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Hard Drives Down To A Dollar A Gigabyte

Junky191 writes "I doubt anyone else noticed this- but today is the first day where mass storage is available for $1 per gigabyte (according to pricewatch,). There are several stores now selling 120GB models for $120 shipped. This is truly an amazing milestone for those of us who once spent $500 for the fantastically large 10MB models. I just can't wait for the days when things are $1/TB." With discounts, the price has been that low for a little while.

41 of 715 comments (clear)

  1. Buck a gig by grub · · Score: 5, Funny


    Leet, now I won't feel so bad knowning that my swap space is only worth a buck.

    --
    Trolling is a art,
  2. Perspective... by Yoda2 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    1957, the first hard drive was introduced as a component of IBM's RAMAC 350. It required 50 24-inch disks to store five megabytes (million bytes, abbreviated MB) of data and cost roughly $35,000 a year to lease - or $7,000 per megabyte per year. For years, hard disk drives were confined to mainframe and minicomputer installations. Vast "disk farms" of giant 14- and 8-inch drives costing tens of thousands of dollars each whirred away in the air conditioned isolation of corporate data centers.

    1. Re:Perspective... by image · · Score: 5, Funny

      > 1957, the first hard drive was introduced as a component of IBM's RAMAC 350. It required 50 24-inch disks to store five megabytes (million bytes, abbreviated MB) of data and cost roughly $35,000 a year to lease - or $7,000 per megabyte per year.

      Man, I knew I should have waited a little while longer before buying one of these.

      It always happens. You buy the hottest/fastest toy out, and just 46 years later they're releasing something seven million times better.

    2. Re:Perspective... by John+Harrison · · Score: 5, Interesting

      At the Gates Building (yes, it is that Gates) home of the Stanford CS department they had an interesting display near the entrance. It was a platter from the first hard drive the university ever owned. It was part of a card catalog system at Green Library. It is huge. If I remember correctly it was about 4 feet in diameter and an inch thick of solid metal. There was a large gouge in it where they had a head crash once. I can't remember how much it stored (7 megabytes sticks in my head for some reason) by the density was very low. The plaque next to it said that it wasn't very reliable and generated lots of heat.

    3. Re:Perspective... by cr@ckwhore · · Score: 5, Informative

      FYI, the parent post is a quote taken from this web page: http://www.angelfire.com/pq/pcmuseum/storage.html

      --
      Skiers and Riders -- http://www.snowjournal.com
    4. Re:Perspective... by pclminion · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Heh. Work out the math using a 120 gig drive with those kind of costs.

      To lease a 120 gig drive at the same rate per megabyte would cost $860,160,000. For the purposes of that calculation I assumed 1024 megs per gig.

      Almost a BILLION dollars per year. Crazy.

      Work it out a different way. I picked up a 60 gig drive for about $75. That's about one-tenth of a cent per meg. (0.122 cents to be precise). This means the cost per meg has gone down by a factor of 5.7 million.

    5. Re:Perspective... by mcelrath · · Score: 5, Interesting
      At the Fermilab Computer Center there is a display at the entrance. On a round table about 4 feet in diameter are various storage devices over the years of various density. Floppies, hard drives, zip disks, etc. Then you realize the table itself is one of those 4 foot platters from one of those ancient hard drives...

      -- Bob

      --
      1^2=1; (-1)^2=1; 1^2=(-1)^2; 1=-1; 1=0.
  3. *Old Man Rant* by Cyclopedian · · Score: 5, Funny
    Time to burn some Karma...

    Bah! You kids with your newfangled hard drives! Why, in my day, we worked with ferro-magnetic drives. Sure, the magnets were big, and they were powerful, and dammit if you didn't get a nice buzz while working around these things. That was the way it was, AND we liked it!

    AND I had to walk uphill! Twice! In the snow! Buzzed out of my mind!

    /end Old Man Rant

    1. Re:*Old Man Rant* by RatBastard · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, I *DID* walk to school in the snow. Down to about -30 degrees F. Below that I could stay home. Granted, this was when I lived in Fairbanks, AK in the 1970's, but still..

      What what pointless rants are we going to fling at our grandkids?
      "Why, when I was your age we didn't have PVRs! You had to record your shows to tape!"
      "Spoiled brats! We didn't have cable TV until I was twelve!"
      "Oh, the teleporter is too slow? We had to drive for an hour in a car!"

      and other pointless irate ramblings.

      --
      Boobies never hurt anyone. - Sherry Glaser.
    2. Re:*Old Man Rant* by jackjumper · · Score: 5, Funny

      *Zeros*!?! You had zeros????

      All we had was the letter 'O'...

    3. Re:*Old Man Rant* by Reality+Master+101 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why, in my day, we worked with ferro-magnetic drives.

      You had MAGNETIC disks?? In MAH day, we lopped off the end of a wooden log and put pits in the wood with a chisel! And we spun it with a hand-crank! You jus' TRY cranking the disk with one hand while yer typing with the other hand! Damn sap gettin' all over the place...

      --
      Sometimes it's best to just let stupid people be stupid.
    4. Re:*Old Man Rant* by CodeMonky · · Score: 5, Funny

      You jus' TRY cranking the disk with one hand while yer typing with the other hand! Damn sap gettin' all over the place... I'm quite skilled at this actually. Oh you said cranking the DISK. Nevermind.

      --
      --"Karma is justice without the satisfaction"
    5. Re:*Old Man Rant* by lostboy2 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Heh. I still have my old "portable" (size of a suitcase) Zenith with TWO 5-1/4" floppy drives (no HD). TWO! No more swapping floppies when you want to run a program *and* save something, or when you want to copy a file from one floppy to another. L33T!

      "When I was a kid, we didn't have 'L33t'. All we had was 'Cool', and we were damned glad to have it!"

  4. it's all relative by jpsst34 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I just can't wait for the days when things are $1/TB.


    And at the same time, our storage needs are 2^10 times as large due to 10^3 more data, 10^3 more illicit mp3's, 10^3 more pr0n, 10^3 more overhead in a microsoft binary document format, etc., etc., etc.

    --
    How are you going to keep them down on the farm once they've seen Karl Hungus?
    1. Re:it's all relative by Duds · · Score: 5, Insightful

      True, but we may have reached a slight plateau.

      Sound files are not getting much bigger per minute. Totally uncompressed audio is no more than 5MB/min tops in a format like shn.

      Video isn't going to get a heck of a lot bigger than DVD-Video sizes.

      I mean, the 40MB drive I had just over a decade ago, no music, no video. And that's what's driving it.

      Unless someone finds a huge new use for space (delete microsoft joke) then maybe it'll at least slow.

      course it won't stop immediately. But Music, then Video drove expansion in size. What NEW is coming along to do that?

  5. Now if only they were as reliable... by evilpenguin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'd applaud this too, if only the reliability weren't going down faster than the price. Hell, I'll sell you a 5-inch-footprint hunk of metal that won't work for just $50. I'll even stamp 50TB on it.

    So, in other words, I agree that it is a milestone, but I think they are already pushing the technology and cutting QA corners to get the price point. I will always either pay more for my drives, or by about 20% lower capacity than the biggest cheap drives (usually the latter, because I'm cheap, cheap, cheap!). That way I seem to avoid the semi-annual crash/replace/rebuild ritual.

    1. Re:Now if only they were as reliable... by lostchicken · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Would you pay twice as much for the same capacity? If so, then get two, big, cheap drives, and use mirroring RAID. You get much faster data rates, and you have backups.

      Best of both worlds...

      --
      -twb
    2. Re:Now if only they were as reliable... by Cyno · · Score: 5, Interesting

      That's something I've learned about PC hardware. You must plan for failure. That's what RAID and backups are for. I've been buying harddrives for $1/GB for over a year now. I buy the cheapest drives I can find, 80GB Seagates, and use a few 100-200GB drives to build a RAID. The Seagates work well in swapable drive bays and have been very stable. I had one problem and it was only a missing pin, no data loss or corruption. But then again none of the data I store of them is important by itself.

      The best technology today IMO is a few cheap 1394 controllers, some 1394->IDE converters and the cheapest $/GB drives you can find. Build a RAID, probably in a custom case with like 8 or 12 5.25" drive bays, use swapable IDE enclosures and have the box email you when the logs show a drive is about to fail. It might cost a little initially but it is mostly fault tolerant and dirt cheap in the long run.

    3. Re:Now if only they were as reliable... by GauteL · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That is something you can only say if the data is not valuable to you.

      In a business, saving $140 over three years for choosing the cheaper drive is going to make you look very stupid when that drive fails.

      One single extra day of lost work for one single employee might very well cost more than what you saved.

      Simple maths? I don't think so.

  6. I've been there. by watchmaker1 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    June, 1987. Graduated from high school, got a huge stack of cash as gifts.

    Bought an Atari SH204 20meg hard drive for my beloved 520ST, $985.

    Inside was the circuitry to make the atari interface speak MFM/RLL, and a full height 5.25" Rodime 20meg hard drive. 65ms seek time.

    If I've done my math right, that's $50,432 per gig.

  7. Those were the days by mmoncur · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Wow, this is amazing if you've been around for a while.

    My first hard drive was 105MB (that's mega, not giga) and cost $600. Of course, that included the SCSI interface for the Atari ST I was hooking it to.

    The big question is where the lower-capacity drives are going. It seems like a decent drive always costs about $100 - and the amount you get for your $100 keeps increasing - but where are all of the 40GB drives that should be floating around for $40 apiece?

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    It's Slashdot's evil twin... SlashNOT
    1. Re:Those were the days by cdipierr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They don't exist anymore because there's no money in it for the manufacturers. The costs to create a 40GB drive (not to mention packaging and shipping) is likely only a few $$$ less than producing a 120GB drive. Since the 120 sells for twice as much, it obviously makes sense to promote those.

      With that said, you can still get 20, 30 & 40 GB drives w/o much of a problem, just not at $1/GB.

    2. Re:Those were the days by crow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Much of the price of the drive is independent of capacity. The additional platters and heads for high-capacity drives are significant, but so are the electronics and motors that are identical in 40G and 250G drives.

      Hence, the cheapest $/byte drives to manufacture are the highest capacity drives. However the highest capacity drives are often sold at a premium, leaving the best price point somewhere in the middle.

    3. Re:Those were the days by stratjakt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They stop producing them as demand dries up. If their production line is churning out 40 gig platters, the drives are built with 40 gig platters. If they had to open a new factory every time they want to make a bigger platter, they wouldnt be 1$/gig - and legacy drives would cost just as much to make as ever.

      It's like chip fabs - where are the new 486dx's for me to build cheap routers out of?

      Newer XBoxes are shipping with 20gig drives, even though they only partition and use 8. 8 gig drives just dont exist, 20 gigs is the cheapest option.

      Now quit fighting progress. I like my 120 giggers.

      --
      I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
    4. Re:Those were the days by spongman · · Score: 5, Interesting

      the first hard drive i ever used was about 7Mb. It was connected to an Acorn BBC-B with a weird interface that made the disk look like 70 floppy-sized partitions that you could switch between using a custom command. I think that was around 1988.

  8. "Fast" Hard Drives by m.e.l.l.e.n.t.i.n.e · · Score: 5, Funny

    Did anyone actually go look at the drive listed? It's a 5400 rpm drive. My grandma can remember information faster than that.

    --

    Producer: NEXT!!
    Ralph Wiggum: Chicken necks
    1. Re:"Fast" Hard Drives by Bake · · Score: 5, Funny

      So, uhm...

      Are you really going to store all your pr0n at your grandma's?

  9. Prices have dropped - speed almost the same by teutonic_leech · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Well yes, the prices have dropped immensly indeed - however it might be worth considering that the basic concept of physical storage has not changed a bit. We are able to squeeze more bits into each square millimeter, but access speed has maybe changed by a factor of 50 or so (I'm guessing here, so please correct me). At the same time, processor speeds have aptly doubled in speed every 18 months or so.
    I do appreciate cheap mass storage on my desktop, don't get me wrong, but I really long for things like static memory or holographic storage devices. And the use of spinning copper disks is not exactly power efficient either - so on the laptop front, new storage technologies could make a big difference.

  10. First Hard Drive by RetroGeek · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The first hard drive I bought cost me $500.

    It was a 10 MByte (yes, that's mega) Seagate. Full height 5 1/4 (hint, a CD drive is half height).

    I partitioned it into 4 drives:
    C: 1M - DOS (V 2.0 !)
    D: 4M - Applications
    E: 4M - Data
    F: 1M - Testing

    Mind you after struggling with two 5 1/4 floppy drives, this was heaven.

    I still have it, after all, where could I possibly sell it?

    --

    - - - - - - - - - - -
    I am a programmer. I am paid to produce syntax not grammar. Deal with it.
  11. What about regular retail stores? by nolife · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Retail stores are a very good place for HD's. You will often find BestBuy/CompUSA/Staples/CircuitCity/OfficeMax etc will have lower prices on HD's then what is at pricewatch, local computer stores, and even regional computer expos. More then likely you get a retail drive in a box with full warranty (mainly 1 year now) and maybe even a UDMA cable and 5.25 adapters. Most mail ordered I've seen are OEM and 30 days at best. CDRW's are the same way.

    Sometimes you may have to deal with a rebate to get the good deal but at least one of the above retailers has one good deal a week. Not sure if SalesCircular covers all areas of the US but it is a good place to scope out retailers sale prices for a week.

    --
    Bad boys rape our young girls but Violet gives willingly.
  12. Re:error by crow · · Score: 5, Informative

    Bzzzt.

    You're right that TB is TereByte. However, a TB is the next step up from GB, not the other way around.

    GB=2^30 or 10^9 if you're a lying drive manufacturer
    TB=2^40 or 10^12
    PB=2^50 or 10^15
    EB=2^60 or 10^18

  13. Expands to fill.. by Sentry21 · · Score: 5, Funny

    I just can't wait for the days when things are $1/TB.

    Yeah, but by then, Super Windows XP Pro Ultimate Championship Edition will be out, will have backwards compatibility to all prior 8-, 16-, 32-, 64-, and 128-bit architectures, take 8 solar days to load, require 800 terabytes to install, and the neuro-holographic interface will crash regularly, wiping out more data than a human being can process in a lifetime, and throwing people into neural shock. You'll die, but it will be illegal to have any negative feelings towards the occasion, because of the Digital Oblivion Mind-Control Act.

    Linux, of course, will still be around and install fine, but no one will care, because they get an extra 7 updates per second playing the Windows version of Quake 82, so it will still be considered a 'toy' OS.

    Sometimes I scare myself...

    --Dan

    1. Re:Expands to fill.. by peterpi · · Score: 5, Insightful
      If you measure in dollars-spent-on-space instead of space itself, Windows gets smaller and smaller with every release.

      But you didn't want to hear that.

  14. Storage Space by imadork · · Score: 4, Funny
    Buried in my in-laws' basement is a primitive custom-built computer (i believe it was 8086-vintage, could have been 286) from the 80's timeframe. Inside the computer chassis were two huge full-height 20MB hard disks.

    Attached was a note from the person who built the computer for them, saying something to the effect of "This is more storage space than you will ever need."

    I imagine that at the time, 40 MB of storage was friggin' huge.

  15. Re:$1/TB? by Etcetera · · Score: 5, Informative


    the days of multi terrabyte storage systems for the home is a little further off. Unless someone comes out with more justification for that much space

    When virtual reality (fully 3d, immersed environments) start to appear and be used in the home, there'll be a need for this kind of storage. Combined with processor advances to do the massive crunches needed for such an interface/game/devetool/whatever... the average home user will finally have the ability to experience it.

    Given the advances in OS engineering, i'd put the initial uses of this (at home) in six years or less.

    I don't think we'll be at $1/TB for a decade though (10 years ago we were at $1000/GB). And I agree, we don't need storage space to be *quite* that low for VR itself to take off.

    IMHO.

  16. Re:$1/TB? by 1984 · · Score: 4, Funny

    You're quite right. 640KB should be enough for anybody.

  17. Re:$1/TB? by harlows_monkeys · · Score: 4, Interesting
    I remember using similar arguments in 1985 when I decided on the 10 MB Hyperdrive for my Mac, for $1500, instead of the 20 MB model for $2000.


    I have no idea why anyone would ever need a TB drive at home...but if it comes down to betting, I'll bet with history, and bet they will.

  18. Re:$1/TB? by Dynedain · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Even if you ripped DVD's into VOB's ... you'd still need to rip over 100 to justify even 1 TB

    Did you know that DVDs only have a resolution of 720x400 (16:9 proportions) and that the maximum resolution of HDTV is 1920x1080?

    Thats 7.2 times as many pixels.....and we are still talking compressed data here (VOB is MPEG encoded).

    If in the future we switch to uncompressed data (which would be a good thing) we are definately going to need TB drives.

    And what if the industry decides to move to 60fps instead of the traditional 24fps for film and 30fps for TV? Double the frames, double the data.

    Trust me, we'll need it.

    --
    I'm out of my mind right now, but feel free to leave a message.....
  19. Of course, it would be nice... by uradu · · Score: 5, Interesting

    if you could pick up a 40GB drive for $40, or a 20GB for $20, without having to fool with rebates. As it is, the cost of hard drives seems to be staying at around $100, almost regardless of capacity, limiting you in just how cheap a system you can build. Right now the most expensive item in a bottom feeder system is the HD. On Newegg you can build a minimal Duron system for:

    20GB HD: $69
    All-in-one mobo: $51
    CPU: $31
    Case: $28
    128MB SDRAM: $22
    CD-ROM: $19
    Floppy: $8

    Total: $228

    If that 20GB drive were $20 instead, that would be only $179. Of course, there are reasons why the drive isn't $20, I'm just lamenting.

  20. Re:GB/buck predicted in 1980 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    In this paper, dates were predicted for a megabyte per buck, a gigabyte per buck, and a terabyte per buck. I recall that this 1980 paper predicted a gigabyte per buck in 1999; pretty close!

    Jonathan V. Post, "Quintillabit: Parameters of a Hyperlarge Database", Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Very Large Databases,
    Montreal, Canada, 1-3 October 1980

    By the way, Post named in this article the "Shannon" = 1 mole of bits = 6.02 x 10^23 bits.

    Now THAT's a big memory!

  21. Harrrumph! Well, back in MY days... by Mr.+Firewall · · Score: 4, Funny

    You kids these days don't understand how easy you have it. Why, back in MY days...

    ... obligatory comments about walking barefoot through the snow uphill both ways snipped...

    I remember my first computer job at a Radio Shack computer center. Some guy had been begging his wife for months to let him buy a hard drive, and she finally let him. I think it was Christmas or something. It was $2,800 (US) and was the size of a mini-tower case laid down flat. I can't remember whether it was a 5 MB or a 10 MB drive.

    This would have been... let me think... must 'a been the winter of '84/85... yep, them were the good old days, when floppies were 5 1/4 inches and women were grateful, or something like that.

    And when we connected with a modem, we had to flip a switch on the modem with our bare hands! 300 bits per second, BOTH WAYS, by thunder!

    --
    In times of universal deceit, telling the truth gets you modded -1 Troll