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Latest Columbia News

Russia is suspending its space tourist program, for fairly obvious reasons. An NYT story notes that the obsolete but reliable computers driving the shuttle are to be examined as part of the inquiry. But most interestingly, a story in Aviation Week claims that a tracking camera trained on the shuttle detected damage to the wing prior to the breakup.

19 of 578 comments (clear)

  1. Expect fianl report in 6 months by tino_sup · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As with the Challenger disaster, there are many smart people trying to determine the cause of the accident. In addition to the wreckage, there are memos, notes, films, and other media to review. Investigations take time, and regardless of the desire to find an immediate smoking gun,I anticipate NASA will release an official report no sooner than may. Right now we have several media "experts" offering their opinions.

    --
    I am me...I think
    1. Re:Expect fianl report in 6 months by MouseR · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Houston IS the blackbox.

      When you have something flying at Mach 2 after a vertical ascent of only 60-some seconds, no blackbox we can make would survive any longer than radio transmissions captured by warehouse-sized surveilance systems on the ground can. Then, there's all the other surveilance on the ground and in the air by astronomers (pros and amateur) and USAF.

      NASA, the same day of the disaster, explained all that in the Q&A session.

      The current shuttle design would gain little from a blackbox-like device.

  2. This has to be tough for familes to hear... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "We continue to recover crew remains and we are handling that process with the utmost care, the utmost respect and dignity," said Ronald Dittemore, shuttle program manager.

    They died advancing science so we could all live better lives. Let's keep this in mind...

    1. Re:This has to be tough for familes to hear... by Tackhead · · Score: 3, Insightful
      > I disagree. First, even if the science is "2nd rate" it's fantastic PR for science. Second, this mission was doing some really vital science (like the low G fire experiments) that will come in handy if we ever want to get off this planet for any sustained amount of time.

      This was the last scientific Shuttle mission scheduled until 2008.

      Every other scheduled Shuttle flight was dedicated to building the ISS.

      The ISS cannot be used for science, because it holds three people, two-and-a-half of whom work full-time to keep the lights on.

      The ISS holds can only hold three people because its escape/rescue pod only holds three people.

      The ISS escape/rescue mechanism holds three people because NASA cancelled the higher-capacity crew return vehicle it had scheduled.

      NASA cancelled this vehicle programme because... (ta-dah!) ...it might replace the Shuttle. And heaven knows, with $500M of pork at stake per launch we can't get rid of the Shuttle! We need the shuttle to build... the ISS!

      You want "fantastic PR for science?" For every $500M Shuttle/ISS launch you cancel, fund three $150M Pathfinder-class missions to Mars, the asteroid belt, or nearby comets.

      Scrapping the Shuttle/ISS project for scientific missions would result in not just better PR for science ("Look! Pictures from another world that nobody's ever seen before!" versus "Look, another guy in a spacesuit with the Shuttle's rear engines in the background"), but better science, too .

  3. In Orbit Inspections? by Flamesplash · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I wonder if NASA will start making in orbit inspections of shuttles part of the flight plan. While things like this are obviously rare they are real and deadly.

    I wonder how long it would take an astronaut to correctly inspect a shuttle in orbit.

    --
    "Not knowing when the dawn will come, I open every door." - Emily Dickinson
    1. Re:In Orbit Inspections? by Graelin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, we know that an orbiter inspection was impossible in this case. If I remember correctly, the cargo bay was full leaving the manuvering arm disabled. Space walks cannot happen without that arm, or are highly discouraged, or something like that. I forget the exact wording they used.

      Also, there are no handles or other surfaces to which the astronauts could use to manuver efficient on the underside of the shuttle. For inspects to take place these would need to be added.

      Adding these handles, requiring astronauts to handle and inspect these tiles may actually introduce more variables and increase the chances of failure upon re-entry. What if a tile is damaged DUE to the inspection?

      Space Walks also take a long time, the shuttle may not be that large but to inspect it thuroughly before re-entry would add considerable resource requirements to every launch. They would either have to prepare for more time in space or cut back on the tasks to be performed for each mission. That would get costly no matter which way they go.

      I read somewhere that they use ground telescopes to inspect the shuttle as well. But that these inspections are not very good due to poor resolution, shuttle orientation and timing issues.

      This has certainly been a tragic loss. We lost 7 great people. We lost a remarkable piece of engineering. And the space agency has suffered a setback none shall forget for some time. But we must remember we call them 'heros' for a reason. These things do happen and are part of the job.

  4. Fairly Obvious Reasons? by ArsSineArtificio · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Russia is suspending its space tourist program, for fairly obvious reasons.

    It's not really obvious why they're doing it. The article implies, but doesn't state, that it's because they now need to put cargo where the third, "passenger" seat would go on a Soyuz capsule.

    Some people have suggested they're doing it because "space is now unsafe", which makes absolutely no sense.

    --
    All employees must wash hands before seeking equitable relief.
  5. Probably about time by Jezza · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's probably overdue that the shuttle was updated, shame it takes something like this to make it happen. Personally I hope that manned space flight can continue, and get safer.

    It seems unlikely that computers were to blame for this, but the kit in the shuttle is pretty old - if we're going to ask people to risk their lives like this we must give them the best kit we can.

    I know I was shocked at the loss of the shuttle, and it should remind us of how brave these people are.

    1. Re:Probably about time by Hanashi · · Score: 5, Insightful

      In this case, a stable, well-known and quite familiar technology is "the best kit we can." If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Upgrading for the sake of getting "newer" components is more likely to cause safety hazards than leaving older, perfectly good systems in place.

      --
      Check out my eclectic infosec blog at InfoSecPotpou
    2. Re:Probably about time by Lumpy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It seems unlikely that computers were to blame for this, but the kit in the shuttle is pretty old - if we're going to ask people to risk their lives like this we must give them the best kit we can.


      that would be suicide... The older computers running in the shuttles are rock solid, space proven, and reliable. which are very different from anything that intel or AMD makes. the older and slower computers are doing the job fine without baing overloaded or needing to read sensors any faster. Remember, this is flight control computers... I'd rather have a known 99.999999999% uptime processor that was designed in the 80's running my spacecraft or aircraft than any of this unstable junk we use today.

      outdated in the articles terms means it's nothing but a comment by an uneducated person trying to get their 15 seconds of fame.

      The Software would have a larger potential for blame... I.E. the programmer did not make klaxons go off when sensors give bad readings, or there was any instance of throwing out data.

      Until I see a report that states that the current computers on board are running at > 50% capacity and are getting near the overtaxed point then I'll believe it. until then it's fake news.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  6. Re:Troll? by grub · · Score: 4, Insightful

    they could very well decide that a 20+ year old OS is too archain to be used on the shuttle.

    And that would be a damn shame if they decide to switch so another OS Just Because The Current One Is Old. "If it ain't broke, don't fix it" keeps echoing in my head.

    --
    Trolling is a art,
  7. Re:Shuttle software coders by oni · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The people that write the code for the Shuttle do great work, and the organization supports them. The result is software that's remarkably error-free. Like you, I admire them.

    I hate it when clueless journalists say "the computers are old" So what? It's the software that's important and the software is top notch. They seem to imply that a pentium IV would have magically saved Columbia. That just isn't true. It's like saying improved metal detectors would have prevented 9/11.

    Unless there is some added function that they could only implement only on newer hardware, I don't see why the shuttles need new computers. Naturally, these jouranlists will never ask "what additional functionality does the shuttle need that the current computers don't provide?" they aren't trying to get at the truth of an issue. they're trying to get people to watch - and the best way to do that is by stirring controversy. All it takes to do that is to say "Look! the comptuers are so old!"

  8. Yes, but is one of them Richard Feynman? by kfg · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's interesting to read Richard's story of the investigation of the first shuttle disaster, and his realization that the process was political, not scientific.

    He had a great deal of trouble, as an official investigator, just being *allowed* to investigate, and of course to release his findings he had to engage in what amounted to guerilla tactics.

    The end fate of the Morton-Thiokol engineers who "blew the whistle" must stand as some sort of object lesson in this case as well.

    One would hope that steps are being taken to prenvent another go 'round of this shabby and shameful incident in American space history.

    KFG

  9. Some people don't get SW Engineering, do they? by That_Dan_Guy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There are comments after this and before this that really show a total lack of comprehension when it comes to writing (near) error free code. (The parent I'm replying gets it, but doesn't really expand too much on the SW side of it)

    Just throwing in a "realtime version of Unix" because it is a "reliable and robust OS" will NOT mean the program running on it is reliable Or robust.

    When I was doing my CompSci degree 12 years ago the SW Eng Prof was on sobatical to NASA to write some new code for the attitude jets so it could dock with Russian equipment. There were about 2 or 3 PAGES of code. It took them almost a YEAR to write it and verify that it was error free. And then, when he came back he said they estimated there was still one error for every 10,000 lines of code in the space shuttle program. Not only that, it was the MOST ERROR FREE CODE ON THE PLANET. Translation: More error free than any Unix/Linux OS or program.

    And now people want to just throw in a newer chip with a newer OS?! WTF are they thinking? There isn't even any evidence that would make anyone think that the computers were to blame for the accident in the first place! Fix what isn't broken or even related to the accident... Briliant, only a clueless legislator could come up with something that stupid!

    As the parent to this post said, the chips are working fine, they are not overloaded, and the program is tried, true and tested. Don't fix what ain't broke!

  10. I concur. by s20451 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Soyuz is characterized in the popular media as an aging, broken-down spacecraft, but the fact is that it is one of the most reliable and efficient manned spacecraft that has ever been produced. The Soyuz has a launch escape system which has been used once, in 1983, to blast the crew away from their exploding rocket (in the words of one site, "The crew landed close to the launch site, badly bruised after surviving nearly 20g acceleration, but they were still alive.") This is unlike the shuttle, in which escape is impossible for the first two minutes of flight, while the solid boosters (which can't be turned off) are firing. Soyuz has not had a fatal accident since 1971, and has had no major safety issue since 1988. Personally, given the choice between flying on the Shuttle and flying on Soyuz, I would pick the latter.

    Spaceflight tends to reward simple and time-tested designs over new and complex. I have read at least one account suggesting that NASA resurrect the Gemini spacecraft for crew transfer to and from the ISS, since it was one of the most reliable spacecraft the US has ever flown.

    --
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  11. No need for heroes by panurge · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The fact is that we are nearly 100 years after the Wright Brothers and the mechanisms for rescuing people from aircraft - all kinds of aircraft - are still very poor (except for the ejector seats for some military aircraft.) We accept that if something goes seriously wrong with virtually any kind of aircraft in the air, the occupants will get killed. In terms of aircraft disasters the Shuttle destruction was right down there with light aircraft crashes in terms of number of people killed, though not in financial damage. Far more people have been killed by systems failures in commercial aircraft, and I would be interested to know which is the safer form of transport in terms of either passenger miles or passenger hours.
    But then, whether you call it cynicism or realism, we accept a level of failure in all transport systems which is capable of killing people. We allow people to ride bicycles in motorised traffic. We allow manufacturers to build cars that are capable of traveling fast enough that a brake or steering failure can kill not only the occupants but anyone who gets in the way. We allow the construction of ships that break up in heavy seas, of railways where trains can pass red lights and crash. There is no public contract about this: we never actually get a chance to vote on the level of risk we want in our transport systems. What we do is react to disasters, and politicians have to decide based on that reaction whether to take some kind of action.
    Sometimes they do, and as a result we have anti-lock brakes, double-hulled ships, crash barriers on freeways and autoroutes, airbags, automatic train protection systems, and a host of other technologies.

    The Shuttle crews are unusual, superior human beings. But they should not need to be heroes, any more than someone who gets on a plane in LA to fly to a meeting in Tokyo is a hero.

    Because if the exploration of space is ever to become commonplace, we have to get rid of the idea that this is a dangerous enterprise for heroes. We need to follow the same rules that apply to everything else. We need to ask nasty questions like "Why can't tiles be replaced in orbit, since we have had 18 years to think about things like this?" .

    A WW1 biplane could keep flying after it had been shot full of holes, yet the Shuttle seems to have a number of extremely fragile technologies failure of any one of which could destroy it on re-entry. If that's so, why haven't we developed a better technology? Is it the mindset that needs to change as much as the design?

    --
    Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
  12. Re:old computers by oni · · Score: 3, Insightful

    New computers would have several advantages:

    I'm not flaming you here Crow, but I don't think you have any idea what you're talking about.

    1) They would weigh less. That is probably the most important advantage.

    how much less would they weigh and how much additional load would it allow the shuttle to carry? I think you'll find that upgrading the computers would let each astronaut take 1 extra pair of socks into orbit. So what?

    2) They could do more calculations.

    More calculation on what? Once the software has looked at all the data and made a decision, what is there left for it to do with all that processing power?

    I'm guessing that the software may have failed to consider that a part that is not performing upto specifications is likely to have reduced structural integrity.)

    Let's assume you're correct. Would a more powerful computer magically become sentient and figure that out? No. Using the same software a more powerful computer would make the same wrong decision - it would just make it a lot faster.

    Even if the software was upgraded to take into account the structural integrity of the ship, that doesn't necessarily mean a more powerful computer is required. In fact, I'm sure that one of the results of the Columbia investigation will be such changes to the software, and I'm sure that the new software will still run just fine on the current computers.

    In short, you haven't made your case.

  13. Re:Because they didn't plan for it by Zathrus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    They did plan for it.

    From Nasa's Human Space Flight pages:

    The nominal maximum crew size is seven. The middeck can be reconfigured by adding three rescue seats in place of the modular stowage and sleeping provisions. The seating capacity will then accommodate the rescue flight crew of three and a maximum rescued crew of seven.

    Make sure one other shuttle is always ready to go within a week like Atlantis was

    Atlantis wasn't ready to go. It could be pressed into service, but only by eliminating all pre-launch testing. You know, the testing that routinely finds problems in the months prior to launch that have to be fixed and occasionally cause launch delays?

    You want a shuttle ready to go everytime? Ok. You just doubled the cost for every launch. Because keeping a shuttle ready is a huge expense. The environment, even inside a building, is not friendly to the components and continual inspection is necessary for some areas... like the tiles.

    It seems like a simple thing to rig up some camera or whatever to look around the corners.

    It's not a simple thing. They've been trying to design one for ISS and it's problematic. And that's a vehicle that's not designed for reentry.

    As long as you have water, and you can recirculate that pretty low tech, if they don't do that already.

    Oddly enough, Columbia would have been in good shape here... They were actually testing systems to recycle water from waste. See here.

    I expect something like this to be in place before the shuttles are taken in use again

    I don't. Doing so at this stage would kill manned space flight. It's akin to eliminating seafaring exploring from Europe in the 1400s - 1600s because too many people died in the process, and so we won't do any more exploration until the infrastructure is in place to keep them safe. Except that until the exploration has been done it's impossible to put the infrastructure in place.

    I'm not saying that a rescue couldn't have occurred - in fact I posited ways it could have been done (based off statements from NASA no less), but also stated the issues that would have been encountered. Nor am I saying that a rescue shouldn't be attempted in a future case.

    But, realistically, we don't have the infrastructure yet. If we want to be able to prevent this kind of disaster in the future, then we have to do more missions, build more flight systems (hopefully more cost effective to run than the shuttle fleet), and put more permanent installations into space. But all of this is decades down the road... and trying to fix it the other way around is a nearly certain way to kill manned spaceflight all together.

  14. Hmm. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The most interesting thing I found by following these links is what Defense Secretary Cohen said about terrorists who are working on electromagnetic weapons that can trigger earthquakes and volcanos remotely.

    I mean, did the guy forget his medication or does stuff like that exist?


    Probably both.

    According to several sources I consider fairly reliable, humans currently have technology capable of shattering the Earth. I'm not 100% about that; our technology, while enormously more advanced than the current public perception would allow, we're nowhere nearly as advanced as some previous incarntions of humanity, (Atlatian, Lemurian, etc.), and frankly, even to me, shattering the Earth seems like a fairly inconceivable affair.

    Mind you, early work by Tesla demonstrated that knowing the correct frequency of an object gave one the power to make it vibrate using sympathetic resonance from a distance, (the basics of radio), and that if you continually pumped energy into that object in a certain way, you could literally shake the object apart. And as one great mind once said. . , "With a lever big enough. . ."

    Though, screwing up in such a way is supposedly what destroyed the planet which we now know of as the Asteroid belt. And that's not from Lee & Kirby.

    This stuff only seems far-out to people because everybody has been led to believe in an excruciatingly simple description of reality. When you start to think and look and overcome your programming. . .


    -Fantastic Lad --None Rival DOOM!