about hot grits
      - something about natalie portman.
      - something about all your base belonging to us
      - links to goatse.cx
      - business plans that end in Profit!
      - offtopic rants about the DMCA/RIAA
      - informative posts about how this works in soviet russia

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    2. Re:Obligatory comments here.... by Plutor · · Score: 4, Funny

      Don't forget unfunny karma whoring "obligatory comments" lists!

    3. Re:Obligatory comments here.... by quintessent · · Score: 5, Funny

      offtopic rants about the DMCA/RIAA

      Well, I'm sure they are looking at this list harder than anyone. What if the aliens are broadcasting music without a license?

    4. Re:Obligatory comments here.... by jeti · · Score: 3, Funny

      I'm sure you got this backwards.

      Obviously any evolved civilisation must have a
      counterpart of the RIAA. Once we catch some alien
      music, we'll broadcast it on TV, worldwide. Then we
      only have to wait for their lawyers to make the first
      contact.

      That's the plan, isn't it?

  10. Would they detect themselves? by wowbagger · · Score: 5, Interesting
    While I am a contributor to SETI@home, I have to wonder about the following question:
    "Given the rules they place on a signal, would SETI@Home have detected the past attempts we've made to contact other stars?"


    Consider the past efforts at Arecibo to send a message to other stars. We focused on one star for a couple of hours, and sent a message. Perhaps we repeated it over the course of a few days.

    Now, let us suppose that a civilization with a similar technology to ours was located on a planet around Proxima Centauri, and let us suppose they did exactly as we did in our transmissions at Arecibo. Would that signal have been found by SETI@Home?

    Given how the SETI receivers might not have been looking in the right places at the right times to see more than one transmission, might that signal have been discarded because we did not see more than one instance of it?
    1. Re:Would they detect themselves? by szquirrel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Now, let us suppose that a civilization with a similar technology to ours was located on a planet around Proxima Centauri, and let us suppose they did exactly as we did in our transmissions at Arecibo. Would that signal have been found by SETI@Home?

      SETI isn't looking for a person-to-person call necessarily, just for some scrap of evidence of intelligent life. By that criteria our planet has been spewing out transmissions like crazy for the last 70 years or so. If we find someting like that, then we at least know where to start looking for a "Hello, World!", or where to start sending our own.

      --
      Never approach a vast undertaking with a half-vast plan.
    2. Re:Would they detect themselves? by sbaker · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I don't think SETI is sensitive enough to pick up TV signals from even
      the nearest stars.

      To pick up their TV signals, I think we need a dedicated SETI radio
      telescope on the far side of the moon - something a couple of hundred
      miles across maybe.

      So we are listening for a definite "Hello Earthlings!"
      type of signal from a pretty powerful transmitter. Something
      containing the prime numbers, the first 100 binary digits of PI,
      something like that.

      My question is whether any aliens would send such a signal. You'd
      be taking one heck of a chance that it won't get picked up by more
      advanced civilisations with a penchant for destroying upstart
      planets.

      It seems to me that most civilisations will be sitting - quietly
      listening just like we are.

      --
      www.sjbaker.org
  11. Re:Suppose we get a signal... by Nintendork · · Score: 3, Insightful
    You didn't see Contact, did you? The aliens send the blueprints for making a transport used to communicate with them in real time.

    Who says two way communication is the only way we can take advantage of the finding? If they're more advanced than us at the time in their history when the signal was sent out into the cosmos, we'll learn a lot just by listening.

    Imagine if 50 years ago, they could watch our current TV programs, listen to our current radio broadcasts, read the internet.

    Hell, even if we don't advance because they're at the level we were at in the 20s, a LOT would change because aliens would be FACT instead of FICTION.

    -Lucas

  12. Window of contact by hpeg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I can't believe that people are still looking for signs of extraterrestrial intelligence, hooing to make contact one day.

    Stanislaw Lem once described the window of contact as the tiny amount of time in a planet's life that an intelligent life form has to evolve far enough to create enough noise around their planet that will be picked up as non-static background noise, until its civilisation dies the entroy death.

    Even if we picked up something now, it would only be a tiny flicker of something that existed millions of years ago, with no hope of us ever meeting whoever created this glimpse of order in the chaos of the universe.

    We are alone out there. Confined by the same rules that hold our universe together into a tiny section of space and time. The best we can hope for is to become nomads, travelling to near systems in the hope of making them inhabitable when this sun gives out. If we haven't fallen into the ashes until then.

    1. Re:Window of contact by Izeickl · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Your opinions are just that, opinions and speculation. Your view is no more valid than that of someone who thinks there is some alien life millions of light years away. Unfortunatly neither arguments can be proven, at least not yet. I would like to think there are other life forms out there, but im not commiting myself to one side or the other as no one knows! As Tommy Lee Jones in MIB said few hundred years ago everyone was -certain- the earth was flat, the earth was centre of the universe etc etc...

    2. Re:Window of contact by mmacdona86 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As others have pointed out, we could pick up something that existed a few score or a few hundred years ago, and that would certainly be interesting.

      Even knowing there was intelligent life somewhere else millions of years ago--and if the signal was millions of years old, it would necessarily represent an extremely advanced civilization, powerful enough to transmit a signal to another galaxy--would be extremely interesting scientifically and philosophically.

      Finally, it is only conjecture that the "Window of Contact" is brief. For all we know, once civilizations get to a certain point of development, they last forever, and slowly but surely colonize all the inhabitable parts of their galaxy.

    3. Re:Window of contact by sbaker · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There are two aspects to this:

      1) Will the shortness of the lives of civilisations reduce the
      probability of our detecting a message by so much that we won't
      ever see one?

      2) If we recieve a signal from a long dead civilisation - then
      how will we ever talk with them?

      In response to (1): The Drake equation (which estimates the number
      of alien civilisations that ought to be out there) takes this into
      account - and taking our best guess at that number, we should still
      expect to see a significant number of civilisations out there at the
      right stage in their life-span to talk to us. Of course there are a
      huge number of wild-ass-guesses in that equation - so making any
      concrete statements about the result is dangerous.

      However we can never know what the typical lifespan of a civilisation
      is - because the only planetary civilisation we have any data on hasn't
      died out yet!

      In response to (2), I have to say that if we could ONLY detect signals
      from long-dead civilisations, it would still be worth listening.

      Firstly because the mere knowledge of the existance of intelligent
      life elsewhere in the universe would justify the search.

      Secondly, it's also possible that the transmission would include the
      entire Encyclopedia Galactica - so even though the civilisation is
      dead, it might pass on knowledge that would pay for SETI a million
      times over.

      So, whilst the shortness of the lifespan of civilisations is a concern,
      it's not a reason not to search.

      --
      www.sjbaker.org
  13. Number One on the SETI "Top 100" Hit Parade: by DuckDuckBOOM! · · Score: 5, Funny

    A cover of "Peppermint Twist" recieved from a point near Epsilon Eridani, played on what sounds like oil drums and unlubricated condoms using a 68-tone scale. Great beat and you can dance to it if you have five legs.

    --
    Life is like surrealism: if you have to have it explained to you, you can't afford it.
  14. Are we broadcasting, too? by Seanasy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm not talking about all the regular satellite communications. Are we intentionally broadcasting any messages for the universe at large?

    If, however, the barycentric frequency of a signal remains steady, this almost certainly means that it is designed to compensate for the movements of its own host planet. In other words, it would point to a deliberate intelligent design.

    And would regular satellite communications appear barycentric? It doesn't sound like it. So, if we're not broadcasting barycentric signals, why would we expect other lifeforms to broadcast them? Or are we braodcasting something barycentric? Can I tune in?

    1. Re:Are we broadcasting, too? by Angry+Toad · · Score: 3, Informative

      I'm not talking about all the regular satellite communications. Are we intentionally broadcasting any messages for the universe at large?

      Short answer is no - apart from at least one PR message sent out from Aricebo in the 70's IIRC.

      And would regular satellite communications appear barycentric? It doesn't sound like it. So, if we're not broadcasting barycentric signals, why would we expect other lifeforms to broadcast them? Or are we braodcasting something barycentric?

      The current SETI efforts assume that we will be receiving signals from a beacon aimed at least generally in our direction and which will be very high power. This is obviously a big assumption, but the problem is that we don't have the technology at the moment to detect "alien TV"-strength signals. Those signals would be utterly missed by the Aricebo effort, as they are too weak to resolve against the background noise. The Square Kilometer Array radio telescope might be able to pick up alien TV signals out to a dozen or so light years.

    2. Re:Are we broadcasting, too? by ryanvm · · Score: 3, Funny

      Or are we braodcasting something barycentric? Can I tune in?

      Yeah, we are - but you don't want to tune in.

    3. Re:Are we broadcasting, too? by Idarubicin · · Score: 4, Interesting
      It's not that SETI@Home is ignoring non-barycentric signals; they are just assigning barycentric signals a higher priority for examination.

      This is a pretty reasonable approach, actually. Barycentric signals imply deliberate action. Further, they imply that the signals are intended to be received by someone or something (not necessarily us) beyond the immediate space about the transmitting planet.

      SETI@Home is certainly not ignoring non-barycentric signals, they are only prioritizing the (literally) billions of potential 'hits' they have accumulated. I'm quite sure that if we started seeing large gaussians every time Arecibo swung past Proxima Centauri, nobody would ignore them even if the peaks Dopplered a bit from planetary orbital motion.

      On the flip side, no--we are not broadcasting any barycentric signals right now. An alien SETI@Centauri project might assign us a slightly lower priority because we're not making a deliberate effort to be noticed. Nevertheless, continuous radio and television signals across multiple frequencies would probably make us quite an interesting target to any race with good enough detectors and large enough dishes.

      --
      ~Idarubicin
  15. migrating aliens by mydigitalself · · Score: 3, Funny

    i understand the 100% scientific approach to weeding out certain stars that have not been around that long:
    When it comes to scoring signals, however, not all stars are equal. This is because, according to SETI wisdom, some stars are more likely to host a communicating alien civilization than others. Thus, for example, only main-sequence stars are considered for signal-scoring purposes, excluding red giants and white dwarfs. Short-lived stars, whose lifespan is only a few million years, are also excluded from consideration, since complex life would not have had time to evolve in such an environment. Nearby stars, on the other hand, get "extra credit" in their scoring, since it would be comparatively easier to communicate with civilizations in our galactic neighborhood than with those in distant parts of our galaxy or beyond. Finally, the more similar a star is to our own Sun, the higher its score, since it would be more likely to host a civilization similar to ours.

    and maybe this sounds really really stupid and like i should stop watching star trek - but i don't actually watch it! but surely a far advanced alien race could be migratory and move to one of these less advanced planets. like maybe for the sunshine?

  16. Tycho2 vs. Hipparcos by KjetilK · · Score: 4, Informative
    I'm a bit surprised that they refer to the Hipparcos catalogue as the most comprehensive star catalogue, when the Tycho 2 catalogue is far bigger.

    Sure, the astrometry (positions) in Hipparcos are better than in Tycho 2, and Hipparcos contains more information about the stars than Tycho 2 (e.g. variability), but still. I would in fact think that Tycho 2 would be better for SETI than Hipparcos, but they may have their reasons.

    --
    Employee of Inrupt, Project Release Manager and Community Manager for Solid
  17. Re:Suppose we get a signal... by Phosphor3k · · Score: 3, Funny

    Unless they had time travel. And encoded the instructions to build the time travel device in the radio wave. Then we could build it, go back in time, and respond before they even sent the first message. Of course then they would have never sent the instructions in the firrst place....

    *sound of head exploding*

  18. Re:Promising? by Rogerborg · · Score: 3, Funny

    Indeed, who needs billions of bogomips of processing when you have a deaf guy and a lesbian to notice the one signal that really matters. Wait, wasn't there a token black guy as well? And do we need a golden haired child, or was that the lesbian as a kid? Oh god, I can't remember! It's hopeless, I tell you, hopeless, there are too many variables.

    --
    If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
  19. Sorry... No. by SaturnTim · · Score: 3, Interesting


    Sure, if the SETI project gave conclusive proof that there was alien life, It would be a day that would go down in history.

    But, it has to be rock solid proof. Not just a signal, we need a communication from another world. Otherwise CNN will have someone on there within the hour making up 50 other possibilities for the signal.

    --ST

    --
    http://www.theMediaBunker.com
  20. Re:Hi SETI people.... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Maybe the space aliens have a cure for cancer already?

    Better still, what if the aliens have figured out how to upload your mind out of your meat body and into something more permanent.

    We could all become IMMORTAL. Bwa ha. Bwa haha. Bwahahahahah!

    Joking aside, contacting aliens would be a much more significant event than curing cancer. We already have a more than effective way to replenish the population on this planet.

  21. Re:Hi SETI people.... by Idarubicin · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Me? I'll spend my spare CPU cycles trying to find a drug combination to cure cancer.

    Very noble of you. Among other things, I have spent my own time, not my computer's, working on cures for cancer. (Right now I'm back at school.) I could have been earning much better money pushing paper--actually, I took a 25% pay cut to do cancer research.

    You know what? I was running SETI@Home on my computer at the time. And I don't feel guilty about it. Maybe there was a better use for those cycles, but I think of it as a sort of hobby for my computer. People who spend their spare time watching football, or playing with electric trains, or painting--forget what their computers are doing, shouldn't they be working on 'more relevant' problems?

    Breast cancer killed my best friend's mother this summer. I would love to see a cure for cancer, as well as for any number of other diseases--Alzheimer's runs in my family, and my uncle has diabetes. But if fear of death is to set all of our priorities, leaving no room for a sense of wonder and exploration--what's the point of living?

    If you really want to help people in a tangible way, please--go out and give blood. Not just after a terrorist attack, but every two months. Or volunteer at a food bank. Not just at Thanksgiving, or Christmas, but year round. Write a cheque to a charitable organization. If you can't afford that, write a letter to your government representative--tell them what their funding priorities should be.

    --
    ~Idarubicin
  22. More info on the top 100 by i8a4re · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There are two things I'd really like to take a look at, and I'm sure I'm not the only one.

    First, there is a program that can convert the work unit files into a wav file. I think it would be pretty cool to listen to some of these top 100 signals. I've played with the program on quite a few work units and never been able to hear anything but static. As strong as the top 100 signals are, you should actually be able to hear something.

    Second, there are a few places on seti's and related sites that show a picture of what a good signal looks like. Why don't they take a grad student and make him run through the top 100 signals and record what the graphics look like when it is processed?

    I've actually emailed them before and requested both of these. I've never gotten a response nor have they posted either. If they have, then I've just missed it.

    --

    If I drive fast enough at the red light, it'll appear green.
  23. WHOOOOHOOOOOO! by chersk · · Score: 4, Funny

    100 Best Singles!... Thats what i'm Talking about!.. 100 hot alien singles with hot alien bod's and hot.... uh... oh.... signals.... dang..

    never mind....

    --
    "just another ugly toad waiting for a kiss from a princess"
  24. Making it harder for considerate aliens? by sbaker · · Score: 4, Funny

    So we little green aliens go to all the trouble to put the
    transmitter far away from any other radio sources (like stars
    and galaxies) - we shift the frequency to compensate for the
    orbit of your planet around your sun - we listen to your
    transmissions and send ours back on channels we know you
    must be listening to - and we get modded down for all of
    those things? Damn!

    So what DO we have to do to get more Karma at Seti?

    --
    www.sjbaker.org
  25. K-Tel Compilation by GuyMannDude · · Score: 4, Funny

    Actually, I was thinking that SETI@Home should not only "revisit its 100 most promising signal candidates" but burn them onto a CD-ROM set and make a deal with the record company whose name is synonomous with compilations, K-Tel, to sell them. The perfect gift for the geek who has everything...

    GMD

  26. The first message will be something like... by Lobsang · · Score: 4, Funny

    Dear Sir/Madam/Globunsk/Srhamel/Goot:

    I'm the ruler of Andromeda-3, an M Class Planet in the constellation of Andromeda. My father, the fifth ruler in the Pfthoskkkrkfhhdfkfk dinasty has been robbed. If you could lend me your intergalactic bank account so I can transfer my funds to Alpha Centauri... :)

  27. What about our future? by SiliconEntity · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The interesting part about attitudes towards SETI is what they say about our own future. What is happening with our civilization? Where will we be in 100 years? In 1000?

    Many people are pessimistic. They think we're bad and getting worse. They expect that we will destroy ourselves soon, or sink into a dark age, or otherwise lose the ability to communicate with the stars. So they can imagine a galaxy full of life but not much of it communicating at any given time.

    But let's suppose that things continue on as they have. Look at the grand sweep of human history. We see a continual growth of capability and power. Even a poor person today in the West has technology which would have been unavailable to the richest person in the world 100 years ago.

    Imagine that this continues to happen. Technology not only advances, it speeds up. The next 100 years bring more changes than the last 1000 years. Nanotechnology, biotech, AI, physics advances; we could be living like gods in 100 years.

    And let's assume that social trends continue. Racism and sexism was ubiquitous 100 years ago. Now they are recognized as great evils. As our power grows and our moral sensitivity increases, we will want to help those less fortunate than ourselves. We will end poverty and suffering among humans, because it will be easy compared to the power we have. We will turn to the higher animals, and do what we can to improve their lives as well.

    And we will turn outwards. We will reach out into the galaxy with communications and explorations. It will take centuries, millennia, but as our capabilities grow we will eventually find even the great interstellar distances easy to cross. We will search the galaxy for life, ready to cherish and protect anything that we find. And if we could meet a culture less advanced than our own, we would do what we could to ease their suffering while still respecting their chosen path.

    This may seem like an absurdly optimistic vision, but it's nothing different from what has happened in the past! Anyone who looks with clear eyes at the record of human history and who extrapolates it forward should see this as a very plausible and likely future path. The reason that it's not explored much in literature is because there aren't that many dramatic possibilities in a world which is as much improved over the present as our own world is over the past.

    The point is that if this is the likely path for a civilization, it would suggest that other cultures in the galaxy would also be spreading outward and would probably be here by now. The fact that we don't see them, that we stumble along and still suffer great and preventable catastrophes, suggests that really life is not so prevalant in the galaxy after all.

    So ironically, both the optimistic and the pessimistic view of humanity's future suggest that SETI won't work. The pessimists believe that any advanced culture will wipe itself out; and the optimists believe that such a civilization will spread through the galaxy and render aid to less developed worlds. Either way we won't find intelligent signals on our expensive radio telescopes.

    1. Re:What about our future? by meehawl · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Anyone who looks with clear eyes at the record of human history and who extrapolates it forward should see this as a very plausible and likely future path.

      This is delusional optimism. Anyone who looks with clear eyes at the record of human history (and pre-history) sees that localized human socieities follow a predictable pattern of expansion followed by dieback. Sometimes the cause is external -- war or invasion or disease or climate. Sometimes the cause is internal: stasis, political disorganization, social transformation, resource exhaustion. Every single piece of available evidence points to this conclusion -- yet you somehow manage to convince yourself of some privileged exceptionalism that will enable your society to endure? I have a bridge you might be interested in...

      The various human civilizations that have energed since the Holocene were lucky to be existing in an especially mild inter-glacial period not characterized by hyper-aridity. This is a special and situational set of circumstances that cannot be exxpected to continue indefinitely.

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      Da Blog
  28. OK... by anthony_dipierro · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What are the odds of a random collision of atoms of a certain solar system producing life?

    What are the odds of a random string of radio signals mimicking life?

    If B>A, we have some problems.

  29. Really hope they don't have an RIAA by Antity · · Score: 3, Funny

    Imagine some alien RIAA-like organization finds out about this SETI project that distributes their valuable inter-universal IP-protected radio signals to thousands of computers all over a damn whole planet!

    Hopefully there's just a flat yearly fee we're allowed to pay to the broadcasters...

    Their lawyers will go nuts if they ever find out.

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    42. Easy. What is 32 + 8 + 2?